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SYMBOL
LAST
BID
ASK
HIGH
LOW
NET CHG.
%CHG.
SPREAD
SPX
S&P 500 Index
6870.39
6870.39
6870.39
6895.79
6858.28
+13.27
+ 0.19%
--
DJI
Dow Jones Industrial Average
47954.98
47954.98
47954.98
48133.54
47871.51
+104.05
+ 0.22%
--
IXIC
NASDAQ Composite Index
23578.12
23578.12
23578.12
23680.03
23506.00
+72.99
+ 0.31%
--
USDX
US Dollar Index
98.880
98.960
98.880
98.960
98.730
-0.070
-0.07%
--
EURUSD
Euro / US Dollar
1.16542
1.16549
1.16542
1.16717
1.16341
+0.00116
+ 0.10%
--
GBPUSD
Pound Sterling / US Dollar
1.33247
1.33256
1.33247
1.33462
1.33136
-0.00065
-0.05%
--
XAUUSD
Gold / US Dollar
4209.12
4209.55
4209.12
4218.85
4190.61
+11.21
+ 0.27%
--
WTI
Light Sweet Crude Oil
59.153
59.183
59.153
60.084
58.980
-0.656
-1.10%
--

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German Foreign Minister Wadephul: Will Meet Chinese Counterpart Again On Sidelines Of Munich Security Conference

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German Foreign Minister Wadephul: EU Tariffs Would Be Measure Of Last Resort

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German Foreign Minister Wadephul: Chinese Partners Say They Want To Give Priority To Resolving Bottlenecks In Germany, Europe

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Agrural - Brazil's 2025/26 Total Corn Output Seen At 135.3 Million Tonnes Versus 141.1 Million Tonnes In Previous Season

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Agrural - Brazil's 2025/26 Soybean Planting Hits 94% Of Expected Area As Of Last Thursday

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SEBI: Modalities For Migration To Ai Only Schemes And Relaxations To Large Value Funds For Accredited Investors

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Fitch: We See Moderation Of Export Performance In China In 2026

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India Government: Revokes Grid Access Permissions For Renewable Energy Projects

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          Technical Outlook and Review

