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SYMBOL
LAST
BID
ASK
HIGH
LOW
NET CHG.
%CHG.
SPREAD
SPX
S&P 500 Index
6966.29
6966.29
6966.29
6978.37
6917.65
+44.83
+ 0.65%
--
DJI
Dow Jones Industrial Average
49504.06
49504.06
49504.06
49571.41
49197.06
+237.96
+ 0.48%
--
IXIC
NASDAQ Composite Index
23671.34
23671.34
23671.34
23721.15
23426.48
+191.33
+ 0.81%
--
USDX
US Dollar Index
98.520
98.600
98.520
98.960
98.410
-0.340
-0.34%
--
EURUSD
Euro / US Dollar
1.16816
1.16823
1.16816
1.16956
1.16214
+0.00507
+ 0.44%
--
GBPUSD
Pound Sterling / US Dollar
1.34547
1.34556
1.34547
1.34689
1.33903
+0.00617
+ 0.46%
--
XAUUSD
Gold / US Dollar
4589.89
4590.32
4589.89
4601.04
4512.81
+80.74
+ 1.79%
--
WTI
Light Sweet Crude Oil
58.599
58.629
58.599
59.584
58.493
-0.042
-0.07%
--

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German Finance Minister To Die Zeit Newspaper: Transatlantic Partnership "Dissolving"

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Hungarian Central Bank Governor Varga: Asked About Dec Inflation, Will Focus On Services, Food Price Developments

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Ukraine Grain Exports As Of January 12

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Hungarian Central Bank Governor Varga: Wants To See More Pass-Through Of Forint Gains Into Inflation, Especially Consumer Durables

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Indian Rupee At 90.1550 Per USA Dollar As Of 3:30 P.M. Ist, Nearly Unchanged From 90.1625 Previous Close

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Statistics: Moldova's Inflation Slows To 6.8% Year-On-Year In December

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Hungarian Central Bank Governor Varga: Good Chance To See CPI Reaching 3% At Start Of 2026

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Goldman Sachs' Hatzius: My Expectation Is That FOMC Will Continue To Make Rate Decisions On Basis Of Mandate, Data

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Germany's Merz Floats Possibility Of EU-India Trade Deal By End Of January

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India's Nifty 50 Index Extends Gains, Last Up 0.5%

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Azerbaijan Exported 12.8 Bcm Of Natural Gas To Europe In 2025- Energy Ministry

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Azerbaijan Exported 23.1 Million T Of Oil In 2025 - Energy Ministry

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Azerbaijan Oil Output At 27.7 Million T In 2025 - Energy Ministry

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Reserve Bank Of India Governor Das: To Work In The Facility's Engineering Design Services (Feed), For Several High-Capacity Trains

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London Metal Exchange (LME): Copper Inventories Decreased By 1,750 Tons, Aluminum Inventories Decreased By 2,000 Tons, Nickel Inventories Decreased By 228 Tons, Zinc Inventories Decreased By 650 Tons, Lead Inventories Decreased By 1,275 Tons, And Tin Inventories Increased By 490 Tons

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Iran's Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Baghaei Says Communication Line With US Special Envoy Remains Open In Addition To Swiss Intermediary

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Ukraine Energy Firm Dtek Says Russia Attacked Energy Infrastructure In Ukraine's Southern Odesa Region Overnight

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US Dollar Reverses Earlier Rise Against Yen, Last Down 0.08% At 157.82

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Euro Rises Above 1.1683, Highest Since 7 January

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Hungary's November Industrial Output Fell By 5.4% Year-On-Year, More Than Expected

