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SYMBOL
LAST
BID
ASK
HIGH
LOW
NET CHG.
%CHG.
SPREAD
SPX
S&P 500 Index
6827.42
6827.42
6827.42
6899.86
6801.80
-73.58
-1.07%
--
DJI
Dow Jones Industrial Average
48458.04
48458.04
48458.04
48886.86
48334.10
-245.98
-0.51%
--
IXIC
NASDAQ Composite Index
23195.16
23195.16
23195.16
23554.89
23094.51
-398.69
-1.69%
--
USDX
US Dollar Index
97.950
98.030
97.950
98.500
97.950
-0.370
-0.38%
--
EURUSD
Euro / US Dollar
1.17394
1.17409
1.17394
1.17496
1.17192
+0.00011
+ 0.01%
--
GBPUSD
Pound Sterling / US Dollar
1.33707
1.33732
1.33707
1.33997
1.33419
-0.00148
-0.11%
--
XAUUSD
Gold / US Dollar
4299.39
4299.39
4299.39
4353.41
4257.10
+20.10
+ 0.47%
--
WTI
Light Sweet Crude Oil
57.233
57.485
57.233
58.011
56.969
-0.408
-0.71%
--

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Trump Isn't Certain His Economic Policies Will Translate To Midterm Wins

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The United States And Mexico Have Reached An Agreement On How To Resolve The Water Dispute In The Rio Grande Basin (which Borders Texas). Starting December 15, Mexico Will Supply The U.S. With An Additional 20.2 Acre-feet (a Unit Of Volume For Irrigation). The Agreement Seeks To “strengthen Water Management In The Rio Grande Basin” Within The Framework Of The 1944 Water Treaty

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U.S. Transportation Secretary Duffy: The Engine Of United Airlines Flight 803 That Malfunctioned Caught Fire

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Ukraine President Zelenskiy: He Will Meet US, European Representatives About Peace

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UK Prime Minister Office: Prime Minister Starmer Spoke To The President Of The European Commission Ursula Von Der Leyen This Evening - Downing Street Spokesperson

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Trump: We Will Retaliate Against ISIS

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Trump Says We Mourn The Loss Of Three Great Patriots In Syria In An Ambush

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Syrian Interior Ministry Spokesperson Confirms Attacker Was Member Of Security Forces With Extremist Ideology

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Syrian Interior Ministry Says Attacker Did Not Have Leadership Role In Security Forces, Did Not Say If He Was Junior Member

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Man Who Attacked Syrian, US Military Was Member Of Syrian Security Forces -Three Local Syrian Officials

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US Envoy Coale Says Belarus President Lukashenko Agreed To Do All He Can To Stop Weather Balloons Flying Into Lithuania

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Ukraine Says Russian Drone Attack Hit Civilian Turkish Vessel

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Islamic State Attacker In Syria Was Lone Gunman, Who Was Killed -USA Central Command

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US Envoy John Coale Says Around 1000 Remaining Political Prisoners In Belarus Could Be Released In Coming Months

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US Defense Secretary Hegseth: Attacker Was Killed By Partner Forces

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Pentagon Says Two USA Army Soldiers And One Civilian USA Interpreter Were Killed, And Three Were Wounded In Syria

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Israel Says It Kills Senior Hamas Commander Raed Saed In Gaza

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Ukraine's Navy Says Russian Drone Attack Hit Civilian Turkish Vessel Carrying Sunflower Oil To Egypt On Saturday

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Israeli Military Says It Put Planned Strike On South Lebanon Site On Hold After Lebanese Army Requested Access

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Norwegian Nobel Committee: Calls On The Belarusian Authorities To Release All Political Prisoners

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          IPO vs. Direct Listing: Key Differences and Benefits for Companies

          Glendon

          Economic

          Summary:

          Explore the key differences between an IPO and a direct listing. Learn how each method works, their advantages, and when companies might choose one over the other.

          The process of a company going public is often seen as a major milestone. It allows private companies to raise capital by selling shares to the public and providing investors with the opportunity to own a part of the company. Two of the most popular methods for achieving this goal are an Initial Public Offering (IPO) and a direct listing. While both approaches allow companies to enter the public market, they differ significantly in terms of structure, cost, and execution.
          In this article, we'll dive into the key differences between an IPO and a direct listing, highlighting the advantages and disadvantages of each. We'll also discuss when a company might prefer one method over the other.

