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Pelosi's visit to Taiwan has led to an escalation of tensions in the Taiwan Strait. Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Hua Chunying said that the U.S. side and the "Taiwan independence" separatist forces colluded to provoke China, which is the fundamental reason for the tensions in the Taiwan Strait.
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Focus on Pelosi's Taiwan Visit ! How will China-U.S. relations develop in the future, win-win cooperation or confrontation?
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Musk sighs when he talks about Bitcoin. Is Bitcoin's future in doubt? How does it perform on some indices? Is Bitcoin still worth buying?
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NFP Preview: Is the Jobs Market FINALLY Slowing?
Justin
Friday brings the final jobs report before the FOMC ’ s highly-anticipated December meeting, where the central bank will decide between a fifth consecutive 75bps rate hike and a slight slowdown to a 50bps rate hike.
A Scottish Independence Vote Has Been Held Off, But for How Long?
Heat Pumps Hyped up on Holiday Wish Lists in European Households
Commodities outlook 2023: Stormy seas ahead
2022 has been an extraordinary year for commodity markets. Supply risks led to increased volatility and elevated prices. However, demand concerns have taken the driving seat as we approach year-end. 2023 is set to be yet another year of uncertainty, with plenty of volatility.
Justin
The Once-Distressed Certificates of Deposit (CD)s Are now Sold Instantly
Powell is Not Here to Make Equity Investors Happy
RecommendedXAUUSDWTIUSDXEURUSDUSDJPYGBPUSDAUDUSD
TRADING USDJPY: November Will Be Closed By a Long Bear Candle, Confirming a Reversal after Peaking
As the US dollar continues to weaken, USDJPY highs have fallen significantly, which is likely to close lower with a rare giant bear candle in November. It indicates that the trend in the medium- and the long-term may have reversed. Therefore, shorting at highs is the best option at the moment.
TRADING XAUUSD: Powell's Speech Could Extend Hawkish Tone, Gold Bulls Having Concerns
The gold price is hovering in oscillation in the short term. It is suggested to wait for Powell's speech to point out a new direction, and the hawkish tone of the speech expected by the market may make the gold bulls have concerns.
TRADING EURUSD: Trade Within the Range as Positive Support Remains
Eurozone CPI eased to 10.0% in November from 10.6%, below expectations of 10.4%. CPI excluding energy, food, alcohol, and tobacco remained unchanged at 5.0% YoY. Core inflation in the eurozone is expected to be more volatile and will not decline rapidly in the near term.
TRADING GBPUSD: Go Long at the Lows as Limited Downward Space Is Validated
The GBPUSD regained momentum after falling from its recent multi-month high of 1.2153 due to the improvement of risk sentiment and testing of the 1.2000 level, and gained a firm foothold in 1.1950, with a daily gain of 0.50%, now reached 1.2013.
TRADING XAUUSD: Powell's Speech Could Extend Hawkish Tone, Gold Bulls Having Concerns
The gold price is hovering in oscillation in the short term. It is suggested to wait for Powell's speech to point out a new direction, and the hawkish tone of the speech expected by the market may make the gold bulls have concerns.
TRADING XAUUSD: It's Too Early for a Gold Rally, Caution for a Drop Below $1730
Gold will establish a "double bottom" structure in the middle term. Please pay attention to the support in 1680-1700.
LOSS -555 Points XAUUSD: Gold Oscillates to the Upside in the Short Term
There is still significant room for gold to rise overall. But Powell's speech can cause some volatility in this week's trend. The market expectations have clearly "jumped the gun," which is not what the Federal Reserve (Fed) would like to see. The Fed has dampened market expectations several times in the past. And from Powell's attitude at the November meeting and the recent speeches of many officials, Powell can dampen market expectations again this week, causing gold to pull back.
LOSS -896 Points XAUUSD: Gold Holds Below 1730, Will Start a New Downtrend
The minutes of the Fed's November meeting will be released during the day. From the previous attitude of the Fed officials suppressing market expectations, the minutes may not be as dovish as the market expected.
