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Market Quick Take – 10 December 2025 Market drivers and catalysts Equities: Equities traded mixed, with flat U.S. and softer Eur
Digital Assets
The AUD and CAD are trading in corrective mode, reflecting market caution ahead of today's Federal Reserve and Bank of Canada meetings. Investors are locking in some profits after a volatile start to the week and prefer to wait for updated guidance from policymakers on the future path of monetary policy.
Over the coming trading sessions, focus will be on decisions from the Bank of Canada and the Fed, as well as the accompanying statements and press conferences. Central banks are setting the tone for the day, meaning reactions in AUD/USD and USD/CAD could be sizeable and highly volatile in the hours ahead.
Late last week, USD/CAD fell sharply, breaking through key support levels at 1.3890–1.3930. However, a rebound from the psychological 1.3800 level led to consolidation within the 1.3800–1.3860 range. Technical analysis points to the potential for a corrective move back towards the previously broken support, as a "piercing pattern" has formed on the daily chart.
A sustained move above 1.3860 could signal a recovery towards 1.3890–1.3930. If negative news for the US dollar emerges, a renewed test of 1.3800 is possible, followed by a decline towards 1.3730.
Key events that may influence USD/CAD in the near term:

For about a week, AUD/USD has been trading within a relatively narrow range of 0.6600–0.6650. The outcome of the RBA meeting supported the Australian dollar, but the pair has yet to break above the upper boundary of this range and extend its uptrend.
A move above 0.6650 would confirm buyer control and open the way towards 0.6690–0.6710, while a downside break would increase bearish pressure with targets near 0.6550.
Key events that may influence AUD/USD in the near term:

US stock markets eased back on Tuesday as traders moved to the sidelines ahead of today's all-important Federal Reserve interest rate decision. The Dow fell 0.38% to close at 47,560, the S&P 500 dipped 0.09% to 6,840, while the Nasdaq managed a modest 0.13% rise, finishing at 23,576. A stronger-than-expected set of US employment numbers pushed Treasury yields higher across the curve, with the 2-year yield climbing 4 basis points to 3.615% and the 10-year rising 2.4 basis points to 4.188%.
The firmer yield environment helped lift the dollar; the DXY gained 0.14% on the day to settle at 99.23. In commodities, oil markets remained under pressure as renewed optimism over potential progress in Ukraine peace discussions—following meetings between Kyiv and its allies in London—saw Brent crude slip 0.70% to $62.05, while WTI dropped 0.95% to $58.32 a barrel. Gold, meanwhile, pushed back into recent ranges, rising 0.43% to $4,208.21 an ounce as traders sought a safer footing ahead of a packed macro calendar.
Today's Federal Reserve update has probably been the most highly anticipated central bank meeting of the year, with the volatility in rate moves expectations exceeding all others in the preceding 11 months. With less than a day to go, market expectation sits just under 90% that we will see a further 25-basis-point cut later today. That is up from 70% a month ago, but more crucially up from near 30% around six weeks ago.
Most market participants are expecting to see a relatively "cautious cut" today, with a split in the committee well documented. So, a swing either side—i.e., a dovish cut or a hawkish cut—should see some big moves across all financial products. Stock markets have been trading optimistically over the last couple of weeks, indicating that they anticipate more stimulus into 2026, while the bond market has been more cautious. Either way, the possibility of strong corrections is high, and it should be a very lively market into the end of the trading day.
Today looks to be shaping up as one of the biggest days of the month for global markets. The Asian session sees the release of key Chinese data with CPI (exp +0.7% m/m) and PPI (exp +2.0% y/y), which should see some good moves in local markets, while the London session has a scheduled update from ECB President Christine Lagarde. However, the New York session looks set to be extremely lively.
The Federal Reserve's rate call towards the end of the day is without doubt the headline event, where a 25-basis-point rate cut is well priced in; Chairman Jerome Powell's press conference shortly after is likely to drive volatility even further. Earlier in the Northern Hemisphere session, the Bank of Canada will deliver its own interest rate decision, with the market firmly expecting them to hold rates at 2.25%. As with the Fed, traders are expecting forward guidance from the statement and subsequent press conference to add further volatility to local markets. US Crude Oil Inventory data is also due out in the session; however, expect the major central bank updates to dominate.
South Korea is considering building a 4.5 trillion won (US$3.06 billion or RM12.6 billion) foundry to manufacture chips, funded by state and private investment, the industry ministry said, amid efforts to ensure the country remains a powerhouse in semiconductors.
President Lee Jae Myung presided over a meeting on Wednesday attended by executives from chipmakers, including Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, as well as policymakers and experts to lay out plans to maintain the country's lead in memory chips, strengthen the foundry business and expand fabless chip design in the AI era.
"South Korea needs to take a new leap forward, and... the semiconductor sector is an area where we are very competitive," Lee said.
South Korea will consider setting up a 12-inch, 40-nanometre foundry jointly backed by the public and private sectors to help fabless firms develop and test chips, the industry ministry said in a statement.
South Korea will also seek to locally produce defence-related semiconductors, given that the sector relies on imports for 99% of its supplies, the ministry said.
The government will consider putting in a provision for the priority purchase of domestic semiconductors in national security infrastructure in a related law, it said.
A special committee on semiconductors will be established under President Lee to act as the control centre for national policies on chips, the statement said.
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