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Gold prices have surged to new highs this year, but frequent profit-taking has led to sharp sell-offs, and the market is becoming increasingly cautious. Can the uptrend continue?
Winkelmann
The U.S. economy grew faster than expected in the second quarter while inflation eased. The real gross domestic product (GDP) growth largely reflected increases in consumer spending, private inventory investment, and nonresidential fixed investment. Expectations of a September rate cut by the Fed were unaffected.
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Tokyo's core CPI increased by 2.2% in July from a year ago, accelerating for the third consecutive month. This supports expectations for a potential rate hike by the Bank of Japan.
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Germany's ifo Business Climate Index fell to 87.0 points in July, after 88.6 points in June. The companies were less satisfied with the current business situation. Skepticism regarding the coming months has increased considerably.
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If inflation continues to fall broadly in line with our expectations, there is a case for a further cut in the policy rate.
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The Bank of Canada lowered its policy rate by 25 basis points to 4.5% for the second consecutive month and indicated that further rate cuts may be considered if inflation continues to cool as expected.
BOC
U.S. stocks were hit hard on "Black Wednesday"; the Bank Of Canada cut rates by 25 basis points and expects inflation to slow further...
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According to the preliminary PMI data for the Eurozone, the overall economic recovery in the Eurozone shows little change, although the manufacturing sector has noticeably deteriorated, offsetting moderate growth in the services sector.
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France's July composite PMI preliminary reading reached a three-month high, with private sector output nearly stabilizing. A significant contraction in factory production partially offset a renewed expansion in service sector activities. Employment growth continued, but demand for French goods and services further declined.
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HCOB Flash Germany Manufacturing PMI hit a 3-month low in July. Germany's private sector economy slipped back into contraction, weighed down by a deeper decline in manufacturing production.
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The German consumer sentiment index rose more than expected heading into August, according to GfK. The rise is due primarily to consumers' income expectations increasing significantly, and economic expectations and the willingness to buy also recorded moderate increases. However, the willingness to save remained almost unchanged. Against this backdrop, current consumer sentiment has significantly recovered.
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The existing-home sales fell short of expectations in June. Although the housing supply rose, prices were rising and the median sales price surged 4.1% YoY to a record high of $426,900.
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Democratic nominee change proves effective; Markets may overestimate the likelihood of a rate cut by the Bank of Canada...
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