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SYMBOL
LAST
BID
ASK
HIGH
LOW
NET CHG.
%CHG.
SPREAD
SPX
S&P 500 Index
6870.39
6870.39
6870.39
6895.79
6858.28
+13.27
+ 0.19%
--
DJI
Dow Jones Industrial Average
47954.98
47954.98
47954.98
48133.54
47871.51
+104.05
+ 0.22%
--
IXIC
NASDAQ Composite Index
23578.12
23578.12
23578.12
23680.03
23506.00
+72.99
+ 0.31%
--
USDX
US Dollar Index
98.870
98.950
98.870
98.960
98.730
-0.080
-0.08%
--
EURUSD
Euro / US Dollar
1.16549
1.16557
1.16549
1.16717
1.16341
+0.00123
+ 0.11%
--
GBPUSD
Pound Sterling / US Dollar
1.33229
1.33239
1.33229
1.33462
1.33136
-0.00083
-0.06%
--
XAUUSD
Gold / US Dollar
4209.26
4209.69
4209.26
4218.85
4190.61
+11.35
+ 0.27%
--
WTI
Light Sweet Crude Oil
59.364
59.394
59.364
60.084
59.291
-0.445
-0.74%
--

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Hungary's Preliminary November Budget Balance Huf -403 Billion

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Indian Rupee Down 0.1% At 90.07 Per USA Dollar As Of 3:30 P.M. Ist, Previous Close 89.98

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India's Nifty 50 Index Provisionally Ends 0.96% Lower

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[JPMorgan: US Stock Rally May Stagnate Following Fed Rate Cut] JPMorgan Strategists Say The Recent Rally In US Stocks May Stall As Investors Take Profits Following The Anticipated Fed Rate Cut. The Market Currently Predicts A 92% Probability Of The Fed Lowering Borrowing Costs On Wednesday. Expectations Of A Rate Cut Have Continued To Rise, Fueled By Positive Signals From Policymakers In Recent Weeks. "Investors May Be More Inclined To Lock In Gains At The End Of The Year Rather Than Increase Directional Exposure," Mislav Matejka's Team Wrote In A Report

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Russian Defence Ministry: Russian Forces Take Control Of Novodanylivka In Ukraine's Zaporizhzhia Region

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Russian Defence Ministry: Russian Forces Take Control Of Chervone In Ukraine's Donetsk Region

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French Finance Ministry: Government Started Process To Block Temporarily Shein Platform

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Finance Minister: Indonesia To Impose Coal Export Tax Of Up To 5% Next Year

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[Trump Considering Fired Homeland Security Secretary Noem? White House Denies] According To Reports From US Media Outlets Such As The Daily Beast And The UK's Independent, The White House Has Denied Reports That US President Trump Is Considering Firing Homeland Security Secretary Noem. White House Spokesperson Abigail Jackson Posted On Social Media On The 7th Local Time, Calling The Claims "fake News" And Stating That "Secretary Noem Has Done An Excellent Job Implementing The President's Agenda And 'making America Safe Again'."

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HKEX: Standard Chartered Bought Back 571604 Total Shares On Other Exchanges For Gbp9.5 Million On Dec 5

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Morgan Stanley Reiterates Bullish Outlook On US Stocks Due To Fed Rate Cut Expectations. Morgan Stanley Strategists Believe That The US Stock Market Faces A "bullish Outlook" Given Improved Earnings Expectations And Anticipated Fed Rate Cuts. They Expect Strong Corporate Earnings By 2026, And Anticipate The Fed Will Cut Rates Based On Lagging Or Mildly Weak Labor Markets. They Expect The US Consumer Discretionary Sector And Small-cap Stocks To Continue To Outperform

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China's National Development And Reform Commission Announced That Starting From 24:00 On December 8, The Retail Price Limit For Gasoline And Diesel In China Will Be Reduced By 55 Yuan Per Ton, Which Translates To A Reduction Of 0.04 Yuan Per Liter For 92-octane Gasoline, 0.05 Yuan Per Liter For 95-octane Gasoline, And 0.05 Yuan Per Liter For 0# Diesel

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Tkms CEO: US Security Strategy Highlights Need For Europe To Take Care Of Its Own Defences

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USA S&P 500 E-Mini Futures Up 0.1%, NASDAQ 100 Futures Up 0.18%, Dow Futures Down 0.02%

