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SYMBOL
LAST
BID
ASK
HIGH
LOW
NET CHG.
%CHG.
SPREAD
SPX
S&P 500 Index
6920.92
6920.92
6920.92
6965.70
6919.18
-23.90
-0.34%
--
DJI
Dow Jones Industrial Average
48996.07
48996.07
48996.07
49621.43
48951.99
-466.00
-0.94%
--
IXIC
NASDAQ Composite Index
23584.26
23584.26
23584.26
23723.37
23504.22
+37.10
+ 0.16%
--
USDX
US Dollar Index
98.900
98.980
98.900
98.990
98.860
-0.020
-0.02%
--
EURUSD
Euro / US Dollar
1.16437
1.16445
1.16437
1.16486
1.16359
+0.00018
+ 0.02%
--
GBPUSD
Pound Sterling / US Dollar
1.34391
1.34404
1.34391
1.34476
1.34190
+0.00184
+ 0.14%
--
XAUUSD
Gold / US Dollar
4628.89
4629.27
4628.89
4630.32
4588.51
+42.79
+ 0.93%
--
WTI
Light Sweet Crude Oil
60.712
60.747
60.712
60.933
60.552
-0.144
-0.24%
--

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Indonesia Foreign Minister: International Stabilisation Force In Gaza A Temporary Instrument, Two-State Solution Remains End-Goal

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Bank Of Japan Governor Ueda: Will Continue To Raise Interest Rates If Economic, Prices Development In Line With Forecast, Wages And Prices Rise Moderately

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South Korea Blue House: Lee Ordered Review Of Restoring Military Agreement With North Korea - News1

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China's 2025 Soybean Imports Hit Record, Fuelled By S. American Purchases

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Spot Silver Surged 5.00% Intraday, Hitting A Record High Of $91.54 Per Ounce. New York Silver Futures Touched $91 Per Ounce, Up 5.40% Intraday

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Japan Dec LNG Spot Contract Price At $10.70/Mmbtu-Japan Oil, Gas And Metals National Corporation (State-Owned Jogmec)

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Spot Silver Broke Through $91 Per Ounce, Up 4.69% On The Day

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Spot Gold Touched $4,630 Per Ounce, Up 0.95% On The Day

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India's Nifty 50 Index Erases Losses, Last Up 0.03%

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[Xmr Surpasses $700 To Hit New All-Time High, Futures Open Interest Rises To $291M] January 14Th, According To Htx Market Data, Privacy Coin Monero Xmr Briefly Broke Through $700 To Hit A New All-Time High, Currently Trading At $698.1, Up 8.25% In The Past 24 Hours.Xmr'S Global Contract Holding Amount Has Also Risen, With The Current Contract Holding Amount Reaching $291 Million, A 150% Increase From $116 Million Five Days Ago

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Spot Palladium Broke Through $1,900 Per Ounce, Up 3.84% On The Day

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Spot Silver Surged 4.00% Intraday, Currently Trading At $90.41 Per Ounce. New York Silver Futures Touched $90 Per Ounce, Up 4.24% Intraday

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[Trump Responds To Greenland Prime Minister's Choice Of Denmark Over The US: I Disagree, He'll Be In Big Trouble] According To Reports From The New York Times, Mediaite, And Other Media Outlets, US President Trump, In An Interview On The 13th Local Time, Responded To Greenlandic Prime Minister Nielsen's Statement Regarding The Island's Choice To Remain In Denmark And Not Be Taken Over By The US. "Well, That's Their Problem," Trump Said. "I Disagree With Him. I Don't Know Who He Is, I Don't Know Him, But This Will Get Him Into Big Trouble."

