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Ethereum remains trapped below the critical $3,000 level as price action compresses into an increasingly narrow range. Despite several recovery attempts, bulls have failed to regain control, leaving ETH vulnerable to renewed downside pressure. Market sentiment reflects this weakness, with a growing number of analysts leaning toward a bearish outlook for 2026 as momentum indicators continue to fade and risk appetite remains subdued across the broader crypto market.
Amid this fragile technical backdrop, new on-chain data highlights a notable shift in Ethereum’s liquidity structure. According to a CryptoQuant report by analyst Arab Chain, Ethereum reserves on Binance surged to approximately 4.17 million ETH in December.
This increase coincided with massive inflows totaling nearly 8.5 million ETH over the month, marking one of the most significant exchange inflow events since 2023.
Such a sharp rise in exchange-held ETH suggests a change in investor behavior. Historically, large inflows to centralized exchanges indicate preparation for increased trading activity, hedging, or potential selling pressure, rather than long-term accumulation.
While inflows alone do not guarantee immediate downside, they often precede periods of higher volatility, especially when the price is already struggling to reclaim key resistance levels.
Exchange Liquidity Rises as Volatility Risks Build
The CryptoQuant report emphasizes that the sharp increase in Ethereum reserves on Binance—the world’s largest exchange by trading volume—indicates a significant increase in tradable supply. When ETH moves from cold storage or long-term wallets onto centralized exchanges, it typically reflects a shift toward active positioning.
Historically, this behavior has been a key input for assessing short- to medium-term supply–demand dynamics, as higher exchange balances increase the amount of ETH readily available for trading, hedging, or liquidation.
However, the report stresses that rising exchange reserves do not automatically translate into immediate selling pressure. In many cases, large inflows are associated with risk management strategies rather than outright distribution.
Institutional participants often move assets to exchanges to deploy them as collateral, rebalance exposure, or hedge downside risk through derivatives markets, particularly during periods of macro uncertainty and compressed price action.
Still, the scale of December’s inflows stands out. Nearly 8.5 million ETH flowed into Binance over the month, marking the highest net inflows since 2023, with daily net inflows peaking above 162,000 ETH. Such volumes suggest the involvement of large players and point to a potential transition into a more volatile market phase.
With Binance commanding a dominant share of Ethereum derivatives trading, this concentration of ETH on the exchange raises the probability of sharp price moves. Whether driven by spot selling or leveraged positioning, elevated exchange liquidity increases the market’s sensitivity to shifts in sentiment, making the current consolidation phase increasingly fragile.
Ethereum Price Compresses As Momentum Fades
Ethereum price action on the 4-hour chart reflects a market stuck in compression just below the $3,000 psychological level. After a sharp decline earlier in the month, ETH attempted several rebounds but consistently failed to reclaim higher ground, resulting in a tight range between roughly $2,900 and $3,100. This structure signals indecision rather than accumulation, with both buyers and sellers lacking conviction.
Technically, Ethereum remains capped below its short- and medium-term moving averages. The 50-period and 100-period averages are acting as dynamic resistance, repeatedly rejecting upside attempts. Meanwhile, the 200-period moving average continues to slope downward, reinforcing the broader bearish trend. As long as ETH trades below these levels, rallies are likely to remain corrective rather than trend-changing.
Trading activity has steadily declined during the consolidation phase, indicating reduced participation and growing apathy. The absence of strong volume expansion on upside moves suggests that buyers are not aggressively stepping in, even near key support.
Structurally, the $2,900–$2,950 zone is acting as short-term support, preventing deeper drawdowns for now. However, the longer ETH remains compressed below $3,000, the greater the risk of a volatility expansion. A decisive break above $3,100 would be required to shift momentum to the bullish side. Until then, Ethereum remains vulnerable to renewed downside pressure if broader market sentiment deteriorates.
Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
A prominent XRP commentator is pushing back on a familiar critique of Ripple’s business model, arguing that skeptics have the causality backwards when they claim the company sells XRP merely to amass traditional assets. In a post on X on Wednesday, CryptoInsightUK founder Will Taylor said the “haters” are “so close to being right,” but miss what he framed as the single step that changes the entire equation.
What ‘Haters’ Get Wrong About XRP
Taylor’s central claim is that Ripple’s token sales are not designed to swap out a volatile crypto asset for safer, conventional holdings. Instead, he described the sales as a means of funding infrastructure and integrations that ultimately increase the token’s long-term utility and value.
“Haters say Ripple sell XRP so they can buy real-world companies and assets, because that’s how Ripple ‘makes money’,” Taylor wrote. “In my opinion, that completely misunderstands the business model and more importantly, the direction of causality. Yes, Ripple monetises some XRP. But not to replace XRP with traditional assets.”
In Taylor’s telling, the misunderstanding starts with treating XRP like operating cash rather than a strategic, asymmetric asset. He argued that a large holder of an asset with outsized upside potential would not logically liquidate it simply to “stack normal companies,” especially if that asset could become worth more than the firm’s balance sheet at scale.
“If you hold roughly 40% of an asset that, at scale, could be worth more than your entire balance sheet, you don’t treat it like operating cash,” he wrote. “You don’t say: ‘Let’s sell the most asymmetric asset we own just to stack normal companies.’ That would be insane.”
From there, Taylor reframed Ripple’s acquisitions, integrations, and buildout efforts not as a pivot away from XRP but as “multipliers” that increase the odds XRP becomes a viable global settlement instrument. Traditional assets, he argued, are inputs to expand distribution, compliance, and liquidity: conditions that would make a bridge asset more useful at institutional scale.
“When Ripple acquires or integrates with firms like Hidden Road, stablecoin infrastructure, or tokenised treasury rails, those assets are not the end goal,” Taylor wrote. “They are multipliers. Those companies are not replacing XRP. They are building the pipes that require XRP to function efficiently.”
Taylor positioned this as a flywheel: XRP sits at the “strategic core” on the balance sheet, Ripple builds a full stack around payments and liquidity, institutions adopt because the rails are complete, and the token becomes a neutral settlement layer whose demand compounds over time. Under that framework, he said, short-term monetization is better understood as capital deployment in service of a long-term network effect rather than straightforward dilution.
“That’s not dilution. That’s capital deployment,” Taylor wrote, adding that if Ripple simply wanted to be “a profitable TradFi-style company,” it would not “obsess over neutral settlement,” keep XRP “architecturally central,” or push it into “regulated institutional rails.”
The distinction matters because it changes how observers interpret Ripple’s incentives. In Taylor’s model, the objective is not to sell the token in order to accumulate off-chain assets; it is to use off-chain assets—licenses, liquidity venues, compliance infrastructure, and institutional integrations—to increase XRP’s necessity as a settlement tool.
“The endgame is not: ‘Sell XRP to buy assets,’” he wrote. “The endgame is: ‘Use assets to make XRP unavoidable.’”
At press time, XRP traded at $1.8773.
Ethereum is up $13.52 today or 0.46% to $2977.52
Note: The Ethereum price is a 5 p.m. ET snapshot from Kraken
Data compiled by Dow Jones Market Data
Bitcoin’s price could rise in 2026 as easing monetary policy injects “massive” liquidity into markets, according to Bill Barhydt, CEO of crypto exchange and wallet company Abra, though other analysts sound more cautious notes.
Speaking to the Schwab Network, Barhydt said he expects a “ton” of liquidity injections from the US Federal Reserve next year as policymakers continue cutting interest rates, potentially reviving quantitative easing and boosting risk assets such as Bitcoin, adding:
Regulatory clarity in the US and growing institutional investment, combined with lower interest rates, likely mean BTC and the broader crypto market are in for “a great few years,” he added.
