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SYMBOL
LAST
BID
ASK
HIGH
LOW
NET CHG.
%CHG.
SPREAD
SPX
S&P 500 Index
6837.08
6837.08
6837.08
6861.30
6834.81
+9.67
+ 0.14%
--
DJI
Dow Jones Industrial Average
48498.18
48498.18
48498.18
48679.14
48476.78
+40.14
+ 0.08%
--
IXIC
NASDAQ Composite Index
23198.21
23198.21
23198.21
23345.56
23186.20
+3.05
+ 0.01%
--
USDX
US Dollar Index
97.800
97.880
97.800
98.070
97.790
-0.150
-0.15%
--
EURUSD
Euro / US Dollar
1.17596
1.17603
1.17596
1.17597
1.17262
+0.00202
+ 0.17%
--
GBPUSD
Pound Sterling / US Dollar
1.33957
1.33964
1.33957
1.34014
1.33546
+0.00250
+ 0.19%
--
XAUUSD
Gold / US Dollar
4320.20
4320.61
4320.20
4350.16
4294.68
+20.81
+ 0.48%
--
WTI
Light Sweet Crude Oil
56.707
56.737
56.707
57.601
56.666
-0.526
-0.92%
--

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Fed's Miran: If Shelter Inflation Does Not Decline It Might Change The Outlook For Inflation Overall

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S&P 500 Financial Sector Trading At All-Time Highs, Last Up 0.4%

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Poland Had Equivalent Of EUR 4.87 Billion On Its Forex Accounts At End Of November

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Ukraine's Military Says It Hit Russian Gas Processing Plant In Astrakhan

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Ukraine's Top Negotiator: Talks With USA Have Been Constructive And Productive

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The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index Fell 0.9% In Early Trading

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The S&P 500 Opened 32.78 Points Higher, Or 0.48%, At 6860.19; The Dow Jones Industrial Average Opened 136.31 Points Higher, Or 0.28%, At 48594.36; And The Nasdaq Composite Opened 134.87 Points Higher, Or 0.58%, At 23330.04

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Miran: Goods Inflation Could Be Settling In At A Higher Level Than Was Normal Before The Pandemic, But That Will Be More Than Offset By Housing Disinflation

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Miran, Who Dissented In Favor Of A Larger Cut At Last Fed Meeting, Repeats Keeping Policy Too Tight Will Lead To Job Losses

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Miran: Does Not Think Higher Goods Inflation Is Mostly From Tariffs, But Acknowledges Does Not Have A Full Explanation For It

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Toronto Stock Index .GSPTSE Rises 67.16 Points, Or 0.21 Percent, To 31594.55 At Open

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Miran: Excluding Housing And Non-Market Based Items, Core Pce Inflation May Be Below 2.3%, “Within Noise” Of The Fed's 2% Target

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Polish State Assets Minister Balczun Says Jsw Needs Over USD 830 Million Financing To Keep Liquidity For A Year

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Miran: Prices Are “Once Again Stable” And Monetary Policy Should Reflect That

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Fed's Miran: Current Excess Inflation Is Not Reflective Of Underlying Supply And Demand In The Economy

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Portugal Treasury Puts 2026 Net Financing Needs At 13 Billion Euros, Up From 10.8 Billion In 2025

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Portugal Treasury Expects 2026 Net Financing Needs At 29.4 Billion Euros, Up From 25.8 Billion In 2025

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Bank Of America Says With Indonesia's Smelter Now Ramping Up, It Expects Aluminium Supply Growth To Accelerate To 2.6% Year On Year In 2026

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Bank Of America Expects A Deficit In Aluminium Next Year And Sees Prices Pushing Above $3000/T

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Fed Data - USA Effective Federal Funds Rate At 3.64 Percent On 12 December On $102 Billion In Trades Versus 3.64 Percent On $99 Billion On 11 December

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          Central Vietnam Eyes Logistics as Strategic Lever for Breakthrough Growth

          Gerik

          Economic

          Summary:

          Central Vietnam aims to transform logistics into a strategic growth driver, leveraging its deep-sea ports and strategic location along the North-South and East-West corridors...