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Kazakhstan's Net Gold And Foreign Currency Reserves $63.447 Billion In Dec (6.3% Change Month-On-Month) - Central Bank

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Japan's TOPIX Extends Gain, Last Up 0.94%

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India's Nifty 50 Futures Down 0.16% In Pre-Open Trade

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International Spot Silver Prices Have Climbed Above $90, Pushing Its Market Capitalization Past $5 Trillion, Making It The World's Second-largest Asset. Spot Silver Is At The Top Of The List, Followed By Nvidia

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Indian Rupee Opens At 90.25 Per USA Dollar, Down 0.07% From Previous Close

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《Hibor》Overnight Hibor Down To 1.32%, Logging 1-Month Low

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MSCI Asia-Pacific Index Hits Record High, Last Up 0.45%

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Q&A with Experts
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    marsgents flag
    john
    @johnlol,when he inline you like him😁 its better to make peace mate👍
    EuroTrader flag
    marsgents
    @marsgentsThe challenge with shorting silver is where you would be placing your stop loss. There is not clear structural highs to place our stop loss at
    john flag
    Renny Bonn
    gold
    @Renny Bonnjust look for an opportunity to stay long gold
    ifan afian flag
    john
    @johnyes
    john flag
    marsgents
    @marsgentsyou know sometime he just come and scream something which is contrary to what the market is doing
    john flag
    marsgents
    @marsgentsbut today he is in sync
    ifan afian flag
    you can see clearlybthe battle at m1
    marsgents flag
    silver correction will be great dip10-20% discount on silver when it happen,dont try catching 5% dip
    ifan afian flag
    john flag
    ifan afian
    sellers already died with short SL🤣🤣🤣 ...
    @ifan afiansellers become buyers 😂
    Ashok flag
    gold
    marsgents flag
    john
    @johni know you talk about it mate sometime ago
    john flag
    marsgents
    silver correction will be great dip10-20% discount on silver when it happen,dont try catching 5% dip
    @marsgentsit might be aggressive and fast but the million dollars question is when it will happen
    EuroTrader flag
    marsgents
    silver correction will be great dip10-20% discount on silver when it happen,dont try catching 5% dip
    @marsgentsThat would be a good one cause we would get a good entry and another opportunity to buy silver at discount
    EuroTrader flag
    marsgents flag
    john
    @johnjp morgan may know🤣
    EuroTrader flag
    EuroTrader
    @marsgentsa 20% correction means silver is gonna correct towards 70$ per oz .that's a big move lower
    ifan afian flag
    john
    @johnyeah hahaha... if this happened prepare the final countdown 🤣🤣🤣🤣 dip soooooi dip
    EuroTrader flag
    marsgents
    @marsgentsYou seen Citibank projections for Gold? it's 5k this year. this should influence silver prices also
    marsgents flag
    EuroTrader
    @EuroTraderyes bro,i keep tab on each high on silver and keep moving potential long entry on silver dip
    Type here...
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          Venezuela's Top Lawmaker Says Over 400 Prisoners Freed, NGOs Say Numbers Much Lower

          Winkelmann

          Political

          Economic

          Summary:

          Venezuela's top lawmaker Jorge Rodriguez said on Tuesday that over 400 people had been freed from prison as part of an ongoing release process, although rights groups say they estimate a much lower figure of between 60 and 70 have been freed in recent days.

          El Helicoide detention centre as Venezuela's government begins releasing some detainees, with the freeing of political prisoners marking a move long demanded by human rights groups, international bodies and opposition leaders, in Caracas, Venezuela, January 12, 2026. REUTERS/Gaby Oraa

          Venezuela's top lawmaker Jorge Rodriguez said on Tuesday that over 400 people had been freed from prison as part of an ongoing release process, although rights groups say they estimate a much lower figure of between 60 and 70 have been freed in recent days.

          Rodriguez, the president of the National Assembly, and U.S. President Donald Trump both said last week that large numbers of prisoners would be released as a peace gesture after the U.S. capture of President Nicolas Maduro.

          The release of people considered political prisoners by the opposition has been one of their long-standing demands. The Venezuelan government has always denied it holds people for political reasons and has said it has already released most of the 2,000 people detained after protests over the contested 2024 election.

          "The decision to release some prisoners, not political prisoners, but some politicians who had broken the law and violated the Constitution, people who called for invasion, was granted," Rodriguez said during a parliamentary session on Tuesday, adding that this was intended to promote "peaceful coexistence."

          Over 400 had been released, he said, without giving a specific timeline.

          Local NGOs have said that the number of prisoners freed since Thursday ranges between 60 and 70, and have denounced a slow pace and lack of information surrounding the releases.

          On Monday, Venezuela's penitentiary authority had said that 116 people had been freed.

