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SYMBOL
LAST
BID
ASK
HIGH
LOW
NET CHG.
%CHG.
SPREAD
SPX
S&P 500 Index
6857.13
6857.13
6857.13
6865.94
6827.13
+7.41
+ 0.11%
--
DJI
Dow Jones Industrial Average
47850.93
47850.93
47850.93
48049.72
47692.96
-31.96
-0.07%
--
IXIC
NASDAQ Composite Index
23505.13
23505.13
23505.13
23528.53
23372.33
+51.04
+ 0.22%
--
USDX
US Dollar Index
98.850
98.930
98.850
98.980
98.740
-0.130
-0.13%
--
EURUSD
Euro / US Dollar
1.16581
1.16589
1.16581
1.16715
1.16408
+0.00136
+ 0.12%
--
GBPUSD
Pound Sterling / US Dollar
1.33515
1.33525
1.33515
1.33622
1.33165
+0.00244
+ 0.18%
--
XAUUSD
Gold / US Dollar
4223.31
4223.74
4223.31
4230.62
4194.54
+16.14
+ 0.38%
--
WTI
Light Sweet Crude Oil
59.334
59.364
59.334
59.480
59.187
-0.049
-0.08%
--

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Amd Chief Says Company Ready To Pay 15% Tax On Ai Chip Shipments To China

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Norway To Acquire 2 More Submarines, Long-Range Missiles, Daily Vg Reports

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Reserve Bank Of India Chief Malhotra: Goal Is To Have Inflation Be Around 4%

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          Record Surge in Gold Prices Fueled by Asian Central Bank Purchases

          Chandan Gupta

          Commodity

          Traders' Opinions

          Summary:

          Asian central banks' gold purchases drive prices to new highs. China's rising gold reserves underscore its gold asset strategy. Robust U.S. economy and inflation data indicate ongoing gold market expansion.

          Gold Market Outlook

          Gold prices reached new highs, marking a record seventh consecutive session of increase. This surge is primarily attributed to significant purchases by Asian central banks, despite a stronger U.S. dollar and high interest rates.

          Central Banks’ Influence on Gold Prices

          The People’s Bank of China (PBoC) and the Reserve Bank of India have been actively increasing their gold reserves, contributing to the recent spike in gold prices. China’s gold reserves grew to 72.74 million fine troy ounces in March, signaling strong official sector demand. This substantial buying by global central banks is a key driver of the current price surge.

          China’s Foreign Exchange and Gold Reserves

          China’s foreign exchange reserves, the largest globally, rose to $3.246 trillion in March. Concurrently, the value of China’s gold reserves increased to $161.07 billion. These factors, coupled with the yuan’s depreciation against the dollar, underscore the nation’s growing interest in gold as a reserve asset.

          Market Reactions and Predictions

          Despite challenges from strong U.S. economic data and potential interest rate hike delays, bullion prices have climbed over 13% this year. UBS has revised its year-end bullion target to $2,250 per ounce, anticipating increased demand and ETF buying. However, physical gold demand in India has been muted due to rising domestic prices.

          U.S. Economic Indicators and Treasury Yields

          Investors are closely monitoring U.S. Treasury yields and key economic data, including the March consumer price index (CPI) and producer price index (PPI), to gauge inflation trends and interest rate expectations. The robust labor market data, with nonfarm payrolls exceeding estimates, suggests a potentially prolonged period of high interest rates.

          US Dollar and Global Economic Indicators

          The U.S. dollar remains firm, influenced by recent jobs data and expectations for the upcoming inflation report. Global currency trends this week will also be affected by the European Central Bank meeting. With mixed signals from Federal Reserve officials, the market is seeking clarity on the economic outlook and rate decisions.

          Short-Term Market Forecast

          Considering the strong central bank buying, the resilience of the U.S. economy, and the upcoming inflation data, the gold market appears to be in a bullish phase. Central banks’ continued interest in gold, combined with global economic uncertainties, suggests that gold prices may continue to rise in the short term.

