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U.S. commercial crude oil inventories, excluding those in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR), decreased by 1.8 million barrels from the week ending November 28 to the week ending December 5, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) highlighted in its latest weekly petroleum status report.
U.S. commercial crude oil inventories, excluding those in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR), decreased by 1.8 million barrels from the week ending November 28 to the week ending December 5, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) highlighted in its latest weekly petroleum status report.
That report was published on December 10 and included data for the week ending December 5. The report showed that crude oil stocks, not including the SPR, stood at 425.7 million barrels on December 5, 427.5 million barrels on November 28, and 422.0 million barrels on December 6, 2024.
Crude oil in the SPR stood at 411.9 million barrels on December 5, 411.7 million barrels on November 28, and 392.5 million barrels on December 6, 2024, the report revealed. Total petroleum stocks - including crude oil, total motor gasoline, fuel ethanol, kerosene type jet fuel, distillate fuel oil, residual fuel oil, propane/propylene, and other oils - stood at 1.684 billion barrels on December 5, the report showed. Total petroleum stocks were down 2.9 million barrels week on week and up 55.8 million barrels year on year, the report pointed out.
"At 425.7 million barrels, U.S. crude oil inventories are about four percent below the five year average for this time of year," the EIA said in its latest weekly petroleum status report.
"Total motor gasoline inventories increased by 6.4 million barrels from last week and are about one percent below the five year average for this time of year. Finished gasoline and blending components inventories increased last week," it added.
"Distillate fuel inventories increased by 2.5 million barrels last week and are about seven percent below the five year average for this time of year. Propane/propylene inventories decreased 1.8 million barrels from last week and are about 15 percent above the five year average for this time of year," it continued.
U.S. crude oil refinery inputs averaged 16.9 million barrels per day during the week ending December 5, according to the report, which highlighted that this was 17,000 barrels per day less than the previous week's average.
"Refineries operated at 94.5 percent of their operable capacity last week," the EIA said in its report.
"Gasoline production decreased last week, averaging 9.6 million barrels per day. Distillate fuel production increased by 380,000 barrels per day last week, averaging 5.4 million barrels per day," it added.
U.S. crude oil imports averaged 6.6 million barrels per day last week, the EIA noted in the report. It pointed out that this was an increase of 609,000 barrels per day from the previous week.
"Over the past four weeks, crude oil imports averaged about 6.2 million barrels per day, 7.7 percent less than the same four-week period last year," the EIA said in its report.
"Total motor gasoline imports (including both finished gasoline and gasoline blending components) last week averaged 659,000 barrels per day, and distillate fuel imports averaged 181,000 barrels per day," it added.
Total products supplied over the last four-week period averaged 20.4 million barrels a day, up by 1.6 percent from the same period last year, the EIA stated in its latest weekly petroleum status report.
"Over the past four weeks, motor gasoline product supplied averaged 8.5 million barrels a day, down by 1.3 percent from the same as the last year period," it added.
"Distillate fuel product supplied averaged 3.7 million barrels a day over the past four weeks, up by 3.4 percent from the same period last year. Jet fuel product supplied was down 0.8 percent compared with the same four-week period last year," it went on to state.
In a market comment sent to Rigzone on Wednesday, Wael Makarem, Financial Markets Strategists Lead at Exness, highlighted that the American Petroleum Institute (API) "reported a massive draw in crude oil inventories of 4.8 million barrels, significantly larger than the forecast of a 1.7 million barrel draw".
Makarem added in that comment that "traders could react to the EIA crude inventory data later today, which could complement the API data".
Macquarie strategists, including Walt Chancellor, revealed in a report sent to Rigzone late Monday by the Macquarie team that they were forecasting that U.S. crude inventories would be down by 7.0 million barrels for the week ending December 5.
"This follows a 0.6 million barrel build in the prior week, with the crude balance again realizing tight relative to our expectations," the strategists said in that report.
President Donald Trump is expected to direct his administration to move to reclassify marijuana as a less dangerous drug, according to people familiar with the matter, a move that could represent one of the biggest shifts in US policy toward cannabis in decades.
Trump has discussed the idea with marijuana industry executives, Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services Administrator Mehmet Oz, the people said.
A White House official said no final decisions have been made on rescheduling. The Washington Post reported earlier on the plans.
Cannabis is currently labeled a Schedule I drug, putting it in the same category that includes substances like heroin and LSD, categorized as having no medical use and a high potential for abuse. Trump is weighing pushing to reclassify it to a Schedule III drug, according to the people, which would move it to a tier for substances seen as having a lower potential for dependency — on the same level as ketamine, Tylenol with codeine, as well as anabolic steroids.
Reclassification would make it easier to buy and sell cannabis, delivering a major victory for companies and investors in the sector as well as patients who use medical marijuana. Cannabis companies have been lobbying for reform in Washington and a reclassification decision could ease tax burdens and obstacles to banking services, help draw more mainstream lenders and investors and bolster opportunities for medical research.
US legislation around cannabis is a patchwork. Though it's banned federally, states differ widely in terms of legalization. More than 40 states and the District of Columbia allow marijuana use for medical purposes, according to the National Conference of State Legislatures, while about half allow for recreational usage.
Efforts to pass federal legislation decriminalizing marijuana have so far yielded little progress.
