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SYMBOL
LAST
BID
ASK
HIGH
LOW
NET CHG.
%CHG.
SPREAD
SPX
S&P 500 Index
6832.08
6832.08
6832.08
6878.28
6827.18
-38.32
-0.56%
--
DJI
Dow Jones Industrial Average
47658.11
47658.11
47658.11
47971.51
47611.93
-296.87
-0.62%
--
IXIC
NASDAQ Composite Index
23469.42
23469.42
23469.42
23698.93
23455.05
-108.70
-0.46%
--
USDX
US Dollar Index
99.020
99.100
99.020
99.160
98.730
+0.070
+ 0.07%
--
EURUSD
Euro / US Dollar
1.16377
1.16385
1.16377
1.16717
1.16162
-0.00049
-0.04%
--
GBPUSD
Pound Sterling / US Dollar
1.33244
1.33253
1.33244
1.33462
1.33053
-0.00068
-0.05%
--
XAUUSD
Gold / US Dollar
4185.99
4186.40
4185.99
4218.85
4175.92
-11.92
-0.28%
--
WTI
Light Sweet Crude Oil
58.567
58.597
58.567
60.084
58.495
-1.242
-2.08%
--

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U.S. Senate Democratic Member And Antitrust Activist Warren Stated That Paramount Skydance's Hostile Takeover Offer Triggered A "Level 5 Antitrust Alert."

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Benin Government: Coup Plotters Kidnapped Two Senior Military Officials Who Were Later Freed

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Canada: G7 Finance Ministers Discussed Export Controls And Critical Minerals In Call

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Benin Government: Nigeria Carried Out Air Strikes To Help Thwart Coup Bid

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Fitch: Expects General Government (Gg) Deficit To Fall Modestly In Canada And But Rise Modestly In USA In 2026

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An Important Point Of Consensus Was Concern Regarding Application Of Non-Market Policies, Including Export Controls, To Critical Minerals Supply Chains

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Fitch: Despite Full-Year Impact Of Tariffs, We Expect USA Fiscal Deficit To Widen In 2026 Due To Additional Tax Cuts Under One Big Beautiful Bill Act

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Private Equity Firm Cinven Has Signed A £190 Million Deal To Acquire A Majority Stake In UK Advisory Firm Flint Global

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Bank Of England's Taylor Expects Inflation To Fall To Target 'In The Near Term'

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Ukraine President Zelenskiy: He Will Travel To Italy On Tuesday

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China Is Not Interested In Forcing Russia To End Its War In Ukraine

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ICE Certified Arabica Stocks Decreased By 5144 As Of December 08, 2025

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UK Government: Leaders All Agreed That "Now Is A Critical Moment And That We Must Continue To Ramp Up Support To Ukraine And Economic Pressure On Putin"

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UK Government: After Meeting With The Leaders Of France, Germany And Ukraine, UK Prime Minister Convened A Call With Other European Allies To Update Them On The Latest Situation

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Am Best: US Incurred Asbestos Losses Rise Again In 2024 To $1.5 Billion

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Readout Of UK Prime Minister's Engagements With Counterparts From France, Germany And European Partners: Discussed Positive Progress Made To Use Immobilised Russian Sovereign Assets To Support Ukraine's Reconstruction

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New York Fed Accepts $1.703 Billion Of $1.703 Billion Submitted To Reverse Repo Facility On Dec 08

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Ukraine President Zelenskiy: Coalition Of Willing Meeting To Take Place This Week

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Ukraine President Zelenskiy: Ukraine Lacks $800 Million For USA Weapons Purchase Programme This Year

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Zimbabwe's President Removes Winston Chitando As Mines Minister, Replaces Him With Polite Kambamura

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          Vietnam’s M&A Market Heats Up with $720 Million in Deals, Marking Foreign Capital’s Strategic Return

          Gerik

          Economic

          Stocks

          Summary:

          Vietnam recorded 52 merger and acquisition deals worth over $720 million in October 2025, led predominantly by foreign investors and private equity funds entering the market for the first time,...