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London Metal Exchange (LME): Copper Inventories Increased By 2,000 Tons, Aluminum Inventories Decreased By 2,500 Tons, Nickel Inventories Increased By 228 Tons, Zinc Inventories Increased By 2,375 Tons, Lead Inventories Decreased By 3,725 Tons, And Tin Inventories Decreased By 10 Tons

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Swiss Sight Deposits Of Domestic Banks At 440.519 Billion Sfr In Week Ending December 5 Versus 437.298 Billion Sfr A Week Earlier

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Czech November Jobless Rate 4.6% Versus Mkt Fcast 4.7%

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Czech Jobless Rate Unchanged At 4.6% In November

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Singapore Central Bank Data: November Foreign Exchange Reserves At $400.0 Billion

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Fitch On EMEA Homebuilders Says Weak Demand Is Likely To Constrain Completions And New Starts, Despite Easing Inflation And Gradual Rate Cuts

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PREV
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          Long-Term Inflection Point! AUD/USD Faces Key Resistance?​

          Tank

          Forex

          Technical Analysis

          Economic

          Summary:

          On September 15th, 2025, the Finance Sector Union of Australia announced it had filed a complaint with the Fair Work Commission, urging urgent intervention regarding ANZ Group's recent plan to lay off 3,500 employees. However, the incident has had limited impact on the Australian dollar, as market attention shifts to the employment report due Thursday (employment is expected to rise by 21,000, while the unemployment rate is projected to increase by 4.2%).

          SELL AUDUSD
          Close Time
          CLOSED

          0.66600

          Entry Price

          0.63000

          TP

          0.67500

          SL

          0.66375 -0.00008 -0.01%

          39.4

          Pips

          Profit

          0.63000

          TP

          0.66206

          Exit Price

          0.66600

          Entry Price

          0.67500

          SL

          Fundamentals

          On September 15th, 2025, the Finance Sector Union of Australia announced it had filed a complaint with the Fair Work Commission, urging urgent intervention regarding ANZ Group's recent plan to lay off 3,500 employees. The union criticized the bank for severely inadequate consultation with affected staff, as well as failing to meet its legal obligation of proper communication. In a statement, the union accused ANZ, saying that "thousands of families are left in the dark while executives protect their bonuses." The union emphasized that the complaint was filed to secure fair treatment and job security for workers. The dispute stems from ANZ's major restructuring plan announced last week, in which the bank stated that the layoffs aimed to streamline operations and focus on core businesses. However, the bank has not yet responded directly to the union's allegations. On the same day, ANZ also agreed to pay a AU$240 million (approximately US$159.9 million) fine to settle multiple charges brought by corporate regulators, including "unreasonable" conduct in government bond trading and systemic failures such as continuing to charge deceased customers. This penalty marks the largest ever imposed on a single entity in Australia. ANZ is currently the smallest by market capitalization among Australia's "Big Four" banks. However, the layoffs had a limited impact on the Australian dollar, as market focus shifted to the employment report due Thursday (employment is expected to rise by 21,000, while the unemployment rate is projected to increase by 4.2%).
          Currently, markets widely expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates 2 to 3 times in 2025, totaling 50-75 basis points. However, if the new leadership lineup is fully confirmed, this expectation could be revised upward. Interest rate futures markets have already begun reflecting this shift, with the probability of three rate cuts this year rising from 50% to 70%, while the likelihood of four cuts (100 basis points) has increased from 20% to 45%. For the U.S. dollar, an unexpectedly dovish policy stance would exert significant downward pressure. On one hand, if the Fed cuts rates more aggressively than the European Central Bank, the Bank of England, and other major central banks, the U.S. dollar's interest rate advantage would narrow, potentially driving capital toward higher-yielding non-dollar markets. On the other hand, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) may end its recent strength and enter a medium-term depreciation phase, thereby boosting commodity prices and the performance of emerging market assets. This week, key focuses include whether the nomination of Stephen Miran will be approved and whether the FOMC meeting minutes contain phrases such as monitoring "downside risks" or providing "policy support." If these signals materialize, markets may price in a steeper rate-cutting path earlier, leading to a continued weakening trend for the dollar.

