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SYMBOL
LAST
ASK
BID
HIGH
LOW
NET CHG.
%CHG.
SPREAD
SPX
S&P 500 Index
6978.59
6978.59
6978.59
6988.81
6958.82
+28.36
+ 0.41%
--
DJI
Dow Jones Industrial Average
49003.40
49003.40
49003.40
49157.80
48862.52
-408.99
-0.83%
--
IXIC
NASDAQ Composite Index
23817.11
23817.11
23817.11
23865.26
23694.38
+215.76
+ 0.91%
--
USDX
US Dollar Index
95.960
96.040
95.960
96.080
95.660
+0.420
+ 0.44%
--
EURUSD
Euro / US Dollar
1.19763
1.19770
1.19763
1.20439
1.19616
-0.00629
-0.52%
--
GBPUSD
Pound Sterling / US Dollar
1.37808
1.37819
1.37808
1.38466
1.37674
-0.00661
-0.48%
--
XAUUSD
Gold / US Dollar
5264.93
5265.34
5264.93
5311.48
5157.13
+86.35
+ 1.67%
--
WTI
Light Sweet Crude Oil
62.576
62.606
62.576
62.989
61.932
+0.139
+ 0.22%
--

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Question Of Putin, Zelenskiy Meeting Was Raised Several Times In Putin-Trump Call

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[Report Shows Nearly 60% Of Surveyed US Companies Plan To Increase Investment In China] The China Council For The Promotion Of International Trade (CCPIT) Released The "2026 China Business Environment Survey Report" On The 28th, Compiled By The American Chamber Of Commerce In China. The Report Shows That Nearly 60% Of Surveyed US Companies Plan To Increase Their Investment In China. According To The Recently Released Report, Over Half Of The Surveyed US Companies Operating In China Expect To Achieve Profitability Or Significant Profitability By 2025, And Over 70% Of The Surveyed Companies Are Not Currently Considering Transferring Production Or Procurement Outside Of China. Wang Wenshuai, Spokesperson For The CCPIT, Stated At A Regular Press Conference Held That Day That This Reflects, From One Perspective, That China Will Undoubtedly Remain A Fertile Ground For Foreign Investment And Business Development For A Long Time To Come

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Paris-Denmark Prime Minister­:­ I Think There Are Som Lessons Learned For Europe In The Last Weeks

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French President Macron: We Are Ready To Act Together At Any Time

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Deutsche Bank: We Are Cooperating Fully With Prosecutor's Office. We Cannot Comment Further On This Matter

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French President Macron: France Backs Reinforcement Of Defence Position In Arctic Region

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US President Trump: The Next Attack On Iran Will Be Worse Than The Attack On Its Nuclear Facilities

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French President Macron: France Reiterates Support To Greenland

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Trump: Hopefully Iran Comes To The Table

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Trump: Next Attack On Iran Will Be Far Worse

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Trump: Larger Fleet Than That Sent To Venezuela

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Trump: A Massive Armada Is Heading To Iran. It Is Moving Quickly

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TotalEnergies Executive: LNG Buyers Prioritising Supply Security Over Price

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Bank Of America Will Match The USA Government's $1000 Pilot Contribution For All Eligible USA Teammates To Trump Accounts

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The US MBA Mortgage Application Activity Index Fell 8.5% Week-over-week For The Week Ending January 23, Compared To 14.1% Previously

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US Mortgage Refinance Index Falls 15.7 Percent To 1332.2 In Jan 23 Week

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US Average 30-Year Mortgage Rate Rises 8 Bps To 6.24 Percent In Jan 23 Week

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US Mortgage Purchase Index Falls 0.4 Percent To 193.3 In Jan 23 Week

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US Mortgage Market Index -8.5 Percent To 363.3 In Week Ended Jan 23

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Israel Shekel Hits 30-Year High Versus Dollar At Rate Of 3.085

