Copper Hits Record in China, Jumps in New York on Supply Concern

Commodity

Summary:

Copper’s latest leg-up on Friday came as precious metals also bolted higher, with gold, silver and platinum all surging to record highs in a powerful end-of-year rally that has dominated global commodity markets.

Copper surged to a record in Shanghai and rallied in New York, adding to substantial annual gains as investors bet on tighter global supplies in 2026, while also pricing in the impact of a weaker US dollar.

In China, prices gained as much as 4.7% to trade near 100,000 yuan ($14,270) a ton on the Shanghai Futures Exchange for the first time. Futures traded on the Comex in New York climbed as much as 5.6% to $5.8075 a pound, the highest intraday level since an unprecedented short squeeze in July. Benchmark trading on the London Metal Exchange will reopen on Monday after the Christmas break.

Copper Hits Record in China, Jumps in New York on Supply Concern_1

Metals have made big gains in December, rounding off a year in which trade dislocations, geopolitical uncertainties, and supply shocks have combined to shake up the industry. On the demand side, copper is expected to be a major beneficiary of the world’s energy transition, helping to make it one of biggest winners in 2025, with a gain of roughly 42% in New York.

Earlier this year, Comex copper contracts spiked to a record in anticipation that US President Donald Trump would impose tariffs. While he ultimately excluded the most widely-traded form of the commodity from levies, that decision is due for a review in 2026. A continued rush of metal into the US has spurred concerns buyers elsewhere may end up scrambling for supplies.

Prices received an additional lift in recent sessions from a slump in the US dollar, with a Bloomberg gauge of the currency on pace for the biggest weekly loss since June. That shift makes raw materials cheaper for most buyers.

Source: Bloomberg

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Manuel

Commodity

Gold (GC=F) and silver (SI=F) investors are taking a victory lap this year as crypto bulls are left in the dust.

On Friday, gold futures rose above $4,550 to hover at or near record highs, capping a year marked by more than 50 such records.

Meanwhile, silver also jumped over $75 per ounce, extending its year-to-date gains to 150% in a parabolic rally driven by concerns about physical shortages during a time of robust industrial demand. Platinum (PL=F) and copper (HG=F) have also soared to records this year.

Some investors have been quick to point out the divergence between the metals industry and cryptocurrency, which has been led by a sharp leg lower from bitcoin (BTC-USD) in recent weeks.

"With gold now up almost 70% in 2025 and most cryptocurrencies negative, the time has come for the crypto crowd to switch to gold, " Louis Navellier, founder of Navellier & Associates, noted earlier this week.

Navellier points to central bank purchases, lower volatility, and improved liquidity in the gold market compared with cryptocurrencies.

Meanwhile, gold bull Peter Schiff, a notorious critic of crypto, stated on X, "If Bitcoin won’t go up when tech stocks rise, and it won’t go up when gold and silver rise, when will it go up? The answer is: it won’t."

The metals' climb to all-time highs comes as crypto is on track to end the year in negative territory, with bitcoin trying to avoid a third consecutive losing month.

The world’s largest cryptocurrency has diverged from stocks for the first time since 2014, despite a favorable regulatory environment and increasing crypto adoption on Wall Street.

The token has struggled to recover after long-term holders sold, and forced liquidations sent prices sliding roughly 30% from record highs near $126,000 in October to just over $87,000 on Friday.

Fundstrat's head of digital assets Sean Farrell said he isn't surprised that bitcoin has been trading in a tight range recently.

"Santa rallies are normally characterized by folks selling losers, buying winners into the year-end," said Farrell in a client video earlier this week.

"I just think a lot of folks are not stepping in here to put on a lot of risk in an asset that has underperformed for the better part of the last couple of months," he added.

The strategist said he believes there is a compelling setup for a bounce in January, as inflows are expected to increase from investors adopting bitcoin for their long-term portfolios.

"Assuming that December closes red ... history does suggest that January will be green," Farrell said.

This would mark a rare instance of bitcoin closing lower for three consecutive months, an event that has occurred just 15 times.

Crypto research firm 10X Research also noted a near-term bitcoin bounce could be in the cards.

"This may be an opportune moment to attempt a more durable rebound, as the ingredients for one are finally in place: a 30% correction, a 2.5-month decline, and technical indicators that have fully reset, conditions that have historically supported multi-week and potentially multi-month recoveries," a note from the firm on Friday said.

Wall Street strategists, meanwhile, have revised down their price targets, with Standard Chartered recently cutting its year-end bitcoin price target to $100,000 from $200,000.

The firm's head of digital assets, Geoff Kendrick, also slashed his 2026 target to $150,000 from $300,000.

