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SYMBOL
LAST
BID
ASK
HIGH
LOW
NET CHG.
%CHG.
SPREAD
SPX
S&P 500 Index
6857.13
6857.13
6857.13
6865.94
6827.13
+7.41
+ 0.11%
--
DJI
Dow Jones Industrial Average
47850.93
47850.93
47850.93
48049.72
47692.96
-31.96
-0.07%
--
IXIC
NASDAQ Composite Index
23505.13
23505.13
23505.13
23528.53
23372.33
+51.04
+ 0.22%
--
USDX
US Dollar Index
98.810
98.890
98.810
98.980
98.810
-0.170
-0.17%
--
EURUSD
Euro / US Dollar
1.16603
1.16611
1.16603
1.16605
1.16408
+0.00158
+ 0.14%
--
GBPUSD
Pound Sterling / US Dollar
1.33505
1.33514
1.33505
1.33507
1.33165
+0.00234
+ 0.18%
--
XAUUSD
Gold / US Dollar
4226.91
4227.34
4226.91
4229.22
4194.54
+19.74
+ 0.47%
--
WTI
Light Sweet Crude Oil
59.296
59.333
59.296
59.469
59.187
-0.087
-0.15%
--

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Reserve Bank Of India Chief Malhotra On Rupee: Fluctuations Can Happen, Effort Is To Reduce Undue Volatility

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Reserve Bank Of India Chief Malhotra On Rupee: Allow Markets To Determine Levels On Currency

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Sri Lanka's CSE All Share Index Down 1.2%

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Iw Institute: German Economy Faces Tepid Growth In 2026 Due To Global Trade Slowdown

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Stats Office - Seychelles November Inflation At 0.02% Year-On-Year

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[Market Update] Spot Silver Prices Rose 2.00% Intraday, Currently Trading At $58.27 Per Ounce

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S.Africa's Gross Reserves At $72.068 Billion At End November - Central Bank

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[Market Update] Spot Silver Broke Through $58/ounce, Up 1.56% On The Day

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Dollar/Yen Down 0.33% To 154.61

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Kremlin Says No Plans For Putin-Trump Call For Now

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Kremlin Says Moscow Is Waiting For USA Reaction After Putin-Witkoff Meeting

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Cctv - China, France: Say Both Sides Support All Efforts For A Ceasefire, Restore Peace According To Intl Law

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[Chinese Ambassador To The US Xie Feng Hopes Chinese And American Business Communities Will Focus On Three Lists] On December 4, Chinese Ambassador To The US Xie Feng Delivered A Speech At The China-US Economic And Trade Cooperation Forum Jointly Hosted By The China Council For The Promotion Of International Trade And The Meridian International Center. Xie Feng Said That In November 2026, China Will Host The APEC Leaders' Informal Meeting For The Third Time In Shenzhen, Guangdong Province. In December 2026, The United States Will Also Host The G20 Meeting. Regarding How Chinese And American Business Communities Can Seize These Opportunities, He Suggested Focusing On Three Lists: First, Continue To Expand The Dialogue List; Second, Continuously Lengthen The Cooperation List; And Third, Constantly Reduce The Problem List

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India's Nifty Financial Services Index Extends Gains, Last Up 0.75%

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Eni : Jp Morgan Cuts To Underweight From Overweight

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Cctv - China, France: Signed Protocol On Sanitary, Phytosanitary Requirements For Export Of French Alfalfa Grass

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India's NIFTY IT Index Last Up 1.3%

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India's Nifty 50 Index Rises 0.35%

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Israel Sets 2026 Defence Budget At $34 Billion

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Russia Says Azov Sea's Port Of Temryuk Damaged In Ukrainian Attack

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          The Evolving Role of Private Equity in Diversified Portfolios

          UBS

          Economic

          Summary:

          Analyzing the diversification benefits of exposure to to unlisted firms.

          As private equity sees another round of increased investor interest, it is worth considering its role in today’s diversified portfolio. Investors have historically regarded private company exposure as a high-returning and diversifying asset class of its own – one which has outperformed public markets over the past decades while reducing volatility – an enhancement to the traditional 60/40 portfolio.
          This has certainly been true in the past, but what about the future?
          The Evolving Role of Private Equity in Diversified Portfolios_1

          Why is private equity really different?

