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Bitcoin is again trading under the shadow of a potential yen carry-trade shock as markets head into the 9–10 December FOMC meeting and a likely hawkish turn from the Bank of Japan at the December 18-19 meeting. The setup echoes last summer’s episode, when a policy shift in Tokyo triggered rapid deleveraging across risk assets, including crypto.
Will The Bitcoin Price Crash Next Week?
Analyst Benjamin Cowen explicitly links today’s environment to that July shock. He reminded followers that “in July 2024, the Fed cut rates while the BOJ raised rates, leading to the unwind of the carry trade. Bitcoin capitulated into it, and found a low 1 week later.” He added, “Good chance this happens again on December 10th (Fed cuts, BOJ raises rates). So maybe Bitcoin finds a low mid-Dec?”
The precise sequencing last year was more nuanced – markets aggressively priced Fed easing while the BoJ surprised with a hike – but the core mechanism Cowen highlights is the same: when US policy is moving toward looser conditions just as Japan tightens, the long-running yen carry trade becomes unstable and high-beta assets sell off hard.
Truflation’s thread lays out why this matters for Bitcoin and the wider crypto market. Large institutions and commercial banks “borrow money in Yen where interest rates are historically and famously low, and use that money to invest in the US.” They can park the funds in interest-bearing instruments to “earn healthy 3–4%” on the spread, or “more often, they invest in stocks and bonds to get way more.” This is reinforced by a BoJ policy of keeping the yen cheap against the dollar.
The danger arises when stocks fall and the yen starts to rise or is expected to rise. Then “institutional and Commercial borrowers may exit, so as not to get stuck with significant losses on their Yen debts.” They “sell whatever assets they purchased in the US and get back into Yen to pay back their loans in Japan, resulting in a cascade of US asset sales and Yen purchases.” After “years of Yen carry trade being a relatively safe way for big banks and institutional investors to make easy money,” even a modest normalization can force broad, mechanical de-risking — and Bitcoin, as a liquid, leveraged risk asset, sits directly in that firing line.
Crypto trader Kevin (@Kev_Capital_TA) underscores how tight the current window is. He notes that “we have the Fed’s preferred measure to track inflation via the Core PCE inflation and then the FOMC all in the next six days,” followed by a BoJ press conference on 19 December that will be “massive for Dollar, short end and long end of the yield curve not to mention Yen carry trade fears.” In a separate post, he stresses that “the JP10Y continues to make new highs. Pretty big deal folks,” highlighting that Japanese yields are grinding higher into that meeting and increasing pressure on the BoJ to act.
A few days ago, BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes connected that macro repricing directly to Bitcoin’s latest leg down. “BTC dumped cause BOJ put Dec rate hike in play. USDJPY 155–160 makes BOJ hawkish,” he argues, framing the sell-off as a funding shock rather than a crypto-native event.
Into December, futures and economist surveys put the probability of a Fed cut at roughly 80–87% for the 9–10 December meeting, even as the committee remains divided. At the same time, the BoJ is openly signalling it will “consider the pros and cons” of a hike at its 18–19 December meeting, with markets now pricing a high likelihood of tightening and 10-year JGB yields near multi-decade highs.
That combination — Fed easing expectations plus BoJ tightening risk — is exactly the configuration that threatens the yen carry and makes a repeat of July 2024’s pattern plausible: a sharp flush in Bitcoin and other risk assets, followed by a bottom once forced deleveraging runs its course.
At press time, BTC traded at $92,235.
For years, Chinese crypto investors have relied on USDT and other dollar-pegged stablecoins as a safe harbor from market volatility. But a dramatic shift in currency dynamics is forcing them to reconsider: what happens when the “stable” coin loses value against your home currency?
Over the past six months, the offshore renminbi has surged from 7.4 to 7.06 against the dollar, marking its strongest level in a year. While this appreciation benefits China’s broader economy, it creates an uncomfortable reality for stablecoin holders—their dollar-denominated assets are quietly bleeding value when measured in yuan terms.
The Perfect Storm Against Dollar Holdings
The mathematics is straightforward but painful. A Chinese investor who converted 100,000 yuan to USDT in April at 7.4 would now receive only about 95,400 yuan when converting back at 7.06—a 4.6% loss without touching a single volatile crypto asset.
This isn’t a temporary blip. The dollar index has fallen nearly 10% this year as weak US employment data and aggressive Fed rate cuts have triggered massive unwinding of carry trades. Meanwhile, China’s stock market rally—with the Shanghai Composite breaking 4,000—has attracted foreign capital, further strengthening the yuan.
Additionally, China’s trade settled in RMB more than doubled between January and July. Corporations increased hedging with financial contracts, boosting practical RMB demand beyond speculation.
Goldman Sachs research suggests that every 1% yuan appreciation is correlated with a 3% gain in Chinese equities, creating a self-reinforcing cycle that could push the currency even higher.
USDT: From Safe Haven to Risk Asset
The change means dollar stablecoins are no longer a reliable hedge for Chinese crypto users. The combination of a weaker USD and a stronger RMB reduces USDT’s local purchasing power.
Tighter regulations deepen this challenge. In May, China’s central bank and 13 ministries officially named stablecoins as a concern in anti-money laundering and foreign exchange oversight. Recent statements caution that stablecoins lack legal status and are vulnerable to illegal use, indicating a possible increase in enforcement.
