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SYMBOL
LAST
BID
ASK
HIGH
LOW
NET CHG.
%CHG.
SPREAD
SOURCE
SPX
S&P 500 Index
7651.53
7651.53
7651.53
7722.89
7651.53
-19.31
-0.25%
--
--
DJI
Dow Jones Industrial Average
50906.04
50906.04
50906.04
51473.94
50906.04
-443.88
-0.86%
--
--
IXIC
NASDAQ Composite Index
26861.06
26861.06
26861.06
27108.20
26861.06
+63.53
+ 0.24%
--
--
USDX
US Dollar Index
101.200
101.200
101.280
101.230
101.200
+0.030
+ 0.03%
--
--
EURUSD
Euro / US Dollar
1.13322
1.13322
1.13332
1.13323
1.13235
+0.00039
+ 0.03%
--
--
GBPUSD
Pound Sterling / US Dollar
1.32647
1.32647
1.32659
1.32659
1.32562
+0.00031
+ 0.02%
--
--
XAUUSD
Gold / US Dollar
4143.95
4143.95
4144.40
4160.47
4141.29
-13.88
-0.33%
--
--
WTI
Light Sweet Crude Oil
89.449
89.449
89.484
89.628
88.893
+0.038
+ 0.04%
--
--

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U.S. President Trump Is Scheduled To Deliver A Speech At 07:00 Beijing Time On October 2

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South Korea's Exports Surge; First Nine Months' Export Value Exceeds $800 Billion For The First Time

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The Yield On Japan's 20-year Government Bonds Rose 2.5 Basis Points To 3.925%

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Spot Silver Fell Back Below $60 Per Ounce, Down 0.72% On The Day

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According To Axios: A U.S. Official And Another Source Familiar With The Matter Revealed That After U.S.-Iran Negotiations Stalled, Rubio Demanded On Monday That The Iranian Mission To The United Nations Leave The United States Immediately. This Move Is A Rare Diplomatic Rebuke

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South Korea's September Imports Rose 26% Year-on-Year, Exceeding The Forecast Of 21.5%, While The Previous Figure Was Revised From 22.50% To 22.40%

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Summary Of The Bank Of Japan's September Opinions: The Cabinet Office Stated That The Government Expects The Bank Of Japan To Implement Monetary Policy As Needed To Stabilize And Achieve Its Price Target, While Working Closely With The Government

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The Bank Of Japan's Tankan Survey Indicates That Major Manufacturers Expect The USD/JPY Exchange Rate To Be 153.79 This Fiscal Year

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Summary Of The Bank Of Japan's September Opinion: One Member Stated That The Terminal Interest Rate May Exceed The Bank Of Japan's Forecast Range, And Market Expectations Will Depend On Overseas Developments

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Summary Of The Bank Of Japan's September Opinion: One Member Stated That, Given The Significant Upside Risks To Inflation, The Bank Of Japan Should Not Be Overly Cautious About Raising Interest Rates

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Summary Of The Bank Of Japan's September Opinion: One Member Said There Was No Need To Rush To Raise Interest Rates, But Policy Must Be Guided Appropriately Because Underlying Inflation Could Soon Reach 2%

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Summary Of The Bank Of Japan's September Opinion: One Member Stated That The Bank Of Japan Must Raise Interest Rates As Soon As Possible In Order To Be Able To Respond Flexibly To Unexpected Economic And Price Changes

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Summary Of The Bank Of Japan's September Opinion: One Member Stated That If There Are Signs Of Inflation Exceeding Expectations, The Bank Of Japan Must Accelerate The Pace Of Interest Rate Hikes

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Summary Of The Bank Of Japan's September Opinion: One Member Stated That The Bank Of Japan Must Be Flexible In Its Approach, Demonstrating Its Determination To Prevent Excessive Inflation While Also Paying Attention To The Impact On The Foreign Exchange Market

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Summary Of The Bank Of Japan's September Opinion: One Member Stated That The Policy Phase Has Changed And That It Is Necessary To Focus On Stabilizing Underlying Inflation At Around 2%

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Summary Of The Bank Of Japan's September Opinion: One Member Stated That, Based On Economic, Price, And Financial Developments, It Is Appropriate To Continue Raising Interest Rates

