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SYMBOL
LAST
BID
ASK
HIGH
LOW
NET CHG.
%CHG.
SPREAD
SPX
S&P 500 Index
6827.42
6827.42
6827.42
6899.86
6801.80
-73.58
-1.07%
--
DJI
Dow Jones Industrial Average
48458.04
48458.04
48458.04
48886.86
48334.10
-245.98
-0.51%
--
IXIC
NASDAQ Composite Index
23195.16
23195.16
23195.16
23554.89
23094.51
-398.69
-1.69%
--
USDX
US Dollar Index
97.950
98.030
97.950
98.500
97.950
-0.370
-0.38%
--
EURUSD
Euro / US Dollar
1.17394
1.17409
1.17394
1.17496
1.17192
+0.00011
+ 0.01%
--
GBPUSD
Pound Sterling / US Dollar
1.33707
1.33732
1.33707
1.33997
1.33419
-0.00148
-0.11%
--
XAUUSD
Gold / US Dollar
4299.39
4299.39
4299.39
4353.41
4257.10
+20.10
+ 0.47%
--
WTI
Light Sweet Crude Oil
57.233
57.485
57.233
58.011
56.969
-0.408
-0.71%
--

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USA Embassy In Lithuania: Maria Kalesnikava Is Not Going To Vilnius

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USA Embassy In Lithuania: Other Prisoners Are Being Sent From Belarus To Ukraine

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Ukraine President Zelenskiy: Five Ukrainians Released By Belarus In US-Brokered Deal

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USA Vilnius Embassy: USA Stands Ready For "Additional Engagement With Belarus That Advances USA Interests"

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USA Vilnius Embassy: Belarus, USA, Other Citizens Among The Prisoners Released Into Lithuania

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USA Vilnius Embassy: USA Will Continue Diplomatic Efforts To Free The Remaining Political Prisoners In Belarus

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USA Vilnius Embassy: Belarus Releases 123 Prisoners Following Meeting Of President Trump's Envoy Coale And Belarus President Lukashenko

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USA Vilnius Embassy: Masatoshi Nakanishi, Aliaksandr Syrytsa Are Among The Prisoners Released By Belarus

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USA Vilnius Embassy: Maria Kalesnikava And Viktor Babaryka Are Among The Prisoners Released By Belarus

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USA Vilnius Embassy: Nobel Peace Prize Laureate Ales Bialiatski Is Among The Prisoners Released By Belarus

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Belarusian Presidential Administration Telegram Channel: Lukashenko Has Pardoned 123 Prisoners As Part Of Deal With US

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Two Local Syrian Officials: Joint US-Syrian Military Patrol In Central Syria Came Under Fire From Unknown Assailants

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Israeli Military Says It Targeted 'Key Hamas Terrorist' In Gaza City

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Rwanda's Actions In Eastern Drc Are A Clear Violation Of Washington Accords Signed By President Trump - Secretary Of State Rubio

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Israeli Military Issues Evacuation Warning In Southern Lebanon Village Ahead Of Strike - Spokesperson On X

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Belarusian State Media Cites US Envoy Coale As Saying He Discussed Ukraine And Venezuela With Lukashenko

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Belarusian State Media Cites US Envoy Coale As Saying That US Removes Sanctions On Belarusian Potassium

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Thai Prime Minister: No Ceasefire Agreement With Cambodia

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US, Ukraine To Discuss Ceasefire In Berlin Ahead Of European Summit

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Incoming Czech Prime Minister Babis: Czech Republic Will Not Take On Guarantees For Ukraine Financing, European Commission Must Find Alternatives

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          Trump down to '3 or 4' candidates to replace Powell as Fed chair

          Adam

          Economic

          Summary:

          Trump is considering 3–4 candidates to replace Fed Chair Powell, whom he harshly criticized amid tensions over interest rates. Potential successors include Kevin Warsh, Michelle Waller, and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent.