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Q&A with Experts
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    SlowBear ⛅ flag
    3469449
    @SlowBear ⛅alright
    @3469449 That is very cool bro,
    SlowBear ⛅ flag
    3469449
    i am just here for market check
    @3469449 That is cool, so you are mostly into the crypto market right?
    EuroTrader flag
    3469449
    i am just here for market check
    @Visitor3469449Okey it's all good to actually do market survey to explore other markets
    miki maka flag
    SlowBear ⛅ flag
    miki maka
    @miki makai agree bro the first correction is alomost done and from there we might see the next rally towards 5350
    SlowBear ⛅ flag
    miki maka
    @miki makathe scond corrective wave is much suitable for post FOMC and that is more suited for my swing plan - Thanks for sharing
    miki maka flag
    SlowBear ⛅
    @SlowBear ⛅ok my brother
    SlowBear ⛅ flag
    miki maka
    @miki makaAre you in any position on gold as of now? or you are waiting for one of the setups you just shared to play out?
    miki maka flag
    SlowBear ⛅
    @SlowBear ⛅I close 5300 i wait another set up
    EuroTrader flag
    miki maka
    @miki makaI love your chart Markup my friend. Do you have limit orders at that price level?
    SlowBear ⛅ flag
    miki maka
    @miki makaWow 5300 close that is awesome - i could not bring myself to closing 5300 to be honest but i will addd somemore and maybe close the earliers at a better level and leave the newst to run
    SlowBear ⛅ flag
    miki maka
    @miki makaI must say again, those setup are mind blowing, well done!
    miki maka flag
    SlowBear ⛅
    @SlowBear ⛅thank you bro
    SlowBear ⛅ flag
    miki maka
    @miki maka You are very welcome, when you get an entry keep me posted bro! So nice!
    SlowBear ⛅ flag
    miki maka
    @miki maka I still had to check again like this is impressive - talk about perfect setup - it covers all major bullish scenarios! Trading is simple when you know what you are doing - And this speaks volume!
    EuroTrader flag
    EuroTrader flag
    EuroTrader
    @miki makaThis would be the money printer for the day? Pay attention to how the euro trades in the coming New York session
    EuroTrader flag
    3469753 flag
    how i van buy or sell
    Market Sniper🎯 flag
    Hello everyone 👋 I’m a Forex trader focused mainly on Gold (XAUUSD), using structured price action and disciplined risk management. I currently offer: 📌 Account management 📌 Trade guidance / session scalping 📌 Market structure analysis on Gold No false promises — just patience, consistency, and proper execution. If anyone is interested in account management or trade collaboration, feel free to send a DM for details. Let’s grow with discipline, not hype.
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          Why Xi Jinping Purged His Top General

          Isaac Bennett

          Political

          Summary:

          China's top general, a Xi ally, purged for graft, exposing military rot and political instability.

          The arrest of Zhang Youxia, China's highest-ranking general, has sent a political earthquake through the Chinese Communist Party. Alongside fellow senior general Liu Zhenli, Zhang stands accused of "grave violations of discipline and the law"—a common euphemism for corruption.

          This isn't just another takedown. Zhang is the most powerful figure purged during Xi Jinping's rule and, until recently, was considered one of the president's closest and most trusted allies.

          A Shock Purge Hits Xi's Inner Circle

          Xi appointed Zhang as the first-ranking vice chairman of the Central Military Commission (CMC) in 2022, making him the top operational commander of the armed forces, second only to Xi himself. Their connection was deeply personal; their fathers were comrades, and they had known each other since childhood.

          While Xi has removed numerous generals in his long-running anti-corruption campaign, this move is different. The purge has shrunk the normally seven-member CMC leadership to just two: Xi and Zhang Shengmin, a political commissar who has led previous investigations.

          The speed of the event was also unprecedented. Typically, months pass between an official's disappearance and a public announcement of charges. Yet, Zhang and Liu were absent from a senior officials' meeting on a Tuesday and publicly denounced just four days later. This rapid timeline suggests an urgent effort to preempt any potential unrest within the military.

