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SYMBOL
LAST
BID
ASK
HIGH
LOW
NET CHG.
%CHG.
SPREAD
SPX
S&P 500 Index
6966.29
6966.29
6966.29
6978.37
6917.65
+44.83
+ 0.65%
--
DJI
Dow Jones Industrial Average
49504.06
49504.06
49504.06
49571.41
49197.06
+237.96
+ 0.48%
--
IXIC
NASDAQ Composite Index
23671.34
23671.34
23671.34
23721.15
23426.48
+191.33
+ 0.81%
--
USDX
US Dollar Index
98.860
98.940
98.860
98.980
98.600
+0.290
+ 0.29%
--
EURUSD
Euro / US Dollar
1.16309
1.16389
1.16309
1.16618
1.16179
-0.00271
-0.23%
--
GBPUSD
Pound Sterling / US Dollar
1.33930
1.34121
1.33930
1.34505
1.33922
-0.00468
-0.35%
--
XAUUSD
Gold / US Dollar
4509.15
4509.15
4509.15
4517.06
4452.75
+31.36
+ 0.70%
--
WTI
Light Sweet Crude Oil
58.641
58.670
58.641
59.589
57.491
+0.393
+ 0.67%
--

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California's Budget Plan Proposes To Collect More Taxes On Delivery Apps

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US President Trump: It Was A Very Good Meeting

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USA Energy Secretary: I Am In Touch With Venezuela

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USA Energy Secretary Chris Wright: Chevron Timeline Is Of 18-24 Months For Venezuela

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U.S. Agriculture Secretary Rollins: The Trump Administration Has Suspended Federal Funding To Minnesota, Effective Immediately. This Includes Currently Activated Funds And Any Funds That May Be Approved In The Future

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The Two-year US Treasury Yield Rose About 4.4 Basis Points On Non-farm Payrolls Day, And Has Risen About 5.9 Basis Points This Week. On Friday (January 9), In Late New York Trading, The Yield On The Benchmark 10-year US Treasury Note Fell 0.19 Basis Points To 4.1653%, Reaching A Daily High Of 4.2028% When The US Non-farm Payrolls Report Was Released At 21:30 Beijing Time. The Yield Experienced Two Waves Of Upward Movement Followed By Pullbacks During The Day, And Has Fallen A Cumulative 2.53 Basis Points This Week, Trading Within The 4.2028%-4.1221% Range. The Two-year US Treasury Yield Rose 4.39 Basis Points To 3.5321%, Rising To 3.5342% After The Non-farm Payrolls Report Was Released, And Subsequently Exhibiting A W-shaped Pattern, Rising A Cumulative 5.88 Basis Points This Week. It Remained Below 3.48% From January 5-8, And Has Been Rising Steadily Since January 8

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SPDR Gold Holdings Down 0.24%, Or 2.57 Tonnes

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[Public Expectations Warm Up Canadian Prime Minister's Visit To China] According To The Global Times, The Canadian Prime Minister's Office Announced That Prime Minister Mark Carney Will Visit China From January 13th To 17th To Discuss Trade, Energy, And Security Issues. If The Trip Takes Place, It Will Be The First Visit To China By A Canadian Prime Minister Since 2017. Canadian Media Generally Hold High Expectations For Carney's Visit, Describing It As A "reset" Or "cautious Restart" Of Sino-Canadian Relations. These Keywords Reflect Canada's Objective Understanding Of The Current State Of Sino-Canadian Relations. The Global News Canada Described It As: "For Farmers In Saskatchewan, This Visit Is Something They've Been Eagerly Anticipating." This Vivid Metaphor Expresses The Fervent Hope Of The Canadian Public For A Warming Of Sino-Canadian Relations

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Trafigura, Vitol Providing Logistical, Marketing Services For Sale Of Venezuelan Oil At Request Of US Government - Trafigura Statement

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Brazil Farmers Harvest 0.53% Of Expected Soybean Area Versus 0.05% At This Time In 2025 - Patria Agronegocios

