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SYMBOL
LAST
BID
ASK
HIGH
LOW
NET CHG.
%CHG.
SPREAD
SPX
S&P 500 Index
6857.13
6857.13
6857.13
6865.94
6827.13
+7.41
+ 0.11%
--
DJI
Dow Jones Industrial Average
47850.93
47850.93
47850.93
48049.72
47692.96
-31.96
-0.07%
--
IXIC
NASDAQ Composite Index
23505.13
23505.13
23505.13
23528.53
23372.33
+51.04
+ 0.22%
--
USDX
US Dollar Index
98.910
98.990
98.910
98.980
98.900
-0.070
-0.07%
--
EURUSD
Euro / US Dollar
1.16538
1.16546
1.16538
1.16542
1.16408
+0.00093
+ 0.08%
--
GBPUSD
Pound Sterling / US Dollar
1.33366
1.33376
1.33366
1.33366
1.33165
+0.00095
+ 0.07%
--
XAUUSD
Gold / US Dollar
4216.06
4216.51
4216.06
4216.86
4194.54
+8.89
+ 0.21%
--
WTI
Light Sweet Crude Oil
59.215
59.252
59.215
59.469
59.187
-0.168
-0.28%
--

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Reserve Bank Of India Chief: Will Continue To Meet Productive Needs Of Economy In Proactive Manner

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Reserve Bank Of India Chief: System Level Financial Parameters Of Nbfcs Sound

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Reserve Bank Of India Chief: Dollar Rupee Swap To Be For 3 Years, To Be Conducted This Month

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India's Nifty Realty Index Extend Gains, Last Up 1.4%

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India's Nifty Psu Bank Index Rises 1%

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Reserve Bank Of India Chief: Commited To Providing Sufficient Durable Liquidity

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Reserve Bank Of India Chief: Transmission Has Been Broad Based Across Sectors, Satisfactory

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Reserve Bank Of India Chief: As Of Nov 28, India's Forex Reserves Stood At $686 Billion

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Reserve Bank Of India Chief: Healthy Services Exports With Strong Remittances To Keep Cad Modest In This Year

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Reserve Bank Of India Chief: CPI Inflation Seen At 0.6% In Q3 Fy26

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Reserve Bank Of India Chief: Fy26 CPI Inflation Seen At 2% Versus 2.6% Previously

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India's Nifty Realty Index Up 1% After Reserve Bank Of India's Rate Cut

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India's Nifty Psu Bank Index Turns Positive, Up 0.43% After Reserve Bank Of India's Rate Cut

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Reserve Bank Of India Chief: Merchandise Exports Face Some Headwinds

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India's Nifty Financial Services Index Up 0.5% After Reserve Bank Of India's Rate Cut

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India's Nifty Auto Index Turns Positive, Up 0.3% After Reserve Bank Of India's Rate Cut

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Reserve Bank Of India Chief: Policy Space Exists To Support Growth Momentum

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Reserve Bank Of India Chief: Underlying Inflation Pressures Even Lower

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Indian Rupee Forward Premiums Fall After Reserve Bank Of India Cuts Policy Rate By 25 Bps

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Reserve Bank Of India Chief: Core Inflation Eased At The Margin In Q2

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          China Makes Breakthrough in Lithium Metal Battery Technology with Energy Density Surpassing 600Wh/kg

          Gerik

          Economic

          Summary:

          Researchers at Tianjin University have developed a lithium metal battery prototype with an unprecedented energy density of over 600Wh/kg, marking a significant technological leap that could revolutionize next-generation power storage for electric vehicles, drones, and consumer electronics....

          A New Era for High-Energy Batteries

          In a landmark advancement, a research team from Tianjin University in China has unveiled a new lithium metal battery system achieving an energy density exceeding 600 watt-hours per kilogram (Wh/kg). The prototype, called Battery600, more than doubles the energy density of current lithium-ion technologies, which typically average around 250–300Wh/kg. Additionally, the team introduced Pack480, a modular battery unit with an energy density of 480Wh/kg also far beyond existing commercial standards.
          This breakthrough stems from a years-long research collaboration focused on overcoming the historical limitations of lithium metal batteries primarily related to safety, interface instability, and cycling life.

