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SYMBOL
LAST
BID
ASK
HIGH
LOW
NET CHG.
%CHG.
SPREAD
SPX
S&P 500 Index
6827.42
6827.42
6827.42
6899.86
6801.80
-73.58
-1.07%
--
DJI
Dow Jones Industrial Average
48458.04
48458.04
48458.04
48886.86
48334.10
-245.98
-0.51%
--
IXIC
NASDAQ Composite Index
23195.16
23195.16
23195.16
23554.89
23094.51
-398.69
-1.69%
--
USDX
US Dollar Index
97.950
98.030
97.950
98.500
97.950
-0.370
-0.38%
--
EURUSD
Euro / US Dollar
1.17394
1.17409
1.17394
1.17496
1.17192
+0.00011
+ 0.01%
--
GBPUSD
Pound Sterling / US Dollar
1.33707
1.33732
1.33707
1.33997
1.33419
-0.00148
-0.11%
--
XAUUSD
Gold / US Dollar
4299.39
4299.39
4299.39
4353.41
4257.10
+20.10
+ 0.47%
--
WTI
Light Sweet Crude Oil
57.233
57.485
57.233
58.011
56.969
-0.408
-0.71%
--

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Iranian Media Says 18 Crew Members Of Foreign Tanker Seized In Gulf Of Oman Over Carrying 'Smuggled Fuel' Detained

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Regional Governor: Two Killed In Ukrainian Drone Strike On Russia's Saratov

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Chinese Foreign Ministry - China Foreign Minister Met With United Arab Emirates Counterpart On Dec 12

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China's Central Financial And Economic Affairs Commission Deputy Director: Will Expand Export And Increase Import In 2026

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Thai Leader Anutin: Landmine Blast That Killed Thai Soldiers 'Not A Roadside Accident'

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Thai Leader Anutin: Thailand To Continue Military Action Until 'We Feel No More Harm'

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Cambodian Prime Minister Hun Manet Says He Had Phone Calls With Trump And Malaysian Leader Anwar About Ceasefire

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Cambodia's Hun Manet Says USA, Malaysia Should Verify 'Which Side Fired First' In Latest Conflict

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Cambodia's Hun Manet: Cambodia Maintains Its Stance In Seeking Peaceful Resolution Of Disputes

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Nasdaq Companies: Allergan, Ferrovia, Insmed, Monolithic Power Systems, Seagate Technology, And Western Digital Will Be Added To The NASDAQ 100 Index. Biogen, CdW, GlobalFoundries, Lululemon, ON Semiconductor, And Tradedesk Will Be Removed From The NASDAQ 100 Index

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Witkoff Headed To Berlin This Weekend To Meet With Zelenskiy, European Leaders -Wsj Reporter On X

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Russia Attacks Two Ukrainian Ports, Damaging Three Turkish-Owned Vessels

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[Historic Flooding Occurs In At Least Four Rivers In Washington State Due To Days Of Torrential Rains] Multiple Areas In Washington State Have Been Hit By Severe Flooding Due To Days Of Torrential Rains, With At Least Four Rivers Experiencing Historic Flooding. Reporters Learned On The 12th That The Floods Caused By The Torrential Rains In Washington State Have Destroyed Homes And Closed Several Highways. Experts Warn That Even More Severe Flooding May Occur In The Future. A State Of Emergency Has Been Declared In Washington State

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Trump Says Proposed Free Economic Zone In Donbas Would Work

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Trump: I Think My Voice Should Be Heard

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Trump Says Will Be Choosing New Fed Chair In Near Future

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Trump Says Proposed Free Economic Zone In Donbas Complex But Would Work

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Trump Says Land Strikes In Venezuela Will Start Happening

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US President Trump: Thailand And Cambodia Are In A Good Situation

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State Media: North Korean Leader Kim Hails Troops Returning From Russia Mission

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          US Dollar Buoyed by Safe-Haven Bid - Watch This Week’s CPI for the Next Big Move

          Adam

          Forex

          Summary:

          The US dollar held firm near a three-week high on safe-haven demand amid Trump’s tariff threats. Key inflation data and political pressure on the Fed will determine its next move.

