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NET CHG.

%CHG.

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SPX

S&P 500 Index

6832.50

6878.28

6827.18

-37.90

-0.55%

DJI

Dow Jones Industrial Average

47658.08

47971.51

47611.93

-296.90

-0.62%

IXIC

NASDAQ Composite Index

23472.27

23698.93

23455.05

-105.85

-0.45%

USDX

US Dollar Index

99.010

99.090

99.010

99.160

98.730

+0.060

+ 0.06%

EURUSD

Euro / US Dollar

1.16383

1.16391

1.16383

1.16717

1.16162

-0.00043

-0.04%

GBPUSD

Pound Sterling / US Dollar

1.33246

1.33256

1.33246

1.33462

1.33053

-0.00066

-0.05%

XAUUSD

Gold / US Dollar

4185.60

4186.03

4185.60

4218.85

4175.92

-12.31

-0.29%

WTI

Light Sweet Crude Oil

58.549

58.579

58.549

60.084

58.495

-1.260

-2.11%

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Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Middle East Flashpoint

Views from Institutions

Central Bank Meetings Under The Christmas Tree This Week

In the euro area, focus turns to the Sentix investor confidence indicator for December and the German industrial production data for October. The Sentix indicator will give us the first signal of investor confidence in December while German industrial production is the first 'hard data' for Q4.

Danske Bank

The Cut Is Certain – The Outlook Isn’t

Last week was full of uncertainties and mixed signals, but US indices ultimately ended in the green after the PCE report — the Fed's preferred inflation gauge — confirmed that inflation remains elevated, near 3%, well above the 2% target, but broadly stable.

Swissquote

French Industrial Rebound Loses Steam

Manufacturing output in France edged down slightly in October, falling by 0.1% after a strong 0.9% increase in September. Across the broader industrial sector, production rose by 0.2% on the month, following a 0.7% gain in September.

ING

Gold Price Analysis: Market Awaits Key Updates

The ADX indicator on the 4-hour XAU/USD chart has dropped to a multi-month low, signalling the absence of a clear trend.

FXOpen

USD Rebounds: Technical Overview For EUR/USD, USD/CAD And USD/CHF

Despite a rough monthly open, the US Dollar is currently trading within a key technical range, a factor that holds FX Markets firmly in balance despite some individual breakouts seen in pairs like NZD/USD or GBP/USD.

MarketPulse by OANDA Group

Cliff Notes: The State Of The Nnation

In Australia, Q3 GDP fell short of expectations, rising just 0.4% (2.1%yr). However, much of the disappointment was tied to a run-down of inventories, masking a much stronger showing for domestic demand, up 1.2% (2.6%yr).

Westpac

Slow Growth And Political Alarms: 3 Calls for The UK Economy

Politics is the biggest risk for UK markets in 2026

ING

US Employment Drops In November, Fed Rate Cut Expectations Rise

In the US, the Challenger report of November layoff and hiring announcements is due for release in the afternoon. While not usually a tier-1 market mover, it is one of the few timely data points on labour markets that will be available for the Fed before next week's meeting due to the delays caused by the government shutdown.

Danske Bank

US Passed, Japan Scored

The US economy lost 32'000 jobs in November. And no, it's not AI's fault. Small companies with fewer than 50 employees shed 120'000 jobs last month, according to the latest ADP report.

Swissquote

General Market Analysis – 4/12/25

US stocks pushed higher in the latest session, extending their recent momentum as weaker-than-expected US jobs data strengthened expectations for an imminent Federal Reserve rate cut.

IC Markets

First Impressions: Australian National Accounts, September Quarter 2025

The September quarter National Accounts show growth slowed to 0.4%qtr – this was softer than both the 0.8%qtr expected by Westpac Economics and the 0.7%qtr expected by the market.

Westpac

Nasdaq Surges As Big Tech Recovers — Is A New All-Time High Coming?

Nasdaq jumps as Big Tech rebounds and risk-on sentiment returns. Learn whether the index can break 25,900 and push toward a new all-time high.