          Innovative Electrolyte Design Underpins Performance Boost

          At the heart of this advancement is a newly developed “fully decentralized” electrolyte formulation, designed to optimize both solvation structure and ion transport dynamics. According to project leader Professor Hu Wenbin, from the School of Materials Science and Engineering, this formulation creates a localized microenvironment that balances the solvation behavior of solvents and anions, thereby reducing kinetic barriers and stabilizing the electrode-electrolyte interface.
          These are two critical factors that have long hindered lithium metal batteries from achieving commercial viability. Traditional electrolytes often suffer from dendrite formation, which compromises safety and performance. The new electrolyte, by contrast, enables a stable and efficient lithium plating/stripping process, directly translating to longer cycle life and greater safety.

          Battery600 and Pack480: A Foundation for Practical Applications

          Battery600 and Pack480 are the first proof-of-concept systems demonstrating the full potential of this new electrolyte-electrode synergy. Beyond laboratory success, these batteries exhibit remarkable cycle stability, safety performance, and structural scalability three prerequisites for industrial deployment.
          To bridge the gap between research and commercialization, the team has already established a pilot production line dedicated to high-energy lithium metal batteries. This infrastructure marks a significant step toward bringing these technologies into mainstream applications.

          Deployment in UAVs and Future Prospects

          Early adoption has already occurred in three small-size electric unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), showcasing real-world feasibility. These UAVs benefit from longer flight times and reduced weight key advantages for both civilian and military applications.
          The broader context for this breakthrough is the surging demand for longer-lasting, energy-dense batteries to power electric vehicles (EVs), robotics, and mobile electronics. As EV ranges stretch and humanoid robotics emerge, the pressure on battery developers to deliver lighter, more powerful, and safer systems has intensified. Lithium metal batteries, with their superior theoretical energy densities, are seen as the natural successor to lithium-ion chemistry.

          The Significance of Energy Density

          Energy density is a core metric for battery efficiency, measuring how much energy can be stored relative to weight or volume. Achieving over 600Wh/kg in a compact pouch cell form is a major technical achievement, positioning Tianjin University’s research as a global frontrunner in the field.
          Previous efforts to commercialize lithium metal batteries have been hampered by issues such as dendritic growth, limited recharge cycles, and electrolyte degradation. This new approach provides a coherent solution to these challenges, supporting both high energy performance and operational reliability.
          China’s progress in lithium metal battery development signals a turning point in energy storage technology. With energy density levels that could significantly extend the capabilities of electric vehicles, aerospace systems, and wearable electronics, the Battery600 platform lays the groundwork for commercial-scale adoption. As pilot production advances and real-world applications expand, this innovation may redefine global standards for battery performance positioning China as a leader in the high-stakes race for the future of energy.
          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
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          Trump Reveals Putin's "Land-for-Peace" Proposal, Zelensky Firmly Rejects

          Gerik

          Russia-Ukraine Conflict

          Political

          Putin’s “Land-for-Peace” Proposal Unveiled by Trump

          During a 90-minute call on August 15 (U.S. time), Trump and envoy Steve Witkoff briefed Ukrainian President Zelensky and leaders from the UK, France, Germany, Italy, Finland, NATO, and the European Commission on Putin’s terms for peace. According to Trump, Russia is willing to cease further military action if Ukraine fully withdraws from Donetsk and Luhansk two regions that Russia claims to have annexed unilaterally.
          Putin also reportedly offered to stop advances in Kherson and Zaporizhzhia as a concession, provided Ukraine accepts to retreat from Donetsk. This signals a possible attempt by Russia to reach a phased territorial settlement rather than a comprehensive peace deal.

