Silver Near All-Time Highs and Rebound Zones Hold

Economic

Commodity

Summary:

AGUSD (spot silver) remains elevated near multi-week and all-time highs after a dramatic rally in 2025, with the metal recently trading back above key support levels near $72–$75/oz despite a short-term pullback from record high...

BUY XAGUSD

Close Time

CLOSED

71.800

Entry Price

75.200

70.800

71.188 -5.072 -6.65%

340.0

Pips

Profit

70.800

75.201

Exit Price

71.800

Entry Price

75.200

Market overview

Silver has seen a massive year-to-date rally, trading near $72–$75 per ounce on live feeds, within a 52-week range roughly 28.15–75.15, showing extraordinary strength versus historical norms and approaching record levels again. The recent price action in thin end-of-year liquidity revealed a correction from extreme highs (above $79) into a range downtown around $71–$74 as profit-taking emerged and margin cost hikes pressured leveraged players.

On the M15 chart, this consolidation has formed a higher-low base near the lower part of the current intraday range, suggesting that sellers have not converted pullbacks into new shorts and buyers are stepping in earlier a hallmark of short-term demand dominance.

Market sentiment

Despite a sudden pullback seen in thin holiday liquidity where silver dropped sharply on margin and risk events sentiment retains structural bullish bias as traders revisit metal exposure for both industrial and safe-haven purposes.

Short-term sentiment is cautious but optimistic: declines are treated as consolidation rather than reversal signals, and broad macro forecasts still anticipate upward pressure if support holds and demand (industrial + speculative) resumes. Technical forecasters note that price movement above key moving averages and positive momentum indicators support continuation rather than deep reversal.

Technical analysis

Silver Near All-Time Highs and Rebound Zones Hold_1

On M15, silver is holding above or near the mid-band after the latest pullback. This is a key early bullish signal buyers showing strength at or above the 20-period average typically set the stage for moves back toward or above the upper band. If price sustains above the mid-band with contracted volatility, it suggests accumulation and traction for a rebound to resistance zones.

Ichimoku (9,26,52): The price action oscillates around the cloud but remains relatively above it after corrective dips, indicating that immediate downtrend pressure is not dominant. When price holds above or near the cloud and Tenkan Sen re-crosses above Kijun Sen after a pullback, it reinforces short-term bullish momentum.

Stoch (5,3,3): Stochastic readings on M15 reflect that recent pullbacks took silver toward neutral/oversold territory, and subsequent upward cross signals indicate an early return of positive momentum. This pattern often precedes short-term continuation in strong uptrends especially if buyers prevent lower lows from forming on the chart.

Trade plan

Entry: Initiate BUY near $71.80–$73.00

Take Profit: TP1 $75.20–$75.60

Stop Loss: SL below $70.8

Risk Warnings and Disclaimers

You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.

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Gerik

Cryptocurrency

Summary:

BTCUSDT is trading around $87,500–$88,400 USDT, having chopped between roughly $86,800 and $90,400 over the past 24 hours as the market negotiates holiday liquidity and ETF flow ambiguity...

BUY BTC-USDT

EXP

TRADING

87000.0

Entry Price

90200.0

86650.0

88505.1 -499.9 -0.56%

0.0

Pips

Flat

86650.0

Exit Price

87000.0

Entry Price

90200.0

Market overview

Live price data places BTCUSDT near $87,500–$88,400 USDT, with the 24-hour trading range concentrated between $86,800 (low) and $90,400 (high) a clear sign of range compression amid holiday season thin liquidity.

The market has been oscillating around this zone, where sellers have repeatedly failed to sustain a decisive breakdown, suggesting the range low holds as a short-term value anchor. Importantly, recent reports indicate that large institutional holders like Strategy are buying significant amounts of Bitcoin again around 1,129 BTC at ~$88,568 each representing nearly $109 million in fresh inflows after a brief dry spell, which underscores strong corporate demand near current price levels.

Market sentiment

Short-term sentiment in Bitcoin markets is nuanced: ETF products have seen notable outflows during Christmas week, with total net spot Bitcoin ETF outflows around $782 million, illustrating holiday positioning and profit taking pressures.

However, this does not necessarily imply a fundamental bearish turn rather, it reflects calendar-driven adjustments where institutional players reduce positions as desks close for the season, with expectations that flows could stabilize once markets reopen.

Additionally, broad risk sentiment has shown intermittent resilience with sporadic rebounds above key round numbers, hinting at latent buyer interest rather than outright capitulation. This blend of thin liquidity pressures and underlying demand sets up asymmetric risk where dips near support attract tactical accumulation on short timeframes.

