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I have 5 years of experience in financial analysis, especially in aspects of macro developments and medium and long-term trend judgment. My focus is maily on the developments of the Middle East, emerging markets, coal, wheat and other agricultural products.
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The US dollar (USD) has been weak recently. The possibility of slowing down inflation and recession fears are not well supportive of a sharp rise in the USD. Therefore, the USDJPY is confined to the rally and adjustment in oscillation in the short term.
135.200
Entry Price
132.600
TP
137.800
SL
120.9
Pips
Loss
132.600
TP
136.409
Exit Price
135.200
Entry Price
137.800
SL
The CNY exchange rate depreciated for two consecutive days after the PBOC announced a cut in the medium-term lending facility (MLF). July financial data showed that the current willingness to credit in the real economy is relatively low, with insufficient economic dynamism. The changes in the macroeconomic environment also exerted certain pressure on the CNY. As a result, the PBOC cut the interest rate. Meanwhile, monetary policy could be further eased in order to stabilize and recover the economy. In terms of the intraday market trend of the A-share, the A-share index continued to maintain oscillation in the morning session on Tuesday. The momentum of the markets is moderate, with the overall trend unclear. There is a need for a clear trend to follow the direction. If the index maintains the oscillation pattern during the session while the sector rotation is bullish, it is then recommended to go long.
13782.40
Entry Price
13940.00
TP
13525.00
SL
1976.5
Pips
Loss
13525.00
SL
13584.75
Exit Price
13782.40
Entry Price
13940.00
TP
EURUSD has been developing in a downward channel since February and only a break above the 1.0370 handle will turn the outlook to neutral. For now, the pair remains in a strongly negative mode for the longer term.
1.02100
Entry Price
1.00430
TP
1.03690
SL
--
Pips
EXPIRED
1.00430
TP
0.99988
Exit Price
1.02100
Entry Price
1.03690
SL
From the logic of institutional trading, when the price falls below or breaks the range consolidation, it means that the current purchase cost has been fully recovered. Otherwise, the price will not break through the consolidation, or it will not be too far away from the price range.
1775.00
Entry Price
1760.00
TP
1803.00
SL
47.4
Pips
Profit
1760.00
TP
1770.26
Exit Price
1775.00
Entry Price
1803.00
SL
The UK's three-month ILO unemployment rate for June was 3.8%, compared with 3.80% expected; the unemployment rate for July was 3.9%, compared with 3.90% previously; unemployment claims for July fell by 10,530,000, the smallest drop since February 2021.
1.21700
Entry Price
1.20600
TP
1.22800
SL
--
Pips
EXPIRED
1.20600
TP
1.17178
Exit Price
1.21700
Entry Price
1.22800
SL
The growth of major macroeconomic indicators in July, which were newly released, all fell slightly, indicating a slowdown in economic repair. We believe that an important reason for the failure of the economy to continue its strong recovery in July lies in the fact that the real estate market was hit again. Recently, the PBOC announced a 10 basis point (BP) cut each in the medium-term lending facility (MLF) and the 7-day reverse repo rate, with the clear intention of stabilizing housing loans. The market expects the 5-year Loan Prime Rate (LPR) to be announced 5 days later to follow the cut.
6.80245
Entry Price
6.87500
TP
6.73120
SL
357.8
Pips
Profit
6.73120
SL
6.83823
Exit Price
6.80245
Entry Price
6.87500
TP
Both supply and demand are unfavorable for oil prices. Technically, it breaks below and faces the risk of further decline, which may drop to the weekly support level of 84.0.
89.500
Entry Price
84.000
TP
94.600
SL
245.3
Pips
Profit
84.000
TP
87.047
Exit Price
89.500
Entry Price
94.600
SL
Winkelmann
Analyst
7 years of stock market, foreign exchange, precious metal and other trading and analysis experience, based on fundamental, technical support, biased towards the top-down transaction logic, focusing on macro cycle and risk control, multi-purpose supply and demand theoretical prediction price Changes, balances the impact of transactions, chips distribution and market sentiment, and steady.
Ranking
2
Articles
375
Win Rate
66.27%
P/L Ratio
1.29
Focus on
XAUUSD, BRENT, USDJPY
Silver Holds the $27 Support Level, Seeking Buying Opportunities
TRADINGOil Bulls' Confidence Dented as Geopolitical Risks Cool Down
PENDINGBulls Suffer Greatly Amid Ongoing Corrections
PENDINGGains Might Be Illusionary After Bitcoin Halving
PENDINGBuying Low Is Preferred under A Solid Bullish Pattern
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