          Foreign capital fuels Vietnam’s M&A resurgence

          Vietnam’s M&A market witnessed a resurgence in October 2025, with a total of 52 transactions valued at approximately $720.45 million, according to Grant Thornton’s latest report. While the aggregate deal value is on par with September, the structural composition of deals suggests a deeper market recovery. Most of the deals were strategic and spearheaded by foreign investors, reversing the previous trend of internal corporate restructurings.
          This shift marks a significant return of private equity (PE) funds, many of which made their debut in Vietnam’s deal landscape during this month. The influx of long-term capital highlights growing international confidence in the Vietnamese economy despite global uncertainties. These trends reveal a causal relationship between macroeconomic stability and renewed cross-border capital flows into Vietnam’s private sector.

          Real estate and manufacturing dominate by value, energy surges in scope

          Among the sectors, real estate and industrial manufacturing led in estimated value, with real estate contributing around $225 million and industrial production about $109 million. The energy sector also stood out, with $115 million in total transaction value, supported by both scale and volume, including seven key deals in October.
          Manufacturing led in terms of transaction count, with 10 deals, while energy followed with 7. Other sectors averaged 4–5 deals each, suggesting broader diversification in investment targets and rising confidence across multiple industries. This pattern demonstrates a correlational shift where sector-wide M&A activity reflects growing investor appetite beyond traditional verticals.

          Vincom Retail leads real estate M&A with strategic restructuring

          One of the most prominent real estate deals was Vincom Retail’s sale of a 99.99% stake in Vincom NCT, which owns the Vincom Center Nguyễn Chí Thanh, to Bảo Quân Investment and Service Company for approximately $133 million. This transaction is part of a broader strategic pivot by Vincom Retail to focus on mega-malls integrated with Vinhomes’ urban developments. New mega malls in Ocean City and Royal Island have already launched, and more investments are planned for the massive Cần Giờ project.
          This transaction represents a causal realignment of corporate strategy, where asset divestments are being used to fund targeted expansions in high-growth commercial retail formats.

          Energy M&A expands as foreign players invest in renewables

          The energy sector saw four notable transactions. Japanese conglomerate Sumitomo acquired a 49% stake in Cửu Long Power Development JSC, owner of Đăk Di 1 & 2 hydropower plants. Meanwhile, Levanta Holding took an 80% stake in HBRE Gia Lai Wind Power JSC for $33.1 million. Other deals include Verdant Energy’s acquisition of a rooftop solar portfolio (11 MW) and Platinum Victory’s $43.6 million share purchase in REE Corporation.
          This rise in renewable energy M&A indicates a causal trend driven by Vietnam’s ongoing transition toward cleaner energy and the appeal of scalable energy infrastructure projects for international investors.

          Industrial M&A backed by strategic capacity expansion

          South Korea’s OCI Holdings, via its subsidiary OCI ONE, acquired 65% of Elite Solar Power Wafer’s Vietnamese factory, investing $120 million in the initial phase. The plant’s projected capacity expansion to 5.4 GW within six months highlights how Vietnam is becoming central to regional renewable energy supply chains.
          This acquisition reflects a strategic integration move, positioning OCI to secure upstream materials in the solar energy sector, with Vietnam as a key production hub.

