US Stock Futures Rise On Hopes Of End To Government Shutdown

Stocks

Economic

Summary:

U.S. stock index futures advanced on Monday following signs of progress in Washington to end a record U.S. government shutdown that has stalled economic data releases and intensified concerns over the state of the economy.In a procedural vote on Sunday, senators advanced a House-passed bill that will be amended to fund the government until January 30. If the Senate eventually passes the amended measure, it still must be approved by the House of Representatives and sent to President Donald Trump for his signature, a process that could take several days.

In a procedural vote on Sunday, senators advanced a House-passed bill that will be amended to fund the government until January 30. If the Senate eventually passes the amended measure, it still must be approved by the House of Representatives and sent to President Donald Trump for his signature, a process that could take several days.

"The interplay between government shutdown risks, heavy Treasury issuance, and fading foreign demand for U.S. assets has created a fragile liquidity backdrop," said Bob Savage, head of markets macro strategy at BNY.

"If the U.S. government reopens smoothly and the Fed signals readiness to stabilize liquidity, risk appetite could recover, particularly in quality growth and AI-linked productivity stories."

Wall Street's main indexes ended last week with steep declines, with the Nasdaq (.IXIC), suffering its worst week in more than seven months as worries about the labor market and tech sector valuations dampened risk appetite.

At 07:00 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 213 points, or 0.45%, S&P 500 E-minis were up 65.25 points, or 0.97%, and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 378.25 points, or 1.49%.

The CBOE Volatility Index (.VIX), eased 0.44 points to 18.64, retreating from a three-week high touched on Friday.

The longest federal shutdown in history left both the Federal Reserve and traders in the dark without official economic readings and reliant on private economic indicators, which provided a mixed picture of the labor market.

The shutdown has also weighed on the U.S. economy, with federal workers going unpaid and White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett saying in an interview that fourth-quarter U.S. economic growth could be negative if the closure continues.

Traders work on the floor of the NYSE in New York

On betting website Polymarket, predictions for an end to the shutdown this week stood at 86%.

Most tech stocks were higher in premarket trading, with AI bellwether Nvidia (NVDA.O), gaining 3.2%, while Alphabet (GOOGL.O), and Meta Platforms (META.O), added 2.1% and 1.7%, respectively.

Other chipmakers also rose, with Qualcomm (QCOM.O), and Intel (INTC.O), up 1.6% and 2.1%, respectively. Broadcom (AVGO.O), gained 2.7% and Micron Technology (MU.O), was up 5.2%.

Optimism around artificial intelligence has fueled a bull run in U.S. stocks this year, but concerns around the monetization of the technology and circular spending within the sector drove a bout of selling in tech stocks last week.

Meanwhile, the earnings reporting period for the third quarter is approaching its conclusion. Of the 446 S&P 500 companies that have reported, 83% have delivered better-than-expected earnings, according to data compiled by LSEG.

Venture Global (VG.N), jumped 7.4% after the LNG exporter swung to a profit in the third quarter.

Among other stocks, Metsera (MTSR.O), slumped about 15% after Pfizer won a $10 billion bidding war to acquire the company.

Shares of health insurers dropped after Trump on Saturday urged Republicans to redirect federal money that currently goes to health insurance companies under the Affordable Care Act and send it directly to individuals.

Centene (CNC.N), fell 8.2% and UnitedHealth (UNH.N), lost 1.8%.

Source: Kitco

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Gerik

Economic

Data Vacuum Undermines Fed’s Policy Visibility

The Federal Reserve is entering the final stretch of 2025 effectively "flying blind," as the longest U.S. government shutdown in history has suspended the release of crucial economic indicators. Key datasets from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), particularly the October Consumer Price Index (CPI), have been delayed, while in-person data collection has also been interrupted. With no guarantee that October’s inflation report will be published in time, the Fed is confronting a profound challenge: managing monetary policy in the absence of fresh and comprehensive evidence.

The central bank’s dependence on high-frequency government data means that even a short disruption has ripple effects. Without timely CPI or updated labor reports, the Fed's ability to evaluate inflation trajectories or employment health is seriously compromised. Even if the government reopens soon, any retroactive surveys conducted by BLS will likely yield less reliable insights due to delayed respondent participation and retrospective recall bias.

