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SYMBOL
LAST
BID
ASK
HIGH
LOW
NET CHG.
%CHG.
SPREAD
SPX
S&P 500 Index
6716.08
6716.08
6716.08
6754.30
6710.81
+16.70
+ 0.25%
--
DJI
Dow Jones Industrial Average
46993.25
46993.25
46993.25
47428.12
46975.52
+46.85
+ 0.10%
--
IXIC
NASDAQ Composite Index
22479.52
22479.52
22479.52
22569.64
22409.07
+105.35
+ 0.47%
--
USDX
US Dollar Index
99.270
99.270
99.350
99.270
99.270
-0.320
-0.32%
--
EURUSD
Euro / US Dollar
1.15400
1.15400
1.15409
1.15440
1.15294
+0.00007
+ 0.01%
--
GBPUSD
Pound Sterling / US Dollar
1.33575
1.33575
1.33597
1.33618
1.33484
+0.00034
+ 0.03%
--
XAUUSD
Gold / US Dollar
5002.74
5002.74
5003.18
5005.68
4993.11
-3.41
-0.07%
--
WTI
Light Sweet Crude Oil
94.963
94.963
94.993
95.457
93.950
-0.031
-0.03%
--

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Explosions Were Heard At A U.S. Military Base In Saudi Arabia

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Security Sources Say A Drone Strike Hit The U.S. Embassy In Baghdad, With Explosions Heard At The Scene

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MOF - Japan Feb Thermal Coal Imports -1.1% Year-On-Year At 8.735 Million Tonnes

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MOF - Japan Feb LNG Imports -0.9% Year-On-Year At 5.82 Million Tonnes

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MOF - Japan Feb Preliminary Crude Oil Import Volume +16.4% Year-On-Year

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MOF - Japan Feb Exports To EU +14% Year On Year

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MOF - Japan Feb Exports To USA -8% Year On Year

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MOF - Japan Feb Exports To China -10.9% Year On Year

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Japan Feb Trade Balance +57.3 Billion Yen - MOF (Poll: -483.2 Billion Yen)

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Japan Feb Imports +10.2% Year On Year - MOF (Poll: +11.5%)

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Japan Feb Exports +4.2% Year On Year - MOF (Poll: +1.6%)

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Drone Attack Targets USA Embassy In Baghdad, Explosion Heard -Security Sources

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South Korea Finance Ministry: To Provide Preferential Interest Rates For Companies

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[Iran Confirms Assassination Of Secretary Of The Supreme National Security Council] March 18, Iranian Media Confirmed That Ali Shamkhani, Secretary Of Iran'S Supreme National Security Council, Has Been Assassinated

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Japan's Nikkei Average Futures Up 1.42% In Early Trade

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South Korea Finance Minister Koo: To Limit Naphtha Exports

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Heavy Israeli Airstrikes On Central Beirut

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Three Engineers: Production At Libya's Sharara Oilfield Gradually Shutting Down After Pipeline Explosion

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Two People Killed With Severe Shrapnel Injuries Following Rocket Fire Toward Israel -National Ambulance Service Mda

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Australia's S&P/ASX 200 Index Up 0.1% At 8621.00 In Early Trade

TIME
ACT
FCST
PREV
U.S. Capacity Utilization MoM (SA) (Feb)

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South Africa Retail Sales YoY (Jan)

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BOC Monetary Policy Report
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U.S. EIA Weekly Gasoline Stocks Change

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BOC Press Conference
Russia PPI YoY (Feb)

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U.S. Target Federal Funds Rate Lower Limit (Overnight Reverse Repo Rate)

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U.S. Target Federal Funds Rate Upper Limit (Excess Reserves Ratio)

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FOMC Statement
Q&A with Experts
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    Matthew flag
    EuroTrader
    @Matthewimagine what gold traders have had to go through for the past two days, its terrible
    @EuroTraderthis is where people lost money if they are not careful
    EuroTrader flag
    Matthew
    @EuroTraderthis is really crazy, the markets are very choppy
    @Matthewi mean, its an eyesaw for a pair like gold tho, a very volatile pair like gold really trading sideways
    Matthew flag
    EuroTrader
    @Matthewi mean, its an eyesaw for a pair like gold tho, a very volatile pair like gold really trading sideways
    @EuroTraderI haven't even had an opportunity to take any trades cause of the poor price action .
    RPGFX flag
    Matthew
    @EuroTraderthis is really crazy, the markets are very choppy
    @MatthewYeah, I agree with you on this, the charts have been really messy
    RPGFX flag
    Matthew
    @EuroTraderI haven't even had an opportunity to take any trades cause of the poor price action .
    @MatthewI could barely trade, sometimes I even forget that I have not taken a trade for that day
    EuroTrader flag
    EuroTrader flag
    EuroTrader
    @Matthewyou should be on the lookout for this potentiall selling oppoortunity on usdjpy, lets see how it plays out
    EuroTrader flag
    Matthew
    @EuroTraderthis is where people lost money if they are not careful
    @Matthewthis is the worst time to actually look for setups on gold and silver
    FXBULLZ flag
    FXBULLZ flag
    RPGFX flag
    FXBULLZ
    @FXBULLZWhat is the matter boss, you seem to be happy
    RPGFX flag
    FXBULLZ
    @FXBULLZThis has not loaded yet on my end so I can not see what is contained therein
    EuroTrader flag
    FXBULLZ
    @FXBULLZwhat charts are these and what time is this because these are not real time charts
    FXBULLZ flag
    الذهب فريم الدقيقة الواحدة
    RPGFX flag
    FXBULLZ
    الذهب فريم الدقيقة الواحدة
    @FXBULLZ So you are selling on the 1 minute gold time frame?
    FXBULLZ flag
    نعم
    RPGFX flag
    FXBULLZ
    نعم
    Oh, that is nice @FXBULLZ
    RPGFX flag
    FXBULLZ
    نعم
    I have been holding gold sells since yesterday, but it has been ranging @FXBULLZ
    RPGFX flag
    FXBULLZ
    نعم
    I am hoping to get a very good sell in this Asia session @FXBULLZ
    FXBULLZ flag
    Type here...
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          US Dollar Index (DXY) And The NFP Jobs Report: What To Expect