          Zelensky Responds: “Withdrawal is Impossible”

          Reuters reported that Zelensky strongly rejected the proposal, asserting that withdrawal from Donetsk is “impossible.” This firm stance reaffirms Ukraine’s non-negotiable position on territorial sovereignty and may challenge Trump’s intentions to broker a quick resolution.
          The disagreement indicates that the planned Trump-Zelensky summit in Washington on August 18 may be contentious, especially if Trump pressures Ukraine to accept Russian terms.

          Trump May Push for Concessions

          Trump, who is seeking re-election, appears eager to end the war with a negotiated settlement. In an NBC interview, he said: “Russia is a very big power. Ukraine is not. There has to be a deal.” His rhetoric suggests a pragmatic, power-based approach that could clash with Ukraine’s principled defense of its borders.
          Observers worry that Trump’s approach might put undue pressure on Kyiv and fracture Western unity if he favors Russian conditions.

          Putin Demands Recognition of Russian Sovereignty in Donbass

          According to Axios, Putin also wants the U.S. to formally recognize Russia’s sovereignty over occupied Ukrainian territories. He reportedly proposed China as a potential guarantor of Ukraine’s security, signaling opposition to any NATO-led security force.
          Such demands suggest Moscow is still pursuing maximalist goals and sees its military advantage as leverage in negotiations.
          Although Trump claims a peace deal is within reach, current conditions suggest otherwise. Ukraine refuses to cede territory, and Russia’s demands remain largely unacceptable to Kyiv and its allies. Even if a three-way summit between Trump, Putin, and Zelensky is arranged possibly as soon as August 22 a meaningful breakthrough looks unlikely.
          This episode highlights the widening gap between diplomatic aspirations and geopolitical realities, with Trump’s approach risking strain on Western solidarity if perceived as favoring Moscow.
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          China Files WTO Complaint Against Canada Over Steel Import Restrictions and Tariffs

          Gerik

          Economic

          Commodity

          China Challenges Canada’s Steel Policy at the WTO

          The Chinese Ministry of Commerce announced that it has officially filed a complaint with the World Trade Organization in response to Canada’s recent decision to impose import restrictions and additional tariffs on foreign steel particularly targeting products associated with Chinese origins. Beijing claims these measures violate WTO principles and represent a case of unilateral protectionism that undermines China’s legitimate trade rights.
          In its public statement, China denounced Canada’s use of tariff-rate quotas and selective tariff surcharges as discriminatory, especially against steel containing elements that were “melted and poured” in China. The Chinese government argues that these actions disrupt the global steel supply chain and set a dangerous precedent for other industrial sectors.

          Canada Tightens Steel Import Controls

          This dispute comes in the wake of a policy announcement by Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney last month. In a bid to protect domestic producers from import surges, Canada introduced a blanket 25% tariff on most imported steel excluding the U.S. with specific penalties for products linked to Chinese-origin metal. The Canadian government framed this move as necessary to support its domestic steel industry, which faces structural pressures and global overcapacity.
          However, the policy specifically targets Chinese-origin steel, even if processed or assembled in third countries, which Beijing sees as a thinly veiled act of trade discrimination. Chinese officials argue that this move does not address the real source of market distortions namely, earlier unilateral U.S. tariffs but instead shifts economic harm to other trading partners like China.

          Legal and Strategic Implications of the WTO Filing

          By escalating the issue to the WTO, China seeks to challenge the legality of Canada’s steel import measures on a multilateral legal basis. The complaint signals that Beijing is willing to use institutional channels to defend its trade interests, particularly at a time when global trade tensions remain elevated.
          The move also serves to assert China’s position as a proponent of rule-based trade, while placing diplomatic and economic pressure on Canada to reverse or revise its measures. China is demanding that Canada take immediate corrective action and re-align its policy with WTO obligations, in order to avoid further deterioration of bilateral trade relations.

