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SYMBOL
LAST
BID
ASK
HIGH
LOW
NET CHG.
%CHG.
SPREAD
SPX
S&P 500 Index
6846.50
6846.50
6846.50
6878.28
6827.18
-23.90
-0.35%
--
DJI
Dow Jones Industrial Average
47739.31
47739.31
47739.31
47971.51
47611.93
-215.67
-0.45%
--
IXIC
NASDAQ Composite Index
23545.89
23545.89
23545.89
23698.93
23455.05
-32.22
-0.14%
--
USDX
US Dollar Index
99.000
99.080
99.000
99.000
99.000
+0.050
+ 0.05%
--
EURUSD
Euro / US Dollar
1.16334
1.16389
1.16334
1.16365
1.16322
-0.00030
-0.03%
--
GBPUSD
Pound Sterling / US Dollar
1.33181
1.33282
1.33181
1.33213
1.33140
-0.00024
-0.02%
--
XAUUSD
Gold / US Dollar
4189.70
4190.14
4189.70
4218.85
4175.92
-8.21
-0.20%
--
WTI
Light Sweet Crude Oil
58.555
58.807
58.555
60.084
58.495
-1.254
-2.10%
--

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Senior USA Administration Official: We Continue To Monitor Drc-Rwanda Situation Closely, Continue To Work With All Sides To Ensure Commitments Are Honored

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Israeli Military Says It Has Struck Infrastructure Belonging To Hezbollah In Several Areas In Southern Lebanon

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SPDR Gold Holdings Down 0.11%, Or 1.14 Tonnes

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On Monday (December 8), In Late New York Trading, S&P 500 Futures Fell 0.21%, Dow Jones Futures Fell 0.43%, NASDAQ 100 Futures Fell 0.08%, And Russell 2000 Futures Fell 0.04%

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Morgan Stanley: Data Center ABS Spreads Are Expected To Widen In 2026

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(US Stocks) The Philadelphia Gold And Silver Index Closed Down 2.34% At 311.01 Points. (Global Session) The NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index Closed Down 2.17%, Hitting A Daily Low Of 2235.45 Points; US Stocks Remained Slightly Down Before The Opening Bell—holding Steady Around 2280 Points—before Briefly Rising Slightly

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IMF: IMF Executive Board Approves Extension Of The Extended Credit Facility Arrangement With Nepal

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Trump: Same Approach Will Apply To Amd, Intel, And Other Great American Companies

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Trump: Department Of Commerce Is Finalizing Details

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Trump: $25% Will Be Paid To United States Of America

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Trump: President Xi Responded Positively

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[Consumer Discretionary ETFs Fell Over 1.4%, Leading The Decline Among US Sector ETFs; Semiconductor ETFs Rose Over 1.1%] On Monday (December 8), The Consumer Discretionary ETF Fell 1.45%, The Energy ETF Fell 1.09%, The Internet ETF Fell 0.18%, The Regional Banks ETF Rose 0.34%, The Technology ETF Rose 0.70%, The Global Technology ETF Rose 0.93%, And The Semiconductor ETF Rose 1.13%

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Trump: I Have Informed President Xi, Of China, That United States Will Allow Nvidia To Ship Its H200 Products To Approved Customers In China

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Argentina's Merval Index Closed Up 0.02% At 3.047 Million Points. It Rose To A New Daily High Of 3.165 Million Points In Early Trading In Buenos Aires Before Gradually Giving Back Its Gains

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US Stock Market Closing Report | On Monday (December 8), The Magnificent 7 Index Fell 0.20% To 208.33 Points. The "mega-cap" Tech Stock Index Fell 0.33% To 405.00 Points

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Pentagon - USA State Dept Approves Potential Sale Of Hellfire Missiles To Belgium For An Estimated $79 Million

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Toronto Stock Index .GSPTSE Unofficially Closes Down 141.44 Points, Or 0.45 Percent, At 31169.97