Technical analysis

BTCUSDT Stabilizes Near $87K After Holiday Ripples_1

On the M15 timeframe, Bollinger Bands (20,2) illustrate a compressing structure with price oscillating near the mid-band not trending but coiling. This often precedes directional resolution; a reclaim above the mid-band with expanding upper band activity would favor upside continuation. Sustained support above the lower band at $86,800–$87,000 will be key for validating the long bias.

Ichimoku (9,26,52) on M15 typically shows price interacting with the cloud during consolidation. A close above the cloud and a Tenkan/Kijun bullish alignment signals building upside pressure. If the cloud transitions from resistance to support, it enhances the bullish edge on dips.Stoch (5,3,3) oscillators are valuable here: a fresh bullish crossover from near the lower region especially with price holding value support often precedes short-term rallies on compressed charts. The best long entries occur when Stoch turns upward while price respects structure rather than anticipating breakouts prematurely.

Trade plan

Entry: Consider BUY around $87,000–$87,300

Take Profit: $90,200

Stop Loss: SL below $86,650

Risk Warnings and Disclaimers

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Gerik

Economic

Commodity

Summary:

XAUUSD (spot gold) remains elevated near $4,300–$4,550 after a tumultuous year where gold rallied sharply, with safe-haven flows and central bank buying lifting prices to historic peaks....

BUY XAUUSD

Close Time

CLOSED

4324.74

Entry Price

4400.00

4290.00

4291.51 -47.60 -1.10%

752.6

Pips

Profit

4290.00

4400.00

Exit Price

4324.74

Entry Price

4400.00

Market overview

Today’s live pricing shows gold oscillating within a wide range roughly $4,302 to $4,546/oz after retreating from multi-week highs as traders booked profits ahead of year-end and amid easing geopolitical tensions. Spot XAUUSD quotes around $4,330–$4,350 indicate that the market has digested much of the extreme convexity and remains above major dynamic support levels.

On M15, this behavior translates into a consolidation pattern where price respects a local support area near $4,300–$4,310; such structures in an overall uptrend often morph into launchpads for the next leg higher rather than reversing trend entirely. Momentum from the broader daily and 30-minute context suggests buyers still have room to accumulate, especially if price holds above short-term floors.

Market sentiment

Sentiment remains structurally bullish but mixed in the very short term. After gold hit historic levels above $4,500, sharp profit-taking caused a technical pullback a typical mean-reversion move in extended rallies. Market commentary highlights that bullion’s decline has been driven partly by holiday profit-taking and headlines softening safe-haven demand rather than a fundamental shift in gold’s macro drivers.

Longer-term projections including forecasts suggesting gold could rise toward ~$4,550–$4,910 in the next few days reflect persistent bullish conviction from technical models and sentiment indicators, even if short-term sentiment exhibits caution.

The key psychological signal on M15 is that dips have not broken down into deeper range lows with conviction, meaning sellers lack follow-through, which often precedes renewed accumulation by longs.

Technical analysis

On M15, price has recently tested the lower band and mid-band but is finding support above the recent corrective lows. Sustained closes above the mid-line (the 20-period SMA) after pullbacks suggest that short-term downside momentum is waning, and buyers are stepping in to absorb selling near support. If price continues to respect the mid-band as dynamic support, the path toward the upper band becomes more probable.

Ichimoku (9,26,52): The price is oscillating above or near the Ichimoku cloud after corrective dips. A healthy consolidation above the cloud rather than a break below it typically signals that the broader bullish bias is intact on shorter timeframes. A rising Tenkan Sen (conversion line) supporting higher lows reinforces this view.

Stoch (5,3,3): The stochastic oscillator on M15 has recently exited oversold territory and is curling back north, indicating that short-term momentum is pivoting from correction back toward accumulation. A fresh bullish crossover near support zones often precedes renewed short-term upside moves, especially within a broader uptrend.

Trade plan

Entry: Buy near $4,305–$4,325

Take Profit: –$4,400

Stop Loss: SL below $4,290

Risk Warnings and Disclaimers

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Warren Takunda

Traders' Opinions

Summary:

AUD/USD eased from fresh multi-year highs near 0.6730 as investors booked profits, but rising Australian inflation, hawkish RBA expectations and a constructive technical setup continue to favor the upside over the medium term.