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Japan's Q3 Tankan Large Non-Manufacturing Business Sentiment Index Stood At 35, Compared With A Forecast Of 36 And A Previous Reading Of 37

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Japan's Q3 Tankan Large Manufacturers' Outlook Index Stood At 21, Versus An Expected 22 And A Previous Reading Of 17

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The Yield On Japan's 10-year Government Bonds Rose 3.0 Basis Points To 3.09%

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Trump Reconsiders Diesel Export Ban; White House Seeks To Lower Fuel Costs

TIME
ACT
FCST
PREV
IMPACT
U.S. Core PCE Price Index YoY (Aug)

A:--

F: --

P: --
XAUUSD
  • XAUUSD
  • XAGUSD
  • WTI
  • USDX
U.S. Personal Outlays MoM (SA) (Aug)

A:--

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XAUUSD
  • XAUUSD
  • XAGUSD
  • WTI
  • USDX
U.S. Real GDP Annualized QoQ Final (Q2)

A:--

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U.S. Real Personal Consumption Expenditures Final QoQ (Q2)

A:--

F: --

P: --

USDX
  • USDX
  • XAUUSD
  • XAGUSD
  • WTI
U.S. Core PCE Price Index MoM (Aug)

A:--

F: --

P: --
XAUUSD
  • XAUUSD
  • XAGUSD
  • WTI
  • USDX
U.S. PCE Price Index Final QoQ (AR) (Q2)

A:--

F: --

P: --

U.S. PCE Price Index YoY (SA) (Aug)

A:--

F: --

P: --
XAUUSD
  • XAUUSD
  • XAGUSD
  • WTI
  • USDX
U.S. PCE Price Index MoM (Aug)

A:--

F: --

P: --
XAUUSD
  • XAUUSD
  • XAGUSD
  • WTI
  • USDX
U.S. Personal Income MoM (Aug)

A:--

F: --

P: --
USDX
  • USDX
  • XAUUSD
  • XAGUSD
  • WTI
U.S. Real Personal Consumption Expenditures MoM (Aug)

A:--

F: --

P: --
USDX
  • USDX
  • XAUUSD
  • XAGUSD
  • WTI
U.S. Wholesale Inventory MoM (SA) (Aug)

A:--

F: --

P: --

USDX
  • USDX
  • XAUUSD
  • XAGUSD
  • WTI
U.S. Chicago PMI (Sept)

A:--

F: --

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USDX
  • USDX
  • XAUUSD
  • XAGUSD
  • WTI
U.S. EIA Weekly Crude Demand Projected by Production

A:--

F: --

P: --

WTI
  • WTI
  • XAUUSD
  • XAGUSD
  • USDX
U.S. EIA Weekly Gasoline Stocks Change

A:--

F: --

P: --

WTI
  • WTI
  • XAUUSD
  • XAGUSD
  • USDX
U.S. EIA Weekly Crude Oil Imports Changes

A:--

F: --

P: --

WTI
  • WTI
  • XAUUSD
  • XAGUSD
  • USDX
U.S. EIA Weekly Heating Oil Stock Changes

A:--

F: --

P: --

WTI
  • WTI
  • XAUUSD
  • XAGUSD
  • USDX
U.S. EIA Weekly Crude Stocks Change

A:--

F: --

P: --

WTI
  • WTI
  • XAUUSD
  • XAGUSD
  • USDX
U.S. EIA Weekly Cushing, Oklahoma Crude Oil Stocks Change

A:--

F: --

P: --

WTI
  • WTI
  • XAUUSD
  • XAGUSD
  • USDX
U.S. Dallas Fed PCE Price Index YoY (Aug)

A:--

F: --

P: --

USDX
  • USDX
  • XAUUSD
  • XAGUSD
  • WTI
Russia Unemployment Rate (Aug)

A:--

F: --

P: --

WTI
  • WTI
  • XAUUSD
  • XAGUSD
  • USDX
Russia Retail Sales YoY (Aug)

A:--

F: --

P: --

WTI
  • WTI
  • XAUUSD
  • XAGUSD
  • USDX
Richmond Federal Reserve President Barkin delivered a speech.
Japan Tankan Large-Enterprise Capital Expenditure YoY (Q3)