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On Friday (January 9), In Late New York Trading, S&P 500 Futures Rose 0.60%, Dow Jones Futures Rose 0.47%, NASDAQ 100 Futures Rose 0.96%, And Russell 2000 Futures Rose 0.77%

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[Trump Pushes $100 Billion Venezuela Plan, Oil Giants Respond Lukewarmly] Despite Pressure From US President Trump To Invest At Least $100 Billion To Revive Venezuelan Oil Production, Major US Oil Executives Expressed Caution About Returning To Venezuela During Meetings With Him. "If You Don't Want To Go In, Tell Me, Because There Are 25 People Who Aren't Here Today Who Would Be Willing To Take Your Place," Trump Told Oil Representatives On Friday

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The S&P/TSX Composite Index In Canada Closed Up 0.72% At 32,612.93 Points, Setting A New Closing Record High After Two Trading Days, And Gaining 2.29% For The Week. The Small-cap Index Closed Up 1.14% At 1,260.03 Points, Also A New Closing Record High, And Gained 4.61% For The Week

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The U.S. Supreme Court Is Reviewing The Securities And Exchange Commission's (SEC) Power To Recover Illicit Gains

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The S&P 500 Rose 44.82 Points, Or 0.65%, To 6966.28. The Dow Jones Industrial Average Rose 237.96 Points, Or 0.48%, To 49504.07. The Nasdaq Composite Rose 191.331 Points, Or 0.82%, To 23671.346. The NASDAQ 100 Rose 259.156 Points, Or 1.02%, To 25766.258. The Nasdaq Biotechnology Index Rose 0.18% To 5817.44. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index Rose 2.73% To 7638.779. The Philadelphia Stock Exchange KBW Bank Index Fell 0.39% To 170.61. The Dow Jones KBW Regional Bank Index Fell 0.83% To 129.40

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Trafigura's CEO Announced At A White House Meeting That The First Ships Carrying Venezuelan Oil Are Scheduled To Load Next Week

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Federal Reserve: U.S. Bank Deposits Totaled $18.535 Trillion Last Week, Compared With $18.619 Trillion The Previous Week

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US President Trump: Russia Has Decided Not To Confront The US Over Oil Tankers

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US President Trump: I Am Creating A "recipe" For Investing In Venezuela

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US President Trump: Today’s Nonfarm Payrolls Report Is Amazing

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    EuroTrader flag
    peterfx
    @peterfxyeahh and you too brother, the weekend is definitely gonna be an amazing one filled with lots of opportunities
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          U.S. Eyes Greenland with Mining Investments and Potential Takeover Talks, Raising Geopolitical Tensions

          Gerik

          Economic

          Summary:

          President Trump’s ambitions in Greenland have escalated from rhetoric to tangible steps, including mining investment talks and upcoming U.S.–Denmark negotiations, setting the stage for a globally significant diplomatic clash....

          From Bold Rhetoric to Real Policy: U.S. Accelerates Greenland Push

          President Donald Trump’s long-standing interest in Greenland has rapidly transitioned from geopolitical posturing to actionable steps. Recent disclosures confirm the White House is engaging with mining company Amaroq over investments in gold, gallium, and critical minerals in Greenland. These developments are taking place just days ahead of a key diplomatic meeting between U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Danish and Greenlandic officials, where the topic of a potential U.S. acquisition will be formally raised.
          The investment talks are being framed as a business initiative a positioning that Greenland’s political leadership has tentatively welcomed, albeit with sharp boundaries. Greenlandic MP Aaja Chemnitz emphasized that while the island is “open for business,” it is not for sale. This distinction points to growing friction between economic collaboration and sovereignty concerns, a line that the U.S. may be testing.