          IC Markets

          Commodity

          Stocks

          Forex

          Cryptocurrency

          DXY
          The DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) chart currently has a bearish overall momentum, and there's potential for a bearish continuation towards the 1st support level.
          The 1st support at 103.72 is categorized as a pullback support, suggesting that it could be a significant level where buying interest may emerge, potentially providing support for the DXY.
          Further down, there is a 2nd support at 103.02, also identified as an overlap support. This reinforces the significance of this support level, suggesting it as a potential area where buyers might become active.
          On the resistance side, the 1st resistance at 104.15 is noted as an overlap resistance. This implies that it's a substantial barrier where selling interest could intensify, potentially triggering a bearish continuation.
          The 2nd resistance at 104.81 is identified as a pullback resistance, further reinforcing the potential resistance factors for the DXY.
          Technical Outlook and Review_1EUR/USD
          The EUR/USD chart currently has a bearish overall momentum, and there's potential for a bearish reaction off the 1st resistance level.
          On the support side, the 1st support at 1.0759 is identified as a pullback support, indicating that it could be a significant level where buying interest may emerge, potentially providing support for the EUR/USD pair.
          Further down, there is a 2nd support at 1.0712, also noted as a pullback support. This reinforces the significance of this support level, suggesting it as a potential area where buyers might become active.
          On the resistance side, the 1st resistance at 1.0880 is categorized as a pullback resistance. This implies that it's a substantial barrier where selling interest could intensify, potentially triggering a bearish reaction.
          The 2nd resistance at 1.0878 is identified as an overlap resistance, further reinforcing the potential resistance factors for the EUR/USD.
          Technical Outlook and Review_2EUR/JPY
          The EUR/JPY chart currently has bullish overall momentum, indicating a prevailing upward trend.
          1st Support at 158.61: This support level is at 158.61 and is considered strong because it's based on a swing low support. Swing lows are significant points where the price has previously found buying interest and reversed its downward movement.
          2nd Support at 157.93:The second support level is at 157.93 and is also based on a swing low support. This suggests that there is confluence in support around this area, making it a potentially robust support level.
          1st Resistance at 160.36:The first resistance level at 160.36 is considered strong as it's based on pullback resistance. A pullback resistance level is where the price has previously encountered selling pressure after a retracement from a previous move.
          2nd Resistance at 161.52:The second resistance level is at 161.52 and is based on an overlap resistance. An overlap resistance occurs when multiple price movements have historically converged around a specific level, creating resistance.
          Technical Outlook and Review_3EUR/GBP
          The EUR/GBP chart currently has a bearish overall momentum, indicating a prevailing downward trend.
          1st Support at 0.8558: This support level is at 0.8558 and is considered strong because it's based on multi-swing low support. Multi-swing lows represent price levels where the currency pair has previously found support and reversed its downward movement.
          2nd Support at 0.8530: The second support level is at 0.8530 and is based on a swing low support. This level also represents a point where the price has historically found support.Swing lows are important because they indicate potential areas where buyers might step in.
          1st Resistance at 0.8585: The first resistance level at 0.8585 is considered strong as it's based on pullback resistance. Pullback resistance levels are where the price has previously encountered selling pressure after a retracement from a previous decline.
          2nd Resistance at 0.8621: The second resistance level is at 0.8621 and is based on an overlap resistance. An overlap resistance occurs when multiple price movements have historically converged around a specific level, creating resistance.
          Technical Outlook and Review_4GBP/USD
          The GBP/USD chart currently has a bullish overall momentum, and there's potential for a bullish bounce off the 1st support level.
          On the support side, the 1st support at 1.2585 is identified as an overlap support, indicating that it could be a significant level where buying interest may emerge, potentially providing support for the GBP/USD pair.
          Further down, there is a 2nd support at 1.2500, noted as a pullback support. This reinforces the significance of this support level, suggesting it as another potential area where buyers might become active.
          On the resistance side, the 1st resistance at 1.2667 is categorized as a pullback resistance. This implies that it's a substantial barrier where selling interest could intensify, potentially triggering a bearish reaction.
          The 2nd resistance at 1.2727 is identified as an overlap resistance, further reinforcing the potential resistance factors for the GBP/USD.
          Technical Outlook and Review_5GBP/JPY
          The overall momentum of GBP/JPY is weak bearish with low confidence. This suggests that there is a modest inclination towards bearishness in the market, but it's not very strong or certain.
          1st Support at 184.93: This support level is at 184.93 and is considered good because it's based on a swing low support. A swing low is a point where the price has previously found buying interest and reversed its downward movement.
          2nd Support at 184.64: The second support level is at 184.64 and is also considered good because it's based on multi-swing low support. This means that there have been multiple instances in the past where the price has bounced or found support around this level.
          1st Resistance at 185.98: The first resistance level is at 185.98, and it's considered good because it's based on pullback resistance. A pullback resistance level is where the price has previously encountered selling pressure after a pullback from a previous move. Furthermore, this level aligns with the 61.80% Fibonacci Retracement, which adds significance to it.
          2nd Resistance at 186.64: The second resistance level is at 186.64 and is based on pullback resistance as well. This level has acted as a barrier to price advancement in the past.
          Technical Outlook and Review_6USD/CHF
          The USD/CHF chart currently has a bearish overall momentum, and there's potential for a bearish reaction off the 1st resistance level.
          On the support side, the 1st support at 0.8665 is categorized as a multi-swing low support. This indicates that it could be a significant level where buying interest may emerge, potentially providing support for the USD/CHF pair.
          On the resistance side, the 1st resistance at 0.8762 is identified as an overlap resistance. This implies that it's a substantial barrier where selling interest could intensify, potentially triggering a bearish reaction.
          Further up, there is a 2nd resistance at 0.8861, also noted as an overlap resistance, further reinforcing the potential resistance factors for the USD/CHF.
          Technical Outlook and Review_7USD/JPY
          The USD/JPY chart currently exhibits a bearish overall momentum, and there's potential for a bearish reaction off the 1st resistance level.
          On the support side, the 1st support at 146.19 is categorized as a swing low support, indicating it's a level where buying interest may emerge, potentially providing support for the USD/JPY pair. Further reinforcing this support, there is an intermediate support at 146.58, identified as a multi-swing low support.
          On the resistance side, the 1st resistance at 147.70 is noted as a pullback resistance, implying it's a significant barrier where selling interest could intensify, potentially leading to a bearish reaction. The 2nd resistance at 148.18 is identified as an overlap resistance, further strengthening the potential resistance factors for USD/JPY.
          Technical Outlook and Review_8USD/CAD
          The USD/CAD chart currently demonstrates a bearish overall momentum, and there's potential for a bearish reaction off the 1st resistance level, with a drop towards the 1st support.