          Debunking the Rumors Behind the Arrests

          The reasons for such a drastic move remain opaque, sparking widespread speculation. However, several popular theories seem unlikely.

          • Armed Standoff: Rumors of a dramatic armed confrontation during the arrests are almost certainly false. Such stories are a common feature of the overseas Chinese rumor mill but rarely have a basis in reality.

          • Doctrinal Disagreement: A simple policy dispute over military training or preparedness would not warrant such a high-profile purge. Xi could have easily pushed Zhang into retirement, especially since he had already granted him an exception to serve past the official retirement age.

          • Passing Nuclear Secrets: A report that Zhang passed nuclear secrets to the United States also appears weak. This is likely a misunderstanding based on secondhand reports or flimsy evidence, such as discussions of nuclear policy in official meetings with American counterparts.

          The Real Reason: A Deep-Rooted Corruption Crisis

          The most plausible explanation points to the fallout from an investigation Xi launched into the People's Liberation Army (PLA) following Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine. The inquiry into PLA readiness uncovered two alarming problems: rampant corruption within the PLA Rocket Force and a systemic culture of graft tied to military promotions.

          The findings reportedly shocked Xi, who believed his purges in the mid-2010s had already cleaned up the military. This was not merely an issue of discipline but of national security. Between 2007 and 2012, the CIA was discovered to have paid the "promotion fees" for its Chinese assets, effectively bribing their way up the PLA hierarchy.

          Official editorials on this latest purge reinforce this theory, stressing the themes of entrenched corruption and the absolute necessity of party control over the army.

          As disciplinary investigations ensnared one general after another, it's possible that the remaining leaders felt their positions becoming untenable. Some analysts suspect a desperate Zhang and Liu may have started asserting their own authority or even contemplated a move against Xi. This would have confirmed Xi's worst fears, convincing him that swift action was necessary for his own political survival and the PLA's future.

          A Military in Turmoil: The Fallout from Xi's Crackdown

          More purges are likely to follow, which does not bode well for China's military capabilities. Historically, purges leave armies ill-prepared for war.

          While Zhang was not a military mastermind, he was a competent administrator and one of the very few PLA members with direct combat experience, having served as a commander in China's 1979 invasion of Vietnam. His removal is a tangible loss of experience.

          The greater damage, however, is to the military's internal culture. Under Xi, state institutions have seen the mediocre and incompetent rise, while the talented and assertive have been sidelined or have left for the private sector. Anti-corruption drives accelerate this trend. In a system where nearly everyone is implicated in some way, the only defense is to attack others for disloyalty.

          What This Means for Taiwan and Xi's Grip on Power

          There is a silver lining to this internal turmoil: it makes Chinese military adventurism, including a potential invasion of Taiwan, less likely in the near term. Before Xi can trust the PLA to execute such a complex operation, he needs to be confident that its personnel and corruption-induced logistical nightmares have been resolved.

          While a weakened officer corps may produce more yes-men, there is little to suggest Xi has succumbed to the kind of delusional nationalism that drove Vladimir Putin to invade Ukraine. Xi's rhetoric on "unstoppable reunification" with Taiwan has remained largely consistent with the positions of his predecessors for decades.

          For Xi himself, purging men he personally appointed damages his credibility but simultaneously demonstrates his absolute power. In the long run, however, his legacy is already burdened. Many Chinese view him as a failed leader due to the disastrous zero-COVID policies, the collapse of the real estate sector, economic stagnation, and rising social discontent.

          Pervasive Fear and the Prospect of a Coup

          By breaking the unwritten rule against targeting those in his innermost circle, Xi has fostered even greater instability within the party's institutions. This may inadvertently create the conditions for a future coup.

          However, the pervasive fear, mutual distrust, and sophisticated electronic surveillance that define modern China make the coordination required for such a move extraordinarily difficult. Any serious challenge to Xi's rule would likely only be possible if he appeared visibly weak, perhaps due to a severe illness.

