OPEC production data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) only includes crude oil production data.
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Russia-Ukraine Conflict
The war between Russia and Ukraine continues, and it is difficult for the two sides to reach an agreement in negotiations. Western countries have imposed several rounds of sanctions on Russia. The outlook is unpredictable.
The Fed
The Federal Reserve announced a 50 basis point interest rate hike at the May FOMC meeting, and started a gradual balance reduction plan from June 1. The initial reduction of the balance sheet was US$47.5 billion per month in treasury bonds and MBS, which increased to US$95 billion after three months.
China-U.S. Relations
How will China-U.S. relations develop in the future, win-win cooperation or confrontation?
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LUNC Madness As Bitcoin Roller Coaster Continues
Bitcoin burst below 20000, LUNC is difficult to support, what should investors do? Crypto company Celsius spirals toward bankruptcy, people are questioning if they can get their money back if Celsius go bankrupt？
Mining Sector Biggest Disaster Is Happening | LUNC Skyrocket Again!
Worried about falling profits and high fixed costs, investors have been dumping publicly traded bitcoin miners like Riot Blockchain and TeraWulf. And, Terra Luna Classic is pumping! How high will $Lunc go?
A Day Has Locked For LUNC PROPOSAL To Be Implemented! LUNC Price Skyrocket!
Luna classic price has been exploding and the LUNC breakout is now over 30% on the day while trading volumes have tripled! A new proposal aims to re-enable Staking/Delegations on Terra Classic will be taken place on August 22nd.
FTX Bailouts Voyager and BlockFi. Is Your Money Safe Now?
The Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF) FTX and Alameda Research rescue tour are well underway in the broader cryptocurrency space, with both BlockFi and Voyager taking $250 million and $200 million loans respectively from SBF company bailouts.
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El Salvador Leverages Bear Market, Buys 80 Bitcoin
Global Food Crisis Stalks the Starving as War, Covid Choke Supplies
Japan Enters Energy-Saving Period for First Time in Seven Years Amid Heat Wave
Japanese households and businesses on Friday entered a three-month period of conserving electricity to prevent a power crunch amid a record-breaking heat wave, marking the first time in seven years that the government has made such a request.
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Bitcoin (BTC) on-Chain Analysis: SSR Gives Buy Signal After New All-Time Low
'We Are in a Recession': Long-time Bull Cathie Wood Warns Investors about the 'Big Problem' in the Economy
Trade Deficit Hits Record High in H1
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Will the Bear Market End the Blockchain Funding Frenzy?
Rise in Real Yields a Key Driver in Risk Assets
The Fed began to outline their plan for moving short-term interest rates higher with hikes to the Fed Funds rate and for the cessation of long duration asset purchases and a "roll off" of bonds on their balance sheet.
Damon
RecommendedXAUUSDWTIUSDXEURUSDUSDJPYGBPUSDAUDUSD
TRADING Nikkei 225: Large Manufacturing Industries' Index Worsens for Second Consecutive Quarter with Japan's Economy in Trouble
Japan's confidence index of large manufacturing industries continued to decline in the second quarter, with the decline widening from the previous quarter. The Tankan index released once a quarter is an important indicator of economic sentiment in Japan. Among them, the confidence index of large man
TRADING XAUUSD: Short-Term Gold May Break Below Further as Inflation Peaking Expectation Is Rising
The U.S. PCE slowed down in May, and the rise of the market's expectation of peaking inflation has weakened the attractiveness of gold, gold price breaks below further in the short term.
TRADING USDCNH: Triple Pressure Remains, Economic Recovery Is Weak in the Second Half of the Year
The recent economic rally has been driven mainly by the natural recovery after the pandemic and the release of previously pent-up demand. The strength of the subsequent recovery is yet to be observed. With the current lack of momentum and greater uncertainty over the development of the pandemic, the
TRADING USDJPY: Continuous Bearish Divergence at Highs, Potential Double Tops Suppression Will Appear
Continuous USDJPY bearish divergence happens at highs in multiple timeframes. At present, a potential double tops pattern may appear near 137.0, making it bearish for the pair in the short term.
TRADING XAUUSD: Short-Term Gold May Break Below Further as Inflation Peaking Expectation Is Rising
The U.S. PCE slowed down in May, and the rise of the market's expectation of peaking inflation has weakened the attractiveness of gold, gold price breaks below further in the short term.
