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SYMBOL
LAST
BID
ASK
HIGH
LOW
NET CHG.
%CHG.
SPREAD
SOURCE
SPX
S&P 500 Index
7586.60
7586.60
7586.60
7587.74
7545.39
+45.20
+ 0.60%
--
--
DJI
Dow Jones Industrial Average
51865.34
51865.34
51865.34
51932.63
51593.16
-118.64
-0.23%
--
--
IXIC
NASDAQ Composite Index
25412.61
25412.61
25412.61
25442.63
25246.64
+248.30
+ 0.99%
--
--
USDX
US Dollar Index
101.633
101.633
101.713
101.775
101.448
-0.010
-0.01%
--
--
EURUSD
Euro / US Dollar
1.11944
1.11944
1.11953
1.12062
1.11741
+0.00082
+ 0.07%
--
--
GBPUSD
Pound Sterling / US Dollar
1.34181
1.34181
1.34193
1.34321
1.33957
+0.00128
+ 0.10%
--
--
XAUUSD
Gold / US Dollar
3933.71
3933.71
3934.05
3971.05
3895.34
-13.06
-0.33%
--
--
WTI
Light Sweet Crude Oil
94.968
94.968
94.998
97.883
92.913
-0.362
-0.38%
--
--
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Size 
Matthew 
SlowBear ⛅ 
Capri 
EuroTrader 
EuroTrader
EuroTrader
Capri
as I was talking about gold yesterday as i am waiting for more pullback,so I catch it today
SlowBear ⛅
Capri
Capri
Capri
SlowBear ⛅
Capri
@CapriOh wow, you joined the aftermath sell off, do you have a target?
Capri
SlowBear ⛅
SlowBear ⛅
Capri
EuroTrader
SlowBear ⛅
EuroTrader
- All
- Russia-Ukraine Conflict
- Middle East Flashpoint
It will take time for the yen to truly strengthen.
Summary:
Official intervention caused the yen to rebound, but a real trend reversal often requires substantial changes in fundamentals and more time.
EXPIRED
155.500
Entry Price
160.000
TP
154.500
SL
158.423 +0.485 +0.31%
--
Pips
EXPIRED
154.500
SL
159.253
Exit Price
155.500
Entry Price
160.000
TP
Fundamentals
On Monday, Japan's Ministry of Finance confirmed a joint foreign exchange intervention with the U.S. Treasury, purchasing $59 billion in yen. This coincided with the Bank of Japan reinforcing its interest rate hike signals, supporting a stronger yen, with the dollar/yen exchange rate briefly falling to near 155.0. Meanwhile, the dollar weakened due to lower-than-expected GDP growth, a slowdown in PCE, and easing tensions in the Middle East.
However, the situation in the Middle East has led to rising inflation and expectations, prompting major central banks worldwide to adopt hawkish interest rate policies. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan's policy normalization process has been slow, and the persistent interest rate differential disadvantage has kept the yen under pressure. Historical experience shows that a true trend change often takes time, and a more sustained decline in the USD/JPY pair requires substantial changes in fundamentals. The future trend still depends on the pace of interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan.
Currently, Japan's inflation is mainly driven by rising energy prices. The situation in the Middle East remains highly uncertain, which may lead to lower inflation expectations and limit the Bank of Japan's room for interest rate hikes. As a result, the yen is likely to remain relatively weak for an extended period.
Technical aspects
Looking at the daily chart, USD/JPY continued to rise, once breaking through 164.0, which has long exceeded the range of intervention by the Japanese authorities. The momentum of the yen shorts does not seem to have weakened. Although the joint intervention by the US and Japan triggered a sharp drop in USD/JPY, clearing out some yen shorts, the trend has not changed, and the exchange rate may rise again.
In terms of trading strategy, you can try going long when the price retraces to around 155.0, with a target of around 160.0 and a stop loss below 155.0.
Trading advice
Trading direction: Long
Entry position: 155.52
Target price: 160.00
Stop-loss level: 154.50
Downside support levels: 155.00/152.20
Upward resistance levels: 162.60/160.00
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