ACY

S&P 500 Index: Early December Chart Analysis

Will the index rise in 2025? Much depends on the Federal Reserve meeting on 10 December, as well as other factors, including geopolitical developments. Interest is also piqued by an upcoming statement from Trump at the White House (today, 22:00 GMT+3), though the topic remains undisclosed.

FxPro

Dollar Downside Risks Persist

The dollar came under pressure yesterday during European hours but recovered during New York's session, potentially thanks to some safe haven flows abandoning high-beta currencies.

ING

US Dollar Is Lost In Translation – Dollar Index (DXY) Outlook

Catalysts for movements in the US Dollar have been confusing all types of Market Participants.

MarketPulse by OANDA Group

Oil Climbs Over $1 A Barrel On OPEC Action, Ukraine Attack

Brent, WTI rise over 1%.CPC halts exports after a major drone attack.OPEC+ agreed to leave oil output levels unchanged for the first quarter of 2026.

Solid GDP Growth in Poland in 3Q25 Amid Rising Investment

The StatOffice revised third-quarter GDP growth to 3.8% YoY from the previously reported 3.7% and released details on its composition. Seasonally adjusted data points to 0.9% quarter-on-quarter expansion vs. 0.8%QoQ in the previous quarter, indicating that buoyant growth momentum observed in recent quarters has been maintained.

ING

Last Chance For The Hawks

This week will offer the last real chance to put a December cut from the Federal Reserve into question.

ING

The Day Ueda Ruined The Mood

Last month ended on a positive note – with a solid reversal of the early-November losses on one single bet: that the Federal Reserve (Fed) would cut interest rates in December.

Swissquote

Gold Outlook: Bulls Rally On Rate Cut Bets, Dip Buying Back In Favor

Over the past week, precious metals broadly advanced, with gold bulls standing out.

Pepperstone

Oil Supply Risks Grow Amid Escalating Geopolitical Tensions

Oil prices are trading firmer this morning, with Brent up more than 1.1% at the time of writing, following additional attacks on Russian energy infrastructure over the weekend.

ING

Italian GDP Sees Slight Improvement As Net Exports Bolster Growth

Preliminary GDP data had indicated that the Italian economy was still in a phase of stagnation in the third quarter. The second estimate, released today by Istat, revises the figure slightly upward, showing quarterly growth of 0.1%.

ING

Asian Markets Mixed As Rate-Cut Optimism Eases And Global Rally Loses Steam

Asian stock markets were mixed on Friday, taking in slightly positive signals from Europe and no guidance from Wall Street due to the Thanksgiving holiday.

IC Markets

German Labour Market Improves In November

German unemployment dropped by 25,700, bringing the unemployment figure to 2.885 million, a surprisingly positive outcome.

ING

Waiting For A Peace Deal Breakthrough

Dollar crosses have traded in tight ranges as the Thanksgiving holiday dried up flows. Volatility shouldn't pick up materially today, even though the dollar remains vulnerable to a convergence lower towards short-term swap rates.

ING

NZD/USD Posts Major Reversal Higher After RBNZ Cut

While US Markets are away for the Thanksgiving holiday, leaving the broader session fairly calm, the FX markets remain open and active, with all eyes turning to the Kiwi Dollar (NZD), posting yet another strong session.

MarketPulse by OANDA Group

Is The Silver Price Preparing to Challenge Its Record High?

The United States is celebrating Thanksgiving, meaning trading activity across financial markets will be lower than usual today (and to some extent tomorrow). Yesterday, we noted a decline in volatility in the gold market.

FXOpen

EUR/USD Rebounds Cautiously, USD/CHF Coils for Next Move

EUR/USD is attempting a recovery wave from the 1.1500 zone. USD/CHF climbed higher above 0.8050 and might correct some gains.

FXOpen

AI Season Two: Clash Of The Giants

There is some decent drama unfolding among the Big Tech bros this week — and Google and Nvidia are right in the middle of it.

