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SYMBOL
LAST
BID
ASK
HIGH
LOW
NET CHG.
%CHG.
SPREAD
SPX
S&P 500 Index
6901.01
6901.01
6901.01
6903.47
6833.46
+14.33
+ 0.21%
--
DJI
Dow Jones Industrial Average
48704.00
48704.00
48704.00
48756.34
48099.46
+646.26
+ 1.34%
--
IXIC
NASDAQ Composite Index
23593.85
23593.85
23593.85
23606.70
23308.95
-60.30
-0.25%
--
USDX
US Dollar Index
98.310
98.390
98.310
98.370
98.260
-0.010
-0.01%
--
EURUSD
Euro / US Dollar
1.17393
1.17400
1.17393
1.17459
1.17310
+0.00010
+ 0.01%
--
GBPUSD
Pound Sterling / US Dollar
1.33860
1.33869
1.33860
1.33997
1.33742
+0.00005
0.00%
--
XAUUSD
Gold / US Dollar
4284.90
4285.24
4284.90
4290.30
4264.56
+5.61
+ 0.13%
--
WTI
Light Sweet Crude Oil
57.726
57.763
57.726
58.011
57.638
+0.085
+ 0.15%
--

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Traders Are Increasing Their Bets On A Looser Monetary Policy From The Bank Of England, Expecting A 60-basis-point Rate Cut By The End Of 2026

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Monetary Policy Committee Member: Rate Cuts In Poland Likely To Slow, Possible Cuts In 2026

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2026 APEC Meeting To Be Held On Nov 18-19 In China's Shenzhen

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Thai Net Forward Position $23.8 Billion On Dec 5 Versus$24.0 Billion On Nov 28

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China Foreign Ministry, On Jimmy Lai Verdict Due: Central Government Firmly Supports Hong Kong In Punishing Criminal Acts That Violate National Security

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Polish Central Bank's Monetary Policy Committee Member Dabrowski: We Will Definitely Slow Down With Cuts And Perhaps Enter Wait-And-See Mode For Some Time

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Pap - Polish Central Bank's Monetary Policy Committee Member Dabrowski Says Likelihood Of Further Rate Cuts In The Near Future Are Rather Lower, But There Of Course Is A Possibility For Rate Cuts Later In 2026

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China Foreign Ministry, On India's Business Visa For Chinese Professionals: Move Is In Interests Of Both Parties

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Sources Indicate That The Bank Of Japan Will Not Release An Updated Estimate Of Its Neutral Interest Rate, Nor Will It Use It As A Primary Tool For Communicating The Timing Of Rate Hikes. The Bank Of Japan Is Likely To Maintain Its Commitment To Continue Raising Interest Rates Next Week, But The Pace Of These Hikes Will Depend On The Economy's Response To Each Increase

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China Foreign Ministry: Singapore Deputy Prime Minister Will Visit Dec 15-16

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Nippon Steel President: We Have No Plans To Shut Down Blast Furnaces In Japan Under New Medium-Term Plan Through Fy2030

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UBS Shares Seen Up 1.46% Premarket

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Google: Announcing A New Collaboration With The UK National Quantum Computing Centre

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Swedish Stats Office: Swedish Seasonally Adjusted Unemployment 9.1% In November

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Turkish Central Bank Survey: Turkish End-2025 USD/Lira Seen At 43.0587(Previous 43.4245)

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Turkish Central Bank Survey: Turkish Repo Rate Seen At 20.75% In 24 Months (Previous 20.96%)

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Swedish Stats Office: Swedish Total Employment 5.275 Million People In November

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Turkish Central Bank Survey: Turkish Repo Rate Seen At 28.15% In 12 Months (Previous 29.32%)

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Turkish Repo Rate Seen At 38.21% In First Monetary Policy Committee Meeting

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Turkish Repo Rate Seen At 37.01% In Second Monetary Policy Committee Meeting

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Philadelphia Fed President Henry Paulson delivers a speech
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          Dow Jones & Nasdaq 100: Weaker Yen Lifts US Futures In Asian Trade

          Samantha Luan

          Forex

          Stocks

          Summary:

          Asian markets steady as falling JGB and Treasury yields ease yen carry trade fears, boosting sentiment for US equity futures ahead of key Fed and BoJ signals.