A:--

F: --

P: --

USDJPY
  • USDJPY
  • XAUUSD
  • XAGUSD
  • WTI
Japan Tankan Small Manufacturing Diffusion Index (Q3)

A:--

F: --

P: --

USDJPY
  • USDJPY
  • XAUUSD
  • XAGUSD
  • WTI
Japan Tankan Large Manufacturing Outlook Index (Q3)

A:--

F: --

P: --

USDJPY
  • USDJPY
  • XAUUSD
  • XAGUSD
  • WTI
Japan Tankan Large Manufacturing Diffusion Index (Q3)

A:--

F: --

P: --

USDJPY
  • USDJPY
  • XAUUSD
  • XAGUSD
  • WTI
Japan Tankan Large Non-Manufacturing Diffusion Index (Q3)

A:--

F: --

P: --

USDJPY
  • USDJPY
  • XAUUSD
  • XAGUSD
  • WTI
Japan Tankan Large Non-Manufacturing Outlook Index (Q3)

A:--

F: --

P: --

USDJPY
  • USDJPY
  • XAUUSD
  • XAGUSD
  • WTI
Japan Tankan Small Manufacturing Outlook Index (Q3)

A:--

F: --

P: --

USDJPY
  • USDJPY
  • XAUUSD
  • XAGUSD
  • WTI
South Korea Trade Balance Prelim (Sept)

A:--

F: --

P: --
XAUUSD
  • XAUUSD
  • XAGUSD
  • WTI
  • USDX
Indonesia IHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (Sept)

--

F: --

P: --

Japan Manufacturing PMI Final (Sept)

--

F: --

P: --

South Korea IHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (SA) (Sept)

--

F: --

P: --

Australia Trade Balance (SA) (Aug)

--

F: --

P: --

Australia Exports MoM (SA) (Aug)

--

F: --

P: --

Indonesia Trade Balance (Aug)

--

F: --

P: --

Indonesia Inflation Rate YoY (Sept)

--

F: --

P: --

Indonesia Core Inflation YoY (Sept)

--

F: --

P: --

India HSBC Manufacturing PMI Final (Sept)

--

F: --

P: --

U.K. Nationwide House Price Index MoM (Sept)

--

F: --

P: --

U.K. Nationwide House Price Index YoY (Sept)

--

F: --

P: --

Russia IHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (Sept)

--

F: --

P: --

Australia Commodity Price YoY (Sept)

--

F: --

P: --

Turkey Manufacturing PMI (Sept)

--

F: --

P: --

Italy Manufacturing PMI (SA) (Sept)

--

F: --

P: --

Euro Zone Manufacturing PMI Final (Sept)

--

F: --

P: --

Italy Unemployment Rate (SA) (Aug)

--

F: --

P: --

Italy Quarterly Unemployment Rate (SA) (Aug)

--

F: --

P: --

U.K. Manufacturing PMI Prelim (Sept)

--

F: --

P: --

South Africa Manufacturing PMI (Sept)

--

F: --

P: --

Euro Zone Unemployment Rate (Aug)

--

F: --

P: --

U.S. Challenger Job Cuts MoM (Sept)

--

F: --

P: --

U.S. Challenger Job Cuts (Sept)

--

F: --

P: --

U.S. Challenger Job Cuts YoY (Sept)

--

F: --

P: --

U.S. Weekly Initial Jobless Claims (SA)

--

F: --

P: --

U.S. Initial Jobless Claims 4-Week Avg. (SA)

--

F: --

P: --

U.S. Weekly Continued Jobless Claims (SA)

--

F: --

P: --

Brazil IHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (Sept)

--

F: --

P: --

Richmond Fed President Barkin, Boston Fed President Collins, and Kansas City Fed President Schmid delivered speeches.
Canada Manufacturing PMI (SA) (Sept)

--

F: --

P: --

ECB President Lagarde Speaks
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          Profit-Taking Emerges as Primary Short-Term Downside Risk

          Jason

          Cryptocurrency

          Summary:

          Short-term profit-taking at the trading level has emerged as the primary downside risk for Bitcoin (BTC).