          Foro Penal, a leading local NGO that works on legal support for detainees, said at least 800 political prisoners were behind bars at the beginning of this year.

          Opposition leader and Nobel Peace Prize winner Maria Corina Machado, who is expected to meet with Trump on Thursday, has been one of the leading voices demanding the release of prisoners, some of whom are her close allies.

          Families and rights groups have denounced what they say is abusive treatment of detainees, including the denial of medical care, the use of solitary confinement, a lack of access to legal counsel and even torture.

          Source: Reuters

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          DOJ Handling Of Minnesota Shooting Probe Prompts Prosecutor Departures, Sources Say

          Samantha Luan

          Political

          Economic

          The Department of Justice (DOJ) building in Washington, D.C., U.S., November 28, 2025. REUTERS/Nathan Howard/File Photo

          • Resignations span Civil Rights Division and Minnesota U.S. Attorney's Office
          • Shooting by ICE officer has sparked tension

          At least a dozen federal prosecutors have indicated plans to leave the U.S. Justice Department over the Trump administration's handling of the fatal shooting of a Minnesota woman by a U.S. immigration officer and other civil rights cases, according to three people familiar with the situation.

          The departures spanned the Justice Department's Civil Rights Division in Washington and the U.S. Attorney's Office in Minneapolis, the sources said.

          Six federal prosecutors in Minnesota have resigned over a request from Justice Department leadership to investigate the widow of 37-year-old Renee Good, who was shot and killed in Minneapolis on January 7, according to two of the sources.

          It was not clear exactly what DOJ officials wanted to investigate, but Trump administration officials have accused Good of impeding an immigration operation. The sources spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss a sensitive internal matter.

          Another six senior prosecutors in the criminal section of the Justice Department's Civil Rights Division also informed the department they planned to leave.

          The head of the division, Harmeet Dhillon, an appointee of President Donald Trump, informed the unit last week they would not be involved in the probe of the Minnesota shooting, two sources said.

          The section typically plays a leading role working with FBI agents to investigate potential civil rights violations and use-of-force by law enforcement officers. Several of the prosecutors accepted an early retirement offer from the Trump administration, some of the sources said.

          The resignations are the latest sign of tumult in the Justice Department under Trump, which has fired and expelled dozens of career officials and pursued investigations of Trump's perceived political enemies.

          The departures also prompted renewed concern about the federal investigation into the shooting, which has prompted protests nationwide and drawn renewed scrutiny of the Trump administration's sweeping immigration crackdown in U.S. cities.

          The Minnesota probe was only one factor in the decision of the civil rights lawyers to leave the department. The prosecutors, veteran lawyers who had served across presidential administrations, had grown disillusioned with the direction of the division, whose priorities had been reshaped to align with Trump, according to the sources.

          OFFICIAL RESPONSE TO RESIGNATIONS

          A Justice Department official confirmed the departures from the Civil Rights Division. The lawyers who requested to participate in an early retirement program did so well before the Minnesota shooting, the official said.

          The official said U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement is conducting an internal investigation into the shooting in parallel with the FBI.

          "There is currently no basis for a criminal civil rights investigation," Deputy Attorney General Todd Blanche said in a statement.

          Tension erupted in Minnesota last week, when a federal immigration officer shot and killed Good, a 37-year-old mother of three who was observing the federal law enforcement action.

          The Trump administration accused Good of attempting to ram the officer with her vehicle, a claim state officials disputed.

          Hennepin County Attorney Mary Moriarty, the chief state prosecutor in Minneapolis, told Reuters on Tuesday that the departures at the Justice Department are an indication that career prosecutors are "not being allowed to do their job."

          "And that's because of politics, not because of what actually happened here," Moriarty said.

          Source: Reuters

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
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          Japan 5-Year Bond Yield Hits Record on Election Jitters

          King Ten

          Bond

          Political

          Remarks of Officials

          Economic

          Central Bank

          Japan's five-year government bond yield surged to its highest level since the bond's introduction in 2000, driven by deepening concerns over the country's fiscal policy following reports that Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi is planning a snap election.

