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SYMBOL
LAST
BID
ASK
HIGH
LOW
NET CHG.
%CHG.
SPREAD
SPX
S&P 500 Index
6857.13
6857.13
6857.13
6865.94
6827.13
+7.41
+ 0.11%
--
DJI
Dow Jones Industrial Average
47850.93
47850.93
47850.93
48049.72
47692.96
-31.96
-0.07%
--
IXIC
NASDAQ Composite Index
23505.13
23505.13
23505.13
23528.53
23372.33
+51.04
+ 0.22%
--
USDX
US Dollar Index
98.900
98.980
98.900
98.980
98.890
-0.080
-0.08%
--
EURUSD
Euro / US Dollar
1.16539
1.16546
1.16539
1.16555
1.16408
+0.00094
+ 0.08%
--
GBPUSD
Pound Sterling / US Dollar
1.33369
1.33379
1.33369
1.33378
1.33165
+0.00098
+ 0.07%
--
XAUUSD
Gold / US Dollar
4215.85
4216.30
4215.85
4218.25
4194.54
+8.68
+ 0.21%
--
WTI
Light Sweet Crude Oil
59.280
59.317
59.280
59.469
59.187
-0.103
-0.17%
--

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Israel Sets 2026 Defence Budget At $34 Billion

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Russia Says Azov Sea's Port Of Temryuk Damaged In Ukrainian Attack

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Israel's Defense Budget For 2026 Will Be 112 Billion Israeli Shekels - Defense Minister Office

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One India Rate Panel Member Ram Singh Was Of View That Stance Should Be Changed To 'Accommodative' From 'Neutral' - Monetary Policy Committee Statement

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Reserve Bank Of India Chief: Will Continue To Meet Productive Needs Of Economy In Proactive Manner

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Reserve Bank Of India Chief: System Level Financial Parameters Of Nbfcs Sound

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Reserve Bank Of India Chief: Dollar Rupee Swap To Be For 3 Years, To Be Conducted This Month

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India's Nifty Realty Index Extend Gains, Last Up 1.4%

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India's Nifty Psu Bank Index Rises 1%

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Reserve Bank Of India Chief: Commited To Providing Sufficient Durable Liquidity

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Reserve Bank Of India Chief: Transmission Has Been Broad Based Across Sectors, Satisfactory

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Reserve Bank Of India Chief: As Of Nov 28, India's Forex Reserves Stood At $686 Billion

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Reserve Bank Of India Chief: Healthy Services Exports With Strong Remittances To Keep Cad Modest In This Year

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Reserve Bank Of India Chief: CPI Inflation Seen At 0.6% In Q3 Fy26

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Reserve Bank Of India Chief: Fy26 CPI Inflation Seen At 2% Versus 2.6% Previously

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India's Nifty Realty Index Up 1% After Reserve Bank Of India's Rate Cut

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India's Nifty Psu Bank Index Turns Positive, Up 0.43% After Reserve Bank Of India's Rate Cut

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Reserve Bank Of India Chief: Merchandise Exports Face Some Headwinds

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India's Nifty Financial Services Index Up 0.5% After Reserve Bank Of India's Rate Cut

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India's Nifty Auto Index Turns Positive, Up 0.3% After Reserve Bank Of India's Rate Cut

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          XRP Price Prediction 2025: How High Can It Go

          Glendon

          Economic

          Summary:

          What’s in store for XRP in 2025? Discover expert price predictions, the factors driving Ripple’s growth, and potential risks in this comprehensive guide to XRP’s future.

          XRP, the digital asset behind Ripple’s innovative payment solutions, has long been a standout in the cryptocurrency world. Known for its speed, low transaction costs, and real-world utility in cross-border payments, XRP has attracted both institutional and retail investors. However, its journey has been anything but smooth, marked by regulatory challenges and market volatility. As we look ahead to 2025, the question on everyone’s mind is: How high can XRP go? In this article, we’ll explore expert predictions, key growth drivers, and potential risks to provide a comprehensive outlook on XRP’s future.

          The Current State of XRP

          As of 2023, XRP has demonstrated resilience despite facing significant headwinds, most notably its ongoing legal battle with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The lawsuit, which alleges that XRP is an unregistered security, has created uncertainty around its regulatory status. However, Ripple has continued to expand its ecosystem, securing partnerships with financial institutions, payment providers, and even central banks. These developments highlight XRP’s unique value proposition as a bridge currency for global payments, setting it apart from many other cryptocurrencies.