          Technical Analysis

          Record Surge in Gold Prices Fueled by Asian Central Bank Purchases_1
          XAU/USD is in an uptrend with no visible resistance, however, a close below $2330.16 will signal that the selling is greater than the buying at current price levels.
          A trade through the intraday high at $2354.16 will signal a resumption of the uptrend, while a move through $2267.78 will change the minor trend to down.
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
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          How India Can Take China’s Growth Crown

          Alex

          Economic

          China is slowing and Western governments increasingly see it as a rival rather than an economic partner. On its southwestern border, another rising economy is vying to take its place as the world’s next growth driver.
          India’s stock market is booming, foreign investment is flooding in and governments are lining up to sign new trade deals with the youthful market of 1.4 billion people. Aircraft makers like Boeing Inc. are taking record orders, Apple Inc. is scaling up iPhone production, and suppliers that have long clustered around manufacturing corridors of southern China are following.
          For all the optimism, India’s $3.5 trillion economy is still dwarfed by the $17.8 trillion behemoth that is China and economists say it would take a lifetime to catch up. Shoddy roads, patchy education, red tape and a lack of skilled workers are just a few of the many deficiencies western companies run into when setting up shop.
          But there’s one important measure where India could overtake its northern neighbor far more quickly: As the engine of global economic growth. Bullish investment banks, such as Barclays, believe that India can become the world’s largest contributor to growth within Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s next term. His party is widely expected to win elections set to begin in weeks.
          Exclusive analysis by Bloomberg Economics is even more optimistic, finding that India can reach that milestone by 2028 on a purchasing power parity basis. To get there, Modi will need to hit ambitious goals in four crucial development areas — building better infrastructure, expanding the skills and participation of the workforce, building better cities to house all those workers, and luring more factories to provide them jobs.How India Can Take China’s Growth Crown_1
          There is a template. Following reforms in the late 1970s that opened its economy to the world, China’s growth averaged 10% a year for three decades. That made it a magnet for foreign capital and gave it greater clout on the world stage. Every big global company had to have a China strategy.
          But the so-called ‘miracle’ phase of China’s expansion is now in the past as a property crisis intersects with growing Western concerns over its dominance of supply chains and advances in sensitive technologies.
          That’s where India comes in. Modi’s government is seeking to make the Indian economy more competitive, a shift that’s appealing to Western businesses looking to diversify away from China in search of a deep well of cheap labor. Modi has made India’s accelerating economy a major part of his election pitch, pledging at a rally last year to lift the country’s economy “to the top position in the world” should he win a third term.
          The government’s allocation to infrastructure has more than tripled from five years ago to above 11 trillion rupees ($132 billion) for the 2025 fiscal year, a figure that could exceed 20 trillion rupees if states’ spending is thrown in. Modi is projected to invest 143 trillion rupees to improve rail, roads, ports, waterways and other crucial infrastructure in the six years through 2030.
          At the same time, his government has sought to tamp down inflation by banning exports of wheat and rice. Earlier this decade, the government rolled out incentive programs of some 2.7 trillion rupees to encourage domestic manufacturing, with companies getting tax breaks, lower land rates, and capital to set up factories in India from states as well.
          In Bloomberg Economics’s base case scenario, India’s economy will accelerate to 9% by the end of the decade, while China slows to 3.5%. That puts India on course to overtake China as the world’s biggest growth driver by 2028. Even in the most pessimistic scenario — in line with the IMF’s projections for the next five years in which growth stays below 6.5% — India overtakes China’s contribution in 2037.
          Of course, all forecasting by definition relies on incomplete information. Black swan events or an economic shock can throw any forecast out the window.
          In a recent interview, India’s Chief Economic Adviser V. Anantha Nageswaran cautioned against making comparisons with China given the size of its economy is much larger. But he noted that India’s growth potential, its younger population, infrastructure buildout and the potential to expand its middle class to as many as 800 million people represents a clear value proposition for foreign investors.
          “That is the biggest draw,” he said. “It’s not just cost competitiveness, it’s also the marketplace, the ability to generate economic returns, the rule of law and the stability of policies with respect to international investors being able to repatriate your money relatively easily.”
          In some sectors — such as aviation — there is evidence that India’s lofty growth expectations might just pan out.
          Last year, IndiGo, the country’s biggest airline, and Air India Ltd. placed record deals for 970 aircraft with Airbus SE. and Boeing. India’s newest airline, Akasa, also ordered 150 jets from Boeing earlier this year.
          Salil Gupte, president of Boeing India, said a combination of new airports, an array of aviation startups and growing demand for domestic travel stemming from a rising middle class are fueling demand for planes.
          “You see startup airlines that have grown faster than any other startups in the history of aviation coming up in India over the last year,” he said. “All of those factors drive a significant civil aviation market opportunity.”
          The U.S. company in January inaugurated a new engineering center in Bengaluru in southern India that will cost $200 million and be the company’s largest investment outside of the US when complete, coming on top of a pledge to spend $100 million on infrastructure and pilot training over the next two decades to meet the growing demand for pilots.How India Can Take China’s Growth Crown_2
          Economists point to new infrastructure as a key ingredient for faster development. Airports illustrate the potential for catch up growth: India last year had about 148 airports, lagging China by more than 100, and aims to boost the number to 220 by next year.
          Infrastructure spending is critical for rapid development because it provides jobs and serves as a growth multiplier by cutting logistics costs, facilitating trade and encouraging businesses to set up shop once transport links have been made.