          Escalating Frictions Between Ottawa and Beijing

          This WTO complaint comes amid broader tensions in China–Canada relations, with trade, technology, and geopolitical friction straining bilateral cooperation. Beijing’s firm response reflects not only dissatisfaction with Canada’s steel policy but also deeper frustration over what it perceives as a growing alignment between Canadian and U.S. trade strategies especially concerning China.
          While Canada has yet to publicly respond to the WTO filing, the Trudeau–Carney administration will likely face increased scrutiny over whether its measures are justifiable under WTO safeguards or whether they disproportionately target a single nation. Any eventual ruling from the WTO could have implications for Canada’s broader approach to trade protection and its legal exposure in future disputes.
          China’s WTO complaint against Canada over steel import restrictions is more than a narrow trade dispute it is a symptom of wider geopolitical competition and shifting global trade dynamics. As Canada seeks to shield its domestic industries, and China defends its export interests, the outcome of this legal challenge could help define the boundaries of acceptable industrial protectionism in a post-pandemic, multipolar world trade system. The case now enters a formal consultation phase at the WTO, with potential panel proceedings to follow if a resolution is not reached.
          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          AI’s Expanding Global Footprint: From Healthcare to Agriculture, a New Era of Intelligent Transformation

          Gerik

          Economic

          Healthcare: Accelerating Diagnosis and Emergency Response

          AI is revolutionizing modern medicine, with Israel at the forefront. Companies like Aidoc are integrating AI into hospital diagnostics to instantly detect strokes, hemorrhages, and fractures via CT scans. Emergency response units such as United Hatzalah are leveraging predictive AI models capable of identifying high-risk emergency zones with up to 85% accuracy. These applications not only reduce time-to-treatment but also enhance system-wide coordination and life-saving capacity.
          Finland is pioneering AI in education by embedding intelligent systems across national and institutional levels. Tools like ViLLE, developed by the Turku Learning Analytics Research Institute, use adaptive feedback algorithms to assess students’ strengths, weaknesses, and learning progress. This allows educators to personalize instruction and optimize curriculum pacing, reinforcing the causal link between AI integration and improved academic outcomes.

          Logistics and Infrastructure: Smart Routing and Predictive Planning

          AI is transforming transportation networks, especially in countries like the Netherlands and the U.S. At the Port of Rotterdam, AI systems analyze historical shipping data to predict arrival times with high precision, cutting average vessel wait times by 20%. In the U.S., Uber Freight applies machine learning to reduce the number of empty truck trips a figure that has dropped by up to 15%, down from a baseline of 35% directly boosting supply chain efficiency.

          Cybersecurity and Finance: Real-Time Monitoring and Fraud Detection

          Security and financial sectors are also seeing rapid AI deployment. Microsoft’s Security Copilot tool in the U.S. helps analysts investigate threats in real time and recommend countermeasures. At HSBC, AI models monitor millions of daily transactions to detect fraud and block unauthorized payments within seconds. These capabilities reflect a growing need for scalable, automated vigilance in complex digital ecosystems.

          Energy and Environment: Enhancing Forecast Accuracy and Grid Resilience

          AI’s role in energy forecasting is particularly critical in countries reliant on renewables. In Denmark, where wind power can account for up to 50% of electricity supply, AI improves forecasting models, ensuring grid stability. In Australia, startups like Neara deploy AI to assess the structural integrity of energy infrastructure under extreme weather, informing repair prioritization and investment strategies.

          Agriculture: Smarter Farms with Targeted Inputs and Monitoring

          In precision agriculture, AI enables smart automation. Dutch greenhouse farms use computer vision to monitor plant health and adjust irrigation, lighting, and temperature autonomously. In the U.S., AI platforms like John Deere’s See & Spray selectively apply herbicides only when weeds are detected, reducing chemical use. Meanwhile, Australian farms employ AI-enabled drones to monitor livestock health and pasture conditions.
          Across all these sectors, AI is proving to be a force multiplier improving efficiency, enabling real-time decisions, and opening new avenues for economic growth. However, this acceleration also introduces new risks: over-reliance, ethical dilemmas, job displacement, and systemic bias. As AI becomes more integrated into critical infrastructure and services, governments, organizations, and individuals must learn to harness its power responsibly, ensuring that innovation is balanced by oversight and human judgment. The challenge ahead is not whether AI can do more but whether humanity can manage it wisely.
          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          Trump Urges Ukraine to Concede Territory for Peace Deal with Russia, Prompting Diplomatic Tensions

