Central Bank

The Reserve Bank of Australia will hold its cash rate at 3.60% on Tuesday and keep it there through 2026, according to a Reuters poll, a shift from last month when a majority of economists expected at least one rate cut next year.

The Bank of Japan is likely to raise interest rates in December with the government expected to tolerate such a decision, three government sources familiar with the deliberations said.

CME's FedWatch tool now shows an 89% chance that the U.S. central bank will cut rates next week, while major brokerages also forecast an interest rate cut at the December 9-10 policy meeting.

Poland's central bank is likely to deliver its sixth interest-rate cut this year after inflation slowed more than expected, slipping below policymakers' target.

Recent data pointing to a gradual cooling of the U.S. economy, coupled with dovish signals from Fed policymakers, has bolstered market expectations for a 25-basis-point rate cut at the U.S. central bank's meeting next week.

President Donald Trump said he plans to announce his selection to lead the Federal Reserve in early 2026, fueling further speculation about the next leader of the US central bank.

In a major shift in U.S monetary policy, the federal reserve has officially ended its three year quantitative tightening (QT) program, marking one of the most significant pivots since the post pandemic economic recovery. The move signals a transition from balance sheet reduction to liquidity stabilization as the central bank seeks to maintain healthy banking system and guide inflation back towards target levels.

The Fed is increasingly divided over the “neutral” interest rate as officials debate how far to cut amid mixed economic risks. Diverging r-star estimates complicate policy, leaving data—not theory—to guide decisions.

The Bank of England warned that a multi-trillion dollar spending boom in artificial intelligence infrastructure financed by debt risks unraveling given "materially stretched" stock market valuations.