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SYMBOL
LAST
BID
ASK
HIGH
LOW
NET CHG.
%CHG.
SPREAD
SPX
S&P 500 Index
6827.42
6827.42
6827.42
6899.86
6801.80
-73.58
-1.07%
--
DJI
Dow Jones Industrial Average
48458.04
48458.04
48458.04
48886.86
48334.10
-245.98
-0.51%
--
IXIC
NASDAQ Composite Index
23195.16
23195.16
23195.16
23554.89
23094.51
-398.69
-1.69%
--
USDX
US Dollar Index
97.980
98.060
97.980
98.070
97.920
+0.030
+ 0.03%
--
EURUSD
Euro / US Dollar
1.17310
1.17318
1.17310
1.17447
1.17283
-0.00084
-0.07%
--
GBPUSD
Pound Sterling / US Dollar
1.33581
1.33589
1.33581
1.33740
1.33546
-0.00126
-0.09%
--
XAUUSD
Gold / US Dollar
4340.78
4341.21
4340.78
4345.46
4294.68
+41.39
+ 0.96%
--
WTI
Light Sweet Crude Oil
57.465
57.502
57.465
57.601
57.194
+0.232
+ 0.41%
--

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India's November Soyoil Imports At 370661 Tonnes Versus 454619 Tonnes In October

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India's November Sunflower Oil Imports At 142953 Tonnes Versus 260548 Tonnes In October

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India's November Palm Oil Imports At 632341 Tonnes Versus 602381 Tonnes In October

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India's November Vegetable Oil Imports At 1183,832 Tonnes Versus 1332,173 Million Tonnes In October

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Reuters Poll - Bank Indonesia To Keep 7-Day Reverse Repo Rate Unchanged At 4.75% On December 17, Say 18 Of 31 Economists

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Statistics Finland - Finland Nov CPI -0.1% Year-On-Year

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Saudi Nov CPI 0.1% Month-On-Month

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South Korea Petrochemical Exports To Fall 6.1% In 2026 - Kcci

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U.S. Stock Futures Rose Slightly, With S&P 500 Futures And Dow Jones Futures Up 0.3% And NASDAQ 100 Futures Up Nearly 0.3%

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Spot Gold Rose $9 To $4,338.5 Per Ounce In The Short Term; New York Gold Futures Rose 1.00% On The Day, Currently Trading At $4,371.60 Per Ounce

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Dollar/Yen Extends Fall, Down 0.47% To 155.10

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Bank Of Japan: Two Branches Expect Higher Pay Rises In Fiscal Year 2026, While Two Other Branches Expect Wage Growth To Slow

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Malaysia Says Special ASEAN Foreign Ministers Meeting Scheduled For Dec 16 Delayed To Dec 22 At Thailand's Request

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Bank Of Japan: Wages Of Part-Time Employees Are Being Raised Reflecting Relatively High Minimum Wage Growth In Fiscal 2025

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Bank Of Japan: Firms' Wage Growth Outlook Due To Need For Retaining Staff Amid Persistent, Severe Labour Shortages

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Bank Of Japan - While Large And Medium-Sized Firms Were Likely To Be Able To Raise As Much Wages In FY 2026 As They Did In FY 2025, It Would Be Difficult For Small Firms To Raise As Much Wages In FY 2026 As In FY 2025

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Bank Of Japan: Most Companies Seem To Believe That Wage Increases In Fiscal Year 2026 Should Be The Same As Or Similar To Those In Fiscal Year 2025

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Bank Of Japan: Number Of Firms Expecting A Clear Improvement In Their Profits Is Not Large

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          2025 Gold Technical Outlook Preview

          FOREX.com

          Economic

          Commodity

          Summary:

          See a technical preview of our 2025 Gold Outlook!

          Gold technical analysis and key levels to watch

          There is little doubt in our minds about the long-term gold outlook, even if the short-term direction looks somewhat murky. In fact, a short-term correction will make gold more attractive again after its big rally in 2024. A correction or continued consolidation will also help some of the longer-term momentum indicators such as the monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI) to work off their “overbought” conditions. Once some froth is removed, we will then be on the lookout for a strong bullish signal to emerge as prices near some of the potentially key support levels that we are monitoring.
          2025 Gold Technical Outlook Preview_1

