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US Secretary Of State Rubio: We Need To Talk More About The Disruption That Artificial Intelligence Is Causing To The Economy
The U.S. Bureau Of Labor Statistics Will Not Release 12-month Year-over-year Data For October's CPI And Core CPI. Due To The Potential U.S. Government Shutdown In 2025, Base Period Data Is Missing And Cannot Be Retrospectively Collected; The Market Will Have To Rely On Month-over-month Data To Assess Inflation
U.S. Secretary Of State Marco Rubio Defended U.S. Defense Secretary Hergesse After Articles Of Impeachment Were Brought
U.S. Secretary Of State Rubio: We Can Cause The International Criminal Court To Suffer Enormous Losses
US Secretary Of State Rubio: The Ukraine Issue Is One Of The Agenda Items For Tomorrow's G7 Talks
The Onshore Yuan Closed At 6.6724 Against The Dollar In Overnight Trading, Up 39 Points From The Previous Trading Day
S&P On Suriname: The Stable Outlook Reflects Expectations For The Next 12-18 Months, With Strong Economic Growth Driven By High Gold Prices Translating Into Fiscal Revenue
S&P: Suriname Expects Its Economy To Grow Steadily Over The Next Four Years, Driven By Investments In Large Oil Fields And Anticipated Production Increases In 2028
S&P Upgraded Suriname's Rating From CCC+/C To B-/B Due To Improved Economic Prospects And A Stable Outlook
Lithuanian Officials Say The Tests Could Delay Russian Grain Exports Through The Country By Several Months
Shanghai Futures Exchange Crude Oil Futures Contract 2612 Closed Down 3.62% In Night Trading, At 614.40 Yuan Per Barrel. Shanghai Gold Futures Closed Up 0.6% And Shanghai Silver Futures Closed Up 0.61%
U.S. Natural Gas Futures Rose More Than 5.00%, Currently Trading At $3.627 Per Million British Thermal Units
Shanghai Futures Exchange Crude Oil Futures Closed Down 3.96% In Night Trading, At 605.70 Yuan Per Barrel. Shanghai Gold Futures Closed Up 0.60% And Shanghai Silver Futures Closed Up 0.61%
The Saudi-led Coalition Destroyed A Factory In Yemen Used By The Houthi Rebels To Manufacture Ballistic Missile Components
Richmond Federal Reserve President Barkin: I Don’t Believe The Voting Measures Passed In The Recent Election Will Hinder The Expansion Of Data Centers; Companies Will Find Other Places To Build
Richmond Federal Reserve President Barkin: There Is No Baseline Scenario For The December Meeting
The Federal Reserve's Overnight Reverse Repurchase Agreement (RRP) Usage Was $252 Million On Monday, Compared With $150 Million In The Previous Trading Session
The Federal Reserve Accepted A Total Of $252 Million From Three Counterparties In Its Fixed-rate Reverse Repurchase Operations
The U.S. Treasury Auctioned $58 Billion In Three-year Treasury Notes, With A Winning Yield Of 4.627% (compared To 4.932% On October 6, The Highest Since 2006), And A Bid-to-cover Ratio Of 2.53 (compared To 2.62 Previously). The U.S. Treasury Also Auctioned Six-week Treasury Notes, With A Winning Yield Of 3.990% And A Bid-to-cover Ratio Of 2.59

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US President Trump delivered a speech
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Richmond Federal Reserve President Barkin delivered a speech.
BOE Gov Bailey Speaks
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Reprice a 100,000 bond position, compare duration with convexity, and see why zero net DV01 can still lose money when the yield curve twists.
A bond duration of eight is neither an 8% loss limit nor a promise that your money comes back in eight years. It measures local price sensitivity. DV01 translates that sensitivity into cash: approximately how much does the position change in value when its yield moves by one basis point? Even a portfolio with zero net DV01 can lose money when the yield curve twists.

One basis point is 0.01 percentage point, or 0.0001 in decimal form. A move from 4% to 4.5% is 50 basis points. The relative increase of 12.5% is not the input for the bond-price calculation. Here, a conventional long bond has positive DV01: a positive yield shock produces a loss. A short position carries the opposite sign.