          Logistics as a strategic growth engine

          At the 6th Regional Logistics Forum held in Hue on August 22, experts and policymakers emphasized that logistics will play a decisive role in boosting the competitiveness of North Central and Central Coastal Vietnam. Positioned at the crossroads of the North-South axis and the East-West Economic Corridor, the region has the natural advantage of deep-sea ports, expanding airports, and a developing rail network. These factors collectively create the potential for Central Vietnam to evolve into a national and regional logistics hub.
          The linkage here is causal: the expansion of logistics infrastructure directly lowers transportation costs, enhances trade connectivity, and improves the efficiency of supply chains. In turn, this facilitates regional economic growth, particularly in marine economy and cross-border trade.

          Regional development vision and economic ambitions

          According to the regional planning framework for 2021–2030 with a vision to 2050, Central Vietnam aims to become a fast-growing and sustainable region, spearheading the country’s marine economy. By 2030, the region’s per capita income is projected to reach the upper-middle level, and by 2050 logistics alone is expected to contribute more than 6% of Vietnam’s total logistics revenue.
          This reflects a correlation between logistics expansion and overall regional competitiveness. While logistics alone may not cause broad-based growth, its efficiency correlates strongly with the ability of industries such as fisheries, manufacturing, and trade to scale up exports and integrate deeper into global supply chains.

          Infrastructure challenges and investment needs

          Despite its vast potential, logistics infrastructure in Central Vietnam remains fragmented. The lack of seamless connections among seaports, railways, highways, and airports has resulted in transportation costs that remain higher than regional averages. Modern multimodal logistics centers are scarce, limiting the ability to optimize flows of goods.
          Moreover, institutional bottlenecks persist. Special policy mechanisms to attract large-scale infrastructure investment are still limited, while small and medium-sized logistics enterprises often lack resources to adopt advanced technologies, making them less competitive. Human resource development also lags behind demand, with insufficient training and retention of high-quality logistics professionals.

          Policy responses and future pathways

          Deputy Minister of Industry and Trade Nguyen Sinh Nhat Tan outlined seven solutions to unlock the region’s logistics potential. These include maximizing geographical advantages, accelerating infrastructure investment, reforming administrative procedures, and deepening international cooperation. The correlation between these reforms and regional integration is significant: better infrastructure and simplified procedures make the region more attractive for trade and investment, while international partnerships broaden access to global markets.
          Central Vietnam’s ambition to become more than a domestic transit point underscores a strategic shift. If logistical bottlenecks are resolved and supportive policies implemented, the region could rise as a “strategic link” in both regional and global supply chains. This transformation would not only enhance Vietnam’s economic resilience but also strengthen its positioning in the increasingly competitive Indo-Pacific trade landscape.
          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
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          Vietnam Plans Special Electricity Pricing Mechanism to Support Semiconductor Factories

          Gerik

          Economic

          Energy security as a foundation for semiconductor development

          Vietnam’s government has identified reliable and affordable electricity supply as a strategic prerequisite for building a competitive semiconductor ecosystem. According to the conclusion of the National Steering Committee on Semiconductor Industry Development’s second meeting, the Ministry of Industry and Trade must propose a specific electricity pricing framework for semiconductor and electronics manufacturing plants and report to the Prime Minister in the third quarter of 2025.
          The causal link is clear: semiconductor manufacturing requires a stable, high-quality power supply due to the sector’s energy-intensive and precision-driven production processes. Without competitive energy pricing, investment attraction and global supply chain integration would face structural obstacles.

          Alignment with long-term semiconductor strategy

          The proposed pricing mechanism is part of the broader Vietnam Semiconductor Industry Development Strategy to 2030, Vision 2050. This strategy not only emphasizes infrastructure readiness but also prioritizes clean energy use to align with sustainability commitments. The Ministry of Industry and Trade is simultaneously reviewing Decree 57/2025 on direct power purchase agreements for renewable energy and Decree 58/2025 on new energy development, aiming to integrate renewable sources directly into semiconductor supply chains.
          While the Ministry of Industry and Trade handles energy pricing and supply security, the Ministry of Finance has been directed to continue designing incentives to attract foreign semiconductor investment, focusing on advanced and high-value technologies. The Ministry of Science and Technology will coordinate with other agencies to monitor policy implementation and develop supporting mechanisms, while the Ministry of Home Affairs is tasked with creating a framework to recruit and retain semiconductor talent, including financial support for students and researchers in science and technology.