Swissquote

EUR/USD Rebounds Cautiously, USD/CHF Coils For Next Move

EUR/USD is attempting a recovery wave from the 1.1500 zone. USD/CHF climbed higher above 0.8050 and might correct some gains.

FXOpen

Peace Plan Hopes Continue To Weigh On Energy Markets

The oil market came under further pressure as hopes for a peace deal between Russia and Ukraine continued to grow.

ING

Silver (XAG/USD) Price Outlook: Failed Breakout And Double-Top Hints At Rangebound Action

Silver (XAG/USD) has stalled its gigantic rally higher as a more hawkish Fed pricing and lower economic projections have effectively brought a top to the precious industrial metal.

MarketPulse by OANDA Group

IC Markets Global – Europe Fundamental Forecast | 25 November 2025

During today's Asia session, financial markets were primarily influenced by optimism over a possible US Federal Reserve rate cut in December, which boosted Asian equities and impacted core instruments such as technology stocks, US Treasury yields, and regional forex pairs.

IC Markets

The Dollar Is Due A Correction

Geopolitical news should remain central today. The US has softened its stance on Thursday's deadline for Ukraine to accept the peace deal with Russia, and a new 19-point deal is set to be discussed in the coming days.

ING

Crypto Bloodbath Stalls: Is A Bottom In?

The relentless crypto bloodbath appears to have finally stalled, and signs suggest the market may have already posted a definitive bottom.

MarketPulse by OANDA Group

Risk-on Trade Pushes Oil Higher

The oil market received a boost from a broader risk-on move, with equities rallying and the market pricing in a higher probability of the US Federal Reserve cutting interest rates on 10 December.

ING

Tensions Mount As The US Seeks To End War In Ukraine

Today in Germany, we receive the Ifo indicator for November. The PMI released on Friday surprised on the downside, although this mainly seems like an "adjustment" from very high numbers in the past months.

Danske Bank

AI Boom Or Bubble? Here’s An 8-point Checklist To Separate Strength From Hype

In our view, AI remains one of the most powerful forces reshaping markets, but the tone is changing.

SAXO

Oil Weaker On Ukraine Peace Talks

Oil prices ended last week on a weak footing, with ICE Brent down more than 2.8%. This downward pressure continued in early morning today, with Brent trading at its lowest level in over a month.

ING

French Business Sentiment Lifted By Services

The French business climate indicator rose to 98 from 97 in October, according to Insee. The improvement is largely due to services, where confidence gained 3 points on more favourable expectations for demand and activity.

ING

Eurozone Remains On Track For Solid Growth In 4Q

The eurozone remains on a decent growth path right now. While manufacturing output growth waned somewhat in November, service sector activity maintained a strong growth pace, according to the survey as the services PMI came in at 53.1, slightly higher than in October.

ING

Bank Of Korea Rate Decision And Key Data From China, Taiwan, Japan, India

South Korea: BOK to stand pat, while industrial production continues growing The Bank of Korea will likely keep the policy rate

ING

Gold Price Forecast: Bullion Settles At $4077 On Mixed NFP Data, Fed Increasingly Hawkish

At the time of writing, gold trades at $4077 per troy ounce, having erased gains made prior to the months-delayed September US Nonfarm Payrolls release.

MarketPulse by OANDA Group

USD Rises: Fed Minutes Boost Demand for The Dollar, Focus Shifts to Labour-Market Reports

The dollar strengthened across the board following the publication of the minutes from the latest Federal Reserve meeting. The document confirmed the regulator's readiness to cut rates further, but without clear timing and with an emphasis on future decisions depending on incoming data.

FXOpen

Nikkei 225: Bulls Back In Vogue With 4% “Takaichi Trade” Rally

Nikkei 225 remains supported by macro tailwinds, including aggressive fiscal stimulus under PM Takaichi and a renewed steepening in Japan's government bond yield curves, both historically correlated with upside in the index.

MarketPulse by OANDA Group

Renewed Peace Talks Weigh On Oil Prices

Oil prices came under pressure yesterday, with ICE Brent settling about 2.1% lower. Some of the downward pressure is derived from reports that the US and Russia are working on a new peace plan for Ukraine.