          On the support side, the 1st support at 1.3521 is categorized as an overlap support, suggesting it could be a significant level where buying interest may emerge. Additionally, the 2nd support at 1.3481 is identified as a swing low support, reinforcing its potential significance as a level where buyers might become active.
          On the resistance side, the 1st resistance at 1.3622 is noted as a swing high resistance, implying that it could act as a substantial barrier where selling interest may intensify. The 2nd resistance at 1.3666 is identified as an overlap resistance and is accompanied by the 127.20% Fibonacci Extension, indicating another level where selling pressure may increase.
          Technical Outlook and Review_9AUD/USD
          The AUD/USD chart currently exhibits a bearish overall momentum, and there's potential for a bearish reaction off the 1st resistance level, with a drop towards the 1st support.
          On the support side, the 1st support at 0.6520 is categorized as an overlap support, indicating its potential significance as a level where buying interest may emerge. Additionally, the 2nd support at 0.6455 is also identified as an overlap support, reinforcing its importance as a potential area for buyers to become active.
          On the resistance side, the 1st resistance at 0.6589 is noted as a pullback resistance, suggesting that it could act as a substantial barrier where selling interest might intensify. The 2nd resistance at 0.6675 is identified as a multi-swing high resistance, indicating another level where selling pressure may increase.
          Technical Outlook and Review_10NZD/USD
          The NZD/USD chart currently demonstrates a bullish overall momentum, and there's potential for a bullish continuation towards the 1st resistance level.
          On the support side, the 1st support at 0.6130 is identified as an overlap support, indicating its significance as a potential level where buying interest may emerge. Additionally, the 2nd support at 0.6064 is also categorized as an overlap support, further reinforcing its importance.
          On the resistance side, the 1st resistance at 0.6191 is noted as a pullback resistance, suggesting that it could act as a substantial barrier where selling interest might intensify. The 2nd resistance at 0.6222 is identified as a swing high resistance, adding another level of potential selling pressure.
          Technical Outlook and Review_11DJ30
          The DJ30,the momentum of the chart is weak bullish with low confidence. Price could potentially make a: Bullish continuation towards 1st resistance.
          1st support at 35721.09: This level is a multi-swing low support, indicating that it has previously provided a base for the price. This could be a potential level for buying interest.
          2nd support at 15409.48: This level represents an overlap support, where previous price action has clustered around this area.
          1st resistance at 36485.08: This level is a swing high resistance, where the price has encountered selling pressure in the past. There is potential bullish breakouts or reversals around this level.
          Technical Outlook and Review_12GER40
          The GER40, the overall momentum of the chart is Bullish. Price could potentially make a bullish continuation towards 1st resistance. Given the bullish momentum, traders may anticipate a continuation of the uptrend towards the 1st resistance level.
          1st support at 16518.2: This level is a pullback support, suggesting that it has acted as a level where buyers have previously stepped in during a pullback. Traders may consider this as a potential area for buying opportunities.
          2nd support at 16388.6: This level is a swing low support, indicating that it has historically been a level where the price has found support. It adds to the bullish case for the index.
          Technical Outlook and Review_13US500
          The overall momentum of US500 is bullish, which means that the prevailing sentiment in the market is positive. This suggests that buyers have been more active than sellers, leading to upward price movements.
          1st Support at 4524.4:This support level is at 4524.4, and it is considered a good support because it's based on an overlap in historical price action. An overlap support level is one where the price has previously paused or reversed, indicating that there may be buying interest at this level.
          2nd Support at 4460.7: The second support level is at 4460.7, and it's considered good due to multi-swing low support. This suggests that there have been multiple instances in the past where the price has found support around this level.
          1st Resistance at 4596.8: The first resistance level is at 4596.8, and it's considered good because it's based on a swing high resistance. A swing high is a point where the price has previously encountered selling pressure and reversed. This level represents a potential obstacle for further price advancement, as it has acted as a turning point in the past.
          Technical Outlook and Review_14BTC/USD
          The BTC/USD chart is currently exhibiting a bearish overall momentum, and there's potential for a bearish reaction off the 1st resistance level, with a drop towards the 1st support.
          On the support side, the 1st support at 42117 is categorized as an overlap support, indicating it could be a significant level where buying interest may emerge. Additionally, the 2nd support at 38283 is also identified as an overlap support, further reinforcing its potential importance as a level where buyers might step in.
          On the resistance side, the 1st resistance at 44436 is noted as a pullback resistance, suggesting it could act as a substantial barrier where selling interest may intensify. The 2nd resistance at 46747 is identified as an overlap resistance, potentially indicating another level where selling pressure could increase.
          Technical Outlook and Review_15ETH/USD
          The ETH/USD chart is currently showing a bearish overall momentum, and there's potential for a bearish reaction off the 1st resistance level, leading to a drop towards the 1st support.
          On the support side, the 1st support at 2139.92 is considered a pullback support level, indicating it could be a significant area where buying interest may emerge. Additionally, there is an intermediate support at 2246.59, identified as an overlap support, further reinforcing its potential as a level where buyers might become active.
          On the resistance side, the 1st resistance at 2315.06 is noted as a pullback resistance, implying it could act as a substantial barrier where selling interest may intensify.
          Technical Outlook and Review_16WTI/USD
          The WTI chart currently exhibits a bearish overall momentum, and there's potential for a bearish reaction off the 1st resistance level, potentially leading to a drop towards the 1st support.
          On the support side, the 1st support at 70.85 is identified as a significant level, primarily due to the presence of a 161.80% Fibonacci Extension. This suggests that it could be a key area where buying interest might emerge. Further reinforcing this support, there is a 2nd support at 69.95, categorized as an overlap support, adding significance to this level.
          On the resistance side, the 1st resistance at 72.57 is noted as an overlap resistance, indicating it's a substantial barrier where selling interest could intensify. The 2nd resistance at 74.28 is also categorized as an overlap resistance, adding another level of potential selling pressure.Technical Outlook and Review_17
          XAU/USD (GOLD)
          The XAU/USD chart currently displays a bullish overall momentum, with potential for a bullish continuation towards the 1st resistance level.
          On the support side, the 1st support at 2008.88 is categorized as a pullback support, indicating it's a significant level where buying interest may emerge, potentially providing support for XAU/USD. Further reinforcing this support, there is a 2nd support at 1972.39, identified as another pullback support level.
          On the resistance side, the 1st resistance at 2035.62 is noted as an overlap resistance, suggesting that it's a substantial barrier where selling interest could intensify. The 2nd resistance at 2048.51 is categorized as a pullback resistance, indicating another level where selling pressure may increase.Technical Outlook and Review_18
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          Latest News on the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict (December 6)