          Implications for global supply chains

          The development of a semiconductor-specific electricity pricing scheme reflects Vietnam’s determination to position itself as a reliable node in the global chip supply chain. By ensuring competitive energy costs and prioritizing renewable power, Vietnam aims to reduce dependency on external supply chains while appealing to international investors seeking stable and sustainable production bases.
          Vietnam’s decision to design a preferential electricity pricing mechanism for the semiconductor industry highlights the country’s strategic shift from being a low-cost electronics assembler to a critical participant in global high-tech supply chains. If implemented effectively, this could not only lower operational risks for chipmakers but also enhance Vietnam’s competitiveness against regional rivals such as Malaysia, Taiwan, and South Korea.
          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
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          China’s $1 Billion Oil Bet in Venezuela Challenges U.S. Giants

          Gerik

          Economic

          Commodity

          A rare Chinese private sector move into Venezuela

          China Concord Resources Corp, a privately owned Chinese company, has emerged as a new player in Venezuela’s struggling oil sector. After years of sanctions that deterred major international investors, CCRC signed a 20-year production-sharing agreement in May 2024 to operate two abandoned oilfields, Lago Cinco and Lagunillas Lago, in the Maracaibo Basin. The contract grants the firm direct operational control in exchange for sharing a portion of the output with state oil company PDVSA.
          This marks one of the few large-scale private Chinese ventures in Venezuela since state-owned CNPC scaled back operations following U.S. sanctions in 2019. The causal link is straightforward: U.S. restrictions limited the entry of oil majors, leaving a vacuum that smaller, more flexible firms like CCRC can exploit.

          Ambitious production targets

          Currently, the two oilfields produce only about 12,000 barrels per day, reflecting years of underinvestment. CCRC has already deployed 60 Chinese engineers and rigs since September 2024 to restart 100 wells, with plans to rehabilitate 500 in total. The company aims to lift output to 60,000 barrels per day by late 2026, with light crude earmarked for domestic refining and heavy crude exported to China. This goal illustrates a causal relationship: investment in capital and technology directly revives dormant fields, enhancing Venezuela’s overall capacity beyond its current 1 million barrels per day.
          Venezuela holds the world’s largest proven oil reserves, over 300 billion barrels, yet its industry remains crippled by sanctions. While Washington has selectively eased restrictions, granting Chevron licenses to resume limited operations, these exemptions come with strict conditions that prevent revenues from flowing to the Maduro government. By contrast, CCRC’s deal ensures Caracas receives direct benefits from new production, strengthening Sino-Venezuelan ties.
          The correlation between sanctions and market entry is striking: whereas U.S. firms like Chevron operate under political constraints, Chinese private capital moves in with fewer restrictions, securing long-term stakes. This creates a parallel energy corridor where Venezuela’s heavy crude is increasingly tied to Chinese demand, diminishing U.S. leverage.

          Implications for global oil politics

          For Venezuela, the investment signals diversification beyond limited Western partnerships, reinforcing Caracas’s strategic pivot to Asia. For China, it secures stable access to energy resources at a time of growing rivalry with the U.S., while also enhancing BRICS’ influence in global energy flows. For Washington, the development raises competitive challenges, as its sanctions may be backfiring by enabling alternative players to secure privileged positions.
          China’s billion-dollar gamble in Venezuela is more than an oil deal it reflects a recalibration of global energy alliances. By stepping into spaces vacated by Western majors, Chinese firms are not just reviving dormant capacity but also reshaping the balance of power in one of the world’s most strategic oil markets.
          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
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          Ether Hits Four-Year High as Fed’s Powell Sparks Risk-On Rally

          Gerik

          Economic

          Powell’s remarks and the return of risk appetite

          The immediate catalyst for Ether’s rally came from Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole speech, where he noted that “shifts in the balance of risks may warrant policy adjustments.” Markets interpreted this as a clear opening for interest rate cuts as soon as September. The causal link is direct: lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets such as cryptocurrencies, while also encouraging investors to reallocate cash into higher-risk, higher-return vehicles. Bitcoin gained 4% to $117,008, reinforcing the broader digital asset uptrend.
          Ether closed at $4,885, overtaking its November 2021 peak of $4,866. This new high reflects not only favorable macro momentum but also structural growth in Ethereum’s ecosystem. Stablecoins, now accounting for 40% of blockchain transaction fees, are more than half built on Ethereum, highlighting its foundational role in digital payments. The correlation is strong: as stablecoin adoption rises, Ethereum benefits from higher network activity, fee generation, and institutional credibility.