          The yield climbed as much as 1.5 basis points to 1.615% on Wednesday. Rates on two-year and 10-year bonds also moved higher, reflecting broader market anxiety. Investors are now closely watching a five-year bond auction scheduled for later today, which will serve as a crucial test of market appetite amid rising fiscal and supply-side risks.

          Election Speculation Rattles Markets

          The market's reaction follows a Nikkei report that Prime Minister Takaichi intends to inform Liberal Democratic Party leaders of her plan to call an early election. This move is widely seen as an attempt to capitalize on her high approval ratings and strengthen the party's majority in the powerful lower house of parliament.

          According to investors, a decisive election victory would pave the way for a large fiscal stimulus package later this year. This prospect is raising concerns about Japan's "fiscal premium," putting downward pressure on both the yen and Japanese government bonds (JGBs).

          Fiscal Expansion and BOJ Pressure

          The Takaichi government is already planning a record initial budget for the fiscal year beginning in April. The Ministry of Finance previously announced that despite the increased spending, it would reduce the issuance of super-long government bonds. However, sales of two- and five-year debt are set to increase, adding to supply pressure in the shorter end of the market.

          This fiscal backdrop is complicating the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) policy calculations. Although the central bank raised its policy rate to a three-decade high in December, the yen has continued to weaken. This slide, combined with worries over government spending, could force the BOJ to act more aggressively.

          Makoto Sakurai, a former BOJ board member, stated in an interview that the central bank might raise its benchmark interest rates as early as April, citing market concerns over the government's fiscal approach.

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          Trump Touts Economic Record in Detroit Amid Voter Anxiety

          George Anderson

          Data Interpretation

          Political

          Remarks of Officials

          Economic

          Daily News

          President Donald Trump visited Detroit on Tuesday to deliver a confident message on the economy, aiming to shift the national conversation back to U.S. manufacturing and away from the rising cost of living that continues to worry American families.

          In a wide-ranging speech to the Detroit Economic Club, Trump declared his economic policies a resounding success after just 11 months, claiming he had successfully rebuilt the U.S. economy.

          "Growth is exploding, productivity is soaring, investment is booming, incomes are rising," he stated. "Inflation is defeated. America is respected again like never before."

          Economic Reality Check: Inflation and Jobs Data

          Despite the president's optimistic tone, recent economic data presents a more complicated picture. Consumer prices increased last month, largely due to higher costs for food and rent. Meanwhile, job growth has been sluggish, and affordability remains a primary concern for the electorate.

          A Reuters/Ipsos poll from December highlighted this disconnect, showing Trump's approval rating on cost-of-living issues at just 27%. The numbers reflect a broader challenge for the White House, which is trying to convince households that it is effectively managing their economic anxieties.

          The visit also comes as some White House aides have reportedly urged the president to focus more on domestic concerns, particularly as the Republican Party prepares for a difficult midterm election battle in November.

          Figure 1: President Trump speaks with auto industry personnel during his visit to Detroit, a trip intended to highlight his economic policies.

          Focus on Autos: A Mismatch on Tariffs and Trade

          Trump's trip to the heart of the American auto industry coincided with the Detroit Auto Show, where Ford, General Motors, and Stellantis are showcasing their latest vehicles. However, the industry backdrop is grim.

          Nationwide factory employment fell by 8,000 jobs in December, a figure that contradicts the manufacturing renaissance Trump promised would result from his aggressive import taxes. On Tuesday, he repeated his assertion that tariffs were driving a boom in new auto factory construction, though there is little evidence to support this claim.

          "Now we have more plants being built in our country than at any time in history," Trump said before a tour of a Ford production facility in Dearborn.

          The president also expressed indifference toward renegotiating the United States-Mexico-Canada (USMCA) trade agreement, calling it "irrelevant."

          "We don't need cars made in Canada," he said. "We don't need cars made in Mexico. We want to make them here."

          This position is at odds with U.S. automakers, who have lobbied Trump to extend the free-trade pact. They argue that parts sourced from Mexico and Canada are essential for manufacturing vehicles in the United States. Auto executives, including Ford CEO Jim Farley and Executive Chairman Bill Ford who accompanied Trump on his tour, have spent the past year navigating the financial impact of the president's tariffs and trade disputes.