ING

Next Fed Chair: Key Candidates And What Powell’s Successor Means for Markets

Numerous reports, as well as the White House themselves, have confirmed that the 'long-list' of as many as thirteen names has now been whittled down to a 'final five', comprising current Fed Governors Waller and Bowman, former Governor Warsh, BlackRock Global FI CIO Rieder, and NEC Director Hassett.

Pepperstone

Gold (XAU/USD) Price Technical Outlook: $4000/oz Holds Firm As FOMC Minutes And Labor Data Releases Lie Ahead

Gold prices have had a topsy turvy start to the week but the $4000/oz handle has held firm.

MarketPulse by OANDA Group

Diesel Market Strength Persists As Tightness Concerns Linger

ICE Brent settled a little more than 1% higher yesterday, with the market moving closer to the $65/bbl level. Market participants appear more concerned about supply risks than the odds of a surplus going forward.

ING

Gold Outlook: Rate-Cut Expectations Hit, Eyes on Nonfarm Payrolls

Over the past week, gold prices followed a classic rally-then-retreat pattern. Bulls and bears were both active: on one hand...

Pepperstone

IC Markets – Europe Fundamental Forecast | 17 November 2025

The Asia session on November 17 saw mixed activity in regional equity indexes, commodity prices, and currency pairs driven by Japan's weaker GDP, sectoral pressures, and cautious investor sentiment ahead of major U.S., European, and regional data releases.

IC Markets

Tug Of War Between Oil Supply Risks And Market Surplus

ICE Brent settled almost 1.2% higher last week after a Friday rally following a Ukrainian attack on the Russian port of Novorossiysk.

ING

German Government Announces Relief For Industry

It has taken a long time, but Berlin has finally recognised that the German economy is facing not just a cyclical downturn, but a structural period of weakness.

ING

The Commodities Feed: US Crude Oil Stocks Jump

Oil prices moved higher yesterday, settling just shy of 0.5% higher, despite a bearish weekly Energy Information Administration (EIA) inventory report. Also, a monthly International Energy Agency (IEA) release again highlighted expectations for a sizable oil surplus in 2026.

ING

Ethereum Drops Another 3% Below $3,500 – Time For Panic Or Opportunity?

Risk assets have been yo-yoing since mid-October, with fundamentals turning increasingly obscure amid the absence of US data, leaving investors hesitant to take on new risk.

MarketPulse by OANDA Group

Poland's Growth Outstrips EU And CEE Peers

According to the flash estimate, Poland's GDP increased by 3.7%YoY in 3Q25, after a 3.3%YoY growth in 2Q25, beating other CEE countries (Czechia: 2.7%, Hungary: 0.6%) and the EU as a whole (1.5%).

ING

Fed Split Deepens As Collins Says She Would Hesitate To Support Another Cut

Boston Federal Reserve President Susan Collins, who voted for both of the Fed's policy-rate reductions this year, said on Wednesday she sees a "relatively high bar" for additional easing in the near term, citing worries about elevated inflation.

Census Bureau

WTI Oil Up 1.7% As Markets Grapple With Geopolitical Shocks And Structural Supply Glut

Oil prices went up by 1.7% on Tuesday as markets grappled with the latest US sanctions on Russian Oil against optimism that the US Government shutdown could end soon.

MarketPulse by OANDA Group

September 2025 UK Jobs Report: Ugly Data As Material Weakness Continues

Headline unemployment rose to 5.0% in the three months to September, the highest level since February 2021.

Pepperstone

Nasdaq 100 Rebounds As Traders Anticipate End of The US Shutdown

As the chart shows, the Nasdaq 100 index (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) has started the week on a positive note amid growing expectations that the longest government shutdown in US history may soon come to an end.