          For now, he remains China's sole strongman.

          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          Kallas Urges Stronger European NATO Amid US Pivot

          Isaac Bennett

          Remarks of Officials

          Political

          Russia-Ukraine Conflict

          The European Union's foreign policy chief, Kaja Kallas, has declared that Europe must fundamentally increase its role within the NATO alliance, citing a deep-seated shift in its relationship with Washington following Donald Trump's return to the White House.

          Speaking at the European Defense Agency's annual conference, Kallas argued that Trump has "shaken the transatlantic relationship to its foundation." While European leaders had initially tried to maintain positive relations to preserve US support for Ukraine, a turning point came after Trump's threats to take Greenland from Denmark, a key NATO ally.

          A Structural Shift in Transatlantic Relations

          Kallas was direct about the changing geopolitical landscape, insisting that while strong ties with the US remain a goal, Europe must confront a new reality.

          "Let me be clear: we want strong transatlantic ties. The US will remain Europe's partner and ally," she stated. "But Europe needs to adapt to the new realities. Europe is no longer Washington's primary center of gravity."

          EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas argues for greater European self-reliance at the European Defense Agency's annual conference.

          She emphasized that this change is not temporary but a long-term structural development. To ensure its own security, Kallas warned that Europe must take decisive action. "No great power in history has outsourced its survival and survived," she said, adding that for NATO to remain strong, it "needs to become more European."

          Kallas, the former prime minister of Estonia and a long-standing advocate for a firm stance against Russia, warned that the world is seeing a return to "coercive power politics" where "might makes right." She insisted that Europe must accept this "tectonic shift is here to stay."

          A Divided Alliance: Can Europe Stand Alone?

          However, Kallas's call for greater European self-reliance is not universally shared. Her comments stand in contrast to a recent warning from NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, who argued that Europe cannot defend itself from Russian aggression without American support.

          Speaking in the European Parliament, Rutte made the case that if the bloc wanted to replace the US nuclear umbrella, it would have to double its current defense spending targets of 5%.

          He further cautioned that any European move to build up its own forces independent of US support is a strategy that "Putin will love." Instead of pursuing full autonomy, Rutte called for European nations to focus on expanding their own defense industries within the existing alliance structure.

          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          Yen Intervention on Hold? How US Rate Checks Shifted the Game

          Benjamin Carter

          Central Bank

          Remarks of Officials

          Economic

          Forex

          Japan may be able to avoid direct currency intervention for now, thanks to a coordinated strategy with the United States that has successfully halted the yen's sharp decline. According to Atsushi Takeuchi, a former Bank of Japan official with experience in market operations, this joint effort has dramatically altered the landscape for yen traders.

          Takeuchi highlighted that recent "rate checks" reportedly conducted by the New York Federal Reserve were an exceptionally rare move, signaling Washington's strong support for Tokyo's efforts to stabilize its currency.

          "The presence of the U.S. made a huge difference as markets know they shouldn't fight the Fed," Takeuchi explained in a Wednesday interview.

          US-Japan Cooperation Halts Yen's Slide

          The primary objective for Japanese authorities was never to defend a specific currency level but to stop a "one-sided, sharp slide," said Takeuchi. The focus remains on the velocity of the yen's moves rather than its absolute value.

          With the market now on high alert following the suspected rate checks, traders are more hesitant to push the yen lower. "Now with suspected rate checks keeping markets on edge and preventing yen bears from testing the currency's downside, Japan probably doesn't need to directly intervene," Takeuchi noted.

          This strategic pressure was applied after the yen approached the psychologically critical 160 per dollar mark, a level widely seen as a trigger for intervention. In response to the joint signals, the yen surged over 1% on Tuesday to 152.10 per dollar, a three-month high.