Internal Divisions at the Fed Reflect Growing Policy Uncertainty

This unprecedented data blackout is intensifying existing divisions among Federal Reserve officials over whether to proceed with further interest rate cuts at the December 2025 meeting. During October’s policy meeting, members had to rely on the September CPI report and a limited set of labor market updates, exacerbating disagreement on the appropriate path forward.

Chair Jerome Powell, after the October rate cut, described additional cuts in December as “not guaranteed,” reflecting rising caution within the Fed. For policymakers concerned about the resurgence of inflation, the lack of current data has become a justification to hold rates steady. This logic stems from a precautionary principle: when visibility is low, it may be safer to wait than risk acting prematurely.

In contrast, private-sector indicators have hinted at continued weakness, particularly in employment. But while private job market reports can partially fill the void, alternative inflation measures remain sparse and lack the granularity of official government releases.

Investors Eye Fed Commentary as Markets Enter Holding Pattern

Despite the statistical gap, many investors still expect the Fed to lower rates again in December. However, trading activity in bond and money markets has cooled, and volatility has declined, reflecting a shift toward wait-and-see behavior. Market participants are increasingly looking to this week’s speeches from several Fed officials for forward guidance in lieu of hard data.

This transition from data-driven decision-making to sentiment- and speech-driven interpretation marks a fundamental shift in market dynamics. In normal conditions, economic reports anchor expectations. In this shutdown-induced void, verbal cues from policymakers and forward-looking commentary become the market’s primary compass.

Implications: Risk of Policy Missteps Grows as Data Delays Persist

The breakdown of regular data flow poses two types of risks: policy misalignment and credibility erosion. If the Fed acts too aggressively without reliable inputs, it risks underestimating persistent inflationary pressures or overreacting to perceived weakness. Conversely, delaying action might exacerbate economic slowdown if underlying conditions warrant a more accommodative stance.

Moreover, delayed or fragmented data collection introduces long-term complications. Analysts from Bloomberg Economics note that even if government operations resume promptly, BLS is unlikely to deliver October and November reports before the December Fed meeting. This extended uncertainty reduces the likelihood of decisive action and increases the weight placed on anecdotal evidence and market sentiment.

In Absence of Data, Fed Must Balance Caution with Credibility

As the U.S. government shutdown disrupts the flow of vital economic data, the Federal Reserve is left navigating blind. The lack of real-time insight into inflation and employment undermines the foundation of evidence-based policymaking, compounding internal disagreements and creating uncertainty in financial markets.

While private data sources and speeches from Fed officials may offer some clarity, the absence of authoritative benchmarks increases the risk of miscalculation. With its next policy decision looming in December, the Fed must carefully weigh its next steps, recognizing that in a vacuum of data, caution becomes both a shield and a constraint.

To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar

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Justin

Cryptocurrency

The UK plans to temporarily impose strict caps on stablecoin holdings, including a £20,000 ($26,350) limit for individuals, and allow issuers to have as much as 60% of the backing assets in short-term government debt.

The Bank of England revealed a softening in its stance to regulating sterling-denominated stablecoins in revised proposals published on Monday, as it seeks to keep pace with the US.

The BOE said stablecoins — which are cryptocurrencies pegged to another asset, usually a traditional counterpart like the US dollar or British pound — "have the potential to make payments faster, cheaper and more efficient and could be used widely for payments."

While the proposals will allow issuers to back a share of the coins with short-term government debt, the consultation confirmed a tougher approach to regulating the digital assets compared with the US. UK officials plan to finalize the rules following industry feedback next year.

The plans outlined by the BOE on Monday included:

It is a more moderate stance compared with the BOE's 2023 discussion paper which argued for backing assets to be "restricted to central bank deposits only." It is also more lax than the European Union's regime. Brussels' Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation, known as MiCA, requires systemic stablecoins issued in the bloc to hold 60% of their reserve assets as deposits at a credit institution, while non-systemic issuers are required to hold 30%.

While the BOE is taking a softer approach to stablecoins after Governor Andrew Bailey initially voiced his skepticism, the industry has recently raised concerns that the UK will struggle to compete with a more relaxed regime in the US. Dollar stablecoins already dominate the market.

The BOE wants its stablecoin rules to be in place as quickly as the US regime after excitement grew following the Trump administration's Genius Act that aims to normalize the digital assets.