          What is an IPO?

          An IPO is the traditional method of going public. In this process, a private company works with an underwriter, typically an investment bank, to sell shares of its stock to the public for the first time. The underwriters help set the offering price and create demand for the shares by marketing them to institutional investors and the public.

          Key Characteristics of an IPO:

          Underwriter Involvement: The company partners with investment banks, who manage the entire process, including pricing the shares and selling them to institutional investors.
          Pricing and Valuation: The company and underwriters work together to determine the offering price, which is typically based on the company’s financials, market conditions, and demand.
          Roadshows: A key component of the IPO process is the roadshow, where company executives and underwriters travel to meet with institutional investors and generate interest in the offering.
          Regulatory Scrutiny: IPOs are heavily regulated by government agencies like the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The company must file a registration statement, undergo a thorough review, and comply with extensive reporting requirements.

          Advantages of an IPO:

          Capital Raised: IPOs are a great way to raise substantial capital, which can be used for growth, acquisitions, or debt repayment.
          Market Visibility: The IPO process helps increase the company’s profile, which can lead to improved brand recognition and credibility in the market.
          Liquidity for Shareholders: IPOs offer liquidity for existing shareholders, allowing them to sell some of their equity in the company.
          Disadvantages of an IPO:
          High Costs: The IPO process involves significant expenses, including underwriting fees, legal fees, and marketing costs related to the roadshow.
          Dilution: Because new shares are issued, existing shareholders experience dilution of their ownership stake.
          Regulatory Complexity: The regulatory requirements and disclosures involved in an IPO are often time-consuming and costly.

          What is a Direct Listing?

          A direct listing is a more recent and alternative method for a company to go public. Unlike an IPO, there are no underwriters involved in the process. Instead, the company lists its existing shares directly on a public exchange without issuing new shares. This means that no new capital is raised through the offering.
          Key Characteristics of a Direct Listing:
          No Underwriters: Since no new shares are issued, the company does not need to work with an investment bank to manage the listing.
          No Roadshow: Companies that choose a direct listing do not typically engage in a roadshow to drum up investor interest.
          Market-Determined Price: The price of the stock is determined by market demand on the day of listing, with no predetermined offering price set by underwriters.
          No Capital Raised: Unlike an IPO, a direct listing does not raise new capital for the company since no new shares are issued. Existing shareholders are simply able to sell their shares on the open market.
          Advantages of a Direct Listing:
          Lower Costs: Without the need for underwriters and a roadshow, the cost of a direct listing is generally lower than an IPO.
          No Dilution: Since no new shares are issued, there is no dilution of existing shareholders' ownership stakes.
          Greater Flexibility: Direct listings offer more flexibility in terms of pricing and timing, as companies don’t have to follow the traditional IPO process.
          Immediate Liquidity: Existing shareholders can sell their shares immediately after the listing, providing them with instant liquidity.

          Disadvantages of a Direct Listing:

          No Capital Raised: Since no new shares are issued, the company does not raise any fresh capital, which may be a disadvantage for companies that need to fund new projects.
          Limited Market Exposure: Direct listings can struggle with visibility, as companies don’t benefit from the extensive marketing efforts (such as roadshows) that come with an IPO.
          Volatility: Because there is no predetermined offering price, the stock may experience more volatility in its early trading days as market forces determine the price.

          IPO vs. Direct Listing: Which Is Right for Your Company?

          The choice between an IPO and a direct listing largely depends on the company’s financial goals and its current market position.
          When to Choose an IPO: Companies that need to raise significant capital and have a strong demand for their shares may opt for an IPO. It is also a preferred method for companies that want to have the guidance of underwriters and benefit from the visibility that comes with a roadshow.
          When to Choose a Direct Listing: A direct listing may be ideal for companies that do not need to raise capital but want to give existing shareholders liquidity. Companies with a strong brand presence and significant market demand might also choose a direct listing to avoid the high costs and complexities of an IPO.