          The Risks of Direct Intervention

          Stepping in to directly buy yen carries its own set of risks that Japanese officials are likely keen to avoid. Takeuchi pointed out that direct intervention could cause the currency to appreciate too quickly, which in turn could negatively impact stock prices.

          This concern is particularly relevant as Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi approaches an election next month, making market stability a key priority.

          A Successful Psychological Battle

          Takeuchi views the recent spikes in the yen as a clear sign that Japanese authorities have won their psychological battle with the market. He believes the primary role of Japan's top currency diplomat is to maintain a credible threat of intervention, keeping traders constantly on guard.

          "The biggest job of Japan's top currency diplomat is to heighten and keep alive market fears of intervention," he said. "So far, Japan has succeeded in doing so."

          This approach marks a significant evolution in Japan's currency policy. Historically, Tokyo focused on preventing a strong yen from hurting its export-driven economy. Since 2022, however, the priority has shifted to defending the yen against excessive weakness, which drives up inflation and reduces consumer purchasing power.

          Takeuchi, who is now chief research fellow at the Ricoh Institute of Sustainability and Business, was directly involved in several yen-selling interventions between 2010 and 2012.

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          ASML Posts Record Orders On AI Chip Demand, Hikes 2026 Outlook, Cuts Jobs

          James Whitman

          Stocks

          Economic

          ● Stronger-than-expected fourth-quarter bookings on AI chip demand
          ● To lay off 1,700 jobs, 3.8% of staff, in Netherlands and US
          ● Raises 2026 sales outlook amid increased AI-related investments

          Top computer chip equipment maker ASML (ASML.AS) logged record orders in the fourth quarter on Wednesday and boosted its 2026 outlook as demand surged from its AI-focused customers even as it trimmed 1,700 jobs.

          The job cuts, a rare move and representing 3.8% of staff, would mostly impact leadership in R&D departments in the Netherlands and U.S., said Europe's largest company by market capitalisation, with the move needed for technical agility.

          Fourth-quarter bookings, the most watched metric in the industry, leapt to a record 13.2 billion euros ($15.8 billion), from 7.1 billion euros a year ago. The orders well exceeded analyst expectations of 6.32 billion euros, according to researcher Visible Alpha.

          Shares were up 4.2% in morning trading, after early jumping as much as 7.5% to a record high. The stock is up 38% this year so far.

          'GOING OUT WITH A BANG,' AS QUARTERLY DATA TO BE DROPPED

          "It will be the last time that ASML reports quarterly order intake and the company is going out with a bang," ING analyst Marc Hesselink said, referring to ASML's plans to discontinue revealing the bookings figure, arguing it causes unnecessary volatility in shares.

          The company raised its 2026 sales guidance to 34 billion to 39 billion euros, beating analyst expectations of 35 billion euros, according to LSEG data. It previously forecast flat-to-higher sales than 32.7 billion euros in 2025.

          Customers have in recent months been more optimistic "of the medium-term market situation, primarily based on more robust expectations of the sustainability of AI-related demand," ASML's Chief Executive Christophe Fouquet said in a statement.

          Net profit in 2025 at the sole maker of the EUV lithography machines - used to print the world's most advanced chips - jumped 26.3% to 9.6 billion euros, from 7.6 billion euros a year earlier, on sales of 32.7 billion, up 15.5% from a year earlier.

          ORDERS BEAT EXPECTATIONS AS AI CHIP DEMAND SURGES

          The orders beat comes as ASML customers TSMC (2330.TW), Samsung (005930.KS), SK Hynix (000660.KS), and Micron (MU.O) boost investment plans amid demand for AI logic and memory chips needed by cloud computing giants such as Microsoft (MSFT.O), Amazon (AMZN.O), and Alphabet's Google (GOOGL.O).

          South Korea's SK Hynix (000660.KS), also reported record quarterly earnings Wednesday amid the AI boom.

          "Overall there is good fourth-quarter orders and 2026 outlook, driven by AI demand for EUV in both logic and DRAM," or memory chips, Mizuho analyst Kevin Wang said in an email.