          Figure 2: Donald Trump tours a Ford production center in Dearborn, accompanied by auto executives, as he pushes his message of a manufacturing renaissance.

          Political Stakes: Midterms Loom Over Economic Messaging

          The Detroit speech is part of a broader strategy to communicate Trump's economic achievements directly to voters ahead of the November midterms, especially after Democrats secured key state-level victories in 2025. Michigan itself is a crucial political battleground with an open U.S. Senate seat and several competitive House races.

          While billed as an economic address, Trump's speech veered into other topics, including immigration, former President Joe Biden, transgender athletes, and Venezuela.

          His visit follows a series of recent economic-focused announcements that have impacted markets but lack clear legislative support. These include:

          • Pressuring credit card companies to temporarily lower interest rates.

          • Announcing a ban on Wall Street purchases of single-family homes.

          • Urging global oil companies to increase Venezuelan crude output to potentially lower consumer prices.

          This flurry of activity signals a White House eager to reframe the economic narrative as a critical election season approaches.

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          Venezuela To Send Envoy For US Talks On Same Day Machado Visits

          James Whitman

          Political

          Venezuela's acting president plans to send an envoy to Washington to meet with senior US officials on the same day that opposition leader Maria Corina Machado will be in town for her own talks in the wake of Nicolas Maduro's ouster.

          Ambassador Felix Plasencia, the chief of mission at Venezuela's embassy in the UK and a former foreign minister, plans to visit Thursday at acting President Delcy Rodriguez's behest, according to people familiar with the plans. They asked not to be identified discussing private deliberations.

          Machado, the popular Nobel Peace Prize-winning opposition figure, is expected to meet with President Donald Trump on the same day, US officials have said. The dueling visits come as the US and Venezuela look to restore diplomatic ties after years of conflict, after Trump pledged to "run" the country by pressuring the government in Caracas with a Navy-enforced oil quarantine.

          Maduro, Venezuela's longtime leader, was captured by US forces in a nighttime raid on Jan. 3 and is in the US awaiting trial on narco-trafficking charges.

          Venezuela's information ministry the White House and the State Department didn't respond to requests for comment on Tuesday.

          The rival visits also underscore how various factions are jockeying to fill Venezuela's power vacuum now that Maduro is no longer in control. Trump earlier this month opted to work with Rodriguez, Maduro's longtime vice president and a target of US sanctions. He said Machado wasn't ready to lead even though she won more than 90% of the vote in an opposition primary in 2023.

          Plasencia, a veteran diplomat, has been a close confidant of Rodriguez for years, including as her director of protocol when she was foreign affairs minister from 2014 to 2017. Plasencia then had his own turn as Maduro's foreign affairs minister in 2021 and 2022.

          An American team visited Caracas last week to explore reopening the US embassy more than six years after it was closed. The Venezuelan embassy in Washington was operated by the team of Juan Guaido, whom Trump recognized as Venezuela's interim president in 2019, until Guaido's term as president of the national assembly ended in early 2023.

          Some Trump advisers had long favored a transition to Rodríguez as an off-ramp from Maduro's hard-line leadership. They argue that a gradual transition will be less disruptive than a transition to Machado or Edmundo González, the stand-in candidate Machado backed for the 2024 election after she was barred from running.

          Venezuelan authorities on Tuesday freed at least one US citizen who has already left the country, according to people with knowledge of the situation.

          It marks the first known release of an American citizen since authorities in Caracas began freeing detainees as part of an effort to meet Washington's demands following Maduro's capture.

          Source: Bloomberg

          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          New Zealand Jobs Rebound as Economic Outlook Brightens

          Michelle

          Economic

          Remarks of Officials

          Data Interpretation

          Central Bank

          New Zealand's job market is showing clear signs of recovery, with employers adding more positions for the third time in four months this November. This hiring surge is powered by lower interest rates and a significant boost in business confidence, signaling that the nation's economic rebound is building solid momentum.

          November Data Reveals Strong Employment Growth

          According to figures released by Statistics New Zealand, filled jobs rose by 6,569, or 0.3%, from October to reach 2.35 million. This figure marks the highest level of employment since March and represents a notable turnaround from a two-and-a-half-year low recorded just four months earlier in July.

