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Ukrainian President Zelensky: Representatives From Egypt, India, Turkey, And The Middle East Are Participating In Negotiations To Lift The Black Sea Blockade
London Metal Exchange (LME): Copper Inventories Increased By 325 Tons, Aluminum Inventories Remained Unchanged, Nickel Inventories Increased By 6,048 Tons, Zinc Inventories Decreased By 1,600 Tons, Tin Inventories Remained Unchanged, And Lead Inventories Decreased By 1,550 Tons
Expectations Of A Reopening Of The Strait Of Hormuz Boosted Markets, Leading To A Rebound In European Stock Markets And A Decline In Oil Prices
India's Chief Economic Advisor: The Indian Economy Faces Short-term Headwinds From Unstable Relations With The United States, Global Energy Price Volatility, And India's Lack Of An Artificial Intelligence Industry
Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi Met With His British Counterpart To Discuss Bilateral Relations And The Regional Situation
Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi Meets With Egyptian Counterpart To Discuss Bilateral Ties And The Situation In Palestine
Egyptian Officials: Looking Forward To Deepening Economic, Trade, And Investment Cooperation With China
Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi Meets With Portuguese Counterpart, Urges Europe To Adopt An Independent Stance On The Middle East Situation
Iranian Officials Respond To Netanyahu's UN Speech: History Will Judge His Acts Of War And Occupation
Turkish Ministry Of Defense: The Turkish Chief Of The General Staff Will Travel To Saudi Arabia To Attend The Mecca Defense Agreement Meeting With Saudi Arabia And Pakistan
France's Second-quarter Unadjusted Monthly Wage Growth Rate Was Finalized At 0.7%, Versus An Expected 0.50% And A Previous Reading Of 0.70%
BlackRock Focuses On Investment Opportunities In Central Asia: Kazakhstan And Uzbekistan Attract Capital Inflows
Finnish Air Force: On Thursday, Swedish And Finnish Fighter Jets Were Scrambled To Intercept And Identify Russian Military Aircraft
Market Sources Say That Foreign Companies Operating In India Must Seek Local Legal Remedies Before Initiating International Arbitration
Germany's October GfK Consumer Confidence Index Came In At -30.6, Versus An Expected -27.4, While The Previous Reading Was Revised From -26.6 To -26.8

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New York Federal Reserve President Williams delivered a speech.
ECB Chief Economist Lane Speaks
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No matching data
Reprice a 100,000 bond position, compare duration with convexity, and see why zero net DV01 can still lose money when the yield curve twists.
A bond duration of eight is neither an 8% loss limit nor a promise that your money comes back in eight years. It measures local price sensitivity. DV01 translates that sensitivity into cash: approximately how much does the position change in value when its yield moves by one basis point? Even a portfolio with zero net DV01 can lose money when the yield curve twists.

One basis point is 0.01 percentage point, or 0.0001 in decimal form. A move from 4% to 4.5% is 50 basis points. The relative increase of 12.5% is not the input for the bond-price calculation. Here, a conventional long bond has positive DV01: a positive yield shock produces a loss. A short position carries the opposite sign.
DV01 ≈ modified duration × full market value × 0.0001. Estimated P&L ≈ −DV01 × yield change in basis points.
Full, or dirty, value includes accrued interest. Face value is not a substitute: 100,000 face amount at a full price of 95 is worth 95,000. Using 100,000 overstates its cash sensitivity. Currency also matters. Dollars per basis point and euros per basis point must be converted consistently before they can be added.
Consider a hypothetical option-free bond with face value 100, ten years remaining and annual payments of 4, with 104 paid in year ten. Assume no default and value it immediately after a coupon payment, when clean and dirty prices coincide. At an annually compounded yield of 4%, it trades at 100. Discount each payment separately: nine payments of 4, followed by 104.
The resulting Macaulay duration is 8.4353 years. Modified duration is 8.4353 ÷ 1.04 = 8.1109. The former is a present-value-weighted cash-flow time; the latter is the sensitivity used here. A position worth 100,000 therefore has DV01 of about 81.11 in its currency.
| New yield | Shock | Duration estimate | Full repricing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5% | −50 bp | 104.06 | 104.16 |
| 4.0% | 0 bp | 100.00 | 100.00 |
| 4.5% | +50 bp | 95.94 | 96.04 |
| 5.0% | +100 bp | 91.89 | 92.28 |
These are instantaneous shocks to unchanged cash flows, not one-year returns. For a 50 bp rise, the linear loss is 4,055.45; full repricing gives 3,956.36. Curvature explains the difference. Convexity in this example is 80.7543. Adding the second-order term, ΔP/P ≈ −8.1109Δy + ½ × 80.7543 × Δy², with Δy in decimals, gives a price of 96.05, close to 96.04. It is still an approximation. Large shocks call for repricing, not indefinite reliance on yesterday’s DV01.
A second conventional position in the same currency, also worth 100,000 but with modified duration of 1.9, has DV01 of just 19. A 50 bp rise implies a first-order loss of 950, not roughly 4,055. Comparing principal amounts alone hides this difference.
For sensitivity comparison only, the shorter-duration position would need a market value of approximately 426,900 to match DV01 of 81.11. This is not an argument for increasing leverage. Equal market value, equal face amount and equal interest-rate sensitivity are different constraints. Matching DV01 does not equalize credit risk, liquidity or financing costs.
Take a simplified position long the ten-year point with DV01 of +81.11 and short the two-year point with DV01 of −81.11. Temporarily assume each exposure is concentrated at its respective curve node. Equal, simultaneous yield changes cancel to first order.
Now let the ten-year yield rise 20 bp while the two-year yield falls 10 bp. The long loses about 1,622.20; the short loses 811.10. Combined loss: 2,433.30. The net DV01 is zero, yet both legs lose. Neutrality to a parallel shift is not neutrality to every possible curve move.
Real coupon bonds have cash flows across several maturities, so assigning every exposure to final maturity is inadequate. Use key-rate sensitivities or reprice the cash flows by maturity. Corporate credit spreads need separate shocks. Callable bonds require a model allowing cash flows to change, often summarized by effective duration; the fixed-cash-flow, positive-convexity example above is not transferable without adjustment. Nor can a futures contract’s face amount simply be substituted for a cash bond’s market value.
In a different scenario, buy the example bond at 100 and hold it for a year. Receive the coupon of 4; nine years now remain. At a 5% yield, those remaining payments are worth 92.8922. The one-year total return is (92.8922 + 4 − 100) ÷ 100 = −3.11%, before costs and tax. That is not the −7.72% instantaneous price shock in the table: time has passed, a coupon has been paid and maturity has shortened.
Yield to maturity is not a promise of next year’s account return, and coupon income is not the whole profit. A bond fund that keeps replacing holdings has no principal-repayment date implied by its current duration. Where subscriptions or withdrawals occur, separate cash movements from performance using the same discipline described in cash-flow-adjusted drawdown calculations.
DV01 turns an abstract concern about rates into an auditable amount with explicit units. Its usefulness depends on remembering which shock that amount actually describes.
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