BUY AUDUSD

EXP

TRADING

0.67004

Entry Price

0.71000

0.66500

0.66870 -0.00086 -0.13%

0.0

Pips

Flat

0.66500

Exit Price

0.67004

Entry Price

0.71000

The Australian Dollar lost some momentum during the European session on Monday, with AUD/USD retreating toward the 0.6700 handle after touching an over-one-year high of 0.6727 earlier in the day. The pullback reflects a classic bout of profit-taking following weeks of strong gains rather than a decisive shift in market sentiment, as the broader macro backdrop continues to tilt in favor of the Aussie.

The retreat comes at a time when the US Dollar is trading with little conviction. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the greenback against a basket of six major peers, hovered around the 98.00 mark, underscoring a lack of strong directional drivers ahead of key US policy signals. Currency markets are largely in wait-and-see mode ahead of the release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes on Tuesday, which could provide fresh insight into the Federal Reserve’s thinking on the path of interest rates.

Aussie strength underpinned by inflation and RBA expectations

Despite Monday’s modest pullback, the Australian Dollar has been one of the standout performers in recent weeks. The rally has been fueled by growing confidence that the Reserve Bank of Australia may ultimately need to maintain a tighter policy stance for longer — and potentially even consider rate hikes in 2026 — if inflation pressures prove sticky.

Those expectations were reinforced by the latest inflation data. Australia’s monthly Consumer Price Index rose at a faster-than-expected pace of 3.8% year-on-year in October, highlighting persistent price pressures in parts of the economy. While the RBA has maintained a cautious tone, the data strengthens the case that policymakers may be reluctant to pivot dovishly anytime soon. In relative terms, that contrasts with the US outlook, where markets continue to price in a more aggressive easing cycle.

Fed signals vs market pricing

At its most recent meeting, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points, taking the benchmark rate to a range of 3.50%–3.75%, and signaled that only one additional rate cut may be delivered in 2026. However, market pricing tells a different story. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, traders currently see a 73.3% probability that the Fed will reduce rates by at least 50 basis points in 2026, highlighting a growing divergence between official guidance and investor expectations.

This disconnect has helped cap US Dollar strength and provided breathing room for higher-yielding and growth-linked currencies such as the Australian Dollar. Until that gap between the Fed’s messaging and market pricing is resolved, the greenback may struggle to regain sustained upside momentum.

Technical Analysis

From a technical perspective, the AUD/USD pullback looks corrective rather than trend-changing. The pair remains in a well-defined bullish structure, characterized by higher highs and higher lows on the daily chart. Price action continues to respect an ascending channel, often viewed as a bullish continuation pattern, with shallow pullbacks suggesting strong underlying demand.

Earlier in the rally, AUD/USD consolidated in a key demand zone around 0.6580–0.6600. The subsequent clean breakout from that area signaled accumulation and confirmed bullish intent. More recently, the pair has pushed above prior resistance levels, effectively turning them into support — a classic sign of strengthening momentum.

Momentum indicators also paint a constructive picture. Relative strength measures remain positive, with no clear bearish divergence visible, even as the market flirts with overbought territory. Importantly, price continues to trade above the 50-period exponential moving average (EMA50), reinforcing the view that the short-term trend remains firmly to the upside.

From here, the 0.6700 region represents an important near-term support area, aligned with former resistance and the upper boundary of the prior breakout zone. As long as AUD/USD holds above channel support in the 0.6650–0.6670 range, the broader bullish bias remains intact. A deeper pullback toward the 0.6420–0.6450 area would threaten that outlook, but for now such a move appears unlikely without a major shift in fundamentals.

On the topside, sustained strength could open the door toward the 0.7050–0.7100 region over the medium term, particularly if Australian inflation remains elevated and US rate-cut expectations continue to weigh on the Dollar.

TRADE RECOMMENDATION

BUY AUDUSD

ENTRY PRICE: 0.6700

STOP LOSS: 0.6650

TAKE PROFIT: 0.7100

Risk Warnings and Disclaimers

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Eva Chen

Forex

Summary:

Bolstered by expectations of an interest rate hike by the RBNZ, the EURNZD exchange rate has retreated, with the key level of 2.0000 once again coming into market focus.

BUY EURNZD

EXP

TRADING

2.03080

Entry Price

2.09040

2.00000

2.03334 +0.00513 +0.25%

0.0

Pips

Flat

2.00000

Exit Price

2.03080

Entry Price

2.09040

Fundamentals

The New Zealand dollar was the best - performing major currency last week, rising approximately 1.3% against the euro and outperforming most major currency pairs. The asset has continued its downward trend from the November highs, with momentum indicators signaling an accelerating decline phase. Nevertheless, as the secondary decline failed to break below the previous low, the asset is likely to resume its upward momentum.