          President Trump told reporters that he is actively considering replacements for Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, and that he is down to three or four candidates.
          "I know within 3 or 4 people who I’m going to pick," he said Wednesday, without offering specific names.
          The consideration of Powell successors comes after a period of intensifying pressure from Trump to consider rate cuts as the chairman’s guarded wait-and-see monetary policy stance continues to inflame tensions with the White House.
          Trump’s comments on Wednesday didn’t address the question of whether he is looking to fire Powell or announce his final pick quickly in part to undercut Powell’s authority for the remainder of his term.
          But it comes after the president offered last week: "Maybe, just maybe, I'll have to change my mind about firing him?"
          Powell has said he intends to serve out his term as chair, which ends in May 2026.
          "He goes out pretty soon fortunately because I think he's terrible," Trump added Wednesday.
          The comments from the president during a press conference in the Netherlands came at the same time as Powell sat before Senate lawmakers about 3,800 miles away in Washington for his second day of regularly scheduled testimony before Congress.
          Powell told Senate lawmakers that the central bank is "well-positioned to wait" on any interest rate adjustments until it has more clarity on how Trump's tariffs will affect inflation and the direction of the US economy. He delivered the same message to House lawmakers Tuesday.
          The president's attacks on Powell intensified at the end of last week as Trump called for rates to drop from 4.25% to 4.5% to between 1% and 2% and said of Powell and the Fed's board of governors: "I don't know why the Board doesn’t override this Total and Complete Moron!"
          Trump repeated some of those points in a Tuesday social media post, calling for rates "at least two to three points lower" and saying that Powell "will be in Congress today in order to explain, among other things, why he is refusing to lower the Rate."
          "I hope Congress really works this very dumb, hardheaded person, over. We will be paying for his incompetence for many years to come."
          On Wednesday Trump reiterated his oft-stated case of why Powell should lower rates by at least one percentage point immediately, citing "no inflation."
          He also recounted an earlier face-to-face meeting with Powell, offering a mocking voice for Powell, and repeated his personal attacks by saying "I think he's a very stupid person actually" and "an average mentally person."
          Trump is not the only one calling for lower rates. Even some of Powell's fellow policymakers — Fed governors Michelle Bowman and Chris Waller — have said in recent days that they now see cutting rates as soon as the Fed's next policy meeting in July due to recent mild inflation readings.
          But other officials have pushed back on that urgency and warned that it is too soon to know the true effects of tariffs on inflation.
          Some names have already circulated in Washington as possible replacement for Powell. One is former Fed governor Kevin Warsh, considered by many to be a frontrunner for the job. Waller is another current Fed official considered by some central bank watchers as a possible pick.
          Bloomberg has reported that the name of Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is also now being circulated as a possible replacement for Powell.
          Bessent told lawmakers earlier this month he would like to remain in his seat until 2029, but he did not dismiss the possibility of becoming the next chair of the Fed.
          Bessent said he has "the best job" in Washington and is "happy to do what President Trump wants me to do," while noting that "I would like to stay in my seat through 2029" to help carry out the administration’s agenda.

          Source: finance.yahoo

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          EUR/USD Bulls Tighten Grip as Rate-Cut Bets, Oil Rout Weigh on US Dollar