          ASML also said it would buy back 12 billion euros worth of shares through 2028.

          JOB CUTS COME AFTER A LONG PERIOD OF EXPANSION

          The cull in jobs was the largest at ASML in absolute numbers, following prolonged expansion in the 2010s and 2020s, CFO Roger Dassen said on a call with journalists.

          "Job cuts amidst record bookings should make for fascinating talks with the labour unions," said analyst Michael Roeg of Degroof Petercam.

          Analysts had expected the Dutch giant to benefit from stronger demand of top customer TSMC, which manufactures chips for Nvidia (NVDA.O), amid tight global supply of memory and AI-accelerator chips.

          China is the world's largest buyer, of chipmaking equipment, and was ASML's single-largest market in 2025, representing 33% of sales, a figure that has dropped from 41% in 2024.

          Dassen forecast that would fall further to 20% in 2026.

          U.S.-led export restrictions prevent Chinese chipmakers from buying ASML's most advanced EUV tools and Nvidia's best chips.

          ASML kept longer-term guidance to 2030 untouched, CEO Fouquet said, anticipating revenue of between 44 and 60 billion euros and a gross margin of 56% to 60% in 2030.

          Source: Reuters

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          China’s Precious Metals Boom Triggers Protests As Speculative Risks Intensify

          Gerik

          Economic

          Commodity

          A Frenzied Rally Outpaces Global Markets

          China’s precious metals market has entered an increasingly volatile phase as investor enthusiasm drives local prices well beyond international levels. Gold surged above $5,300 per ounce globally, gaining more than 20 percent this year, supported by a weakening U.S. dollar and growing investor distrust of fiat currencies and sovereign bonds. Silver’s rally has been even more dramatic, rising roughly 60 percent in just four weeks, with sharp and erratic daily price swings.
          Within China, prices have climbed even higher, surpassing global benchmarks despite the additional 13 percent value-added tax faced by local importers. This gap reflects intense domestic demand rather than supply constraints alone, highlighting how speculative behavior has amplified price moves beyond what international fundamentals would typically justify.

          Shenzhen Protest Signals Stress In The System

          The strain created by this speculative surge became visible in Shenzhen, China’s largest physical bullion trading hub. Authorities in the city’s Luohu district established a special task force to oversee a local gold-trading platform after investors reported difficulties withdrawing funds. Around 100 users reportedly gathered at the premises of Shenzhen Jiewo Rui, with social media videos showing clashes involving police, underscoring rising tensions among retail investors.
          The platform reportedly allowed users to lock in future gold prices by posting margin equal to as little as one-fortieth of the spot price, implying leverage of up to 40 times. Such leverage creates a direct causal risk: as prices rise rapidly, platforms face mounting pressure to hedge exposure, maintain liquidity, and ensure physical delivery. When prices hit successive highs, even small disruptions can quickly escalate into systemic stress for smaller operators.

          Structural Vulnerabilities In Local Gold Trading

          Jiewo Rui is not an isolated case. Shenzhen hosts numerous small and mid-sized bullion trading platforms operating alongside its vast physical gold market. Local industry associations had already warned of rising risks last October, following regulatory action against several firms. Earlier this year, a major silver seller in the city’s Shuibei market reportedly defaulted on deliveries, leaving hundreds of investors awaiting compensation.
          These incidents illustrate a broader pattern rather than isolated misconduct. High leverage, thin margins, and surging speculative demand are interacting in a way that magnifies operational risk. While rising prices attract investors, they simultaneously increase the probability of failure among intermediaries if hedging and inventory management fall short.

