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IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva: Global Financial Stability Appears To Be Holding Up Well At Present
Goldman Sachs President: If The War Continues, Goldman Sachs' Model Predicts That Demand Will Decline
Goldman Sachs CEO: If The War Continues, Goldman Sachs' Models Predict That Demand Will Decline
British Defense Secretary: In The Past Four Months, Russia Has Lost More Troops Than It Has Recruited
The Main Shanghai Aluminum Contract Rose 2.00% Intraday, Currently Trading At 25,415.00 Yuan/ton
U.S. House Speaker Johnson: A Streamlined Settlement Is Expected To Be Unveiled Next Week, And We Will Do Our Best To Fund The Necessary Parts Of The Government
British Chancellor Of The Exchequer Reeves: If The War Ends, Economic Growth Will Be Higher And Inflation Will Be Lower
British Chancellor Of The Exchequer Reeves: Ending Negotiations With Iran And Turning To War Was A Mistake
German Defense Minister: There Is No Possibility Of Opening The Strait Of Hormuz In The Short Term
According To Reuters Calculations, In April The Discount Of Russian Urals Crude At Russian Ports Relative To The Spot Brent Price Narrowed By $10 Per Barrel Compared With March, Falling To About $15–$17 Per Barrel
British Chancellor Of The Exchequer Reeves: De-escalation And The Opening Of The Strait Of Hormuz Are Key Priorities
British Chancellor Of The Exchequer Reeves: We Do Not Believe That The Security Situation Is Any Better Than It Was Before The War
British Chancellor Of The Exchequer Reeves: The Strait Of Hormuz Was Previously Open; We Hope To Return To That State
According To Reuters Data, The Price Of Russian Urals Crude Oil Remained Near A 12-year High In April, At Around $100 Per Barrel
IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva: If The Situation Worsens, We Will Consider Taking Further Measures; The Impact Of War Is Very Serious
U.S. Senate Republican Leader Thune: Ending The Investigation Into Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell Is In Everyone's Best Interest

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JPMorgan reverses its Fed rate cut forecasts, now anticipating a 2027 hike as strong jobs data shifts Wall Street expectations.
In a major policy reversal, JPMorgan Chase has abandoned its forecast for a Federal Reserve rate cut in 2026. The investment bank now predicts the Fed’s next move will be a 25 basis point rate hike in the third quarter of 2027, completely shelving its previous call for a cut in January 2026.
This pivot follows Friday's U.S. jobs report, which showed a labor market that isn't cooling fast enough to warrant monetary easing. While employment growth slowed more than anticipated, the unemployment rate fell to 4.4%, and wage growth remained solid.
However, JPMorgan noted that the door isn't completely closed on easing. "If the labor market weakens again in the coming months, or if inflation falls materially, the Fed could still ease later this year," the bank stated.
JPMorgan is not alone in reassessing the Fed's path forward. Other major banks are also delaying their expectations for rate cuts.
• Goldman Sachs: Has moved its rate cut forecast from March and June to June and September. The firm also lowered its 12-month probability of a U.S. recession from 30% to 20%, stating that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will likely shift from "risk management mode to normalization mode" if the labor market stabilizes.
• Barclays & Morgan Stanley: Both banks have adjusted their rate cut expectations to mid-2026. Morgan Stanley had previously anticipated cuts in January and April.
Market sentiment has shifted decisively in response to the economic data. According to the CME FedWatch tool, traders now see a 95% probability that the Federal Reserve will hold interest rates steady at its January meeting. This is a significant jump from the 86% chance priced in before the jobs report was released.
Adding another layer of complexity is the political environment surrounding the central bank. Fed Chair Jerome Powell revealed on Sunday that the Trump administration had threatened him with a criminal indictment, raising questions about the Fed's future independence.
With rate cut expectations fading, all eyes are now on Tuesday's Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which will be the next major test for markets. Ahead of the report, Bitcoin is trading at $90,561, having lost its earlier gains and is down 2.48% over the past week.
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