          Gerik

          Russia-Ukraine Conflict

          Trump Pushes for Territorial Concessions in Pursuit of Peace

          In a controversial move following his summit with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Alaska on August 15, President Donald Trump advised Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy to consider ceding the entire Donetsk region to Russia in exchange for a comprehensive peace agreement. Trump characterized the suggestion as pragmatic, stating that "Russia is a very big power, and they [Ukraine] are not,” implying a power-based rationale for compromise.
          Putin reportedly offered to freeze the frontlines if Kyiv agreed to relinquish full control over Donetsk, a region Moscow has targeted since 2014. Ukraine, however, rejected the demand outright. Currently, Russia occupies around one-fifth of Ukrainian territory, including three-quarters of Donetsk.

          Break from U.S.-European Consensus on Ceasefire Strategy

          Trump’s proposal marks a clear departure from the position long held by both Kyiv and its Western allies, which has consistently emphasized a ceasefire as a precondition for peace talks. Trump stated after the summit that he supported a full peace agreement over a temporary truce, suggesting that ceasefires are “unstable by nature.”
          This view contrasts with the European Union and NATO’s longstanding approach, which prioritizes ceasefires as building blocks toward negotiated settlements. While European leaders welcomed Trump's renewed diplomatic efforts, they reiterated their commitment to upholding Ukraine’s territorial integrity and expanding sanctions against Moscow.

          Putin Gains Symbolic Victory Through Summit Optics

          The Alaska summit lasting only three hours was the first direct U.S.-Russia leadership engagement since Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022. Though no binding agreements emerged, the optics of the meeting were highly favorable for Putin. The Kremlin embraced Trump’s post-summit remarks, which echoed several Russian talking points, including the rejection of temporary ceasefires and the insistence on NATO non-expansion.
          For Putin, the opportunity to sit at the table with a U.S. president after years of diplomatic isolation was itself a symbolic win. Kremlin aide Yuri Ushakov confirmed that a three-party summit with Ukraine was not discussed, and Putin made no commitment to engage with Zelenskiy directly.

          Security Guarantees and Strategic Red Lines

          Zelenskiy, speaking ahead of his scheduled meeting with Trump in Washington on August 18, maintained Ukraine’s refusal to give up territory without constitutional reform. He emphasized that key cities in Donetsk, such as Sloviansk and Kramatorsk, are essential to Ukraine’s defensive line.
          Ukraine continues to seek long-term security guarantees to deter future Russian aggression. Trump hinted at a willingness to discuss such measures, which was met positively by Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney, who stressed that meaningful peace requires credible deterrence mechanisms.
          Putin, while opposing foreign troop deployments in Ukraine, acknowledged the need to “ensure Ukraine’s security” as part of a broader resolution. However, his interpretation of what constitutes “security guarantees” remains unclear and likely diverges from Kyiv’s and NATO’s expectations.

          Dissonance Among Allies and Continued Battlefield Conflict

          Despite Trump’s high-profile diplomacy, European allies have expressed caution. UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer acknowledged progress but insisted sanctions against Russia must continue until full withdrawal. A joint statement from EU leaders reaffirmed support for Ukraine’s NATO ambitions and rejected any restrictions on its defense capabilities.
          Meanwhile, fighting on the ground persists. Both Russia and Ukraine continue to conduct airstrikes and engage in intense battles across several frontlines, underscoring the disconnect between political dialogue and the military reality.
          Trump’s endorsement of territorial concessions as a basis for peace introduces a highly divisive framework that challenges the consensus among Western allies. While the initiative may reflect urgency in seeking an end to the war, it risks legitimizing coercive land grabs and undermining Ukraine’s sovereignty. The coming talks between Trump and Zelenskiy in Washington will be pivotal in determining whether a peace roadmap can be drawn or whether Trump’s proposal deepens the diplomatic divide. For now, the optics favor Putin, while the outcome remains precariously uncertain.
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          Bond Market Dynamics May Limit Fed’s Rate-Cutting Path Despite Trump’s Pressure