          Conclusion

          Both IPOs and direct listings offer distinct advantages and challenges. IPOs provide a way for companies to raise capital and gain widespread visibility, but they come with high costs and regulatory scrutiny. On the other hand, direct listings are more cost-effective and allow for immediate liquidity, but they may not be suitable for all companies, particularly those looking to raise capital.
          Ultimately, the decision comes down to the specific needs and goals of the company. By carefully considering the pros and cons of each method, a company can choose the best path to go public and achieve long-term success.
          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          How to Pick Your Investments

          Glendon

          Economic

          Investing your money can be one of the most effective ways to build wealth over time. However, the vast array of options available can be overwhelming. From stocks and bonds to real estate and cryptocurrencies, it can be difficult to know where to start and which investments are best for you.
          Picking the right investments requires a thoughtful approach and an understanding of your financial goals, risk tolerance, and time horizon. In this article, we will break down the process of selecting investments into clear steps, helping you make informed decisions that align with your financial objectives.

          Step 1: Understand Your Financial Goals

          Before you begin investing, it’s important to have a clear understanding of your financial goals. Are you investing for retirement, buying a home, funding your children’s education, or simply growing your wealth? Different goals will require different investment strategies.
          Short-Term Goals: If you’re saving for a short-term goal, such as buying a car or going on a vacation, you might want to focus on low-risk investments like money market accounts, short-term bonds, or certificates of deposit (CDs). These options provide stability but typically offer lower returns.
          Long-Term Goals: For long-term goals, such as retirement or building wealth over several decades, you can afford to take on more risk. This could mean investing in stocks, mutual funds, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), or real estate. These investments are more volatile in the short run but tend to provide higher returns over time.

          Step 2: Assess Your Risk Tolerance

          Risk tolerance is one of the most important factors to consider when choosing investments. Your risk tolerance refers to how much risk you are willing to take on in pursuit of higher returns. If you’re uncomfortable with the idea of losing money, you may want to choose more conservative investments. If you’re willing to take on greater risk for potentially higher rewards, you may be more inclined to invest in riskier assets.
          To assess your risk tolerance, ask yourself the following questions:
          How would I feel if my investments lost value in the short term?Can I afford to take on more risk, or do I need my investments to be more stable?What is my investment time horizon? (The longer you can wait, the more risk you may be able to take on.)

          Step 3: Diversify Your Portfolio

          Diversification is a key principle of sound investing. It involves spreading your investments across different asset classes—stocks, bonds, real estate, commodities, and cash equivalents—to reduce the risk of a significant loss. Diversifying ensures that if one investment performs poorly, others in your portfolio may still perform well, helping to stabilize your overall returns.
          Here are some ways to diversify your portfolio:
          Across Asset Classes: Invest in a mix of stocks, bonds, and other assets to spread risk.
          Within Asset Classes: If you choose to invest in stocks, diversify by investing in different sectors (technology, healthcare, energy, etc.) and market caps (small, mid, and large-cap companies).
          Geographically: Consider investing in international markets to spread risk beyond your domestic economy.
          Mutual funds and ETFs are excellent tools for diversification, as they automatically pool investments into a wide range of assets.

          Step 4: Choose the Right Investment Vehicles

          Now that you have a clear understanding of your goals, risk tolerance, and diversification strategy, it's time to choose specific investment vehicles. The right investment vehicle depends on your objectives and preferences. Here are some common types of investment vehicles:
          Stocks: Investing in individual stocks allows you to buy shares of companies. Stocks tend to offer higher potential returns but come with more risk, especially in the short term.
          Bonds: Bonds are debt instruments issued by companies or governments. They provide fixed interest payments over time and are generally less volatile than stocks, making them a good option for more conservative investors.
          Mutual Funds: These are professionally managed investment funds that pool money from many investors to invest in a diversified portfolio of stocks, bonds, or other assets. Mutual funds are ideal for investors who want diversification but don’t have the time or expertise to pick individual stocks or bonds.
          ETFs (Exchange-Traded Funds): Similar to mutual funds, ETFs offer diversification but trade like individual stocks on exchanges. They tend to have lower fees and more flexibility than mutual funds.
          Real Estate: Investing in real estate, whether through direct ownership or real estate investment trusts (REITs), can provide steady income and long-term capital appreciation.
          Cryptocurrency: Cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum offer high potential returns but come with extreme volatility and regulatory uncertainty. They can be a small part of a diversified portfolio for those with higher risk tolerance.