          A Hypothetical Price Tag and Rising Diplomatic Stakes

          A U.S. think tank has estimated Greenland’s hypothetical value at nearly $2.8 trillion, though such figures remain speculative and provocative. More than valuation, the real challenge lies in navigating the legal, political, and cultural barriers to any takeover scenario. Greenlanders continue to push for greater autonomy from Denmark, and any U.S. move perceived as undermining that ambition would likely trigger domestic backlash and international condemnation.
          Rubio’s upcoming meeting with Denmark’s Foreign Minister Lokke Rasmussen and Greenland’s Foreign Minister Vivian Motzfeldt will have to address not only mineral rights and defense interests, but also the optics of sovereignty, indigenous rights, and European solidarity.

          Global Reaction: Strategic Tensions on the Rise

          The geopolitical reverberations are already being felt. Russia, though officially silent, may see an opportunity to exploit divisions within NATO. Meanwhile, China is paying close attention to the Arctic maneuvering. Beijing previously declared itself a “near-Arctic state” in 2018 and has shown long-term interest in Greenland’s mineral wealth and strategic location. Any increased U.S. footprint in the Arctic could provoke countermeasures from both powers, potentially expanding competition in one of the world’s last untapped frontiers.
          In a related development, the U.S. Senate passed a War Powers Resolution to block further unilateral military strikes on Venezuela, another area where Trump has sought aggressive foreign intervention. The vote signals growing congressional resistance to expansive executive authority in foreign affairs and could complicate the administration’s ability to enforce or militarize its Arctic ambitions without legislative backing.

          Market Implications and Defense Rally

          Markets responded to the strategic shift. Defense stocks rallied globally following Trump’s proposal for a $1.5 trillion military budget, as investors bet on expanded government contracts in areas ranging from aerospace to Arctic infrastructure. However, the Nasdaq dipped as investors rotated out of tech, while the Dow Jones rose modestly and the Stoxx 600 in Europe edged lower, reflecting caution amid geopolitical uncertainty.
          Adding another layer of complexity, the U.S. Supreme Court is set to rule on the legality of Trump's tariff strategy, particularly whether emergency powers under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) were misused. If deemed illegal, the U.S. government could be required to refund up to $150 billion in paid duties an outcome that would reshape not just trade law but the fiscal balance Trump is relying on for his expansive military and foreign policy plans, including those related to Greenland.
          Trump’s Greenland initiative has now entered a pivotal stage, with real investments, strategic negotiations, and international scrutiny converging. While the rhetoric of purchase may remain largely symbolic, the U.S.’s growing Arctic involvement is real and could signal a long-term geopolitical rebalancing in the High North. Whether this leads to greater cooperation, confrontation, or a new Cold War frontier remains to be seen, but the stakes have never been higher.

          Source: CNBC

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          China Champions Its Political Model as Global Alternative

          Michael Ross

          Remarks of Officials

          Political

          In the wake of the US capture of Venezuela's leader, China is intensifying its campaign to promote its governance model as a superior alternative to Western capitalism, framing it as a new blueprint for developing nations.

          An article in the People's Daily by Liu Haixing, who heads the Communist Party's International Department, laid out the case for why China’s political system and development path offer fresh solutions for the world. The department is responsible for the party's outreach to foreign political organizations.

          China's Case Against Western Capitalism

          Liu pointed to what he described as "frequent systemic crises within capitalism" to argue that the success of the Chinese model has boosted the global appeal of socialism.

          "The historical evolution and the competition between the two ideologies and social systems—socialism and capitalism—are undergoing a major shift on a global scale that increasingly favors socialism," he wrote.

          According to Liu, China’s rise has dismantled the "Western-centric" notion that modernization is synonymous with Westernization. He positioned the Chinese approach as a new standard for other countries.

          "It sets a benchmark and provides a brand-new alternative for developing nations seeking to achieve modernization while maintaining their independence and autonomy," he stated.

          Liu highlighted several advantages of the Chinese system over Western democracies, including:

          • Strong party leadership and discipline

          • Long-term economic planning

          China is expected to release its 15th five-year plan during its annual political gathering in March.

          Beijing Positions Itself as a Global Stabilizer

          Without naming the United States directly, Liu criticized the world's leading superpower while presenting China as a source of global stability.