          Diverse sectors reflect a maturing investment landscape

          Beyond the traditional sectors, October’s M&A wave also reached logistics, consumer goods, healthcare, agriculture, utilities, and finance:
          Logistics: MyStorage secured funding from EMIA to expand self-storage facilities and tech platforms.
          Consumer: Coolmate completed a Series C round led by Vertex Growth Fund to broaden its product lines and retail reach.
          Healthcare: MEDLATEC welcomed Ares Asia PE as a strategic investor, marking the latter’s first venture into Vietnam’s medical sector. Simultaneously, DSC Securities raised its stake in VIDIPHA to nearly 20%, equivalent to an $8 million investment.
          Agriculture: Dabaco acquired an additional 41.67% stake in Thịnh Phát Kim Sơn 1 for a high-tech pig farm in Lào Cai, valued at 560 billion VND.
          Utilities: PIDG invested over 218 billion VND in AquaOne’s Hòa Bình-Xuân Mai water plant to enhance rural and suburban water supply in Phú Thọ.
          Finance: TPBank raised its ownership of Tiên Phong Securities (ORS) to 51%, injecting nearly 3.6 trillion VND in a private share issuance that lifted TPS’s charter capital to 6.239 trillion VND.
          This breadth of sectoral engagement illustrates a correlational maturity in Vietnam’s investment ecosystem, where varied industries now present viable M&A opportunities.
          October 2025 marks a pivotal point in Vietnam’s M&A evolution. The surge in deal volume, the return of private equity, and the rising presence of first-time foreign investors indicate a fundamental revival in deal-making. Strategic shifts by major domestic players like Vincom Retail and the growing influence of international capital in energy and industry reflect a transforming business environment. As Vietnam strengthens its institutional, regulatory, and macroeconomic foundations, it is increasingly viewed not just as a growth story but as a strategic node in global investment networks.
          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          Fed’s Barr Says AI Will Transform Economies Though Outcomes Vary

          Samantha Luan

          Stocks

          Economic

          Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr said although artificial intelligence will transform economies, there are a range of outcomes as to how that will play out.

          Barr, in remarks prepared for a speech Wednesday at the Singapore FinTech Festival, outlined two basic scenarios. In the first, adoption of generative AI could augment existing tasks and roles. In the second, it could lead to a transformative impact, where work and leisure undergo radical change that boosts efficiency and remakes firms with new business models.

          "Right now, it is difficult to predict which scenario (or perhaps one or more intermediate scenarios) will come to pass," he said.

          Fed officials elected to cut their benchmark interest rate at each of their last two policy meetings following a sharp slowdown in hiring over the summer. Recent public comments indicate they are divided over the need for a third reduction in December, though investors are betting on one, according to futures.

          In his speech, Barr pointed to a New York Fed survey showing AI has led employers to scale back hiring plans — a development the Fed governor suggested may be contributing to slower levels of job creation — though he didn't comment on the near-term outlook for monetary policy.

          He also pointed to the possibility that the trillions of dollars in planned capital investment into data centers could drive significant economic change, including productivity gains.

          "Investment in capital generally raises labor productivity and offers the potential for higher output growth without pressure on inflation over the longer term," Barr said. "As I have discussed in previous remarks, if these changes are significant, they can also affect the conduct of monetary policy."

          Source: Bloomberg Europe

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          PBOC Changes Minds On Policy As Goldman Sees Longer Easing Pause

          Justin

          Forex

          Central Bank

          Political

          Economic

          Global lenders like Goldman Sachs Group Inc. retracted calls for further monetary stimulus in China this year after the central bank telegraphed more patience in steering an economy still on track to hit growth targets.

          The People's Bank of China downplayed concerns over a slowdown in new loans and pledged in a Tuesday report to adopt "cross-cyclical" policy adjustments. Appearing for the first time in more than a year in its quarterly statements, that phrase emphasizes a longer-term horizon that looks beyond temporary volatility in economic growth.

          The latest messaging from officials prompted Goldman economists to push back their forecast for the next reduction in China's policy interest rate and reserve requirement ratio to the first quarter of 2026, from the final months of this year. Analysts at Zheshang Securities Co. also see a lower probability of rate and RRR cuts before the end of 2025, saying in a Tuesday report that broad easing could be reserved for early 2026 to ensure the economy gets off to a smooth start next year.

          Even prior to this week's PBOC report, Citigroup Inc. and Bloomberg Economics also shifted to expecting no further rate cuts in 2025.

          The guidance suggests "the PBOC is willing to tolerate further moderation in loan growth rather than respond with broad-based monetary and credit easing," Xinquan Chen, an economist at Goldman, wrote in a note Wednesday.