          Key levels and trades to monitor on gold

          $2,075-$2,080: This range marks a key support zone on multiple long-term time frames, which served as major resistance between 2020 and 2023 and could act as a strong floor if prices retreat significantly. A drop to around this area would likely attract buyers who missed out on gold’s 2024 rally, reinforcing its long-term bullish outlook.
          Of course, gold may not dip that deep to reach the abovementioned $2,075-$2,080 range, before it starts it next leg up. If we instead witness only a modest retracement, which is what we expect, followed by some consolidative price action, such that gold forms a long-term continuation pattern, then in that case we would look for a breakout strategy to turn tactically bullish on gold again.
          $2,500: This is an additional support area we are monitoring with the 200-day moving average sitting about $25 below it.
          $2,700 is the most significant near-term resistance level to watch in 2025, where the resistance trend of the potential bull flag pattern meets prior resistance. A clean break above here could target the 2024 high of $2,790.
          $3,000 is the next big psychological level to watch should prices break to a new high in 2025. Expect at least some profit-taking around here.

          Putting it all together

          The 2025 gold outlook is shaped by a complex interplay of macroeconomic, geopolitical, and technical factors. While the early part of the year may present challenges, the metal’s long-term fundamentals remain strong. Inflationary pressures, central bank buying, and geopolitical uncertainties continue to support gold’s role as a strategic asset in diversified portfolios.
          For professional investors and retail traders alike, navigating the gold market in 2025 will require a balanced approach. Monitoring key economic indicators, currency movements, and geopolitical developments will be essential for identifying opportunities and managing risks. With a cautious start expected, patient investors could see gold regain its shine, ultimately pushing toward the coveted $3,000 mark.
          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          Tick Volume Indicator: What It Is and How to Use It

          Glendon

          Economic

          In the world of trading, understanding market volume is crucial for making informed decisions. While many traders rely on traditional volume indicators, the Tick Volume Indicator has emerged as a popular tool for assessing market activity. This article delves into what the Tick Volume Indicator is, how it works, and how traders can use it to enhance their strategies.

          What Is the Tick Volume Indicator?

          The Tick Volume Indicator measures the number of price changes or "ticks" that occur within a specific timeframe. Unlike actual volume, which records the number of contracts or shares traded, tick volume represents the frequency of price movements. This makes it particularly useful in markets like forex, where actual volume data is not always available due to the decentralized nature of trading.

          How Does Tick Volume Differ from Actual Volume?

          Understanding the distinction between tick volume and actual volume is key to utilizing this indicator effectively:
          Actual Volume: Represents the total number of units traded within a specific timeframe. This data is common in stock and futures markets but less accessible in forex.
          Tick Volume: Captures the number of price changes within the same timeframe. While it does not measure the actual quantity traded, it often correlates strongly with market activity.

          Why Use the Tick Volume Indicator?

          The Tick Volume Indicator offers several benefits:
          Market Activity Insight: It provides a snapshot of market activity, helping traders identify periods of high and low participation.
          Trend Confirmation: High tick volume during price movements can validate trends, while low tick volume may signal weak or uncertain trends.
          Divergence Detection: By comparing tick volume with price action, traders can spot potential reversals or continuations.

          How to Interpret the Tick Volume Indicator

          To make the most of the Tick Volume Indicator, traders must understand its key interpretations:
          High Tick Volume: Indicates strong market interest and can signal the start or continuation of a trend.
          Low Tick Volume: Suggests reduced activity, which may lead to price consolidation or a lack of trend direction.
          Volume Spikes: Sudden increases in tick volume often precede significant price movements, offering potential entry or exit points.

          Strategies for Using the Tick Volume Indicator

          Here are practical ways to incorporate the Tick Volume Indicator into your trading strategy:
          Trend Confirmation: Combine tick volume with trend indicators like moving averages or RSI to validate the strength of a trend.
          Breakout Trading: Use tick volume spikes to identify potential breakouts from key support and resistance levels.
          Divergence Analysis: Compare tick volume trends with price action to detect potential reversals or continuations.
          Risk Management: Monitor tick volume to gauge market conditions and adjust your risk accordingly. High volume often accompanies volatile movements, requiring tighter risk controls.

          Limitations of the Tick Volume Indicator

          While the Tick Volume Indicator is a valuable tool, it has limitations:
          No Actual Volume Data: It does not reflect the actual number of units traded, which may lead to misinterpretations in certain scenarios.
          Broker Dependency: Tick volume data can vary between brokers, affecting accuracy and consistency.
          Lagging Nature: Like most indicators, it may lag behind price action, making it less effective for real-time decisions.