          "Particularly in an era of intensifying geopolitical conflicts and the rise of protectionism and unilateralism, China remains steadfast as a force for peace, stability, and progress in the world," he wrote. He added that China continues to inject "certainty into a world defined by turbulence and transformation."

          This messaging aligns with Beijing’s official response after Donald Trump announced the capture of Venezuelan leader Nicolas Maduro. China’s Foreign Ministry condemned the attack, while President Xi Jinping, in his first international appearance after the event, described China as a "peace-loving, open-minded, inclusive" nation.

          US-Venezuela Tensions Fuel Ideological Divide

          Since Maduro's capture, the Trump administration has emphasized the "Donroe Doctrine," a strategy aimed at asserting US dominance in the Americas and countering rivals in the Western Hemisphere. This campaign directly challenges China's significant economic investments and growing presence in the region.

          In a Wednesday interview with the New York Times, Trump described a vision of American power limited only by his "own morality." He suggested that past presidents were too hesitant to use US power to achieve political supremacy or national gain.

          "I don't need international law," he said. "I'm not looking to hurt people."

          Beijing has long argued that the current global order is unfairly dominated by the United States and its allies. It continues to advocate for an alternative system where developing countries, with China at the forefront, can assume a more prominent role.

          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
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          China’s December Inflation Climbs to Three-Year High, But Deflation Pressures Persist

          Gerik

          Economic

          Consumer Inflation Rebounds, But Annual CPI Misses Target

          China’s headline consumer price index (CPI) rose 0.8% in December compared to a year earlier the fastest monthly pace in nearly three years driven mainly by a surge in fresh vegetable prices, which spiked 18.2% due to winter-related supply constraints. On a month-over-month basis, prices edged up 0.2%, exceeding expectations of a 0.1% rise.
          However, this rebound failed to lift annual inflation meaningfully. For the full year 2025, CPI was essentially flat, falling well short of Beijing’s target of “around 2%,” signaling that stimulus measures, such as the consumer goods trade-in program, have not had a strong effect on overall demand.
          Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, remained unchanged at 1.2% in December, indicating underlying consumer demand remains subdued despite short-term seasonal factors influencing headline numbers.

          Factory-Gate Deflation Extends Record Stretch

          While consumer prices showed a modest pick-up, producer price index (PPI) data reflected the continued stress in industrial sectors. Factory-gate prices dropped 1.9% year-on-year in December a slightly softer fall than November’s 2.2% marking more than three years of consecutive monthly declines.
          Sectors such as durable consumer goods and automotives remain under pricing pressure. Durable goods prices fell 3.5% year-on-year, while gasoline-powered and new energy vehicle prices dropped by 2.4% and 2.2%, respectively. The ongoing deflation in PPI underscores structural overcapacity and intense competition, particularly in manufacturing and electric vehicles, where firms have reintroduced price cuts amid tepid demand.

          Causal Factors Behind Diverging Inflation Trends

          The divergence between modest consumer inflation and deepening producer price deflation suggests a complex dynamic: short-term food-related price increases are not reflective of broader economic strength. Instead, a weak labor market, fragile household confidence, and a protracted real estate downturn are acting as demand suppressors. These factors are causally linked to China’s inability to generate self-sustaining inflation, despite repeated pledges and interventions by policymakers.
          Moreover, the persistence of producer deflation highlights chronic oversupply and margin compression across key industrial sectors. This condition correlates with falling industrial profits, which declined 13.1% in November the steepest drop in over a year.

          Property Sector Weighs on Recovery Outlook

          Beijing continues to grapple with the fallout from the real estate sector’s long slide. Despite repeated commitments to stabilize the sector reiterated in the December economic work conference housing sales and investment remain weak. A recent editorial in Qiushi Journal, the Communist Party’s ideological publication, called for comprehensive, rather than piecemeal, stabilization policies.
          Nevertheless, analysts like Macquarie’s Larry Hu warn that anticipated policy easing such as further mortgage rate cuts and relaxation of purchase restrictions may not be sufficient to reverse the downward trajectory. He forecasts a 7% decline in new home sales by floor area in 2026, following an 8% fall in 2025.

