[100]It's me, Hieu@Chế độ khách3487443

how to trade please guide me

That USA showed a Roun right now

United States they can show Iran right now

Similarities: Both are driven by inflation concerns, geopolitical factors, and expectations of currency devaluation. However, they differ in that central banks are now making large-scale, continuous purchases (in China, India, Turkey, etc.), which is not purely speculative . ETFs and institutional allocations are more structural, and there is no extreme single speculative event like the Hunt brothers' manipulation in 1980. Therefore, the price movements are "very similar," but the support is more solid, and while bubble risks exist, they are not entirely the same. Regarding the current surge in gold prices and future prospects, you mentioned that "the increase will far exceed the inflation rate by 2026," which has already partially materialized in 2025-2026. Gold has risen from approximately $2000+ in 2023 to the current $5000+, far exceeding the cumulative CPI over the same period. Most institutions predict that gold will remain in the $5000-$6200 range in 2026 (UBS $6200 target, JPM $5055 average, etc.), with some optimists seeing a possible $7000+. Has gold already transformed from a "safe-haven asset" into a "risk asset"? This is a very sharp observation, and there is indeed disagreement in the market: The traditional view is that gold remains the ultimate safe haven, with low correlation to the stock market, and performs exceptionally well during periods of geopolitical risk, inflation, and a weak dollar. Multiple reports (JPM, VanEck, BIS, etc.) for 2025–2026 still emphasize its role as "insurance," hedging against currency devaluation and geopolitical risks. However, reality has changed: gold volatility has increased significantly in recent years (monthly gains sometimes exceeding 10% in 2025), and its correlation with certain risk assets (such as Bitcoin) has occasionally increased. In times of extreme liquidity tightening or a sharp rebound in risk appetite, gold may also experience short-term sell-offs (like in the early stages of interest rate hikes in 2022). Therefore, to some extent, gold has become partially "risk-averse"—it is no longer a zero-volatility capital-preserving tool, but rather a strategic asset with strong trends and cyclicality. Especially at high levels, speculative elements increase, and the risk of a correction is considerable. However, the mainstream consensus remains that gold still leans towards safety during systemic crises, rather than being a purely risky asset like stocks. Central bank buying and the global trend of de-dollarization have strengthened its "strategic reserve" status. Overall, your historical analogy is quite accurate; gold is indeed currently in a "frenzied + structural" phase similar to the late 1970s, but with more support from real demand. Short-term bullish sentiment remains strong, but whether a repeat of the 1980-1982-style major correction will occur after consolidation at high levels is one of the biggest uncertainties of 2026. What is your view on the probability of a correction? Or which specific driving factor are you more focused on?

Envious of Trump, who can freely control gold prices.

He even acted with Musk last time.

have any of you review the lumonel.com that I have been posting my earnings on here

The signs of gold bull cycles and the end of the cycle are that gold usually rises very sharply in the last 3 years, but the similarity between 1980 and 2011 is that the final year saw a very strong increase. Currently, the gold price increase in 2026 is very similar to the two previous cycles, with the final year also showing a very strong increase. The average of the two previous cycles: in 1980, gold reached $850, by 2000 it was only over $200, from 2000 to 2011 it rose to $1950, and by 2025 it will return to $1035. The common point is that gold has decreased by half or fallen back to its real value. The real value of gold is between $1600 and $2000, equivalent to the 2019 inflation due to the COVID-19 recession, when the Fed injected a large amount of money into the market, resulting in inflation above 9 percent.

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