          Key Points:

          · Falling JGB and Treasury yields ease yen carry trade fears, boosting sentiment for Dow Jones, Nasdaq 100, and S&P 500 futures.
          · Rising bets on a December BoJ rate hike collide with speculation of a 1.5% neutral rate, influencing yen carry trade dynamics.
          · Nikkei 225 gains and USD/JPY stability signal fading unwind risks, supporting a bullish short- to medium-term outlook.

          Japanese Government Bond (JGB) yields dropped for three consecutive sessions on Thursday, December 11, easing fears of a yen carry trade unwind. However, rising bets on a December Bank of Japan rate hike continue to cushion the downside on 10-year JGB yields.

          Meanwhile, overnight US jobs data showed a spike in jobless claims, supporting a more dovish Fed policy stance. 10-year US Treasury yields dropped to a four-day low before stabilizing.

          Falling 10-year Treasury and JGB yields bolstered demand for risk assets such as US stock futures. Furthermore, easing concerns over a yen carry trade unwind supports a bullish short- to medium-term outlook for US index futures.

          JGB 10-Year – Daily Chart – 121225

          Below, I'll outline the key market drivers, the medium-term outlook, and the key technical levels traders should watch.

          Former Bank of Japan Official Signals 1.5% Neutral Rate

          Rising bets on a December BoJ rate hike collided with increasing speculation about the Bank's neutral rate. The neutral rate is where monetary policy is neither restrictive nor accommodative.

          For markets and yen carry trades, a neutral rate would influence expectations of the number of rate hikes in the BoJ's policy tightening cycle.

          A higher neutral rate would narrow US-Japan rate differentials more, making yen carry trades into assets less attractive. Conversely, a lower neutral rate would keep carry trades profitable, supporting the bullish short- to medium-term price outlook for US stock futures.

          This week, former BoJ policymaker Hideo Hayakawa warned of multiple BoJ rate hikes and a 1.5% neutral rate. Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda previously stated that there was no consensus on the neutral rate, which remained in a wide range, between 1% and 2.5%. A 1.5% neutral rate would dampen interest in yen carry trades into US assets, but keep them profitable.

          10-year JGB yield, USD/JPY, and Nikkei 225 trends suggest fading concerns about a yen carry trade unwind. The Nikkei 225 gained 0.89% in morning trading on Friday, December 12, while 10-year JGBs remained well below the December 9 high of 1.981% and USD/JPY edged 0.07% higher.

          USDJPY – Daily Chart – 121225

          FOMC Members in Focus

          Futures had a mixed Asian morning session. The Dow Jones E-mini rose 115 points, and the S&P 500 E-mini gained 4 points. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq 100 E-mini dropped 16 points, weighed down by Oracle and Broadcom. Oracle tumbled 10.83% overnight as investors reacted to the company's significant spending and weak forecasts, raising concerns about the timing of returns on investments.

          Later on Friday, traders should monitor FOMC members' speeches after Wednesday's dot plot signaled a single 2026 Fed rate cut. Dovish Fed rhetoric would lift sentiment, supporting a bullish short- to medium-term outlook for US stock futures.

          According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the chances of a March Fed rate cut increased from 42.2% on Wednesday, December 10, to 49.6% on December 11. Higher-than-expected US jobless claims raised bets on a March Fed rate cut, sending the Dow Jones E-mini futures to an all-time high.

          Key Technical Levels for Dow Jones, Nasdaq 100, and S&P 500

          Despite the mixed morning, the Dow Jones E-mini, the Nasdaq 100 E-mini, and the S&P 500 E-mini remained above their 50-day and 200-day EMAs, indicating a bullish bias.

          Near-term trends will hinge on BoJ rhetoric, 10-year US Treasury and JGB yields, USD/JPY trends, and Fed commentary. Key levels to monitor include:

          Dow Jones

          · Resistance: December 12 record high of 48,883, and then 49,000.
          · Support: 48,750, 48,000, 47,500, and then the 50-day EMA (47,176).

          Dow Jones – Daily Chart – 121225

          Nasdaq 100

          · Resistance: 25,750, 26,000, and then the October 30 record high of 26,399.
          · Support: 25,500, the 50-day EMA (25,190), 24,500, and then 24,000.