          That’s what’s happening in Noida on the southeastern edge of the capital city New Delhi, where vast blocks of new electronics factories have sprung up, evoking the rapid expansion of the manufacturing districts of Shenzhen in southern China in prior decades.
          Dixon Technologies Ltd., an Indian contract manufacturer, has broken ground on a 1 million square-foot mobile-phone assembly plant on a plot of land rimmed by orchards and wide highways in Noida’s south. On a recent visit, more than 200 hard-hatted workers were on site tearing up the earth and laying the foundation for the factory that will begin to churn out smartphones next year.
          The company’s workforce has grown from around 9,000 before the pandemic to about 26,000 today, explains Sunil Vachani, the chairman and co-founder. Vachani said Dixon is benefitting from a boom in new business from clients like Chinese smartphone maker Xiaomi Corp. and South Korea’s Samsung Electronics Co. wishing to use its factories to manufacture goods for India’s rising middle class.
          “What we’re used to seeing in China is these large mega factories, where thousands of people are working on one campus and live on that campus,” said Vachani. “We are also trying to do that in India.”
          Expanding India’s manufacturing capacity is critical to boosting growth. The service sector simply doesn’t create enough jobs and generally recruits from the educated labor pool, whereas the manufacturing sector relies more heavily on large numbers of less skilled workers — a key force that helped power China’s economy and put its massive labor force to work.
          “We have this very large, surplus labor in agriculture that cannot tomorrow start writing code,” said Sabyasachi Kar, professor at the Institute of Economic Growth, a Delhi think tank. Manufacturing “is the process through which we have to bring these people out of the agriculture sector and into employment.”
          Dixon’s Vachani said he has no problems recruiting workers for his factories from the nearby towns of Uttar Pradesh, the state where Noida is located. With about 200 million people, Uttar Pradesh is India’s most populous state and is known for its large agricultural economy and high unemployment rate.
          “If you want to set up a factory employing 50,000 people, you can do that today,” he said. “You can get that manpower within a month, maximum.”
          India stands out as the sole country with a population large enough to offset retiring factory workers in advanced economies and China. Bloomberg Economics estimates that some 48.6 million medium skilled workers — typically employed on the factory floor — will retire from China and advanced economies from 2020 to 2040. In the same period, India will add 38.7 million such workers.
          How India Can Take China’s Growth Crown_3
          Modi has sought to lure manufacturers with heavy incentives such as tax cuts, rebates and capital support. The strategy has had early success with firms like Apple and Samsung Electronics Co. ramping up production.
          But they are often assembling phones from parts made in China, rather than building them from scratch. Earlier this year, India reduced tariffs on several mobile-device components to boost production and make its exports competitive. Industries including textiles, leather, and engineering goods have also made the case for lower import duties.
          “There’s no doubt that we are still dependent on China,” says Vachani. “I think it’s moving in the right direction, but I think it’s still there.”
          Despite years of efforts to boost manufacturing, it still only accounted for about 15.8% of India’s GDP output in 2023 compared with 26.4% in China, according to the latest national statistics. Even if India’s manufacturing sector consistently grows by three percentage points more than the headline growth, the country wouldn’t attain Modi’s goal of 25% share in manufacturing until 2040, according to Bloomberg Economics.
          One major obstacle for India is labor force participation, or the share of the working-age population that’s actually working or looking for a job. India has one of the world’s lowest, at 55.4% in 2022, according to the International Labour Organization, compared with 76% in China. For women, the figure is lower still — less than a third of working-age Indian women participate in the workforce.
          “We need all the jobs we can get,” said Raghuram Rajan, a former governor of India’s central bank who now teaches at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business. “I would make India an inviting place for manufacturers, domestic and foreign, to set up if they can.”
          But first, India needs to make its workforce more employable.
          “India has a lot of extremes. It has the brightest minds, and then the greatest institutes in India that compete with the Ivy League universities, but then on average human capital levels are just not quite comparable to most other countries in the region, let alone higher or more developed countries,” said Alexandra Hermann, lead economist for Asia macro at Oxford Economics Ltd.
          Then there’s the need to house all those workers as they shift from rural areas to cities. Just 36% of India’s population live in cities versus 64% in China, with decades of urbanization needed to close that gap.
          “India needs a lot more cities,” said Santanu Sengupta, India economist at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. in Mumbai. “There is a lot of progress already happening in terms of interconnectivity for the cities, in terms of more railway network, better infrastructure for airports and so forth. But there are crucial problems like water, like traffic, like our big housing that needs to be solved.”
          If Indian policymakers can build more homes in better functioning cities and get more people trained and into the manufacturing sector, the country is ideally placed to cash in on the global search for the next China. But even then, it’ll have to contend with something China didn’t during its economic ascent — the existence of a massive rival that overwhelmingly dominates global supply chains.
          Ashok Gupta, chairman of Optiemus Infracom Ltd., an electronics manufacturer based in Noida, said his company has been a beneficiary as sentiment toward China sours and foreign firms look to diversify their supply chains. The company last year announced a joint venture with Corning Inc., the US maker of glass for smartphone screens and other products, and the two are set to open a factory in southern India next year.
          “The geopolitical situation, that is an opportunity for us,” he said. But he conceded that Indian manufacturers still have a long way to go to compete with Chinese rivals. For example, the factory with Corning will not actually be manufacturing smartphone glass, but instead will be importing it in sheets to finish and fashion into the final product, he said.
          “In this industry, China is 20 years ahead,” he said. “We are only starting.”