          The changes are causing a rethink after the PBOC already surprised by acting with restraint in easing monetary policy this year. Its shift to a "moderately loose" stance for the first time since 2010 initially led economists including those at Goldman to forecast the biggest rate cuts in a decade.

          But the actual stimulus has fallen well short of those expectations, with just one 10-basis point rate reduction delivered so far this year in May.

          The economy has been unexpectedly resilient in the face of a second US-China trade war. Officials also proceeded with caution as the stock market boomed for months after China's breakthroughs in technology including artificial intelligence set off euphoria among investors.

          But the risk is that insufficient stimulus could leave the economy vulnerable over the longer term by prolonging deeper problems including deflation, the property downturn and weak consumer confidence.

          The yuan was little changed after the PBOC on Wednesday set its daily reference rate at the strongest level since October 2024. The 10-year yield was steady at 1.8% while the one-year rate was unchanged at 1.4%.

          Another factor shaping the PBOC's policy path is its resumption of government bond trading last month. While modest at the moment, its purchases of sovereign debt could inject substantial liquidity into the financial system if the central bank ramps up its use of the program.

          The wording in the latest PBOC report "implies that Beijing might be more cautious in its policy stimulus," Huaxi Securities analysts led by Liu Yu wrote in a note. "The goal is to put a floor under the economy to avoid a stall, thereby safeguarding the foundations of the recent recovery."

          Source: Bloomberg Europe

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          RBA Flags Growing Disconnect Between Market Calm and Rising Global Risks

          Gerik

          Economic

          RBA raises red flag on market underpricing of geopolitical risk

          At a major financial conference in Queensland, RBA Assistant Governor Brad Jones delivered a stark warning that current market behavior may be masking deeper systemic vulnerabilities. Speaking to an audience at the Association of Superannuation Funds of Australia, Jones highlighted that risk premiums across various asset classes have declined to “concerning lows,” suggesting a disconnect between pricing and actual macroeconomic and geopolitical conditions.
          The concern lies not in the sustainability of the low premiums themselves, but in the apparent disregard for what Jones termed a “confronting set of potential risks.” This suggests a causal disconnect despite a rising threat environment, investor behavior has not adjusted proportionately, indicating potential mispricing of tail risks.

          Shifting central bank reserves reflect signs of global fragmentation

          One of the most striking elements in Jones’s remarks was the observation of fragmentation in central bank reserve strategies. He noted that a limited group of countries has driven a significant increase in gold holdings, implying that fears of asset seizure or sanctions may be prompting some governments to de-dollarize or diversify away from traditional reserve assets.
          This emerging pattern hints at deeper structural reconfiguration in the global financial order, where geopolitical tensions are directly influencing sovereign asset allocation. The shift toward gold, a non-sovereign, non-seizable store of value, underscores how concerns about Western sanctions or asset freezes are reshaping behaviors in subtle yet significant ways.
          This relationship is causal in nature: the growing use of sanctions and financial weaponization appears to be driving a precautionary accumulation of gold by certain central banks, possibly as a hedge against Western jurisdictional risk.

          Concerns grow over fragmentation of global financial systems

          Beyond reserve holdings, Jones also mentioned fragmentation risks in global payments infrastructure and financial safety nets. While these concerns are not yet fully realized, they are increasingly present in policy circles. For example, as alternative payment systems and non-dollar settlements gain momentum, the risk of bifurcation in global finance becomes more tangible.
          Although still largely theoretical, this correlational shift signals the early stages of a divided monetary ecosystem where geopolitical alignment could determine access to capital flows, clearing systems, and safety nets. The RBA is signaling that such fragmentation, while not yet disruptive, is approaching a threshold where its effects could become self-reinforcing.