          Conclusion

          The Tick Volume Indicator is a versatile tool that provides valuable insights into market activity, especially in markets like forex where actual volume data is unavailable. By understanding its nuances and integrating it with other indicators, traders can gain a deeper understanding of market dynamics and make more informed decisions. However, it is essential to be aware of its limitations and use it as part of a broader strategy.
          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          Why Forex Brokers Charge Commission Fees

          Glendon

          Economic

          Forex trading is an exciting and potentially profitable venture, but it comes with its costs. One of the common charges traders face when engaging in forex transactions is the commission fee. While many brokers offer commission-free trading, others charge a commission based on the volume of trades. Understanding why forex brokers charge these fees is essential for traders to make informed decisions about their costs and potential profitability.

          What Are Forex Commission Fees?

          A commission fee in forex trading is the amount a broker charges for facilitating a trade. Unlike the spread (the difference between the bid and ask price), the commission is a fixed or variable cost applied to the trade size. This fee is typically calculated per lot or per transaction and is separate from any spread or other fees that might apply.

          Why Do Forex Brokers Charge Commission Fees?

          There are several reasons why forex brokers impose commission fees on traders:

          To Cover Operational Costs

          Brokers incur various operational costs to maintain their platforms, process transactions, and provide customer support. Charging a commission fee helps them offset these expenses and keep their services running smoothly.

          To Offer Tight Spreads

          One reason some brokers charge a commission is that it allows them to offer tighter spreads. Tighter spreads mean there is less of a gap between the buying and selling price of a currency pair, which can benefit traders looking for low transaction costs. By charging a commission, brokers can lower the spread and create more attractive conditions for active traders.

          To Provide Transparency

          In a commission-based model, the cost of trading is clear and upfront. Unlike brokers who incorporate the cost into the spread, commission-based brokers ensure there are no hidden fees. This transparency allows traders to make more accurate cost-benefit analyses before placing trades.

          To Compete in a Crowded Market

          With a growing number of forex brokers in the market, competition is fierce. Offering a commission-based model can be a way for brokers to differentiate themselves from those offering wider spreads or higher fees. A competitive commission structure can attract traders who value transparency and lower costs.

          To Accommodate High-Volume Traders

          High-frequency traders or those who engage in large-volume trades may prefer commission-based pricing. Since commissions are often fixed or calculated based on volume, this pricing model can be more cost-effective for traders who make numerous trades. Brokers benefit by accommodating this type of trader, who generates substantial revenue through frequent transactions.

          How Commission Fees Impact Your Trading Costs

          While commission fees offer transparency, they can still impact a trader's overall profitability. Understanding how these fees affect your trading is important:

          Higher Trading Costs for Low-Volume Traders:

          For traders who do not engage in large trades, commission fees can become a significant cost. In such cases, the total cost of trading may end up being higher than trading with brokers that offer wider spreads but no commissions.

          Cost Efficiency for Active Traders:

          High-volume traders often benefit from commission-based models because the cost per trade can be lower than the total cost of trading with brokers who have high spreads. For frequent traders, commissions provide predictable costs, enabling more effective cost management.

          Impact on Profit Margins:

          Commissions can erode profits, especially in highly competitive markets. For small traders or those with tight margins, paying commission fees can reduce overall profitability. It’s essential to calculate the full cost of trading, including commissions, when assessing potential returns.

          How to Minimize the Impact of Commission Fees

          To minimize the effect of commission fees on your profitability, consider these strategies:

          Choose the Right Broker:

          Look for a broker that offers commission-free trading if you don’t plan to trade large volumes. Alternatively, if you are a high-volume trader, commission-based brokers with low rates may be more advantageous.

          Consider Trading Volume:

          If you're a frequent trader, a commission-based broker may work in your favor by offering low fees per transaction. For occasional traders, a broker with no commissions might be more cost-effective.

          Factor in Total Trading Costs:

          Always calculate the total trading cost, including both the spread and commissions, before choosing a broker. Understanding these costs helps you evaluate whether the broker offers competitive pricing relative to its services.

          Conclusion

          Forex brokers charge commission fees as a way to cover operational costs, offer competitive spreads, maintain transparency, and attract high-volume traders. While these fees can impact trading costs, understanding when and why they apply can help you choose the right broker for your trading style and goals. Whether you are a low-volume trader or an active participant in the forex market, it’s essential to factor in commission fees when evaluating the overall cost of your trading activities.
          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          How Do Forex Trading Robots Work

          Glendon

          Economic

          In recent years, forex trading robots, or Expert Advisors (EAs), have become increasingly popular among traders seeking automation and consistency in the fast-paced forex market. These software programs are designed to assist traders by automatically executing trades based on predetermined criteria, reducing the need for manual intervention. But how exactly do forex trading robots work, and are they effective in enhancing trading performance?