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    SlowBear ⛅ flag
    Denis cheg
    @Denis chegOh happy to hear that, are you in any trade yet?
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    Amani Trav
    SELL AT THIS TIME 4589 RYT
    @Amani TravInteresting, and where would you be targeting for a sell?
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    @Denis cheg Nice to meet you bro
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    ifan afian flag
    Amani Trav
    SELL AT THIS TIME 4589 RYT
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    @ifan afian.
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    alpha45 flag
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    mukesh jha flag
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    HAAA HHAAA MY BRO
    Victor flag
    alpha45
    i have a question for swing traders, which is the preferrable entry tf ?
    @alpha45Which pair are you asking about?
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          Fed Independence At Risk, Updates On Inflation, Tariffs, Earnings, And More

          Samantha Luan

          Stocks

          Economic

          Summary:

          Sunday brought news that the Trump administration, through the Justice Department, was investigating Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over testimony surrounding renovations of the Fed's headquarters in Washington, D.C.

          Sunday brought news that the Trump administration, through the Justice Department, was investigating Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over testimony surrounding renovations of the Fed's headquarters in Washington, D.C.

          In an extremely unusual development, Powell released a statement and a video explicitly condemning the move by the administration as a pretext for forcing the Fed to lower interest rates.

          "The threat of criminal charges is a consequence of the Federal Reserve setting interest rates based on our best assessment of what will serve the public, rather than following the preferences of the president," Powell said. "This is about whether the Fed will be able to continue to set interest rates based on evidence and economic conditions—or whether instead monetary policy will be directed by political pressure or intimidation," Powell said.

          The move by the Trump administration comes as markets are awaiting word on who the president will nominate to be the next Fed chair. Even before Sunday's events there were widespread questions about how independent President Donald Trump's nominee will be. Powell's term as chair ends May 15.

          The initial overnight reaction in global markets was to push stock futures lower. But beyond any short-term response, the critical question will be the verdict among investors on the growing risks to the Fed independence, what that would mean for the inflation outlook, and ultimately the credibility of the US central bank.

          What to Expect from the December CPI Report

          The new year is kicking into high gear. Last Friday saw the release of the December employment report, which confirmed that the jobs market closed 2025 on a soggy note. While the report did little to shift the immediate outlook for Federal Reserve policy—no change in interest rates is expected this month—Tuesday's Consumer Price Index report could be more important in shaping the long-term outlook.

          A big question is whether the inflation data will be clean enough to draw any conclusions from. The November report showed inflation that unexpectedly cooled, but the federal government shutdown is believed to have distorted the data.

          The hope is that Tuesday's data for December will provide a somewhat clearer picture of inflation trends. Economists aren't sure if that will be the case. Broadly, forecasts call for an uptick in inflation from the shutdown-affected November readings, thanks largely to the lingering impact of Trump's tariffs and the reversals of shutdown impacts.

          A Supreme Verdict on Tariffs?

          Wednesday could bring a critical decision from the Supreme Court on the legality of Trump's tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act. (The court doesn't say whether any rulings are forthcoming, just that there will be news.)

          Press reports suggest that the justices seem skeptical of the administration's use of emergency powers to impose tariffs. But should the court rule against Trump, it wouldn't mean tariffs would go back to their pre-2025 levels, as we explain in "Watch These 6 Signals for Clues on Where Markets Will Go In 2026."

          Mortgage Math and Housing Affordability

          Mortgage-backed securities are also now on the radar. While most mainstream investors don't follow the goings-on in the MBS market, it's a critical part of mortgage rates and home-buying. Last week, President Trump announced on social media that he was instructing "representatives"— expected to be the government-sponsored agencies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac—to buy $200 billion worth of mortgage-backed bonds.

          The idea is that this would lower mortgage rates and make buying a home more affordable. Dominic Pappalardo, chief multi-asset strategist at Morningstar Wealth, notes that the announcement appeared to have an impact, with mortgage rates falling in the past week.

          But Pappalardo adds a caveat:

          Then there's the question of whether Trump's plan will have a meaningful impact beyond the knee-jerk market reaction.

          Q4 Earnings Season Kicks Off

          The other big event this coming week is the kickoff of the fourth-quarter earnings season. First up are the big banks, with JP Morgan JPM reporting on Tuesday and Wells Fargo WFC, Bank of America BAC, and Citigroup C on Wednesday.

