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SYMBOL
LAST
BID
ASK
HIGH
LOW
NET CHG.
%CHG.
SPREAD
SPX
S&P 500 Index
6827.42
6827.42
6827.42
6899.86
6801.80
-73.58
-1.07%
--
DJI
Dow Jones Industrial Average
48458.04
48458.04
48458.04
48886.86
48334.10
-245.98
-0.51%
--
IXIC
NASDAQ Composite Index
23195.16
23195.16
23195.16
23554.89
23094.51
-398.69
-1.69%
--
USDX
US Dollar Index
97.950
98.030
97.950
98.500
97.950
-0.370
-0.38%
--
EURUSD
Euro / US Dollar
1.17394
1.17409
1.17394
1.17496
1.17192
+0.00011
+ 0.01%
--
GBPUSD
Pound Sterling / US Dollar
1.33707
1.33732
1.33707
1.33997
1.33419
-0.00148
-0.11%
--
XAUUSD
Gold / US Dollar
4299.39
4299.39
4299.39
4353.41
4257.10
+20.10
+ 0.47%
--
WTI
Light Sweet Crude Oil
57.233
57.485
57.233
58.011
56.969
-0.408
-0.71%
--

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Ukraine President Zelenskiy: Security Guarantees Should Be Legally Binding

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Ukraine President Zelenskiy: US, European Security Guarantees Instead Of NATO Membership Is Compromise From Ukraine's Side

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Ukraine President Zelenskiy: There Won't Be A Peace Plan That Everyone Will Like, There Will Be Compromises

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Ukraine President Zelenskiy: He Has Had No US Reaction Yet To Revised Peace Proposals

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Kremlin Says NATO's Rutte Is Irresponsible To Talk Of War With Russia

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Israel Foreign Minister Saar: The Australian Government, Which Has Received Countless Warning Signs, Must Come To Its Senses

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Israel Foreign Minister Saar: Calls For 'Globalize The Intifada' Were Realized Today

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Zelenskiy Demands 'Dignified' Peace As US And Ukraine Officials Meet In Berlin

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Australia Opposition Leader: The Loss Of Life In Bondi Beach Shooting Is Significant

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Russian Defence Ministry Says Russian Forces Capture Varvarivka In Ukraine's Zaporizhzhia Region

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Israel President Herzog: Our Sisters And Brothers In Sydney Have Been Attacked By Vile Terrorists In A Very Cruel Attack On Jews Who Went To Light The First Candle Of Hanukkahon Bondi Beach

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Australia Prime Minister: I Just Have Spoken To The AFP Commissioner And The Nsw Premier. We Are Working With Nsw Police And Will Provide Further Updates As More Information Is Confirmed

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Australia Prime Minister: The Scenes In Bondi Are Shocking And Distressing. Police And Emergency Responders Are On The Ground Working To Save Lives. My Thoughts Are With Every Person Affected

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Petroleum Ministry: Egypt Proposes A Unified Arab Emergency Oil And Gas Purchases Mechanism

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Ukraine President Zelenskiy: Services Have Been Working To Restore Electricity, Heating, Water Supply To Regions Following Russian Strikes On Energy Infrastructure

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Hamas Gaza Chief Confirms Killing Of The Group's Senior Commander In Israeli Strike

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Foreign Ministry - Iran's Foreign Minister Araqchi To Visit Russia And Belarus In Coming Week

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Defence Ministry: Russia Downs 235 Ukrainian Drones Overnight

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Trump Isn't Certain His Economic Policies Will Translate To Midterm Wins

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The United States And Mexico Have Reached An Agreement On How To Resolve The Water Dispute In The Rio Grande Basin (which Borders Texas). Starting December 15, Mexico Will Supply The U.S. With An Additional 20.2 Acre-feet (a Unit Of Volume For Irrigation). The Agreement Seeks To “strengthen Water Management In The Rio Grande Basin” Within The Framework Of The 1944 Water Treaty

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          Top 10 Best Index Funds to Invest in for 2024: Expert Picks for Steady Growth

          Glendon

          Economic

          Summary:

          Looking for the best index funds in 2024? Discover expert-recommended funds with low fees, solid returns, and diversification to help you grow your portfolio. Explore Vanguard, Schwab, Fidelity, and more.