          Technical Analysis

          Based on the 1-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing, indicating lower volatility. Meanwhile, the moving averages are flattening with the price oscillating near the middle band. Previously, when the price reached a new high, the MACD line and the signal line formed a death cross, and the momentum histogram (bullish bars) gradually weakened, signaling a bullish divergence. With the RSI sitting at 55, the market sentiment remains neutral as traders are in a wait-and-see mode, while a potential breakout or reversal could occur at any time. Regarding the weekly chart, the price rose close to the 200-week EMA (at 0.667), a key technical resistance level, where the MACD showed a "kiss of the angels" (a bullish convergence pattern). Moreover, the RSI stays at 62, entering a strong bullish zone, while the lows are gradually rising, confirming an overall uptrend. However, historically, every time the price approaches the 200-week EMA, it has experienced a significant pullback. This time appears to be no exception, so it is recommended to sell at highs.
          Long-Term Inflection Point! AUD/USD Faces Key Resistance?​_1Long-Term Inflection Point! AUD/USD Faces Key Resistance?​_2

          Trading Recommendations:

          Trading direction: Sell
          Entry price: 0.666
          Target price: 0.63
          Stop loss: 0.675
          Support: 0.656/0.646/0.63
          Resistance: 0.67/0.675/0.7
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          Markets Await Interest Rate Decision! Euro Rises Slowly Amid Crisis!

          Tank

          Economic

          Forex

          Technical Analysis

          Summary:

          The combined impact of political uncertainty in France and widening fiscal deficits continues to unfold, but at the current pace, the Federal Reserve's interest rate outlook and forward guidance remain the core variables determining the short-term direction of the dollar and euro exchange rates.

          SELL EURUSD
          Close Time
          CLOSED

          1.17950

          Entry Price

          1.14000

          TP

          1.19000

          SL

          1.16548 +0.00122 +0.10%

          105.0

          Pips

          Loss

          1.14000

          TP

          1.19003

          Exit Price

          1.17950

          Entry Price

          1.19000

          SL

          Fundamentals

          Ahead of the release of Eurozone July seasonally adjusted industrial production data and Germany's September ZEW Economic Sentiment Index, the EURUSD rose. The European Central Bank's (ECB) hawkish rhetoric supported the euro against other currencies. ECB Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel stated on Tuesday that euro area interest rates are at a healthy level and added that upside inflation risks remain predominant. Schnabel indicated that economic growth could surpass potential output, with domestic demand offsetting the decline in exports. ECB policymaker Peter Kažimír noted on Monday that policy should not be adjusted due to a "slight deviation" from inflation targets, while warning of upside inflation risks. Kažimír further emphasized that interest rates have entered a neutral zone.
          On September 15th, the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) achieved significant electoral gains in North Rhine-Westphalia, increasing its vote share to 14.5%, approximately tripling its support from five years prior, and securing its first-ever runoff mayoral candidacies in several industrial cities. The Christian Democratic Union (CDU) maintained a leading position with 33.3% of the vote, while its federal coalition partner, the Social Democratic Party (SPD), experienced a decline in support to 22.1%. The rise of the AfD reflects voter dissatisfaction with immigration policies and economic conditions. These results are viewed as the first critical test for Chancellor Merz's fragile governing coalition. The combined impact of political uncertainty in France and widening fiscal deficits continues to unfold, but at the current pace, the Federal Reserve's interest rate outlook and forward guidance remain the core variables determining the short-term direction of the dollar and euro exchange rates.
          The dollar is facing its most severe challenge in several months. A confluence of factors—including expectations of a dovish Federal Reserve, increasing political pressure from President Trump, and technical selling momentum—has collectively driven the dollar to multi-month lows. With a near-certain rate cut by the Federal Reserve, market attention has shifted to the magnitude of the easing and forward guidance on future policy measures. The short-term trajectory of the dollar may depend on whether the Fed can maintain its independence while balancing economic data against political influences, as well as upcoming economic indicators that could either reinforce or challenge the prevailing dovish stance.