While Trump may seek changes to the current status, including through an executive order, rescheduling would likely only take effect after the government finishes a rulemaking process that has been on hold since January.
Trump acknowledged deep divisions over the issue in August when he said a decision on marijuana classification could come in weeks. He said at the time that he had spoken to proponents of reclassification who stressed the medical benefits of cannabis and those on the other side who said loosening of restrictions posed a risk to children. The president told attendees at an August fundraiser in New Jersey that he was considering the change, the Wall Street Journal reported.
The campaign to reclassify marijuana gained momentum under President Joe Biden. The Justice Department in 2024 recommended shifting cannabis to Schedule III, prompting a formal review by the Drug Enforcement Administration. However, progress has been stalled with legal challenges and agency delays, leaving the issue and industry in limbo.
Opponents of reclassification have said the Biden administration's case for the change relied on flawed reasoning and downplayed health risks.
Kennedy has previously supported decriminalization at the federal level. He has spoken often about his own personal experiences with addiction and said in February that he was concerned about high-potency marijuana, but that widespread state legalization and decriminalization offered a chance to study real-world effects.
The decision comes as Trump's administration has sought to crack down on drug trafficking and taken a tougher stance on another drug, fentanyl.
Trump signed legislation in July that permanently designated all fentanyl-related substances as Schedule I drugs, increasing penalties for those caught trafficking. The president has seized on a public health crisis sparked by the synthetic opioid to crack down on border security and undocumented migration and has levied tariffs on the three largest US trading partners in part over fentanyl trafficking.
British households' inflation expectations edged down from their highest in two years, a slight easing that may soothe concerns at the Bank of England as officials decide whether to cut interest rates further.
Households anticipate prices rising 3.5% over the next 12 months, down from the two-year high of 3.6% in August, according to a survey by the central bank. They predicted prices would climb 3.7% annually in five years' time, also down 0.1 percentage point from the last time the survey was done.
While the figures suggest household inflation expectations remain at elevated levels, the cooling was the latest sign that the BOE is beginning to contain the threat from a fresh spike in inflation. It is expected to resume its cutting cycle at its meeting on Thursday, though economists predict a close result with Governor Andrew Bailey seen as the key swing voter.
The rate decision will be announced the day after official inflation data is released for November, which may indicate whether price pressures have peaked. CPI is expected to cool to 3.4%, according to a Bloomberg survey of economists, compared with 3.6% in October.
The forward-looking inflation expectations survey is closely watched by the central bank for signs that elevated price pressures will persist. Households fearing high inflation to continue could demand bigger wage rises that feed back into prices.
UK Economy Risks Quarterly Contraction After Surprise GDP Slump
Robert Wood, chief UK economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, said the small fall "helps the case for a rate" cut next week. "This will give rate-setters some comfort that expectations can continue falling as headline inflation slows through to next summer," he added.
High expectations have kept some on the Monetary Policy Committee wary over reducing rates further. However, there is growing evidence of inflation cooling and the economy stalling with figures earlier on Friday showing gross domestic product contracting again in October.
Hawks on the panel are resisting a further easing in interest rates after raising concerns about signs that households expect sticky inflation to linger. The MPC's doves argue that a weak labor market will reduce workers' ability to get bumper pay hikes, limiting the inflation impact from high expectations.
The survey also showed Britons increasingly fear the BOE will raise rates to stamp out sticky inflation. The net share of households expecting hikes in the next 12 months hit the highest since November 2023.
Solid U.S. growth and a weaker U.S. dollar, as well as artificial intelligence productivity gains, are anticipated to support an increase in S&P 500 earnings next year, according to analysts at Goldman Sachs.
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In a note, the strategists including Ben Snider and Ryan Hammond predicted that profit per share in stocks in the benchmark index would rise by an annualized 12% in 2026 to $305.
Revenue is also tipped to grow by 7% next, with 70 basis points of profit margin expansion, the analysts added.
For 2027, meanwhile, S&P 500 income per share is tipped to rise a further 10% to $336.
Underpinning these forecasts are Goldman Sachs's predictions for accelerating gross domestic product growth in the U.S., along with a further softening in the dollar. The dollar index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of currency pairs, has slipped by more than 7% over the past one-year period.
"Beyond the macro drivers, the profitability of the largest stocks will continue to be a key driver of S&P 500 earnings growth," they argued, adding that returns from the seven largest stocks in the index -- Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Broadcom, and Meta -- account for roughly a quarter of its total earnings.
The Goldman Sachs analysts projected that these stocks will raise their collective earnings by 29% in 2026, similar to a pace set in 2025. These shares have been buoyed by hopes that massive investments in AI will eventually pay off for investors, although some concerns have recently swirled around when these profits will be seen.
Worries have also surrounded whether the -- often debt-powered -- AI expenditures will squeeze profit margins, potentially denting the case for frothy tech valuations. A string of circular dealmaking in the AI sector has also raised eyebrows among some observers.
Still, "continued strength in AI investment alongside healthy growth in other businesses will support roughly +20% sales growth for these stocks in 2026," the Goldman analysts said.
Broader, AI-driven productivity gains are also expected to lift S&P 500 earnings per share by 0.4% in 2026 and 1.5% in 2027, with the analysts suggesting that the process of widespread AI adoption remains in its infancy.
"We [...] assume both corporate adoption and the realized share of the total potential productivity boost will gradually build over time," they wrote.
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