          Key Factors That Could Drive XRP’s Growth

          Regulatory Clarity

          The outcome of Ripple’s legal case with the SEC is arguably the most critical factor influencing XRP’s future. A favorable ruling could pave the way for broader adoption, increased investor confidence, and potential relisting on major U.S. exchanges. Conversely, an unfavorable outcome could hinder its growth.

          Institutional Adoption

          Ripple’s partnerships with banks and payment providers are a major growth driver. Institutions like Santander, MoneyGram, and SBI Holdings have already integrated RippleNet, Ripple’s blockchain-based payment network. As more financial institutions adopt this technology, demand for XRP as a liquidity tool could surge, driving its price higher.

          Market Trends and Crypto Bull Runs

          The overall health of the cryptocurrency market plays a significant role in XRP’s price movements. If 2025 sees another bull run, fueled by factors like Bitcoin halving, macroeconomic conditions, or increased institutional investment, XRP could benefit from the rising tide.

          Technological Advancements

          Ripple’s ongoing development of the XRP Ledger and its ecosystem could enhance its utility and scalability. Innovations like decentralized finance (DeFi) integrations, smart contract capabilities, and improved interoperability with other blockchains could make XRP even more attractive to users and investors.

          Global Economic Trends

          As the world becomes more interconnected, the need for efficient cross-border payment solutions will grow. XRP’s ability to facilitate fast, low-cost transactions positions it well to capitalize on this trend, especially in regions with underdeveloped financial infrastructure.

          Expert Predictions for XRP in 2025

          Predicting cryptocurrency prices is inherently speculative, but several analysts and experts have shared their outlooks for XRP:
          Conservative Estimate: Some experts predict XRP could reach 5−5−10 by 2025. This scenario assumes steady adoption, regulatory clarity, and moderate growth in the broader crypto market.
          Moderate Estimate: Others believe XRP could hit 20−20−30, driven by increased institutional use, technological advancements, and a bullish crypto market.
          Optimistic Estimate: In a highly bullish scenario, with mass adoption, favorable regulatory outcomes, and a strong crypto bull run, XRP could potentially reach $50 or more.
          It’s important to note that these predictions are based on current trends and assumptions. The actual price could vary significantly depending on unforeseen developments, such as changes in regulations, market sentiment, or technological breakthroughs.

          Risks to Consider

          While the potential for growth is exciting, investors should also be aware of the risks associated with XRP:
          Regulatory Uncertainty: The outcome of Ripple’s legal case remains a significant wildcard. A negative ruling could limit XRP’s adoption and trading opportunities in key markets like the U.S.
          Market Volatility: Cryptocurrencies are known for their price volatility. XRP’s value could experience sharp fluctuations, making it a high-risk investment.
          Competition: XRP faces competition from other blockchain-based payment solutions, such as Stellar (XLM) and central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), which could impact its market share.
          Technological Risks: While Ripple’s technology is robust, any vulnerabilities or failures in the XRP Ledger could undermine confidence in the asset.

          How to Approach Investing in XRP

          If you’re considering investing in XRP, here are a few tips to keep in mind:
          Do Your Research: Stay informed about Ripple’s developments, regulatory updates, and market trends.
          Diversify Your Portfolio: Avoid putting all your eggs in one basket. Diversification can help mitigate risks.
          Invest Responsibly: Only invest what you can afford to lose, given the volatile nature of cryptocurrencies.
          Use Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA): This strategy involves investing a fixed amount at regular intervals, reducing the impact of market volatility.

          Final Thoughts

          XRP’s future in 2025 will depend on a combination of regulatory developments, institutional adoption, technological advancements, and broader market trends. While some experts are optimistic about its potential to reach new highs, others caution that challenges remain. As with any investment, it’s essential to conduct thorough research, stay informed, and consider your risk tolerance before diving in.
          Whether XRP reaches 10,10,30, or even $50 by 2025, one thing is clear: its unique utility and growing ecosystem make it a cryptocurrency worth watching.
          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          How to Find and Analyze a Company’s Financial Stats Like a Pro

          Glendon

          Economic

          Understanding a company’s financial health is crucial for making informed investment decisions. Whether you’re a seasoned investor or just starting out, knowing how to find and analyze financial statistics can help you identify strong companies and avoid potential pitfalls. In this guide, we’ll walk you through the steps to find and analyze a company’s financial stats like a pro.