BOE Deputy Governor Sarah Breeden has previously said that the UK needs to take a more cautious approach because of the different structure of Britain's financial system, as the mortgage market relies on lending by commercial banks. The BOE's proposed rules cover systemically-important sterling-denominated stablecoins, ones that become widely used in consumer and business-to-business payments.

Crucial to the regime will be which stablecoins are deemed systemically important, as a separate set of rules from the Financial Conduct Authority will regulate those that are not. The BOE said it may recommend to the government that they meet the bar if they are "not operating at systemic scale at present but are likely to do so in the future."

The proposals could boost demand for short-dated UK government debt, though it's unclear by how much and at what tenors. The central bank said the current UK bill market may not be able to support demand from stablecoin issuers. The nation's Debt Management Office typically issues bills at maturities of one, three and six months each week. There was about £108 billion of bills outstanding in October, according to DMO data.

"We recognise that the current size, structure and purpose of that segment of the UK sovereign debt market may not support large demand and activity by systemic stablecoin issuers," the BOE said.

The central bank said it was considering providing issuers with access to central bank liquidity arrangements. This would help "backstop issuers' ability to monetise" their short-dated government debt if needed.

"Secondary market activity in UK Treasury Bills and short-term gilts is currently low, as these are typically buy-to-hold securities for liquidity management purposes and may therefore not support issuers selling outright or through repurchase agreements in private markets to a sufficient extent," the paper said.

Source: Bloomberg Europe

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Winkelmann

Political

Forex

Economic

Private capital is expected to play a critical role in mobilizing $1.3 trillion of finance needed to fight climate change. AI, if properly aligned with climate goals, could be powerful in building vital resilience.

Today's CIO Weekly Perspectives comes from guest contributor Sarah Peasey, who outlines the key areas of focus and what to look out for as the 30th session of the UN's Conference of the Parties (COP30) gets underway in Belém, Brazil.

Symbolism vs. Practicality

Belém's selection has been praised as historic—centering negotiations in the heart of the Amazon rainforest—but São Paulo's superior hotels, venues, air links and capacity for large finance forums have been attracting many attendees, driving a geographic split between public negotiations and private investor gatherings.

Clean energy investment needs are stark: Sustaining a 1.5°C pathway demands roughly $4 trillion in annual climate finance. Yet capital is finite, and the biggest uncertainty is who foots the bill. With public balance sheets stretched and regional capacity to finance diverging, the trajectory points to a larger share of the burden-shifting to private markets. We believe it is notable that this incremental rise in global green capex demand is expected even amid policy headwinds such as potential reversals to U.S. incentives.

In this context, COP30's geographic split—public actors gathered in Belém versus many private financiers convening 3,000 kilometers away in São Paulo—risks compounding the coordination challenge. Bridging the gap will require clearer pipelines, blended‑finance structures and policy frameworks that attract private capital at scale.

Global Goal on Adaptation

COP30 arrives as acceleration of climate impacts has been observed and adaptation takes center stage—shifting the focus from ambition to how countries, cities and communities will withstand extreme physical climate events and stresses.

Against this backdrop, COP30 is expected to finalize the Paris Agreement's Global Goal on Adaptation, establishing indicators and targets such as universal early‑warning coverage and climate‑resilient agriculture that can drive measurable, collective progress.

For investors, adaptation is a multitrillion‑dollar opportunity, as economies around the world have to adapt to more extreme weather events induced by climate change.

The recent Category 5 Hurricane Melissa that impacted Jamaica—bringing 175mph winds, a near 13-foot storm surge and catastrophic flooding—and other Caribbean countries lays bare the climate vulnerability of small island states and underscores why calls are growing for COP30 to deliver scaled adaptation and loss-and-damage finance. Importantly, developed nations are not impervious; some 36% of U.S. economic growth this century can be linked to spending on recovering from disasters or preparing for the next one, according to Bloomberg Intelligence research.1

What to look out for: The finalization of a credible Global Goal on Adaptation with measurable indicators and material progress in unlocking finance and policy mechanisms that mainstream physical climate risk into investment, planning and disclosure.