          Growth Momentum Likely to Weaken in Q4

          China may still meet its full-year GDP growth target of around 5% in 2025, but momentum appears to be slowing. Bank of America Global Research expects Q4 growth to moderate to 4.5%, down from 4.8% in Q3. Fixed-asset investment likely contracted more deeply in December, and while industrial production may show a modest year-end lift, it is unlikely to compensate for weakness in real estate and consumer sectors.
          Although the official PMI index in December rose above the expansion threshold to 50.1, snapping eight straight months of contraction, this appears more seasonal than structural. Without stronger consumption and investment cycles, the recovery remains fragile and uneven.
          December’s inflation data offers mixed signals: a short-term lift in CPI driven by food prices masks deeper deflationary currents in the industrial and property sectors. While headline figures show temporary relief, the underlying trends point to persistent weakness in domestic demand and private investment. Policymakers face mounting pressure to deliver more forceful and targeted stimulus in 2026, or risk slipping into a prolonged low-growth, low-inflation environment.

          Source: CNBC

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          Indian Equities Eye Rebound After Four-Day Slump Amid Tariff Uncertainty and SC Ruling

          Gerik

          Economic

          Markets Poised for Technical Bounce After Sustained Selloff

          India's benchmark indices, the Nifty 50 and the BSE Sensex, are set for a modest recovery on Friday, with Gift Nifty futures trading at 25,998.50 above Thursday’s Nifty close of 25,876.85. The anticipated bounce comes after a four-day losing streak that erased nearly 1.8% from the indices, triggered primarily by renewed concerns over U.S. trade tariffs and sustained foreign investor selling.
          The recent pullback has positioned domestic equities near key technical levels, where analysts expect opportunistic buying to emerge. However, the outlook remains fragile, as sentiment is tethered to geopolitical headlines and legal developments in the United States that may reshape bilateral trade policy.

          U.S. Supreme Court Tariff Ruling Could Reshape Global Trade Dynamics

          Investors are focused on the pending U.S. Supreme Court decision regarding the legality of tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump under emergency trade powers. If the Court deems these actions unlawful, the U.S. government could face up to $150 billion in refund liabilities to importers. Such a ruling could significantly alter the narrative on India-U.S. trade relations, which have been strained by duties as high as 50% on Indian goods, particularly in response to New Delhi's continued purchases of Russian oil.
          Any favorable ruling could serve as a short-term catalyst for Indian equities by easing trade headwinds and improving the investment climate. Conversely, a verdict upholding Trump’s tariff powers may introduce further policy risk for Indian exporters and delay the finalization of a long-discussed trade pact with Washington.

          Foreign Investor Outflows Add to Downward Pressure

          The equity market’s vulnerability is exacerbated by persistent foreign portfolio outflows. In January alone, foreign investors have sold approximately $900 million worth of Indian shares, following a staggering $19 billion in outflows throughout 2025. These redemptions have largely been attributed to global macro tightening, geopolitical tensions, and valuation concerns.
          While some domestic institutional buying has helped cushion the fall, analysts caution that continued outflows could weigh on any upward momentum unless earnings data or policy clarity injects fresh confidence into the market.

          Key Stocks in Focus

          Markets are also expected to react to company-specific developments:
          • Reliance Industries: India’s largest private-sector firm and operator of the world’s largest refining complex has signaled interest in purchasing Venezuelan crude if U.S. sanctions allow broader access. This move aligns with ongoing geopolitical shifts following the U.S. seizure of Maduro’s government and reorientation of Venezuelan oil flows.
          • Bajaj Finserv: The Bajaj Group has acquired a 23% stake in its insurance subsidiaries from German partner Allianz SE for ₹213.9 billion ($2.38 billion), consolidating its position in the fast-growing Indian insurance market. This deal may boost sentiment around the broader Bajaj Group stocks.
          • BHEL (Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited): The state-owned engineering giant secured a ₹54 billion order from a joint venture company involved in coal gasification. This development signals continued momentum in public-sector project execution and may lift sentiment in the capital goods space.
          While Friday’s early cues point to a tentative rebound in Indian equities, sustainability will depend on clarity around U.S. trade policy, foreign investor behavior, and the domestic earnings season. Until then, sentiment remains delicately balanced between technical bargain hunting and broader macroeconomic uncertainty.