          Source: Morningstar

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
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          Le Pen's Political Fate Hangs In The Balance As French Appeal Begins

          Winkelmann

          Political

          Economic

          Le Pen's Political Fate Hangs In The Balance As French Appeal Begins_1

          Le Pen's Political Fate Hangs In The Balance As French Appeal Begins_2
          · Le Pen was barred from running for office for five years
          · Far-right leader and her party denied misusing EU funds
          · Appeal to begin on Tuesday, outcome expected before summer
          · Le Pen cannot run in 2027 presidential election unless ruling overturned
          · Protege Jordan Bardella will be candidate if Le Pen's appeal fails

          French far-right leader Marine Le Pen begins a crucial appeal in Paris this week that will determine whether she can run in the 2027 presidential election, after being barred from public office over a conviction for misusing EU funds.

          Le Pen, the long-time leader of the far-right National Rally (RN), was seen as a likely frontrunner in the 2027 race until she was found guilty last year of misappropriating more than 4 million euros ($4.7 million) of EU funds and given a five-year ban from running for public office, effective immediately.

          Le Pen appealed, as did the RN and 10 others found guilty of diverting European Parliament funds. The hearing begins on Tuesday and should end on February 12.

          OUTCOME EXPECTED BEFORE SUMMER

          A ruling is expected before the summer, meaning her hopes of running in 2027 remain alive if her five-year ban is revoked or drastically curtailed.

          If she cannot run, Le Pen has said her protege, 30-year-old RN party president Jordan Bardella, will do so in her stead.

          U.S. President Donald Trump and senior members of his team voiced support for Le Pen after her conviction, and any move to stop her from running would likely be seized on by them in their campaign to portray European courts and officials as seeking to unfairly block far-right politicians from power.

          Trump officials last year held internal discussions about sanctioning French prosecutors and judges involved in barring Le Pen, four sources told Reuters, although those talks no longer appear to be active.

          The news, first reported by German magazine Der Spiegel, was denied by Under Secretary of State Sarah B. Rogers on X on Thursday, describing it as a "fake story".

          A State Department spokesperson said: "We do not preview potential actions."

          French government spokeswoman Maud Bregeon said on Thursday the government would remain vigilant to potential U.S. meddling after Peimane Ghaleh-Marzban, the president of the Paris judicial court, said any move against a French judge would "constitute an unacceptable and intolerable interference in the internal affairs of our country".

          Over the past year, the U.S. has imposed sanctions against 11 International Criminal Court judges involved in cases against Israel.

          LE PEN SAYS BAN POLITICALLY MOTIVATED

          Le Pen's lawyers, Rodolphe Bosselut and Sandra Chirac Kollarik, declined to comment ahead of the trial.

          Following her conviction, Le Pen accused the judiciary of politically motivated targeting, echoing rhetoric used in the U.S.

          "In the country of human rights, judges have implemented practices that we thought were reserved for authoritarian regimes," Le Pen told French TV channel TF1 at the time.

          The judges explained in their ruling that they had decided to make the ban effective immediately "to avoid irreparable harm to democratic public order".

          Opinion polls indicated that most French people supported the ruling.

          The European Parliament's lawyer Patrick Maisonneuve said he hoped Le Pen and her co-defendants' convictions would be upheld, including more than 3 million euro awarded in damages to the European Parliament. The RN was also ordered to pay a 2 million euro fine, with half the amount suspended.

          Judges said in last March's ruling that, between 2004 and 2016, Le Pen and others had used funds destined for work at the European Parliament to pay staff who were actually working for the party.

          Le Pen said the way she and her co-defendants used the money was legitimate.

          Le Pen's legal woes appear to have benefited Bardella. A poll last autumn found Bardella would win the presidency, no matter who his opponent was in the second round.