          Step 5: Evaluate Fees and Expenses

          When selecting investments, it's crucial to evaluate the associated fees and expenses. These costs can eat into your returns over time, so it's important to choose investments with low fees, especially if you’re planning to hold them for the long term.
          Management Fees: Mutual funds and ETFs often charge annual management fees, expressed as a percentage of the assets under management (AUM). Look for funds with low expense ratios, typically under 1%.
          Trading Fees: Some investment platforms charge commissions for buying or selling securities. Consider using commission-free brokers if you plan to trade frequently.
          Fund Loads: Some mutual funds charge a load, which is a commission or sales charge. Opt for no-load funds, which do not charge these fees.

          Step 6: Monitor and Adjust Your Portfolio

          Investing is a long-term commitment, but it’s essential to periodically review your portfolio to ensure it remains aligned with your goals. Over time, market conditions will change, and your financial situation may evolve, so your investment strategy should be flexible.
          Rebalancing: If one part of your portfolio has grown significantly, it may become overweighted, leading to more risk than you’re comfortable with. Rebalancing involves selling some of the overperforming assets and buying others to restore the desired allocation.
          Stay Informed: Keep an eye on the markets and the economic environment, but avoid making impulsive decisions based on short-term fluctuations. Long-term success comes from staying focused on your goals.

          Conclusion

          Picking the right investments is a critical step in building wealth and achieving your financial goals. By understanding your objectives, assessing your risk tolerance, diversifying your portfolio, and carefully selecting investment vehicles, you can create a strategy that aligns with your financial situation and aspirations. Always remember that investing is a journey, and staying informed, disciplined, and patient will pay off in the long run.
          Investing isn’t about making quick, high-risk moves; it’s about making thoughtful, well-informed decisions that work for you and your future.
          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          Top India ETFs for 2025: Best Investment Opportunities for Global Investors

          Glendon

          Economic

          India is one of the world’s fastest-growing major economies, with a burgeoning middle class, a thriving technology sector, and increasing foreign investment. For global investors looking to diversify their portfolios, investing in India’s growth story is an appealing option. One of the easiest and most efficient ways to gain exposure to India's dynamic economy is through Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs).
          ETFs allow investors to buy a basket of Indian stocks or bonds without the need for directly picking individual securities. As we look ahead to 2025, the Indian market is expected to continue expanding, making India-focused ETFs an attractive choice for long-term investment.
          In this article, we’ll explore the top India ETFs for 2025 that offer diverse opportunities for investors to tap into India’s economic growth.

          1. iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA)

          The iShares MSCI India ETF is one of the most popular and liquid India ETFs available to U.S.-based investors. It seeks to track the performance of the MSCI India Index, which includes a broad range of large- and mid-cap companies listed on Indian stock exchanges.
          Key Features:
          Diversification: The ETF provides exposure to over 80 companies across various sectors, including financials, information technology, consumer discretionary, and energy.
          Liquidity: With high trading volume and a low expense ratio, INDA is ideal for investors seeking cost-effective access to India’s equity market.
          Sector Weighting: The ETF has a significant weighting in the IT and financial sectors, reflecting the importance of these industries in India’s economy.
          Why It’s a Top Pick for 2025: As India’s technology sector continues to evolve, with companies like Infosys, Wipro, and Tata Consultancy Services driving global growth, INDA provides investors with solid exposure to the Indian market's leading players.