Source: Reuters

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Manuel

Political

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy will discuss territorial issues, the main stumbling block in talks to end the war, with U.S. President Donald Trump in Florida on Sunday, as a 20-point peace framework and a security guarantees deal near completion.

Announcing the meeting, Zelenskiy said that "a lot can be decided before the New Year," as Washington continues to drive efforts to end Russia's full-scale war in Ukraine, Europe's deadliest conflict since World War Two.

"As for the sensitive issues: we will discuss both Donbas and the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant. We will certainly discuss other issues as well," he told reporters in a WhatsApp chat.

Russia wants Ukraine to withdraw from the parts of the eastern Donetsk region that its troops have failed to occupy during almost four years of war, as it seeks full control of the Donbas, comprising the Donetsk and Luhansk regions. Kyiv wants fighting to be halted at current battle lines.

The U.S., seeking a compromise, proposed a free economic zone if Ukraine leaves the area. It remained unclear how that zone would function in practical terms.

Territorial issues remain a hurdle to negotiations moving forward. Any compromises on territory should be decided by the Ukrainian people in a potential referendum, Zelenskiy said.

The Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant, Europe's biggest, is located on the front line and controlled by Russian forces.

LEADERS TO REFINE DETAILS IN US MEETING

Zelenskiy added his meeting with Trump aimed to "refine things" in the drafts and discuss potential deals on Ukraine's economy.

He said he was not ready to say if any deal would be signed during his visit, but Ukraine was open to it.

A security guarantees agreement between Ukraine and the U.S. was "almost ready" and the 20-point plan draft was at 90% completion, Zelenskiy added.

Wary of failed guarantees from allies in the past, Ukraine is seeking robust and legally-binding deals to prevent any further Russian aggression.

The White House did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Trump, who has at times expressed frustration with the slow pace of progress in the negotiations, previously suggested that he would meet with Zelenskiy if he felt that a major diplomatic advance was possible.

European leaders might join the talks online, according to Zelenskiy. On Friday, he discussed "significant progress" in peace efforts with Finland's President Alexander Stubb.

RUSSIAN DEMANDS

It was not clear which peace plan proposals Moscow would be willing to accept.

Putin's foreign policy aide, Yuri Ushakov, spoke with members of the Trump administration after Moscow received U.S. proposals about a possible peace deal, the Kremlin said on Friday.

When asked how Moscow viewed the documents, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said he did not want to comment as Russia felt making remarks in public could undermine the negotiations.

Russia's Kommersant newspaper reported that Putin told some of Russia's top businessmen that he might be open to swapping some territory controlled by Russian forces elsewhere in Ukraine, but that in exchange he wanted the whole of the Donbas.

Even as the talks proceeded, Russia continued hammering Ukraine's energy infrastructure and stepped up attacks on the southern region of Odesa, the site of Ukraine's main seaports. On Friday, a Russian attack on the northeastern city of Kharkiv killed two.

Zelenskiy said he planned to raise the issue of placing additional pressure on Russia with Trump.

Source: Reuters

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Justin

Palestinian-Israeli conflict

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu speaks during a joint press conference with Cypriot President Nikos Christodoulides and Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis (not pictured) after a trilateral meeting at the Citadel of David Hotel, in Jerusalem, December 22, 2025. ABIR SULTAN/Pool via REUTERS

Dec 26 (Reuters) - Israel became the first country to formally recognise the self-declared Republic of Somaliland as an independent and sovereign state on Friday -- a decision that could reshape regional dynamics and test Somalia's longstanding opposition to its secession.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Israel would seek immediate cooperation with Somaliland in agriculture, health, technology and the economy. In a statement he congratulated Somaliland's president, Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi, praised his leadership and invited him to visit Israel.

Netanyahu said the declaration "is in the spirit of the Abraham Accords, signed at the initiative of President Trump."

The 2020 accords were brokered by Trump's first administration and included Israel formalising diplomatic relations with the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain, with other countries joining later.

Netanyahu, Foreign Minister Gideon Saar and Somaliland's president signed a joint declaration of mutual recognition, the Israeli statement said.

Abdullahi said in a statement that Somaliland would join the Abraham Accords, calling it a step toward regional and global peace. He said Somaliland was committed to building partnerships, boosting mutual prosperity and promoting stability across the Middle East and Africa.

Egypt meanwhile said Foreign Minister Badr Abdelatty held phone calls on Friday with his counterparts from Somalia, Turkey and Djibouti to discuss what they described as dangerous developments in the Horn of Africa following Israel's announcement.

The ministers condemned Israel's recognition of Somaliland, reaffirmed their full support for Somalia's unity and territorial integrity, and warned that recognising breakaway regions poses a threat to international peace and security, Egypt's foreign ministry said.

Somaliland has enjoyed effective autonomy - and relative peace and stability - since 1991 when Somalia descended into civil war, but the breakaway region has failed to receive recognition from any other country.