          Source:Bloomberg

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          S&P 500 and Nasdaq Experience Volatility Amid Pressure from Elevated Bond Yields

          Ukadike Micheal

          Economic

          Cryptocurrency

          Stocks

          The S&P 500 and Nasdaq exhibited uncertainty in early trading on Monday as rising Treasury yields fueled speculation that the Federal Reserve might delay interest-rate cuts in 2024. Last week's hawkish commentary from central bank officials, alongside stronger-than-expected economic reports, suggested a resilient U.S. economy, reducing pressure on the Fed to swiftly implement rate cuts.
          Investors recalibrated their expectations on the timing of rate cuts, with the probability of the Fed announcing its first rate cut in June decreasing to around 51%, down from approximately 58% at the beginning of the previous week. Moreover, expectations of more than three rate cuts this year have been tempered, with the market now anticipating between three and four cuts, compared to the previous outlook of more than three cuts.
          The focus now turns to the upcoming release of the March U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI), which is expected to show a rise in headline inflation to 3.4% year-on-year. Additionally, investors await the minutes from the Fed's latest meeting, where the central bank adhered to its guidance of three rate cuts in 2024.
          Market participants will also closely monitor commentary from Federal Reserve officials Austan Goolsbee and Neel Kashkari for further policy cues. Meanwhile, Wells Fargo has raised its year-end target for the S&P 500 index to 5,535, the highest among Wall Street brokerages, signaling optimism about the market's performance.
          Amidst the market's fluctuations, Tesla shares surged by 4.6% following CEO Elon Musk's announcement of plans to unveil the Robotaxi on August 8. In early trading, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up by 0.19%, the S&P 500 was nearly flat, and the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.09%.
          Cryptocurrency-related stocks experienced gains in tandem with rising bitcoin prices, with companies like Coinbase Global, Marathon Digital, and MicroStrategy adding between 8.2% and 11.2%.
          Overall, the market exhibited a positive tone, with advancing issues outnumbering decliners on both the NYSE and Nasdaq exchanges. The S&P index and Nasdaq recorded several new highs, indicating underlying strength in certain sectors despite the prevailing uncertainty surrounding Fed policy and economic conditions.
          While the market navigates through fluctuations driven by interest-rate speculation and economic indicators, investors should remain vigilant and adaptable to changing market dynamics. The upcoming CPI release and further commentary from Federal Reserve officials will likely provide additional clarity on the direction of monetary policy and its implications for the broader market.

