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What Happened?
A number of stocks fell in the afternoon session after new economic data intensified market agitation ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy decision later in the week.
According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, real consumer spending, which is adjusted for inflation, stalled in September, marking its weakest performance in four months. Compounding the issue, the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index, while slightly improved, remained gloomy, with one economist noting that many households faced affordability issues forcing them to be more cautious. This pressure on consumers was reflected in the market, where the Consumer Discretionary sector was among the leading decliners. The broader economic picture showed other signs of caution, as new orders for U.S. factory goods also increased less than anticipated. These indicators collectively suggest a widening slowdown across both consumer and industrial sectors as the Federal Reserve prepared to announce its final policy actions for the year.
The stock market overreacts to news, and big price drops can present good opportunities to buy high-quality stocks.
Among others, the following stocks were impacted:
Zooming In On Mattel (MAT)
Mattel’s shares are not very volatile and have only had 8 moves greater than 5% over the last year. In that context, today’s move indicates the market considers this news meaningful, although it might not be something that would fundamentally change its perception of the business.
The previous big move we wrote about was 5 days ago when the stock gained 4.8% on the news that the company presented at the Morgan Stanley Global Consumer & Retail Conference, where its leadership shared business updates. The company's Executive Chairman & CEO, Ynon Kreiz, and its Chief Financial Officer, Paul Ruh, participated in the event. Presentations at such conferences often contain forward-looking statements that can influence investor views on a company's future performance. This news followed Mattel's re-introduction of Uno Braille a day earlier. The new edition of the popular card game was designed so that blind or low-vision players could enjoy it, showing the company's commitment to making its products more accessible to everyone.
Mattel is up 15.3% since the beginning of the year, and at $20.44 per share, it is trading close to its 52-week high of $21.94 from February 2025. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of Mattel’s shares 5 years ago would now be looking at an investment worth $1,267.
The interim CEO is driving a comprehensive review of operations, prioritizing execution, sales improvement, and owner engagement. Product integration and inventory management are key focus areas, while financial discipline and capital allocation remain central as the company navigates headwinds and seeks to unlock shareholder value.
Leadership is focused on immediate execution improvements, reviewing all strategic options, and leveraging strong brands and internal assets. Operational priorities include sales effectiveness, owner engagement, and maximizing inventory use, while financial discipline and capital allocation remain central.
Oxford Industries, Inc. ( OXM ) is currently at $41.48, up $0.99 or 2.46%
All data as of 2:39:31 PM ET
Source: Dow Jones Market Data, FactSet
What Happened?
Shares of clothing company Kontoor Brands jumped 2.8% in the morning session after the company received a 'Moderate Buy' consensus rating from analysts, supported by a recent earnings beat and a dividend announcement. This confidence was partly fueled by the company's financial performance, as it reported earnings per share of $1.44 for the quarter, which topped the consensus estimate by $0.09. In addition to the strong earnings, Kontoor Brands also disclosed a quarterly dividend of $0.53 per share. This combination of better-than-expected profits, a shareholder dividend, and favorable analyst ratings from nine brokerages painted a healthy picture for the company's stock, with an average 12-month price target set around $96.00.
After the initial pop the shares cooled down to $77.43, up 3.1% from previous close.
Is now the time to buy Kontoor Brands? Access our full analysis report here.
What Is The Market Telling Us
Kontoor Brands’s shares are quite volatile and have had 17 moves greater than 5% over the last year. In that context, today’s move indicates the market considers this news meaningful but not something that would fundamentally change its perception of the business.
The previous big move we wrote about was 12 days ago when the stock gained 2.9% on the news that comments from a key Federal Reserve official bolstered hopes for an interest rate cut. New York Federal Reserve President John Williams stated he sees “room for a further adjustment” in the near term, sparking a significant market rally. Following his remarks, the probability of the central bank cutting rates at its December meeting jumped from 39% to over 73%, according to the CME FedWatch tool. This positive sentiment provided relief to markets amid concerns over high valuations, particularly in AI-related stocks.
Kontoor Brands is down 8.9% since the beginning of the year, and at $77.43 per share, it is trading 19% below its 52-week high of $95.63 from January 2025. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of Kontoor Brands’s shares 5 years ago would now be looking at an investment worth $1,782.
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