          Thomas

          Palestinian-Israeli conflict

          Latest news on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict

          0:06
          There are reports that the Israel Defense Forces seem to have changed their strategy for attacking Gaza and are currently laying a large number of pipelines to inject large amounts of seawater into Hamas tunnels in an attempt to use seawater to drown Hamas soldiers.
          Latest News on the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict (December 6)_1 But this approach doesn't seem to be very effective, because Hamas has already considered using seawater attacks when designing underground tunnels. Their combat organization is to dig tunnels in company-level units. Each tunnel was previously independent of each other and not connected to each other. Even if a large amount of seawater is injected into a tunnel entrance, it will not affect other tunnels. Hamas's tunnels are modern. The tunnels are equipped with power systems and ventilation systems, and even liquid sensors are installed to provide early warning of sea water.
          0:23
          The emir of Qatar issued a scathing condemnation of Israel in his opening speech at the Gulf Cooperation Council summit in Doha. "Israeli occupying forces violate all political, moral and humanitarian values,"
          "It is a disgrace to the international community that this heinous crime is allowed to continue...the systematic and purposeful killing of unarmed innocent civilians." "This is a genocide committed by Israel."
          The Emir of Qatar added that the Palestinians should be praised for their "unswerving persistence in their just cause" and called for the need for a comprehensive and lasting ceasefire.
          Latest News on the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict (December 6)_2
          0:29
          The Turkish president said: Netanyahu is betting on the future of the entire region.
          Erdogan's assessment of Israel's war in Gaza at the Gulf Cooperation Council summit in Doha:
          Netanyahu is betting on the future of the entire region for his own political calculations.
          The killing of women and children constitutes a war crime and Israel must be punished.
          Turkey hopes to establish a permanent ceasefire on the 1967 border with East Jerusalem as its capital and establish an independent sovereign Palestinian state. Türkiye is ready to act as a guarantor.
          0:44
          Hezbollah claimed responsibility for 12 attacks it launched today against Israeli targets in northern Israel.
          The latest attack is dedicated to the Lebanese Army soldier (Abdel Karim al-Migdad) who died in an Israeli airstrike today.
          3:55
          Hamas: "There will be no negotiations" as long as Israel continues its attacks.
          Senior Hamas official Osama Hamdan said in a speech in Beirut, Lebanon, that "we are fully prepared" no matter how long the war lasts. Hamdan told reporters in Beirut that "there will be no negotiations or exchange (of prisoners)" until the Israeli attack ends.
          Latest News on the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict (December 6)_3
          6:19
          Israel invaded the Gaza Strip for 60 days, and 70% of the victims were children and women.
          7:31
          Israeli President Ai said on MSNBC: This war is not only a war between Israel and Hamas, but a war that is truly aimed at saving Western civilization and saving the values of Western civilization.
          8:25
          The Islamic Resistance Movement released a statement today detailing 14 attacks on Israeli army bases, locations and deployments in areas east and west of the Lebanese-Palestinian border.
          9:25
          The U.S. House of Representatives voted to pass H.Res. 894, a bill that equates opposition to Zionism with anti-Semitism, despite daily anti-Zionist protests by Jewish Americans.
          10:35
          Israeli media said: Venezuela will threaten Guyana with war.
          Another conflict in which the Iranian regime may be involved is taking place in South America. Venezuela is apparently preparing to invade its neighbor Guyana, with Iran supporting Venezuela and the United States supporting Guyana.
          Venezuela passed a referendum with tens of millions of people participating to merge the Essequibo region, a disputed territory with neighboring Guyana, into Venezuela's 24th state. The results showed that 95% of the people supported the recovery of the 160,000 square kilometers of land disputed with Guyana.
          The Essequibo region is now the territory of Guyana, accounting for 61% of Guyana's total area and with a population of 120,000.
          Venezuela has 200,000 regular troops and 2-3 million militiamen with advanced equipment, including Su-30 fighter jets, S-300V anti-aircraft missiles and T-90 tanks.
          11:03
          According to CNN, a source familiar with the matter said: If it were not for the warning from the United States, Israel would have long ago razed the entire Gaza Strip to the ground.
          12:07
          Breaking: The Iraqi resistance group once again attacked the US military base "Ain al-Asad" in western Iraq.
          The Islamic Resistance Movement in Iraq said: In response to Israel's crimes against the people of Gaza, fighters from the Islamic Resistance Movement in Iraq targeted the US-occupied base "Ain al-Assad" in western Iraq with a drone, directly hitting the target. .
          13:07
          Israeli army bases in the Golan Heights are targeted by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and the Syrian resistance.
          According to our sources, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and resistance groups from the western outskirts of Daraa province, close to the border with the occupied territories, attacked illegal bases of the Zionist regime forces in the occupied Golan Heights with missiles.
          The intensity of this missile attack is unprecedented in recent years.
          16:35
          The official journal of the American think tank Quincy admitted: London and Washington are responsible for the conflict in Ukraine.
          There is mounting evidence that we cannot trust anything our officials say about the futility of negotiations.
          The article says it is increasingly difficult to deny that the war in Ukraine could have ended just months after Russia invaded - while the United States and Britain were working hard to achieve that goal and it did not happen.
          17:15
          Reports from Lebanon: Israeli drones, fighter jets and artillery have struck several towns in southern Lebanon.
          18:38
          Suddenly, Erdogan threatened Israel: If Israel tries to harm senior Hamas figures in Turkey, it will pay a heavy price.
          20:49
          Latest News on the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict (December 6)_4
          The Financial Times has shared some details about Israeli warplanes recently dropping US-made missiles on innocent civilians in Gaza.
          21:17
          Citing estimates of damage to urban areas, military analysts said that in less than seven weeks, the devastation in northern Gaza has come close to the years-long damage to German cities during World War II, according to a recent Financial Times report. The devastation caused by carpet bombing.
          21:23
          Latest News on the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict (December 6)_5
          BREAKING: Iran and Russia sign joint statement calling for action against international sanctions.