          Step 1: Locate Key Financial Statements

          The foundation of financial analysis lies in three core documents:
          Income Statement:This shows the company’s revenue, expenses, and profits over a specific period. Look for trends in revenue growth, profit margins, and net income.
          Balance Sheet:This provides a snapshot of the company’s assets, liabilities, and shareholders’ equity at a given point in time. It helps you assess the company’s financial stability and liquidity.
          Cash Flow Statement:This tracks the flow of cash in and out of the business, highlighting how well the company manages its cash to fund operations, investments, and debt payments.
          Where to Find These Statements:
          Company Website: Most publicly traded companies publish their financial statements in the “Investor Relations” section.
          SEC Filings (EDGAR Database): In the U.S., companies are required to file quarterly (10-Q) and annual (10-K) reports with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
          Financial News Platforms: Websites like Yahoo Finance, Bloomberg, and Reuters provide easy access to financial data.

          Step 2: Analyze Key Financial Metrics

          Once you have the financial statements, focus on these critical metrics:
          Revenue Growth:Consistent revenue growth indicates a company’s ability to expand its market share and generate more sales.
          Profit Margins:Gross, operating, and net profit margins reveal how efficiently a company converts revenue into profit. Higher margins are generally better.
          Debt-to-Equity Ratio:This measures the company’s financial leverage. A high ratio may indicate excessive debt, which could be risky.
          Return on Equity (ROE):ROE shows how effectively the company uses shareholders’ equity to generate profits. A higher ROE is typically a positive sign.
          Free Cash Flow:This represents the cash left after covering operating expenses and capital expenditures. Positive free cash flow indicates financial flexibility.

          Step 3: Use Financial Ratios for Deeper Insights

          Financial ratios help you compare a company’s performance against industry peers or historical data. Some key ratios include:
          Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: Measures the company’s valuation relative to its earnings.
          Current Ratio: Assesses the company’s ability to cover short-term liabilities with short-term assets.
          Earnings Per Share (EPS): Indicates the portion of a company’s profit allocated to each share of stock.

          Step 4: Leverage Tools and Resources

          To streamline your analysis, use these tools:
          Stock Screeners:Platforms like Finviz or TradingView allow you to filter stocks based on financial metrics.
          Financial Analysis Software:Tools like Bloomberg Terminal or Morningstar provide in-depth financial data and analysis.
          Industry Reports:Compare the company’s performance with industry benchmarks to gauge its competitive position.

          Step 5: Stay Updated and Monitor Trends

          Financial analysis is not a one-time task. Regularly review the company’s quarterly and annual reports, and stay informed about industry trends, economic conditions, and news that could impact its performance.

          Final Thoughts

          Finding and analyzing a company’s financial stats may seem daunting at first, but with practice, it becomes second nature. By focusing on key financial statements, metrics, and ratios, you can gain valuable insights into a company’s financial health and make smarter investment decisions. Remember, thorough research and continuous learning are the hallmarks of a successful investor.
          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          Lessons from Famous Traders of All Time: Strategies You Can Apply Today

          Glendon

          Economic

          The world of trading has been shaped by a handful of legendary figures whose insights and strategies continue to inspire traders today. From Jesse Livermore’s market psychology to George Soros’s bold bets, these traders have left behind a wealth of knowledge that can help you navigate the markets more effectively. In this article, we’ll explore the lessons and strategies from some of the most famous traders of all time and how you can apply them to your own trading journey.

          1. Jesse Livermore: Master of Market Psychology

          Jesse Livermore, one of the greatest stock traders of the early 20th century, emphasized the importance of understanding market psychology. His key lessons include:
          Patience and Timing: Livermore believed in waiting for the right moment to enter a trade. He famously said, “It is never your thinking that makes big money, it’s the sitting.”
          Cutting Losses Short: Livermore was a firm believer in minimizing losses. He advised traders to exit losing positions quickly to preserve capital.
          Trend Following: Livermore’s strategy involved identifying and riding major market trends rather than trying to predict short-term movements.
          How to Apply It:Develop the discipline to wait for high-probability setups and avoid overtrading. Use stop-loss orders to protect your capital and focus on trading with the trend.