          Private equity’s outpacing of public markets is a complicated story, most evident by asking “what is a public company?”
          Historically, it has been a business of considerable scale, with a professional management team, experienced shareholders, and which is held to exacting standards of accounting and public disclosure. How does this hold up in 2024?
          Private equity-backed companies are larger than ever, as more companies elect to remain private beyond the point where they would previously have gone public. Of companies with revenue over USD 100 million, Bain & Company notes that only 15% are publicly held.2 In many ways private equity has taken the place that publicly traded small-cap equity used to occupy, but there are material differences.
          The Evolving Role of Private Equity in Diversified Portfolios_2
          Private equity firms, as compared to the typical small-cap investor, are highly specialized and operationally focused. More importantly, they have control in the form of majority ownership which enables absolute discretion over the operating decisions of a portfolio company. This includes the selection of the management team; when private equity investors lose money, they do not ask what the management team did wrong – they ask what the private equity firm did wrong.
          The average private equity owner is significantly more sophisticated than the average small-cap management team when it comes to financial engineering (usually generating a gain, but sometimes a painful loss).
          Two more closely related aspects of private companies complicate the picture.
          Public companies are required to report quarterly earnings, greatly increasing shareholder visibility into company performance, which cuts two ways. This is one of the greatest transparencies available to investors, which means quarterly earnings can become the primary focus of even a sophisticated and experienced management team. Most people agree that many important decisions should not be measured in quarters, a fact often sidelined when investing in public companies. Freedom from managing to quarterly earnings is a fundamental differentiating factor as compared to public companies.
          There is another, less glamorous possibility for the seemingly more stable and more attractive return profile of private companies.

          Cause for caution

          If strict quarterly reporting standards result in a myopic focus on short-term performance, their absence can sometimes be to investors’ detriment and allow sponsors to hide behind opaque internal practices. Valuation methodologies for privately held companies can vary considerably between managers, and auditors allow significant discretion. The most proximate valuation metric is (ironically) public-company-comparables, the valuations at which listed companies tend to trade.
          One particularly timely example in which investors may have a false sense of security is when smoothing effects obscure volatile performance. To take an obvious case, when a private equity portfolio contains a publicly traded position, the fund in almost every case has to take the public mark for its valuation. But a stock which loses and then regains value from one quarter-end to the next appears perfectly stable, where the same investor may perceive it as risky if they saw the daily performance.
          Many factors behind valuing private companies can contribute to this return smoothing. The peer set can change (or be changed). The valuation multiple may be an average of several quarters, making it slower to reflect a new market reality. These effects can cause an investor to believe that its portfolio has a certain value even when that value could be predicted to be lost in the future – something which is not possible in public markets.And some academic studies have tried to correct for such effects, finding that while there is some smoothing, private equity returns are still distinct from public markets.

          More than meets the eye: Size and manager selection

          The fact that exposure can be tailored within a private equity allocation allows investors to configure their portfolio in such a way that reduces this effect further. While a mega-cap private equity fund likely mirrors public markets more closely, lower middle-market funds invest in small companies which have very different profiles than today’s large-cap dominated equity markets.
          Venture capital (often also a part of the private equity allocation) is more distinct still. If public equity is the best way to bet on today’s winners, lower middle-market private equity and venture capital are the avenue by which to back their challengers.
          Another important distinction is the lack of passive-investment options the way public markets have index funds.
          This feature means manager selection, differing value creation abilities, and fund strategy are unique opportunities and risks to the private equity portfolio.
          The Evolving Role of Private Equity in Diversified Portfolios_3

          Private equity allocations continue to grow

          The attractions of private equity have caused more investors to add exposure to their portfolios. Long dominated by the world’s most sophisticated investors, such longtime backers continue to increase allocations.
          The Evolving Role of Private Equity in Diversified Portfolios_4
          But the asset class is also becoming more mainstream; with retail investor access to alternatives proliferating, institutional investors of all stripes have indicated they plan to increase their allocations, including to private equity.
          One reason for that may be the manager selection benefits already mentioned. At top quartile, the return potential of private equity (buyout and venture capital) is attractive. Combined with the active management component of private equity portfolios, and overlaid with the active management of portfolio companies, this outperformance and return profile can seem tangible and repeatable in the eyes of investors.
          While private equity may not offer a public equity-based portfolio the same fundamental level of diversification that you would expect from fixed income or real assets, investors are recognizing the distinct value and return profile it brings to a portfolio. Little wonder investors are full speed ahead on private equity.
          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          Who Would be the Biggest Beneficiaries of A Corporate Tax Cut?