          Source: Reuters

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          Dollar Edges Higher Ahead of U.S. Inflation Data, Yen Nears 1990 Lows

          Warren Takunda

          Economic

          Forex

          The dollar rose slightly on Monday as investors looked ahead to U.S. inflation data later this week, while the yen slipped close to 34-year lows as traders remained on alert for any potential action in Tokyo to support the weakening currency.
          The dollar fluctuated last week as traders digested a mixed bag of U.S. economic data, with a slowdown in services growth followed by unexpectedly strong hiring numbers that prompted the market to pare bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts this year.
          The dollar index, which tracks the greenback against six major peers, was last up 0.1% on Monday at 104.39, while U.S. Treasury yields, which reflect interest rate move expectations, pushed higher.
          U.S. consumer price inflation for March on Wednesday will be the next big test for dollar strength, while the European Central Bank policy meeting on Thursday is the other main economic marker for big global currencies this week.
          “The latest developments have increased the risk that the (Federal Reserve) could lag behind other major central banks when lowering interest rates,” currency analysts at MUFG said in a note. “Another upside inflation surprise could trigger a bigger hawkish reassessment of Fed rate-cut expectations and open the door for the U.S. dollar to break higher,” the note added.
          The dollar strengthened 0.16% against the yen on the day to 151.88, putting it within a whisker of its highest since July 1990.
          Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida said on Friday authorities will use “all available means” to deal with excessive yen falls, stressing Tokyo’s readiness to intervene in the market to prop up the currency.
          Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda addressed the country’s parliament on Monday, but gave little away on monetary policy and said he had succeeded in adopting a simpler policy framework.
          A former top currency official in Japan, Takehiko Nakao, told Reuters that authorities could intervene in the foreign exchange market to stem sharp falls in the yen “at any time” if the moves were sufficient.
          “The upside in dollar-yen is limited and the daily range is very low because of the risk of intervention by Japanese authorities,” said Nomura currency strategist Jin Moteki.
          The euro dipped 0.1% at $1.08305, while sterling was last trading at $1.26255, down 0.1% on the day.
          The base case for the ECB is to hold rates this week and possibly reinforce the possibility of a cut in June. But while the ECB is increasingly confident that inflation is heading back to its 2% target, it has remained vague about further easing.
          In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin last rose 5.3% to $71,230.

          Source: CNBC

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          Resilience of Natural Gas Amid Market Headwinds

          Chandan Gupta

          Traders' Opinions

          Commodity

          Flat Trade to Open New Week

          Natural gas futures are exhibiting minimal movement on Monday, indicating uncertainty amidst consolidation just above a significant long-term low. This price action reflects a blend of short-term weather demand outlook and a longer-term anticipation of production cuts leading to reduced stockpiles.

          Last Week’s Performance

          Despite a myriad of bearish factors, the U.S. natural gas market showed resilience last week, with futures posting a modest uptick. The primary driver was the expectation of sustained low output in the coming weeks, attributed to ongoing declines in gas rig counts. Settlement for US Natural Gas futures stood at $1.785, marking a 1.25% increase. Notably, there was a significant decline in natural gas production, with average output in the Lower 48 states dropping to 99.1 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd) in April. The reduction is linked to fewer active gas rigs, particularly in the Haynesville shale region. Maintenance activities on key pipelines further contributed to pricing anomalies.

          Demand Factors

          Weather forecasts indicate a shift towards warmer conditions, potentially reducing heating-related gas consumption. Power outages in the Northeast and the anticipated impact of a solar eclipse on solar generation could also temporarily dampen demand. LSEG projects a decline in gas demand over the next few weeks, reflecting these factors.

