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SYMBOL
LAST
BID
ASK
HIGH
LOW
NET CHG.
%CHG.
SPREAD
SPX
S&P 500 Index
6824.67
6824.67
6824.67
6835.30
6761.54
+41.86
+ 0.62%
--
DJI
Dow Jones Industrial Average
48185.79
48185.79
48185.79
48323.95
47690.27
+275.88
+ 0.58%
--
IXIC
NASDAQ Composite Index
22822.41
22822.41
22822.41
22836.75
22529.21
+187.42
+ 0.83%
--
USDX
US Dollar Index
98.540
98.540
98.620
98.760
98.520
-0.100
-0.10%
--
EURUSD
Euro / US Dollar
1.17096
1.17096
1.17103
1.17126
1.16772
+0.00114
+ 0.10%
--
GBPUSD
Pound Sterling / US Dollar
1.34395
1.34395
1.34405
1.34417
1.34104
+0.00035
+ 0.03%
--
XAUUSD
Gold / US Dollar
4748.31
4748.31
4748.65
4779.99
4730.57
-18.69
-0.39%
--
WTI
Light Sweet Crude Oil
92.022
92.022
92.052
93.426
91.088
+0.110
+ 0.12%
--

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Share

Russian Deputy Prime Minister Novak: Russia’s Production Of Liquid Hydrocarbons Is Expected To Reach Approximately 515 Million Tons By 2026

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Russian Deputy Prime Minister Novak: The Government Is Considering Increasing Fuel Supplies To The Domestic Market

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Longyuan Power: March Power Generation At 6.2855 Million MWh, Down 16.94% Year On Year

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Kremlin: Special Envoy's Visit To The U.S. Does Not Signal A Resumption Of Ukraine Peace Talks

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Central Bank: Has Not Adopted The "Proposal To Include Third-Party Payment Institutions As Subjects Of Regulation Under The 'Electronic Payment Guidelines (No. 1)'"

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According To The Financial Times, The Airports European Association Has Warned That European Airports Will Face A “systemic” Aviation Fuel Shortage If The Strait Of Hormuz Does Not Fully Reopen Within Three Weeks

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MIIT: By 2025, The Total GDP Of National High-tech Zones Will Reach RMB 20.4 Trillion

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Indian Government Officials: Agreement To Supply Fuel To Mauritius Is Being Finalized

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Israeli Defense Forces: Will Continue To Strike Hezbollah With Full Force

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Israeli Army: Last Week, More Than 40 Hezbollah Militants Were Killed And More Than 50 Hezbollah Infrastructure Sites In Southern Lebanon Were Dismantled

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JPMorgan: Oil Prices Will Retest War-Time Highs If Hormuz Strait Impasse Persists

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India's NIFTY 50 Index Rose By More Than 1%

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Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister: The United States Cannot Stand By While Israel Kills In Lebanon

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Spain Refuses To Participate In Potential NATO Operation To Ensure Passage Through The Strait Of Hormuz

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Market News: Finland Will Issue A Statement Opposing Nuclear Weapons And Lift The Ban

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Malaysian Prime Minister: Six Oil Tankers Heading To Malaysia Have Passed Through The Strait Of Hormuz

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The European Aerospace And Defense Sector Index Fell By More Than 1%

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Notice From The Ministry Of Commerce And Four Other Departments On Launching The 2026 "Healthy Consumption Month" Campaign

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Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM.N) Is Up More Than 2% In Pre-market Trading, With First-quarter Revenue Exceeding Expectations

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Indian Refiners Have Been Aggressively Buying Russian Oil Over The Past Two Months; Annual Purchases Expected To Remain High

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Q&A with Experts
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    SlowBear ⛅ flag
    joel
    @SlowBear ⛅eurusd
    @joelOh you wish to sell EURUSD? alright bro that is very good
    Emmerson flag
    i try to learn as much i can about two asset max
    SlowBear ⛅ flag
    4017687
    what spiked EURUSD, anyone ?
    @4017687A spike on EURUSD what timeframe are talking about?
    4017687 flag
    Emmerson
    i try to learn as much i can about two asset max
    @Emmerson im tryina find out more right now
    Emmerson flag
    about ?
    4017687 flag
    about the jump that just happened, man it wasnt expected at all
    SlowBear ⛅ flag
    Emmerson
    @SlowBear ⛅ too close to central banks and and state policies thats hurt my head
    @Emmerson Sorry it happens mate
    4017687 flag
    i thought the EURUSD should be bearish
    SlowBear ⛅ flag
    4017687
    i thought the EURUSD should be bearish
    @4017687Well i think that is a piece to check on the intrday plan but again i will say lets ee how it goes
    SlowBear ⛅ flag
    Emmerson
    i try to learn as much i can about two asset max
    @EmmersonThat i fair, so you have choose WTI and XAUUSD
    SlowBear ⛅ flag
    4017687
    about the jump that just happened, man it wasnt expected at all
    @4017687 yes no one saw it coming but it happens sometimes
    TIPU SULTAN flag
    Emmerson flag
    SlowBear ⛅
    @Emmerson Sorry it happens mate
    @SlowBear ⛅ it was a joke my head is fine :)
    Emmerson flag
    4017687
    about the jump that just happened, man it wasnt expected at all
    @4017687 don't understand
    kehinde ad flag
    The US dollar's strength has been largely behind this escalation. Now the talks of a ceasefire/final solution have seen the appetite for the USD reduce
    EuroTrader flag
    4017687
    i thought the EURUSD should be bearish
    @Visitor4017687Eurusd is still sideways for now till the United states dollar decides on its next move
    EuroTrader flag
    kehinde ad
    The US dollar's strength has been largely behind this escalation. Now the talks of a ceasefire/final solution have seen the appetite for the USD reduce
    @kehinde adthe focus would be back to interest rates and talks about inflation
    TIPU SULTAN flag
    kehinde ad flag
    EuroTrader
    @kehinde adthe focus would be back to interest rates and talks about inflation
    @EuroTrader exactly
    SlowBear ⛅ flag
    Emmerson
    @SlowBear ⛅ it was a joke my head is fine :)
    @Emmerson Okay brother, that will be very interesting
    Type here...
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          ‘All that glitters is fear’ as $5,000 gold is now ‘increasingly inevitable’ – Societe Generale

          Adam

          Commodity

          Summary:

          Societe Generale said $5,000 gold is “increasingly inevitable,” citing surging ETF inflows, central-bank demand, and rising global uncertainty. The bank now targets $4,217 by end-2025 and $5,000 by 2026.