          BUY BTC-USDT
          EXP
          PENDING

          82500.0

          Entry Price

          85900.0

          TP

          80800.0

          SL

          83504.1 -114.3 -0.14%

          --

          Pips

          PENDING

          80800.0

          SL

          Exit Price

          82500.0

          Entry Price

          85900.0

          TP

          Fundamental Analysis

          The Bitcoin (BTC) market is currently navigating a critical stress-test period of correction within its broader bull cycle. Although overall fundamentals remain strong—with the Bull Market Index scoring a high 90 and prices holding firmly above the 365-day moving average—short-term profit-taking at the trading level has emerged as the primary downside risk.
          The core bearish factor stems from short-term unrealized profit margins surging to 33%, a 21-month peak that highlights a strong willingness among investors to lock in gains at elevated levels. On-chain data shows realized profits reached 25700 BTC on September 22 alone—a single-day record for the year—triggering noticeable sell-off pressure after prices touched an eight-month high of $87400. Compounding this risk is a broad cooling on the demand side: apparent spot demand plummeted by 170000 BTC over the past 30 days, while futures speculative demand collapsed from 164000 BTC in mid-September to just 16000 BTC by September 29, effectively turning off the derivatives growth engine. At the same time, altcoin selling pressure has surfaced alongside a sharp spike in exchange inflows, further diluting market liquidity.
          Nevertheless, the medium-to-long-term support thesis remains robust. Asset under management (AUM) across US spot Bitcoin ETFs recovered to $103 billion, supported by a record single-week net inflow of $2.4 billion in late September, showing that institutional allocation demand remains the market's anchor. Strategy, the largest corporate holder, continued to accumulate to bring its total holdings to 846000 BTC, while the US strategic reserve of 328000 BTC continues to provide a solid baseline for market confidence. Furthermore, Bitcoin's drawdown following its June low reached only 52%—marking the shallowest bear market correction in its history—and demonstrating exceptional structural resilience.
          In summary, although short-term price action faces a squeeze from profit-taking and sluggish buying volume, supported by institutional long-term holding and the national strategic reserve narrative, BTC is highly likely to seek a new equilibrium above $80000. Investors should remain cautious of heightened short-term volatility.

          Technical Analysis

          On the 4-hour chart, Bitcoin is currently in a high-level horizontal consolidation phase. After encountering resistance near the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level (~85939.1), prices pulled back and are now testing a confluence support zone formed by the upper bound of the Ichimoku cloud and the former breakout high (81349.4–83000.0 area), displaying signs of building momentum through consolidation. Key downside support rests at the former breakout line at 81349.4 and the bottom of the cloud; a breakdown below this line would trigger a drop toward the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level (~76489.7). Key upside resistance sits at 85939.1 (the 0.382 Fibonacci resistance line), which serves as the upper boundary of the current high-level consolidation box. While Bitcoin currently holds above the prior neckline breakout at 81349.4, whether it can complete this shakeout, re-establish a footing above the cloud, and launch a new leg upward remains to be seen.
          In terms of technical indicators, within the Ichimoku system, the Tenkan-sen (red line, 84977.80) and Kijun-sen (blue line, 83773.08) have formed a bearish cross at high levels and are intertwining. The current price (83170.0) trades below the Tenkan-sen and near the edge of the cloud, reinforcing the high-level consolidation profile.
          In the ADX indicator, the ADX line (green line, 13.30) has declined to a low level, while the spread between +DI (pink line, 14.19) and -DI (blue line, 20.14) has narrowed, signaling that directional trend momentum has paused as the market moves into a range-bound phase. Given that the pullback has reached a strong former resistance-turned-support zone (near 81349.4) without invalidating the medium-to-long-term breakout structure, the probability is high that Bitcoin will stabilize within the 82000.0–83000.0 zone before resuming its upward trajectory.Profit-Taking Emerges as Primary Short-Term Downside Risk_1

          Trading Recommendations

          Direction: Buy / Long
          Entry: 82500.00
          Target: 85900.00
          Stop Loss: 80800.00
          Support Levels: 81349.40, 76489.70
          Resistance Levels: 84977.80, 85939.10
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