          JPMorgan

          Economic

          In 2018, the U.S. corporate tax rate was slashed from 35% to 21% when the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) went into effect. On the campaign trail, President-elect Trump proposed a further reduction from 21% to 15%, specifying this would apply to companies that make their products in America. To do this, Congress could reinstate the domestic production activities deduction in place from 2004-2017 that would effectively lower the corporate tax rate for domestic production to 15%. However, given the global reach of many U.S. corporations, the already low effective corporate tax rates and the dominance of services over goods producers, the impact would be more limited than his first corporate tax cut.
          The passage of the 2017 TCJA made the U.S. corporate tax rate much more globally competitive and reduced effective sector tax rates. At 35%, the U.S. statutory corporate tax rate floated high above the global average of 24.2% for OECD member states. At 21%, the U.S. corporate tax rate is in line with the current OECD member average of 23.7%. The effective U.S. corporate tax rate fell from 28% in the five years prior to the tax cut to 18% between 2018 and 2023. At the sector level, utilities, staples and technology were the biggest beneficiaries.
          However, this proposal is not for a universal cut, it is targeted at domestic producers. This could be approximated by reinstating the Section 199 domestic production activities deduction, which applied to qualified activities. More than one-third of corporate taxable income qualified for this deduction and $33.9 billion in deductions were claimed in 2013. Its key beneficiaries were, unsurprisingly, manufacturing, which accounted for 66% of the deduction claims and information technology, which accounted for 16%. Finance, health care, education and other services received little benefit and the deduction for certain oil and gas activities was at a lower rate, limiting benefits to energy.
          If we combine companies with effective tax rates greater than 15% with greater than 80% of revenues derived domestically, 145 companies in the S&P 500, representing 18% of market cap and 23% of earnings could benefit. Of course, revenues derived domestically is an imperfect proxy because it does not reflect where goods are produced, but it can give a sense of scope. Of these 145 companies, 51 are in the services sectors (financials, health care, communication services) noted above that were not big beneficiaries of the Section 199 deduction. This doesn’t include services companies in other sectors. The President-elect also noted that companies that outsource, offshore or replace American workers would not be eligible, further narrowing the pool of qualified companies.
          A corporate tax rate cut aimed at domestic manufacturing could benefit a subset of companies but would not likely provide the broad, sizable boost to corporate earnings that the last corporate tax cut produced. This suggests an active approach to potential beneficiaries while maintaining a broad focus on fundamentals across equities.

          # of S&P 500 companies with effective tax rates <15% that generate >80% of revenues domesticallyWho Would be the Biggest Beneficiaries of A Corporate Tax Cut?_1

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          Can You Use MetaTrader 4 Without a Broker

          Glendon

          Economic

          MetaTrader 4 (MT4) is one of the most popular trading platforms worldwide, loved for its intuitive interface, powerful analytical tools, and customizable options. While it’s typically used by traders via brokers, a common question arises: Can you use MetaTrader 4 without a broker? This article delves into the possibilities, limitations, and practical considerations of running MT4 as a standalone platform.

          What Is MetaTrader 4?

          MetaTrader 4, developed by MetaQuotes Software, is a robust trading platform designed primarily for forex, commodities, and CFD trading. It’s renowned for its advanced charting capabilities, support for algorithmic trading via Expert Advisors (EAs), and a vast library of technical indicators.
          In traditional use, MT4 connects to a broker’s server, allowing traders to execute real-time trades on live markets. But what happens if you want to use MT4 independently?

          Using MetaTrader 4 Without a Broker

          1. Offline Mode

          Yes, you can use MT4 without a broker by running it in offline mode. This setup is suitable for:
          Chart Analysis: You can study historical data, test strategies, and use indicators for analysis.
          Backtesting Strategies: Traders can upload historical market data to simulate and test their trading strategies.
          However, in offline mode, you won’t be able to execute live trades or access real-time market data since these functions depend on broker connectivity.

          2. Demo Accounts

          Another option is to open a demo account directly through MetaQuotes or a broker offering MT4 services. Demo accounts give you access to virtual funds and live market conditions without risking real money. However, a demo account still technically requires broker integration, even if it’s not tied to live trading.

          3. Simulated Trading Environments

          You can also create or download simulated trading environments to practice strategies on MT4 without a broker. These simulations use preloaded market data but lack the dynamism of real-time markets.

          Limitations of Using MT4 Without a Broker

          While MT4 can technically operate without a broker, there are significant drawbacks:
          No Access to Live Markets
          Without a broker, MT4 cannot connect to live market feeds. This means you cannot execute trades or access current market prices.
          No Order Execution
          Trading directly requires a broker to process buy and sell orders. Without one, MT4 becomes a powerful analysis tool but not a trading platform.
          Limited Features
          Features like real-time signals, news updates, and market alerts rely on broker integration. Operating MT4 without a broker means missing out on these key functionalities.

          Why You Still Need a Broker for Trading

          While MT4 is a feature-rich platform, it acts as a bridge between the trader and the markets. Brokers provide:
          Market Access: Direct connectivity to financial markets for real-time trading.
          Liquidity: Ensures orders are executed efficiently.
          Account Management: Offers trading accounts with leverage, margin, and withdrawal options.
          Support Services: Includes customer support, educational resources, and additional tools.