          Source: Reuters

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          Asian Markets Trade Mixed as Investors Weigh China Inflation and Global Tensions

          Gerik

          Economic

          Stocks

          Asian Indices Mixed After China Inflation Matches Expectations

          Asian equities opened the final trading day of the week with a fragmented performance, shaped by China’s latest inflation figures and ongoing macro-political uncertainty. The CSI 300 dipped 0.25% after China’s consumer price index (CPI) rose 0.8% in December from a year earlier, in line with forecasts and a slight acceleration from November’s 0.7% rise. Factory-gate prices fell 1.9%, showing persistent deflationary pressures in the producer economy, though less than expected.
          The muted reaction in Chinese equities underscores investor caution amid ongoing concerns about domestic demand recovery and policy support. While the data avoided surprises, the sluggish pace of price growth signals a fragile consumption rebound, which continues to weigh on sentiment across Asia.

          Japan’s Equities Outperform on Strong Corporate Earnings

          Japan’s markets stood out, with the Nikkei 225 rising 0.54% and the Topix up 0.46%, supported by corporate earnings. Shares of Fast Retailing, parent of Uniqlo, jumped more than 7% after the company reported a nearly 33% surge in quarterly operating profit and raised its full-year guidance. Strong global sales, particularly in China, North America, and Europe, helped offset the impact of U.S. tariffs. The company remains on track for its fifth consecutive year of profit growth, boosting confidence in Japanese retail resilience and international brand strategy.
          Geopolitical risk continued to support defense-related shares in the region. Following the U.S. military operation that resulted in the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and Trump’s renewed rhetoric around Greenland acquisition, defense firms saw renewed investor interest. In Japan, Kawasaki Heavy Industries rose 1.46%, while IHI gained nearly 2%. In South Korea, Hanwha Aerospace soared 5.87%, Poongsan climbed over 4%, and Korea Aerospace rose 1.33%. This defensive rotation highlights market sensitivity to global security developments and regional defense realignment.

          Australia Flat, Mining Stocks React to M&A News

          Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 traded just below flat, dragged by weakness in mining. Shares of Rio Tinto fell over 5% following confirmation of early-stage merger talks with Glencore. A potential merger between these two global mining giants, estimated to be worth $207 billion, introduces uncertainty in the short term despite long-term consolidation synergies. The announcement triggered cautious investor response, weighing on the broader materials sector.
          Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index gained 0.12%, with futures suggesting a higher open. Investors are closely watching Hang Seng Bank following shareholder approval of a privatization plan proposed by majority owner HSBC. The move, part of HSBC’s broader regional restructuring, could shift capital flows and affect banking sector valuations in the short term.

          Wall Street Rotation Reflects Pre-Data Repositioning

          U.S. equity futures remained muted in early Asian trade as global investors awaited the December non-farm payrolls report and a critical Supreme Court ruling on Trump’s use of emergency tariff powers. Overnight, the Dow rose 270.03 points (0.55%), the S&P 500 added a modest 0.01%, while the Nasdaq lagged with a 0.44% decline. The rotation out of tech, led by a 1% drop in the information technology sector, indicates investor caution ahead of potentially market-moving legal and labor market developments.
          Asia’s markets reflected a mix of localized corporate catalysts, macroeconomic data digestion, and broader geopolitical undercurrents. While China’s inflation data remained in line with expectations, uncertainty over global trade policy, mergers in the mining sector, and defense spending trends drove sector-specific movements. Market participants now shift focus to U.S. payroll data and the Supreme Court’s pending tariff decision, both of which could redefine risk sentiment going into next week.