          Index funds have long been a favorite among investors for their low costs, diversification, and reliable returns. As we move into 2024, the appeal of these passive investment vehicles remains strong. With market volatility, inflation concerns, and changes in monetary policy on the horizon, many investors are looking to index funds as a way to achieve stable, long-term growth. Below is an in-depth look at the best index funds to consider for 2024, based on performance, costs, and future growth potential.

          1. Vanguard 500 Index Fund (VFIAX)

          One of the most popular and best-performing index funds over the years, the Vanguard 500 Index Fund is a go-to for investors looking for broad exposure to the U.S. stock market. This fund tracks the S&P 500, which includes the 500 largest publicly traded companies in the U.S., providing investors with a snapshot of the overall economy.
          Performance: Historically, the S&P 500 has provided an average annual return of about 10%. In 2023, despite economic challenges, the index has performed well, reflecting the resilience of large-cap U.S. companies.
          Expense Ratio: 0.04%, making it one of the cheapest options for investors.
          Outlook for 2024: As inflation cools and the Federal Reserve moderates its monetary policy, large-cap stocks could continue to deliver strong returns, making VFIAX a solid choice for growth-focused investors.

          2. Schwab Total Stock Market Index Fund (SWTSX)

          For those who prefer even broader market exposure than the S&P 500, the Schwab Total Stock Market Index Fund tracks the entire U.S. equity market, including small-cap and mid-cap stocks that the S&P 500 leaves out. This offers investors the potential to capitalize on growth from smaller companies that may outperform in a recovering economy.
          Performance: This fund has consistently mirrored the performance of the total U.S. stock market, which has generally followed a long-term upward trend.
          Expense Ratio: 0.03%, one of the lowest available.
          Outlook for 2024: With the U.S. economy expected to stabilize, small- and mid-cap stocks could see increased gains, making this a good option for investors looking for broad exposure with growth potential.

          3. Fidelity ZERO Large Cap Index Fund (FNILX)

          Fidelity’s Zero Large Cap Index Fund is an intriguing option for investors due to its unique pricing structure: it has no expense ratio. While the fund tracks a proprietary index similar to the S&P 500, the performance has been comparable to more traditional index funds tracking large-cap stocks.
          Performance: It has tracked the S&P 500 closely, making it an appealing option for cost-conscious investors.
          Expense Ratio: 0.00%, a huge draw for those looking to maximize their returns by minimizing fees.
          Outlook for 2024: Given the expected stabilization of inflation and interest rates, large-cap stocks are expected to remain steady, providing good growth opportunities for FNILX investors.

          4. iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM)

          For investors seeking exposure outside the U.S., the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF provides a broad investment in emerging market economies like China, Brazil, and India. These countries are poised for growth as they continue to recover from the economic impacts of the pandemic and global inflationary pressures.
          Performance: Emerging markets have been volatile in recent years, but they offer the potential for higher returns over the long term as economies in these regions expand.
          Expense Ratio: 0.68%, higher than U.S.-based index funds but reasonable for emerging market exposure.
          Outlook for 2024: With global supply chains stabilizing and demand increasing, emerging markets could see strong growth in the coming year, making this ETF a good option for risk-tolerant investors looking for international diversification.

          5. Vanguard Real Estate Index Fund (VGSLX)

          Real estate index funds offer a way to invest in the real estate market without the risks associated with directly owning property. The Vanguard Real Estate Index Fund tracks the performance of stocks in the REIT (Real Estate Investment Trust) sector, which includes companies that own and operate real estate assets such as office buildings, shopping centers, and apartment complexes.
          Performance: Real estate has traditionally been a hedge against inflation and offers a steady stream of dividends through REITs.
          Expense Ratio: 0.12%, which is competitive for a sector-specific fund.
          Outlook for 2024: As interest rates stabilize, the real estate sector is expected to rebound, making VGSLX a solid option for income-seeking investors who want exposure to real estate without owning physical property.

          6. Vanguard Growth Index Fund (VIGAX)

          For investors with a higher risk tolerance, the Vanguard Growth Index Fund focuses on growth-oriented companies, which typically reinvest profits into business expansion rather than paying dividends. This fund tracks the CRSP US Large Cap Growth Index, offering exposure to tech giants like Apple, Amazon, and Microsoft.
          Performance: Growth stocks have been volatile, especially in a high-interest-rate environment. However, as interest rates level out, growth stocks are expected to outperform again.
          Expense Ratio: 0.05%, making it an affordable way to access high-growth companies.
          Outlook for 2024: As tech and innovation sectors continue to lead the market recovery, VIGAX is positioned well for investors seeking long-term capital appreciation.