          Market reactions across equities

          Crypto-related equities surged in parallel. Bitmine Immersion and SharpLink Gaming rose 12% and 15% respectively, erasing prior weekly losses. DeFi Development, focused on Solana assets, jumped 21%, while Coinbase and Strategy gained 6%. The exception was ETHzilla, backed by Peter Thiel, which fell over 31% after announcing a massive share sale despite favorable macro conditions. This divergence shows that while crypto sentiment is broadly bullish, company-specific financing decisions can outweigh sector-wide momentum.
          Fundstrat’s Tom Lee compared stablecoins’ impact on digital assets to ChatGPT’s effect on AI, calling Ether “the biggest macro trade of the next 10–15 years.” His argument underscores a causal relationship: regulatory advances such as the GENIUS Act and the SEC’s Crypto Project are legitimizing blockchain infrastructure, accelerating Wall Street adoption. As institutions embrace stablecoins for efficiency and compliance, Ethereum stands as the key beneficiary.
          Ether’s record-breaking rally illustrates how macroeconomic shifts and structural blockchain adoption reinforce one another. While Powell’s comments triggered the immediate surge, the deeper driver is Ethereum’s growing role as the backbone of the digital financial system. If current trends continue, Ether may not just mirror Bitcoin’s trajectory but set the pace for the next phase of crypto’s institutionalization.
          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          Chinese Retail Investors Shift Trillions from Property to Stocks Amid Record FOMO Wave

          Gerik

          Economic

          From property pessimism to stock market frenzy

          Chinese retail investors, long known for their preference for real estate, are redirecting capital into equities as property prices continue to slide. Official data shows households now hold nearly 162 trillion yuan ($22.5 trillion) in cash savings, double the level in 2020. The shift reflects a causal dynamic: collapsing property confidence is pushing investors to seek returns elsewhere, and the stock market has emerged as the primary alternative.
          The Shanghai Composite has climbed about 13% year-to-date, while the CSI 300 is up 10%. The surge is even more pronounced in Hong Kong, where the Hang Seng has soared 30% since January, powered by a record $90 billion in inflows from mainland investors in the first half of 2025. Analysts attribute the initial momentum to the buzz around China’s AI model DeepSeek R-1, which triggered speculative buying. However, valuations remain relatively low, with market capitalization-to-GDP and household savings ratios still beneath historical averages, suggesting room for further gains.

          FOMO outweighs macroeconomic weakness

          Despite the rally, China’s economy continues to flash warning signs. Property values dropped again in July, retail sales grew only 3.7% year-on-year the weakest pace this year and deflationary pressure persists. Trade tensions with the U.S. further complicate the outlook. Yet analysts like Rory Green of GlobalData.TS Lombard emphasize that investor psychology is driving markets: the fear of missing out (FOMO) is outweighing traditional macro fundamentals. The correlation is clear optimism in equities serves less as an economic barometer and more as a reflection of retail investor sentiment.
          Beijing has pledged to intervene to curb deflation and stabilize prices, signaling official support for markets. Still, risks remain: failure in U.S.-China trade talks, underwhelming stimulus, or prolonged deflation could easily derail sentiment-driven rallies. Past Chinese bull markets have been characterized by sharp, fast-moving gains followed by equally abrupt corrections, reinforcing the view that volatility is intrinsic to a retail-dominated market.
          China’s stock market boom reveals both opportunity and fragility: a vast reservoir of untapped household savings and speculative enthusiasm can fuel rallies, but structural weaknesses in property and consumption remain unresolved. For now, sentiment dominates economics, and FOMO is proving to be the most powerful force in Chinese finance.
          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          Europe’s Washington Visit Highlights Structural Dependence on U.S. in Ukraine Conflict

