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SYMBOL
LAST
BID
ASK
HIGH
LOW
NET CHG.
%CHG.
SPREAD
SPX
S&P 500 Index
6824.67
6824.67
6824.67
6835.30
6761.54
+41.86
+ 0.62%
--
DJI
Dow Jones Industrial Average
48185.79
48185.79
48185.79
48323.95
47690.27
+275.88
+ 0.58%
--
IXIC
NASDAQ Composite Index
22822.41
22822.41
22822.41
22836.75
22529.21
+187.42
+ 0.83%
--
USDX
US Dollar Index
98.700
98.700
98.780
98.760
98.600
+0.060
+ 0.06%
--
EURUSD
Euro / US Dollar
1.16841
1.16841
1.16848
1.17021
1.16772
-0.00141
-0.12%
--
GBPUSD
Pound Sterling / US Dollar
1.34185
1.34185
1.34196
1.34360
1.34104
-0.00175
-0.13%
--
XAUUSD
Gold / US Dollar
4744.44
4744.44
4744.78
4779.99
4737.73
-22.56
-0.47%
--
WTI
Light Sweet Crude Oil
92.928
92.928
92.958
93.109
91.088
+1.016
+ 1.11%
--

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Share

S&P: War Will Indirectly Impact Asian Insurance Companies Through Market Volatility

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Australia's Department Of Industry And Resources: Extreme Market Volatility And Uncertainty Have Made Forecasts For Some Energy And Resource Commodities Quickly Outdated

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The Australian Department Of Industry And Resources Has Postponed Its Five-year Forecast For Resource And Energy Production And Exports To The End Of June 2026

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The Hang Seng Index Closed Up 141.14 Points, Or 0.55%, At 25,893.54 On Friday, April 10; The Hang Seng Tech Index Closed Up 38.59 Points, Or 0.8%, At 4,860.26; The H-share Index Closed Up 43.21 Points, Or 0.5%, At 8,655.04; And The Red Chip Index Closed Up 31.31 Points, Or 0.74%, At 4,287.51

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British Defense Secretary: Agreement For The UK To Provide The Interception System "will Be Finalized Within Weeks"

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UAE Presidential Advisor Anwar: The UAE Will Review Its Regional And International Relations And Identify Reliable Partners

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At The Close Of Trading In Hong Kong Stocks, The Hang Seng Index Rose 0.55%, And The Tech Index Rose 0.8%. Guotai Junan International Surged Over 27%, CATL Rose Over 9%, And SMIC Rose Over 4.5%. NIO Fell Nearly 6%, And Tingyi (Cayman Islands) Holding Corp. Fell Over 3.2%

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Bank Of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda Will Visit The United States From April 13 To 18 To Attend The G20 And International Monetary And Financial Committee Meetings

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U.S. Stock Pre-market Optical Communications Stocks Are Up, With Lumentum Rising Nearly 5%, As Bloomberg Reports The Company Expects To Sell Out Its 2028 Capacity Within Two Quarters; AAOI And Coherent Are Up Nearly 3%, And Ciena Is Up Over 2%. Taiwan Semiconductor Is Up Nearly 2% In Pre-market Trading, With March Sales Up 45.2% Year-on-Year

Share

The US Dollar Index (DXY) Rose Above 99, Up 0.20% On The Day

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London Metal Exchange (LME): Copper Inventories Increased By 9,300 Tons, Lead Inventories Decreased By 550 Tons, Tin Inventories Remained Unchanged, Nickel Inventories Increased By 360 Tons, Aluminum Inventories Decreased By 2,475 Tons, And Zinc Inventories Decreased By 125 Tons

Share

Italy's February Seasonally Adjusted Industrial Output Rose 0.5% Year On Year, Compared With The Previous Reading Of -0.60%

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Italy's Seasonally Adjusted Industrial Output Rose 0.1% Month-on-month In February, Below The Expected 0.5% And Up From The Previous Reading Of -0.60%

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U.S. S&P 500 E-mini Futures And Dow Jones Futures Were Both Flat, While NASDAQ 100 Futures Fell 0.1%

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Iranian Parliamentary Official: Israeli Oil Tankers "Absolutely Prohibited" From Passing Through The Strait Of Hormuz

Share

Nanqiao Foods: The Company's Consolidated Operating Revenue In March 2026 Was RMB 272 Million, A Decrease Of 1.34% Year-on-Year

Share

In March, China's Combined Output Of Power And Energy-storage Batteries Reached 177.7 GWh, Up 50.2% Year On Year