Only 14.9% of investors expect an interest rate cut at the next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in January, down from the 23% of respondents polled in November, according to data from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Group.
The bullish price forecast was countered by early Bitcoin adopters and analysts who say that 2026 will be another down year for BTC and that Bitcoin has entered a bear market that may last for months or years.
Related: Here’s what AI models predict for Bitcoin and altcoin price ranges in 2026
Analyst says BTC could bottom out in 2026, and US midterm elections pose a risk
2026 will likely be a bad year for Bitcoin prices, according to early BTC investor Michael Terpin, who forecast BTC could bottom out at about $60,000 in the last quarter of 2026.
A new Federal Reserve chair is also expected to ease interest rates, but better macroeconomic conditions may be offset by the results of the 2026 US midterm elections, he said.
“Anything other than a GOP sweep in the midterms will cripple further regulatory friendliness,” Terpin said.
The odds of a GOP sweep on prediction market Polymarket were 19% at time of writing, with 47% of traders betting on each political party controlling one chamber of Congress.
Joe Doll, the general counsel at non-fungible token (NFT) marketplace Magic Eden, previously told Cointelegraph that the balance of power “almost always” flips in US midterm elections.
Magazine: Bitcoin’s critical level is $82.5K, Ethereum ‘not done yet’: Trade Secrets
Ether prices may have spent much of 2025 in the doldrums, but Ethereum as a protocol certainly did not.
In a year defined by reshuffled leadership, back-to-back upgrades, intensified security work, and a renewed focus on interoperability and privacy, the network used the past twelve months to realign its long-term vision and sketch the contours of what comes next.
The year opened under tension within the Ethereum Foundation, following a wave of community criticism accusing the organization of drifting and calling for what some described as a "wartime CEO." This internal debate spilled into public view as developers and stakeholders questioned the foundation's mission and pace. That pressure eventually led to a high-profile restructuring that would herald major updates throughout the rest of the year.
In February, longtime executive director Aya Miyaguchi formally "stepped up" into the role of president as Ethereum co-creator Vitalik Buterin pledged to rework leadership structures. Within days, the foundation appointed Hsiao-Wei Wang and Tomasz K. Stańczak as co-executive directors. It simultaneously created a new marketing and narrative arm, Etherealize, under former foundation researcher Danny Ryan.
The reorganization continued into spring as Buterin and the new directors laid out an updated board structure and clarified a more explicit mission anchored in cypherpunk values and long-term protocol stewardship. By mid-year, the foundation also restructured its R&D division, consolidating teams and issuing layoffs as part of a push to refocus on core protocol priorities.
Pectra
Those internal shifts coincided with one of the year's two major technical milestones. In May, developers activated Pectra — a combined Prague-Electra hard fork containing eleven network changes. The upgrade introduced account abstraction via EIP-7702, raised the maximum validator stake limit to 2,048 ETH, expanded blob throughput, and brought multiple quality-of-life improvements to validator operations and Layer 2 infrastructure. Within a week of activation, more than 11,000 EIP-7702 authorizations were created on mainnet, signaling immediate uptake from wallet providers experimenting with new smart-account flows.
The foundation followed Pectra with a sweeping security agenda branded the "Trillion Dollar Security." As The Block reported, this initiative focused on supporting Ethereum's long-term vision of powering global finance. Also in May, the foundation released the first phase outlining critical threats and attack surfaces. A subsequent report expanded on those challenges, identifying protocol-level risks and UX shortcomings tied to safety. Later in the year, a follow-up framework emphasized that improved user experience — including better defaults, clearer signing flows, and safer account recovery — was inseparable from security itself.
Treasury management also became a strategic priority. A mid-year update revealed that the foundation was reallocating portions of its ETH holdings into stablecoins and other onchain assets to ensure sustainable funding through 2025 and 2026, which it described as "pivotal" years for the ecosystem.