          "French people have turned the page on Marine Le Pen," Stewart Chau, an analyst with Verian Group, told Reuters.($1 = 0.8589 euros)

          Source: Reuters

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
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          Meta Shuts Over 544,000 Australian Accounts After Ban

          Justin

          Stocks

          Meta again called for better age verification measures as it complies with Australia's new social media law for under 16-year-olds

          Meta has deactivated more than half a million social media accounts belonging to children in compliance with Australia's new social media law.

          The law came into effect on December 10 and bans social media accounts for children under the age of 16. It requires big platforms including Meta, TikTok and YouTube to stop holding accounts for those under that age.

          More than half a million accounts deactivated

          Meta said that between December 4 and 11 it had deactivated 544,052 accounts it believed were held by users aged under 16. This included 330,639 accounts on Instagram, 173,497 on Facebook and 39,916 on Threads.

          Companies found not to be in compliance face fines of up to $49.5 million Australian (€28.4 million, US$33 million).

          In a statement, Meta said it was committed to complying with the law but said "our concerns about determining age online without an industry standard remain."

          "We call on the Australian government to engage with industry constructively to find a better way forward, such as incentivising all of industry to raise the standard in providing safe, privacy-preserving, age appropriate experiences online, instead of blanket bans," Meta said.

          Meta calls for better age verification measures

          The tech giant went on to renew a call for app stores to be required to verify ages and also get parental approval before apps can be downloaded.

          "This is the only way to guarantee consistent, industry-wide protections for young people, no matter which apps they use, and to avoid the whack-a-mole effect of catching up with new apps that teens will migrate to in order to circumvent the social media ban law," the company said.

          Australian public broadcaster ABC reported that government was expected to release data showing how many under-age Australians had been booted off platforms impacted by the ban this week.

          Australia's ban has been lauded by advocates worldwide, and has prompted other countries to consider similar measures, including Germany.

          Source: DW

          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
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          European Markets Set To Start The Week On A Somber Note

          Winkelmann

          Economic

          Stocks

          Lights on in skyscrapers and commercial buildings on the skyline of the City of London, UK, on Tuesday, Nov. 18, 2025. U.K. business chiefs urged Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves to ease energy costs and avoid raising the tax burden on corporate Britain as she prepares this year's budget.

          European stocks are expected to start the new trading week in negative territory as investors weigh geopolitical developments in Iran, and renewed pressure on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell.

          The U.K.'s FTSE index and Germany's DAX are seen opening 0.13% lower, France's CAC 40 flat and Italy's FTSE MIB down 0.26%, according to data from IG.

          Market watchers will be keeping an eye on the developments in Iran this week after widespread protests were met with a violent crackdown by the Iranian authorities. U.S. President Donald Trump is weighing options to take action against Iran, according to multiple reports on Sunday.

          The president has been shown potential plans, ranging from possible military strikes to action that doesn't include the military, according to MS Now and other media outlets, citing U.S. officials.

          Trump aides are reportedly set to brief the president Tuesday on measures, including military, cyber and economic, to follow through on his threats.

          In other news, U.S. Stock futures fell overnight after the Department of Justice opened a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell in an apparent escalation by Trump in his attempt to pressure the central bank.

          Powell confirmed in a video statement Sunday evening that federal prosecutors have opened a criminal investigation related to his Senate Banking Committee testimony on the renovation of Fed office buildings.

          Powell said the investigation was another attempt by Trump to influence the central bank's monetary policy and he would not bow to the pressure. His term as chair due to end in May.

          There are no major earnings or data releases in Europe on Monday.

          Source: CNBC

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          The Philippines In 2026: Can Marcos Restore Public Trust?

          Samantha Luan

          Political

          Economic

          In 2025, large-scale corruption triggered massive protests across the Philippines, which severely eroded public trust in the government and undermined the presidency of Ferdinand Marcos Jr. Can Marcos restore confidence and stability in his leadership this year?