          Adam

          Forex

          The EUR/USD has eased back a tad after climbing to a fresh 2025 high on Tuesday. Much of the pair’s gains over the past couple of days stem from US dollar weakness linked to the collapse in oil prices and shifting expectations around Fed policy. The markets are now fully pricing in a September rate cut, but calls are also growing for a cut in as early as July, which was not even on the radar at the start of the week.
          News of the ceasefire agreement and the corresponding collapse in oil prices has certainly helped to undermine the dollar. The focus is turning to macroeconomics again and away from geopolitics, judging by how markets have behaved in the last couple of days. It looks like investors are fully confident that the ceasefire agreement will not be broken, which is why oil prices are still lower and global equities are near recent record highs again.
          Fed Chair Was Neutral to Slightly Dovish
          Powell was a little more neutral to slightly more dovish than markets had anticipated when he testified yesterday, no doubt helped by the collapse in oil prices. The US dollar index is now trading a little firmer, especially against the USD/JPY while also finding some mild support against other currencies too.
          The dollar bears will need to see further signs of weakness in the US economy to sell the greenback aggressively. On that note, there is not much data to look forward to today. But yesterday’s CB consumer confidence data came in weaker to provide fresh evidence of weakening consumer sentiment.
          There is also the possibility we could see a more mixed performance from the dollar, rising against weaker currencies and falling against the risk-sensitive currencies. That is, of course, unless a fresh flare-up in the Middle East conflict sends oil prices spiking again.
          What Will Markets Focus on Next?
          Markets are now shifting their attention to the second day of Powell’s testimony later today, and expectations are that he will repeat more of what we already heard the day before. Recent dovish hints from a string of policymakers, including Waller, Bowman, and Goolsbee, who all expressed openness to earlier-than-expected rate cuts, means the upside potential for the dollar should remain limited while risk appetite remains strong.
          However, if Powell walks back on the dovish Fed commentary today, then we could see the dollar turn more mixed. It could, for example, rise against low-yielding currencies while underperforming risk-sensitive currencies like commodity dollars.
          Meanwhile, the next big data release is the May core PCE inflation figure—the Fed’s preferred inflation measure – which will come out on Friday. The FOMC expects core PCE to end the year at 3.1%, a touch higher than the headline rate. These projections, however, rest on fragile assumptions about the impact of trade tensions and oil prices.
          Soon, the focus will also turn back to trade and tariffs. With the July 9 deadline fast approaching, it is unlikely we will see a notable dollar recovery unless the US manages to strike deals with some of the more important trading partners like China.
          Ceasefire Weighs on Crude Oil and Dollar
          After holding its own surprisingly well during the height of the conflict, the EUR/USD has turned notably more bullish this week as markets shed the geopolitical risk premium tied to the Middle East. With Iran, Israel, and the US all agreeing to a ceasefire, and oil prices plunging sharply over the last day or so, traders have been quick to rotate back into dollar shorts.
          Now, unless oil prices spike again, it is unlikely that the dollar will find support from this source. Normal day-to-day oil volatility should not cause too much concern for FX traders.
          Mixed Eurozone Data
          The broader EUR/USD outlook remains balanced. While the dollar has largely been on the back foot so far this week, the euro’s own fundamentals are far from compelling. Monday’s eurozone PMIs landed roughly in line with expectations, showing that while business sentiment has stabilised, the economic outlook still points to stagnation.
          On Tuesday, German IFO survey, however, was a touch stronger at 88.4 vs. 87.5 last, though nothing ground-breaking. Later in the week, flash CPI prints from France and Spain will shed light on inflation dynamics that could influence ECB tone heading into July.
          In other words, the euro isn’t rallying on strength. The drop in oil prices removes pressure on Europe’s energy-sensitive economy, which may support the single currency at the margins.
          Still, some caution is warranted. The move higher in EUR/USD could stall if Powell resists delivering any dovish surprises today, or we see a string of better-than-expected data. Longer-term, the dollar’s performance will depend on Trump’s ability to strike trade deals.
          EUR/USD Technical Analysis and Trade Ideas
          EUR/USD Bulls Tighten Grip as Rate-Cut Bets, Oil Rout Weigh on US Dollar_1
          The higher highs and higher lows on the chart certainly paint a bullish EUR/USD outlook, or at least, it is largely keeping the bears at bay.
          In terms of short-term levels to watch, Monday’s oil-driven high at 1.1581 comes in just above the April high of 1.1573. This means the area between these two levels is now the first zone of potential support to watch. Below that, Friday’s high comes in at 1.1544, and then the psychologically important 1.15 handle comes into focus below that. As before, 1.1450 remains the most important support area, which was successfully defended on Monday. Bearish if we go below it.
          On the upside, 1.1631, making the recent high, was tested, and therefore, the first bullish objective was already met. Thereafter, you have round handles like 1.17 and 1.18 as the next potential upside targets.
          In conclusion, the EUR/USD outlook has shifted into bullish territory for now—but it’s driven by weakness in the dollar more than strength in the euro. Traders are focusing on fundamentals again as geopolitics takes a back seat.

          Source: investing

          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          Are US stocks set to dominate in the second half?

          Adam

          Stocks

          The Nasdaq 100 index reached a record high on Tuesday, and the S&P 500 is a mere 150 pips away from a record high. US stock indices are taking a breather, and futures markets suggest that they will open mostly flat later on Wednesday. This is to be expected. There are not too many drivers for markets right now, and it is normal for investors to pause when markets reach record highs. The question is, will US stock market dominance come back into play?
          While US stocks have outperformed their European peers in the last month, the S&P 500 is higher by 5%, while the Eurostoxx 50 index is down by 1%, if you zoom out then the picture looks different. European indices have massively outperformed their US counterparts so far this year. The Dax index is higher by 18%, the Ibex in Spain by 19% and the FTSE MIB in Italy is higher by 15%. In contrast, the S&P 500 is higher by 3.5% and the Nasdaq by 3.1%. The FTSE 100 and Eurostoxx 50 index have also outperformed and are higher by 7% each.