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The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index Closed Up Less Than 0.1%. Nxtt Rose 21%, Microalgo Rose 7%, Daqo New Energy Rose 4.3%, And 21Vianet, Baidu, And Miniso All Rose More Than 3%

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The S&P 500 Initially Closed Down More Than 0.4%, With The Telecom Sector Down 1.9%, And Materials, Consumer Discretionary, Utilities, Healthcare, And Energy Sectors Down By As Much As 1.6%, While The Technology Sector Rose 0.7%. The NASDAQ 100 Initially Closed Down 0.3%, With Marvell Technology Down 7%, Fortinet Down 4%, And Netflix And Tesla Down 3.4%

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IMF: Review Pakistan Authorities To Draw The Equivalent Of About US$1 Billion

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          FBS Global Ltd. IPO: Exploring Opportunities in the Online Trading Boom

          Glendon

          Economic

          Summary:

          Discover the details of FBS Global Ltd.'s IPO, including key data on its offering, business model, and market opportunities. Learn how this online trading giant is poised for growth in the competitive financial services industry.

          The financial markets continue to witness the rise of global companies seeking capital to expand their operations, and FBS Global Ltd. is no exception. Known for its prominence in the online trading and financial services industry, FBS Global Ltd. is gearing up for its Initial Public Offering (IPO), a move that could significantly impact the global financial landscape. This article provides an in-depth look at the details surrounding the FBS Global IPO, its business model, market potential, and what investors need to know.

          Company Overview: FBS Global Ltd.

          FBS Global Ltd. is an international financial services company that primarily offers online trading platforms for retail and institutional traders. Established in 2009, the company has expanded its reach across multiple regions, providing services in Forex (foreign exchange), stocks, indices, commodities, and cryptocurrencies. With millions of clients worldwide, FBS has established itself as a trusted broker known for competitive spreads, robust trading platforms, and high-quality customer service.
          FBS operates under several regulatory jurisdictions, ensuring it provides safe and secure trading environments for its users. These jurisdictions include oversight from financial regulatory bodies in Europe, Asia, and other parts of the world. However, its focus on expanding into new markets, particularly in emerging economies, sets the stage for its IPO.

          IPO Details

          FBS Global Ltd.’s IPO marks a significant step in its strategic growth plan. The company aims to raise capital to fund its expansion, enhance its technology infrastructure, and diversify its product offerings. Here are the essential details of the IPO:
          IPO Date: Expected to launch in early 2024, with the official prospectus already filed with financial authorities.
          Exchange: FBS Global Ltd. will be listed on the
          New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) under the ticker symbol FBSG.
          Offering Size: The company is expected to raise between $300 million and $500 million through the offering.
          Price per Share: The anticipated price per share will be in the range of $20 to $25, offering significant value to early investors.
          Use of Proceeds: The funds raised from the IPO will be used to expand operations in new markets, develop advanced trading platforms, and invest in marketing and customer acquisition efforts.
          FBS Global Ltd. intends to leverage the IPO capital to enhance its technology-driven trading solutions, making them more accessible and user-friendly for global traders. The company also plans to introduce new asset classes and trading instruments, expanding beyond traditional Forex and CFDs.

          Business Model and Market Position

          FBS Global operates on a brokerage model, offering financial products such as Forex, stocks, commodities, and indices through Contracts for Difference (CFDs). The company's primary revenue stream comes from spreads and commissions on trades executed through its platform. With a strong focus on client satisfaction and innovation, FBS Global has maintained a competitive edge by offering cutting-edge trading tools, educational resources, and exceptional customer support.
          In addition to providing retail trading services, FBS also caters to institutional clients, offering advanced trading platforms with more sophisticated tools and features. As the company prepares for its IPO, FBS Global is focused on expanding its reach into emerging markets in Africa, Southeast Asia, and the Middle East. These regions have seen a significant rise in retail traders, driven by increased access to financial markets and the growing popularity of online trading.