          Source of the article: "Gift from the Beautiful Fairy" WeChat public account

          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          Bitcoin Briefly Passes $44,000 as 'Jet-Fuelled' Jump Continues

          Owen Li

          Cryptocurrency

          Bitcoin's longest winning run since May lifted the token past $44,000 in overnight trading, sparking questions about whether the breakout reflects a conviction that looser US Federal Reserve monetary policy lies ahead.
          The largest digital asset climbed for six days through to Tuesday, adding roughly 16 per cent, and was consolidating the gains in early Asian trading on Wednesday. Its rebound from last year's crypto rout now stands at 165 per cent.
          As of 8am UAE time, Bitcoin was trading at $43,760.11, still $25,000 below its 2021 record of almost $69,000.
          Much of the rally is pegged to the prospect of the US allowing its first spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds, paving the way to a wider investor base.
          BlackRock and Fidelity Investments are among those awaiting the outcome of their applications, with some analysts expecting a green light by January.
          But ETF hype has shadowed Bitcoin since June, when asset managers began seeking approval to roll out the funds. That is leading some to ask if the token's surge is now drawing more succour from wagers on US Federal Reserve rate cuts next year.
          "Surely, the ETF story is well and truly priced?" said Tony Sycamore, a market analyst at IG Australia.
          The high volatility, "jet-fuelled" move up in Bitcoin is instead a reminder that crypto is "more responsive to a Fed pivot and policy than other asset classes", he said.
          For now, Bitcoin's momentum is overshadowing any concerns that the surge is at risk of becoming too stretched. Smaller virtual currencies such as Ether, Avalanche and meme-crowd favourite Dogecoin have also been advancing.
          The bullish overall mood is evident across a range of countries. Bitcoin on South Korea's Upbit and Bithumb exchanges was trading about 4 per cent above the prevailing global price on Wednesday, a return of the so-called "kimchi premium" that made headlines during the pandemic-era bull run in digital assets.
          In Abu Dhabi, crypto mining hardware retailer Phoenix Group jumped 35 per cent on its debut on Tuesday. The firm is the first crypto-related listing in the Middle East.
          In El Salvador, Nayib Bukele this week said in a posting on X, formerly Twitter, that the nation's Bitcoin investments had turned profitable. He's running for re-election after stepping down as president last week.
          Another prop for sentiment is the so-called Bitcoin halving due next year, which will cut in half the amount of tokens that Bitcoin miners receive as reward for their work. The quadrennial event is part of the process of capping Bitcoin supply at 21 million tokens. The coin hit records after the last three halvings.
          "Both micro and macro factors are currently lining up for Bitcoin," said Zach Pandl, managing director of research at crypto fund provider Grayscale Investments.