          7. SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY)

          As one of the oldest and largest ETFs, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust offers a straightforward and reliable way to invest in the 500 largest U.S. companies. Its liquidity, low cost, and strong performance make it a favorite among both retail and institutional investors.
          Performance: Historically mirrors the S&P 500 with average annual returns around 10%.
          Expense Ratio: 0.09%, higher than some competitors but still affordable.
          Outlook for 2024: Given its diverse exposure to the U.S. economy and strong track record, SPY is a solid choice for those looking for stability and growth.

          8. iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM)

          Investors interested in small-cap stocks should consider the iShares Russell 2000 ETF, which tracks the Russell 2000 Index, a benchmark for small-cap companies in the U.S. These stocks can offer higher growth potential compared to large-cap stocks, though they are typically more volatile.
          Performance: Small-cap stocks have underperformed in recent years, but as the economy recovers, these companies could see outsized gains.
          Expense Ratio: 0.19%, higher than large-cap funds but reasonable for small-cap exposure.
          Outlook for 2024: As the U.S. economy continues to recover, small-cap stocks are likely to outperform, making IWM a good option for investors seeking high growth.

          9. Vanguard International Growth Fund (VWILX)

          For those looking for international growth, the Vanguard International Growth Fund invests in companies outside the U.S., primarily in developed and emerging markets. The fund focuses on growth-oriented companies that have the potential to outperform over the long term.
          Performance: It has delivered solid returns over the past decade, though international markets have been more volatile.
          Expense Ratio: 0.32%, higher than U.S.-focused funds but lower than most international funds.
          Outlook for 2024: With global economies stabilizing, this fund offers good diversification for investors looking to add international exposure to their portfolios.

          10. Fidelity NASDAQ Composite Index Fund (FNCMX)

          For tech-focused investors, the Fidelity NASDAQ Composite Index Fund offers exposure to companies listed on the NASDAQ stock exchange, including tech giants like Apple, Amazon, and Tesla.
          Performance: The NASDAQ has been a strong performer over the past decade, driven by growth in the technology sector.
          Expense Ratio: 0.29%, which is competitive for a tech-heavy fund.
          Outlook for 2024: As technology continues to be a driving force in the global economy, FNCMX is poised for further growth, particularly if inflation moderates and interest rates stabilize.

          Conclusion

          Index funds continue to be a reliable and accessible investment option for 2024. Whether you're looking for broad market exposure, international diversification, or sector-specific growth, there are numerous index funds that can help you achieve your investment goals. Each of the funds listed offers low fees, strong performance, and diversification, making them excellent choices for both new and experienced investors.
          By considering your risk tolerance, investment goals, and market outlook, you can find the best index fund that aligns with your strategy and helps you build a robust, long-term portfolio.
          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          Dosm: Wholesale And Retail Trade Rose 6.7% To Rm149b In July 2024

          Alex

          Sales of Malaysia’s wholesale and retail trade rose 6.7% year-on-year (y-o-y) to RM149 billion in July 2024, according to the Department of Statistics Malaysia (DOSM).

          Chief statistician Datuk Seri Dr Mohd Uzir Mahidin said that retail trade grew 6.4% to record RM63.5 billion sales for the month.

          “Wholesale trade also went up 5.5% to record RM66.6 billion, followed by motor vehicles with an increase of 12.2% to RM19.0 billion,” he said in a statement on Monday.

          On a month-on-month (m-o-m) basis, wholesale and retail trade rebounded 2.1% after dipping 1.3% in June, bolstered by motor vehicle sales which increased 11.6%.

          The department said the retail trade sub-sector’s y-o-y growth was led by retail sales in non-specialised stores, which grew 7.7% to RM24.4 billion, while the wholesale trade sub-sector’s y-o-y growth was supported by wholesale of machinery, equipment and supplies, which rose 10.2% to RM5.4 billion.

          Meanwhile, the 12.2% y-o-y growth for the motor vehicles sub-sector was driven by the sales of motor vehicles, which recorded a double-digit growth of 14.0%, it said.

          For the index of retail sale over the internet, the department said the index grew 5.7% y-o-y in July 2024, compared to 4.8% y-o-y in June 2024. For the seasonally adjusted value, the index inched up 1.5% against the previous month.