          Nasdaq 100 – Daily Chart – 121225

          S&P 500

          · Resistance: the October 30 record high of 6,954, and then 7,000.
          · Support: the 50-day EMA (6,769), 6,500, and then 6,250.

          S&P 500 – Daily Chart – 121225

          Short-Term and Medium-Term Outlook Hinges on the Fed and BoJ

          In my opinion, the short- to medium-term outlook remains bullish despite the Fed's single 2026 rate cut and hawkish BoJ policy stance. Given easing concerns about a yen carry trade unwind, rate differentials will continue to influence the near-term trends.

          Several scenarios could derail the bullish short- and medium-term outlooks, including:

          · Bank of Japan signals a 2% neutral rate and multiple rate hikes.
          · Hawkish Fed chatter, supporting one 2026 rate cut.
          · Fed QE and BoJ QT collide, narrowing rate differentials sharply, potentially triggering a yen carry trade unwind.

          Conclusion: Outlook Bullish

          In summary, a more dovish Fed policy stance would boost demand for US equity futures. However, traders should continue monitoring BoJ signals, JGB yields, the USD/JPY, and the Nikkei 225 for potential yen carry trade unwind warning signals.

          Key levels would include a USD/JPY drop to 150 and 10-year JGBs at 2%, an important level to watch. These sharp moves would likely trigger a Nikkei 225 sell-off, weighing on broader risk sentiment.

          The latest pullback in 10-year JGB yields provided some market relief. Nevertheless, yields remain elevated, exposing US stock futures to unwind risk.

          Source: FX Empire

          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
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          Wall Street Scales New Peaks Amid Sector Rotation and AI Stock Turbulence

          Gerik

          Economic

          Stocks

          Main Indexes Rise as Tech Shows Cracks

          The U.S. stock market closed with historic highs for the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average on Thursday, reflecting investor confidence in a more accommodative interest rate environment after the Federal Reserve implemented a 0.25% rate cut the day before. The Russell 2000 index also posted a strong performance, buoyed by expectations of broader economic recovery and capital inflows into small- and mid-cap stocks.
          Despite these milestones, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.26%, revealing a growing divergence between mega-cap tech and the broader market. This decoupling appears to be driven primarily by underperformance in several AI and chip-related names that had been market darlings in previous quarters.

          Oracle’s Earnings Disappointment Triggers AI Selloff

          Oracle emerged as a significant drag on tech sentiment after posting weaker-than-expected quarterly revenue, which sent its stock plummeting nearly 11%. This result not only unsettled investors about Oracle’s near-term growth trajectory but also sparked a broader re-evaluation of AI-linked valuations. Stocks like Nvidia and Micron, both key players in the AI hardware space, also experienced downward pressure.
          The Oracle shockwave came just as investors were still absorbing the implications of Broadcom’s earnings report. Although the chipmaker beat Wall Street estimates and reported net income that nearly doubled year-over-year, its shares fell 4.5% in after-hours trading. Concerns centered around long-term supply risks, including speculation that Google Broadcom’s largest client might begin producing more of its chips in-house. Analysts also flagged rising memory prices and ambiguity around the company’s AI-related partnership with OpenAI as potential margin risks.
          These developments suggest more than just a short-term pullback they indicate that investors are beginning to question whether AI-sector growth expectations remain sustainable amid competitive, operational, and pricing challenges.

          Market Rotation Reflects Shift Toward Economic Resilience

          Despite the weakness in tech, the S&P 500’s financials sector reached a fresh high, driven by solid gains from Visa and Mastercard. This suggests a rotation out of overvalued tech names into sectors that may benefit more directly from the Fed’s dovish shift and the ongoing strength in U.S. consumer spending.
          The move is not purely speculative. Fed officials signaled continued confidence in the economic outlook, suggesting a soft landing remains the base case. As long as inflation pressures remain manageable, sectors tied to domestic demand, payment infrastructure, and financial services are well-positioned for outperformance.

          Strategic Moves by Disney and SpaceX Signal Broader Transformation

          Outside of earnings, significant corporate developments continued to reshape market narratives. Disney announced a bold $1 billion investment in OpenAI and granted licensing rights for its characters to be used by Sora, OpenAI’s video generator. This represents a major bet on the convergence of generative AI and entertainment, highlighting how legacy media is seeking innovation-led rejuvenation.
          Simultaneously, Elon Musk confirmed that SpaceX will pursue an IPO in 2026. Although recent media reports had suggested a valuation near $800 billion, Musk countered that figure as inaccurate. Still, the prospect of a SpaceX listing introduces one of the most anticipated IPOs in the space and defense sector, potentially drawing massive institutional interest.