Critical Deadlines and Credibility Tests

2025 is a pivotal year for climate policy: The 195 member countries of the United Nations Framework on Climate Convention must submit updated National Determined Contributions (NDCs) extending to 2035, and while few met the initial deadline, mounting UN pressure has prompted nearly 100 nations to signal new targets. The headline shift is China's first economy‑wide 2035 goal—cutting net greenhouse gas emissions 7 – 10% below peak by 2035.2 This is cautious versus the 20 – 30% reduction consistent with a 1.5°C pathway, but a meaningful move from intensity‑based to more robust absolute targets.

Importantly, Beijing's language of "striving to do better" matters; China often sets conservative goals and then outperforms—having hit its 1,200 GW renewables milestone six years early in 2024 and likely peaking emissions this year, five years ahead of its 2030 commitment.3

For COP30, the emerging wave of NDC updates—anchored by China's evolution—will set the tone for credibility, ambition ratchets and the global investment signals for the next decade.

What to look out for: Expect a credibility test on ambition and execution concerning whether COP30 delivers stronger, finance‑ready NDCs to 2035—with clearer sector targets, implementation plans and accountability.

Mobilizing Finance at Scale

Climate finance will again be center stage at COP30. After COP29's $300 billion‑per‑year pledge from developed countries—far short of the over $1 trillion annual needs by 2030—negotiators set an aspirational $1.3 trillion mobilization target for all actors to work toward, recognizing the actual investment needs of developing countries.

Brazil is now co‑leading the "Baku‑to‑Belém" roadmap to make that $1.3 trillion a year by 2035 real, aiming to unveil new instruments, leverage the balance sheets of multilateral development banks and actively engage investors. This underscores officials' view that public funds alone cannot deliver and that finance could be "redesigned" to attract private investment across emerging markets.

In parallel, major emerging markets bondholders (including Neuberger Berman on behalf of its clients) are advancing disaster‑linked payment pause clauses—allowing countries to defer interest for up to a year after shocks (natural disasters, pandemics, conflicts), with added creditor protections and transparency, building on Caribbean precedents like Grenada's hurricane‑triggered clause in 2024.

Together, these initiatives point to a pragmatic COP30 agenda: Engineer bankable, resilient capital flows at scale while safeguarding sovereign stability in a world of rising climate and macro shocks.

What to look out for: Expect clearer pathways to mobilize private capital through blended finance and de‑risking tools, robust project pipelines and transparent measurement of how revised NDCs translate into investable outcomes.

Striking an AI Balance

COP30 will put the nexus of AI and climate squarely on the agenda: Expect calls for faster permitting of clean capacity near data hubs, coordinated transmission buildout, and credible standards for "green compute" (renewable matching, 24/7 carbon‑free energy and marginal emissions accounting).

AI is also emerging as a core adaptation tool—powering early‑warning systems, wildfire detection, flood mapping and crop forecasting—linking directly to the Global Goal on Adaptation through measurable, locally deployed indicators. Rising AI‑driven load has the potential to bring in private capital to clean power and grids via hyper-scaler power purchase agreements, capacity payments and blended‑finance structures for transmission, with investors watching how NDCs and COP outcomes convert into bankable pipelines.

Yet the scale challenge is real: Data centers already use an estimated 1 – 2% of global electricity, and that could grow by roughly 165% by 2030 from 2023,4 with inference deployments likely sustaining elevated demand even as training becomes more efficient. In U.S. hotspots, household bills have surged, and the largest data center under construction is slated to consume power comparable to over two million homes—amid 50+ additional U.S. projects in the pipeline, new firm, low‑carbon generation will be indispensable.

Given strong support from the U.S. administration, next-generation nuclear (including small modular reactors) is emerging as a credible, around-the-clock, zero‑carbon power source to meet AI and data centers' surging, high‑availability electricity demand while enhancing grid reliability and decarbonization.

The policy test for COP30 is whether governments can align digital expansion with climate integrity, balancing affordability, reliability and decarbonization, while channeling AI's capabilities toward resilience.

What to look out for: Concrete moves to align AI's surging power demand with climate goals alongside commitments to deploy AI for adaptation (early warning, risk mapping) with strong governance and transparency.

The 'Implementation COP'

As COP30 gets underway, questions are mounting about whether the COP process is still effective in driving meaningful global climate action.

There is even a broader argument, put forward by prominent figures such as Bill Gates, that while climate change is serious, the bigger immediate priorities for low- and middle-income countries are disease, agricultural productivity and economic development. He urges shifting focus to economic development that strengthens adaptation and resilience, and backing emissions reductions alongside adaptation solutions that directly improve lives.