          In terms of the volume index, DOSM said wholesale and retail trade for July 2024 registered a y-o-y growth of 5.5%, contributed by all sub-sectors, namely motor vehicles (10.8%), wholesale trade (5.2%) and retail trade (4.6%).

          “For the seasonally adjusted volume index, it went up 2.1% m-o-m (month-on-month),” it said.

          The department noted that the government has declared Oct 20 of each year as the National Statistics Day (MyStats Day), and that this year’s theme is “Statistics is the Essence of Life”.

          Source: Theedgemarkets

          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          Crypto Ownership Isn’t Rising With Recent Market Growth, Fed Survey Claims

          Cohen

          Cryptocurrency

          The rate of cryptocurrency ownership isn’t growing in tandem with the recent resurgence in the crypto market, according to United States Federal Reserve research.

          “Recent growth in the [crypto] market has not been accompanied by an increase in ownership in our survey population,” the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia’s Consumer Finance Institute (CFI) said in a Sept. 6 report.

          The CFI collected data on cryptocurrency ownership through surveys between January 2022 and July 2024 using the price of Bitcoin (BTC) as a proxy to determine that the depths of crypto winter occurred in late 2022.

          It found crypto ownership decreased during the 2022 crypto winter bear market, with ownership rates falling from 24.6% of the surveyed population in January 2022 to 19.1% in October 2022.

          However, despite the market recovery over the following 18 months, ownership rates did not correspondingly increase with just 17.1% of those surveyed owning crypto in October 2023, which dropped to 15.4% in January 2024.

          The CFI report found that there was no significant increase in ownership around Bitcoin’s March price peak and its April halving, with ownership rates at 16.1% in April and dropping to 14.7% two months later in July.

          Bitcoin’s price compared to surveyed crypto ownership rates: Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia

          The Fed researchers noted that this year’s price increases do “seem to correspond to an increase in the percentage of respondents who are likely to purchase crypto in the future.”

          Interest in future crypto purchases declined during the 2022 crypto winter from 18.8% to 10.6% of all respondents.

          As the market recovered, interest increased significantly with 21.8% of all respondents stating they were likely to purchase crypto in the future by April 2024.

          The Fed surveys were collected from two different web-based surveys targeting 5,000 nationally representative responses.

          Crypto markets have gained almost 150% since the beginning of 2023, despite the market downtrend since mid-March.

          In May, the Fed reported a survey of over 11,000 respondents found crypto ownership or usage was around 18 million people in the United States in 2023, a lower figure compared to Coinbase’s September 2023 finding that 52 million Americans owned crypto.

          Source: COINTELEGRAPH

          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
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          Former ECB Head Draghi Says Eu At Risk Without Huge Spending And Joint Debt

          Kevin Du

          Former European Central Bank (ECB) president Mario Draghi called on the EU to invest as much as €800 billion (RM3.86 trillion) extra a year to make the bloc more competitive and to commit to the regular issuance of common bonds to compete with China and the US.

          In his long-awaited report on European Union (EU) competitiveness, Draghi urged the bloc to develop its advanced technologies, create a plan to meet its climate targets and boost defence and security of critical raw materials, labelling the task “an existential challenge”.

          Draghi said that Europe will need to boost investment by about five percentage points of the bloc’s gross domestic product — a level not seen in more than 50 years — in order to transform its economy so that it can remain competitive. He warned that EU economic growth was “persistently slower” than in the US, calling into question the bloc’s ability to digitalise and decarbonise the economy quickly enough to be able to rival its competitors to the east and west.

          “If Europe cannot become more productive, we will be forced to choose. We will not be able to become, at once, a leader in new technologies, a beacon of climate responsibility and an independent player on the world stage,” he wrote in the report. “We will have to scale back some, if not all, of our ambitions.”

          European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, who tasked Draghi with delivering the report, will need to decide how much of his recommendations to pursue.

          The report comes as European leaders are increasingly aware of the loss of competitiveness against the bloc’s main rivals, partly due to Europe’s energy dependency and lack of raw materials. Meanwhile the EU continues to be hampered by the inability of its telecom and defence industries to harness economies of scale and be better prepared for a more nimble security stance.

          The EU has also failed so far to push forward on a roadmap to lower the barriers of its capital markets to mobilise billions of euros across its borders needed to accelerate the development of clean technologies to meet its ambitious green targets or to create the next generation of technology champions.