          Gerik

          Economic

          Russia-Ukraine Conflict

          Symbolism of the Washington meeting

          On August 18, European leaders including Germany’s Friedrich Merz, France’s Emmanuel Macron, and the UK’s Keir Starmer gathered in the Oval Office alongside Ukraine’s Volodymyr Zelensky to meet U.S. President Donald Trump. Rather than projecting a united front of equal partners, the scene revealed Europe’s structural dependence on U.S. decision-making. Analysts noted the timing: just days earlier, Trump had met Vladimir Putin in Alaska, raising fears in Europe that he might unilaterally negotiate a deal sacrificing Ukrainian interests. The causal relationship here is clear Europe’s lack of independent security capacity forces its leaders to preemptively manage U.S. unpredictability, rather than shape outcomes directly.
          For years, figures like President Macron have promoted the concept of European “strategic autonomy.” Yet the Washington trip illustrated how little progress has been made. The EU lacks sufficient weapons stockpiles, coordinated political will, and unified diplomacy to act independently. While Europe has increased aid to Kyiv since 2022, its efforts remain secondary in scale and impact compared to U.S. support. Germany’s historic defense spending increase has not yet translated into immediate deterrent power. The correlation is evident: without U.S. military backing, NATO’s capacity is perceived as hollow, leaving Europe unable to provide credible security guarantees to Ukraine.

          Trump’s leverage and European hesitation

          This imbalance grants Trump enormous leverage. He can threaten tariffs, belittle allies, or engage directly with Moscow, yet European leaders avoid direct confrontation for fear of undermining U.S. security commitments. Reports that Trump and Putin may have privately discussed “territorial exchanges” in eastern Ukraine illustrate the stakes. Although Europe insists borders cannot be changed by force, leaders avoided openly challenging Trump, who deflected by saying that territorial issues were “Ukraine’s problem.” This dynamic reveals a causal vulnerability: because Europe cannot enforce red lines without Washington, it tolerates ambiguity even on issues central to its stated principles.
          The episode demonstrates that Europe’s security architecture remains anchored not in collective European capacity, but in the political will of a single American president. This dependence undermines long-term strategic credibility and highlights the gap between rhetoric and reality. Unless Europe invests in independent defense capabilities and builds cohesive political mechanisms, “strategic autonomy” will remain a slogan rather than a policy.
          The Washington visit did not just confirm Europe’s loyalty to Ukraine it exposed the bloc’s inability to shape outcomes without U.S. involvement. In the Ukraine war, as in broader global security, Europe’s fate continues to rest less on its own institutions than on decisions taken in the Oval Office.
          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          St. Louis Fed President Tempers Market Hopes for Immediate Rate Cuts: “It’s Not Just About September”

          Gerik

          Economic

          Musalem’s cautious message

          Speaking to Reuters on August 22, Alberto Musalem stated he has not yet decided whether to back a rate cut at the Fed’s September 16–17 meeting. While markets interpreted Jerome Powell’s earlier remarks at Jackson Hole as a green light for easing, Musalem cautioned that inflation remains closer to 3% than 2% and could persist above target for longer than expected. He stressed that, while risks to the labor market are not yet evident, inflation overshoot remains the more pressing concern at present. This indicates a causal trade-off: easing too soon could entrench elevated inflation, while waiting too long risks labor market deterioration.
          Powell acknowledged that tariffs may drive short-term inflation but argued that weakening labor market dynamics pose growing risks. Markets seized on this as a sign of imminent easing, with futures pricing in a high probability of a 0.25 percentage point cut in September. Musalem, however, emphasized the conditionality of Powell’s words, noting that the possibility of cuts should not be mistaken for a guarantee. His stance reflects an internal Fed divergence some members prioritize guarding against inflation persistence, while others focus on cushioning labor market fragility.

          Data-dependent outlook

          Musalem made clear he will not finalize his decision until two to three days before the September meeting, after assessing key data releases. August employment figures, along with upcoming inflation reports, will be pivotal in shaping the balance of risks. If evidence emerges of labor market softening, he suggested policy would need to adjust. Otherwise, maintaining current restrictive levels may be warranted. The correlation here is direct: weaker employment data strengthens the case for cuts, while stable hiring reinforces holding rates steady.
          Musalem also noted that fiscal, trade, and immigration policies are now more predictable, which reduces some uncertainty for the Fed. Still, the interaction between tariffs and inflation remains a central unknown. If tariffs only cause temporary price spikes, their impact on long-term inflation expectations may be limited. But if businesses pass on costs persistently, the inflation outlook could shift unfavorably.
          While Powell’s Jackson Hole remarks fueled Wall Street optimism, Musalem’s caution underscores that September is only part of a longer policy journey. The Fed remains data-driven, and the decision to cut rates hinges on whether inflation convincingly trends lower without eroding labor market stability. For investors, the message is clear: rate relief may come, but it will not be rushed.
          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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