          Are German defense stocks coming off the boil?

          European stocks have been led higher by German companies, and German defense stocks. Germany’s commitment to greater fiscal spending on defense and infrastructure has driven the defense stock theme this year. Rheinmetall is up 177% YTD and is set to replace luxury giant and Gucci owner Kerring in the Eurostoxx 50 index.
          As you can see, Rheinmetall has outperformed Nvidia by a wide margin this year.
          Chart 1: Rheinmetall and Nvidia, normalized to show how they have moved together this year.
          Are US stocks set to dominate in the second half?_1
          However, could the tide be turning? Defense stocks have sold off this week, and in the past week, Rheinmetall is down more than 2%, compared to a 2% gain for Nvidia. As Germany’s plans for defense spending are now well known, and as tensions in the Middle East calm down, the AI theme is coming back to entice traders.
          The relative performance of Rheinmetall and Nvidia is reflecting the slowdown in demand for defense stocks. In the past month, Nvidia has started to outperform the German defense giant. This is an early indicator that the US tech giants could come back into vogue this summer, as defense stocks cool off after a strong run in the first half of 2025. This could be the US’s time to shine.
          Chart 2: Rheinmetall and Nvidia, normalized to show how they have moved together in the past month.
          Are US stocks set to dominate in the second half?_2

          Source: XTB and Bloomberg

          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          Fed's Powell Repeats Warning About Tariffs As Some GOP Senators Accuse Him Of Bias

          Devin

          Central Bank

          Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said Wednesday that President Donald Trump's sweeping tariffs will likely push up inflation in the coming months, even as some Republican senators suggested the chair was biased against the duties.

          On the second day of his twice-yearly testimony before the House and Senate, Powell said that consumers will likely have to shoulder some of the cost of the import taxes. Most Fed officials support cutting rates this year, Powell added, but the central bank wants to take time to see how inflation changes in the months ahead.

          “There will be some inflation from tariffs coming," Powell said under questioning from members of the Senate Banking Committee. “Not yet, but over the course of the coming months.”

          Powell noted that the duties would likely cost hundreds of billions of dollars annually, and “some of that is going to fall on the consumer. We're just kind of waiting to see more data on that."

          Some GOP senators criticized Powell, however, for characterizing tariffs as a potential driver of inflation. Sen. Pete Ricketts, a Republican from Nebraska, argued that the duties could simply act as a one-time increase in prices that wouldn't fuel inflation.

          And Sen. Bernie Moreno, a Republican from Ohio, echoed some of Trump's complaints about Powell's reluctance to cut rates and accused Powell of political bias.

          “You should consider whether you are looking at this through a fiscal lens or a political lens because you just don’t like tariffs,” Moreno said. Powell didn't respond.

          But the Fed chair reiterated that most central bank officials do support cutting the Fed's key rate this year. And Powell added that it is possible that tariffs won't increase inflation by very much.

          Trump has sharply criticized Powell for not reducing borrowing costs, calling him a “numbskull” and a “fool.” Trump has pushed for rate cuts in order to reduce the interest costs the federal government pays on its debt. Yet some Fed officials have pushed back against that view, saying that it's not their job to lower the government's borrowing costs.

          So far, inflation has steadily cooled this year despite widespread concerns among economists about the impact of tariffs. The consumer price index ticked up just 0.1% from April to May, the government said last week, a sign that price pressures are muted.

          Compared with a year ago, consumer prices rose 2.4% in May, up from a yearly increase of 2.3% in April.

          Yet most economists on Wall Street expect that Trump's tariffs will lift inflation this year, to about 3% to 3.5% by the end of this year.

          Source: Yahoo Finance

          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          Ceasefire or Not – Gold Is Still Declining

          Adam

          Commodity

          Middle East Situation

          In yesterday’s article entitled Trump’s Art of the USD, I wrote that the Peak Chaos was likely reached and now the markets are likely to react to even moderate levels of chaos as if the latter was gone, or low. On top of that, it seems that Trump’s previous plan to create uncertainty giving him leverage in negotiations is now turning into the stage where some results would be necessary. Please note that it’s not just my own interpretation – it’s what Trump wrote himself in his Art of the Deal book, which is now the blueprint for his actions.