FxPro

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Central Bank Meetings Under The Christmas Tree This Week

The Cut Is Certain – The Outlook Isn’t

French Industrial Rebound Loses Steam

Gold Price Analysis: Market Awaits Key Updates

USD Rebounds: Technical Overview For EUR/USD, USD/CAD And USD/CHF

Cliff Notes: The State Of The Nnation

Slow Growth And Political Alarms: 3 Calls for The UK Economy

US Employment Drops In November, Fed Rate Cut Expectations Rise

US Passed, Japan Scored

General Market Analysis – 4/12/25

First Impressions: Australian National Accounts, September Quarter 2025

Nasdaq Surges As Big Tech Recovers — Is A New All-Time High Coming?

S&P 500 Index: Early December Chart Analysis

Dollar Downside Risks Persist

US Dollar Is Lost In Translation – Dollar Index (DXY) Outlook

Oil Climbs Over $1 A Barrel On OPEC Action, Ukraine Attack

Solid GDP Growth in Poland in 3Q25 Amid Rising Investment

Last Chance For The Hawks

The Day Ueda Ruined The Mood

Gold Outlook: Bulls Rally On Rate Cut Bets, Dip Buying Back In Favor

Oil Supply Risks Grow Amid Escalating Geopolitical Tensions

Italian GDP Sees Slight Improvement As Net Exports Bolster Growth

Asian Markets Mixed As Rate-Cut Optimism Eases And Global Rally Loses Steam

German Labour Market Improves In November

Waiting For A Peace Deal Breakthrough

NZD/USD Posts Major Reversal Higher After RBNZ Cut

Is The Silver Price Preparing to Challenge Its Record High?

EUR/USD Rebounds Cautiously, USD/CHF Coils for Next Move

AI Season Two: Clash Of The Giants

EUR/USD Rebounds Cautiously, USD/CHF Coils For Next Move

Peace Plan Hopes Continue To Weigh On Energy Markets

Silver (XAG/USD) Price Outlook: Failed Breakout And Double-Top Hints At Rangebound Action

IC Markets Global – Europe Fundamental Forecast | 25 November 2025

The Dollar Is Due A Correction

Crypto Bloodbath Stalls: Is A Bottom In?

Risk-on Trade Pushes Oil Higher

Tensions Mount As The US Seeks To End War In Ukraine

AI Boom Or Bubble? Here’s An 8-point Checklist To Separate Strength From Hype

Oil Weaker On Ukraine Peace Talks

French Business Sentiment Lifted By Services

Eurozone Remains On Track For Solid Growth In 4Q

Bank Of Korea Rate Decision And Key Data From China, Taiwan, Japan, India

Gold Price Forecast: Bullion Settles At $4077 On Mixed NFP Data, Fed Increasingly Hawkish

USD Rises: Fed Minutes Boost Demand for The Dollar, Focus Shifts to Labour-Market Reports

Nikkei 225: Bulls Back In Vogue With 4% “Takaichi Trade” Rally

Renewed Peace Talks Weigh On Oil Prices

Next Fed Chair: Key Candidates And What Powell’s Successor Means for Markets

Gold (XAU/USD) Price Technical Outlook: $4000/oz Holds Firm As FOMC Minutes And Labor Data Releases Lie Ahead

Diesel Market Strength Persists As Tightness Concerns Linger

Gold Outlook: Rate-Cut Expectations Hit, Eyes on Nonfarm Payrolls

IC Markets – Europe Fundamental Forecast | 17 November 2025

Tug Of War Between Oil Supply Risks And Market Surplus

German Government Announces Relief For Industry

The Commodities Feed: US Crude Oil Stocks Jump

Ethereum Drops Another 3% Below $3,500 – Time For Panic Or Opportunity?

Poland's Growth Outstrips EU And CEE Peers

Fed Split Deepens As Collins Says She Would Hesitate To Support Another Cut

WTI Oil Up 1.7% As Markets Grapple With Geopolitical Shocks And Structural Supply Glut

September 2025 UK Jobs Report: Ugly Data As Material Weakness Continues

Nasdaq 100 Rebounds As Traders Anticipate End of The US Shutdown

Risk Disclosure