          What Are Forex Trading Robots?

          A forex trading robot is an automated software application that uses complex algorithms to analyze the forex market, execute trades, and manage positions without the need for human involvement. These robots operate on platforms like MetaTrader 4 (MT4) or MetaTrader 5 (MT5) and can be customized to follow a wide variety of strategies. Typically, they rely on technical indicators, such as moving averages, RSI, or MACD, to make decisions on when to buy, sell, or hold a position.
          Forex trading robots promise several benefits, including the ability to trade 24/7, remove emotional bias from trading decisions, and automate trading strategies that would otherwise be time-consuming to implement manually. However, before jumping into using a trading robot, it's crucial to understand how they work and what they offer.

          How Do Forex Trading Robots Work?

          The core function of a forex trading robot is to follow predefined rules for market entry, trade management, and exit. These rules are usually based on technical analysis, such as price trends, market patterns, and momentum indicators. Here's a closer look at how forex trading robots typically operate:
          Market Analysis: Forex trading robots constantly analyze the forex market using algorithms and technical indicators. These indicators help identify trends, support and resistance levels, and potential entry points. Robots can also process large amounts of data faster than humans, enabling them to spot trading opportunities in real-time. Commonly used indicators include moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), and Bollinger Bands.
          Trade Execution: Once the robot identifies a trade opportunity based on its analysis, it automatically executes the trade on behalf of the trader. This can include opening new positions, setting stop-loss and take-profit levels, and adjusting trades as necessary. The robot operates without human intervention, ensuring that trades are executed promptly, even in volatile market conditions.
          Risk Management: Effective risk management is an essential feature of most forex trading robots. These bots are programmed to apply stop-loss orders, take-profit targets, and even trailing stops to limit potential losses and lock in profits. The robot's risk management tools are designed to protect traders from significant drawdowns while allowing them to capitalize on market movements.
          Backtesting: Before being deployed in live markets, forex robots are often backtested using historical data to assess their effectiveness. This process helps traders evaluate the robot's performance in different market conditions and fine-tune its settings. Backtesting is an essential step, as it allows traders to assess whether the robot's strategy is sound and if it can deliver the expected results.

          Advantages of Using Forex Trading Robots

          Forex trading robots offer several advantages, especially for traders seeking a more automated approach to trading:
          24/7 Trading: Forex trading operates around the clock, and forex robots are designed to trade 24/7. This ensures that opportunities are never missed, even when the trader is not actively monitoring the market. The robot works through different time zones and can seize opportunities while the trader sleeps or attends to other responsibilities.
          Emotion-Free Trading: One of the biggest challenges in forex trading is emotional decision-making. Fear, greed, and impatience can lead to impulsive decisions and poor trade management. Forex robots follow their programmed rules without emotional bias, making them more consistent and objective than human traders.
          Consistency and Efficiency: Forex robots can execute trades with precision, ensuring that every trade is based on the same set of rules. This consistency helps avoid the mistakes that can arise from human error, such as missed trades, incorrect stop-loss placement, or delayed orders. Additionally, the speed at which robots execute trades can be beneficial in a fast-moving market.
          Backtesting and Optimization: Forex robots can be backtested on historical data, which helps traders evaluate how well the robot would have performed in the past. By adjusting settings and optimizing parameters, traders can fine-tune the robot's strategy to improve its future performance.

          Disadvantages and Limitations of Forex Trading Robots

          While forex trading robots offer several benefits, they also have limitations that traders should consider:
          Market Conditions Change: Forex robots are programmed based on historical data and predefined rules, which means they may struggle in changing market conditions. Robots that perform well in trending markets may not work as effectively during sideways or highly volatile conditions. Moreover, they cannot adapt to fundamental events like news releases or geopolitical shifts that affect currency prices.
          Algorithmic Limitations: A forex robot’s performance is only as good as the algorithm behind it. Poorly designed algorithms or those that aren’t well-optimized can lead to significant losses. It's crucial to thoroughly test and evaluate the robot before using it in live trading.
          Over-Reliance on Automation: While automation can be beneficial, it’s essential for traders to monitor their robots regularly. Over-relying on a robot without oversight can lead to unexpected losses, especially if market conditions change rapidly or the robot encounters an error.
          Costs: Many forex robots come with upfront costs or subscription fees. Some may require ongoing payments for updates or access to premium features. These costs should be factored into the trader's overall profitability when evaluating whether a forex robot is worth using.