LOSS -519 Points XAUUSD: PCE May Push Gold to Rebound after Reaching the Bottom
US PCE data will be released during the day. If inflation rises further, the market will expect the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates aggressively (75 basis points), then the economic recession worries will reappear, and gold is expected to rise (whether gold is favored or not by a safe-haven
LOSS -519 Points XAUUSD: Gold is Nearing a Key Support and may Bottom Out in the Short-term
Attention should be paid to the discussions on monetary policy at the European Central Bank Forum by the central bankers of the United States (U.S.), the United Kingdom (U.K.), and Europe, which may trigger a new round of movements.
LOSS -1500 Points XAUUSD: Bears and Bulls Are Competing, Beware of the Counterattack from Bulls in the Short Term
The recent US economic data has been poor, and the market has been trading "recession" expectations. The gold price is still trapped in the range and fluctuates repeatedly in the short term.
PENDING WTI: Fundamentals Send Mixed Signals, Both Bulls and Bears Have Opportunities to Enter the Market
On 30 June, international oil prices were mixed. Despite the increase in US refined oil products inventory, the tight global supply and demand situation is expected to limit the decline of oil prices.
LOSS -2000 Points WTI: Shortages Remain the Biggest Weakness Facing the Energy Market
The WTI and Brent crude oil opened with a drop this week as the G7 will pledge indefinite support for Ukraine's defense and is considering imposing a cap on the price of Russian oil.
PROFIT +230 Points WTI: With the Release of Momentum of Bears Complete, Have the Bulls Begun to Dominate the Market?
The crude oil and other major commodities fell again as fears of a global economic slowdown increased. Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell warned of a possible recession in the US.
PROFIT +2523 Points WTI: To Short at Highs as the Price Will Retreat from Its All-Time Highs
In the WTI 1h chart, %K and %D form a death cross, and the fast and slow EMAs of the MACD both indicate a bearish market. It is the time to enter the market.
LOSS -330 Points USDX: Expectations of Recession Weaken the USD and Subsequent Trend Is Confusing
US consumer spending deteriorated significantly in June, sparking market fears of a recession. For now, no matter whether or not there will be a recession, the market has started to become uneasy. The market is torn among the expectations of inflation, interest rate hike, and recession, and the tren
PROFIT +115 Points USDX: Market Waiting for PCE, the USD Ushers in the Opportunity for a Market Reversal
The PCE data will be mixed with strong market sentiment. If the PCE shows that US inflation growth has risen or remains high, it will increase the market's expectations for the Fed to raise interest rates. It means that the data itself may be bearish for the USD, but the USD will appreciate instead
LOSS -300 Points USDX: Dollar Seesaws, Needing PCE Guidance
Since last Friday, the market has expected "the Fed won't have to be so aggressive in raising interest rates". This expectation may be negative for the dollar in the early stage because it means that the Fed won't have to be so aggressive in raising interest rates, which is contrary to the current m
EXPIRED USDX: USD Fluctuates as Market Expected to Be "Reshuffled"
The market reassesses the prospect of an aggressive Fed rate hike, which limits the USD's gains.
PENDING EURUSD: The Closer the Price Gets to the Bottom of the Range, the More Cautious the Bears Should Be
Driven once again by soaring food and energy prices, the preliminary annual CPI in the Eurozone registered 8.6% in June, higher than the 8.1% recorded in May. The data reflects growing pressures on households and businesses in the 19 eurozone member states and reinforces calls for a significant inte
EXPIRED EURUSD: Suppressed by Inflation, EUR Is Not Optimistic in the Short Term
It is expected that the HICP will be bearish for the EUR. In addition, Lagarde said at the European Central Bank's (ECB) annual monetary policy forum on Wednesday that the era of low inflation before the pandemic is gone, and the ECB has been underestimating price increases. If this HICP confirms th
PROFIT +381 Points EURUSD: With the End of the Monthly Chart, Will the Further Descending Trend Start?
Officials of the major central banks indicated at the European Central Bank (ECB) meeting in Portugal that higher interest rates were necessary to curb soaring inflation. The EURUSD fell sharply as major central banks warned that the loose money era was coming to an end.