          Marcos signed the General Appropriations Act on January 5, which prevented a re-enacted budget as he vowed to combat corruption in the bureaucracy. He assured the public that the budget does not contain anomalous insertions and programs that were previously misused by corrupt lawmakers. He added that the distribution of cash assistance and other relief measures will be done without the intervention of politicians.

          But critics pointed out that pork barrel funds are embedded in various agencies, ensuring the "allocables" of Congress members. Unprogrammed appropriations are lower this year, but the fund item is still viewed as a tool for political patronage since only the president can order its release.

          Doubts persist about the government's anti-corruption drive because of the apparent preservation of the controversial pork barrel system in the budget, and also the failure to indict and detain high-ranking officials implicated in the flood control scandal. It was Marcos who announced that elected officials and masterminds of infrastructure corruption would spend Christmas in jail. The failure to hold these officials accountable in 2025 could further diminish the government's credibility in ending impunity and corruption.

          The camp of Vice President Sara Duterte has been consistent in flagging the corruption scandals under the Marcos administration. But Duterte herself is accused of misusing her confidential funds, which became the basis of the impeachment complaint filed against her in 2024. She was impeached by the House of Representatives in February 2025, but the Supreme Court voided the complaint in July. The case is under appeal but anti-corruption advocates can already file a new impeachment complaint against Duterte in February. Duterte belittled the prospect of a new impeachment bid by arguing that people are tired of politicking, but the issue remains unresolved mainly because of her continuing refusal to account for the alleged irregularities involving her office.

          Aside from the threat of another impeachment, Duterte's family is still reeling from the continued incarceration of their patriarch, former President Rodrigo Duterte, who is under the custody of the International Criminal Court (ICC) in The Hague and is facing trial for crimes against humanity in relation to his role in the bloody "war on drugs" during his presidency.

          If Vice President Duterte succeeded in persuading the Senate and the Supreme Court to dismiss the impeachment case against her, their family failed in their ICC petition to secure an interim release for Rodrigo Duterte. This means the former president will remain under detention in Europe for an indefinite time during his trial.

          On the other hand, the Dutertes can take consolation in the fact that Vice President Duterte remains popular in public opinion surveys and enjoys a high trust rating, which they can maximize to build a formidable political machinery ahead of the 2028 presidential election.

          The high probability of another Duterte assuming the presidency in the near future has emboldened the opposition to actively pursue accountability against the vice president. Some have even expressed caution in demanding the resignation of Marcos because of the fear that it could benefit the Dutertes.

          As the Marcoses and the Dutertes vie for dominance, the opposition should avoid taking sides if they do not want to be linked to either of these notorious clans. It would be absurd for the opposition to call for the impeachment of Duterte for her alleged wanton misuse of public funds but refuse to push for an investigation into the allegation that Marcos received billions of pesos in kickbacks from government projects. The corruption crisis is an opportunity for the anti-corruption movement to mobilize citizens and work for the realization of bold reforms such as the abolition of the pork barrel system and the banning of political dynasties. They have to remind and convince the public that they represent a better alternative to traditional politicians.

          It has been a challenging year for the Philippines amid the raging corruption crisis and sluggish economy. This year, Marcos has vowed to lead the country, guided by stronger guardrails to ensure a transparent and corruption-free government. But it remains to be seen whether the Marcos government can fulfill this pledge and if the president can regain the political clout to counter the threats to his presidency and effectively lead the nation.

          Source: The Diplomat

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          Trump Weighs Military Action as Iran Protests Intensify

          James Riley

          Remarks of Officials

          Political

          Middle East Situation

          As widespread unrest challenges Iran's clerical leadership in one of the most significant movements since the 1979 Islamic Revolution, U.S. President Donald Trump has signaled that a range of strong responses, including military options, are under consideration. The administration has also confirmed contact with opposition figures as tensions escalate.

          Trump stated that Iran had initiated contact to negotiate its nuclear program, a point of contention that led to a 12-day war in June involving U.S. and Israeli bombing campaigns. He issued a stark warning to Iranian leaders, threatening a U.S. attack if security forces open fire on protesters.