          Gerik

          Economic

          Bond

          Yield Curve Sends Mixed Signals to Policymakers

          The Federal Reserve’s ability to implement aggressive rate cuts particularly the 50 basis-point reduction supported by Trump-aligned economist Marc Sumerlin may ultimately be constrained by the bond market, not internal consensus. Sumerlin, a frontrunner for the next Fed Chair under a potential second Trump term, emphasized that the slope of the U.S. Treasury yield curve is critical to the Fed’s decision-making space.
          Currently, the spread between 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields is about 55 basis points, indicating the market still allows for a meaningful cut without distorting investor expectations. This positive slope implies the Fed could reduce short-term rates while keeping long-term yields relatively stable, an environment conducive to stimulating investment and lowering borrowing costs.

          The Bond Market as a Guardrail to Policy Easing

          However, Sumerlin cautioned that if the Fed cuts rates too aggressively such as a 50 basis-point move at the September meeting and long-term yields begin rising in response, it would signal investor skepticism. Specifically, a post-cut increase in 10-year yields would reflect concerns about overheating, inflation, or excessive policy accommodation. This would effectively send a feedback message to policymakers: the bond market is resisting further easing.
          This potential reaction underscores a causal relationship between Fed action and market expectations. In essence, if rate cuts push long-end yields higher, it reduces the overall stimulative effect, particularly in rate-sensitive sectors like housing and corporate debt. Therefore, the Fed would be forced to pause or reverse its course to avoid undermining its own policy objectives.
          Long-Term Yields Hold Sway Over Economic Conditions
          The 10-year yield is particularly influential, as it directly affects mortgage rates and the cost of long-term corporate borrowing. Sumerlin stressed that the housing sector is currently the most vulnerable part of the economy and cannot absorb further increases in borrowing costs. Allowing long-term yields to climb would undermine the very recovery the Fed is trying to support through rate reductions.
          In this context, the 10-year yield acts as a constraint: it defines the limits of how far the Fed can go before its actions become counterproductive. If investors begin pricing in higher inflation or policy missteps, borrowing costs will rise regardless of Fed intentions, which could stall economic momentum or reignite price pressures.

          Inflation Expectations and Political Pressure Collide

          Another implication of rising long-term yields post-cut is the signal it sends about inflation expectations. If bond investors anticipate that looser monetary policy will stoke inflation, they will demand higher returns on longer-term securities. This anticipatory behavior creates a self-reinforcing limit on how much monetary easing the Fed can deliver without disrupting broader financial stability.
          This constraint is especially relevant given the current political climate. President Trump has repeatedly attacked Fed Chair Jerome Powell for moving too slowly on rate cuts, blaming him for hindering economic growth. While Trump has walked back direct threats to dismiss Powell, his criticisms have intensified as trade tariffs continue to create inflationary pressure. This contradiction pushing for lower rates while supporting tariff policies that may fuel inflation places Powell and the Fed in a difficult position.

          Potential Leadership Shift Could Reshape Fed Strategy

          Marc Sumerlin, a former economic advisor under President George W. Bush, is now viewed as a possible successor to Powell if Trump returns to office. His views suggest a more aggressive approach to monetary policy, but his acknowledgment of bond market constraints indicates that even a politically aligned Fed would need to tread carefully.
          Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent confirmed this week that all candidates for the Fed chairmanship are under review. Sumerlin’s statements may be intended as both policy signaling and a demonstration of market literacy, positioning him as a pragmatic yet responsive choice in the eyes of Trump’s economic team.
          While the Trump administration pushes for aggressive rate cuts, the bond market’s behavior may ultimately set the boundaries of what is economically viable. Long-term yields, especially on 10-year Treasuries, have become a de facto referee in the policy debate. If yields rise in reaction to further easing, the Fed will have to reconsider its approach even under political pressure. This dynamic illustrates how investor expectations and market structures can override short-term political objectives, forcing central banks to respect financial realities even amid shifting leadership.
          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          Trump Administration Warns of Economic Collapse if Tariffs Are Overturned in Court