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The Bank Of Thailand Reported That Its Foreign Exchange Reserves Stood At US$281 Billion As Of April 3, Compared With US$277.7 Billion On March 27

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Shanghai Futures Exchange: This Week, Copper Inventory Decreased By 34,604 Tons, Aluminum Inventory Increased By 4,224 Tons, Zinc Inventory Decreased By 2,456 Tons, Lead Inventory Increased By 1,335 Tons, Nickel Inventory Increased By 278 Tons, Tin Inventory Increased By 1,048 Tons, And Natural Rubber Inventory Increased By 1,970 Tons

Share

The Indian Government Has Announced That Exporters Of Both Fragrant And Non-fragrant Rice To Certain European Countries Will Be Exempt From Submitting Inspection Certificates For The Next Six Months

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Q&A with Experts
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    Size flag
    Nawhdir Øt
    Since the price is already in profit and the structure is still holding... @Nawhdir Øt
    Nawhdir Øt flag
    Size
    Since the price is already in profit and the structure is still holding... @Nawhdir Øt
    @Sizegampangnya itu menciptakan Lower Low
    Emmerson flag
    hi anyone
    Emmerson flag
    how are you doing today
    Nawhdir Øt flag
    kalau emas, masih belum aku lakukan trailing
    Nawhdir Øt flag
    Nawhdir Øt
    kalau emas, masih belum aku lakukan trailing
    nanti
    SlowBear ⛅ flag
    Emmerson
    hi anyone
    @EmmersonHello bro, how are you doing today?
    Osaghae Cephas flag
    Size
    @Osaghae Cephasif it breaks and holds, then continuation is possible… if not, we wait for rejection or a clean retest
    @Sizeyh
    SlowBear ⛅ flag
    Emmerson
    how are you doing today
    @EmmersonDoing great today mate, are you still holding oil?
    Size flag
    Nawhdir Øt
    @Sizegampangnya itu menciptakan Lower Low
    @Nawhdir ØtThat’s why trailing needs to be careful.
    Emmerson flag
    I am doing well thank you, since yesterday i have restaring trading with confidence
    Size flag
    Emmerson
    hi anyone
    @EmmersonHey Mate, how are you doing today? welcome back..
    Nawhdir Øt flag
    EuroTrader
    @Nawhdir Øt50/50 right. anything that happens then you are actually good to go
    @EuroTraderapapun yang kulakukan tidak becus sepupu
    Nawhdir Øt flag
    Size
    @Nawhdir ØtThat’s why trailing needs to be careful.
    @Sizeya, itu arti membuntuti laju ?
    Size flag
    Emmerson
    how are you doing today
    @EmmersonI’m good. Just watching the markets and staying patient as Friday usually brings some interesting moves.
    EuroTrader flag
    Nawhdir Øt
    @EuroTraderapapun yang kulakukan tidak becus sepupu
    @Nawhdir Øtif Yuu say so cousin but i believe that you are good enough
    Size flag
    @Nawhdir ØtOnce a new lower low forms, it can take out weak stops fast.
    SlowBear ⛅ flag
    Emmerson
    I am doing well thank you, since yesterday i have restaring trading with confidence
    @Emmerson Wow that is very good then
    EuroTrader flag
    Nawhdir Øt
    @EuroTraderapapun yang kulakukan tidak becus sepupu
    @Nawhdir Øtyou are making money and that's the most important thing as a trader
    Nawhdir Øt flag
    EuroTrader
    @Nawhdir Øtif Yuu say so cousin but i believe that you are good enough
    @EuroTraderkau lebih baik
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          ‘All that glitters is fear’ as $5,000 gold is now ‘increasingly inevitable’ – Societe Generale

          Adam

          Commodity

          Summary:

          Societe Generale said $5,000 gold is “increasingly inevitable,” citing surging ETF inflows, central-bank demand, and rising global uncertainty. The bank now targets $4,217 by end-2025 and $5,000 by 2026.