          Technical Analysis

          The EURUSD in the 1D timeframe exhibits diminishing bullish MACD momentum bars, with successive lower highs, yet the price continues to ascend strongly along the middle and upper Bollinger Bands, which are expanding upward. The SMAs are diverging upwards, and the RSI is at 60, indicating a strong bullish trend. If the current upward push fails to break the 1.183 resistance or breaks above but quickly retraces, a significant correction is likely. In the 1W timeframe, the price is oscillating upward along the EMA12, but the slope is moderating. The RSI is at 67 with decreasing highs, and a MACD death cross has occurred at high levels. The MACD line and signal line are pulling back toward the zero-axis but remain distant, suggesting the correction is incomplete. A break below the EMA12 could lead to declines toward the Bollinger middle band or the EMA50, at 1.15 and 1.124 respectively. It is recommended to go short at the highs.
          Markets Await Interest Rate Decision! Euro Rises Slowly Amid Crisis!_1Markets Await Interest Rate Decision! Euro Rises Slowly Amid Crisis!_2

          Trading Recommendations

          Trading Direction: Sell
          Entry Price: 1.1795
          Target Price: 1.14
          Stop Loss: 1.19
          Support: 1.145, 1.14, 1.13
          Resistance: 1.189, 1.19, 1.2
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          A Bullish Impulse May Emerge From the Triangle´s Base

          Manuel

          Central Bank

          Economic

          Summary:

          The RSI currently stands at 46, showing neutral momentum, this leaves room for a minor downside push before a potential bullish reversal unfolds.

          BUY EURGBP
          EXP
          EXPIRED

          0.86300

          Entry Price

          0.86850

          TP

          0.86150

          SL

          0.87481 +0.00165 +0.19%

          --

          Pips

          EXPIRED

          0.86150

          SL

          0.87328

          Exit Price

          0.86300

          Entry Price

          0.86850

          TP

          The European Central Bank (ECB) has offered some support to the single currency by signaling that its rate-cutting cycle is nearing its end. The ECB kept its key rates unchanged during the September policy meeting, holding the deposit rate steady at 2.00% while emphasizing that its current stance is “appropriately positioned.” ECB Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel struck a notably hawkish tone on Monday, stressing that interest rates are in a “good place” and warning that upside risks to inflation remain dominant.
          Looking ahead, traders will closely monitor speeches from ECB President Christine Lagarde and Executive Board member José Luis Escrivá, both scheduled for later on Monday, for further guidance on the central bank’s policy outlook.
          Meanwhile, Fitch Ratings downgraded France’s sovereign credit rating on Friday by one notch from ‘AA-’ to ‘A+’ with a stable outlook. According to Fitch, the downgrade reflects “rising political division and polarization,” which heightens the risk of further delays in fiscal consolidation.
          Fortunately, France’s fiscal challenges appear to be largely contained and have not spilled over into the broader Eurozone. While the spread between French bonds and German bunds has widened, the spreads of Italian, Spanish, and Portuguese bonds versus Germany show no signs of stress.
          Schnabel reiterated on Monday that interest rates are in a “good place” and that upside inflation risks still dominate. She added that the impact of a stronger euro is likely to be limited while noting that Eurozone growth is expected to outperform its potential over the coming quarters. The combination of stable rates and Schnabel’s hawkish tilt reinforces the growing market view that the ECB’s easing phase is likely nearing its conclusion.
          In the United Kingdom, a busy economic calendar will feature labor market data on Tuesday, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Wednesday, and the Bank of England (BoE) policy decision on Thursday. Inflation in the UK has struggled to ease, hovering near the 4% threshold, which could justify further tightening by the BoE.
          However, concerns about slowing economic growth in the UK may prompt traders to increase bets on additional rate cuts later this year. Market pricing currently reflects roughly a 33% chance that the BoE could lower interest rates once more before year-end.A Bullish Impulse May Emerge From the Triangle´s Base_1

          Technical Analysis

          EUR/GBP is currently trading within a triangle pattern, approaching its lower boundary. Historically, this lower area of the formation has provided bullish momentum, which could encourage buying interest around current levels. The 0.8632 zone has acted as a local support, making it a potential area for a rebound. Meanwhile, the 100- and 200-period moving averages are clustered around 0.8655 and 0.8656 on the 4-hour chart. The close proximity of these key averages suggests that EUR/GBP is consolidating within a tight range, which could allow for a continuation of range-bound movement before any breakout.
          The RSI currently stands at 46, showing neutral momentum. This leaves room for a minor downside push before a potential bullish reversal unfolds. However, a breakdown below the lower trendline would invalidate the bullish setup, opening the door to a deeper corrective decline.
          Trading Recommendations
          Trading direction: Buy
          Entry price: 0.8630
          Target price: 0.8685
          Stop loss: 0.8615
          Validity: Sep 26, 2025 15:00:00
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          CAD/CHF falters near 0.5780: Momentum shifts favor Swiss Franc rebound

          Gerik

          Forex

          Traders' Opinions

          Summary:

          On 16/09/2025, CAD/CHF is showing signs of weakening after failing to break above resistance near 0.5780–0.5790. The Canadian dollar is under pressure from weaker commodity demand and dovish hints, while the Swiss franc benefits from global risk aversion...