          Are Forex Trading Robots Worth It?

          Forex trading robots can be highly effective tools for automating trading strategies and reducing the time spent on market analysis. They are particularly useful for traders who cannot dedicate significant time to monitoring the markets or for those looking to remove emotional biases from their decision-making process. However, it’s important to carefully evaluate the robot’s algorithm, backtest it, and remain involved in its performance to ensure that it aligns with your trading goals.
          Before integrating a trading robot into your strategy, take time to research, test, and understand how the robot works. Ultimately, while robots can enhance trading efficiency, they should not replace a well-rounded trading strategy and active market analysis.

          Conclusion

          Forex trading robots provide traders with the opportunity to automate their strategies and take advantage of the forex market 24/7. They can be an excellent tool for those looking to reduce emotional trading, increase efficiency, and improve consistency. However, like any trading tool, they come with risks and limitations that should be carefully considered before use. Whether you are a beginner or an experienced trader, understanding how forex trading robots work is essential to make informed decisions about their place in your trading strategy.
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          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          How to Finance the Adaptation Gap

          Justin

          Economic

          The world is not currently on track to achieve the Paris agreement’s goals. Emissions are continuing to rise, future emissions are forecast to be higher than the carbon budget consistent with limiting climate change to 1.5 degrees Celsius and fossil fuel production is expected to further increase given current policies.
          Global warming increases the severity and frequency of tropical storms, reduces agricultural productivity especially in the tropics, increases the incidence, morbidity and mortality of many infectious diseases and, by raising sea levels, threatens the existence of low-lying countries such as Kiribati. According to the World Bank, global warming may also push an additional 132m people into poverty.
          Significant investment is required to adapt to climate change. This investment is needed in a wide range of areas including infrastructure resilience projects such as seawalls, climate-smart agricultural programmes, such as developing drought-resistant crops, and ecosystem restoration, such as restoring wetlands.
          There is a significant finance adaptation gap. Adaptation investment stood at just $63bn in 2021-22, which is far below the $212bn needed per annum by 2030 for adaptation investment in developing countries alone. This investment is dominated by the public sector, with private sector financing making up just 2% of tracked adaptation investment. Going forward, increased private sector financing will be needed to assist countries, businesses and communities adapt to climate change.
          The limited private investment in tracked adaptation financing was reflected in interviews with pension funds and sovereign funds as part of OMFIF’s Transition Finance Working Group. None of these funds had set explicit targets for investment in adaptation, nor did they have adaptation investment strategies in place. In addition, only one fund explicitly mentioned that it had a plan to focus more on adaptation financing.

          Five steps for global funds

          Going forward, pension and sovereign funds could consider five steps to ratchet up their adaptation financing.
          First, funds should consider how they will define, measure and report investment in adaptation. This may involve actively engaging with existing initiatives such as the Adaptation and Resilience Investors Collaborative, which has published a report providing a clear, consistent and robust framework for measuring the impact of investments on adaptation and resilience. It may also involve funds integrating this framework into their internal and external reporting processes.
          Second, funds should consider setting explicit targets for investment in adaptation. This would mirror the approach taken by some sovereign funds and pension funds that have set explicit targets for mitigation financing.
          Third, funds may wish to actively engage with the companies that they are invested in to ensure that they are well-placed to take advantage of increased demand for adaptation solutions. For example, have agricultural products companies fully considered future demand for drought-resistant crops? Are construction companies well placed to profit from future demand for seawalls and other flood defences?
          Fourth, given that some climate change adaptation investments may have broad societal benefits but limited financial returns, pension funds and sovereign funds may need to work with concessional financiers and governments to ensure that adaption investments offer the risk-adjusted returns necessary to attract private capital. A key reform in this area may be further developing risk-tolerant structures whereby concessional financiers assume initial losses when co-investing with pension funds and sovereign funds.
          Fifth, given that there is an urgent need for adaptation investment in small island developing states, which have small populations and economies, many projects may be too small to attract larger sovereign funds and pension funds, and financial mechanisms may need to be developed to pool investments across numerous jurisdictions.
          In conclusion, there is an urgent need for increased investment in adaptation. Going forward sovereign funds and pension funds could undertake further work to define, measure and report adaptation investments, set explicit targets for investment in adaptation and increase blended and pooled financing of adaptation.