          Market Opportunity

          The global financial trading industry is undergoing rapid growth, driven by technological advancements, increasing financial literacy, and broader access to online trading platforms. According to research, the global online trading market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 6.9% between 2021 and 2028, with a valuation exceeding $12 billion by the end of the forecast period.
          Several factors contribute to this growth:
          Increasing Demand for Online Financial Services: As more people gain access to high-speed internet and financial services in emerging markets, the demand for online trading platforms continues to grow.
          Technological Innovations: The integration of artificial intelligence (AI), machine learning, and blockchain technology into trading platforms is transforming the way people trade. These innovations make platforms more user-friendly and efficient, which attracts more traders.
          Rise of Cryptocurrencies: With the growing interest in cryptocurrencies and blockchain assets, brokers like FBS have expanded their product offerings to cater to this demand, adding to their client base.
          FBS Global Ltd. is well-positioned to capitalize on these market trends. The company's strong brand presence, coupled with its comprehensive suite of trading tools and educational resources, makes it an attractive option for both novice and experienced traders.

          Investment Considerations

          Investing in the FBS Global Ltd. IPO offers potential opportunities but also comes with certain risks. Here are the key factors investors should consider:
          Growth Potential: FBS’s expansion into emerging markets and the development of new asset classes such as cryptocurrencies and commodities position it for significant growth. The IPO proceeds will likely fund these initiatives, offering long-term growth potential.
          Regulatory Environment: FBS operates in a highly regulated industry, which can present both opportunities and challenges. Regulatory changes in key markets could impact the company's operations and revenue streams.
          Competitive Landscape: FBS competes with other global brokers such as eToro, IG Group, and Plus500. While FBS has a strong market presence, increased competition could affect its ability to attract new customers and retain existing ones.
          Market Volatility: The online trading industry is inherently tied to global financial markets. Significant market fluctuations can impact client trading activity, which in turn affects FBS’s revenue.

          Conclusion

          The FBS Global Ltd. IPO represents an exciting opportunity for investors looking to enter the fast-growing online trading industry. With a well-established reputation, a strong technological foundation, and ambitious plans for expansion, FBS Global Ltd. is poised for further success. However, potential investors should weigh the risks, including regulatory and market volatility, before making an investment decision.
          Overall, FBS Global’s entry into the public market signifies its confidence in its business model and its ability to capitalize on the growing demand for online trading platforms worldwide.
          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          Sanofi in Talks to Sell 50% of Consumer Health Unit to CD&R

          Cohen

          Economic

          Sanofi SA is in talks to sell a 50% controlling stake in its consumer health unit to Clayton Dubilier & Rice (CD&R), in what is set to be one of the biggest deals this year.
          The announcement confirms a report from Bloomberg News that Sanofi is nearing an agreement with CD&R. Financial terms were not disclosed, but people familiar with the matter said earlier that the deal would value the unit at about €15.0 billion (US$16.4 billion or RM70.3 billion).
          Sanofi shares slipped as much as 0.6% in early Paris trading. The stock has gained about 12% this year, roughly in line with the rise in Bloomberg’s European pharmaceuticals index.
          The deal caps a year-long effort by Sanofi to split off its consumer-health business as the company looks to generate better long-term value for cutting-edge therapies for cancer, rare diseases and other ailments. It follows big pharma peers GSK plc, Novartis AG, Pfizer Inc and Johnson & Johnson, which have made similar moves in recent years.
          The Opella unit sells over-the-counter products including Cenovis vitamins, DulcoLax constipation relief and Icy Hot pain relief gel. Sanofi said it would provide updates on the separation when a decision is made.
          The aim with the deal is to turn Sanofi, for the first time, into a pure play biopharma company, chief executive officer Paul Hudson has said. Sanofi is working to ramp up its research and development to ensure it can produce the next wave of blockbuster medicines.
          CD&R, which raised a record US$26 billion buyout fund last year, saw off interest from rival PAI Partners for the Sanofi unit, the people familiar said.
          The US private equity firm, founded in 1978, has been an active investor in France in recent years, teaming with Permira in July in an offer to take cybersecurity company Exclusive Networks SA private. It’s also an investor in Mobilux, one of the largest home equipment retailers in France.
          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          Malaysia's Palm Oil Exports Climb 0.93% to 1.54 Mil Tonnes in September, Says MPOB