          Owen Li

          Economic

          Forex

          Summary:

          Consensus forecasts predict an increase of 169,000 jobs, with the unemployment rate expected to remain at 4.1%. Strong numbers (over 190,000 jobs) could strengthen the dollar, while weak numbers (less than 135,000 jobs) could weaken it.  (DXY) currently has support levels around 107.00, 106.13, and 105.76, and resistance levels at 108.00, 108.49, and 109.52.

          Consensus forecasts predict an increase of 169,000 jobs, with the unemployment rate expected to remain at 4.1%.

          Strong numbers (over 190,000 jobs) could strengthen the dollar, while weak numbers (less than 135,000 jobs) could weaken it.

          (DXY) currently has support levels around 107.00, 106.13, and 105.76, and resistance levels at 108.00, 108.49, and 109.52.

          The US Bureau of Labor Statistics is set to release the non-farm payroll and jobs data for January 2025 on Friday, February 7th, 2025.

          NFP Report Expectations

          The consensus forecast for January’s non-farm payroll is an increase of 169,000 jobs, following a robust gain of 256,000 jobs in December 2024. Recent jobs data has been strong, with the US economy adding an average of 186,000 jobs per month in 2024. This suggests that the labor market remains healthy heading into 2025.

          Source: TradingEconomics

          The unemployment rate is expected to stay at 4.1%, and wages are predicted to grow by 0.3% this month (3.8% over the past year). However, job growth could be higher than expected, with estimates ranging from 175,000 to 225,000 new jobs.

          As always the average hourly earnings measure will play a key role. Any significant deviation away from the 3.8-4% range here could see an uptick in inflation expectations. This would then have a knock on effect on Fed policy regarding rate cuts which could see the US Dollar experience some volatility.

          There are challenges ahead with concerns that tariff uncertainty and growth worries may lead to a cautious approach toward hiring in the first part of 2025. It will be interesting to see if these concerns come to fruition and we see any cooling of the labor market and a drop in hiring.

          The Current State of the US Labor Market

          The US labor market is slowing down gradually. A December report showed over 500,000 fewer job openings, bringing the total to 7.6 million. Professional services and healthcare saw the biggest drops, while leisure and hospitality stayed strong.

          Hiring has been slower, and layoffs are balancing out new hires in some industries. However, wages have stayed steady, with average pay growth at 3.9-4.0% over the past five months, showing that demand for workers is still solid.

          There have been some mixed signs in recent data releases however, with metrics like the manufacturing and services PMI employment components, pointing to sustained hiring momentum. The ISM Manufacturing Employment Index recently climbed to 50.3, signaling expansion, while the ADP private payrolls report showed 183,000 jobs added in January.

          Given the above and with the geopolitical and trade developments one may understand why tomorrow’s report is so crucial.

          Potential Impact and Scenarios

          The NFP report plays a big role in shaping the US Dollar Index (DXY) and overall market mood. If the report shows strong numbers, especially over 190,000 new jobs, the US dollar could strengthen, especially since it’s close to support levels around 107.50. But if the report is weak, with less than 135,000 jobs added or wage growth under 0.2%, markets may expect the Fed to cut rates more aggressively, which could weaken the dollar.

          For stocks, strong job numbers might raise concerns about stubborn inflation moving forward, which could slow down market gains. On the other hand, weak job data could signal easier monetary policies ahead and more rate cuts thus stoking market optimism. .

          Potential Impact on the US Dollar Based on the Data Released

          Technical Analysis – US Dollar Index (DXY)

          Looking at the US Dollar Index and bulls have failed to kick on this week as price action has now printed a lower high but no lower low has materialized yet. Will the jobs data help the DXY continue its recent malaise or will it give bulls renewed impetus to push on?

          Immediate support rests at 107.00 before the 106.13 and 105.76 handles come into focus.

          A move higher from here will need to break above the 108.00 handle before resistance at 108.49 and 109.52 come into focus.

          US Dollar Index (DXY) Daily Chart, February 6, 2025

          Source: TradingView (click to enlarge)

          Support

          107.00

          106.13

          105.76 (100-day MA)

          Resistance

          108.00

          108.49

          109.52

          Source: ACTIONFOREX

          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
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          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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