Fundamental conditions have trended favorable in recent weeks. The most crucial shift came from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ), which signaled that the 25 bp rate cut in November might be the final move of the easing cycle. This guidance marks a notable shift in market sentiment after months of concerns over downside risks to economic growth.

Subsequent data has largely confirmed the RBNZ’s stance. GDP rebounded strongly by 1.1% QoQ in Q3, sufficient to offset the unexpected 0.9% QoQ contraction in Q2. Business confidence has also improved sharply, with the ANZ Business Confidence Index surging to a 30-year high in December.

These developments have sparked early speculation that the RBNZ may even consider a rate hike by the end of 2026 if the economic recovery gains strong traction. However, such talk remains premature and is highly contingent on the sustained improvement of the overall economy.

The new RBNZ Governor, Adrian Orr, has firmly dismissed speculation about monetary policy tightening, emphasizing that policy is not set in stone. In fact, some soft spots remain in the economy. The services sector continues to languish, with the Bank of New Zealand Services Index hovering at 46.9 in November.

Bullish NZD Fundamentals, Yet Bears Fail to Break Support_1

Technical Analysis

From a technical perspective, EURNZD triggered a strong rebound last week after briefly breaking below the 2.0075 level. The robust support at the MA55 is a clear bullish signal in the near term. The current secondary decline has not breached the previous low, and the key focus is on the resistance level of the medium - term uptrend line (currently at 2.0680). A sustained break above this resistance will further confirm that the decline from last week's low of 2.0075 has concluded and will form a continuation of the upward momentum.

Trade Recommendations

Trade Direction: Buy

Entry Price: 2.0231

Target Price: 2.0904

Stop Loss: 2.0000

Valid Until: 13 January, 2026, 23:55:00

Support: 2.0220/2.0157/2.0074

Resistance Levels: 2.0561/2.0682/2.0823

Risk Warnings and Disclaimers

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Warren Takunda

Traders' Opinions

Summary:

EUR/GBP edges lower near 0.8715 as the Pound draws support from the Bank of England’s cautious stance on rate cuts, while technical signals point to a near-term bearish bias.

SELL EURGBP

EXP

TRADING

0.87250

Entry Price

0.86700

0.87700

0.87194 -0.00026 -0.03%

0.0

Pips

Flat

0.86700

Exit Price

0.87250

Entry Price

0.87700

The Euro–Pound cross traded modestly lower on Monday, hovering around the 0.8715 area at the time of writing, as the rally seen in the previous session began to lose momentum. The pause comes against a backdrop of diverging — yet increasingly nuanced — monetary policy expectations between the Bank of England (BoE) and the European Central Bank (ECB), with Sterling finding relative support from a more restrained outlook on future rate cuts.

The British currency has been underpinned by recent remarks from BoE Governor Andrew Bailey, who struck a careful balance between acknowledging the need for further easing and warning against assuming an aggressive cutting cycle. Bailey indicated that interest rates are likely to come down further, but stressed that any moves would be gradual and increasingly constrained as borrowing costs approach what policymakers consider a neutral level. His comments reinforced the message that future decisions will be finely balanced and highly sensitive to incoming economic data, particularly on inflation and wage growth.

That caution is rooted in the UK’s still-uncomfortable inflation picture. While headline inflation eased to 3.2% in November from earlier highs, it remains significantly above the BoE’s 2% target, keeping policymakers on edge. The central bank’s December decision to cut rates by 25 basis points to 3.75% was passed by a narrow five-to-four vote, underscoring persistent divisions within the Monetary Policy Committee and lingering concern that inflationary pressures may prove sticky.

Growth data offer little comfort either. UK GDP expanded by just 0.1% in the third quarter, in line with expectations, but momentum remains fragile. The BoE has already warned that growth is likely to be flat in the final quarter of the year, highlighting the delicate trade-off facing policymakers as they attempt to support activity without reigniting inflation. For now, markets appear to view the BoE as committed to a shallow and cautious easing path, a perception that has helped the Pound outperform the Euro at the margin.

On the Euro side, losses in EUR/GBP have been contained by signs that the ECB may be nearing the end of its own easing cycle. The central bank left interest rates unchanged earlier this month and signaled that policy is likely to remain on hold for some time. ECB President Christine Lagarde has repeatedly emphasized that the bank cannot offer clear forward guidance in the current environment, citing elevated uncertainty and reiterating a strictly data-dependent, meeting-by-meeting approach.