Such arguments are expected to gain traction amid a drive to achieve real outcomes.

Indeed, despite years of negotiations, the persistent gap between climate goals and actual commitments reflects a disconnect between summit declarations and real-world progress. Shifting political dynamics—such as major emitters withdrawing from agreements or resisting accountability—further complicate efforts to build coordinated momentum.

While COP30's emphasis on "implementation over ambition" signals a shift toward delivery, it also underscores the deeper challenge: Can international climate diplomacy evolve quickly enough to meet the urgency of the climate crisis?

Source: Neuberger Berman

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Warren Takunda

Economic

The US leader has floated the idea of paying a “tariff dividend” to almost all Americans from revenue collected by his administration from the tariffs applied on leading global economies, in an effort to bolster public support amid uncertainty over whether the Supreme Court will limit his use of tariffs.

On Sunday, Trump wrote on social media: “People that are against Tariffs are fools!,” adding that the country is “taking in trillions of dollars and will soon begin paying down our enormous debt, $37 trillion.”

He also suggested that “a dividend of at least $2,000 a person (not including high-income people!) will be paid to everyone.” The amount is equal to about €1,729.

The administration has yet to provide further clarification on how the payments would be distributed.

Following Trump’s post, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent indicated in an interview on ABC News’ This Week that the administration was considering tax cuts, but also said he had not spoken to Trump about the proposed dividend.

“The $2,000 dividend could come in lots of forms, in lots of ways,” Bessent said, suggesting possibilities such as eliminating taxes on tips, overtime, Social Security or even instituting an auto loan interest deductible.

With roughly 340 million citizens in the US, and around 19% of them living in upper-income households according to the Pew Research Center, approximately four-fifths of Americans could qualify for the proposed dividend.

The scheme would cost the federal budget, which has yet to be signed into law, hundreds of billions of dollars in 2026.

The US Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget reported that customs duties collected in the 2025 fiscal year were about $195 billion or (€168,63bn), representing an increase of US$118 billion (€102bn), up by approximately 150% from the previous year.

The US budget is further strained by the cost of servicing the national debt, which stands at more than 122% of GDP, or $37.64 trillion (€32.5tr).

Trump’s announcement comes after a turbulent week for his tariff plans. Last week, the Supreme Court signalled doubts over his authority to impose reciprocal tariffs under emergency powers, following earlier rulings from lower courts that he had exceeded his authority.

Trump has said that overturning the tariffs would be a “disaster” for the country, noting that much of the revenue would be used to reduce the national debt.

Tariffs have become a central pillar of Trump’s foreign policy in his second term, with double-digit reciprocal tariffs imposed on most countries. He has justified the measures by declaring America’s longstanding trade deficits a national emergency.

Source: Euronews

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Michelle

Cryptocurrency

Economic

Institutional demand for digital assets saw a significant uptick as investors digested news about the US Senate reaching a much-awaited deal that could soon end the 40-day government shutdown.

On Sunday, the US Senate advanced a procedural vote to end the government shutdown, with the final post-cloture vote expected to occur on Monday, according to the Senate's schedule.

Cryptocurrency markets saw a rebound after the report. The Starknet (STRK) token rose over 43% as the day's biggest winner, followed by the Trump-backed World Liberty Financial (WLFI) token, up 28% over the past 24 hours, according to CoinMarketCap data.

The nearing end of the government shutdown may reduce the "financial uncertainty" among global investors and fuel a crypto market recovery, Nicolai Sondergaard, research analyst at crypto intelligence platform Nansen, told Cointelegraph.

"For weeks, markets were effectively operating in the dark, key economic data releases, policy updates, and regulatory processes were all frozen during the shutdown."

Once the government's operations resume, investors can "price in real fundamentals rather than speculation," as key federal agency-backed releases were canceled due to the shutdown, added Sondergaard.

Top 10 gainers by 24-hour performance. Source: CoinMarketCap

Institutions restart Ether accumulation fueled by the perspective of US government shutdown end

Following the news of the potential end of the 40-day government shutdown, institutional investors have restarted their Ether (ETH) accumulation based on the growing average spot order data.

Ethereum may be entering a period of "low-volatility accumulation" if Ether price manages to remain afloat above the $3,000 to $3,400 range, according to crypto intelligence platform CryptoQuant.