          Complacency in financial markets poses vulnerability to sudden shocks

          A central theme in Jones’s speech was the idea that markets are misjudging the probability of binary risks those which involve sharp, discontinuous outcomes such as war, sanctions, or financial embargoes. With risk spreads narrowing despite these growing uncertainties, central banks are increasingly perplexed by what they perceive as market complacency.
          This raises the possibility of an eventual snapback effect where risk premiums rapidly widen once dormant risks are re-evaluated or triggered. The concern is that in the absence of gradual repricing, a single shock could provoke an outsized correction across asset classes, especially in a financial system already showing signs of stress at the institutional level.
          Jones’s comments reflect a growing realization among policymakers that the global financial system may be entering a period of strategic fragmentation, with asset preferences, payments infrastructure, and safety nets increasingly aligned along geopolitical lines. The RBA’s message is clear: markets must take a more sober view of emerging risks and prepare for volatility, as the era of stability anchored in a unified global monetary regime may be giving way to a more fragmented and uncertain order.

          Source: Bloomberg

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          Fed Increasingly Fractured Over Dec Rate Cut

          Justin

          Forex

          Political

          Economic

          Federal Reserve officials are growing increasingly fractured over whether to cut interest rates in December, the Wall Street Journal's Nick Timiraos reported on Tuesday.

          Timiraos– who earned the moniker of the "Fed whisperer," said officials are split over what poses a greater threat to the economy– sticky inflation or a sluggish labor market– with recent delays in official data, due to a prolonged government shutdown, adding to this friction.

          The central bank had cut interest rates by 25 basis points in near unanimous decisions in September and October.

          But a contingent of hawkish policymakers questioned the need for further rate cuts, especially a third consecutive cut in December.

          Chair Jerome Powell had also pushed back against expectations that a December cut was a given.

          Friction over a December cut was exacerbated by the longest ever government shutdown, which delayed the release of several official inflation and labor reports.

          Still, the shutdown is set to end this week, allowing the government to release several key economic prints before the Fed's meeting in December.

          CME Fedwatch showed markets pricing in a 61.9% chance the Fed will cut rates by another 25 basis points during its December 10-11 meeting, and a 38.1% chance it will hold rates steady.

          Source: Investing

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
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          Yen-Pegged Stablecoin JPYC Poised to Reshape Japan’s Bond Market and Challenge BOJ Influence

          Gerik

          Economic

          Cryptocurrency

          JPYC’s ambition: Driving yen relevance in a dollar-dominated digital finance world

          Japanese startup JPYC made headlines by launching the country’s first domestically issued yen-pegged stablecoin on October 27, entering a global arena where dollar-backed tokens dominate 99% of the $290 billion stablecoin market. With an early issuance volume of ¥143 million and over 4,700 account holders by mid-November, JPYC’s goal is to scale issuance to ¥10 trillion (approximately $66.3 billion) within three years.
          According to CEO Noritaka Okabe, this move is not only about innovation in digital payments but also about asserting the yen’s role in a rapidly evolving financial ecosystem. As cross-border transactions increasingly shift to real-time blockchain rails, Japanese firms currently face higher hedging and transaction costs due to dollar dominance in stablecoins. JPYC aims to mitigate that disadvantage by offering a domestically anchored, blockchain-compatible currency.
          This presents a causal relationship between the dollar’s dominance in stablecoins and the increased financial friction faced by Japanese firms. JPYC’s mission, then, is to realign these flows to benefit yen-based systems.

          Linking stablecoin growth to Japan’s sovereign bond market

          One of the most notable features of JPYC is its asset-backing strategy: 80% of its reserves will be invested in Japanese government bonds (JGBs), with the remaining 20% in bank deposits. This investment allocation is intended to provide price stability while indirectly integrating JPYC into Japan’s sovereign bond ecosystem.
          Okabe suggests that as stablecoins scale, their issuers may become pivotal players in JGB markets, especially as the BOJ continues its tapering strategy. The BOJ, currently holding nearly half of the ¥1,055 trillion JGB market, has reduced bond purchases as it slowly exits its ultra-loose monetary stance.
          The implication here is significant: if JPYC and other issuers expand rapidly, they could absorb part of the demand gap left by the BOJ. This projection reflects a potential causal link as the BOJ scales back, the resulting vacuum in bond demand might be partially filled by emerging fintech actors like JPYC.