          Source:Daniel Wilde

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          The Value of Vehicles

          UBS

          Economic

          ETFs are a relatively newcomer to the investment world but have recorded spectacular growth since their launch in 1990. Total AUM in ETFs have now reached USD 14 trillion globally, and exceed AUM in hedge funds. Given ETFs' increasing share of overall index assets, we believe investors need to be aware of their specifics when selecting an investment vehicle for their index portfolio. Below, we outline some of the key points that investors should consider when assessing the suitability of different investment vehicle options for their index portfolios.
          Structure and regulation: Segregated accounts are created for and managed on behalf of one investor only and they are typically unregulated. Such structure allows literally unlimited degree of flexibility in terms of mandate customisation to suit investor's specific requirements. In contrast, ETFs are organised as pooled vehicles open to many investors. They are listed on regulated exchanges, trade throughout the day and are continuously priced, just like common stocks. ETFs are regulated by national and supra-national investment directives, such as the UCITS directive in the EU. Although customisation is not available on ETFs, the vast range of ETFs available on practically any index allows investors to select from a variety of exposures. ETFs offer three key advantages: intraday liquidity, holdings transparency, and certainty of execution. They can be traded on the primary stock exchange, on multi-lateral trading facilities via the request for quote protocol and off exchange via the systematic internalizer regime. They can be traded on risk or versus NAV depending on the client’s execution strategy. Unlike other pooled funds, there is no concept of a swing adjustment so the client knows the ETF price or spread to NAV before trading. ETF providers are required to publish the full holdings daily.
          Cost: Segregated accounts and ETFs are priced differently and the overall cost, for a product tracking the same index, could vary significantly between the two. As a general rule, for larger size long term mandates segregated accounts tend to be a more cost effective solution than ETFs, but investors need to consider the specifics associated with the cost of the two investment vehicles, including:
          ETFs typically quote total expense ratio (TER) which, as the name suggests, is an all-encompassing flat fee that all investors in the ETF would pay, irrespective of the size of their portfolio.The cost of a segregated portfolio comprises several components, including management fee, index fee, and custody fee. Management fee, paid to the index manager, is negotiable and impacted, among other factors, by portfolio size, index complexity and index geographical exposure. Index fee includes asset-based index licence fee and index data fee, paid to the index provider, typically applies to all index portfolios, and, depending on the portfolio size and index type, could be the highest component of the overall fee. Custody fee, paid to the custodian, is usually negotiated between the client and the custodian of their choice.
          Stock lending income can help offset the cost for both ETFs and segregated accounts, although investors in segregated accounts would have more control over the stock lending arrangements. Investors in ETFs may be able to earn additional stock lending income from lending the ETF.
          Operational set-up: ETFs are operationally easy and quick to access for investors: they are long-only instruments with continuous pricing, have no maturity date and trading ETFs is analogous to trading cash equities. ETFs benefit from no onboarding requirement with the ETF provider and anonymity of investment. Segregated accounts tend to have a longer operational set-up process, involving execution of Investment Management Agreement, which is tailored for every segregated portfolio, custody set-up with the client's preferred custodian and customised reporting. In emerging markets opening custody accounts could be a long and somewhat expensive process.
          Transparency: Both segregated accounts and ETFs are highly transparent investment vehicles, but their transparency stems from different aspects. ETFs' transparency is related mostly to their structure and set-up, i.e., continuous trading throughout the day on regulated exchanges and daily disclosure of holdings. Segregated accounts' transparency occurs because the underlying equities are owned directly by the client, allowing continuous transparency, if required. One area where transparency tends to be higher for ETFs compared to segregated accounts is performance: performance for segregated accounts typically occurs on a monthly basis while for ETFs it is available daily.