          One particular blessing for the private sector was Draghi’s call for more consolidation in the telecom industry, which he said is “needed to deliver higher rates of investment in connectivity”.

          Draghi also pitched an adaptation of the EU’s competition policy so that “it does not become a barrier” to the bloc’s industrial goals. Specifically, he called for new assessments in tech deals that would examine how certain deals could boost innovation in Europe, as well as a further loosening of the EU’s guardrails for state aid across strategically important sectors.

          The malaise of the European productivity is augmented by the weakness of national governments in the largest EU economies hit by political fragmentation and the rise of populist forces against some of the ambitious common solutions that Draghi is calling for, including joint debt.

          The consequences of the slow response to the challenges posed by American financial incentives for the green transition and China’s aggressive industrial plans, with billions of dollars invested in subsidies, are already felt in some of the key industries.

          Volkswagen AG announced that it’s considering factory closures in Germany for the first time in its 87-year history.

          “Europeans need to understand that defence is not an answer, it’s just a temporary answer,” Alicia Garcia Herrero, economist at Natixis, speaking to Guy Johnson and Kriti Gupta on Bloomberg TV. “We need to attack — meaning certainly not anything but compete on better terms, meaning more innovation. The single market has to be strengthened.”

          Draghi laid bare the challenges facing EU industry as it embarks on its mission to reach net zero by the middle of the century. Energy prices in the region are too high and are holding back investments, while the bloc’s climate goals are placing a heavy short-term burden on the highest-emitting sectors. China and the US do not face such obstacles, while the level of finance they provide to the sector dwarfs that of the EU.

          Energy plans

          To make the energy transition an opportunity, Europe needs to sync all its policies with climate goals and come up with a joint plan for decarbonisation and competitiveness that would span energy producers, clean tech and automotive sectors as well as energy-intensive companies where emissions are hard to abate.

          The four largest emission-intensive industries in the EU, such as chemicals and metals, will require €500 billion over the next 15 years in order to decarbonise, Draghi’s report said. On top of that transport investment will amount to €100 billion every year between 2031 and 2050.

          Draghi drew on the automotive sector for particular scorn, calling it a “key example of a lack of EU planning”. The bloc faces a real risk that EU carmakers continue to lose market share to China, which has is ahead of the 27-member bloc in “virtually all domains”, while producing at a lower cost.

          The report suggests common funding for defence R&D in a number of sectors such as drones, hypersonic missiles, directed-energy weapons, defence artificial intelligence and seabed and space warfare, but also the space sector. He also recommends ramping up collaborative procurement on defence equipment as well as favouring European companies, provided they are competitive.

          Source: Theedgemarkets

          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          Markets Weekly Look Ahead: ECB Interest Rate Decision in the Spotlight

          Warren Takunda

          Economic

          Following a bleak week, several key economic data releases and events are poised to shape market sentiment in the coming days.
          The European Central Bank's (ECB) rate decision will take centre stage, with the bank widely anticipated to implement its second interest rate cut of the year.
          Additionally, the United States (US) is set to release August inflation figures, a crucial metric closely monitored by the Federal Reserve when determining interest rate policy.
          Investors will also keep a close eye on China's consumer price index and the UK's GDP data for further insights into the economic outlook of both nations.

          Europe

          The European Central Bank (ECB) is set to hold its monetary policy meeting on 12 September. Market participants anticipate that the ECB will reduce the deposit rate by 25 basis points to 3.50%, marking the second rate cut this year.
          The bank previously lowered rates in June, the first reduction since 2019, positioning itself among the first major central banks to take this step.
          Markets are also forecasting an additional cut in December, potentially totalling three 25-basis-point reductions in 2024.
          Inflation in the eurozone fell to 2.2% in August, down from 2.6% in July, edging closer to the ECB's target of 2%.
          At its July meeting, ECB officials suggested that September's decision was "wide open" as the bank downgraded its growth outlook for the eurozone and observed a decline in inflationary pressures.
          Investors will also be closely watching Germany's final Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for August, which serves as a barometer for the health of Europe's largest economy.
          Preliminary data indicated that German inflation unexpectedly fell by 0.1% from July and eased to 1.9% year on year, lower than the anticipated 2.1%. Should the final data confirm this, it would provide further encouragement for the ECB's potential rate cut.
          In the UK, key data on employment, wage growth, and monthly GDP will be in focus.
          Average earnings for the three months to June rose by 4.5% year on year, the lowest growth rate since February 2022, signalling some relief for inflation as slower wage growth tends to ease consumer price pressures.
          However, the UK saw the highest number of new jobs in the three months to June since November 2023, suggesting the labour market may remain tight. Additionally, monthly GDP for July is expected to grow by 0.2%, further highlighting the country's economic trajectory.