          Stablecoin influence: A new constraint on central bank policy?

          With potentially billions flowing into JGBs through stablecoin operations, monetary authorities may soon face a novel challenge. Unlike traditional institutional bondholders, whose purchases are typically guided by financial strategy or central bank policy, stablecoin demand is tethered to the supply-demand balance of digital tokens.
          Okabe notes that while regulators could influence the duration of JGBs stablecoin issuers are allowed to hold, it will be difficult to control volume, as that would depend on consumer-driven token issuance. This introduces a feedback loop between monetary policy, digital asset demand, and sovereign debt markets.
          This mechanism represents a correlational dynamic: the influence of stablecoin-backed JGB buying is shaped by decentralized market behavior rather than top-down monetary control, potentially limiting central bank flexibility in managing long-term yields.

          Regulatory tensions and future directions for JPYC

          Despite the growth potential, policymakers remain cautious. Stablecoins have drawn regulatory scrutiny for their capacity to facilitate off-bank fund flows, posing a challenge to traditional commercial banking roles in payments. Even so, Japan’s top three banks under the watchful eye of financial regulators are experimenting with joint stablecoin issuance, suggesting a cautious but open approach from public institutions.
          JPYC, while currently focused on short-term securities, has already been approached by lawmakers and government officials about possibly expanding into longer-dated JGBs. Such a shift would elevate JPYC’s role from a digital payment tool to a systemic investor within Japan’s debt market.
          Whether such expansion unfolds depends on multiple factors: consumer adoption, regulatory green lights, and the BOJ’s evolving position. Yet the groundwork is being laid for a future in which stablecoin issuers are not just financial intermediaries, but also key macroeconomic actors.
          JPYC’s rise underscores a broader trend where financial innovation intersects with sovereign policy. What began as a digital tool to reduce transaction frictions for Japanese firms could soon evolve into a force shaping bond yields and central bank influence. As Japan and other nations navigate this shift, the stability and scale of stablecoin issuers may become as relevant to monetary strategy as traditional financial institutions. In the coming years, Japan’s bond market may no longer be shaped solely by ministries and central banks but also by the invisible flows of digital tokens backed by the yen.

          Source: Reuters

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
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          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          U.S. Government Shutdown Countdown

          FastBull Featured

          Daily News

          [Quick Facts]

          1. U.S. Russia sanctions ripple: Bulgaria gasoline stocks critical.
          2. Shutdown deal reached, awaits Congressional vote.
          3. ADP signals soft labor market: 10,000+ layoffs per week in Oct.
          4. Small-business optimism index drops to six-month low.
          5. U.K. unemployment climbs to 5%, highest in five years.

