Investing.com -- Ageas announced Monday it will acquire the remaining 25% stake in its Belgian business (AG) from BNP Paribas for €1.9 billion, a move that the company expects to be financially neutral in the short term but strategically beneficial.
The transaction values the stake at 10-11 times cash remittances of €175-190 million, aligning with UBS’s sum-of-the-parts valuation for Belgium at 10.7x.
Ageas will fund €1.11 billion of the consideration through an equity raise, with BNP taking 18.5 million shares (approximately 10% of current outstanding shares) at €60 per share, representing a 5% premium to the last closing price of €56.9.
As part of the deal, BNP will have a shareholding cap of 25%-1 on Ageas shares, with an expected holding of around 24% following the equity raise. The French bank will appoint one director to Ageas’s board and one to AG’s board, with a five-year automatic renewal of this relationship agreement.
The transaction includes a new 15-year bancassurance partnership beginning January 1, 2027, replacing the current three-year rolling renewal agreement with BNP.
Ageas expects the deal to be 7-8% free cash flow accretive by 2027, though EPS guidance remains unchanged with greater confidence in reaching the top end of the range.
The company has upgraded its cumulative holding free cash flow forecast from more than €2.3 billion to more than €2.6 billion, representing a 13% increase. Cumulative shareholder remuneration has also been increased by 10% from more than €2 billion to more than €2.2 billion.
The solvency II impact is expected to be neutral from this transaction.
UBS analysts anticipate a small negative market reaction to the announcement, noting that expectations were already ahead of prior guidance, though they view the deal as strategically value accretive over the long term.
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