          2. George Soros: The Power of Reflexivity

          George Soros, known for his billion-dollar bet against the British Pound in 1992, introduced the concept of reflexivity. This idea suggests that market participants’ perceptions can influence market fundamentals, creating feedback loops.
          Boldness and Conviction: Soros wasn’t afraid to take large, concentrated positions when he had high conviction.
          Adaptability: He constantly reassessed his positions and was willing to change his stance if new information emerged.
          Risk Management: Despite his boldness, Soros always managed risk by sizing his positions appropriately.
          How to Apply It:Be open to changing your views based on new data. When you have a strong conviction, don’t shy away from taking meaningful positions, but always manage your risk.

          3. Paul Tudor Jones: Risk Management and Discipline

          Paul Tudor Jones, a legendary hedge fund manager, is known for his disciplined approach to trading and risk management.
          Risk-Reward Ratio: Jones emphasized the importance of focusing on the risk-reward ratio of every trade. He aimed for trades where the potential reward far outweighed the risk.
          Emotional Control: Jones believed that emotional discipline was key to long-term success. He avoided letting fear or greed dictate his decisions.
          Macro Trading: Jones often used macroeconomic analysis to identify major market trends and position himself accordingly.
          How to Apply It:Always assess the risk-reward ratio before entering a trade. Stay disciplined and avoid emotional decision-making. Incorporate macroeconomic analysis into your trading strategy.

          4. Richard Dennis: The Turtle Trading Experiment

          Richard Dennis, a commodities trader, famously taught a group of novice traders (the “Turtles”) his trend-following system, proving that trading could be taught.
          Systematic Trading: Dennis relied on a set of rules to guide his trading decisions, removing emotion from the process.
          Trend Following: Like Livermore, Dennis focused on identifying and riding long-term trends.
          Position Sizing: He used a volatility-based position sizing method to manage risk.
          How to Apply It:Develop a systematic trading plan with clear rules for entry, exit, and risk management. Stick to your plan, even during periods of drawdowns.

          5. Warren Buffett: The Value Investing Approach

          While primarily an investor, Warren Buffett’s principles are highly relevant to traders.
          Focus on Value: Buffett looks for undervalued assets with strong fundamentals.
          Long-Term Perspective: He emphasizes the importance of patience and holding quality assets over time.
          Continuous Learning: Buffett is a voracious reader and believes in constantly expanding his knowledge.
          How to Apply It:Even as a trader, focus on quality over quantity. Look for opportunities where the market has mispriced an asset, and always prioritize learning and self-improvement.

          Final Thoughts

          The strategies and lessons from these famous traders are timeless and can be applied to today’s markets. Whether it’s Livermore’s emphasis on market psychology, Soros’s reflexivity theory, or Jones’s disciplined risk management, each trader offers valuable insights that can enhance your trading approach.
          Remember, trading is not just about strategies but also about mindset, discipline, and continuous learning. By incorporating these lessons into your own trading journey, you can improve your chances of success and navigate the markets with greater confidence.
          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          New Bitcoin Miner 'Capitulation' Hints at Sub-$100K BTC Price Bottom

          Warren Takunda

          Cryptocurrency

          Bitcoin is giving classic local bottom signs as miners face a new “capitulation” phase, data reveals.
          In an X post on Feb. 10, popular analytics account Bitcoindata21 flagged a “triggering” turnaround for Bitcoin’s hash ribbon indicator.

          Bitcoin miners in spotlight amid bull run slump

          The hash ribbon is a well-known leading indicator when it comes to incoming BTC price reversals at local lows.
          When the 30-day moving average of hashrate dips below its 60-day equivalent, miners are perceived to be experiencing “capitulation” — as Bitcoindata21 observes, “when Bitcoin becomes too expensive to mine relative to the cost of mining.”
          Such events are fairly rare, and tend to precede periods of protracted BTC price upside.
          “The Hash Ribbon indicates that the worst of the miner capitulation is over when the 30d MA of the hashrate crosses above the 60d MA (switch from light red to dark red areas),” the X post explains alongside a chart from onchain analytics firm Glassnode.
          The last miner capitulation phase occurred in mid-October 2024 — just before BTC/USD advanced beyond old all-time highs of $73,800 to reach $108,000 two months later.New Bitcoin Miner 'Capitulation' Hints at Sub-$100K BTC Price Bottom_1

          Bitcoin hash ribbon chart. Source: Glassnode

          Continuing, Darkfost, a contributor to onchain analytics platform CryptoQuant, described the hash ribbon as a “reliable signal” for market entries.
          “Notably, It has only missed once due to the unprecedented impact of the COVID-19 market shock,” he wrote in a Quicktake blog post on Feb. 11.
          “This indicator consistently highlights optimal entry zones, both for mid-term positioning and long-term accumulation. Each time the Hash Ribbons have flashed in the past, a Bitcoin rally has followed.”