          Gerik

          Economic

          Political

          Legal Challenge to Tariffs Raises High Stakes for Trade Policy

          The Trump administration has escalated its rhetoric ahead of a critical federal appeals court ruling that could revoke key tariffs enacted under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA). In a recent legal filing, the U.S. Department of Justice warned that a reversal would result in a “complete economic disaster,” exposing the fragility of the legal foundation behind major Trump-era trade agreements.
          The court is currently reviewing whether the use of IEEPA to impose tariffs was lawful. While the administration has long maintained it has sufficient legal authority, analysts such as James Lucier of Capital Alpha Partners suggest this latest communication reflects a significant shift in tone, signaling deep concern over a potential unfavorable decision expected as soon as late August.

          Massive Trade Pledges Tied to Tariff Policy

          Trump’s so-called “Liberation Day” tariffs have been linked to an ambitious portfolio of trade deals, including commitments from the European Union to invest $600 billion in the U.S., purchase $750 billion in American energy, and acquire substantial volumes of U.S.-made weaponry. A separate U.S.-Japan agreement also includes a promised $550 billion in investments from Tokyo.
          Though the U.S. has not yet received most of this capital, the administration insists that dismantling the tariffs would retroactively nullify the agreements, forcing the government to refund up to $100 billion in tariff revenue and potentially unravel these large-scale pledges. In their letter to the court, Attorney General D. John Sauer and Deputy Brett Shumate warned that such an outcome could mirror the 1929 financial collapse, echoing President Trump’s own prediction of a second Great Depression.

          Fiscal and Legal Deadlock: No Alternative Path Forward

          The administration’s legal filings acknowledge that if the IEEPA tariffs are struck down, they have no immediate legislative path to re-impose similar duties under a different framework. This creates a critical impasse: the president cannot legally restore the tariff mechanisms that form the backbone of his trade policy, leaving previously negotiated international agreements without enforceable underpinnings.
          Lucier describes this situation as a legal deadlock in which “the president is cornered.” If the court invalidates IEEPA as a tool for tariffs, the administration’s entire trade strategy risks collapse, with serious implications for budget planning, market stability, and investor confidence.

          Economic Consequences Beyond Legal Uncertainty

          The Department of Justice’s letter explicitly outlines the scale of potential fallout. Officials warned of cascading financial consequences, including job losses, savings depletion, and threats to entitlement programs like Social Security and Medicare. This narrative, though criticized by analysts as exaggerated, reveals a calculated attempt to pressure the judiciary by framing the tariffs as critical not only to trade but to the U.S. economy’s broader structural integrity.
          Yardeni Research noted that the administration may be anticipating defeat, given its request for an emergency stay in case of an unfavorable ruling. The report also highlighted that Trump has become increasingly reliant on tariff revenues to offset budget deficits and maintain bond yield stability. Removing those tariffs could trigger a spike in yields and a decline in equity markets, especially if uncertainty about U.S. trade direction intensifies.
          The looming court decision represents more than a legal verdict it is a flashpoint for U.S. economic policy, trade credibility, and financial planning. If the Trump administration loses, it could set off a chain reaction: loss of legal authority to uphold trade commitments, refund obligations, budgetary strain, and renewed market instability. The administration’s stark warnings may be seen as an effort to forestall judicial intervention, but they also reveal the degree to which tariffs have become entangled with broader economic and political objectives. The outcome could redefine the next phase of U.S. trade enforcement and fiscal strategy.
          To stay updated on all economic events of today, please check out our Economic calendar
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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