          Source: The National News

          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          'No Bears Left' Is Worrying Refrain Coming from Wall Street

          Damon

          Economic

          Overstretched technicals and the belief that the Federal Reserve (Fed) won't cut interest rates as quickly as markets expect are driving a sudden pessimistic turn from equity specialists at JPMorgan Chase & Co and Morgan Stanley. As Goldman Sachs Group Inc managing director Scott Rubner put it in a report, there are "no longer any bears left".
          After a roaring rally in November that sent the S&P 500 surging 9% and U.S. bond yields tumbling, markets are now trading more cautiously. The question on everyone's mind is whether the Fed will actually start cutting rates as aggressively as what's been priced into swap markets, or whether traders called it too early again.
          The advance was "a sign of excessive euphoria", said Florian Ielpo, the head of macro research at Lombard Odier Asset Management. "Valuations are no longer attractive. Equities should be seen for what they are: expensive."
          Ielpo joins a broad section of investors that have highlighted the warning signs over how quickly Fed policy expectations have changed. Traders now see about a 70% chance the U.S. central bank will cut rates in the first quarter, and have priced in as many as five quarter-point reductions by the end of 2024. BlackRock Inc strategists expect the easing will only begin in the middle of the year.
          "We see the risk of these hopes being disappointed," strategists including Wei Li and Alex Brazier wrote. "Higher rates and greater volatility define the new regime."
          Even so, data on Tuesday showing a further labour-market slowdown reinforced expectations that the Fed will be able to cut rates. Treasuries resumed their rally, with yields dropping across the U.S. curve. The S&P 500 was little changed.
          Goldman's Rubner said the odds of a stock sell-off are greater after commodity trading advisers, who usually trade on market momentum, rushed to equities. He estimates that CTAs bought US$225 billion (RM1.05 trillion) worth of stocks during the past month. That's "the fastest increase in exposure that we have ever seen", Rubner wrote in a note, and reinforces the view that traders will be more inclined to sell, rather than buy.
          According to data from Morgan Stanley's prime brokerage business, some fast-moving traders are already starting to cut their stock positions. Hedge funds trimmed bullish wagers on big tech and added to short positions last week, wrote a team at the bank led by Bill Meany.
          Other traders cite technicals for their argument that stocks are vulnerable. The S&P 500's relative strength index is above 70, putting it in so-called overbought territory.
          "My gut says that the market has baked in slightly more than enough cuts for the strength of economic data for the U.S. right now," said Amy Xie Patrick, the head of income strategies at asset manager Pendal Group in Sydney.
          Xie Patrick is recalibrating her firm's wagers to account for the growing risks in bond markets. She trimmed long positions on Treasuries, shifted to neutral on U.S. high-yield credit, and exited bets for the dollar to fall against the South Korean won and Brazilian real.
          Still, in the view of Bloomberg Intelligence chief equity strategist Gina Martin Adams, there's still room for stocks to keep charging higher. She uses a sentiment indicator called the BI Market Pulse Index, which has shifted to a neutral reading after signalling panic in October.
          Even as the S&P 500 Index heads towards a double-digit return this year, investment strategists still seem sceptical of the rally's staying power. Yet to Bank of America Corp, that's a sign of more gains to come in the new year.
          "Bull markets end in euphoria, and we are far from euphoria," Savita Subramanian, the firm's head of U.S. equity and quantitative strategy, told Bloomberg Television.
          How euphoric or fearful market are depends on who you ask. JPMorgan Chase & Co strategists say that stocks looked priced for perfection. Almost all economists and the market are in the soft-landing camp now, leaving no room for error, strategist Mislav Matejka wrote in a client note on Monday.
          "Perhaps one should be contrarian," he said.