Fusaka
As the summer progressed, protocol attention shifted toward the next major milestone: Fusaka. Buterin argued that PeerDAS — a data-availability scheme central to the upgrade — would be key to scaling Layer 2 throughput. At the same time, the foundation unveiled a set of initiatives to shape Ethereum into a base layer for emerging technologies like artificial intelligence. A new "dAI" team began work on positioning the network as infrastructure for decentralized AI systems.
In parallel, a multi-phase interoperability effort sought to make Ethereum’s increasingly saturated Layer 2 ecosystem "feel like one chain." The foundation published early frameworks and followed with additional details on an "Interop Layer" designed to standardize cross-rollup messaging and developer experience later in the year.
Privacy research accelerated alongside these efforts. The EF released an end-to-end privacy roadmap covering private reads, writes, and proving. A dedicated Privacy Cluster team formed soon after to push the work forward. By autumn, Buterin introduced Kohaku, a proposal framing how Ethereum could support privacy-preserving applications without compromising auditability or decentralization.
As developers prepared for Fusaka's activation, Ethereum's throughput journey hit another milestone when the network raised its block gas limit to 60 million in late November. Days later, Ethereum initiated the Fusaka rollout, launching its twice-a-year hard-fork schedule and beginning a phase of more predictable upgrade cadence. Shortly after the upgrade, Buterin sparked fresh debate by pushing for a trustless gas-futures market to help users hedge fee volatility — an idea that drew both skepticism and curiosity from developers and users.
Ethereum closed the year by naming "Hegota" as the upgrade following Glamsterdam in 2026, anchoring the medium-term roadmap and signaling that the protocol's next phase will focus on consolidating the work of Pectra and Fusaka while advancing interoperability, privacy, and rollup maturity.
Price may have stayed quiet, but the Ethereum protocol did anything but.
Disclaimer: The Block is an independent media outlet that delivers news, research, and data. As of November 2023, Foresight Ventures is a majority investor of The Block. Foresight Ventures invests in other companies in the crypto space. Crypto exchange Bitget is an anchor LP for Foresight Ventures. The Block continues to operate independently to deliver objective, impactful, and timely information about the crypto industry. Here are our current financial disclosures.
© 2025 The Block. All Rights Reserved. This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.
KUB Chain has released Whitepaper V5.0 outlining the next phase of the ecosystem and the long-term vision for the network, as announced in the project’s official X update. Mechanically, a major whitepaper revision can clarify roadmap priorities, potential protocol upgrades, and the intended role of KUB within the ecosystem, which may include adjustments to utility, incentives, or governance design detailed in the linked document. While there is no automatic on-chain change from the publication itself, strategic shifts can influence how the market values KUB’s future cash-flow potential and network adoption. Traders should assess any concrete token-economic or governance changes before repricing fundamentals.
KUB@KUBChainDec 31, 2025KUB Whitepaper V5.0 is now available !
Discover the next phase of the KUB ecosystem and our vision for the future of the network.
Read here for more detail: https://t.co/7JAG8g2whw pic.twitter.com/LBZ9elWNeS
Lighter gains a new centralized exchange venue as Bitunix lists the LIT/USDT pair for spot trading and introduces futures markets, as stated in the official Bitunix X announcement. Mechanically, this expands access to LIT for Bitunix users and adds leveraged derivatives, which can increase trading volume, speculative flows, and intraday volatility. Listings on mid-tier derivatives exchanges often create short-term demand from new users and arbitrageurs, but sustainable price impact depends on Bitunix’s real liquidity and broader market interest in LIT. Traders should watch order book depth, funding rates, and open interest around launch to gauge whether flows are organic or transient.
Bitunix@BitunixOfficialDec 31, 2025$LIT @Lighter_xyz Trading is now available on Bitunix!
Spot Trading: https://t.co/J2AFHCa3OU
Futures Trading: https://t.co/PoUedMQ3dP pic.twitter.com/huAjeVQkHw
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