          Justin

          Commodity

          The Malaysian Palm Oil Board (MPOB) reported that palm oil exports in September 2024 saw a marginal increase of 0.93% to 1.54 million tonnes from 1.53 million tonnes in August 2024.

          It said Malaysia’s crude palm oil (CPO) production dropped 3.8%, or 71,926 tonnes, to 1.82 million tonnes in September 2024, from 1.89 million tonnes in August.

          Palm kernel output eased by 4.87% month-on-month to 433,785 tonnes in September from 455,976 tonnes previously, MPOB said in its report on the palm oil industry’s performance for September.

          The production of crude palm kernel oil output was down by 6.45% to 193,836 tonnes from 207,194 tonnes in August, while palm kernel cake fell by 5.34% to 215,166 tonnes from 227,302 tonnes previously.

          In terms of inventory, the agency reported that CPO stocks rose by 10.91% to 1.06 million tonnes against 953,145 tonnes in August.

          Processed palm oil stockpiles gained 2.85% to 956,726 tonnes from 930,069 tonnes in the preceding month, while total palm oil stocks climbed 6.93% to 2.01 million tonnes from 1.88 million tonnes in August.

          MPOB noted a significant surge in palm kernel oil exports, which jumped 45.06% to 126,446 tonnes in September from August. Palm kernel cake exports bounced 33.99% to 232,944 tonnes in September from August.

          However, oleochemical exports declined by 5.72% to 257,825 tonnes from 273,395 tonnes in August, and biodiesel exports fell sharply by 43.95% to 16,793 tonnes from August’s 29,963 tonnes.

          MPOB reported that CPO imports remained at zero while palm kernel oil imports slid 20.68% to 10,887 tonnes from August.

          Source: The edge markets

          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          Excitement Continues! Day Two of the BrokersView Expo Abu Dhabi Remains Busy and Full of Action

          FastBull Events
          Excitement Continues! Day Two of the BrokersView Expo Abu Dhabi Remains Busy and Full of Action_1
          On October 12, the second day of the BrokersView Expo Abu Dhabi 2024 kicked off, welcoming another wave of attendees eager to engage with exhibitors and explore the event.
          [The exhibition was very popular]
          Excitement Continues! Day Two of the BrokersView Expo Abu Dhabi Remains Busy and Full of Action_2Excitement Continues! Day Two of the BrokersView Expo Abu Dhabi Remains Busy and Full of Action_3
          The Expo continued to bring together traders from across the globe, who gathered to connect with brokers, ask questions, and exchange ideas. The lively vibe throughout the venue was a testament to the energy and innovation driving the industry.
          [Traders consulted at various booths]
          Excitement Continues! Day Two of the BrokersView Expo Abu Dhabi Remains Busy and Full of Action_4Excitement Continues! Day Two of the BrokersView Expo Abu Dhabi Remains Busy and Full of Action_5
          Throughout the event, the organizers hosted several high-level lectures and roundtable discussions, featuring prominent industry leaders and experts. These sessions delved into the latest market trends and trading strategies, providing valuable insights from the experts and fostering an environment where traders from diverse backgrounds could share their ideas and experiences.
          [Lecture site]
          Excitement Continues! Day Two of the BrokersView Expo Abu Dhabi Remains Busy and Full of Action_6Excitement Continues! Day Two of the BrokersView Expo Abu Dhabi Remains Busy and Full of Action_7
          As the Expo progressed, more exciting activities unfolded. In three separate raffle draws, lucky winners walked away with impressive prizes, further fueling the enthusiasm and engagement of participants.
          In addition, the exhibition also provides delicious tea breaks.
          [People enjoy delicious tea breaks]
          Excitement Continues! Day Two of the BrokersView Expo Abu Dhabi Remains Busy and Full of Action_8
          This Expo was not only a platform for showcasing financial offerings but also a major event for industry professionals to exchange ideas, providing traders with abundant opportunities to learn and network.
          With that, the two-day BrokersView Expo Abu Dhabi 2024 has officially come to a close!
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          Week Ahead – ECB Headed Towards Another Cut, CPI on the Agenda Elsewhere