          Source: CNBC

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          RBI Intervention Offers Limited Relief as Rupee Faces Headwinds from Outflows and Weak Asian Sentiment

          Gerik

          Economic

          Forex

          Rupee Opens Firmer on RBI Support, but Gains Remain Fragile

          The Indian rupee is expected to inch up in Friday’s session, opening in the 89.90–89.94 range against the U.S. dollar, after closing weaker at 90.0175 on Thursday. While the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) continues to intervene by selling dollars in the spot market, its efforts are yielding diminishing returns as market participants hedge aggressively and external headwinds persist.
          On Thursday, the rupee briefly strengthened to 89.75 in response to central bank support, echoing a similar rebound seen on Wednesday. However, in both cases, the currency failed to sustain its gains, underscoring a pattern of fragile recoveries and persistent structural pressure. Traders attribute the lack of follow-through to continued foreign portfolio outflows and muted optimism over trade negotiations, especially amid concerns of new tariffs from the United States.

          Structural Pressures from Trade and Capital Flows

          The rupee’s weakness is not merely a reflection of short-term volatility but is causally linked to sustained capital outflows and deteriorating investor sentiment. Importers, anticipating further depreciation, are locking in forward contracts aggressively during any momentary dips in the dollar/rupee rate, adding to dollar demand in the forward market and curbing the effectiveness of RBI’s interventions.
          Moreover, portfolio flows have yet to recover meaningfully. Risk appetite has waned across Asia as regional currencies trend lower, with sentiment clouded by expectations of soft U.S. labor data and broader concerns around global monetary tightening. While President Trump has signaled the possibility of new tariffs on India over Russian oil imports, this is not yet seen as an immediate risk. However, the political tone adds to the broader uncertainty surrounding India’s trade and investment climate, which further discourages inflows.

          RBI’s Backstop Seen as Defensive, Not Proactive

          The central bank’s actions though preventing a disorderly decline in the rupee are largely reactive. They serve more as a backstop than a directional policy force. Market participants note that without a strong catalyst from trade, portfolio rebalancing, or external macro data, the rupee lacks the momentum to break sustainably below the 89.90 threshold.
          The one-month non-deliverable forward rates, used as a proxy for opening expectations, reflected the post-market dip in the dollar/rupee to below 89.90, setting the tone for today’s session. Yet traders remain skeptical that this move will extend without a shift in underlying flows.

          Focus Shifts to U.S. Labor Data and Fed Policy Signals

          The upcoming U.S. non-farm payrolls report remains a key focus, with economists expecting an increase of 60,000 jobs and an unemployment rate holding steady at 4.5% a slight improvement from November’s 4.6%. ING Bank analysts suggest that unless the data diverges significantly from expectations, the unemployment rate will be the more influential metric for markets.
          A stable jobless rate, particularly if accompanied by soft hiring, could reinforce expectations of a January rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Morgan Stanley analysts maintain that such an outcome would align with a modest easing trajectory, which could eventually ease pressure on emerging-market currencies like the rupee. However, in the near term, the Fed’s stance and the dollar’s resilience continue to tilt the balance against the rupee.
          While RBI’s interventions have helped to contain volatility, they are proving insufficient to reverse the rupee’s broader depreciation trend. Persistent capital outflows, geopolitical uncertainty, and tepid regional cues weigh heavily on sentiment. Unless global risk appetite improves or India sees a meaningful pickup in inflows, the rupee is likely to remain under pressure, testing the limits of central bank support in the face of structural headwinds.

          Source: Reuters

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
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          The U.S. Adjusts Sanctions Policy Toward Venezuela, Market Focuses on Fed Chair and Inflation Outlook

          FastBull Featured

          Daily News

          [Quick Facts]

          1. U.S. Treasury Secretary: Some sanctions against Venezuelan entities will be lifted.
          2. Trump has decided on the next Fed chair.
          3. The Trump administration considers funding to promote Greenland's joining the U.S.
          4. Government funding running out again, House approves three appropriations bills.
          5. Short-term inflation expectations rise in the U.S.; employment outlook worsens.
          6. Investors' bearish sentiment toward oil reaches its highest level in nearly a decade.