          With gold already trading over $4,100 on Monday afternoon following last week’s unprecedented break above $4,000 per ounce, even a conservative projection of the yellow metal’s medium-term investment demand suggests the price could reach $5,000 per ounce by the end of next year, according to commodity analysts at Societe Generale.
          In the French banking giant’s latest commodity research report published Monday, analysts said that the gold price appears poised to gain another $1,000 in relatively short order.
          “Last week, gold prices reached $4,042/oz, just $276/oz below our bullish $4,318/oz Q426 forecast we published just one month ago,” they wrote. “As of this morning, prices have risen to $4,072/oz. With ETF flows remaining strong, central bank buying expected to be resilient, we feel confident and compelled to update our target prices for gold.”
          “We now see prices reaching $5000/oz by the end of 2026, as the rate of flows has surpassed our initial assumptions,” they said. “Despite having no clarity on positioning (flows) of hedge funds, we have observed what can only be described as extremely strong, admittedly higher than we forecasted, positive ETF flows in the last few weeks. Why is this increase in flows happening now? We have previously noted a strong relationship between ETF flows and uncertainty levels since the Trump victory in November 2024 and believe for now, this to be a critical factor in understanding part of the price action.”
          SocGen analysts cautioned that the latest monthly FRED uncertainty indices from September do not take into account China’s sweeping export controls on rare earths on October 9th. “This index would also fail to capture that President Trump then announced, last Friday, to impose additional 100% tariffs on all Chinese goods and almost immediately signal openness to reach a deal to quell trade tensions,” they said. “However, stepping back from these recent events, we do note that in China the general (and trade) uncertainty indices dropped 80 (100) points during the month of September, yet Chinese ETF gold holdings rose to slightly 193t from 189t.
          ‘All that glitters is fear’ as $5,000 gold is now ‘increasingly inevitable’ – Societe Generale_1
          “Meanwhile, using our preferred weekly U.S. uncertainty index, which captures the period when China announced the rare earth export controls and Trump’s response last week, the level of uncertainty jumped to 354 - an increase of 18 points over the week and an increase of 44 points over the month (see upper right graphic),” they noted. “This, 354-level index, is still three times the level witnessed the 5 months prior to the U.S election.”
          The analysts said that under the circumstances, it was not surprising to see global gold ETF flows rise by 23 tonnes over the last week – and by 100 tonnes in the last month alone. “Critically, however, our China economics team highlighted on Sunday there is less than a 30% chance of the new tariffs materializing, but these scenarios, realized or not, seem to cause massive flows into gold ETFs,” they wrote. “We cannot imagine a situation where we return to pre-Trump index uncertainty normalcy over our forecast horizon, so ETF flows are a key component to our price forecasting.”
          SocGen said they maintained the core assumptions in their September forecast. “Specifically, in that outlook, we presented the case for extremely resilient gold investor and central bank demand, and we outlined that since 2022, the average quarterly increase in flows has been 72.5t across all managed money, ETFs, central banks and demand for coins and bars,” the analysts said. “For ETFs in particular, (where we can currently observe almost real time transparency on flows), quarterly changes have averaged +31.5t since 2017.”
          They added, however, “a highly significant 100t of flows into global gold ETFs, 69t more than ‘normal’” through the end of Q3. “This flow by itself partially explains the significantly increased gold price over the month of September,” the analysts wrote. “These elevated ETF flows, the highest level we have seen since Q3 2020 (when we witnessed 238t of positive flows) are significantly higher than our original flow assumptions, and explain, according to our framework, roughly $160/oz of the rise in gold prices over the course of the last three months.”
          SocGen analysts said they continue to take “a conservative and cautious approach to flow forecasting and only assume an additional 67t of gold is purchased each quarter above ‘normal’ levels, for all categories of flows” – including central banks and ETFs – across all quarters.
          ‘All that glitters is fear’ as $5,000 gold is now ‘increasingly inevitable’ – Societe Generale_2
          “We do this despite the recent elevated uncertainty but maintain the view that central banks accumulate gold so the percentage is higher in their total reserves,” they said. “Therefore, we continue to add this incremental amount to average demand and use that in the model framework shown in the [above] chart to forecast prices through to the end of 2026 (our forecast horizon). Recalibrating our gold framework to forecast from today’s gold price (i.e., marking to market the base price but leaving assumptions unchanged), the model points to $4,217/oz by the end of 2025 and $5000/oz by the end of 2026, a 14% increase from our $4,300/oz we released in September.”
          “Recognizing our conservative assumptions on ETF and central bank flows, we view the upside risk to our forecast is significantly greater than the downside,” they added.
          Spot gold continues to rise further above the $4,100 per ounce level on Monday after setting a fresh all-time high of $ 4,117.42 just before 1:30 pm EDT.
          ‘All that glitters is fear’ as $5,000 gold is now ‘increasingly inevitable’ – Societe Generale_3
          Spot gold last traded at $4,106.09 for a loss of 2.23% on the session.

          Source: kitco

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