          XM

          Central Bank

          Is an ECB rate cut a done deal?

          Following the RBNZ, which cut interest rates by 50 basis points this Wednesday, the central bank torch will be passed next week to the ECB. Although last time, President Lagarde and her colleagues did not back an October rate cut, their stance started to shift following the disappointing PMIs and the slide in headline inflation below 2%, prompting market participants to increase bets of such an action.
          Currently, investors are nearly fully pricing in a quarter-point reduction at Thursday’s gathering, while expecting another one in December. Thus, a quarter-point reduction on its own is unlikely to shake the euro, and if it is indeed delivered, the spotlight will quickly turn to President Lagarde’s press conference.
          Week Ahead – ECB Headed Towards Another Cut, CPI on the Agenda Elsewhere_1
          This is one of the meetings that are not accompanied by updated macroeconomic projections but Lagarde is bound to receive questions on how the economic and inflation outlooks have changed since the September gathering. Recently, she said that their confidence about inflation returning to target will be reflected at the upcoming gathering, reinforcing expectations of further easing in both October and December.
          Therefore, if a 25-bps rate cut is delivered and Lagarde keeps the door open to another one in December, the euro is likely to extend its latest slide. Following the robust US jobs report for September, euro/dollar fell below the round number of 1.1000, completing a double top formation. A dovish ECB decision may allow the slide to continue towards the low of August 8 at 1.0880.
          Having said all that though, a rate cut at this gathering could be less obvious than market pricing suggests. A couple of weeks ago, a Reuters report noted the doves will fight for a rate cut, but they might face resistance from the hawks. Some sources talked about a compromise solution in which rates are kept on hold in October but reduced in December if the data doesn’t improve.
          Adding to the uncertainty were comments by ECB Vice President de Guindos that it is too early to claim victory on inflation. The flash estimates showed that inflation fell to 1.8% in September. If confirmed in Thursday’s final readings, this would nevertheless be in line with the ECB’s own projections, while the latest rebound in oil prices due to the Middle East tensions poses upside risks to the outlook.
          Therefore, if policymakers indeed agree to wait until December, euro/dollar is likely to rebound strongly as investors get caught off guard. A return above 1.1025 could dismiss the bearish reversal and allow more buyers to enter the game.

          UK CPI awaited as pound struggles

          The pound has been consolidating over the past week, pausing the selloff that was triggered by BoE Governor Bailey’s remarks that they may need to be more active with regards to interest rate cuts if the data continues to suggest progress in inflation.
          With that in mind, pound traders are likely to pay extra attention to next week’s releases, particularly Wednesday’s CPI numbers, as they try to figure out how the Bank of England will proceed from here onwards. According to the UK Overnight Index Swaps (OIS), investors are assigning a strong 75% chance for a 25-bps cut on November 7, with the probability of another one in December resting at around 60%.
          Week Ahead – ECB Headed Towards Another Cut, CPI on the Agenda Elsewhere_2
          The September PMIs revealed that price pressures across the private sector eased to a 42-month low in September, pointing to a decline in both headline and core CPI, especially the former, as the year-on-year change in oil prices dipped further into negative territory. A further cooldown in inflation may prompt traders to add to their BoE rate cut bets and thereby push the pound lower.
          The employment report for August and retail sales for September will also be published next week, on Tuesday and Friday respectively. Investors will be watching to see how much further wage growth moderated over the period and if consumers kept spending last month.