          SELL CADCHF
          Close Time
          CLOSED

          0.57600

          Entry Price

          0.57000

          TP

          0.58050

          SL

          0.58171 -0.00036 -0.06%

          35.8

          Pips

          Profit

          0.57000

          TP

          0.57242

          Exit Price

          0.57600

          Entry Price

          0.58050

          SL

          Overview

          CAD/CHF is trading around 0.5760‑0.5765. Over the past week/month, the pair has been in a downtrend, gradually pushing lower from its highs in the 0.58s. The 52‑week high was near 0.6408, so the broader trend is clearly bearish over the longer term.
          On the macro side, any softness in oil, or risk edges pushing toward safe havens, tends to benefit CHF relative to CAD. Also, CAD often is influenced by commodity prices and interest rate spreads; recent data do not strongly favor aggressive CAD strength.

          Market Sentiment

          Sentiment is mixed to bullish on CAD/CHF from many retail traders: ~90% are long, ~10% short according to one sentiment tracker. This large over‑weight in longs suggests potential for a contrarian move if price action turns negative (crowded long becomes weak support for rally).
          On technical summary pages, some indicators show neutral to slight buy bias in very short timeframes, but longer timeframes and moving averages show sell pressure. The fact that price has been unable to push convincingly above resistance, combined with strong CHF behavior in times of risk or weak CAD, implies the downside may have edge.

          Technical Analysis

          CAD/CHF falters near 0.5780: Momentum shifts favor Swiss Franc rebound_1
          On M15, price is near the upper band (resistance). The upper band is acting as a ceiling if the market fails to close above that, likely reversion toward the middle or lower band. Bands are moderately wide, suggesting recent volatility; but unless strong breakout, upper band resistance holds.
          Likely price is above Tenkan and maybe around Kijun area but struggling to stay above the cloud or pushing into the Senkou Span area. The cloud ahead is weak or flat/slightly bearish, indicating a lack of strong uptrend momentum. If price breaks below Kijun or Tenkan, that confirms short term bearish shift.
          The stochastic is approaching or in overbought territory. If it gives a bearish crossover, that supports a short signal. Because buyers are already stretched and price is near resistance, stochastic overbought increases odds of pull‑back or reversal.
          Resistance zone around 0.5780‑0.5800 is key. If price rejects there, good chance of decline. Support zones around 0.5740‑0.5745 in short term, and further down toward 0.5700 if bearish momentum intensifies.

          Trade Recommendation

          Entry: Consider SELL CAD/CHF if price rallies into the 0.5760‑0.5790 area
          Take Profit: First target around 0.5745‑0.5740. If the move accelerates, secondary target around 0.5700.
          Stop Loss: Place SL above resistance zone, about 0.5805‑0.5810, to allow for volatility and possible spikes.
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          GBP/JPY Choppy Below 201: Intraday Sellers Eye Key Reversal

          Gerik

          Forex

          Traders' Opinions

          Summary:

          On 16/09/2025, GBP/JPY faced strong rejection near the psychological level of 201.00 as intraday momentum faltered. While the pair attempted to push higher amid mixed risk sentiment, technical indicators on the M15 timeframe including Bollinger Bands, Ichimoku Cloud, and Stochastic Oscillator all signaled exhaustion

          SELL GBPJPY
          Close Time
          CLOSED

          200.400

          Entry Price

          119.200

          TP

          201.000

          SL

          207.072 -0.028 -0.01%

          56.7

          Pips

          Profit

          119.200

          TP

          199.833

          Exit Price

          200.400

          Entry Price

          201.000

          SL

          Overview

          Right now GBP/JPY is trading around 200.40. The pair is facing resistance close to 200.75 on the daily/intraday high side, and support around 197.93‑199.90 depending on how deep any pullback goes.
          Recent trading shows GBP/JPY stuck below the barrier of ~200.40, unable to push convincingly above that level. There is sideways trading, with the bias overall appearing neutral to mildly bearish unless price breaks above resistance.