          The data suggests a return to consistent jobs growth in the final three months of 2025, potentially ending a five-quarter period of either contraction or stagnation in the labor market.

          Rising Confidence Bolsters Economic Outlook

          An improving employment landscape adds weight to the idea that the economy's 1.1% gross domestic product (GDP) surge in the third quarter is sustainable. As households feel more secure about their incomes, their confidence grows, supporting broader economic activity.

          A Westpac survey published Wednesday showed that worker confidence climbed to its highest point since early 2024 in the fourth quarter. Michael Gordon, a senior economist at Westpac, noted in the report that this result suggests the national jobless rate may have already peaked at a five-year high of 5.3% in the third quarter.

          Business Sentiment Reverses After Prolonged Slump

          The recent optimism marks a sharp reversal from a period of stalled employment growth. New Zealand had been struggling to recover from a 2024 recession when business confidence was further shaken by US President Donald Trump's trade policies in mid-2025.

          That negative mood has now lifted. A New Zealand Institute of Economic Research (NZIER) opinion survey published yesterday showed business sentiment is now at its highest level in almost 12 years. The report also documented the first quarterly increase in hiring in two years, with a net 22% of businesses planning to increase staff numbers in the three months through March.

          Central Bank Stimulus Fuels Momentum

          The economic recovery has been significantly supported by the Reserve Bank's monetary policy. The central bank has provided stimulus by cutting interest rates, which helped buoy the 1.1% GDP expansion in the third quarter.

          In November, the Reserve Bank lowered the Official Cash Rate to 2.25%. This was the latest step in an easing cycle that has delivered 325 basis points of cuts since August 2024.

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          Fed Rate Cut Odds Rise After Tame Inflation Report

          Michael Ross

          Data Interpretation

          Bond

          Remarks of Officials

          Economic

          Central Bank

          Traders' Opinions

          Bond traders are increasingly confident the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates by the middle of the year following a weaker-than-expected U.S. inflation reading.

          Market data from interest-rate swaps shows traders have almost fully priced in a rate cut by the Fed's June policy meeting. While there's a small chance of an earlier move, the odds of a cut this month on January 28 remain minimal.

          "If we cut through the noise, it's a pretty encouraging number," said Dan Carter, a senior portfolio manager at Fort Washington Investment Advisors. "Inflation is drifting lower, which is keeping the Fed cuts on the table. But to get the near-term cuts, you need to see more weakness in the labour market."

          Inflation Cools, Supporting Rate Cut Case

          The latest inflation report on January 13 signaled a return to normalcy after a six-week U.S. government shutdown in 2025 distorted the data for October and November.

          The core consumer price index (CPI), which strips out volatile food and energy costs, rose just 0.2% from November. This was below the median economist forecast of 0.3%. On an annual basis, the core CPI advanced 2.6%, matching a four-year low and providing more room for the central bank to ease policy.

          The Federal Reserve has already cut rates three times since September to address signs of weakness in the labor market. These decisions have been contentious, as inflation remains above the central bank’s 2% target. The division was clear in the December meeting, where two Fed officials dissented in favor of holding rates steady, while another argued for an even larger reduction.

          Strong Labor Market Complicates the Outlook

          Despite softer inflation, economists and traders believe the timing of future Fed rate cuts now hinges primarily on the health of the jobs market.

          An unexpected drop in the U.S. unemployment rate in December, reported on January 9, prompted several Wall Street banks to reassess their forecasts. Morgan Stanley, Barclays, and Citigroup all pushed their expectations for Fed rate cuts further into 2026.

          Analysts at JPMorgan Chase & Co. went a step further, stating they no longer expect a rate cut at all in 2026 and now foresee a potential rate hike in 2027.

          "Our take was that as inflation has taken a back seat to the employment figures, today's data was unlikely to shift the January Fed pause pricing," wrote Ian Lyngen, head of U.S. rates strategy at BMO. "That appears to be the market's response."

          Meanwhile, recent political developments, including a Justice Department grand jury investigation into Fed Chair Jerome Powell, have failed to rattle markets. The probe has drawn support for Powell from congressional Republicans and foreign central banks, including the European Central Bank, the Bank of England, and the Bank of Canada.

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
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