          2. WisdomTree India Earnings Fund (EPI)

          The WisdomTree India Earnings Fund is an ETF designed to track the performance of the WisdomTree India Earnings Index. Unlike other ETFs, which focus solely on market capitalization, the EPI index is based on earnings, meaning it includes companies with strong profits.
          Key Features:
          Earnings-Based Approach: EPI focuses on companies that generate strong earnings, offering a more value-oriented approach compared to market-cap-weighted indices.
          Sector Focus: The ETF is heavily weighted toward financials, energy, and materials, which are key sectors driving India’s growth.
          Dividend Potential: Many of the companies in the EPI index have solid dividend histories, offering potential income generation along with capital appreciation.
          Why It’s a Top Pick for 2025: The earnings-based focus of EPI allows investors to tap into India's most profitable companies. Given India's strong growth prospects and its evolving financial and industrial sectors, EPI is poised to continue benefiting from the country’s economic expansion.

          3. Invesco India ETF (PIN)

          The Invesco India ETF offers exposure to the Indian equity market by tracking the performance of the Indus India Index. This ETF includes a diverse array of companies, ranging from traditional industries to emerging sectors like technology and healthcare.
          Key Features:
          Broad Market Exposure: PIN holds a diversified portfolio of large- and mid-cap stocks, providing comprehensive exposure to various sectors such as technology, financials, healthcare, and consumer goods.
          Cost-Effective: With a relatively low expense ratio, this ETF is a cost-efficient way to invest in India’s growth potential.
          Global Appeal: PIN offers an easy way for investors to access Indian markets without the complexity of trading on Indian exchanges.
          Why It’s a Top Pick for 2025: India’s growing middle class and increased spending on technology and healthcare make this ETF a strong candidate for investors who want broad-based exposure to the Indian economy. As sectors like fintech, e-commerce, and healthcare continue to thrive, PIN offers ample growth potential.

          4. First Trust India Nifty 50 Equal Weight ETF (NFTY)

          The First Trust India Nifty 50 Equal Weight ETF provides exposure to India’s Nifty 50 Index, but with a twist—each stock in the index is weighted equally. This contrasts with traditional indices, which are market-cap weighted and can disproportionately favor larger companies.
          Key Features:
          Equal Weighting: By equally weighting the 50 largest companies on the Nifty 50 Index, NFTY avoids the overexposure to the largest companies and offers more balanced exposure.
          Broad Exposure: The ETF covers various sectors, with a notable emphasis on information technology, financials, and consumer services.
          Active Management: The equal-weighting strategy provides a more active way of investing in India’s top companies without focusing solely on the largest players.
          Why It’s a Top Pick for 2025: NFTY allows investors to gain diversified exposure to the Nifty 50 without being overly reliant on the biggest companies, like Reliance Industries and Tata Consultancy Services. The equal-weight strategy helps investors capture growth across all 50 companies, potentially offering better risk-adjusted returns.

          5. Motilal Oswal NASDAQ-100 ETF (MOFN)

          While not exclusively focused on Indian equities, the Motilal Oswal NASDAQ-100 ETF offers indirect exposure to Indian companies listed on the Nasdaq stock exchange. As India’s tech industry grows and more companies go public, this ETF gives investors access to major Indian tech stocks listed in the U.S., such as Infosys, Wipro, and HCL Technologies.
          Key Features:
          Tech-Savvy Exposure: The ETF provides a unique way to invest in India’s technology sector by gaining access to Indian firms that are part of the NASDAQ-100.
          Diversification: In addition to Indian tech stocks, it includes exposure to global companies, offering a broader range of tech-focused investments.
          Why It’s a Top Pick for 2025: India’s tech sector is expected to continue driving global growth. This ETF provides an opportunity to invest in India’s top tech firms while also benefiting from the growth of the U.S. tech market.

          6. ICICI Prudential Nifty Next 50 Index Fund

          For investors looking to invest in the next generation of Indian companies, the ICICI Prudential Nifty Next 50 Index Fund is a compelling option. It targets the next 50 largest companies on the Indian stock market, just after the Nifty 50.
          Key Features:
          Growth Potential: This ETF focuses on mid-cap and emerging companies that are poised for significant growth.
          Sector Diversification: Like many Indian ETFs, it offers exposure to a wide array of sectors, including financials, industrials, and consumer goods.
          Indian Focus: This fund exclusively focuses on Indian companies, providing a more concentrated bet on India’s market.
          Why It’s a Top Pick for 2025: As India continues to grow, the Nifty Next 50 companies are likely to benefit from strong economic tailwinds. This ETF is ideal for investors looking for higher growth potential in smaller, emerging companies within the Indian market.