          Market sentiment

          Sentiment seems cautious. Many traders are likely waiting for major data or risk catalysts: Bank of England / Bank of Japan policy hints, global risk sentiment, possibly USD strength. There’s resistance at 200.40 which is psychologically and technically meaningful. Sellers may see opportunities if price fails to break above. Indicators are not strongly bullish momentum cannot sustain beyond resistance. Also, break below strong support levels could trigger further downside. No strong bullish drivers visible to push GBP/JPY much higher right now.

          Technical analysis

          GBP/JPY Choppy Below 201: Intraday Sellers Eye Key Reversal_1
          On M15, price is near the upper band or slightly touching it, which suggests short‑term overbought conditions. If price rejects the upper band, a move downwards is likely. The bands are somewhat widened, meaning intraday volatility is moderate/high, so moves can be sharp.
          Price is above/between Tenkan‑Sen and Kijun‑Sen somewhat, but struggles to clear the upper cloud or strong resistance zones. The cloud ahead is not strongly bullish (flat/slightly bearish or thin), indicating weak upward momentum. If price falls through Kijun or Tenkan, that would confirm more bearish pressure on this shorter timeframe.
          Stochastic is close to or in the overbought region on M15. Potential for a bearish crossover / drop from overbought. If that happens near resistance (upper Bollinger band / around 200.40‑200.75), it would be a signal confirming sell bias.
          So technically, conditions favor a short (SELL) setup given overbought, resistance holding, and weak cloud ahead.

          Trade recommendation

          Entry: Consider SELL GBP/JPY if price reaches ~200.40
          Take Profit: ~199.20‑199.50.
          Stop Loss: Place above resistance around 201.00‑201.25, ideally above recent high (~200.75) plus a buffer for volatility.
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
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          EUR/USD Retraces on M15 as U.S. Inflation Surprises: Will Dollar Pressure Continue?

          Gerik

          Traders' Opinions

          Forex

          Summary:

          As of 16/09/2025, EUR/USD on the M15 timeframe has shown increased volatility following stronger‑than‑expected U.S. inflation data and dovish signals ahead from the Federal Reserve. The ECB remaining cautious and holding rates has added support to the euro, but the dollar surge driven by sticky CPI is creating resistance. Going forward, EUR/USD may continue oscillating in a narrow range unless there’s a breakout triggered by a major U.S. data release or Fed communication....

          SELL EURUSD
          Close Time
          CLOSED

          1.17650

          Entry Price

          1.17500

          TP

          1.18050

          SL

          1.16548 +0.00122 +0.10%

          40.0

          Pips

          Loss

          1.17500

          TP

          1.18052

          Exit Price

          1.17650

          Entry Price

          1.18050

          SL

          Overview

          Currently EUR/USD trades around 1.1765‑1.1775. The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August rose by 2.9% year‑on‑year, with the core inflation at about 3.1%. Month‑on‑month inflation also came in above expectations (0.4% vs ~0.3%) in headline CPI.
          Meanwhile, ECB kept policy rates unchanged, signaling no urgency in further rate cuts, citing moderating inflation but weaker growth forecasts. On M15 chart, past few candles show the pair reacting sharply to CPI release, with quick retracements and wide wicks indication of intraday indecision.

          Market sentiment

          Traders are increasingly pricing in at least one Fed rate cut toward the end of 2025, possibly December, but strong inflation data is pushing back on the speed of cuts.
          The euro benefits modestly from ECB’s more hawkish hold, but concerns about Europe’s growth slowdown and political risk still weigh. There is fear of U.S. inflation remaining elevated two‑fold: if core components (services, shelter, wages) don’t show meaningful softening, the dollar may regain strength.
          On shorter timeframes like M15, we see traps: spikes up meet resistance, pullbacks test support, traders chasing breakouts often get “whipsawed.”