Money market pricing reflects this shift in expectations. Traders are now assigning less than a 10% probability to a 25-basis-point ECB rate cut as early as February, suggesting growing confidence that policymakers are comfortable with current settings. This perception of policy stability has helped limit downside pressure on the Euro, even as relative rate differentials continue to favor Sterling in the near term.

From a broader perspective, the Pound’s resilience reflects investor belief that the BoE will avoid aggressive easing well into 2026, provided inflation remains stubbornly above target. In contrast, the ECB’s apparent pause may cap EUR/GBP losses, resulting in a more range-bound environment as the year draws to a close. With liquidity expected to thin ahead of New Year celebrations, sharp moves may be limited unless fresh data deliver a clear surprise.

Technical Analysis

From a technical standpoint, EUR/GBP has begun to show clearer signs of fatigue. The pair has succumbed to negative momentum signals, with stochastic indicators turning lower and prompting a break below the previously supportive bullish trend around 0.8755. This move has opened the door to a corrective phase, with prices stabilizing near the 0.8730 region.

The former support level has now morphed into fresh resistance, reinforcing the bearish tone. At the same time, stochastic oscillators are attempting to push toward oversold territory, a combination that supports the dominance of sellers in the near term. As long as the pair remains capped below the broken trend line, downside risks appear to outweigh upside potential.

The next key area of interest lies around the 55-period moving average near 0.8670. A decisive move below this level would expose the additional support zone around 0.8685, where buyers may attempt to re-enter. Conversely, any rebound is likely to face selling pressure toward the 0.8745 area.

TRADE RECOMMENDATION

SELL EURGBP

ENTRY PRICE: 0.87250

STOP LOSS: 0.8770

TAKE PROFIT: 0.8670

Risk Warnings and Disclaimers

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Eva Chen

Forex

Summary:

The summary of opinions from the Bank of Japan (BoJ) ’s meeting signals a further interest rate hike, with the neutral rate still a long way off.

BUY USDJPY

EXP

TRADING

156.406

Entry Price

161.070

154.000

156.617 +0.198 +0.13%

0.0

Pips

Flat

154.000

Exit Price

156.406

Entry Price

161.070

Fundamentals

The latest summary of opinions from the BoJ’s meeting held on December 18-19 has reinforced a distinct tightening bias. Many policymakers argued that the interest rate hike in December should not mark the end of the current cycle.

One view pointed out that there "remains a considerable gap" from the neutral rate level, and explicitly called for interest rate hikes "every few months". Another view held that the weakness of the Japanese yen and the rise in long-term yields are partly due to the policy rate being excessively low relative to the inflation level, indicating that a delay in policy normalization could exacerbate financial distortions.

Inflation took a prominent position throughout the discussions. Multiple members described the recent price pressures as "stubborn". One member emphasized that the spring wage negotiations will be a crucial test, noting that if wages maintain the target level for the third consecutive year, it can be confirmed that the underlying inflation rate has reached 2%.

However, not all parties endorsed an aggressive policy approach. Some policymakers urged prudence, pointing to uncertainties surrounding the neutral interest rate and the rapidly evolving global interest rate environment. They argued that flexibility should take precedence over setting specific policy targets.

At the meeting, the BoJ raised its policy rate to 0.75%, the highest level in 30 years.

The minutes showed that the government led by Prime Minister Takaichi Sanae did not oppose the BoJ’s latest rate hike, but struck a cautious tone. The representative of the Cabinet Office attending the meeting stated, "It is necessary to fully monitor the future developments of factors such as corporate fixed asset investment and corporate profits."

Famous for advocating stimulus policies, Takaichi Sanae took office as Prime Minister in October. Her inauguration sparked market doubts about the room for Kazuo Ueda to push ahead with policy normalization, but the political costs brought by inflation and the weak yen are believed to have limited resistance to this month’s rate hike.

Minister of Economic Growth Strategy Minoru Kiuchi was one of the three Cabinet Office representatives present at the meeting. He was a founding member of a group within the ruling party that advocates for supportive stimulus policies.

The market has largely priced in this month’s rate hike in advance, as signals from Kazuo Ueda prior to the decision indicated that conditions for scaling back monetary easing were falling into place.

Meeting Minutes Released in Phases, Muted JPY Reaction Triggers Market Reassessment_1

Technical Analysis

The consolidation of USDJPY since 157.88 is still ongoing, with the intraday trend remaining neutral. Given that the support level at 154.33 remains intact, the outlook stays bullish. On the upside, a decisive break above the key structural resistance level at 158.85 will serve as a crucial medium-term bullish signal, with the next target being the high of 161.94. However, a break below 154.38 will shift the trend to downward, potentially triggering a deeper correction.