          The US

          The upcoming US inflation data is of critical importance to global markets, as it will heavily influence expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate decision this month.
          Inflation eased to 2.9% in July, down from 3% the previous month, marking the slowest increase since March 2021. Consensus estimates suggest inflation will continue to cool, reaching 2.6% in August.
          If this trend holds, it could bolster the case for the Fed to reduce interest rates for the remainder of the year. Markets currently predict a 50% chance of a deeper cut, potentially by 50 basis points in September.
          Another key indicator to watch is the Producer Price Index (PPI), which measures the change in the price of finished goods and services sold by producers.
          In July, the PPI rose by 2.2% year on year, significantly down from 2.7% in June. A continued decline in the PPI could further strengthen the likelihood of Fed rate cuts, as it would signal easing inflationary pressures throughout the supply chain.

          Asia Pacific

          The Asia-Pacific region will closely monitor a series of Chinese economic data for August, including the Consumer Price Index (CPI), Producer Price Index (PPI), trade balance, industrial production, retail sales, and fixed asset investment.
          Economic data from July revealed mixed signals, highlighting the uneven progress of the country's recovery.
          In July, China's CPI rose by 0.5% year on year, marking six consecutive months of growth. Consensus forecasts expect this trend to continue with a 0.7% increase in August.
          However, the PPI, reflecting factory gate prices, remained in negative territory, with an anticipated year-on-year decline of 1.4% last month.
          China's export growth in July underperformed expectations, while imports surged more than predicted, signalling weak overseas demand.
          Retail sales rose 2.7% year on year in July, slightly surpassing estimates, but industrial production showed signs of slowing.
          Analysts expect both retail sales and industrial production to post declines in August, indicating that China's economic development remains sluggish.

          Source: EuroNews

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          No End To The Weakness In Czech Industry, And Auto-sector Holidays Are Only Partly To Blame

          ING

          Economic

          Output and new orders are both losing out

          Czech industrial production shed 1.9% in July from a year earlier in real terms, when adjusted for the number of working days. It also has contracted by 0.8% from the previous month. That said, industrial output deteriorated due to a shift of holidays in car manufacturing companies. Some sectors, such as food production, posted annual production gains in July.

          Industrial production remains in decline

          No End To The Weakness In Czech Industry, And Auto-sector Holidays Are Only Partly To Blame_1 CZSO, Macrobond

          The value of new orders lost 1.8% from a year earlier. New orders from abroad fell by 2.0% YoY, while domestic new orders lost 1.5% YoY. The sectoral breakdown provides a more nuanced picture. New orders gained in most sectors surveyed, while the overall decline, similar to output, was on account of the automotive industry. The average number of employees there decreased by 1.9% YoY in July, while the average nominal wage bounced back to a lofty annual increase of 9.1% after a weak June figure.

          Construction output rose by 2.0% YoY in July and was 6.9% higher MoM, with civil engineering representing the main driver of overall gains.

          Weak demand from European trading partners is a drag

          Overall, the Czech industry continued on a downward trend when looking at the number of working days adjusted index. The manufacturers report limping external demand as a major barrier to growth, with demand from major European trading partners not being able to support the export performance. The protracted weakness in industry is not good news for the medium-term economic rebound in the Czech economy.

          Nominal wages returned to robust growth, so there will likely be enough fuel for household spending to propel the expansion in the year's second half.

          Industry is under pressure in Czechia and Germany

          No End To The Weakness In Czech Industry, And Auto-sector Holidays Are Only Partly To Blame_2 Macrobond

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          Egyptian Non-oil Sector Provides First Glimpse of Economic Recovery after Tumultuous Start to the Year

          S&P Global Inc.
          The Egypt PMI signalled the first improvement in business conditions across the non-oil private sector in nearly four years during August. Increases in output, employment and input purchases followed a broad stabilising of demand at non-oil companies in recent survey periods, with confidence in the economic outlook also strengthening.
          This new upturn comes only six months after the country was gripped by a foreign currency crisis, brought about the closely connected shipping crisis in the Red Sea. The economic and policy implementations then were considerable, which the PMI data was quick to reveal.
          Now, the survey findings suggest that the domestic and international response to the crisis has set the non-oil sector on a path to recovery, albeit with some headwinds to growth such as rising price pressures and continued disruption to Suez Canal shipping volumes. The recovery also seems lopsided for now, with some sectors seeing growth emerge quicker than others.