Source: CryptoQuant

However, the broader market recovery will ultimately depend on the incoming Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether ETF inflows, which will ultimately determine whether this recovery will see "sustained institutional demand rather than just retail or short-term flows," according to Nomura Group's Laser Digital derivatives trading desk, in a report shared with Cointelegraph.

Looming end of government shutdown raises hopes of altcoin ETF "floodgates"

In the wider crypto space, ETF analyst Nate Geraci saw the end of the shutdown as a positive development that will open the ETF floodgates.

"Government shutdown ending = spot crypto ETF floodgates opening," wrote Geraci in a Monday X post, adding that this may also introduce the first spot XRP (XRP) ETF under the Securities Act of 1933.

This would make the 21Shares fund the first XRP exchange-traded product and fourth altcoin ETP launched under the Act of 1933. The spot Bitcoin and Ether ETFs were also approved under the same framework, but listed under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, which requires exchange oversight.

At least 16 crypto ETF applications are currently awaiting approval, delayed by the US government shutdown, now in its 40th day.

Sharplink exec shocked by level of BTC and ETH ETF hodling — Joseph Chalom

Source: COINTELEGRAPH

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Adam

Stocks

Stock Futures Rebound as Government Shutdown Deal Gains Momentum

Daily E-mini S&P 500 Index

U.S. stock index futures rallied early Monday as signs emerged that lawmakers were closing in on a deal to end the historic government shutdown. Futures tied to the S&P 500 were up nearly 1%, Nasdaq-100 futures jumped 1.5%, and Dow futures gained 198 points, or 0.4%.

A procedural vote in the Senate cleared the way for additional action on a federal funding bill. The proposal would keep the government open through January and reinstate federal jobs lost during the shutdown. Though it omits ACA subsidy extensions, it includes a provision for a vote on the issue next month.

Will a Shutdown Resolution Revive Sentiment?

Investor mood has soured, with the University of Michigan reporting the weakest consumer sentiment reading in over three years. The extended shutdown has already led to the suspension of key economic releases such as the CPI and PPI reports scheduled for this week. Traders are watching the Senate and House closely as final votes approach.

Nasdaq 100 and S&P500: Tech Stocks Lead Recovery as Shutdown Deal Lifts Sentiment Today_2

Weekly S&P 500 Index (SPX)

Last week, the Nasdaq fell 3%, posting its worst loss since the April 2025 tariff-driven decline. The S&P 500 lost 1.6% and the Dow dropped 1.2%. High valuations in AI-linked stocks triggered a broader pullback, especially across tech.

AI Stocks Under Pressure – Is It a Bubble?

Despite stretched valuations, Goldman Sachs insists the AI sector is not in bubble territory. Strategists cite robust earnings, stable household savings, and moderate corporate leverage as key differences from the dot-com era. However, they recommend hedging with call options to limit downside risk while maintaining exposure to further upside.

Nasdaq 100 and S&P500: Tech Stocks Lead Recovery as Shutdown Deal Lifts Sentiment Today_3

Daily NVIDIA Corporation

Top names like Nvidia, Microsoft, and Palantir led the early-morning rebound.

Nasdaq 100 and S&P500: Tech Stocks Lead Recovery as Shutdown Deal Lifts Sentiment Today_4

Daily VanEck Semiconductor ETF

The VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) rose over 2% in premarket trading after China relaxed rare earth mineral export controls.

What’s on Deck This Week in Earnings?

Daily Walt Disney Company

Walt Disney, Cisco Systems, and several AI infrastructure firms headline the earnings calendar. Cisco is expected to post an 8% gain in earnings and provide an update on its growing AI data center business. Meanwhile, Oklo, Rocket Lab, and Siemens Energy are set to report, offering insight into the next wave of nuclear and space tech investments.

Disney’s Q4 results will be closely watched as it phases out detailed streaming metrics. Analysts expect a modest decline in earnings and weaker theme park revenue.

Outlook: Rebound or Risk-Off?

Market sentiment could stabilize if Congress passes a funding bill and major earnings surprise to the upside. Still, traders should remain cautious given recent volatility in high-growth sectors. With economic data delayed and the AI trade under scrutiny, any upside may be limited until clearer signals emerge from Washington and corporate America.