          [News Details]​

          U.S. Russia sanctions ripple: Bulgaria gasoline stocks critical
          U.S. sanctions against Russia's Lukoil have spilled over into the company's European operations, raising the prospect of winter energy shortages across several European countries. Asen Asenov, Chairman of Bulgaria's State Reserve and War Stocks Agency, said the country has barely one month of gasoline stocks on hand. In a move designed to force an immediate ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine, the U.S. Treasury announced measures targeting Russian state-owned Rosneft and privately-held Lukoil. The restrictions take effect on 21 November. Lukoil's Burgas refinery—Bulgaria's largest—is among the company's most important overseas assets, and with winter approaching some Bulgarians fear the sanctions could disrupt national energy supplies.
          Shutdown deal reached, awaits Congressional vote
          Although the Senate cleared a procedural cloture vote on the continuing resolution (CR) last Sunday, the action was purely procedural and merely removed the first parliamentary hurdle. No final passage vote has been scheduled. House members must still return to Washington from their districts for what would be their first recorded vote since 19 September.
          Based on the latest sequencing, a government shutdown is more likely than not to be resolved before the weekend. The Senate is scheduled to reconvene at 11:00 a.m. ET on Monday, 10 November, but Republican Whip John Thune noted that expedited consideration will require unanimous consent. Absent bipartisan cooperation, the full statutory process could consume most of the week.
          House passage is far from assured. Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries stated Sunday night that "we will fight the Republican bill on the House floor," while conservative GOP lawmakers continue to press for a full-year appropriations measure that would fund the government through 30 September next year.
          ADP signals soft labor market: 10,000+ layoffs per week in Oct
          According to newly released figures from the ADP Research Institute on Tuesday, U.S. businesses eliminated an average of roughly 11,250 positions per week during the four weeks ended 25 October, signalling a pronounced cooling of the labour market in the second half of October and a continued lacklustre hiring impulse.
          The metric is taken from ADP's newly launched "4-Week Average Employment Change" series, designed to track private-sector payroll trends. A separate monthly report published by ADP last week showed that private employers added 42,000 jobs in October—the first rebound after two consecutive monthly declines, yet still a tepid pace of expansion overall.
          ADP noted that the four-week average data show the labor market slowed markedly in the second half of October compared with early-month levels, partly owing to a flurry of corporate layoff announcements. According to the outplacement firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas, October saw the heaviest job-cut tally for the month in more than two decades, stoking concerns over the health of the employment market.
          Separately, Goldman Sachs estimates that U.S. non-farm payrolls fell by roughly 50,000 in October—the steepest decline since 2020. Its employment-growth tracker slowed from 85,000 in September to 50,000, with an additional 100,000 positions eliminated under the Trump administration's "deferred-resignation program." The bank highlighted rising layoffs and weakening labor-market indicators.
          Meanwhile, the University of Michigan's latest consumer-sentiment survey showed 71% of respondents expect the unemployment rate to rise over the next year—the highest share since 1980—signaling a pronounced deterioration in public confidence in the labor market.
          Small-business optimism index drops to six-month low
          U.S. small-business confidence retreated in October to a six-month low as profitability deteriorated and optimism about the economy faded.
          The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index dropped to 98.2 in October. Five of the index's ten components declined and four improved. A net 9% of owners reported higher earnings over the past three months—the steepest slide since the pandemic—hampered by soft sales and rising material costs. The headline index was also weighed down by waning optimism about the outlook: a net 20% of owners expect better business conditions in the next six months, down 3% and the lowest reading since April.
          Although the quality of labor remains the top operational concern, owners are marginally less worried about hiring challenges. 32% of firms reported at least one unfilled opening, unchanged from the lowest level since late 2020.
          U.K. unemployment climbs to 5%, highest in five years
          The UK unemployment rate rose to 5% in the three months to September, marking a five-year high and coming in above expectations. It was up 0.2% from the June–August reading.
          A separate survey showed annual growth in average weekly earnings excluding bonuses slowed to 4.6% in the same period, 0.2% below the pace recorded in the previous three months.
          The data prompted a dovish repricing of Bank of England (BoE) rate expectations. Market pricing now implies a 73% probability of a 25 bp cut at the 18 December meeting, up from 62% on Monday.
          Should Thursday's Q3 GDP print undershoot consensus, calls for a pre-Christmas rate reduction will grow louder. The Reuters poll median forecast is for 0.2% quarterly growth.

          [Today's Focus]

          UTC+8 06:15 RBA Assistant Governor Brad Jones speaks
          UTC+8 18:45 ECB Executive Board Member Isabel Schnabel speaks
          UTC+8 19:15 ECB Vice-President Luis de Guindos speaks
          UTC+8 20:05 BoE Chief Economist Huw Pill speaks
          UTC+8 22:20 NY Fed President John Williams speaks
          UTC+8 23:45 U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent speaks
          UTC+8 01:00 EIA releases Short-Term Energy Outlook
          UTC+8 01:15 Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic speaks
          UTC+8 02:30 BoC publishes October meeting minutes
          TBD OPEC releases Monthly Oil Market Report
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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