          US President Donald Trump threatened to impose 30% tariffs on goods from the European Union and Mexico over the weekend. In response, the US Dollar Index (DXY) held on to last week’s gains at the start of the new week.
          The dollar briefly touched the 98 level early in the day, as investors once again turned to it as a safe-haven asset amid rising uncertainty.
          Many market participants now believe Trump’s tariff threats could strengthen the US position in trade talks. This belief is helping support the dollar, which is now at its highest level in three weeks.
          Although these aggressive trade tactics may create short-term uncertainty, they also reinforce the dollar’s role as the world’s main reserve currency. As a result, investors are watching closely for any signs of concessions from the EU or Mexico, which could give the dollar another boost.
          On the other hand, several important US economic reports this week could influence the dollar’s direction. These include the June CPI data on Tuesday, as well as PPI and retail sales figures on Thursday.
          The dollar is expected to react to these macroeconomic numbers. If inflation comes in lower than expected, it could put downward pressure on the DXY.
          Markets are currently expecting the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by about 50 basis points by the end of the year. Any surprise in CPI or PPI—especially higher-than-expected inflation—could shift these expectations and help the dollar hold or extend its recent gains.

          Political Pressure on Powell Continues

          Another key factor affecting the dollar’s direction is President Trump’s recent criticism of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. Trump said that “Powell’s resignation would be great” and even hinted at impeachment, using the cost of Fed building renovations as a reason.
          These comments raise concerns about political interference in the Fed’s independence. In the short term, this could increase political uncertainty and ironically give the dollar a temporary boost as a safe-haven asset. But in the medium term, Deutsche Bank estimates that if Powell were actually removed, the Dollar Index (DXY) could fall by 3% to 4%.
          As a result, the dollar now faces pressure from two sides: political risks and economic data. For now, strong jobs and growth figures are helping support the DXY. But if political threats to the Fed become more serious, the dollar could weaken.
          US Dollar Tests Key Levels
          US Dollar Buoyed by Safe-Haven Bid - Watch This Week’s CPI for the Next Big Move_1
          At the start of the month, the Dollar Index (DXY) began to recover from oversold levels and stayed just below the 97 mark. As the new week began, the index tested 98, with the next key resistance level now seen around 98.50.
          While the broader trend for the DXY is still downward, a cautious pickup in demand during July has pushed the index slightly above its previous falling channel.
          However, this rebound has come with low trading volumes, and the limited buying interest has created short-term overbought conditions. If demand stays weak, it may be difficult for the DXY to break above the 98.50 level, meaning the dollar could remain under pressure against major currencies.
          On the downside, the 97.30–97.60 range is a key support zone for the Dollar Index (DXY). If this area is broken, it could signal a return to the broader downtrend and open the door for a move toward the 96 level.
          This week, the main factors shaping the dollar’s direction are Trump’s trade threats, political pressure on the Fed, and upcoming economic data. In the short term, strong data and Trump’s aggressive tone may continue to support the dollar.
          However, if markets begin to seriously price in the risk of Powell being removed, it could lead to increased volatility in the dollar index.

          source :investing

          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
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          Fed's Powell Asks For Inspector General Review Of Project Criticized By Trump Officials

          James Whitman

          Central Bank

          Political

          Key points:

          ● Powell requests IG review of costs of Fed building renovation
          ● Trump officials have criticized Fed's handling of project
          ● US president has demanded Powell resign

          Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has asked the U.S. central bank's inspector general to review the costs involved in the renovation of its historic headquarters in Washington, as Trump administration officials intensify their criticism of how the Fed is being run.

          The request to Fed Inspector General Michael Horowitz, first reported by Axios, was made over the weekend, according to a source familiar with the matter.

          It follows a letter to Powell last week from Office of Management and Budget Director Russell Vought, who wrote that President Donald Trump was "extremely troubled" by cost overruns in the $2.5 billion project. In material posted to its website on Friday, the Fed described the challenges in a complete rehabilitation of the nearly 100-year-old Marriner S. Eccles building and a neighboring property on Constitution Avenue in the nation's capital.

          OMB has no oversight over the Fed, which funds its own operations separately from the appropriations process in Congress. The Federal Reserve Act also gives the central bank's seven-member Board of Governors control over its building and related projects, with oversight by Congress and the Fed's independent IG, which has been reviewing the renovations throughout the process.