          From Chaos to Control

          That’s probably why he’s insisting on the narrative that Iran’s nuclear facilities were completely destroyed despite the report from Pentagon says otherwise.
          The latter confirms that we’re likely headed into a period of greater stability, however unlikely it may seem given all that happened in the previous weeks.
          Gold and mining stocks seem to be already sensing that as they are already declining. In fact, gold did something that it wasn’t able to do months – it confirmed the breakdown below its rising support line.
          Ceasefire or Not – Gold Is Still Declining_1
          The support line is based on the local bottoms that we saw in January and February. Gold price tried to break below this price four times: in March, in April, twice in May, and once in early June. In each of those cases, the breakdown was quickly invalidated. By quickly, I mean that gold never managed to stay below this line for three days.
          Until yesterday.
          Yesterday marked the third consecutive daily close below this rising support line, and since gold is not rallying today (and neither is silver), it seems that we’ll get a fourth daily close below it soon. Gold is still holding above $3,300 per ounce, but it might not be for long.
          On top of that, we see that this time, gold first moved back to this trend line and failed to rally above it. This was a tiny verification, and now we have the final confirmation coming from the daily closes.
          Same with gold miners.
          Ceasefire or Not – Gold Is Still Declining_2
          Yes, the GDXJ did reverse before the end of the day, but it was still the lowest daily close recorded in June.
          Plus, this ETF closed $0.01 (but still) below its highest April price. We still have several days left before the end of the month, and given that gold is now declining almost regardless of what’s going on in the world, it seems quite likely that we’ll see GDXJ in the red in June.
          For example, gold ignored USD’s move to its recent lows.
          Ceasefire or Not – Gold Is Still Declining_3
          When the USD Index declined to about 98 in April, gold soared.
          When the USD Index declined to about 98 in early June, gold moved up, but not significantly so.
          And now, with the USD Index testing 98 once again, gold is declining.
          Plus, the USD Index’s turning point is about to be reached – the USDX has a tendency to reverse its course close to the turn of the month. Earlier this year, these were local tops, but in the previous years, we saw many bottoms on those occasions. As the most recent move was to the downside, this might mark the final bottom.
          Again, gold is declining despite the military conflict between Israel and Iran (and even regardless of the involvement of the U.S. bombers) as well as the move lower in the USD Index.
          This is a clear sign that gold is ready to fall further – probably significantly so.
          – But PR, the USD Index has been trading this low for almost 50 days now – isn’t this too long for a bottom? Won’t it slide from here after all?
          No.
          I mean, anything could happen on the markets, but this is very unlikely in my view.
          Ceasefire or Not – Gold Is Still Declining_4

          USD Isn’t the Weakest Link

          The USD Index is sitting on combination of very powerful support levels – the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement based on the 2008 – 2022 rally as well as the 61.8% Fib. retracements based on the 2018 – 2022 and 2020 – 2022 rallies.
          Yes, issues like twin deficits remain unresolved, but let’s keep in mind that the USD Index is a weighted average of currency exchange rates – and fundamental situations in the Eurozone and Japan are not really better than they are in the U.S. – and the same goes for other countries, but EUR and JPY have the highest weight in the USD Index.
          Besides, broad bottoms in the USD Index are quite common – and the final bottoms quite often form close to the middle of the year, which is exactly where we are right now.
          Ceasefire or Not – Gold Is Still Declining_5Ceasefire or Not – Gold Is Still Declining_6Ceasefire or Not – Gold Is Still Declining_7Ceasefire or Not – Gold Is Still Declining_8Ceasefire or Not – Gold Is Still Declining_9Ceasefire or Not – Gold Is Still Declining_10
          As you can see, in recent years, there were two cases when the broad bottom formed between 50 and 60 trading days. In other cases, those bottoms took longer.
          Consequently, with this bottom being formed over 47 trading days (as of today) is completely normal. In fact, if the USD Index rallies from here, it will be the shortest bottoming period in a long time.
          This creates the opposite question – has enough time passed for the USD Index to form the final bottom? In my view, the answer is yes, as 47 is not far from 50, and Trump’s decision framework now calls for some successes and stability. This should be positive for the U.S. dollar (while being negative for gold).
          Did gold rally based on the increased (real and perceived) chaos in the previous weeks and months? Of course.
          But does it mean that it will rally more? Not necessarily. Gold has not only managed NOT to rally despite further increases in chaos (Middle East), but even declining in this environment. This, plus the fact that Trump’s Art of the USD now calls for results – and likely increased levels of stability – higher values of USD and lower values of gold are to be expected.