          Source: Bloomberg

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          How Cop28 Is Setting the Stage for the Global Hydrogen Trade

          Kevin Du

          Energy

          Economic

          A series of hydrogen initiatives were announced at the Cop28 climate conference on Tuesday, aimed at boosting the production and trade of the low-carbon fuel.
          More than 30 countries, representing about 80 per cent of the future global market in hydrogen, signed a declaration of intent, under which states have agreed to endorse a global certification standard for hydrogen and to recognise existing certification schemes.
          The countries also signed a public-private action statement on hydrogen, which will focus on accelerating permissions for hydrogen projects and creating more demand for the commodity.
          "The biggest challenge in decarbonisation is providing [an] alternative fuel that is clean and available at scale at the right price," Suhail Al Mazrouei, UAE Minister of Energy and Infrastructure, told delegates during a hydrogen roundtable at the summit.
          "The consumer is going to be the judge of how good a work we are doing in helping to ensure that it's affordable. If it's not affordable, no matter what we do, it's not going to have the success that we aspire for."
          Hydrogen, which can be produced using both renewable energy and natural gas, is expected to be a critical fuel of the future, particularly in hard-to-abate sectors such as steel manufacturing and shipping.
          Its ability to efficiently store energy makes it appealing for renewable energy sources such as wind and solar, both of which are naturally intermittent.
          After being produced, a certification system enables end users and governments to determine the source and quality of the hydrogen.
          However, current hydrogen certification systems are not suitable for cross-border trade due to gaps in design, standards and labelling, leading to insufficient information about the product as far as potential buyers are concerned.
          Hydrogen, and particularly, green hydrogen, is currently more expensive than natural gas due to lack of production and supply constraints.
          Most of it is due to a shortage of electrolysers – devices that use electricity to split water into hydrogen and oxygen.
          However, there is more than 400 gigawatts of electrolysis capacity that could be operational by 2030, compared with only 1 gigawatt currently, according to an International Energy Agency official.
          "There is a reality check here, which is, at the moment, only 3 per cent of those have reached the stage of taking a final investment decision," said Dan Dorner, head of Strategic Initiatives Office at the agency.
          "International co-operations are therefore absolutely of paramount importance to overcome barriers that are preventing a faster adoption of low emissions hydrogen."
          French investment bank Natixis estimates investment in hydrogen will exceed $300 billion by 2030.
          International Standards Organisation methodology for the greenhouse gas emissions assessment of hydrogen was also launched on Tuesday.
          These guidelines could serve as the initial framework for a series of additional regulations at both national and state levels, shaping the direction of hydrogen production.
          "This is a truly international methodology for assessing the GHG footprint of hydrogen from well to consumption gate including every delivery gate on a life-cycle analysis basis," said Ulrika Francke, president of the ISO.
          "It helps us to create a common international language around hydrogen and allows the least carbon-intensive solutions to shine."
          Almost one quarter of global hydrogen demand – about 150 megatonnes per year – will be met through international trade by 2050, while the remaining 75 per cent will be domestically produced and consumed, the International Renewable Energy Agency said in a report last year.
          The hydrogen trade scenario will be a significant change from today's oil market, where the bulk – nearly three quarters – is internationally traded, the Abu Dhabi-based agency said at the time.

          Hydrogen deals

          Energy companies have announced several hydrogen agreements during the Cop28 summit.
          Abu Dhabi's clean energy company Masdar and Spain's Iberdrola have signed a €15 billion ($16.25 billion) partnership to evaluate the development of offshore wind and green hydrogen projects in key markets including Germany, the UK and the US.
          Masdar also signed a joint development agreement with Jordan to develop a 1-gigawatt wind project with battery storage, and an agreement to explore the feasibility of establishing a green hydrogen plant.
          The UAE's state-owned energy company Adnoc and Azerbaijan signed an agreement to explore opportunities in blue hydrogen, carbon management and geothermal technologies.
          The Emirates, the Arab world's second-largest economy, aims to achieve hydrogen production of 1.4 million tonnes annually by 2031, increasing to 15 million tonnes a year by 2050.
          The country is planning to develop at least two hydrogen production hubs, or oases, by 2031.
          More than 70 per cent of the country's hydrogen production will be green, Mr Al Mazrouei said.
          "Hydrogen for us in the UAE is definitely one of the solutions … we will help other nations as well in exporting hydrogen, primarily green hydrogen," he said.

          Source: The National News

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          How Sustainable Is the Stock Market Rally? PMIs a Positive Surprise

          Alex

          Stocks

          Equity markets in Europe and the US continued to edge higher on Tuesday despite many now questioning whether investors are getting too carried away.
          The rally appears to be based on the view that central banks from the Fed to the ECB and BoC will start cutting interest rates in March and then do so another three times over the rest of 2024. That's quite the difference from what policymakers have insisted on for many months but there has undoubtedly been a change in tone recently.
          Whether that's been enough to warrant such optimism is what many are now questioning and what, I'm guessing policymakers will address at the December meeting. Regardless of whether they push back against the scale of cuts next year, it's clear now that there'll be quite a shift from central banks at their meetings this month, based on recent commentary.
          Whether that will be enough to constitute the pivot that's been so talked about this year may well determine whether markets continue to price in a March cut as a u-turn of that magnitude will have to be clear from the meeting. The Fed in September indicated it expected to raise rates again, after all.