          [News Details]

          U.S. Treasury Secretary: Some sanctions against Venezuelan entities will be lifted
          On January 8th, U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent announced that some sanctions targeting Venezuelan entities would be removed. Regarding future U.S. involvement in Venezuela's governance, Bessent expressed hope for stabilizing Venezuela's existing structure. On Venezuelan assets, he stated that the Treasury Department would oversee asset sales and return proceeds to Venezuela under instructions from Secretary of State Rubio. Bessent also noted that independent oil companies are interested in investing in Venezuela soon, while major oil firms may act more cautiously there.
          Trump has decided on the next Fed chair
          According to reports, Trump said during an interview on Wednesday evening that he had finalized his nomination for the next Fed chair. When asked if it was his chief economic advisor, Kevin Hassett, Trump replied he won't name the pick but acknowledged Hassett is among those he respects.
          Whoever Trump ultimately nominates will take over an institution at a critical juncture, currently under intense pressure from the president, who wants borrowing costs lowered significantly. Fed Chair Jerome Powell's term expires in May, and he has become a frequent target of Trump's criticism, signaling that the next chair risks facing public backlash if unable to meet presidential demands.
          The Trump administration considers funding to promote Greenland's joining the U.S.
          Sources revealed that U.S. officials have discussed plans to offer each Greenland resident between $10,000 and $100,000 in exchange for support to leave Denmark and consider establishing an affiliation with the United States. This proposal is part of a series of White House discussions exploring military options and Compacts of Free Association. Polls show most Greenlanders favor independence but overwhelmingly oppose joining the U.S., and details of potential financial aid remain undefined.
          Government funding running out again, House approves three appropriations bills
          On January 8th, local time, the U.S. House of Representatives passed three government funding bills, moving closer to avoiding a shutdown before the January 30th deadline. The package, called a "minibus" spending bill, provides funds for the Energy Department, Commerce Department, Justice Department, water projects, Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), and federal research programs through the end of the fiscal year. The legislation is expected to go to the Senate next week. Senate Majority Leader John Thune said the combined spending package could be reviewed as early as next week.
          Short-term inflation expectations rise in the U.S.; employment outlook worsens
          The latest New York Fed survey showed that consumers' one-year inflation expectations rose to 3.42% in December from 3.2%. Medium-term expectations for three and five years remained unchanged at 3%.
          Consumers believe the probability of finding a new job if they lose their current one dropped by 4.2 percentage points to 43.1%, the lowest since the NY Fed began its consumer expectations survey in mid-2013. The average predicted probability of falling behind on debt payments over the next three months rose by 1.6 percentage points to 15.3%, the highest since April 2020, when the pandemic began.
          Investors' bearish sentiment toward oil reaches its highest level in nearly a decade
          A Goldman Sachs survey found that geopolitical factors have driven institutional investors' views on oil to their most pessimistic level in nearly ten years, with global markets facing oversupply. Among over 1,100 clients surveyed across asset classes, more than 59% were bearish or slightly bearish on crude oil, marginally higher than the lowest monthly figure recorded since January 2016.
          Last year, crude prices posted their worst performance since 2020 due to increased output from OPEC+, record U.S. production, and supply growth from Brazil and Guyana. This year, oversupply is expected to widen further. If the Russia-Ukraine conflict ends, it could remove supply disruptions and sanctions on Russian crude. Meanwhile, the U.S. plans to control future Venezuelan oil sales, bringing more of the South American country's crude to market.

          [Today's Focus]

          UTC+8 18:00 Eurozone November retail sales month-on-month rate
          UTC+8 20:45 ECB Chief Economist Philip Lane speech
          UTC+8 21:30 U.S. December nonfarm payrolls
          UTC+8 23:00 U.S. January University of Michigan consumer sentiment index (preliminary reading)
          UTC+8 23:00 Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari speech
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
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