          But Vought's criticism marked an escalation by the Trump administration against Powell and the Fed more broadly. Trump has been angry over the central bank's refusal to cut interest rates on his timetable. Fed officials, however, have resisted cutting rates until there is clarity on whether Trump'stariffson U.S. trading partners reignite inflation.

          Trump has said Powell should resign, but the president does not have the power to fire him over a monetary policy dispute.

          Powell, who was nominated by Trump in late 2017 to lead the Fed and then nominated for a second term by then-President Joe Biden four years later, has said he intends to serve out his term as Fed chief, which ends on May 15.

          A list of "frequently asked questions" about the project, posted by the Fed on Friday included several raised by Vought and also addressed by Powell during a recent hearing in Congress, when the Fed chief clarified, for example, that contrary to some press reports there were no private elevators being installed to carry Fed officials to a private dining room.

          The Eccles building, the Fed's main headquarters, was built during former President Franklin Delano Roosevelt's administration.

          The neighboring site at 1951 Constitution Avenue, which dates to the administration of Roosevelt's predecessor, Herbert Hoover, had been used by a number of agencies before being turned over to the Fed in 2018 by the first Trump administration "enabling them to renovate this historic property," Trump's General Services Administration said in a press release at the time. "This transfer will put a vacant building back in productive use, allow the Federal Reserve Board to consolidate several leases and result in savings for taxpayers," it said.

          Source: Reuters

          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
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          EU Warns Of Countermeasures Over 'absolutely Unacceptable' US Tariff Threat

          Damon

          Economic

          The European Union accused the U.S. of resisting efforts to agree a trade deal and warned of countermeasures on Monday if no deal was struck to avoid the "absolutely unacceptable" tariffs President Donald Trump has threatened to impose from August 1.

          Trump stepped up his trade war on Saturday, saying he would impose a 30% tariff on most imports from the EU and Mexico from next month, adding to similar warnings for other countries including Asian economic powerhouses Japan and South Korea.

          The EU has so far held off on retaliatory measures to avoid a spiralling tit-for-tat escalation in the trade war while there remains a chance of negotiating an improved outcome.

          But EU ministers emerging from a meeting in Brussels on Monday appeared closer to striking back.

          Speaking at a news conference following the meeting, Danish Foreign Minister Lars Lokke Rasmussen called the tariff threat "absolutely unacceptable."

          EU Trade Chief Maros Sefcovic, at the same press conference, said he believed there was "still a potential to continue the negotiations" but voiced frustration with Washington's failure to agree a deal with its largest trading partner.

          "The EU ... never walks away without genuine effort, especially considering the hard work invested, how close we find ourselves to making a deal and the clear benefits of the negotiated solution," he said.

          "But as I said before, it takes two hands to clap," he said, adding that EU member states agreed that the 27-nation bloc would need to take countermeasures if the trade negotiations with the U.S. fail.

          Italy's Foreign Minister Antonio Tajani earlier said the EU had already prepared a list of tariffs worth 21 billion euros ($24.5 billion) on U.S. goods if the two sides fail to reach a deal.

          White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett, meanwhile, said trade talks were still under way with the European Union, Canada and Mexico. Canada is facing a tariff of 35% from next month.

          Asked about his expectations of talks with the EU, the White House National Economic Council director said: "We'll see ... we've got a few weeks left."

          Hassett had said on Sunday that President Trump wanted to see better deals if the new tariffs are to be avoided.

          GERMAN CONCERN

          The threatened duties have sounded alarm bells in Europe, notably in Germany, the EU's biggest economy.

          A U.S. flag flutters in front of shipping containers at the Port of Long Beach in Long Beach, California, U.S., July 11, 2025. REUTERS/Daniel Cole Purchase Licensing Rights, opens new tab

          After Chancellor Friedrich Merz said on Sunday that a 30% tariff would "hit the German export industry to the core", the head of the German Chamber of Commerce and Industry called for swift action.

          "The escalating tariff conflict with the USA poses a serious threat to many German companies," Volker Treier said on Monday. "Tough negotiations are now needed to avert a collapse of transatlantic trade."

          European industries, meanwhile, are preparing for the worst.

          Producers of Italy's renowned Chianti wine in Tuscany, for example, have demanded a new export strategy backed by the EU targeting alternative markets such as South America, Asia and Africa in response.