          When Is Using MT4 Without a Broker Useful?

          Running MT4 without a broker can be beneficial in specific scenarios:
          Learning and Practice: Beginners can explore the platform and learn its tools without risking capital.
          Strategy Development: Traders can test and refine strategies using historical data.
          Algorithm Testing: Developers of Expert Advisors (EAs) can use MT4 as a testing ground.

          How to Set Up MT4 Without a Broker

          Download MT4: Visit the MetaQuotes website to download the platform.
          Load Historical Data: Import data for the instruments you wish to analyze.
          Set Up Indicators and Charts: Customize your workspace with tools and indicators.
          Run Simulations or Backtests: Use MT4’s Strategy Tester to evaluate your trading approach.

          Conclusion

          While it’s possible to use MetaTrader 4 without a broker, the platform’s full potential is unlocked only through broker integration. In standalone mode, MT4 serves as a sophisticated tool for analysis and strategy development but cannot facilitate live trading.
          For those serious about trading, selecting a reliable broker that supports MT4 is essential. However, if you’re in the learning phase or experimenting with strategies, exploring MT4 without a broker can be a valuable stepping stone in your trading journey.
          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          Benefits and Risks of Using AI in Trading

          Glendon

          Economic

          Artificial Intelligence (AI) has revolutionized industries worldwide, and trading is no exception. From executing trades in milliseconds to analyzing vast datasets, AI has become an indispensable tool for modern traders. However, with its advantages come significant risks. This article delves into the benefits and risks of using AI in trading, helping you understand its potential and pitfalls.

          The Benefits of Using AI in Trading

          1. Speed and Efficiency

          AI algorithms can execute trades within milliseconds, seizing opportunities that humans would likely miss. This speed is particularly beneficial in high-frequency trading (HFT), where even microsecond delays can impact profitability.

          2. Data Analysis and Pattern Recognition

          AI excels at analyzing massive datasets in real-time, identifying patterns and trends that may not be apparent to human traders. This capability allows for more informed decision-making and accurate predictions.

          3. Automation of Trading Strategies

          AI enables traders to automate their strategies through machine learning models. Once programmed, these algorithms can function independently, executing trades based on predefined parameters.

          4. Reduced Emotional Bias

          Human traders are often influenced by emotions like fear and greed, which can lead to poor decisions. AI, being emotionless, operates purely based on data and logic, reducing the impact of psychological factors.

          5. Accessibility to Retail Traders

          What was once the domain of large financial institutions is now accessible to retail traders. AI-powered tools and platforms provide everyday traders with advanced analytics, leveling the playing field.

          The Risks of Using AI in Trading

          1. Over-Reliance on Algorithms

          Relying solely on AI can be risky. Algorithms are only as good as the data they are trained on and the scenarios they are programmed to handle. Unexpected market events can lead to significant losses.

          2. Algorithmic Bias

          AI systems can inherit biases present in the data they are trained on. This can lead to skewed analyses or decisions, especially if the data is incomplete or unrepresentative of market dynamics.

          3. Lack of Transparency

          Many AI models operate as "black boxes," meaning their decision-making processes are not easily interpretable. Traders may find it challenging to understand why an algorithm made a particular trade, leading to potential mistrust or misuse.

          4. Market Volatility

          AI-driven trading can contribute to market volatility. Algorithms acting on similar triggers may execute massive trades simultaneously, leading to sudden market shifts.

          5. Security and Ethical Concerns

          AI systems are susceptible to hacking and manipulation. Additionally, ethical concerns arise when AI is used to exploit market inefficiencies at the expense of retail traders.

          Real-World Applications of AI in Trading

          High-Frequency Trading (HFT): AI is widely used in HFT to execute large numbers of orders within fractions of a second.
          Portfolio Management: Robo-advisors use AI to create and manage investment portfolios tailored to individual goals.
          Risk Management: AI assesses market risks and provides alerts or adjustments to trading strategies.
          Sentiment Analysis: AI analyzes news, social media, and other sources to gauge market sentiment and predict trends.

          Striking a Balance: How to Mitigate Risks

          Understand the Algorithms: Traders should have a clear understanding of the AI models they use and their limitations.
          Diversify Strategies: Relying solely on AI can be risky; combining it with traditional analysis adds robustness.
          Regular Monitoring: Continuously evaluate the performance of AI systems and make necessary adjustments.
          Stay Updated: Keep up with advancements in AI and trading to ensure your tools remain effective.
          Collaborate with Experts: Work with data scientists and AI specialists to ensure your systems are optimized.