DV01 ≈ modified duration × full market value × 0.0001. Estimated P&L ≈ −DV01 × yield change in basis points.
Full, or dirty, value includes accrued interest. Face value is not a substitute: 100,000 face amount at a full price of 95 is worth 95,000. Using 100,000 overstates its cash sensitivity. Currency also matters. Dollars per basis point and euros per basis point must be converted consistently before they can be added.
Consider a hypothetical option-free bond with face value 100, ten years remaining and annual payments of 4, with 104 paid in year ten. Assume no default and value it immediately after a coupon payment, when clean and dirty prices coincide. At an annually compounded yield of 4%, it trades at 100. Discount each payment separately: nine payments of 4, followed by 104.
The resulting Macaulay duration is 8.4353 years. Modified duration is 8.4353 ÷ 1.04 = 8.1109. The former is a present-value-weighted cash-flow time; the latter is the sensitivity used here. A position worth 100,000 therefore has DV01 of about 81.11 in its currency.
| New yield | Shock | Duration estimate | Full repricing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5% | −50 bp | 104.06 | 104.16 |
| 4.0% | 0 bp | 100.00 | 100.00 |
| 4.5% | +50 bp | 95.94 | 96.04 |
| 5.0% | +100 bp | 91.89 | 92.28 |
These are instantaneous shocks to unchanged cash flows, not one-year returns. For a 50 bp rise, the linear loss is 4,055.45; full repricing gives 3,956.36. Curvature explains the difference. Convexity in this example is 80.7543. Adding the second-order term, ΔP/P ≈ −8.1109Δy + ½ × 80.7543 × Δy², with Δy in decimals, gives a price of 96.05, close to 96.04. It is still an approximation. Large shocks call for repricing, not indefinite reliance on yesterday’s DV01.
A second conventional position in the same currency, also worth 100,000 but with modified duration of 1.9, has DV01 of just 19. A 50 bp rise implies a first-order loss of 950, not roughly 4,055. Comparing principal amounts alone hides this difference.
For sensitivity comparison only, the shorter-duration position would need a market value of approximately 426,900 to match DV01 of 81.11. This is not an argument for increasing leverage. Equal market value, equal face amount and equal interest-rate sensitivity are different constraints. Matching DV01 does not equalize credit risk, liquidity or financing costs.
Take a simplified position long the ten-year point with DV01 of +81.11 and short the two-year point with DV01 of −81.11. Temporarily assume each exposure is concentrated at its respective curve node. Equal, simultaneous yield changes cancel to first order.
Now let the ten-year yield rise 20 bp while the two-year yield falls 10 bp. The long loses about 1,622.20; the short loses 811.10. Combined loss: 2,433.30. The net DV01 is zero, yet both legs lose. Neutrality to a parallel shift is not neutrality to every possible curve move.
Real coupon bonds have cash flows across several maturities, so assigning every exposure to final maturity is inadequate. Use key-rate sensitivities or reprice the cash flows by maturity. Corporate credit spreads need separate shocks. Callable bonds require a model allowing cash flows to change, often summarized by effective duration; the fixed-cash-flow, positive-convexity example above is not transferable without adjustment. Nor can a futures contract’s face amount simply be substituted for a cash bond’s market value.
In a different scenario, buy the example bond at 100 and hold it for a year. Receive the coupon of 4; nine years now remain. At a 5% yield, those remaining payments are worth 92.8922. The one-year total return is (92.8922 + 4 − 100) ÷ 100 = −3.11%, before costs and tax. That is not the −7.72% instantaneous price shock in the table: time has passed, a coupon has been paid and maturity has shortened.
Yield to maturity is not a promise of next year’s account return, and coupon income is not the whole profit. A bond fund that keeps replacing holdings has no principal-repayment date implied by its current duration. Where subscriptions or withdrawals occur, separate cash movements from performance using the same discipline described in cash-flow-adjusted drawdown calculations.
DV01 turns an abstract concern about rates into an auditable amount with explicit units. Its usefulness depends on remembering which shock that amount actually describes.
The risk of loss in trading financial instruments such as stocks, FX, commodities, futures, bonds, ETFs and crypto can be substantial. You may sustain a total loss of the funds that you deposit with your broker. Therefore, you should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances and financial resources.
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