          With gold already trading over $4,100 on Monday afternoon following last week’s unprecedented break above $4,000 per ounce, even a conservative projection of the yellow metal’s medium-term investment demand suggests the price could reach $5,000 per ounce by the end of next year, according to commodity analysts at Societe Generale.
          In the French banking giant’s latest commodity research report published Monday, analysts said that the gold price appears poised to gain another $1,000 in relatively short order.
          “Last week, gold prices reached $4,042/oz, just $276/oz below our bullish $4,318/oz Q426 forecast we published just one month ago,” they wrote. “As of this morning, prices have risen to $4,072/oz. With ETF flows remaining strong, central bank buying expected to be resilient, we feel confident and compelled to update our target prices for gold.”
          “We now see prices reaching $5000/oz by the end of 2026, as the rate of flows has surpassed our initial assumptions,” they said. “Despite having no clarity on positioning (flows) of hedge funds, we have observed what can only be described as extremely strong, admittedly higher than we forecasted, positive ETF flows in the last few weeks. Why is this increase in flows happening now? We have previously noted a strong relationship between ETF flows and uncertainty levels since the Trump victory in November 2024 and believe for now, this to be a critical factor in understanding part of the price action.”
          SocGen analysts cautioned that the latest monthly FRED uncertainty indices from September do not take into account China’s sweeping export controls on rare earths on October 9th. “This index would also fail to capture that President Trump then announced, last Friday, to impose additional 100% tariffs on all Chinese goods and almost immediately signal openness to reach a deal to quell trade tensions,” they said. “However, stepping back from these recent events, we do note that in China the general (and trade) uncertainty indices dropped 80 (100) points during the month of September, yet Chinese ETF gold holdings rose to slightly 193t from 189t.
          ‘All that glitters is fear’ as $5,000 gold is now ‘increasingly inevitable’ – Societe Generale_1
          “Meanwhile, using our preferred weekly U.S. uncertainty index, which captures the period when China announced the rare earth export controls and Trump’s response last week, the level of uncertainty jumped to 354 - an increase of 18 points over the week and an increase of 44 points over the month (see upper right graphic),” they noted. “This, 354-level index, is still three times the level witnessed the 5 months prior to the U.S election.”
          The analysts said that under the circumstances, it was not surprising to see global gold ETF flows rise by 23 tonnes over the last week – and by 100 tonnes in the last month alone. “Critically, however, our China economics team highlighted on Sunday there is less than a 30% chance of the new tariffs materializing, but these scenarios, realized or not, seem to cause massive flows into gold ETFs,” they wrote. “We cannot imagine a situation where we return to pre-Trump index uncertainty normalcy over our forecast horizon, so ETF flows are a key component to our price forecasting.”
          SocGen said they maintained the core assumptions in their September forecast. “Specifically, in that outlook, we presented the case for extremely resilient gold investor and central bank demand, and we outlined that since 2022, the average quarterly increase in flows has been 72.5t across all managed money, ETFs, central banks and demand for coins and bars,” the analysts said. “For ETFs in particular, (where we can currently observe almost real time transparency on flows), quarterly changes have averaged +31.5t since 2017.”
          They added, however, “a highly significant 100t of flows into global gold ETFs, 69t more than ‘normal’” through the end of Q3. “This flow by itself partially explains the significantly increased gold price over the month of September,” the analysts wrote. “These elevated ETF flows, the highest level we have seen since Q3 2020 (when we witnessed 238t of positive flows) are significantly higher than our original flow assumptions, and explain, according to our framework, roughly $160/oz of the rise in gold prices over the course of the last three months.”
          SocGen analysts said they continue to take “a conservative and cautious approach to flow forecasting and only assume an additional 67t of gold is purchased each quarter above ‘normal’ levels, for all categories of flows” – including central banks and ETFs – across all quarters.
          ‘All that glitters is fear’ as $5,000 gold is now ‘increasingly inevitable’ – Societe Generale_2
          “We do this despite the recent elevated uncertainty but maintain the view that central banks accumulate gold so the percentage is higher in their total reserves,” they said. “Therefore, we continue to add this incremental amount to average demand and use that in the model framework shown in the [above] chart to forecast prices through to the end of 2026 (our forecast horizon). Recalibrating our gold framework to forecast from today’s gold price (i.e., marking to market the base price but leaving assumptions unchanged), the model points to $4,217/oz by the end of 2025 and $5000/oz by the end of 2026, a 14% increase from our $4,300/oz we released in September.”
          “Recognizing our conservative assumptions on ETF and central bank flows, we view the upside risk to our forecast is significantly greater than the downside,” they added.
          Spot gold continues to rise further above the $4,100 per ounce level on Monday after setting a fresh all-time high of $ 4,117.42 just before 1:30 pm EDT.
          ‘All that glitters is fear’ as $5,000 gold is now ‘increasingly inevitable’ – Societe Generale_3
          Spot gold last traded at $4,106.09 for a loss of 2.23% on the session.

          Source: kitco

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