          Quieter US data week makes way for earnings

          Across the Atlantic, both the Fedspeak and data schedule will quieten down, potentially keeping dollar traders on the sidelines. September retail sales due on Thursday will be the main highlight. But manufacturing gauges by the New York Fed (Monday) and Philadelphia Fed (Thursday) will also be important. Coming up on Thursday too is industrial production for September, while on Friday, building permits and housing starts might attract some attention.
          With investors becoming jittery about the possibility of the Fed easing policy at a somewhat slower pace than what is priced in right now, a stronger-than-expected retail sales report might not be greeted too positively by the markets as it would further dampen rate cut bets. Analysts are forecasting a month-on-month increase of 0.3% in September, after a 0.1% rise the prior month.
          Week Ahead – ECB Headed Towards Another Cut, CPI on the Agenda Elsewhere_3
          For Wall Street, however, corporate earnings will probably be a bigger focus as the Q3 season gets underway. Netflix will be among the first of the Big Tech to report its earnings on Thursday.

          Canadian and NZ CPI may decide size of next rate cuts

          North of the border, Canadian inflation numbers out on Tuesday will be crucial for the Bank of Canada’s policy decision on October 23. Investors have priced in around one third probability that the BoC will slash rates by 50 bps, while a 25-bps cut is fully baked in. Any surprises therefore in the CPI readings for September may sway policymakers either way.
          The Canadian dollar has taken quite a beating against the US dollar this month so traders might react more strongly to a hotter-than-expected report given the oversold conditions.
          New Zealand will be another country getting an inflation update. CPI figures for the third quarter are due on Wednesday and could determine the size of the next cut by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand. Policymakers reduced borrowing costs by 50 bps at their October meeting and a further such reduction is projected for November.
          Week Ahead – ECB Headed Towards Another Cut, CPI on the Agenda Elsewhere_4
          However, with a long gap between the RBNZ’s November and February meetings, investors might start to price in a larger 75-bps cut if the Q3 stats show a larger-than-forecast drop in inflation, which looks set to fall within the Bank’s 1-3% target band.

          Yen may shrug off Japanese CPI

          In Japan, the question on interest rates is about a hike rather than a decrease. But Friday’s CPI data is unlikely to change the near-term picture on the price outlook and some traders might prefer to keep an eye on Wednesday’s machinery orders and Thursday’s trade figures for signs that the Japanese economy is maintaining the positive momentum, which is vital if inflation is to hold above the Bank of Japan’s 2% target sustainably.
          Hence, it’s hard to see a significant reaction in the yen and a bigger driver for the safe-haven currency will probably be broader risk sentiment – something Chinese data will have a big say on.

          Will Chinese GDP matter after stimulus blitz?

          China will publish Q3 GDP numbers on Friday where growth is forecast to have slowed slightly from 4.7% to 4.6% y/y. Industrial production and retail sales prints for September are also due the same day, while ahead of all that, CPI and PPI figures will be released on Sunday, followed by trade indicators on Monday.
          Week Ahead – ECB Headed Towards Another Cut, CPI on the Agenda Elsewhere_5
          Following the stimulus measures unveiled recently by Beijing, a disappointing GDP print might not spur much panic in the markets. Furthermore, with a further announcement expected on Saturday and Monday, the upcoming data might be overlooked unless the slowdown in Q3 was far worse than feared.