          Conclusion

          As India’s economy expands, the demand for ETFs offering exposure to the Indian market will continue to rise. Whether you’re looking for broad-market exposure, sector-specific investments, or emerging companies, the top India ETFs for 2025 offer a range of opportunities for global investors. By incorporating these ETFs into your portfolio, you can take advantage of India’s rapid growth and diversify your investments for the long term. Always assess your financial goals and risk tolerance before making investment decisions to ensure a balanced approach to your portfolio.
          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          UAE Plans to Use $6 Bil Battery-linked Solar Project in Green Push

          Alex

          Economic

          (Jan 14): The United Arab Emirates is planning a US$6 billion (RM27.03 billion) mega solar and battery project to provide uninterrupted power supply as it targets a rapid boost in clean energy.

          Abu Dhabi’s state-controlled Masdar will build 5.2GW of new solar capacity, chief operating officer Abdulaziz Alobaidli said. It will be linked to battery storage that would make the total project one of the world’s largest such facilities when completed by 2027.

          The project is seeking to tackle a critical problem for renewable energy, where supply can be unreliable during periods of heavy demand because of its dependence on the sun shining and wind blowing. Companies have been trying to resolve the problem by using batteries to store the power that can be fed into power grids when required.

          The facility will “transform renewable energy into baseload energy,” said Masdar Chairman Sultan Al Jaber, who is also CEO of Abu Dhabi National Oil Co. “It is a first step that could become a giant leap.”

          The UAE, the first Gulf state to declare a target to reach net zero carbon emissions by 2050, is building solar facilities and is operating nuclear reactors to cut reliance on hydrocarbons for power. It is looking to add more solar facilities and battery storage sites as the oil-rich nation targets more carbon emissions-free electricity.

          The project, which will be built over an area of 90 sq km in the Abu Dhabi desert, will be financed by a mix of debt and equity, Masdar’s Alobaidli said. State utility Emirates Water and Electricity Co will also be involved, Al Jaber said.

          Masdar is targeting battery storage of 19GWh for the facility, the chairman said. Arevia Power and Quinbrook’s Gemini solar energy storage project in Nevada in the US, which has 1.4GWh of storage capacity, is currently the world’s biggest solar and battery project, according to BloombergNEF.

          “This is an ambitious plan, and depending on when it is built, it may be the world’s largest solar and storage project at that time,” BNEF analyst Jenny Chase said.

          Other countries in the Gulf are also following similar paths. Saudi Arabia, the world’s biggest oil exporter, is building solar and wind projects as it aims for a bigger share of renewables in its power grid. Still, crude oil remains the backbone of the economy of most of these nations.

          Source: Theedgemarkets

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          Rising Yields Show Reeves Can No Longer Talk Her Way Through This