          Technical analysis

          EUR/USD Retraces on M15 as U.S. Inflation Surprises: Will Dollar Pressure Continue?_1
          On the M15 chart, price is oscillating near the upper band of Bollinger Bands (20,0,2), indicating a short‑term overbought condition. The bands are moderately wide, so the market is seeing decent intraday volatility.
          Ichimoku (9,26,52): price is above Tenkan‑Sen and Kijun‑Sen, but the Senkou Cloud for upcoming candles is flat or only slightly bullish, which suggests weak upward momentumnot enough to confirm strong breakout.
          If price enters the cloud or falls back through Kijun, that would weaken the bullish bias. Stochastic (5,3,3) is in or near the overbought zone, showing signs of possible reversal or pullback.
          If it crosses down, that would indicate a short‑term decline is likely. Key resistance on M15 sits around 1.1780‑1.1785, key support around 1.1740‑1.1750, with secondary support closer to 1.1715‑1.1700 if downward momentum builds.

          Trade recommendation

          Entry: consider selling EUR/USD around 1.17650
          Take Profit: initial target ~ 1.1750‑1.1740; if momentum strong, may extend to 1.1715‑1.1700.
          Stop Loss: place just above resistance, around 1.1805‑1.1810, to avoid being stopped out by noise.
          Alternatively, if price dips to 1.1740‑1.1750 and shows signs of support or reversal (bounce off Kijun/Tenkan + stochastic oversold + lower Bollinger Band holds), consider a reversal trade long with tight stop below 1.1715 and profit target back near 1.1780.
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
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          Weak Services Data Underscores Downside Pressure, Pair Holds Firm

          Eva Chen

          Forex

          Economic

          Summary:

          New Zealand’s services PMI dropped to 47.5, marking the 18th consecutive month of contraction and signaling a renewed slowdown in economic recovery. EUR/NZD has found support and may be bottoming out in the short term.

          BUY EURNZD
          Close Time
          CLOSED

          1.97046

          Entry Price

          2.05620

          TP

          1.95000

          SL

          2.01410 -0.00141 -0.07%

          114.7

          Pips

          Profit

          1.95000

          SL

          1.98193

          Exit Price

          1.97046

          Entry Price

          2.05620

          TP

          Fundamentals

          EUR/NZD is trading around 1.9734. The pair has been consolidating lower in recent sessions but is now testing a prior congestion zone. If buyers can hold the line, the broader uptrend may extend; if rejected, the pair risks another correction.
          Data highlight: New Zealand’s services sector weakened further in August. The Business NZ Performance of Services Index fell from 48.9 to 47.5, well below the long-term average of 52.9. This marks the 18th straight month of contraction, and the index has not been above 50 — the threshold for expansion — since February last year.
          Activity/sales (46.2) and new orders/business (47.8) both declined, underscoring fragile demand. Employment improved slightly to 48.3 but remained in contraction, reflecting businesses’ reluctance to expand hiring amid subdued activity.
          The survey showed that 59.6% of respondents provided negative comments in August, higher than July but still below June’s extreme pessimism. Companies cited multiple pressures, including high interest rates, stubborn inflation, and the squeeze from rising living costs. Higher operating costs, seasonal slowdowns, supply chain disruptions, and policy uncertainty also weighed on sentiment.
          This week’s data are expected to show a contraction in Q2 GDP. However, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand and most economists anticipate that falling interest rates will support consumer spending and business investment, setting the stage for a rebound in the second half of the year.
          Market view: While we still believe that signs of an inflection point in the economy are emerging, the risk remains that the rebound could take longer than currently expected.
          Weak Services Data Underscores Downside Pressure, Pair Holds Firm_1

          Technical Analysis

          On the daily chart, EUR/NZD has been trending higher since rebounding from around 1.9500, moving within a modest ascending channel. The 5-day and 10-day moving averages have formed a bullish crossover, confirming upside momentum.
          Momentum indicators remain supportive: the RSI hovers near 60, suggesting there is still room for further gains but with mild overbought conditions that warrant caution for short-term pullbacks. The MACD histogram continues to rise, maintaining a bullish bias.
          Overall, EUR/NZD retains an upward bias. A decisive break above the 1.9955 resistance would open the way toward 2.0003–2.0178. Failure to break higher, however, could see a retracement toward the 1.9606–1.9412 support zone.

          Trade Recommendations

          Trade Direction: Buy
          Entry Price: 1.9693
          Target Price: 2.0562
          Stop Loss: 1.9500
          Valid Until: September 30, 2025 23:55:00
          Support: 1.9627 / 1.9602 / 1.9527
          Resistance Levels: 1.9955 / 2.0000 / 2.0037
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
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