          India Emerges as a Global Asset Management Magnet

          In parallel with U.S. market activity, global fund managers are zeroing in on India. BlackRock has returned to the country through a joint venture with Jio, launching multiple mutual fund products. State Street is also reportedly exploring a stake in a local firm. These moves reflect confidence in the ongoing financialization of Indian household savings.
          India's $3.3 trillion economy is increasingly being integrated into global capital markets as more retail investors funnel money into equities and mutual funds. For asset managers seeking growth, India represents a long-term structural opportunity, further supporting capital market deepening in Asia’s third-largest economy.

          A Tale of Two Markets AI Reassessed, Broader Confidence Prevails

          The current market dynamics reflect a duality. On one hand, general optimism about economic resilience and lower rates is pushing indexes like the S&P 500 and Dow to new highs. On the other hand, cracks are appearing in the once-unshakable AI narrative, with tech stocks facing heightened scrutiny amid operational headwinds and lofty valuations.
          This rotation suggests that investor sentiment is evolving: while AI remains a long-term growth theme, near-term capital is flowing into more stable and immediately rewarding sectors. As the holiday season approaches, barring unexpected shocks, markets appear poised for a resilient close to the year albeit with a more diversified leadership than the narrow AI-led rallies seen earlier in 2025.

          Source: CNBC

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          Pinduoduo Executives Detained Over Alleged Fight With Inspectors: Sources

          Samantha Luan

          Stocks

          Economic

          At least three executives from Chinese bargain e-commerce platform Pinduoduo were detained by police last Friday after allegedly physically fighting with market regulators who were conducting an on-site inspection of the company's Shanghai headquarters, Nikkei Asia has learned.

          One official was injured in the clash, people familiar with the matter told Nikkei. The cause of the alleged altercation and the latest status of the executives is not yet clear. Such incidents at a major company are rare in China, where authorities often have much more power.

          Last week, staff from the State Administration for Market Regulation (SAMR) carried out a routine inspection at the company, part of the market watchdog's regular checks across various companies, including other Chinese tech giants. The length of such inspections can vary by project and sometimes last several days.

          The inspection of records at Pinduoduo was part of a nationwide campaign targeting food-safety issues on platforms, according to people familiar with the matter. Pinduoduo sells a wide range of food products. SAMR said in late November that it had conducted 5.7 million food-safety inspections this year and found a substandard rate of 2.74%, with most issues involving excessive pesticide residue, improper use of food additives and microbial contamination.

          "This account is false and bears no relation to reality," a Pinduoduo spokesperson told Nikkei Asia.

          SAMR did not respond to an request for comment.

          Pinduoduo, which means "together, more savings," was established in 2015 by Colin Huang, a former Google employee and the founder of multiple startups, including a gaming company. The online retailer started out selling cheap fresh groceries and swiftly diversified into other inexpensive product categories.

          As China's consumer demand weakened and a culture of "consumption downgrade" took hold, Pinduoduo quickly gained traction by selling low-priced goods. In its early years, however, the platform faced numerous complaints from users about poor-quality products. In 2018, SAMR summoned Pinduoduo over the sale of counterfeit and property rights-infringing goods, instructing the company to strengthen product oversight on the platform.

          Over the past three years, cases released by SAMR and the National Medical Products Administration have repeatedly cited merchants on Pinduoduo, sometimes along with those on other platforms, for selling fake or substandard items.

          However, Pinduoduo has been working to shed its reputation for inferior goods by rolling out a series of measures in recent years to promote high-quality merchants and crack down on problematic sellers.

          In late 2022, PDD Holdings launched cross-boarder e-commerce platform Temu to sell inexpensive products to the world. In 2023, the company's market capitalization once surpassed that of Alibaba to make it the most valuable U.S.-listed Chinese company. Now, PDD Holdings' market cap is less than half that of Alibaba's, which has been working hard on its large language model for artificial intelligence and has seen its share price surge amid China's DeepSeek-driven tech stock rally this year.