PROFIT +1281 Points WTI: Multiple Supports Still in Place, Oil Prices Continue Building Bottom
Focus on the conclusion of the OPEC meeting this Sunday (Dec. 4), which will provide additional support to oil prices if a decision is made to expand production cuts.
PROFIT +655 Points WTI: Production Increase Denied, Still to Long Oil at Lows
With the Saudi Arabian energy minister denying the information of production increase spread, the logic of the recent oil price streak to the downside may gradually withdraw, and it is still advisable to go long at lows in the oil market.
PENDING WTI: Market Oscillation Is Expanded Due to the Upcoming Significant Meeting
The market may be difficult to see a one-sided trend before the significant meeting and it will be in a wide range of oscillation. To buy lows and sell highs is recommended.
PROFIT +1503 Points WTI: Price Cap Undecided, Oil Prices May Maintain a Sideways Trend
The EU is aiming to cap the price of Russia's oil exports, which is set to take effect on Dec. 5th. However, the final details are still up in the air. And the market may extend sideways oscillation.
PROFIT +178 Points USDX: Trend of the Dollar Has Been Mixed
The Fed policies are dynamic, but the market is trading in favor of the tightening cycle coming to a close. Speeches by Powell and several officials this week may revise market expectations. While the big news of the economic data may generate new anticipations as well.
LOSS -1026 Points USDX: Meeting Minutes May Provide Upside Momentum for the Dollar Again
With the minutes of the Fed's November meeting to be released during the day, the market is expecting to hear any talk of a slowdown in rate hikes. However, since the November policy meeting and recent trading days, Fed officials have repeatedly suppressed market expectations, and even if they talk about slowing down interest rate hikes, the wording will probably be quite strict and will not give the market any room for speculation. In other words, the minutes of this meeting may disappoint the market, or even suppress market expectations again.
EXPIRED USDX: USD Is Under Multiple Pressures
Two labor market-related data may boost the market's expectations of slowing down interest rate hikes. Thus, the market could first take advantage of these two data to "enjoy" a bit in anticipation of Powell's hawkish speech. The USD may first fall and then rise under Powell's speech. As for the rise, it depends on the degree of Powell's hawkishness. If it is less hawkish than the market expectations, the USD may even decline.
EXPIRED USDX: "Recession" Trading Is Coming
he minutes may change the direction of the market, that is, the "recession trade" may come soon. After all, the risk of recession has previously remained only in the imagination and expectations of market traders. However, the November minutes were the first to include the word "recession" in the economic outlook, which is a significant rhetorical change.
PENDING EURUSD: Uptrend Remains Intact Despite Seeming Weakness of Bulls
Before this week's key data are released, the USD had entered a huge support zone. The market could face a big challenge this week as we emerge from the downturn in U.S. yields and begin to study how markets can begin to price the upcoming recession. In a pessimistic scenario, this could turn a bullish market of the USD into a bearish one.
TRADING EURUSD: Trade Within the Range as Positive Support Remains
Eurozone CPI eased to 10.0% in November from 10.6%, below expectations of 10.4%. CPI excluding energy, food, alcohol, and tobacco remained unchanged at 5.0% YoY. Core inflation in the eurozone is expected to be more volatile and will not decline rapidly in the near term.
PROFIT +657 Points EURUSD: Bullish Flag Formation Emerging, Euro May Continue to Rise
The Eurozone's November HICP will make it difficult for the market to link a fall in inflation to a slowdown in rate hikes. But this may also be good for the euro. Meanwhile, the two US labor market-related data and Powell's speech will bring about another collision of market expectations with that of the Fed.
PENDING EURUSD: Pessimistic Expectations Improved, EUR Could Be Boosted in the Medium Term
Although the industrial sentiment index is not improved, the eurozone economic sentiment, and consumer and service sector sentiment index were promoted in November. Marginally, the market's pessimistic expectations for the eurozone gradually improved, which may boost the EUR in the medium term.