          Source:XM

          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
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          Top-of-Mind Market Risks for U.S. Equities

          JanusHenderson

          Economic

          Stocks

          Janus Henderson’s 2024 Investor Survey shows U.S. mass affluent and high-net-worth investors have a decreased risk appetite in 2024 compared to 2023. When asked about their top concerns for late 2024 into early 2025, over 70% of respondents cited the U.S. presidential election, geopolitical events, and persistent inflation.
          In light of these findings, we asked three of our U.S. equity portfolio managers what they deem key market risks in the months ahead. While the worries investors cited in the survey are not among our portfolio manager’s top areas of concern, that is not to say they are not important when assessing today’s market environment.
          The inflation picture has improved considerably in 2024, yet higher prices are still having an impact on consumer spending. Geopolitical risks – namely the Russia-Ukraine war, China-Taiwan tensions, and Middle East conflicts – form a constant backdrop. These events threaten to disrupt supply chains, increase inflationary pressures, and undermine investor confidence. However, predicting the likelihood of such events is challenging, and we’d instead advocate for a focus on quality companies and a diversified portfolio to help mitigate the potential impact.
          The U.S. presidential election could also cause near-term volatility, but we believe broader economic drivers and company fundamentals will be the prevailing influence over the market’s ultimate winners and losers.
          Our portfolio managers remain largely optimistic about economic and earnings outlooks, but they offered the following perspective on the risks they’re tracking closely in the months ahead.

          Jeremiah Buckley

          Area of coverage: U.S. large-cap growth
          Notable risk: Narrow job growth participation
          The U.S. economy continues to provide a solid foundation for investment opportunities, but cooling labor market demand is a key economic risk that warrants close attention. Recent job gains have been primarily limited to hospitality, healthcare, government, and construction, while other sectors have shown minimal or declining employment growth (Figure 1).
          This narrow focus is concerning as we approach full employment in the hospitality and healthcare industries in the post-pandemic recovery. Leading indicators for the construction sector are also showing signs of weakness, which could soon flow through to jobs. The lack of broader participation across sectors could slow overall job growth.
          Further, AI’s impact on hiring in knowledge-based industries adds uncertainty. AI’s role in the future workforce has led to hesitation in hiring for certain positions, potentially exacerbating the job market’s imbalance. Combined, these factors suggest employment growth could become a pressing issue, possibly leading to reduced consumer spending and pressure on economic growth.
          On a positive note, we did see material margin expansion in second-quarter earnings. Positive company operating margins and margin leverage are typically leading indicators for labor market growth. Also, it is possible that moderate labor and income gains can continue to support consumer spending.
          Top-of-Mind Market Risks for U.S. Equities_1

          Brian Demain

          Area of coverage: U.S. mid-cap growth
          Notable risk: Uncertain return on AI capital spending
          Debate surrounding the return on investment in AI capital spending is one of today’s most important market issues. While AI offers immense potential as a productivity tool, the vast capital invested in AI infrastructure by tech giants (Figure 2) needs to generate returns. This massive investment is fueling excitement for companies supplying AI-related hardware and software, from industry giants like NVIDIA to numerous mid-cap firms.
          Over the next few years, the market’s direction may hinge on how the perception and reality of AI’s return on investment evolve. If AI proves to be a valuable productivity enhancer and delivers strong gains to those that have adopted it, the AI-spending boom will likely continue. We may even find current spending is too low. Conversely, subpar gains could significantly slow the pace of investment.
          Given this uncertainty, we are carefully monitoring the commercial success of various AI applications, from Microsoft Copilot to emerging startups, to better understand potential returns on AI investments. Additionally, we are focusing on businesses with strong fundamentals and differentiated offerings to help mitigate risks associated with a potential slowdown in AI spending.
          Top-of-Mind Market Risks for U.S. Equities_2