          Even before the U.S. in late August effectively suspended its de minimis exemption, which allowed goods under $800 to enter the country duty-free, Temu and rival Shein had started to shift resources to other countries. However, both platforms are facing similar challenges in Europe.

          Source: Asia_Nikkei

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          Thai PM Sets Course For Early Election Amid Border And Parliamentary Unrest

          Justin

          Political

          Economic

          Thai PM Sets Course For Early Election Amid Border And Parliamentary Unrest_1

          Thai PM Sets Course For Early Election Amid Border And Parliamentary Unrest_2
          · Anutin sets course for new election as trouble erupts in parliament
          · Thai politics dogged by turmoil in past two years
          · Government was expecting opposition to file no-confidence motion
          · Caretaker government can handle border conflict with Cambodia, PM says

          Thailand was set for an earlier than expected election after its king endorsed Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul's bid to dissolve parliament on Friday, as a border conflict with Cambodia raged and the government moved to head off a no-confidence vote.

          Anutin late on Thursday announced he was "returning power to the people", and King Maha Vajiralongkorn approved his petition to dissolve the house, according a royal gazette posting overnight, paving the way for an election as early as February.

          Anutin's play comes as an armed border conflict between Thailand and Cambodia entered into a fifth day, with at least 20 people killed, close to 200 wounded and hundreds of thousands of people displaced.

          Late on Thursday, U.S. President Donald Trump, who intervened in July the last time fighting erupted, reiterated his plan to call leaders of both countries and try to end the conflict.

          CYCLE OF POLITICAL DRAMA

          Anutin's decision to dissolve the house came less than 100 days after he was sworn in as head of a minority government, and occurred amid high drama in parliament that raised expectations that the opposition People's Party, opens new tab, the biggest force in the house, would file a no-confidence motion against him.

          The election, which must take place within 45 to 60 days, raises the spectre of even more political turmoil in Thailand, which for the past two decades has seen multiple elected governments and parties brought down by coups and court rulings in an intractable power struggle involving rival elites and progressive forces.

          Anutin was elected prime minister by parliament in September after a court removed Paetongtarn Shinawatra, opens new tab from office, with his rise only possible due to a deal he struck with the People's Party to back him, on the condition that he starts the process of amending the constitution and then dissolves the house in late January.

          But chaos ensued in a joint sitting of the legislature on Thursday over the voting process to amend the constitution. Opposition leader Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut said Anutin's party had reneged on an agreement and a government spokesperson said a no-confidence motion was being planned.

          ELECTORAL CHALLENGE FOR ANUTIN

          Anutin, an astute political deal-maker and Thailand's third prime minister in two years, faces an uphill struggle to be re-elected, with opinion polls consistently showing the liberal opposition to be the country's most popular party.

          A forerunner to the People's Party won the 2023 election on an anti-establishment platform but was blocked from forming a government by lawmakers allied with the royalist military.

          Anutin on Friday told reporters his decision to dissolve parliament would not affect management of the conflict with Cambodia and government spokesman Siripong Angkasakulkiat told Nation TV the caretaker administration has "full authority".

          Source: Reuters

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          Indian Rupee Weakness, US Trade Deal Delay Set The Tone For Broader Market Anxiety

          Winkelmann

          Forex

          Economic

          A cautious mood is back this morning, with local equities on track for a second straight weekly loss. Thursday's rebound came even as the rupee hit a fresh record low, but sentiment remains shaky thanks to persistent foreign outflows and that still-elusive US trade deal. A firmer tone across Asia may not do much to allay these concerns. In the primary market, ICICI Prudential Asset Management opens its $1.2 billion offering on Friday — a marquee listing that could make it India's second-most valuable mutual fund house on debut.

          Rupee rout risks a vicious cycle

          India's currency weakness sets the tone for broader market anxiety. The rupee hit a fresh low on Thursday, extending its relentless decline, which risks sparking a feedback loop. Currency traders say the latest drag is the outflow from both stocks and bonds — each renewed drop in the rupee makes global investors less keen to buy Indian assets. At the heart of the matter is the still-elusive US trade deal, which India's top economic advisor now says could finally happen by March. In the meantime, foreigners have yanked more than $17 billion from local shares for the year, surpassing the previous record set in 2022. They've also turned net sellers of bonds, threatening to break a five-month streak of inflows.