Over the years, Somalia has rallied international actors against any country recognising Somaliland.

The former British protectorate hopes that recognition by Israel will encourage other nations to follow suit, increasing its diplomatic heft and access to international markets.

In March, Somalia and its breakaway region of Somaliland also denied receiving any proposal from the United States or Israel to resettle Palestinians from Gaza, with Mogadishu saying it categorically rejected any such move.

Reporting by Maayan Lubell and George Obulutsa and Abdi Sheikh in Mogadishu, and Hatem Maher in Egypt; Writing by Tala Ramadan; Editing by Louise Heavens and Howard Goller

Source: Reuters

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Justin

Stocks

Target Corp. shares rose on Friday after the Financial Times reported that an activist investor built up a stake in the big-box retailer, citing people it didn't identify.

Toms Capital Investment Management has made a significant investment in Target, the FT said, without disclosing further details.

Target shares jumped as much as 6.7% on Friday. The stock is headed for an annual decline of about 25% following a difficult year in which the company lost market share and sales slumped.

In response to a request for comment, Target said it maintains "regular dialogue with the investment community" and its top priority is "getting back to growth." The company said its plan to improve its merchandise, shopping experience and technology "will drive the business forward and deliver sustained, long-term value for shareholders."

Source: Bloomberg Europe

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Devin

Forex

A Bloomberg gauge of the dollar headed for its worst week since June and Treasuries rose as traders looked to data due early next month to confirm expectations for further Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts in 2026.

With trading subdued because of holidays this week and markets in the UK closed Friday, investors' attention has largely turned to major economic reports out of the US expected in the first few weeks of January. The December jobs report and consumer inflation readings, in particular, will help chart the Fed's next steps after officials reduced borrowing costs this month for the third straight meeting to support growth.

The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index edged lower on Friday and is down about 0.8% this week. It has declined around 8% this year, which would be its steepest annual drop since 2017. The measure is also set for its lowest close since September. Risk-sensitive currencies like the Australian dollar and Norway's krone led gains against the greenback on the week among major peers.

"Liquidity was thin this week, and that didn't help the dollar, which was already in a relatively weak position," said Andrew Hazlett, a foreign-exchange trader at Monex Inc. "Looking ahead, our focus is going to be on inflation numbers as guidance for the Fed's next cut."

The greenback's decline has coincided with gains in Treasuries, with US 10-year yields falling about three basis points this week to 4.12%, within the range of the past couple of weeks. Traders see about a 90% probability that the Fed will stay put next month. But they're betting on another quarter-point cut by mid-year, and one more several months later.

US unemployment data released this month showed the jobless rate rising to its highest since 2021, while data on consumer inflation showed lower-than-expected readings.

Traders have bolstered expectations for a weaker US currency for five days in a row, with a key options gauge now at the most bearish on the greenback in more than three months.

Source: Bloomberg Europe

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Samantha Luan

Forex

Economic

The White House will unveil new details on President Donald Trump's planned East Wing ballroom during a hearing early next month, according to a federal commission tasked with reviewing the project.

The new ballroom, which Trump has said would cost $400 million and would dwarf the adjacent White House building, has been challenged in court by preservationists, while Democratic lawmakers have called it an abuse of power and are investigating which donors are supporting it.

The National Capital Planning Commission, chartered by Congress to manage planning for Washington-area federal lands, said on its website that the White House will provide an "information presentation" on plans to rebuild the East Wing during a commission meeting on January 8.

The White House did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

The commission, chaired by a White House aide and onetime personal lawyer to Trump, Will Scharf, has declined to review the demolition of the former East Wing, preparation activities at the site, or potential effects to historic properties, in what would mark the biggest change to the historic property in decades.

The National Trust for Historic Preservation, a nonprofit organization chartered by Congress, is suing to halt the construction, arguing that the proposed 90,000 square foot (8,360 square meter) ballroom would dwarf the rest of the White House, at 55,000 square feet.

The judge in the case earlier this month declined to issue a temporary restraining order against work on the project, noting among other things that the size, scale and other specifications had not been finalized. Another hearing is scheduled for next month.

The president, a one-time real estate developer, has taken a hands-on role in what he has described as sprucing up the White House and the U.S. capital city ahead of celebrations next year marking the Declaration of Independence's 250th anniversary.

He has also proposed a new grand arch near Washington, while decorating the Oval Office extensively in gold leaf and installing plaques there offering his personal take on his predecessors' legacies.

The former East Wing was largely demolished in October, with comparatively little public notice or consultation.

In a recent notice posted online, the planning commission said a formal review taking place this coming spring will consider topics including lines of sight, public space and landscapes. Members of the public will be allowed to submit comments or testify during the review, it said.