          “A lot can happen” before next BTC buy signal

          Charles Edwards, founder of quantitative Bitcoin and digital asset fund Capriole Investments, meanwhile noted that miners were adding BTC exposure as of early February.
          “Bitcoin miners are once again growing their stack,” he told X followers alongside Capriole data covering miner netflows.New Bitcoin Miner 'Capitulation' Hints at Sub-$100K BTC Price Bottom_2

          BTC/USD chart with Bitcoin miner netflows data. Source: Charles Edwards/X

          On hash ribbon data, Edwards described the latest capitulation as having “just started,” arguing that the true market turning point signal had not yet arrived.
          “We all know what it means when a Hash Ribbon buy signal eventually follows…” he acknowledged.
          “A lot can happen between now and then. But we are entering a window of opportunity.”

          Source: Cointelegraph

          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          Taiwan Joins Japan as Alaska LNG Hopeful

          Owen Li

          Commodity

          The statement reflects concern about the impact of tariffs that Trump has threatened to impose on all countries that run a trade surplus with the U.S. Taiwan is one of them, with the surplus surging last year when Taiwanese exports to the U.S. jumped by 83% driven by electronics, to hit an all-time high of $111.4 billion.
          The report follows news that Japan would be very much interested in buying Alaskan liquefied natural gas as a way of avoiding tariffs, including investing in a $44-billion project led by Alaska Gasline Development Corporation.
          The project is designed to deliver North Slope natural gas to Alaskans and export LNG to U.S. allies across the Pacific. The project was authorized by President Trump’s administration in 2020, was reauthorized by President Biden’s administration in 2022, and is the only federally permitted LNG export facility on the U.S. West Coast, offering direct, canal-free shipping via uncontested waters to Asian markets, the Alaska state firm says.
          Japan’s JERA also said this month it was ready to boost imports of U.S. gas in order to diversify its portfolio, and Mitsui, the trading major, signaled it was open to participating in the Alaskan LNG project.
          Taiwan’s state energy company CPC is “indeed quite interested in Alaska's natural gas and will continue to assess the feasibility and is also willing to make additional purchases,” the economy ministry statement said.
          The island’s state news agency reported over the weekend that CPC was in talks with an Alaskan company that the report did not name “in the hope of reducing the trade surplus with the U.S.”.

          Source:oilprice

          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          Bank of England’s Mann Backs Rate Cut as She Sees Inflation ‘Hump’ Easing

          Warren Takunda

          Economic

          The Bank of England policymaker Catherine Mann has said she backed a half-point cut in UK interest rates last week because she believes the downturn in the jobs market will make the inflation “hump” this year short-lived.
          Mann surprised financial markets last week by switching from voting against the Bank’s last cut, in November, to supporting a half-point reduction.
          She was one of two dissenters to the nine-member monetary policy committee (MPC) decision to reduce the Bank rate by a quarter-point to 4.5%, with both supporting a bigger reduction.
          The Bank is expecting inflation, which was 2.5% in December, to rise to 3.7% later in 2025, driven predominantly by energy prices, as well as rising water bills and bus fares. But Mann said her attitude was “don’t be dismayed by the hump, yet”.
          She argued that, with the jobs market slowing sharply, workers will be unlikely to be able to bid up their wages to offset the impact of higher prices.
          At the same time, weak consumer demand will mean retailers are unable to pass on the higher costs of inputs such as energy, in prices.
          “Wage settlements and the pricing power of firms will determine how much inflation outcomes will be driven by expectations as well as the one-off factors,” Mann said. “I judge that both will face strong headwinds.”
          She pointed to survey evidence showing that some companies plan to reduce headcount, as a result of “overall economic conditions, recent increases in the national living wage, and salient aspects of the autumn budget such as the increase in employer national insurance contributions”.
          Mann also suggested there is evidence that some companies are financially vulnerable as recent data from the Office for National Statistics showed that companies were holding cash to sustain them for just four months.
          “Research suggests that such cashflow vulnerability is associated with job shedding, which may become more apparent as Covid support policies run off,” she said.
          Explaining why she backed a half-point, rather than a quarter-point cut, Mann said she wanted to send a strong signal about the Bank’s intentions – and suggested last year’s two quarter-point reductions had not fully fed through financial markets to borrowers.
          “It is not just the immediate policy decision that needs to be communicated. Providing insights on the future path matters for the activist policymaker,” Mann said.
          However, Mann did not point to the need for fresh rate cuts in the immediate future, despite voting for a half point cut last week.
          Pointing to what she called “structural impediments” to achieving the Bank’s 2% inflation target, she said “the activist policymaker needs to maintain this stance of tightness, restrictiveness, even after this decision.”