          Delhi's air pollution crisis fuels clean energy mandates

          In contrast to the rupee's macro pressures, worsening pollution is driving swift policy action. Recent developments around clean fuel mandates in the Delhi-NCR region should revive growth of compressed natural gas, helping distributors such as Indraprastha Gas, according to Citi. The northern state of Haryana has issued a directive that all vehicle aggregators only add CNG or electric vehicles to their fleet from next year. A policy applicable in neighboring Uttar Pradesh as well. Adding to that, from November next year, only clean fuel buses will be allowed to enter Delhi. Worsening pollution will have second order effects for the market, throwing up new winners as well as casualties.

          Shrimp makers smell opportunity in the EU

          While some sectors face volatility, India's export industries are adapting to global shifts. Shrimp exporters, for instance, are quickly reading global trends and fine tuning their strategy. Despite tariff woes, India is steadily gaining market share in the US, while key rival Ecuador appears to be losing some of its cost edge, InCred Equities says. And even with uncertainty around US demand, India may benefit as trade talks with the EU and the UK advance, likely opening markets held back by tariffs and compliance rules. InCred's top sector picks include Apex Frozen Foods and Avanti Feeds, the latter already up more than 18% this year.

          India's equity-market behavior tells its own story. Insiders are dumping shares at record levels, which suggests the market is starting to look pretty expensive — even though prices have been struggling for a while. Founder groups have sold more than $14 billion worth of shares this year, pushing the three-year total to nearly $40 billion. While retail inflows remain strong, a mix of insider selling and record initial public offerings is keeping the market on a leash

          Source: Bloomberg Europe

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          U.S. Senate Rejects Health Reform; OPEC Maintains Bullish Outlook for 2026 Oil Market

          FastBull Featured

          Daily News

          [Quick Facts]

          1. U.S. Treasury Department announces new sanctions on Venezuela.
          2. White House: The Trump Administration will continue dialogue with Russia and Ukraine.
          3. U.S. Senate rejects Republican Health Reform Proposal.
          4. Initial jobless claims in the U.S. rose to 236,000 last week, above expectations.
          5. U.S. trade deficit in September fell to the lowest level in five years.
          6. OPEC maintains forecast for global oil market balance next year, contrary to industry expectation of oversupply.
          7. Bailey: The Bank of England must continue quantitative tightening to end interest rate risk.

          [News Details]