          Since returning to the White House earlier this year, Trump has sought to use an array of tariffs to boost the U.S. economy, push companies to invest in the United States, and revitalise sectors including manufacturing.

          His initial "Liberation Day" tariff announcement in April, which set a baseline tariff of 10% on all imports and higher duties on certain products or countries, raised fears of global supply chain disruptions, sending shockwaves through markets.

          But subsequent U-turns and delays, including a 90-day pause on most duties aimed at allowing time for trade deal negotiations, have left investors largely inured to Trump's chaotic policy roll-outs.

          European stocks fell on Monday, while U.S. futures pointed towards a lower Wall Street open in response to the latest salvo. European autos and alcohol stocks were among those hardest hit.

          SCRAMBLE FOR DEALS

          The looming August 1 deadline has set off a scramble by governments around the world to seal trade agreements.

          South Korea's top trade envoy said on Monday it may be possible to strike an "in-principle" deal by the deadline and signalled that Seoul may be open to allowing the U.S. greater access to its agriculture markets, local media reported.

          Minister for Trade Yeo Han-koo, who held high-level talks with U.S. officials last week, said South Korea was seeking to avoid "unfair" U.S. tariffs on sectors key to its industrial prowess that would undermine industrial cooperation with its main security ally and trading partner, media reports said.

          "I believe it's possible to reach an agreement in principle in the U.S. tariff negotiations, and then take some time to negotiate further," the Newsis news agency quoted Yeo as telling local media reporters.

          "Twenty days are not enough to come up with a perfect treaty that contains every detail," he added.

          South Korea is in a race to reach a compromise trade pact in the hope of avoiding a 25% tariff slapped on its exports, the same level faced by Japan.

          Source: Reuters

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          Fed's Hammack Sees No Urgent Reason to Lower Rates – Fox Business

          Warren Takunda

          Economic

          Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Beth Hammack said on Monday she sees no imminent need to lower interest rates right now given that inflation is still too high, amid ongoing uncertainty about how trade tariffs will affect price pressures.
          “We're pretty close to where the neutral rate is and so I see an economy that's resilient, I see one that's working really well, and I don't see a need to really reduce (interest rates) unless we see material weakening on the labor side,” Hammack said in an interview on Fox Business.
          For Hammack, inflation levels that stand above the 2% target remain the main obstacle to cutting the cost of short-term credit.
          When it comes to the Federal Open Market Committee meeting scheduled for July 29-30, Hammack told the television channel that "I walk into every meeting with an open mind, waiting to see where the data is going to take us, where the conversation takes us."
          "But from where I sit and what I see, what I see is that we're hitting on our employment side of the mandate, we're not there yet on the inflation side of the mandate," Hammack said. With inflation still too high, "I think it's important for us to maintain a restrictive posture of monetary policy to make sure that we're getting inflation down to our target of 2%" for inflation.
          Most Fed officials who have spoken over recent weeks appear on board with the notion that the current federal funds target rate range, now between 4.25% and 4.5%, will remain in place at the end of the month. At the Fed's June meeting officials penciled in two cuts later this year and investors generally expect that easing to start at the September meeting.
          There is however a minority of Fed officials who are open to cutting rates in June, on the basis of the idea that the Trump administration's aggressive and ever-shifting import tax hikes will have a one-time impact on inflation and can be ignored as part of setting monetary policy. Speaking last week, Fed governor Christopher Waller said "we're just too tight and we could consider cutting the policy rate in July." Waller added his take on rates is "not political."
          The Fed has been facing substantial pressure from President Donald Trump to cut interest rates but officials have so far resisted this pressure and focused on the economic data. In her interview, Hammack cautioned that it remains unclear how the tariffs will play out.
          Given the still unfolding influence of the tariffs, "I think wait and see is the best place for us to be, because I think we don't know exactly what those impacts are going to be."