          Business activity starts to rise in August amid fairly settled new order volumes

          The headline S&P Global Egypt Purchasing Managers' Index™ (PMI®) rose to 50.4 in August from 49.7 in July, cresting above the neutral mark of 50.0 that separates growth from contraction. This represented the first month of improving non-oil business conditions since November 2020, while the index compared with an average of 47.9 in 2023 and 48.3 in the first half of 2024. The index's historical relationship with official GDP figures suggests that the latest data is consistent with growth accelerating in the third quarter of the year. Latest S&P Global Market Intelligence forecasts show growth improving to 4.3% in fiscal year 2024-25 from 2.7% in 2023-24.
          Businesses in the survey panel indicated a rise in output levels for the first time in three years in August. Although the uplift was only marginal, it was the strongest since late 2020, illustrating the improvement in the economic climate for non-oil companies after a long period of disruption.
          The uplift was largely linked to a broad stabilisation in new order volumes over the past three months. Although the latest data signalled that incoming orders were down, the pace of reduction was only mild and much softer than those recorded at the start of the year. Businesses reported that improving macroeconomic factors had aided client spending, such as an improvement in foreign currency availability and an easing of inflationary pressures.
          The measures taken by Egypt's monetary policy committee in March 2024, including a 600 basis points rise in its key interest rate and a devaluation of the pound, were shown to have greatly improved the supply of foreign currency, which many businesses rely on for trade in both domestic and international markets. In the same timeframe, the annual inflation rate has fallen 10% since its recent peak in February, though remaining elevated at 25.7% in July.
          While there was some upside on sales, a number of survey panellists signalled that market conditions remained stagnant in August due to heightened price pressures, contributing to the fact that demand has not yet made a full recovery. Furthermore, some parts of the non-oil economy are trailing behind others. Construction is one area where sales volumes have been relatively stable in recent survey months, whereas the wholesale and retail sector saw a solid decline, albeit one that is easing.

          Best outlook for business activity since mid-2022

          The uplift in business conditions supported an improvement in the outlook for future activity across the non-oil economy in August. In fact, the latest survey data signalled the strongest predictions for the next 12 months since June 2022. This marked a considerable turnaround from two months ago when predictions were at a record low, suggesting that the recent stabilisation in market demand has been a strong factor behind the improvement in sentiment. That said, with 16% of respondents giving a positive response, the level of optimism is still weak relative to the historical trend, implying there is further to go to restore confidence in the sector.
          The strengthening of business confidence gave firms added impetus to increase their workforce in August. Overall employment numbers rose for the third time in the past four months, albeit at a slight pace. Anecdotal evidence suggested that hiring growth was largely reliant on the increase in output, with firms requiring extra workers to expand their capacity.

          Inflationary pressures reaccelerate

          Despite the rosier picture from the August survey data, risks to the Egyptian non-oil economy remain prevalent. The rise in output was only slight and marked just a single month of expansion, suggesting that subsequent months of positive data may be required to infer a proper economic recovery.
          Moreover, input price pressures faced by non-oil firms have accelerated in each of the past three months, and were at their highest level since March in the latest survey period. Panellists frequently linked this to a weakening in the exchange rate between the Egyptian pound and the US dollar, leading to upticks in import fees and supplier charges. Higher global shipping prices were also noted, as freight bottlenecks arising from the Red Sea crisis and hold-ups at several ports worldwide have led to additional strain on key shipping routes.
          The Purchase Prices Index has demonstrated a good relationship with consumer price inflation over the survey's history, particularly as rising costs have often forced businesses to raise their selling prices to maintain control over their margins. The sharp acceleration in purchase price inflation therefore adds upside inflation risk to the wider economy for the rest of the year, derailing one of the driving forces of the sector's stabilisation.
          Rising selling prices at non-oil companies have also been closely linked with a drop in order books - indeed, the Output Charges and New Orders survey indices share a strong relationship over the survey history. The latest rise in output charges, the highest in five months, suggests there could be a faster decline in sales on the horizon, which again could delay a full recovery in non-oil activity.
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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