          U.S. Treasury Department announces new sanctions on Venezuela
          On December 11th, local time, the U.S. Treasury Department announced new sanctions against Venezuela. Targets include three nephews of President Maduro and another individual. In addition, six companies accused of transporting Venezuelan oil and six vessels used to carry the country's oil have also been sanctioned.
          White House: The Trump Administration will continue dialogue with Russia and Ukraine
          On the 11th, local time, the White House stated that the Trump administration will continue dialogue with both Russia and Ukraine regarding the Ukraine issue. If there is indeed an opportunity to sign a peace agreement, the United States will send representatives to the talks, which must be productive. President Trump has been briefed on Ukraine's latest proposals. Ukrainian President Zelensky said on the 9th that, after multiple rounds of revisions, the earlier U.S.-proposed Russia–Ukraine peace plan has been split into three documents: a peace plan, a system of security guarantees, and a comprehensive program for Ukraine's post-war economic recovery. He did not disclose specific details of the three documents.
          U.S. Senate rejects Republican Health Reform Proposal
          On December 11th, local time, the U.S. Senate failed to advance a Republican-backed proposal aimed at creating health savings accounts for Americans benefiting from Affordable Care Act (ACA) subsidies. These subsidies are set to expire at the end of the year. The bill required 60 votes to pass, but was defeated by a vote of 51–48. The Senate will now consider a procedural vote on a Democratic proposal to extend the ACA for three years. Analysts expect this proposal to also fail.
          Initial jobless claims in the U.S. rose to 236,000 last week, above expectations
          The U.S. Department of Labor reported that seasonally adjusted initial jobless claims for the week ending December 6th increased by 44,000 to 236,000, higher than the market forecast of 220,000. Although claims surged, the previous week's figure had fallen to a three-year low, partly due to difficulties adjusting data during the Thanksgiving holiday period. Economists still view the labor market as being in a state of Low Hire, Low Fire. The report also showed that continuing claims for the week ending November 29th fell by 99,000 to 1.838 million on a seasonally adjusted basis.
          U.S. trade deficit in September fell to the lowest level in five years
          Due to high new tariffs imposed by the Trump administration, trade patterns were adjusted, and the U.S. trade deficit unexpectedly shrank in September to its lowest level in five years. According to the Commerce Department, exports rose month-on-month to $289.3 billion, while imports edged up to $342.1 billion. The monthly trade deficit was $52.8 billion, the lowest since mid−2020, below the market forecast of $63.1 billion and lower than the previous month's $59.3 billion, down nearly 11% month-on-month.
          OPEC maintains forecast for global oil market balance next year, contrary to industry expectation of oversupply
          On Thursday, OPEC kept its 2026 global crude supply-demand forecast unchanged, expecting the oil market to remain balanced next year, contrary to widespread market expectations of oversupply. According to the report published on OPEC's website on Thursday, for OPEC+ to achieve supply-demand balance in 2026, it would need to produce about 43 million barrels per day on average, roughly in line with last month's actual output. Commodities trading giant Trafigura said this week that 2026 could see a super surplus. While the IEA has lowered its forecasts, it still expects the largest supply surplus in history.
          Bailey: The Bank of England must continue quantitative tightening to end interest rate risk
          Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey said he wants to remove as much interest rate risk as possible from the BoE's balance sheet, arguing that holding large amounts of gilts increases the central bank's risk and that such interest rate risk should be borne by the private sector. In a prerecorded interview at a Financial Times event on Thursday, Bailey said he would seek to largely eliminate its remaining 553 billion pounds ($740 billion) of gilt holdings and shrink its position by not rolling over maturing bonds.
          Meanwhile, markets expect the BoE to cut rates by 0.25 percentage points next week, lowering the benchmark rate to 3.75%, and foresee another cut in the first quarter of next year. Markets estimate UK inflation will slow to 3.1% in Q1 next year and further ease to 2.4% in Q2.

          [Today's Focus]

          UTC+8 15:00 UK October GDP
          UTC+8 21:00 Philadelphia Fed President Paulson speaks on economic outlook
          UTC+8 21:30 Canada October wholesale sales month-on-month
          UTC+8 21:30 Cleveland Fed President Hammack speaks
          UTC+8 23:35 Chicago Fed President Goolsbee speaks
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
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          Oil Prices Rise As US Reportedly Plans More Seizures Of Venezuelan Oil

          Samantha Luan

          Commodity

          Economic

          Oil prices rose in Asian trading on Friday after sharp losses in the previous session, supported by a report that the U.S. is preparing to intercept more tankers carrying Venezuelan oil, stoking supply disruption worries.

          As of 20:50 ET (01:50 GMT), Brent Oil Futures expiring in February rose 0.5% to $61.61 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures gained 0.6% to $57.95 per barrel.

          Unlock exclusive crude market insights, real-time revisions, and price forecasts with an InvestingPro subscription - get 55% off today

          Both contracts declined 1.5% on Thursday, hitting over a seven-week low on Ukraine peace prospects and rising U.S. gasoline and distillate inventories.

          Oil was set to lose more than 3% this week.

          US reportedly plans more seizures off Venezuela's coast

          Prices firmed after a Reuters report, citing sources, said the U.S. is readying additional interdictions following this week's seizure of the tanker Skipper off Venezuela's coast.

          The potential move marks a significant escalation in Washington's sanctions enforcement and has prompted shipowners to reassess voyages involving Venezuelan crude, the report said.

          The U.S. has assembled a target list of several more sanctioned tankers for possible seizure, the report added.

          The prospect of further disruptions to sanctioned flows added a risk premium to the market, helping Brent and West Texas Intermediate recover some ground.

          Gains capped by Ukraine peace prospects

          However, gains remained capped as attention turned back to ongoing diplomatic efforts between Russia and Ukraine.

          Any progress toward a negotiated settlement could eventually reshape sanctions policy on Russian energy exports and shift expectations around global supply.

          Earlier this week, oil eased when early signs of movement in the talks emerged, underscoring the market's responsiveness to any de-escalation signals.

          Uncertainty over European geopolitical diplomacy has kept crude directionally constrained.

          Source: Investing

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
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