          Jonathan Coleman

          Area of coverage: U.S. small-cap growth
          Notable risk: Consumer spending trends
          A further slowdown in consumer spending is one of the more pressing concerns in the economy today and one investors should be mindful of. While there’s no definitive evidence of this trend spreading from lower-income to middle- or higher-income households, indicators suggest increasing financial strain. For instance, delinquency rates on credit cards and car payments are approaching cyclical peaks (Figure 3), and the extraordinary savings rate from COVID-19 stimulus has dissipated.
          Moreover, higher interest rates, particularly on mortgage payments, are likely to weigh on consumer sentiment and spending. Even as interest rates may stabilize or decline with the Federal Reserve rate-cutting cycle, the cumulative effect on household budgets could persist.
          To mitigate this risk, we’ve adopted a cautious approach to consumer discretionary stocks. While we believe that many valuations in this sector are reasonable, we are carefully assessing whether the potential upside justifies the uncertainty surrounding consumer spending trends.Top-of-Mind Market Risks for U.S. Equities_3
          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          Zafrul: Malaysia, UAE Enhance Trade Prospects After Concluding Economic Partnership Negotiations

          Cohen

          Economic

          Malaysia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) have successfully concluded the negotiations for a Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (Cepa), set to eliminate or reduce tariffs, lower trade barriers, foster private-sector collaboration, and create new investment opportunities.

          Minister of Investment, Trade and Industry Tengku Datuk Seri Zafrul Abdul Aziz said the Cepa, as Malaysia’s first free trade agreement (FTA) with a Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) nation, will enhance trade, boost investments, and deepen Malaysia-UAE economic ties.

          “We view the UAE as a strategic hub for Malaysian exporters to access markets in the Middle East, North Africa and certain parts of Europe, particularly as Malaysian exports, such as electrical and electronics, machinery, jewellery, prepared foodstuff, tropical fruits, palm oil, cocoa and rubber, will immediately enjoy zero import duties when this agreement comes into force.

          “The Cepa is also a strategic leverage for UAE-based companies to optimise Malaysia as a gateway into the Asean market, which, in turn, will provide tremendous opportunities for our businesses — particularly small and medium enterprises (SMEs) – through integration into regional supply chains, capacity-building and knowledge sharing via the UAE’s investors.

          “The Ministry of Investment, Trade and Industry (Miti) looks forward to working closely with UAE Minister of State for Foreign Trade Dr Thani Ahmed Al Zeyoudi, and the UAE Ministry for Foreign Trade, to ensure swift ratification and implementation of the Cepa,” he said in a statement.

          Meanwhile, Thani said that Cepa reflects productive ties that have developed between the UAE and Malaysia, as well as Southeast Asia as a whole.

          “Malaysia is a long-standing and trusted trade partner that, like the UAE, is seeking to enhance its economic prospects through increased trade and targeted investments.

          “As the fourth largest economy in the Southeast Asia region, and with economic growth in 2024 set to outstrip forecasts, Malaysia offers substantial opportunity for our exporters, industrialists and business leaders, especially in high-growth sectors, such as energy, logistics, manufacturing and financial services,” he said.

          According to Miti, the UAE’s Cepa initiative aims to elevate its non-oil foreign trade to US$1 trillion (RM4.29 trillion) by strengthening relationships with key markets worldwide.

          “This ambitious strategy not only enhances ties within the Asean bloc but also positions Malaysia as a key player in this economic landscape, benefitting from existing Cepas with Indonesia and Cambodia that further stimulate bilateral trade opportunities,” it said.

          Miti added that Cepa also underscores the strengthening economic relationship between Malaysia and the UAE, with bilateral non-oil trade surpassing US$4.9 billion in 2023.

          In the first half of 2024, non-oil trade reached US$2.5 billion, reflecting a 7.0% increase from the same period in 2023.

          “The UAE is Malaysia’s second largest trade partner in the Arab world, constituting 32% of Malaysia’s trade with Arab countries, while Malaysia ranks as the UAE’s 12th largest trading partner in Asia, and fifth among Asean nations.

          “The UAE is a vital market, accounting for 40% of Malaysia’s merchandise exports to the Arab world, highlighting Malaysia’s strong trade presence in the region,” Miti said.

          Source: The edge markets

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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