          Customisation: As pooled vehicles are open to many investors, ETFs and index funds do not offer any customised features – to put it simply, investors get what’s ‘written on the tin’. However, the vast range of ETFs available on practically any index allows investors to select from a variety of exposures. Segregated accounts, in contrast, can be tailored to client's specific requirements from a number of angles. Clients can select a custom index as a benchmark for their index portfolio, or they can opt to keep the underlying index unchanged and apply the customisation on the portfolio via a custom rules-based strategy.
          Direct ownership of underlying: The topic of direct ownership of underlying is, in a way, related to the topic of customisation. Because ETFs are pooled vehicles open to many investors, clients don’t typically have control over matters such as trading for index changes, corporate actions treatment, risk budget utilisation, and voting (the latter is starting to change with potential opportunities to vote in certain exposures). Investors with segregated accounts, on the other hand, have a very high degree of control, as they could discuss and agree with their index manager the most efficient trading strategy and risk budget utilisation, stock lending arrangements, voting and engagement policy to match their specific requirements.
          Trading and liquidity: ETFs are usually traded on risk (an arrival price benchmark) or versus NAV (NAV benchmark). Increasingly we are seeing ETFs traded via dedicated fair value algorithms. The client is in full control of the execution strategy in terms of how to trade (exchange, multi-lateral trading facility or over the counter), when to trade (risk or versus NAV) and with whom to trade (which broker to trade with via the request for quote protocol). ETF investors can choose an execution strategy in line with their best execution policy. ETFs benefit from the concept of netting. In the secondary market ETFs buyers and sellers may match off therefore there is no primary market trade. As there is no primary market trade ETF investors may benefit from a reduced bid-ask spread versus NAV. Netting can be very beneficial in exposures with a large creation redemption spread due to taxes and stamp duties. The liquidity and spread of an ETF is a function of the liquidity and spread of the hedge. The hedge can be the underlying constituents, futures, other ETFs or the ETF itself. ETFs benefit from explicit liquidity (i.e. the ADV of the ETF itself) and implicit liquidity (i.e. what could be traded by analysing the liquidity of the hedge alternatives). An ETF tracking the S&P 500 Index that has never traded is not illiquid as it has high implicit liquidity due to its ability to be hedged with S&P 500 futures.
          Segregated accounts, on the other hand, are traded with one particular entity and would not typically be economically viable for very low investments, given the initial set-up costs.
          Withholding tax on dividends: The impact of withholding tax (WHT) on dividends on client portfolios varies significantly depending on, among other factors, client type, domicile and vehicle jurisdiction. While we do not offer tax advice, segregated accounts could be highly efficient vehicles for pension funds as they typically benefit from favourable tax treatment on dividends in certain jurisdictions. Investment in ETFs, on the other hand, could be subject to WHT on the dividend. When dividends are paid in the ETF, the level of non-reclaimable WHT would depend on the domicile of the ETF. If and when dividends are paid out of the ETF to investors, they may also be subject to WHT depending on the domicile of the ETF and the investors. Therefore, when selecting an ETF, investors would typically consider simultaneously the fund domicile, the tax treatment on ETF dividend distributions, and their tax position on distributions, in order to optimise their total cost of ownership.
          Ultimately, segregated mandates are typically more suitable and cost-effective for longer term, larger size investments, especially with customisation, for institutional investors, while ETFs might be more suitable for institutional, wholesale and retail clients with portfolios of any size, given they could be highly liquid, cheaper to trade and faster to set up. In practice, many institutional clients often invest their index portfolio in a mix of segregated accounts and ETFs.
          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          The Way the Music Died: Tariffs Could Hit Musical Instrument Imports