          Conclusion

          AI in trading offers remarkable benefits, including speed, efficiency, and advanced analytics. However, these advantages come with risks such as over-reliance, algorithmic biases, and ethical concerns. To leverage AI effectively, traders must understand its capabilities and limitations, blending it with traditional trading strategies for a balanced approach.
          As AI continues to evolve, its role in trading will undoubtedly expand. By staying informed and cautious, traders can harness the power of AI while minimizing potential pitfalls, paving the way for smarter and more efficient trading.
          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          What is the Best Chart for Finance

          Glendon

          Economic

          The financial world is all about interpreting and presenting complex data in a meaningful way. Choosing the right chart is critical to conveying insights effectively, whether you’re analyzing stock prices, comparing revenues, or forecasting economic trends. But with so many chart types available, how do you determine the best one for your specific financial needs?
          This article explores the most commonly used financial charts, their advantages, and the ideal scenarios for each.

          1. Line Charts: For Tracking Trends Over Time

          Best for:
          Stock price trendsRevenue growthInterest rate changes
          Why it works: Line charts are simple yet powerful. They connect data points with a continuous line, making it easy to spot trends over time. For instance, tracking the stock price of Apple over a year can be clearly visualized with a line chart.
          Example:A line chart showing Tesla's quarterly revenue growth from 2020 to 2024.
          Key Tip: Use line charts for datasets with clear, continuous progression over time.

          2. Candlestick Charts: For Stock Market Analysis

          Best for:
          Analyzing daily stock price movementsIdentifying market trends and reversals
          Why it works:Candlestick charts provide detailed insights into stock trading, including the opening, closing, high, and low prices. Their color-coded format makes it easy to spot bullish or bearish patterns.
          Example:A candlestick chart highlighting Microsoft’s stock performance during a volatile market period.
          Key Tip: Combine with technical indicators like moving averages for more comprehensive analysis.

          3. Bar Charts: For Comparisons

          Best for:
          Comparing quarterly earnings across companiesHighlighting expenses vs. revenue
          Why it works: Bar charts are ideal for making comparisons between categories. For example, comparing the quarterly net income of five top companies in the tech sector becomes intuitive with this chart.
          Example:A bar chart comparing Amazon, Google, and Meta’s advertising revenues in 2023.
          Key Tip: Ensure proper scaling and avoid overcrowding to maintain clarity.

          4. Pie Charts: For Proportions

          Best for:
          Breaking down a budgetVisualizing market share distribution
          Why it works: Pie charts excel at showing proportions in a dataset. For example, a company’s revenue sources (products, services, subscriptions) can be easily illustrated.
          Example: A pie chart showing the market share of smartphone brands in 2024.
          Key Tip: Limit categories to 5-7 slices to avoid a cluttered appearance.

          5. Scatter Plots: For Correlations

          Best for:
          Examining relationships between variables (e.g., revenue vs. marketing spend)Identifying outliers
          Why it works:Scatter plots reveal patterns and correlations, such as the relationship between advertising budget and sales revenue.
          Example:A scatter plot showing the correlation between GDP growth and stock market performance in emerging economies.
          Key Tip: Use trend lines to highlight the nature of the correlation (positive, negative, or none).

          6. Heat Maps: For Large Datasets

          Best for:
          Analyzing sector performance in stock marketsIdentifying geographical revenue trends
          Why it works: Heat maps use color intensity to represent values, making them ideal for summarizing large datasets.
          Example: A heat map showing sector-wise stock performance on the S&P 500 during a trading day.
          Key Tip: Use a clear color gradient to differentiate data ranges effectively.

          7. Area Charts: For Cumulative Trends

          Best for:
          Showing cumulative growth over time
          Visualizing multiple datasets
          Why it works: Area charts add a layer of emphasis by filling the space below the line, making cumulative trends more apparent.
          Example: An area chart illustrating the total market cap of cryptocurrencies over the last five years.
          Key Tip: Avoid using more than three layers to maintain readability.

          Data-Driven Insights: Which Chart Is the Best?

          The best chart for finance depends on your data and the story you want to tell. Here’s a quick guide:
          For trends over time: Line or area charts.
          For market analysis: Candlestick charts.
          For comparisons: Bar charts.
          For proportions: Pie charts.
          For correlations: Scatter plots.
          For large datasets: Heat maps.