          Source: Reuters

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          Gold price slips; silver up and hits nearly 14-year high

          Adam

          Commodity

          Gold and silver prices are higher in early U.S. trading Monday, with silver scoring a nearly 14-year high. There is keener risk aversion in the general marketplace early this week that is supporting the safe-haven metals. August gold was last up $7.50 at $3,371.50. September silver prices were last up $0.38 at $39.335.
          Risk aversion is elevated to start the trading week, following the Trump administration’s renewed hawkish tone on trade tariffs against other nations. The Trump administration has sent out notifications to U.S. trading partners recently, threatening import tariffs mostly in the 20% to 30% range. The European Union was notified over the weekend it is looking at a 30% tariff. Mexico and Canada are reported to face 30% and 35% tariffs, respectively.
          Asian and European stocks were mixed to weaker overnight. U.S. stock indexes are pointed to lower openings today in New York.
          The key outside markets today see the U.S. dollar index slightly down. Nymex crude oil futures prices are firmer and trading around $69.50 a barrel. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note is presently at 4.42%.
          In overnight news, China reported its exports grew at a faster rate in June, at up 5.8%, year-on-year, versus a rise of 4.8% in May. China’s imports rose 1.1% in June compared to a decline of 3.4% in May.
          There is no major U.S. economic data due for release Monday. But the pace picks up Tuesday with the data point of the week: the consumer price index report for June, which is seen coming in at up 2.7%, year-on-year, compared to up 2.4% in the May report.
          Gold price slips; silver up and hits nearly 14-year high_1
          Technically, August gold futures bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at $3,400.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at the June low of $3,250.50. First resistance is seen at the overnight high of $3,389.30 and then at $3,400.00. First support is seen at the overnight low of $3,367.00 and then at $3,350.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 7.0.
          Gold price slips; silver up and hits nearly 14-year high_2
          September silver futures bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. Silver bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at $40.00. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $36.00. First resistance is seen at the overnight high of $39.57 and then at $40.00. Next support is seen at $39.00 and then at $38.50. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 8.5.

          Source: kitco

          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          Canada Wholesale Sales Edge Up 0.1% in May

          Michelle

          Economic

          Forex

          Canadian wholesale trade staged a modest recovery in May, with sales edging higher thanks in part to a rebound in the motor vehicle sector and a slight easing in worries about trade tensions with the U.S.

          Wholesale sales rose 0.1% from the month before to a seasonally adjusted 84.20 billion Canadian dollars, the equivalent of about $61.5 billion, Statistics Canada said Monday. The figure was considerably stronger than the data agency's advance estimate for 0.4% decline.

          The modest increase marked the first rise in sales in three months following a revised drop of 2.2% in April, the sharpest fall since mid-2023. Still, including petroleum, oilseed and grain trade, and wholesale sales were again lower in May.

          Sales were up for five of the seven wholesale sectors tracked by the data agency, led by an increase in personal and household goods following three consecutive monthly declines. Motor vehicle and parts sales were also solidly higher for the month.

          In price-adjusted terms, headline sales were up 0.2% in May, an indication of an increase in the volume of sales.

          Compared with a year earlier, nominal wholesale sales climbed 1.8%, while transactions on a volume basis were 0.6% higher, the data agency said.

          The agency said feedback from wholesalers it surveyed indicated the affect of trade tensions eased slightly in May. The share of wholesalers that indicated ongoing trade issues had impacted their businesses fell to 36.9% for the month from 43.6% in April, with those affected pointing to higher prices and an increase in costs for raw materials, shipping or labor.

          Wholesalers--the largest component of Canada's services sector--connect farmers or manufacturers that produce goods with companies and public institutions that use them. They also import goods from other countries and redistribute them within Canada. Statistics Canada previously estimated retail sales dropped 1.1% in May, which would mark the biggest decline in a year following rising sales the previous two months.

          Canada's economy has weakened considerably since beginning the year on solid footing, as activity has been dampened by President Trump's new tariffs and uncertainty surrounding global trade. Projections suggest industry-level gross domestic product shrank 0.1% from the month before in May, matching the decline in April and setting the economy up for a modest contraction in the second quarter.

          Trump ramped up pressure on Canada last week, with plans to increase the tariff on goods imported from Canada into the U.S. to 35% starting in August. Currently, there is a 25% levy on Canadian and Mexican goods that don't comply with the existing trade pact between the three countries, as well as sector-specific tariffs that apply to imports of items including steel, aluminum and autos produced outside the U.S.

          Statistics Canada said inventories for wholesalers rose 0.8% in May from a month earlier to C$130.35 billion, led by increases in building materials and supplies, as well as personal and household goods.

