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SYMBOL
LAST
BID
ASK
HIGH
LOW
NET CHG.
%CHG.
SPREAD
SOURCE
SPX
S&P 500 Index
7394.31
7394.31
7394.31
7412.68
7257.33
+127.31
+ 1.75%
--
--
DJI
Dow Jones Industrial Average
50848.74
50848.74
50848.74
50968.95
49972.07
+929.97
+ 1.86%
--
--
IXIC
NASDAQ Composite Index
25809.65
25809.65
25809.65
25846.56
25109.39
+640.16
+ 2.54%
--
--
USDX
US Dollar Index
99.630
99.630
99.710
99.870
99.600
-0.030
-0.03%
--
--
EURUSD
Euro / US Dollar
1.15842
1.15842
1.15849
1.15892
1.15569
+0.00059
+ 0.05%
--
--
GBPUSD
Pound Sterling / US Dollar
1.34202
1.34202
1.34210
1.34259
1.33833
+0.00054
+ 0.04%
--
--
XAUUSD
Gold / US Dollar
4222.49
4222.49
4222.90
4246.22
4170.03
+10.66
+ 0.25%
--
--
WTI
Light Sweet Crude Oil
82.823
82.823
82.853
85.562
81.798
-2.309
-2.71%
--
--
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- Russia-Ukraine Conflict
- Middle East Flashpoint
Business Confidence Drops; USD/JPY Steadies at 160
Summary:
As the ongoing conflict in the Middle East continues to disrupt energy supplies, the market is concerned that Japan’s domestic economy will remain under pressure, and the yen continues to trade relatively weakly.
TRADING
160.265
Entry Price
163.000
TP
158.000
SL
160.048 +0.084 +0.05%
0.0
Pips
Flat
158.000
SL
Exit Price
160.265
Entry Price
163.000
TP
Fundamentals
The interplay between energy supplies, inflation trends, and monetary policy is simultaneously impacting the economies of Japan and the United States. Rising energy prices are not only affecting business operations and energy security but also posing new challenges to the monetary policy environment. Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda has been hospitalized for an infection related to a liver cyst and will miss the key interest rate meeting scheduled for June 15–16. At a time when the Bank of Japan is attempting to solidify its credibility in combating inflation and demonstrate to the market its resolve to continue tightening policy, this absence adds complexity to policy communication and external messaging.
With the current resurgence of U.S. inflation coupled with an overall robust labor market, financial markets have already priced in expectations of interest rate hikes, and mainstream trading sentiment is betting on the Federal Reserve raising rates by another 25 basis points this year. However, there is a clear divergence between market expectations and the assessments of professional institutions, with most economists maintaining a cautious stance regarding rapid policy tightening by the Fed. The industry generally believes that the current rise in inflation exhibits significant structural characteristics; inflationary pressures driven by oil prices are primarily concentrated in the transportation sector and have not yet fully spread across the entire industrial chain or to end-consumer spending. Consequently, the risk of inflation spiraling out of control has not materialized, and the threshold for the Fed to implement substantial policy tightening remains high.
Technical Analysis
On the daily chart, the USD/JPY pair shows an upward-sloping Bollinger Band and diverging moving averages, indicating an overall upward trend. There is a high probability that the price will rise to near the previous high of 160.8. The RSI stands at 60, suggesting that market sentiment is predominantly bullish. On the 4-hour chart, the Bollinger Band is widening upward, moving averages are diverging upward, and the MACD fast and slow lines are trading above the 0 line, indicating that the bullish trend remains intact. The RSI stands at 50, indicating a wait-and-see sentiment in the market. The recommended strategy is to buy on dips.
Trading Recommendation
Trading Direction: Buy
Entry Price: 160.3
Target Price: 163
Stop-Loss Price: 158
Support Levels: 158, 157, 155
Resistance Levels: 161, 162, 163
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