          Conclusion

          Choosing the right financial chart is both an art and a science. By understanding your dataset and audience, you can create visuals that effectively communicate insights and drive decision-making. Experiment with different chart types to discover what resonates best with your data.
          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
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          Week Ahead – RBNZ to Slash Rates Ahead of US and Eurozone Inflation Data

          XM

          Central Bank

          Economic

          RBNZ set for third rate cut

          The Reserve Bank of New Zealand will kick-start the end of year policy meetings of the major central banks when it announces its decision on Wednesday. Having stood out as being ultra-hawkish during the global tightening cycle, the RBNZ performed a major policy reversal over the summer by embarking on a loosening campaign even before the Fed had started its own.
          With the annual rate of CPI falling within its 1-3% target band, inflation expectations settling around 2.0% and GDP growth remaining sluggish, policymakers have little reason to be cautious and a back-to-back 50-basis point cut is fully priced in. There is even speculation that the RBNZ might opt for a triple reduction of 75 basis points, which can be justified by the fact that, after November, policymakers won’t meet again until February.
          Week Ahead – RBNZ to Slash Rates Ahead of US and Eurozone Inflation Data_1
          Should the RBNZ surprise with a hefty cut, it will be difficult for the New Zealand dollar to regain its footing against the US dollar, and it could tumble to fresh 2024 lows.

          Storm of US data before Thanksgiving break

          The US economic agenda will get back into full gear next week as a flurry of releases are on the way before traders abandon their desks for the Thanksgiving holiday. Politics briefly eclipsed monetary policy after Donald Trump’s shock election win. But the focus is primarily back on the Fed now amid growing doubts about how many times the US central bank will be able to cut rates even before the incoming administration’s inflationary policies have seen the light of day.
          Expectations of a 25-bps reduction in December currently stand at between 60% and 55% as Fed officials have turned more hawkish after a string of upbeat indicators on the economy, but more importantly, after the decline in underlying inflation stalled again.
          Fed Char Powell has joined the FOMC’s hawkish camp, flagging the possibility of a pause. Hence, the likelihood of a cut will depend on how strong or weak the next inflation and jobs reports are before the December meeting.
          The PCE inflation report, out on Wednesday, is up first on the schedule. Powell recently said he sees core PCE edging up from 2.7% to 2.8% in October, which would mark a setback for the Fed. The projection for headline PCE is a pickup from 2.1% to 2.3%.
          Week Ahead – RBNZ to Slash Rates Ahead of US and Eurozone Inflation Data_2
          Both the headline measures of PCE and CPI inflation have maintained a clearer downward path than the core readings, and if the incoming numbers do not throw this trend into question, the Fed might still have some manoeuvrability to trim rates in December.

          Fed minutes also in the spotlight

          Should the PCE price indices fail to shed any light on the Fed’s next move, investors will look to the minutes of the Fed’s November policy meeting due the same day for fresh policy insight. There will also be plenty of other data to sift through on Wednesday. Personal income and consumption will be quite important, followed by durable goods orders for October and the second estimate of Q3 GDP growth.
          A day earlier, new home sales and the Conference Board’s consumer confidence gauge are likely to attract some attention too. US markets will be shut on Thursday for Thanksgiving Day and the stock market will close early on Friday, which means there will only be light trading. Nevertheless, those choosing not to make a weekend of it will have the Chicago PMI to keep them entertained.
          The US dollar has been extending its post-election rally over the past week. But its gains are now looking overstretched. Any disappointing data therefore risks triggering a sharp correction.

          Eurozone CPI eyed for ECB clues

          Despite rising pessimism about the European growth outlook, ECB policymakers have been pushing back on investor expectations of a 50-bps rate cut in December. The recent jump in negotiated wages – a key metric for the ECB – and services inflation continuing to hover around 4% underline policymakers’ concerns about cutting too fast.
          Markets have assigned about a 25% probability for a 50-bps move in December, which may be overstating the true odds if the latest ECB rhetoric is to be believed. This implies there’s quite a mountain to climb to push the chances for a 50-bps cut substantially higher.
          Nevertheless, Friday’s flash CPI figures will be watched closely. In October, headline CPI accelerated from 1.7% to 2.0%. A further increase to 2.4% is forecast for November, which could dash hopes for a larger cut even more, potentially helping the euro to stop the recent bleeding against the greenback.
          Week Ahead – RBNZ to Slash Rates Ahead of US and Eurozone Inflation Data_3
          Ahead of the CPI numbers, Monday’s Ifo business survey out of Germany will be on investors’ radar amid worries about how the political uncertainty in the country is affecting business confidence.

          Will CPI data worsen the aussie’s pain?