EXPIRED EURUSD: Euro Under Pressure Sets a New Two-Week Low, PCE Will Make It "Compounded"
The U.S. PCE data will be released within the day, which could change the market's expectations for the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike in the short term, thus enabling the dollar to open a new round of trend. As the current trend of EUR / USD is based on the dollar, the trend of the Euro will
TRADING USDJPY: Continuous Bearish Divergence at Highs, Potential Double Tops Suppression Will Appear
Continuous USDJPY bearish divergence happens at highs in multiple timeframes. At present, a potential double tops pattern may appear near 137.0, making it bearish for the pair in the short term.
TRADING USDJPY: With Strong Rising Momentum, Recommend to Long after Pullback
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) has shown no sign of a shift in policy. Without direct foreign exchange intervention, the JPY will struggle to change its weakness.
TRADING USDJPY: Bulls Re-Dominate the Market, Targetting the Psychological Level
The USDJPY appears to have found solid support after a slight pullback from a multi-year high of 136.70 to the 134.26 level. It then accelerated its rally, and it is confirmed that the bulls have re-dominated the market.
PROFIT +524 Points USDJPY: Try to Short during the Short-term Stagflation at Highs
USDJPY is stagnating at highs after the second upward surge to 135, and the indicator RSI shows ineffectiveness at the highs. The pair may face a new directional choice this week.
PROFIT +426 Points GBPUSD: Surge in Risk of Position Adjustments at the End of the Month Could Boost USD Buying, thus Devaluing Non-US Currencies
Following Tuesday's fall of 0.64%, the GBPUSD continued to drop by 0.50% in the European session on Wednesday. The consecutive sessions of declines initiated the initial signals after a number of directionless sessions. Over the past week, GBPUSD has traded sideways in the 1.2150 - 1.2356 range and
PROFIT +1080 Points GBPUSD: GBP Remains Bearish Due to Inflation and Recession Concerns
Inflation and recession have increased policy pressure on the Bank of England (BoE). GBPUSD remains under pressure below 1.2400 in the short term.
PROFIT +748 Points GBPUSD: Focus on Rally in the Short Term, and Be Neutral in the Medium Term
The GBPUSD extended its descending trend and fell below the 1.2200 level on Friday, erasing much of the rally sparked by the Bank of England's (BoE) interest rate resolution. After two days of sharp losses, the US dollar (USD) continued to strengthen before the weekend, forcing the pair into a disad
EXPIRED GBPUSD: Strong Short-Term Short-Covering Momentum Can't Hide the Downtrend
The Bank of England raised interest rates by 25 basis points to 1.25%, a new high since January 2009, which is in line with market expectations. The interest rates had been raised five times in a row since December last year.
PENDING AUDUSD: Commodities in a General Price Drop, Commodity Currency AUD Remains under Pressure
Market fears of recession have intensified, and risk aversion has supported the dollar rally. Meanwhile, the price of commodities including crude oil has generally lowered, making the commodity currency AUD weaker.
LOSS -500 Points AUDUSD: Remain Bearish in the Long Term, Short at Highs and Long at Lows in the Short Term
The AUDUSD has completely reversed its mid-June bullish trend and continues to trade in the broad descending trend slightly higher than the support level at 0.6850.
PROFIT +331 Points AUDUSD: Risk Exposure of Bulls Has Increased, Target Is the Ceiling of the Range
Australian retail sales in May rose by 0.9% month-on-month, higher than market expectations of a 0.4% increase. This is the fifth consecutive month of growth. Next Tuesday, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will meet again, and it is widely expected to raise interest rates. The main question now i
PENDING AUDUSD: Weak Retail Sales Report Could Lower the AUD
Australia will release its retail sales data for May on Wednesday. Retail sales are the main indicator of consumer expenditure. Following a 0.9% increase in April, the market has prepared for the weak data with expectations of 0.3%.
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Calculates the probabilities of certain assets prices going up/down driven by key economic data releases
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Report Introduction
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Central Bank Data
WM/Reuters Benchmark Rates
NAMES LATEST
Monetary Policy
Policy Rates
NAMES LATEST
Major Economic Indicators
NAMES PERIOD LATEST PREV
Gold - Fundamental Drivers
Top 5 Gold- production Areas
RANKINGS COUNTRIES/REGIONS Production (t oz)
Global Gold Production Summaries
Crude Oil - Fundamental Drivers
Top 5 OPEC Member Countries
RANKINGSCOUNTRIES/REGIONSMMB/D PERCENTAGE OF OPEC PRODUCTION
U.S. Rig Count (Source: Baker Hughes) and Crude Oil Prices