          Services PMIs revised higher but outlook remains relatively unchanged

          There were a lot of upward revisions to the PMI surveys from Europe and the US today and in the all-important services sector. While the revisions don't really change the outlook in any considerable way – euro area still facing a mild recession, UK flat growth, US resilient – it is encouraging that a soft landing is still attainable.

          Nasdaq nears all-time highs

          The NAS100 appears to have stalled around 16,000 over the last couple of weeks which may be what's making investors a little nervous.

          How Sustainable Is the Stock Market Rally? PMIs a Positive Surprise_1NAS100 Daily(Source – OANDA on Trading View)

          The momentum indicators don't look particularly healthy either, with both the stochastic and MACD making lower highs during the recent new peak in the price. A negative divergence doesn't necessarily mean the price has peaked but it may suggest the rally is running on fumes.

          Source: MarketPulse

          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          Asia Stocks Gain as Lower Bond Yields Buoy Tech; Oil Sags

          Damon

          Stocks

          Forex

          Economic

          Asia-Pacific equities gained on Wednesday as bets firmed for a peak in interest rates among major central banks globally, as bond yields continued to decline.
          Japanese government bond yields dipped to the lowest since mid-August as U.S. Treasury yields hovered close to a three-month trough.
          Meanwhile, crude oil sank to a nearly five-month low, while bullion held steady after dropping back from an all-time high. Bitcoin traded just below $44,000 following its surge this week to a 20-month peak.
          U.S. 10-year Treasury yields held steady at around 4.186 per cent after touching 4.163 per cent on Tuesday as cooling labour market data cemented views that the Federal Reserve is done hiking rates, with bets on a first cut coming by March now at around 64 per cent, according to the CME Group's FedWatch tool.
          Benchmark JGBs yields slid in sympathy, reaching the lowest since Aug. 16 at 0.62 per cent.
          Lower borrowing costs boosted equity markets, with big tech a particular beneficiary.
          Japan's Nikkei surged 1.6 per cent, rebounding from Tuesday's mid-November low, while Australia's stock benchmark jumped 1.4 per cent and South Korea's KOSPI added 0.56 per cent.
          U.S. stock futures also pointed higher, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq indicated up 0.4 per cent following a 0.31 per cent advance overnight for the cash index. S&P 500 futures rose 0.26 per cent, after the cash index ended Tuesday flat.
          Overnight, U.S. jobs figures came in softer than expected, but coupled with robust services data, added to the narrative for a soft landing for the economy as the Fed shifts to monetary easing, analysts said.
          The "selloff in yields across the curve is strong evidence of the intense focus the market has on this week's labour market data," with the ADP employment report due later on Wednesday and non-farm payrolls on Friday, said IG analyst Tony Sycamore.
          For the Nasdaq, "although we remain bullish into year-end, we are not contemplating opening fresh longs at these levels," Sycamore added, recommending buying on dips instead.
          Chinese equities underperformed on Wednesday, with sentiment fragile after ratings agency Moody's slapped a downgrade warning on China's credit rating.
          Hong Kong's Hang Seng rose 0.41 per cent, supported mainly by a rally in tech, with a sector subindex climbing about 1 per cent.
          Mainland Chinese blue chips were flat.
          With markets all but certain the Fed's next move is a cut, dovish rhetoric from European Central Bank officials overnight and the Reserve Bank of Australia's decision to hold policy steady on Tuesday have stoked bets for a peak in rates globally. The Bank of Canada is widely expected to adopt a wait-and-see attitude later on Wednesday as well.
          That has supported the U.S. currency's rebound from last week's nearly four-month low versus major peers, with the U.S. dollar index steady at around 103.95 on Wednesday, compared with a trough of 102.46 a week ago.
          "The USD weakened when the Federal Reserve looked like they were cutting while other central banks were holding tight," said James Kniveton, a senior corporate FX dealer at Convera in Melbourne.
          "Now that looks to be changing, and other central banks are following the Fed's lead."
          The dollar added 0.08 per cent to 147.265 yen, while the euro was little changed at $1.07935.
          Gold was flat just below $2,020, catching its breath following its surge to a record $2,135.40 on Monday.
          Bitcoin was steady at around $43,850 after pushing as high as $44,490 overnight, buoyed by both Fed rate cut expectations and speculation U.S regulators will soon approve exchange-traded spot bitcoin funds.
          Crude eased further on Wednesday, weighed down by the worsening demand outlook from China, and doubts about the impact of OPEC cuts.
          Brent crude futures fell 8 cents, or 0.1 per cent, to $77.12 a barrel, while U.S. WTI crude futures were down 13 cents, or 0.2 per cent, at $72.19 a barrel. Both benchmarks closed at their lowest since July 6 in the previous session.

          Source: Reuters

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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