          Funds Move To Cool Overheated Demand

          Concerns about investor protection have also prompted action in the fund management sector. Several precious metals funds have halted subscriptions after overwhelming demand pushed market prices far above the value of their underlying assets. The UBS SDIC Silver Futures Fund LOF suspended new subscriptions and briefly halted trading after issuing frequent risk warnings since early December. Its premium over Shanghai Futures Exchange silver contracts remains elevated at about 36 percent, a level the fund manager has described as unsustainable.
          Similarly, the E Fund Gold Theme Fund has stepped in to curb speculative inflows by suspending new subscriptions. These measures reflect an effort to manage correlation-driven exuberance, where rising prices attract more capital, which in turn pushes prices even higher, regardless of underlying value.

          Rising Exposure As Volatility Accelerates

          Strategists warn that while gold may still offer relative stability compared with silver, the broader precious metals frenzy has significantly increased downside risk for retail investors. Premiums far above intrinsic value imply that any sharp correction could translate into disproportionate losses, especially for leveraged positions.
          The recent protests and trading halts highlight a critical transition point for China’s bullion market. What began as a defensive shift into hard assets amid currency weakness is increasingly showing signs of speculative excess. As regulators step in and funds restrict access, the next phase is likely to test how resilient investor confidence remains once momentum fades and volatility turns against crowded trades.

          Source: Bloomberg

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          Why The Euro’s Move Above $1.20 Matters For Markets And Policymakers

          Gerik

          Economic

          Forex

          A Symbolic And Historical Threshold

          The euro’s move past $1.20 against the U.S. dollar represents more than a routine currency fluctuation. Round numbers carry disproportionate weight in financial markets, and $1.20 has long been viewed as a benchmark that signals strength. The single currency surged roughly 13 percent last year, its strongest annual performance against the dollar since 2017, and is already up 2.1 percent so far in January.
          This level also carries institutional significance. Last year, European Central Bank Vice President Luis de Guindos highlighted $1.20 as a potential pain threshold, where currency strength could begin to weigh meaningfully on the economy. Although the euro approached this level in September before retreating as the dollar rebounded, its renewed break higher suggests that the broader trend has regained momentum.
          Historically, the move is notable but not extreme. Since the euro’s launch in 1999, its long-term average sits slightly below $1.20, while its all-time peak near $1.60 in 2008 remains far above current levels. This context suggests strength without yet implying historical excess.

          Dollar Weakness As The Primary Driver

          The euro’s appreciation has been driven less by sudden euro-area outperformance and more by a sustained deterioration in sentiment toward the dollar. U.S. President Donald Trump’s confrontational stance on trade, disputes with allies, comments about Greenland, and repeated criticism of the Federal Reserve have undermined confidence in U.S. policy stability.
          Speculation about potential joint U.S.-Japanese intervention to support the yen has also weighed on the dollar more broadly, lifting major counterparts including the euro. Trump’s assertion this week that the dollar’s value was “great” was interpreted by markets as a lack of concern about depreciation, reinforcing selling pressure rather than arresting it.
          At the same time, European fiscal stimulus, led by Germany, alongside efforts to strengthen regional security and long-term growth, has improved relative sentiment toward the euro. These factors have correlated with the currency’s rise, even if they are not the sole causal drivers.

          Corporate Earnings And Export Competitiveness At Risk

          A stronger euro inevitably raises questions about the impact on European corporates. Currency appreciation makes exports more expensive abroad, particularly in the U.S., which accounts for nearly half of overseas revenues for companies in the STOXX 600, according to estimates from Goldman Sachs. Overall, about 60 percent of STOXX 600 revenues are generated outside Europe, amplifying sensitivity to exchange rate moves.
          So far, equity markets have largely looked past this risk, focusing instead on improving growth prospects. Yet European earnings are expected to have contracted last year, and Barclays estimates that roughly half of last year’s earnings-per-share downgrades can be attributed to the euro’s appreciation. This suggests that currency effects are already filtering through financial results, even if markets have not fully priced them in.