          PIIE

          Economic

          Conservative politics make for good music. The Nixon administration inspired anti-Vietnam war songs like “Fortunate Son” and “What’s Going On.” Ronald Reagan’s first term yielded “Born in the USA,” in which Bruce Springsteen smuggled social commentary on Vietnam and US industrial decline inside a hook so strong and anthemic that it has been serially misunderstood by reactionary politicians ever since. The first Trump administration elicited Childish Gambino’s “This is America.” And decades before all of this, Woodie Guthrie was wielding a six-string that killed fascists.
          Whatever creative songsmiths have on tap for the second Trump administration, the means of production will be more expensive if the president-elect follows through on his threats and campaign promises to raise tariffs. The musical instrument market is highly globalized, and threatened tariffs on China in particular will hit the entry-level market – students, teenagers looking to turn mowed lawns into rock star dreams, and cash-strapped school music programs – the hardest.
          President-elect Trump promised during the campaign to impose tariffs of 10 to 20 percent on all imports, with an even higher 60 percent tariff on all imports from China. More recently, Trump threatened a 25 percent tariff on Canadian and Mexican imports, which has disabused US trading partners of the notion that active free trade agreements will spare them from real or threatened tariffs.
          If caught up in Trump’s promised tariffs, the musical instrument trade would be one illustration of how the Trump’s trade measures will affect Americans’ lives by raising prices and reducing supply. The irony is that the globalization of the musical instrument industry has turned out pretty well for all involved, the United States included. It’s a clear example of the virtues of specialization, gains from trade, and market segmentation. These benefits are obvious when looking at specific firms.
          Take the Fender Musical Instruments Corporation, the United States’ largest manufacturer of guitars. Fender produces versions of its iconic Stratocaster in five locations: California, Mexico, Japan, Indonesia, and China. American-made Stratocasters are considered top of the line, made by skilled American luthiers and assembly technicians, and retail for $1,200 and up (way, way up for boutique models). Mexican-made Stratocasters use similar components but take advantage of wage differentials between the United States and Mexico to offer high-quality instruments at a lower price point ($800 to $1,350). Production quantities in Japan are small, tailored to Japanese tastes, and similar in price to US-built models. Chinese-made and Indonesian-made “Squier” versions of the Stratocaster leverage those countries’ cost competitiveness in both inputs and labor to bring beginner-level instruments to market for $200 to $600. Because of its global supply chains, Fender is able to serve the high-end, collector-grade, mid-grade, and beginner markets, both in the United States and abroad. This is an almost textbook example of how globalization makes a wide range of products at different price points available to a global consumer base.
          There would be a lot fewer guitar players in the United States if the only available instruments were American-made guitars. Those teens mowing lawns for guitar money would be middle-aged by the time they saved enough to purchase an American-made Strat. And American-made guitars would have a much smaller market if they could not be sold the world over.
          This kind of distributed, segmented production is not just the purview of guitar makers. The same pattern is generally true of brass, woodwind, and stringed instruments. Yamaha produces professional grade trumpets in Japan but manufactures their entry-level, student models in China. Ditto for their woodwind and stringed instruments. And it’s not just true of US or Japanese firms. The same story is true of Germany’s Sonor Drums – the R&D, product design, and high-end drums are German-made, but their entry-level drum sets are produced in China. And they do so for the same reason Fender does: to offer a quality but not premium instrument at an affordable price. And this doesn’t even get into the various components (like the little metal bits, including drum lugs and guitar bridges), many of which are made in China.
          Trade in musical instruments is dominated by a small set of exporters and importers with large market shares: The top ten exporters (see figure below) account for 84 percent of global exports. China and Indonesia are the largest exporters and run large trade surpluses. The countries with the largest trade deficits in musical instruments are the United States, the United Kingdom, and Australia, even though the United States is a large exporter itself. These patterns make sense if one considers musical instruments luxury goods: The market for the high-end products produced in advanced economies is inherently smaller – and for the US, more dominated by US-based consumers rather than exports – than the market for lower-end products produced by China and Indonesia, which serves not just the entry-level market in advanced economies but professional and gigging players in developing and middle-income countries.
          The Way the Music Died: Tariffs Could Hit Musical Instrument Imports_1
          The implications of Trump’s tariffs for the US musical instrument market are straightforward: It will have limited impact on high-end instruments but will increase prices significantly for beginner and student models. These models are overwhelmingly made in China and are precisely the models the musical instrument industry relies on to create its consumer base of the future.
          Production may shift to other countries, with Indonesia being a likely candidate to pick up market share. But those products would still be 10 to 20 percent more expensive than they would have been otherwise, and the costs of reorienting these supply chains and moving production out of China to avoid US tariffs will be absorbed by consumers – not just in the United States, but the world over. And like other regressive aspects of Trump’s proposed tariffs, the hardest hit segment of the market will be the lower income households and school music programs that need a reliable supply of relatively inexpensive instruments.
          Musical instruments account for just 0.04 percent of global exports, but their cultural import is vast. Many instruments are as iconic as the musicians who play them: Jimi Hendrix’s upside-down Stratocaster, Taylor Swift’s bedazzled Taylor acoustics, John Bonham’s see-through Ludwig Vistalite drums. Half of US households have at least one member who plays an instrument. China now has the largest musical instrument market in the world and is among the fastest growing market for Fender guitars. Music is a truly universal language with many practical benefits, especially for children and young people, such as building coordination, memory, and study habits.
          US consumers and manufacturers have been well-served by the globalization of the musical instrument industry, and there is no plausible argument to be made that tariffs are necessary to protect US industry or US manufacturers. Their American-made musical instruments are world renowned and industry-leading. US instrument manufacturers don’t want to produce entry-level instruments, because it would be a huge misallocation of their globally scarce highly skilled labor.
          As a share of the potential economic costs of rising protectionism and geoeconomic fragmentation, the effects for the musical instrument market would be a rounding error. But the costs to our humanity, and our ability to speak a common, harmonious language, could be enormous.
          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          The risk of loss in trading financial instruments such as stocks, FX, commodities, futures, bonds, ETFs and crypto can be substantial. You may sustain a total loss of the funds that you deposit with your broker. Therefore, you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances and financial resources.

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