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ECB President Christine Lagarde: The Eurozone Economy Is Between The ECB's Baseline Scenario And A More Moderate Scenario
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde: Some Decoupling Has Already Occurred In The Short Term
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde: We Have Observed A Certain Degree Of De-anchoring In Inflation Expectations
Vice Minister Of Commerce And Deputy Chief Negotiator For International Trade, Ling Ji, Met With A Delegation From The Asia-Pacific Medical Technology Association And Its Member Companies
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde: We Will Not Use The Neutral Interest Rate Range As The Basis For Policy Decisions
Asphalt Futures Contract 2609 Weakened During The Session, With The Decline Widening To 3.37%, And The Latest Price Was 3785 Yuan/ton; The Trading Volume Was Approximately 6.417 Billion Yuan, With An Increase Of 18,600 Lots In Open Interest During The Day, Indicating A Significant Change In Open Interest
US President Trump: Of All The Statues And Fountains We've Rebuilt, Renovated, Cleaned, And Repaired, The Only One That Was Damaged Was The Reflecting Pool. The Problem With The Reflecting Pool Is Being Addressed As Quickly As Possible
U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessenter: Following Fruitful Talks In Switzerland, The U.S. Treasury Department Has Issued A 60-day Temporary General License Authorizing Iran's Oil Production And Sales
U.S. Treasury Department: General Licenses Do Not Authorize Transactions Involving Countries Such As Cuba And Ukraine
Fuel Oil Futures Contract 2609 Weakened During The Session, With The Decline Widening To 1.95%, And Last Quoted At 3063 Yuan/ton; The Trading Volume Was Approximately 1.164 Billion Yuan, With A Decrease Of Nearly 3400 Lots In Open Interest During The Day, And Open Interest Slightly Declined
According To The U.S. Treasury Department Website, A General License Was Issued Authorizing The Production, Delivery, And Sale Of Crude Oil, Petrochemical Products, And Petroleum Products Originating From Iran Until August 21, 2026
Julius Baer Group: It Is Expected That The Federal Reserve Will Keep Interest Rates Unchanged In 2026, While The European Central Bank Will Raise Interest Rates Once More
Julius Baer Group: The Yield On 10-year US Treasury Bonds May Fall Slightly To 4.30% In The Second Half Of 2026

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The Swiss franc's relentless surge amid global uncertainty creates a policy quagmire for its central bank.

Global uncertainty is kicking off 2026 with a rally in safe-haven assets. As gold and silver hit new records, the Swiss franc has soared to its highest levels in over a decade, creating a major headache for policymakers in Switzerland.
The franc's rally against the U.S. dollar has been relentless. After strengthening 12.7% against the greenback in 2025, it has already gained another 3.5% this year. On Tuesday, it briefly touched an 11-year high and continued to trade near those levels on Wednesday.
This strength is fueled by a cocktail of global risks, including unpredictable U.S. trade policy, questions surrounding the Federal Reserve's independence, and the threat of American military action in Greenland, Latin America, and the Middle East.
While investors flock to the franc for safety, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) sees the appreciation as a threat.
"Further escalation, geopolitically, means more uncertainty," SNB Chairman Martin Schlegel told CNBC at the World Economic Forum in Davos. "It's not good for the Swiss franc or for Switzerland, because the Swiss franc is a safe haven. Whenever there is uncertainty in the world, the Swiss franc appreciates, and this makes monetary policy more complicated for Swiss National Bank."
Unlike other major economies, Switzerland is fighting sluggish price growth. With inflation at just 0.1%, a stronger currency adds disinflationary pressure by making imports cheaper and squeezing the country's vital export sector.
The problem is compounded by the unique nature of the Swiss economy. Key exports like pharmaceuticals, precision manufacturing, and high-value services have relatively stable demand regardless of price.
"The Swiss franc remains strong in part because demand for many Swiss exports is relatively price-inelastic," explained Giuliano Bianchi, Co-Founder of the Quantitas Institute at EHL Hospitality Business School.

This dynamic weakens the natural economic mechanism where a stronger currency would typically curb foreign demand and stabilize the exchange rate. Bianchi added that this "complicates the SNB's task, as a strong franc lowers imported inflation and squeezes exporters' margins, weighing on wages and investment at a time when inflation is already subdued."
With its key policy rate already at 0%, Switzerland is on the verge of disinflation and a potential return to negative interest rates. The SNB only ended a seven-year experiment with negative rates in 2022, a policy deeply unpopular with savers and banks whose profit margins it erodes.
Despite the reluctance, Schlegel confirmed that the option remains on the table. "The bar to go negative is higher than normal, [but] if we need to go negative, we will go negative," he stated.
Another primary tool for the SNB has been direct intervention in the foreign exchange market—selling francs to buy foreign currencies. However, deploying this strategy now carries significant political risks.
The Shadow of U.S. Tariffs
Just months ago, Switzerland negotiated a deal to reduce punishing 39% U.S. tariffs to 15%. The Trump administration had imposed these "reciprocal tariffs" last year, partly in response to what it called "currency manipulation."
The political climate remains tense. In June, the White House placed Switzerland on a "Monitoring List" of trading partners whose currency practices require "close attention."
President Trump's unpredictable approach was highlighted last week in Davos when he said tariffs were raised from 31% to 39% simply because the then-Swiss president, Karin Keller-Sutter, "just rubbed me the wrong way." This has left Switzerland wary of attracting further ire from the White House.
Experts believe the franc's fundamental strengths will likely keep it elevated regardless of the SNB's actions.
"From a long-term perspective, the Swiss Franc is the strongest currency on earth, and this year it is likely to remain relatively resilient," said Lloyd Harris, head of fixed income at Premier Miton Investors. He pointed to several supporting factors:
• The high price of gold
• Switzerland's safe-haven status
• A persistent current account surplus
"The SNB may intervene if there's excessive strength, but over the medium term we don't really see a change to the Swiss Franc outperforming the USD," Harris added.
Claudio Sfreddo, a doctor of economics and adjunct professor at EHL Hospitality Business School, noted that history shows safe-haven inflows can overwhelm policy moves like interest rate cuts. "Greater political sensitivity around FX interventions further constrains the SNB's room for maneuver, sharpening the trade-off between price stability and growth," he said.
Despite the constraints, Schlegel was firm in his resolve. He insisted the SNB will do what is necessary to fulfill its mandate, even if it means risking renewed anger from Washington.
"We are ready to intervene in the FX market if necessary," he said.
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