          In Australia, the latest CPI stats will also be doing the rounds. The monthly readings for October are due on Wednesday, while on Thursday, Q3 capital expenditure data will be monitored. Annual inflation fell to 2.1% in September, which is at the lower end of the RBA’s 2-3% target band. Yet, the RBA is not ready to start taking its foot off the brake, and investors don’t foresee a rate cut before May 2025 at the earliest.
          If CPI edges up to 2.3% in October as expected, there might be some support for the Australian dollar versus its stronger US counterpart.
          Week Ahead – RBNZ to Slash Rates Ahead of US and Eurozone Inflation Data_4

          Loonie turns attention to Canadian GDP

          Another currency struggling to keep its head above water is the Canadian dollar. The Bank of Canada has been more aggressive than other central banks in slashing rates, and this explains why the loonie is the third worst performing major currency this year.
          A fifth consecutive rate cut is likely in December but bets for a second 50-bps cut faded after the recent hotter-than-expected CPI report. Friday’s Q3 GDP print will probably not be a game changer for the BoC, but there could still be a sizeable reaction in the loonie from any big surprises.

          Tokyo inflation on tap

          Adding to Friday’s data barrage are the Tokyo CPI figures for November. Inflation in Tokyo fell below the Bank of Japan’s 2.0% target in October, but this hasn’t dissuaded policymakers from wanting to raise interest rates further. The question now is more about the timing. With investors split 50-50 about the possibility of a rate increase in December, stronger-than-forecast numbers could bolster bets for a year-end hike, lifting the yen.
          Week Ahead – RBNZ to Slash Rates Ahead of US and Eurozone Inflation Data_5

          Source:XM

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
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          ESG Unpacked: Regulatory Frameworks Shaping Sustainable Investing

          JanusHenderson

          Economic

          What is driving ESG regulation?

          The spotlight on environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors has never been brighter, yet the path to fully integrating these considerations into investment strategies is fraught with challenges, highlighting not only the demand for such data but also the glaring gaps in its availability. At the heart of the issue lies different regional interpretations surrounding ESG terminology, which has left investors clamouring for reliable data on financially material ESG factors that can influence cash flows, cost of capital, repayment, and ultimately, valuation. The increasing focus on weaving financially material ESG considerations into the fabric of investment processes.
          The scarcity of reported data, coupled with fragmented and ever evolving methodologies for disclosing data and metrics, exacerbates the complexity of this endeavour. This challenge is further magnified by the vast range of ESG factors and the varying degrees of their materiality across different sectors. Companies, striving to manage risk, echo this demand for clarity and uniformity in ESG data, particularly within their supply chains. Similarly, asset owners are keen to understand how their portfolios align with their ESG objectives, seeking transparency and accountability in how these goals are achieved.
          In response, governments, regulators, non-regulatory working groups and standard setters are stepping forward to bridge the gap, crafting policy, frameworks and regulations designed to ensure that investors gain access to the company and portfolio data they require. This evolving regulatory landscape signifies a pivotal shift towards more informed and sustainable investment practices, promising to reshape how investors navigate the complexities of ESG integration.
          This article aims to unpack the alphabet soup of financial ESG regulation, with a focus on how key and often overlapping global rules intersect to enhance corporate accountability for sustainability disclosure, reporting and due diligence to better inform investors’ decisions.

          Bridging the gap: How regulatory efforts are unifying ESG standards

          The European Green Deal represents a holistic approach by the European Union (EU) to address climate change and promote sustainability while ensuring economic growth. The Deal is supported by a robust Sustainable Finance Framework including: the Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive (CSRD) – underpinned by the European Sustainability Reporting Standards (ESRS), the Sustainable Finance Disclosure Regulation (SFDR), the Corporate Sustainability Due Diligence Directive, and the EU Taxonomy.
          These regulations, although designed to function in concert, exhibit some divergence in focus and application that have implications for companies and investors looking to navigate the evolving landscape of ESG-related reporting vital to mitigating investment risks, while capitalising on new opportunities.
          CSRD aims to expand sustainability reporting, requiring companies to disclose their impact on climate, plus policy on human rights and governance, where material. A key component of the regulation is Companies will need to provide detailed auditable reporting on Sustainability Matters considered material to that assessment.
          SFDR focuses on preventing greenwashing by mandating disclosures about how financial products consider sustainability risks and their impacts on ESG factors. It applies to financial institutions and includes both organisation-level and product-level reporting requirements.
          CSDDD emphasises corporate responsibility in mitigating adverse environmental and human rights impacts. It mandates thorough due diligence processes across a company’s operations and value chain, setting a more explicit framework for ethical corporate conduct.
          EU Taxonomy is a classification system that helps companies and investors identify “environmentally sustainable” economic activities to make sustainable investment decisions.