          How Concerned Is The ECB

          The European Central Bank typically focuses on the pace and magnitude of currency moves rather than any single exchange rate level. Still, the euro’s recent acceleration is likely to attract attention. The currency jumped about 2 percent last week, its largest weekly gain since April, when Trump’s sweeping tariffs triggered global market turmoil.
          Compared with last spring’s sharp surge, the euro’s appreciation since last summer has been more gradual, which may temper immediate concern. However, further gains could put downward pressure on import prices at a time when the ECB already expects inflation to undershoot its 2 percent target this year and next. In that context, sustained euro strength complicates the path toward achieving price stability.

          Reserve Currency Ambitions Remain Distant

          Despite the euro’s strong performance, it remains far from challenging the dollar’s dominance as the world’s primary reserve currency. The dollar still accounts for just under 60 percent of global foreign exchange reserves, compared with roughly 20 percent for the euro. Deep U.S. capital markets and the dollar’s central role in global trade continue to anchor its status.
          ECB President Christine Lagarde has argued that erratic U.S. economic policy could eventually give the euro a greater international role. Yet she has also stressed that this would require Europe to complete long-delayed reforms to its financial architecture, a process that remains slow and politically complex.
          The euro’s break above $1.20 captures a moment when currency markets are reassessing relative stability, policy credibility, and growth prospects on both sides of the Atlantic. While the move reflects improving confidence in Europe, it is equally a signal of eroding faith in U.S. policy coherence. Whether the euro can sustain levels above this milestone will depend not only on European fundamentals, but also on how long dollar weakness persists and how policymakers respond to the economic consequences of a stronger single currency.

          Source: Reuters

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          Kia Says US Tariffs Cost $2.3 Billion Last Year As Profit Drops

          Samantha Luan

          Stocks

          Economic

          Kia Corp. said US tariffs cost it 3.3 trillion won ($2.3 billion) last year and the South Korean automaker will roll out incentives to boost sales as competition intensifies.

          Tariffs totaled about 1 trillion won in the fourth quarter alone, Kia said Wednesday, driving a 32% slump in operating profit from a year earlier to 1.8 trillion won. That missed analyst estimates for 1.9 trillion won and came despite the company reporting its highest-ever fourth-quarter revenue on strong demand for electric and hybrid cars.

          While South Korea and the US reached a deal to lower import duties to 15% from 25% from Nov. 1, Kia didn't reap the full benefit because it had already paid the higher rate on inventory sitting in the US, Chief Financial Officer Kim Seung Jun said during a conference call. Shares closed 2.5% lower.

          Despite mounting pressure, Kia's global sales started to turn around after bottoming out in the third quarter, and the company will be able to recover its free cash flow to pre-tariff levels early this year, Kim said.

          The global automotive sector has been whipsawed by US President Donald Trump's unpredictable trade policies, including tariffs on imports of vehicles and parts. General Motors Co. has warned the duties will likely cost the company $3 billion to $4 billion this year, while European automakers were roiled last week by Trump's threat to hike tariffs again in a standoff over Greenland.

          South Korea's car manufacturers were also surprised this week after the US President said he'd increase tariffs to 25% again due to what he said was the failure of the country's legislature to codify the trade deal the two nations reached last year.

          Industry watchers are set to get a further gauge of the sector's sentiment on Thursday when Kia's bigger affiliate, Hyundai Motor Co., releases earnings. It's previously said tariffs had caused a 1.8 trillion won hit in the third quarter.

          Beyond tariffs, Kia is also facing an uncertain demand outlook as the EV transition slows in key markets like the US and competition heats up with Chinese rivals that can offer more affordable cars in places like Europe.

          The company increased incentive spending in Europe 10% last year and plans a similar level this year to hit its target of 11% sales growth in the region, according to Kim. Kia's share of that market fell to 3.8% last year from 4.1%.

          "There's a significant price gap with Chinese products, and in light of growing competition in Europe, we believe our growth strategy won't be effective without a coping mechanism," he said.

          In the US, the new Telluride hybrid sports utility vehicle and Seltos compact SUV is expected to spur 5% sales growth, Kim said.

          Source: Bloomberg Europe

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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