          Warren Takunda

          Economic

          Writing in The Times ahead of her appearance, Reeves says she will confirm to parliament that "growing the economy is the number one mission of this government."
          "This government is intent on creating growth that raises the living standards of working people across Britain by putting money in their pockets, creating wealth and opportunity," she says.
          These lines are well rehearsed and were routinely rolled out when courting businesses ahead of the General Election.
          However, the rise in government yields ahead of her appearance confirms talk is no longer enough, and markets now need concrete steps that will provide evidence the government can put the UK economy on a growth footing.
          The fear is that mere talk will fail to stimulate the growth the UK needs to fund its huge and growing debt burden, leaving Reeves with no option but to execute a series of spending cuts and tax rises, with the lion's share of the work falling on taxes.
          "All the chatter on FICC desks is that rather than reconsider the spending side of the ledger; the UK govt will come back for more tax in a self-defeating cycle. Again, whilst the govt has said it won't, it also hasn't definitively ruled it out - so no one really believes the promise as Reeves is seen to have lied in opposition about tax plans," says Simon French, Chief Economist & Head of Research at Panmure Liberum.
          Confidence in Reeves' credibility and verbal effectiveness - words can engender confidence - has been significantly undermined as her first budget proved the antithesis of pro-growth.
          French explains that the problem facing Reeves is that bond market investors, who can choose whether to own UK debt, have mainly noticed large public sector pay settlements, which come despite more than 25 years of flat public sector productivity. In addition, there has been a sharp drop in economic sentiment reported since Labour came to power.
          "The assessment is that this is simply a 'crowding out' of private sector activity by lower value public sector activity - and whether that conclusion is right or wrong, investors don't like what they see," says French.
          Reeves says she wants to foster growth, but in October blindsided businesses with a significant tax raid. Simon Roberts, the chief executive of Sainsbury's, said the decision to increase employer National Insurance from April was "not something anyone expected – certainly, it wasn’t expected at the speed it was coming at".
          Businesses need certainty and a clear cost roadmap. Surprising them with significant cost increases means plans need to be torn up, savings found and charges raised.
          "Business sentiment took a sharp turn for the worse in the latter months of the year, as business leaders digested the full implications of the government’s early policy decisions. Business was dismayed by the tax increases announced in the Autumn budget, and also concerned by the aggregate impact of proposed employment law reforms," says Dr. Roger Barker, Director of Policy at the Institute of Directors.
          Roberts says Sainsbury's typically on 12-month horizons or longer, meaning there was little time to adapt.
          Kate Nicholls, CEO of UKHospitality, said, "it's the halving of the threshold which caused the main challenge with lack of notice on economic shock of cost - business budgets were left with a massive black hole."
          The government raised the tax rate paid by employers on employee salaries while slashing the pay rate at which the National Insurance charge is levied.

          Source: Poundsterlinglive

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          Dollar Falls on Report Trump Team Is Mulling Gradual Tariffs

          Justin

          Economic

          The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index slid as much as 0.4%, while the 10-year yield slipped three basis points to 4.75% after a report showed Trump’s economic advisors are discussing a slow and steady approach to tariffs rather than a large one-time increase. Such gradual restrictions could weigh on the dollar as they would slow inflationary pressure and potentially give more breathing room for the Federal Reserve to reduce interest rates.

          The pullback in the dollar gauge followed five days of gains that drove it to a two-year high on Monday (Jan 13). The drop was its biggest since Jan 6, when the greenback fell following a Washington Post story that claimed Trump was planning to pare back tariff plans. The president-elect denied that story in a post on Truth Social.

          “Dollar weakness can be sustained unless President Trump denies the reporting like he did in reaction to the report by the Washington Post,” said Carol Kong, a strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia.

          Risk-sensitive currencies like the Australian and kiwi dollars jumped against the greenback, pointing to a sense of relief that a large tariff shock may be avoided. China’s offshore yuan, a prime selling target for traders betting on US tariffs, initially edged higher after the report.

          The dollar’s drop underscores the key role tariffs play in swaying sentiment across the US$7.5 trillion-a-day foreign-exchange market. But the move may prove temporary: Most Wall Street banks expect the greenback to strengthen following an 8% rise in 2024, and blowout employment numbers last week have raised further questions about the pace of potential rate cuts.

          A reading of producer prices later in the day will offer more clues into US price risks. Economists expect wholesale prices to rise on a monthly and yearly basis, according to a Bloomberg poll, which could support the dollar and keep upward pressure on US yields.

          Goldman Sachs Group Inc sees potential for the dollar to climb 5% or more this year. Speculative traders including hedge funds and asset managers are more bullish on the greenback than they have been since 2019, according to Commodity Futures Trading Commission data compiled by Bloomberg for the week ended Jan 7.

          “You can’t chase this thing, as a denial will be coming soon,” Win Thin, global head of currency strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman & Co in New York, said of the recent headlines. “Look through the noise and rest assured the dollar rally will continue on the US economic outperformance alone.”

          Even those predicting that the greenback will lose steam think the decline may be some way off. The dollar is somewhat overvalued but a bout of dollar weakness is likely to be “more of a second-half phenomenon,” according to Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS Global Wealth Management.

          Knee-jerk reaction

          The South African rand, South Korean Won and Taiwanese dollar led emerging market currencies higher on Tuesday. That pared losses since the start of the year, as investors shunned riskier assets in the face of the incoming Trump administration.