          Source: TheGuardian

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          New Zealand Dollar: Westpac Warns on Trade War Risk

          Warren Takunda

          Economic

          According to a new analysis from Westpac, the Australian and New Zealand lender, U.S. tariffs will result in slower trading partner growth, even if they are not directed at NZ exporters specifically.
          "Hence this is a negative shock for NZ," says Kelly Eckhold, Chief Economist for NZ at Westpac.
          The New Zealand Dollar dropped in late 2024 as markets reacted to Donald Trump's election win and the ratcheting up of fears he would unleash a wave of tariffs that would negatively impact small and open economies like New Zealand's.
          However, NZD has stabilised in 2025 as Trump's win is fully priced into the market and as it becomes clear that the worst of Trump's threats won't come to pass.
          However, Westpac thinks tariffs are a slow burn process, and it's too soon to write off the tariff threat.
          "One thing we should keep in mind is that 'tariff' is no longer a dirty word on the global stage. Countries will likely be more emboldened to deploy protectionist policies in the future now that the U.S., Canada, Mexico, and Europe are using these tools more earnestly," says Eckhold.
          In short, the tide of global free trade is going out again.
          "None of this is good for NZ's goal of breaking down trade barriers to facilitate a better environment for our exporters," Eckhold adds.
          Trump has already levied a 10% import tax on Chinese goods, threatening an economic slowdown in New Zealand's main trading partner.
          But New Zealand is also at risk of direct tariffs from the U.S., warns Westpac.
          "The bigger impacts will be on those countries with a heavier trading relationship with those countries imposing tariffs. NZ’s exposure is sizeable in that regard as the US is our second largest market for goods exports, and exports account for a large share of our GDP," says Eckhold.
          "All of this has clear but complex implications for the NZ outlook. The hit to global demand makes a case for weaker incomes and demand in New Zealand," he adds.
          According to the analyst, a weaker New Zealand Dollar would be an important countermeasure to tariffs, helping to soften the blow.
          "The key factor is the extent to which the exchange rate buffers this shock. We can clearly see the impact of this buffer in action – the TWI is down 6% since early October when it became clear that Trump had a good shot of implementing his anti-trade agenda," Eckhold explains.
          Research generally indicates about half of the impact of tariff introduction is offset by the exchange rate.
          "That's why the USD is strong, and the NZD is not," says Eckhold.

          Easing Trade War Concerns Offers Near-term Relief

          Although the outlook for global free trade is deteriorating, there is a sense that the worst excesses of Trump's tariff agenda won't come to pass, and this is helping vulnerable currencies recover in the short term.
          The New Zealand Dollar reached a multi-year low on February 03 at NZDUSD 0.5516 following news that the U.S. would proceed with import tariffs on Canada and Mexico. Those tariffs were soon rescinded as Trump welcomed concessions from Canada and Mexico on controlling their borders.
          Tariffs on China (at 10%) are less severe than thought, and a supposed universal tariff on steel and aluminium imports announced on Monday is not as universal as once thought: Australia has escaped the net.
          Following a phone call between Trump and his Australian counterpart, Anthony Albanese, Trump noted Australia was one of the few countries with which the United States ran a trade surplus.
          "We have a surplus with Australia. One of the few. And the reason is they buy a lot of airplanes. They're rather far away and they need lots of airplanes," Trump said. "I told him that that's something that we'll give great consideration to."
          "The market is clearly becoming desensitised to the threat of tariffs as the credibility of the threats is mixed," says Brent Donnelly, "Yes, the tariffs on China are real, but for every utterance, there is only X probability of it being true and it’s close to impossible to assess the value of X for each individual threat."
          The New Zealand Dollar is steadily recovering amidst this easing of trade war fears, but there is still a long way to travel as Trump has indicated he wants to achieve a great deal more. This should limit the currency's rebound potential.

          Source: Poundsterlinglive

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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