          US Considers Forceful Options

          President Trump was scheduled to meet with senior advisers on Tuesday to deliberate on the U.S. strategy for Iran. According to a U.S. official and reports from The Wall Street Journal, the options on the table are comprehensive and include:

          • Direct military strikes

          • Deployment of covert cyber weapons

          • Expanded economic sanctions

          • Providing online support to anti-government activists

          "The military is looking at it, and we're looking at some very strong options," Trump told reporters aboard Air Force One on Sunday.

          Iran Issues Stern Warning Against Attack

          In response, Iranian officials have cautioned Washington against any military intervention. Parliament Speaker Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf, a former commander in the elite Revolutionary Guards, warned the U.S. not to "miscalculate."

          "Let us be clear: in the case of an attack on Iran, the occupied territories (Israel) as well as all U.S. bases and ships will be our legitimate target," Qalibaf declared.

          Protests and Casualties Mount on the Ground

          The protests, which began on December 28 over soaring prices, have since evolved into a direct challenge against the country's clerical rulers. Iranian authorities have accused the United States and Israel of instigating the turmoil and organized a nationwide rally on Monday to condemn what state media called "terrorist actions."

          The U.S.-based human rights group HRANA reported it had verified the deaths of 490 protesters and 48 security personnel, with over 10,600 people arrested. Iran has not released an official death toll, and Reuters has been unable to independently confirm these numbers.

          Figure 1: Footage shared on social media captures the scale of nighttime protests in Tehran, as large crowds march in defiance of a government crackdown.

          Information flow has been severely restricted by an internet blackout imposed since Thursday. Trump said Sunday he would speak with Elon Musk about potentially restoring internet access via the Starlink satellite service. Despite the blackout, social media footage from Tehran on Saturday showed massive crowds marching at night.

          State TV aired footage of dozens of body bags at the Tehran coroner's office, attributing the deaths to "armed terrorists." Meanwhile, families gathered at the Kahrizak Forensic Medical Centre to identify the deceased. Authorities declared three days of national mourning for "martyrs killed in resistance against the United States and the Zionist regime."

          Regional Tensions and Expert Analysis

          The crisis has put the region on high alert. Three Israeli sources confirmed that Israel's security establishment was on high alert over the weekend for any potential U.S. intervention. The situation follows a 12-day war in June 2025 between Israel and Iran, during which the U.S. attacked Iranian nuclear sites and Iran fired missiles at Israel and an American air base in Qatar.

          The unrest finds Tehran in a vulnerable position, still recovering from last year's war and with its regional influence diminished following setbacks for allies like Lebanon's Hezbollah.

          Despite the scale of the protests, some experts remain skeptical they will unseat the government. Alan Eyre, a former U.S. diplomat and Iran expert, told Reuters it was unlikely the establishment would be toppled.

          "I think it more likely that it puts these protests down eventually, but emerges from the process far weaker," Eyre said, noting the cohesion among Iran's elite and the lack of an organized opposition.

          President Trump, however, projected a different outcome on social media. "Iran is looking at FREEDOM, perhaps like never before," he posted on Saturday. "The USA stands ready to help!!!"

          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          Fed Chair Powell Under Criminal Probe Amid Political Showdown, Markets Brace for Shockwaves

          Gerik

          Economic

          Powell Confirms Criminal Investigation, Calls Out Political Pressure

          Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell disclosed on Sunday that the U.S. Department of Justice has served him with grand jury subpoenas, threatening criminal indictment. The investigation is reportedly tied to his June 2025 congressional testimony regarding the Federal Reserve’s $2.5 billion headquarters renovation in Washington, D.C. However, Powell made clear in his statement that he believes the probe is not about the renovation itself, but an effort to coerce the Fed into aligning its monetary policy with the Trump administration’s preferences.
          In a striking video posted on the Fed’s official account, Powell warned that this case is a litmus test for whether U.S. monetary policy will remain governed by economic evidence or be manipulated through political intimidation. His remarks underscore a fundamental concern: if the investigation proceeds as politically motivated, it could set a precedent that undermines the credibility of the central bank.

