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In the world of mankind, there will not be a statement without any position, nor a remark without any purpose.
Inflation, exchange rates, and the economy shape the policy decisions of central banks; the attitudes and words of central bank officials also influence the actions of market traders.
Money makes the world go round and currency is a permanent commodity. The forex market is full of surprises and expectations.
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I have 5 years of experience in financial analysis, especially in aspects of macro developments and medium and long-term trend judgment. My focus is maily on the developments of the Middle East, emerging markets, coal, wheat and other agricultural products.
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Despite Hong Kong's robust legal and regulatory framework, its stock market still faces unique risks and challenges, such as currency fluctuations due to the Hong Kong dollar's peg to the US dollar and the impact of mainland China's policy changes and economic conditions on Hong Kong stocks.
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In recent years, the real estate and construction sector's share in the Hong Kong stock index has notably decreased. Nevertheless, as of 2022, it retains around 10% market share, covering real estate development, construction engineering, investment, and property management.
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he minutes may change the direction of the market, that is, the "recession trade" may come soon. After all, the risk of recession has previously remained only in the imagination and expectations of market traders. However, the November minutes were the first to include the word "recession" in the economic outlook, which is a significant rhetorical change.
105.465
Entry Price
106.215
TP
104.900
SL
--
Pips
EXPIRED
104.900
SL
105.950
Exit Price
105.465
Entry Price
106.215
TP
The collapse of FTX dragged down cryptocurrencies such as Ethereum, and the decline can hardly be reversed rapidly. Prices in the short term will remain weak and fluctuate and have the potential to fall further.
1190.00
Entry Price
1006.00
TP
1350.00
SL
144.4
Pips
Profit
1006.00
TP
1175.56
Exit Price
1190.00
Entry Price
1350.00
SL
The EU is aiming to cap the price of Russia's oil exports, which is set to take effect on Dec. 5th. However, the final details are still up in the air. And the market may extend sideways oscillation.
76.500
Entry Price
82.000
TP
73.000
SL
150.3
Pips
Profit
73.000
SL
78.003
Exit Price
76.500
Entry Price
82.000
TP
As the FOMC November meeting minutes are dovish, the dollar weakened. The USDJPY fell from near 142 to around 138 and then gained support. Perhaps this support is strong in the short term.
138.500
Entry Price
142.000
TP
135.500
SL
300.0
Pips
Loss
135.500
SL
135.495
Exit Price
138.500
Entry Price
142.000
TP
The GBPUSD built on the positive trend of the previous day and gained some traction on Wednesday for the second day in a row. The GBPUSD, which held the buying tone until the New York session, is now near its weekly high, just below 1.2000.
1.20691
Entry Price
1.22300
TP
1.14900
SL
45.4
Pips
Profit
1.14900
SL
1.21145
Exit Price
1.20691
Entry Price
1.22300
TP
The USDJPY failed to sustain Monday's continuous rally and fell below 141.00 in the Europe session on Wednesday. It is now showing a moderate rebound. However, in the general selling trend around USD, the spot price is difficult to take advantage of this trend and encountered new supply pressure near 141.50.
141.000
Entry Price
137.660
TP
143.200
SL
120.7
Pips
Profit
137.660
TP
139.793
Exit Price
141.000
Entry Price
143.200
SL
The minutes of the Fed's November meeting will be released during the day. From the previous attitude of the Fed officials suppressing market expectations, the minutes may not be as dovish as the market expected.
1746.52
Entry Price
1730.00
TP
1756.79
SL
89.6
Pips
Loss
1730.00
TP
1755.48
Exit Price
1746.52
Entry Price
1756.79
SL
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