          “The tariff headlines are positive for Asia FX as it suggests a less draconian approach, but at the moment it’s still headlines,“ said Eddie Cheung, a senior emerging-markets strategist at Credit Agricole CIB in Hong Kong. “While the knee-jerk reaction is positive, I think markets will still want a bit more confirmation.”

          Source: Theedgemarkets

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          Who Are the Bond Vigilantes, and Are They Back?

          Warren Takunda

          Economic

          High government spending and a growing need among big economies - from the United States to Britain and France - to tap bond markets to fund their outlays have shot up the list of concerns for some policymakers and investors.
          This year has started with a selloff across global government bond markets, with Britain in particular caught in the crosshairs.
          France's inability to enact belt-tightening measures due to political instability has also hurt its standing in financial markets. And rising U.S. Treasury yields suggests some sceptism among investors that a new U.S. administration will curb a high budget deficit.
          No wonder talk of a return of bond vigilantes is growing.

          WHO EXACTLY ARE BOND VIGILANTES?

          The term, coined in the 1980s, refers to debt investors who seek to impose fiscal discipline on governments they perceive as profligate by raising their borrowing costs.
          It can also apply to monetary policy. Investors can demand more compensation to lend money if they think central banks and governments are failing to contain inflation.
          Higher government borrowing costs can spill over into higher lending rates for consumers and companies, putting economic and financial stability at risk if they spiral out of control.

          WHERE DID THEY GO AND ARE THEY BACK?

          Bond markets were placated in the 1990s as U.S. President Bill Clinton's government made balancing the budget a priority after initial spending concerns sparked a jump in Treasury yields.
          In the following decades, central bank bond buying in the United States and elsewhere played a powerful role in dampening government borrowing costs, particularly after the global financial crisis of 2007-2008.
          But a surge in inflation since 2021 and a jump in government spending, exacerbated by the pandemic and energy-price spike following Russia's invasion of Ukraine, combined with a retreat of central banks from bond buying, means bond investors now carry more heft.

          WHAT ELSE HAS CHANGED?

          The focus today is on the surge in government bond issuance while in the 1980s, it was inflation, says Ed Yardeni, the economist who coined the term back then.
          Inflation, though sticky, has come down in big economies, while debt is piling up.
          The U.S. budget deficit grew to $1.833 trillion for the fiscal year 2024, equivalent to 6.4% of economic output, the highest reading outside of the COVID-19 pandemic. Britain's government debt has hit 100% of economic output for the first time in recent history. Germany is the only G7 economy remaining with a debt ratio below 100%.

          WHERE HAVE THESE VIGILANTES BEEN IN ACTION RECENTLY?

          The biggest example is Britain. Borrowing costs surged one percentage point within a week in 2022 as bond investors were spooked by plans to slash taxes and raise borrowing at a time the national finances were already under pressure. That forced a policy U-turn and the resignation of then-Prime Minister Liz Truss.
          On Monday, Britain's long-dated government bond yields hit fresh multi-decade highs as global debt concerns remain in focus.
          Last year, the premium that bond investors demand to lend money to France over safer German debt briefly hit its highest since 2012 as political turmoil stalled efforts to reduce the budget deficit.
          Emerging markets face pressure too. Brazil's borrowing costs jumped in December while the real hit fresh record lows against the dollar as markets put government spending plans and a wide budget deficit to the test.

          SO, THEY REALLY ARE POWERFUL?

          History suggests so and Yardeni reckons their strength now stems from the fact that outstanding debt has shot up in recent years.
          U.S. Treasuries outstanding have surged to $28 trillion, from below $20 trillion before the pandemic and less than $5 trillion before the 2007-2008 global financial crisis.
          Yet bond vigilantes haven't had the sway they've had in Britain elsewhere yet. The U.S. deficit has not declined despite concerns and French politicians torpedoed a belt-tightening budget even though the prime minister warned it could lead to a financial "storm".
          Still, analysts say that a rise of more than one percentage point in U.S. Treasury yields since late September partly reflects bond investors expressing concern about the spending plans of the incoming Trump administration.
          But the prospect for interest rates remaining higher amid a strong economy is also raising yields.

          Source: Reuters

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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