          Source: fxempire

          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          Bitcoin regains $107K — but this bull run looks like a whales-only game

          Adam

          Cryptocurrency

          After a brief Sunday dip below $99,000, possibly caused by the Israeli-Iran war, bitcoin price has reclaimed its position above the psychological $100,000 mark, now reaching $107,000. Yet beneath the surface, a curious divergence is unfolding. Despite surging prices, Bitcoin’s on-chain activity looks eerily subdued. Retail seems strangely absent from this bull market, which increasingly becomes a game for whales, institutions, and sophisticated traders.

          On-chain ghost town

          In its recent report, Glassnode paints a clear picture: the number of transactions on the Bitcoin network has dropped, but the size of those transactions has ballooned.
          For most of 2024, the Bitcoin blockchain processed an average of 600,000 transactions daily, a number that has since fallen to 400,000. This trend stems largely from the collapse in demand for non-monetary Bitcoin uses like Ordinals and Runes, whose popularity exploded between mid and late 2024 but faded sharply in early 2025.
          As to Bitcoin settlement volume, it still averages $7.5 billion daily after peaked at $16 billion during the $100K breakout last November. However, the average transaction now moves $36,200—an unusually high figure historically. This implies that the Bitcoin network is more and more used by larger entities.
          Bitcoin regains $107K — but this bull run looks like a whales-only game_1
          The trend is stark. Transactions worth over $100K accounted for 66% of all network volume in late 2022. Today, that figure stands at 89%. Meanwhile, smaller transactions—those under $100K—have shrunk to just 11% of network volume. In short, high-net-worth players are becoming the main drivers of Bitcoin’s base layer activity.

          Off-chain derivatives are booming

          While on-chain metrics show a quieter network, Bitcoin trading is anything but subdued. Activity has overwhelmingly shifted to off-chain venues—primarily centralized exchanges and derivatives markets.
          While spot markets’ trading volume has decreased since the November-March rallies from around $20 billion to around $7 billion daily, the futures market remains impressive. Off-chain futures volume currently sits at above $49 billion daily, with regular peaks above $80 billion.
          Options trading is surging, now averaging $3.2 billion daily—more than double its level last year. This growth signals that more sophisticated investors are using options for hedging and precision exposure.
          Altogether, trading in futures, options, and spot exceeds on-chain settlement by a factor of 7 to 16.
          Unsurprisingly, leverage continues to accumulate, with total open interest in futures and options reaching $96.2B. Glassnode also notes that the collateral composition has improved structurally, with stablecoin-margined positions now comprising the majority of open interest.
          Bitcoin regains $107K — but this bull run looks like a whales-only game_2

          Institutions accumulate

          Indeed, institutional and government entities are stepping up their game. Over 400,000 BTC—roughly 2% of the total supply—have been acquired by ETFs, corporations, and public entities since the start of the year.
          Michael Saylor’s Strategy (MSTR) and BlackRock’s IBIT remain leaders in public stock and ETF categories, respectively, with 145,945 BTC and 130,850 BTC.
          Bitcoin regains $107K — but this bull run looks like a whales-only game_3
          With Michael Saylor showing the way, an increasing number of companies are actively adding BTC to their treasuries. Just in the past month, several publicly traded firms disclosed new BTC purchases, including GameStop (GME), Mega Matrix (MPU), Belgravia Hartford Capital (BLGV), Standard Supply, ANAP, DDC, The Blockchain Group (ALTBG) and of course, Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG). The US president’s conglomerate has raised $2.5 billion specifically to build a bitcoin reserve.
          Bitcoin ETFs are no less aggressive. According to CoinShares, they have posted 10 consecutive weeks of crypto inflows, totaling a record $12.7 billion year-to-date.
          Even governments are joining in. Last week, Texas Governor Greg Abbott signed a bill establishing the Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, a state-managed fund that will hold Bitcoin as part of the state’s long-term financial assets.
          This bull market belongs to big players. As retail activity fades from the chain and speculative activity migrates to futures and options, Bitcoin’s market structure is evolving into something more mature, more institutional—and arguably more fragile if leverage gets out of hand.