          ESG regulations: harmony and divergence

          While these regulations share the goal of enhancing corporate accountability for their ecological and social impacts, they diverge in their applicability thresholds and specific requirements, leading to potential market confusion. However, their combined effect is to provide a more comprehensive framework for ESG reporting.
          The CSRD and CSDDD overlap significantly, particularly in their emphasis on detailed planning to mitigate adverse impacts. However, the CSDDD goes further by mandating active management of these impacts and introducing stakeholder enforcement mechanisms through the courts.
          Meanwhile, SFDR complements these by addressing the financial sector’s role, setting standards for how sustainability risks are integrated into investment decisions and disclosed to investors, with the aim to reduce greenwashing.
          These regulations collectively bridge significant gaps in ESG-related reporting, offering clearer guidance for investors and companies. Despite some divergence in their specific mandates, together they form a coherent framework that enhances transparency, accountability, and responsible investment, guiding investors and companies towards more sustainable practices (Figure 1).
          ESG Unpacked: Regulatory Frameworks Shaping Sustainable Investing_1
          In a significant move aimed at enhancing transparency around the environmental impact of companies, the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) adopted new rules on 6 March 2024, mandating climate-related disclosures in public companies’ annual reports and registration statements. This initiative, however, has not been without controversy, facing numerous legal challenges that have led to a temporary stay on its implementation. Despite these hurdles, the move underscores a global shift towards greater corporate accountability in environmental sustainability, aligning with similar initiatives in California and the EU’s CSRD.
          The SEC rule aims to provide investors with detailed information on how climate-related risks and sustainability factors affect public companies. Key disclosure requirements include material climate-related risks, strategies, targets, governance, and the financial impacts of severe weather events and natural conditions. For larger firms, (indirect) greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions disclosures are mandated, subject to third-party validation. These requirements, scaled back from the original proposal, are based on the Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures (TCFD) and the global GHG Protocol, yet the SEC created its own standards rather than adopting an existing framework outright.

          Climate disclosure: California turns up the heat

          In 2023, California passed Senate Bills 253 and 261, which were recently combined to form the Senate Bill 219, Greenhouse Gases: Climate Corporate Accountability: Climate-Related Financial Risk (SB-219) alongside the Assembly Bill 1305, introducing its own climate disclosure mandates. While there is overlap with the SEC rule in areas such as GHG emissions reporting including Scope 1 and 2 emissions (beginning in 2026), the California laws uniquely require disclosure regardless of financial materiality and also include (beginning in 2027).
          The state laws and the SEC rule diverge significantly in their approach to materiality and the breadth of required disclosures, with California’s legislation taking a more expansive stance on what . California’s climate disclosure rules apply to public and private businesses operating in the state with more than US$1 billion in revenue.

          Materiality matters

          The CSRD represents the EU’s ambitious effort to integrate sustainability reporting within the corporate disclosure regime. It introduces the concept of ‘double materiality’.
          This approach is broader than the SEC’s focus on materiality from an investor’s perspective (’financial materiality’), and other regulators globally, requiring companies in scope of CSRD to disclose a wider range of information.
          The CSRD also mandates reporting on sustainability impacts, risks, and opportunities across a company’s value chain, covering a broader array of sustainability topics beyond climate, such as water use, biodiversity, and circular economy practices.

          Cross-border complexities

          Companies operating across jurisdictions face the challenge of navigating these varied and sometimes conflicting disclosure requirements.
          The SEC’s focus on materiality from an investor’s perspective, California’s more expansive disclosure mandates, and the EU’s comprehensive approach under the CSRD illustrate the complexities of the current regulatory landscape.
          Whilst regulators are considering some adjustments to reduce complexity and facilitate a partial interoperability, such as the integration of the International Sustainability Standards Board (ISSB) frameworks by various jurisdictions, organisations must develop cross-regulatory reporting strategies that address these regional differences.

          Clarity, consistency, and comparability

          The evolution of ESG disclosure regulations reflects a growing recognition of the critical importance of environmental sustainability in corporate governance. As companies grapple with these new requirements, the need for clarity, consistency, and comparability in disclosures becomes increasingly apparent.
          The SEC’s initiative, despite its current legal uncertainties, along with California’s laws and the EU’s CSRD, signal a significant shift towards a more sustainable and transparent corporate world.
          The path forward requires careful navigation of an increasingly diverse and evolving regulatory landscape. Further, the reporting landscape is likely to become increasingly complex, given that numerous jurisdictions, including Australia, Hong Kong, Singapore and the UK, are planning to integrate the climate-related disclosure framework developed by the ISSB – International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) S16 and IFRS S27 – into their corporate reporting regimes.
          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          The risk of loss in trading financial instruments such as stocks, FX, commodities, futures, bonds, ETFs and crypto can be substantial. You may sustain a total loss of the funds that you deposit with your broker. Therefore, you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances and financial resources.

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