          Market Influences

          Trends in the oil market, including a surge in U.S. oil futures and divergence in LNG and oil trading outcomes by Shell, have indirect effects on natural gas prices. Moreover, global energy dynamics, such as unchanged Asian LNG spot prices and forecasts of an active Atlantic hurricane season, contribute to market volatility.

          Short-Term Forecast: Bearish Outlook

          Considering the warmer weather outlook, adequate supply amidst reduced production, and broader energy market trends, the short-term forecast for U.S. natural gas prices leans bearish. Traders should closely monitor emerging trends for potential market shifts in the coming weeks.

          Technical Analysis

          Natural gas futures continue to consolidate near multi-year lows on Monday.
          Resilience of Natural Gas Amid Market Headwinds_1The short-term range is $1.686 to $1.906, making its pivot at $1.796 a key level to watch today for direction.
          A trade through $1.906 will change the short-term trend to up. If this creates enough upside momentum, we could see a surge into the 50-day moving average at $1.990. Look for selllers to re-emerge on a test of this trend indicator.
          We could see lower prices on a move through $1.686, but it is dangerous to short weakness at current price levels.
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          UBS On The Brink Of Switzerland's 'Too Big To Fail' Reckoning

          Alex

          Economic

          The Swiss government is this month due to publish its recommendations for policing banks that are "too big to fail", which could saddle UBS with tougher business rules.
          In what is expected to be a several hundred-page report, the capital requirement section will be particularly scrutinised, with UBS potentially having to find tens of billions of extra dollars to safeguard against a Credit Suisse-style meltdown.
          "Switzerland simply cannot allow UBS to fail," said Stefan Legge, an economist at the University of St. Gallen. "If it did it would have an absolutely devastating effect on the Swiss economy."
          At around $1.7 trillion, UBS's balance sheet is double the size of annual Swiss economic output, giving the bank an exceptional weight for a major economy.
          Should UBS unravel, there are no local rivals left to absorb it. And the cost of nationalisation could shatter public finances, experts say.
          The Swiss lower house of parliament in May 2023 backed a motion calling for systemically relevant banks to have a leverage ratio of 15% of assets, far more than in the European Union, the United States and Britain.
          Based on common equity tier 1 capital of $79 billion, UBS had a 4.7% ratio at the end of 2023.
          The higher ratio would likely leave UBS needing to find well over $100 billion in additional equity, said Andreas Ita from consultancy Orbit36.
          "This can't be done within a reasonable period by withholding profits, and raising such sums via capital markets is hardly realistic," Ita said.
          The bank could, however, shrink its balance sheet and reduce credit supply, he added.
          LOBBYING
          Few analysts expect such onerous terms to be imposed, but it helps explain why UBS has been keen to make itself heard.
          "UBS is trembling," said an industry source familiar with the situation, who noted the bank had unleashed a major lobbying drive that would continue until the last minute among the many "open doors" it had found among politicians and officials.
          Both UBS and the Swiss government declined to comment.
          Finance Minister Karin Keller-Sutter said last year that more demanding capital requirements were coming. However, she also said excessive regulation could hamstring Switzerland's ability to compete with other financial centres like New York, London, Singapore and Dubai.
          "If you want to stay in the top league, you won't be able to avoid taking certain risks in future," she said.
          For its part, UBS has warned that excessive capital requirements would ultimately hurt the consumer.
          "If you have too much capital, you punish shareholders, but also customers, because banking services become more expensive," UBS chair Colm Kelleher told the NZZ am Sonntag paper recently.
          Significant changes are not expected to be enacted this year. Parliament must first consider any recommendations before the government submits a draft law. Then consultations begin with banks and other stakeholders.
          In the end, said the University of St. Gallen's Legge, politicians are unlikely to create too many hurdles for UBS.
          "There is no plan B this time," he said. "The main policy will be hope – hope that UBS doesn't get into trouble. But hope is not a strategy."