          Source: marketscreener

          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          Bitcoin’s ‘Bull Pennant’ Targets $165K as BTC Exchange Flows Hit 10-Year Lows

          Warren Takunda

          Cryptocurrency

          Key takeaways:
          Bitcoin is up 10% to $108,200 from $98,400 local lows, reclaiming key support.
          Bitcoin’s bull pennant on the daily chart targets 54% gains to $165,000.
          Exchange flows are at a 10-year low, signaling investors continue to hold long-term.
          Bitcoin price registered a weekly high of $108,200 on June 25 after a 10% rise from its local low at $98,400 three days prior. BTC has now reclaimed a key support level as prices continued to consolidate below its $112,000 all-time high range.
          Can Bitcoin price rise over 50% in the next few days?

          Bitcoin “bullish pennant” hints at $165,000

          Bitcoin rallied by 52% between April 8 and May 22 to reach an all-time high of $112,000. Since then, BTC price has oscillated between the all-time high and $100,000. The latest recovery from six-week lows below $100,000 suggests that the bulls are aggressively defending this level.
          “Bitcoin reclaimed the key support area,” said popular crypto analyst Jelle in a June 25 post on X, adding that the BTC is now back inside a pennant on the daily chart.
          A bull pennant is a continuation pattern that occurs after a significant rise, followed by a consolidation period at the higher price end of the range.
          “Break above $110K, and this flies a lot higher.”Bitcoin’s ‘Bull Pennant’ Targets $165K as BTC Exchange Flows Hit 10-Year Lows_1

          Bitcoin daily chart analysis. Source: Jelle

          A positive breakout from the pennant could potentially lead to the next leg up for Bitcoin, measured at $165,200 or 54% from its current price level.Bitcoin’s ‘Bull Pennant’ Targets $165K as BTC Exchange Flows Hit 10-Year Lows_2

          BTC/USD daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

          However, it is important to note that the success rate of a bullish pennant is only around 54%, which makes it one of the least reliable patterns.
          Merlijn The Trader, a Bitcoin analyst, shared a similar bullish outlook, predicting a BTC price of $140,000 based on an inverted head-and-shoulders pattern.
          “Break $112K and there’s nothing stopping $BTC from flying to $140K+.”
          Other projections are even more ambitious, with some analysts citing soaring US debt and President Donald Trump’s tax cuts, putting BTC’s top between $200,000 and $250,000.

          Bitcoin exchange flows hit 10-year lows

          Bitcoin may be trading significantly closer to its all-time highs, with supply in profit above 96%, but demand for BTC among exchange users is drying up.
          Data from onchain analytics platform CryptoQuant reveals the daily average volume of flows on exchanges hitting 10-year lows on June 25.
          “The average volume of flows (Inflow + Outflow) on centralized exchanges has decreased to 40,000 BTC per day - this is the lowest figure in the past 10 years,” noted Bitcoin researcher Axel Adler Jr., adding:
          “A significant portion of BTC has left the platforms, which is a sign of consolidation and potential liquidity shortage.”Bitcoin’s ‘Bull Pennant’ Targets $165K as BTC Exchange Flows Hit 10-Year Lows_3

          Bitcoin daily exchange flow. Source: Axel Adler Jr.

          Fewer inflows could mean investors are moving their BTC into self-custody wallets, reflecting confidence in Bitcoin as a long-term store of value.
          As Cointelegraph reported, overall exchange BTC balances are at their lowest in seven years. Bitcoin balance on exchanges is 2.92 million BTC as of June 25, levels last seen in June 2019, as per Glassnode data. Bitcoin’s ‘Bull Pennant’ Targets $165K as BTC Exchange Flows Hit 10-Year Lows_4

          Bitcoin exchange reserve. Source: Glassnode

          Reducing supply on exchanges means less Bitcoin is readily available for trading, potentially leading to a liquidity shortage and higher prices in the long term.

          Source: Cointelegraph

          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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