          Including sales by petroleum, oilseed and grain merchants--the headline measure Statistics Canada is transitioning to--wholesale sales for May were 0.5% lower at C$113.84 billion. Inventories on the same basis were down 0.3% from the prior month at C$141.4 billion.

          Source: TradingView

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          Trump’s 30% tariff letter leaves EU scrambling to bring U.S. on side

          Adam

          Economic

          The European Union has been left scrambling after U.S. President Donald Trump said he would slap a 30% tariff on goods imported from the bloc beginning Aug. 1.
          European leaders were quick to respond, saying they would still work to strike an agreement with the U.S. before the start of August. The EU also further delayed countermeasures which were set to come into effect this week and warned that preparations for additional retaliatory moves were underway.
          EU Trade Commissioner Maros Sefcovic on Monday told reporters that the letter had been received with “regret and disappointment ... especially considering the advanced stage of our ongoing negotiations.”
          Sefcovic stressed that the EU was still focused on finding a negotiated solution, but was preparing for all possible outcomes — which could include countermeasures. He also said that he would speak to his U.S. counterparts later in the day.
          “I cannot imagine walking away without genuine effort,” the trade commissioner said.
          With less than a month before Trump’s new deadline, the European Union will have to act fast to prevent the tariffs from coming into effect or risk further escalation.

          EU under pressure

          While EU leaders remain determined to strike a deal, economists and analysts warned that the threat of a 30% tariff rate has nevertheless added fresh pressure to the 27-member block.
          “It’s very bad news for Europe,” Alicia Garcia-Herrero, senior fellow at Bruegel and chief economist for Asia Pacific at Natixis, told CNBC’s “Europe Early Edition” on Monday.
          “Trump is pushing the commission to really come up with a better deal,” she added.
          Carsten Brzeski, global head of macro at ING, and Inga Fechner, a senior economist at ING who focuses on global trade, struck a similar tone.
          “Trump’s letter to the EU is not a love letter but also not a hate letter. It’s a letter to increase pressure in the ongoing negotiations,” they said in a note on Sunday.
          The EU however still has options, the economists said, suggesting that one approach could be for the EU to offer to boost its purchasing of U.S. products ranging from soybeans to military equipment.
          Brussels could also reduce existing tariffs and other trade hurdles on items such as U.S. cars, or introduce export bans on products that are important to the U.S. such as European-made pharmaceuticals, Brzeski and Fechner said.
          “The fourth and final option would be to go into outright retaliation with either increasing tariffs on US goods or the nuclear option in trade: tariffs on digital services but also tighter regulations on US tech firms,” the economists suggested, noting, however that this would likely trigger a full blown trade war.

          A compromise ahead?

          Despite the additional pressure for the EU, the expectation remains that the bloc and Washington D.C. will strike a agreement in the coming weeks.
          “I think both sides will strike a compromise. This is in the best interest of both the U.S. and the European Union,” said Joerg Kraemer, chief economist at Commerzbank.
          “I expect in the end, a kind of average tariff rate for the European Union for exports to the U.S. in the area of 15%,” he told CNBC’S “Europe Early Edition” on Monday.
          Notably, this rate would be higher than the 10% that had previously been anticipated by many and is in line with the deal that has been agreed upon by the U.K. and U.S.
          Berenberg Economist Salomon Fiedler meanwhile appeared more optimistic, saying in a note that the bank was still expecting 10% duties even as “the risks are now strongly skewed towards higher rates.”
          One reason for optimism is that Trump has repeatedly taken extreme positions initially, and then later compromised, Fiedler argued. “The fact that Trump only threatened the new 30% rate for 1 August, instead of implementing it more quickly, suggests he is still looking to negotiate,” he said.
          Trump may also shy away from further tariffs as businesses start passing on higher import costs to consumers, Fiedler suggested. The domestic political backdrop may also change, which could make it less important for the U.S. president to try and keep public attention on trade, he added.
          On the flipside, risk factors for higher levies include the unlikelihood that the U.S.′ trade deficits — which Trump has often used as an argument for tariffs — will disappear, and the U.S. administration’s reliance on tariff incomes to supplement its budget, according to Fiedler.
          “The always remote hope of a good negotiation outcome — the bilateral removal of all tariffs and some other trade barriers between the EU and the US — has all but disappeared from view by now,” he noted.

          Source :cnbc

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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