          Source:Reuters

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          Delving Deep into Ethereum: The Decentralized Engine Powering a New Era

          Glendon

          Economic

          Cryptocurrency

          Ethereum, often equated with its native cryptocurrency Ether (ETH), is a technological marvel that transcends the realm of digital money. It's a decentralized, open-source platform built on blockchain technology, fundamentally transforming how we interact with data and applications. This deep dive explores the intricacies of Ethereum, its core functionalities, its impact on various industries, and the exciting possibilities it holds for the future.

          The Bedrock: Blockchain Technology Explained

          At the heart of Ethereum lies blockchain technology, the revolutionary innovation that underpins its operations. Imagine a distributed ledger system, a digital record of transactions securely maintained across a vast network of computers. This eliminates the need for a central authority – like a bank – to verify and record transactions. Every computer on the network holds a copy of the ledger, ensuring transparency, security, and immutability of data. Transactions are cryptographically linked together in chronological blocks, creating an unalterable chain of events.

          Beyond Currency: The Power of Smart Contracts

          While Bitcoin, the poster child of cryptocurrencies, focuses primarily on facilitating financial transactions, Ethereum unlocks a whole new dimension with its ingenious concept of smart contracts. These self-executing contracts, essentially computer programs stored on the blockchain, automate agreements between parties without the need for a trusted intermediary. The terms of the agreement are written in code, and once certain pre-defined conditions are met, the contract executes automatically. This eliminates the risks of human error, fraud, and the need for third-party verification, fostering trust and efficiency in transactions.

          A Universe of Applications: Ethereum's Reach Extends Far and Wide

          The potential applications of smart contracts on the Ethereum platform are vast and ever-evolving. Let's delve into some of the most prominent areas where Ethereum is making waves:
          Decentralized Finance (DeFi): Imagine a financial system free from the control of traditional banks and institutions. DeFi leverages smart contracts to create a peer-to-peer lending and borrowing ecosystem. Users can lend and borrow crypto assets directly from each other, eliminating intermediaries and potentially offering higher returns for lenders and lower interest rates for borrowers. DeFi also opens doors to innovative financial instruments like decentralized exchanges (DEXs) and algorithmic stablecoins, disrupting the traditional financial landscape.
          Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs): These unique digital tokens have taken the world by storm, representing ownership of digital assets like artwork, collectibles, and even in-game items. Each NFT is one-of-a-kind and resides on the Ethereum blockchain, providing secure proof of ownership and authenticity. This technology opens doors for creators to monetize their work directly, eliminates the risk of counterfeiting, and fosters a new era of digital ownership.
          Supply Chain Management: Tracking goods throughout the complex web of a global supply chain can be challenging and opaque. Blockchain technology, with its inherent transparency and immutability, can revolutionize this process. Every step of a product's journey, from origin to final destination, can be recorded on the Ethereum blockchain, ensuring product authenticity, streamlining logistics, and minimizing the risk of fraud.
          Decentralized Applications (DApps): Imagine applications that operate independently of a central authority like Facebook or Google. DApps, built on the Ethereum platform, empower users with greater control over their data and privacy. These applications can range from social media platforms that value user privacy to innovative gaming experiences with true digital ownership of in-game assets.

          Ethereum 2.0: A Sustainable Future for a Thriving Ecosystem

          One of the major criticisms of Ethereum in its early years was its energy consumption due to the "proof-of-work" consensus mechanism used to validate transactions. This mechanism involved a vast network of computers solving complex mathematical puzzles to secure the network. However, a major upgrade, Ethereum 2.0, implemented a more sustainable "proof-of-stake" system. Here, validators lock up a certain amount of ETH as collateral, and the network randomly selects validators to verify transactions. This significantly reduces energy consumption, making Ethereum a more environmentally friendly platform.

          Challenges and Considerations: The Road Ahead for Ethereum

          Despite its remarkable advancements, Ethereum still faces challenges. Scalability, the ability to handle a high volume of transactions, is a critical concern. The network can become congested during periods of peak usage, leading to slow transaction speeds and increased transaction fees. Additionally, regulatory uncertainty surrounding cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology can create hurdles for mainstream adoption.
          However, the vibrant Ethereum developer community is constantly innovating. Scaling solutions like sharding, a technique that distributes the workload across multiple blockchains, are being actively explored. Regulatory frameworks are also evolving, with governments and institutions recognizing the potential of blockchain technology.
          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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