TRADING USDJPY: November Will Be Closed By a Long Bear Candle, Confirming a Reversal after Peaking
As the US dollar continues to weaken, USDJPY highs have fallen significantly, which is likely to close lower with a rare giant bear candle in November. It indicates that the trend in the medium- and the long-term may have reversed. Therefore, shorting at highs is the best option at the moment.
TRADING USDJPY: To Buy Low as a Slower U.S. Rate Hike Has Been Fully Digested
As the FOMC November meeting minutes are dovish, the dollar weakened. The USDJPY fell from near 142 to around 138 and then gained support. Perhaps this support is strong in the short term.
PROFIT +2663 Points USDJPY: Current Path of Least Resistance Is to Go Short as Big Top May Have Passed
The recent weakness in the dollar has driven USDJPY to plunge at a high level. The trend may have reversed and you can go short after the rebound.
PROFIT +1207 Points USDJPY: Go Short at Any High in Face of the Bull-baiting Rebound and Downward Death Cross in 4H Timeframe
The USDJPY failed to sustain Monday's continuous rally and fell below 141.00 in the Europe session on Wednesday. It is now showing a moderate rebound. However, in the general selling trend around USD, the spot price is difficult to take advantage of this trend and encountered new supply pressure near 141.50.
PROFIT +454 Points GBPUSD: Follow the Fluctuating Trend for the Less Satisfying Retracement
The GBPUSD built on the positive trend of the previous day and gained some traction on Wednesday for the second day in a row. The GBPUSD, which held the buying tone until the New York session, is now near its weekly high, just below 1.2000.
TRADING GBPUSD: "Reignited" Dollar Selling Could Continue to Drive Pound to New Highs
During the Asian session, the GBPUSD attracts some buying on dips around the 1.2025 range and pushes the price up to a new daily high during the European session. The currency pair is currently trading around 1.2100, pretty close to the highest level hit last week (since Aug. 12).
TRADING GBPUSD: Go Long at the Lows as Limited Downward Space Is Validated
The GBPUSD regained momentum after falling from its recent multi-month high of 1.2153 due to the improvement of risk sentiment and testing of the 1.2000 level, and gained a firm foothold in 1.1950, with a daily gain of 0.50%, now reached 1.2013.
LOSS -1505 Points GBPUSD: Stagnating at Highs, Further Correction Is Possible
Given the slack that persists in the economy, bullish positions in the pound are limited. And the dollar still has the potential to go strong in the short term, putting further pressure on the pound.
PROFIT +776 Points AUDUSD: The Rally Momentum Has Failed Sharply, A Break below 0.6663 Is Expected to Strengthen Recent Bearish Structure
The AUDUSD has been higher for about a month since bottoming on October 14, much of which can be attributed to external events. The latest data releases gave the market reason to expect a stronger AUD, but recent actions by the Reserve Bank of Australia have provided an element of unease for a weaker AUD.
LOSS -1096 Points AUDUSD: Might Re-test 0.6540 as the Retracement Continues
Thanks to the weakness of the USD, the AUD has rebounded strongly in the near term. It turned upward in the middle term, but the rebound is suppressed in the short term, and there is the possibility of repeated adjustments.
EXPIRED AUDUSD: AUD Double Bottom Reversal, Beware of Retracement from Highs in Short Term
Thanks to the weak dollar, the Australian dollar has rallied strongly recently. However, as the Australian dollar is approaching a pressure area in the short term, there is a possibility of a retracement.
PROFIT +1031 Points AUDUSD: Go Long at the Lows as the Short-term Downward Structure Is Unsustainable
Investors are confused by mixed signals from the Federal Reserve and last week's U.S. employment report. The AUD widened its decline today. The AUDUSD traded at 0.6412, down 0.29%.
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