          Political Tensions Reach Breaking Point

          The investigation surfaced months after Representative Anna Paulina Luna (R-FL) accused Powell of perjury during his Senate testimony, claiming he misled Congress about the scale and details of the renovation project. These claims were bolstered by a referral to the DOJ, triggering the current grand jury process. Powell denies any wrongdoing, emphasizing that the Fed has been transparent with Congress throughout the project.
          President Donald Trump, during a Sunday interview, denied any involvement in the DOJ’s actions but reignited criticism of Powell’s leadership. Trump called Powell “not very good at the Fed” and mocked the cost of the Fed’s renovation project, stating it would exceed $4 billion despite official estimates being $2.5 billion. In a December statement, Trump floated the idea of suing Powell for “incompetence” and reiterated his desire to remove him from office when his term expires in May.
          Although Trump claimed the subpoenas were unrelated to interest rates, his consistent pressure on Powell to cut rates more aggressively since his return to the White House has created an environment of persistent tension. Trump’s criticism began early in Powell’s chairmanship, branding Fed officials as “boneheads” and ridiculing Powell as an inept golfer.

          Senate Backlash and Legal Uncertainty Mount

          The political backlash has been swift and bipartisan. Republican Senator Thom Tillis, a member of the Senate Banking Committee, condemned the investigation as an attack on Fed independence and pledged to oppose any Trump nominee for the Fed Board until the legal matter is resolved. Democratic Senators Elizabeth Warren and Chuck Schumer also blasted the administration, with Schumer calling the probe “bullying” and Warren accusing Trump of orchestrating a “corrupt takeover” of the Fed to install a loyalist.
          The Senate’s skepticism points to broader institutional concerns. Powell’s term as Chair ends in May 2026, but his governorship runs through January 2028. Analysts suggest Powell may choose to remain on the Board even after his chairmanship ends an unconventional but legal move that could prevent Trump from reshaping the Fed’s leadership unchallenged.
          Simultaneously, controversy is brewing over Trump’s attempt to remove Fed Governor Lisa Cook, who is contesting her removal in a case that will be reviewed by the Supreme Court later this month. Cook has denied the fraud allegations made by Bill Pulte, the Trump-appointed Director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency, further entangling the Fed in political and legal crossfire.

          Market Reactions and Economic Implications

          Financial markets reacted swiftly. Stock futures dipped after Powell’s statement, while analysts predicted further risk aversion in the trading week ahead. Krishna Guha of Evercore ISI warned of a "sell-America" reaction, likening the scenario to market dislocations seen during tariff escalations and past threats to Fed independence. A weaker dollar, falling bond prices, and rising gold already at record highs are all expected to reflect investors’ flight from U.S. risk.
          The credibility of U.S. financial governance is now under pressure. If political actors can directly influence the Fed through legal intimidation, it risks unanchoring inflation expectations and destabilizing capital flows. The correlation between institutional stability and market confidence becomes central: Powell’s legal troubles, if perceived as politically engineered, may amplify volatility far beyond interest rate expectations.

          A Defining Test for Fed Independence and U.S. Governance

          The criminal probe into Jerome Powell is no longer a mere legal proceeding it has evolved into a defining test of the Federal Reserve’s institutional autonomy. While Powell maintains that he will serve his role with integrity and uphold the Fed’s dual mandate, the Trump administration’s posture suggests it is pursuing a more aggressive strategy to reconfigure the central bank’s leadership and priorities.
          The broader impact of this standoff is both political and economic. With markets on edge, central bank independence in question, and the DOJ’s neutrality under scrutiny, the outcome of this confrontation will shape the credibility of U.S. monetary policy for years to come. Whether Powell remains as a board member after May or exits under pressure, the conflict marks a historic turning point in the relationship between American economic governance and political power.

          Source: Reuters

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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