“China’s central bank has issued a fresh warning on stablecoins, calling them a form of virtual currency without legal tender status under its crypto ban. Regulators say they can be used for money laundering, fundraising fraud, and illegal cross-border capital transfers.”
On peer-to-peer markets, the USDT-to-RMB exchange rate has fallen below 7, reflecting both market pressure and regulatory risk premiums. Transaction fees and spreads have also grown.
Chinese Investors Pivot to Tokenized Real-World Assets
To manage eroding savings and increased regulation, Chinese investors are adopting new strategies. Rather than holding USDT, many now prefer on-chain, dollar-denominated real-world assets, such as tokenized US equities and gold. These assets can yield returns or appreciate, potentially offsetting currency losses and regulatory hurdles.
This trend aligns with a global move by institutional investors to tokenize physical assets, blending blockchain with traditional markets. For Chinese crypto holders, these alternatives maintain dollar exposure while offering diversification beyond pure currency bets.
The USDT’s rapid shift from a haven to a risk asset marks a significant change for both the Chinese crypto sector and the RMB. The era of treating stablecoins as risk-free savings accounts may be over for Chinese investors.
Dubai, United Arab Emirates, December 5th, 2025, Chainwire
Decentralized AI infrastructure startup closes seed and strategic rounds as it accelerates toward mainnet launch.
DeepNode, a decentralized artificial intelligence network aiming to democratize AI development, has successfully raised $5 million across two funding rounds: a $2 million seed round at a $25 million valuation and a subsequent $3 million strategic round at a $75 million valuation.
The funding represents a significant milestone for the project, which is positioning itself as the infrastructure for "open intelligence", a network where AI developers, compute providers, and validators can collaborate and earn rewards without relying on centralized tech giants.
Community-First Seed Round
DeepNode's seed round included participation from community members, with support from key network validators such as WildSageLabs from RoundTable21 and Rizzo from DNA, as well as infrastructure partner Gateway.FM.
What makes this raise truly special is that it was driven by our community. The validators, miners, and early adopters pushing decentralized AI forward - the company stated in its announcement on X.
The approach signals DeepNode's commitment to building what it calls a "community-first" ecosystem, where those who will actually operate the network infrastructure have early ownership stakes.
Strategic Round Brings Global Infrastructure Investors
The strategic round was led by a consortium of Web3 and AI infrastructure investors, including Blockchain Founders Fund, Side Door Ventures, TBV, IOBC Capital, Fomo Ventures, and Nestoris. These investors bring expertise spanning enterprise integrations, operational scaling, and go-to-market support.
Building the Multi-Tool for AI
DeepNode differentiates itself from other decentralized AI projects through what it calls a "multi-tool" approach. Rather than focusing solely on large language models or a single use case, the platform is designed to handle any predictive or decision-making task across multiple industries. From healthcare diagnostics to fraud detection to crypto trading and more.
The network operates using a novel Proof-of-Work Relevance (PoWR) consensus mechanism that rewards AI contributions based on actual utility rather than just computational output. Models compete and evolve based on real-world performance, with contributors earning emissions for valuable work.
Infrastructure Development and Long-Term Planning
DeepNode is building on Base, an Ethereum Layer-2 network, to leverage Ethereum's security while maintaining transaction costs below $0.01. The company plans to launch its mainnet by the end of Q1 2026, with foundation-supported domains already in development across multiple verticals.
The combined funding will support DeepNode's multi-year roadmap to develop an open intelligence network. According to the team, the network aims to enable builders to retain intellectual property rights, allow contributors to earn based on performance, and provide enterprises with private participation options while leveraging shared network effects.
Backed by a mix of ecosystem participants and strategic investors, DeepNode is pursuing a model of AI development that emphasizes collaboration, transparency, and contributor ownership.
About DeepNode
DeepNode is the infrastructure for open intelligence. A decentralized AI network where developers, validators, and compute providers collaborate, own their IP, and earn rewards for providing real-world utility via Proof-of-Work Relevance (PoWR). Built on Base for low-cost scalability, mainnet launches in 2026, powering predictions across healthcare, finance, trading, and beyond
Contact
Mr
Jeffrey Kaele
DeepNode
pr@deepnode.ai
XRP Price has seen a tough couple of months, falling 31%, but new data suggests that a potential reversal could be on the horizon. Social sentiment around XRP shows the highest level of fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD) since October.
According to social metrics, days marked with green circles indicate abnormally high bearish comments about XRP (Fear Zone), while red circles show bullish days (Greed Zone). Interestingly, the last time sentiment reached this level of fear on November 21, XRP surged 22% in just three days before profit-taking slowed the rally.
XRP Whale Accumulation Hits 7-Year High
After nearly a month of heavy outflows, XRP holders have flipped positive. Recent data shows the strongest net position increase since early October. When holders shift from selling to accumulation, it’s often an early sign that a price reversal may be coming.
XRP whale activity is showing a rare trend. While the number of mega whale wallets has dropped by 20% over the past two months, the remaining whales are holding more XRP than in the past seven years—about 48 billion XRP.
This unusual pattern, with fewer wallets but larger holdings, indicates that major investors are quietly accumulating XRP, suggesting strong long-term confidence.
XRP Price Analysis
According to Ali Charts, XRP Price recently broke the $2.07 support, prompting the market to focus on the $2.05–$1.90 demand zone. Despite strong inflows into XRP ETFs, nearly $850 million since launch, short-term price pressure remains. Unless XRP climbs back above $2.07–$2.11, the price is likely to stay under pressure.
The TD Sequential indicator recently issued a buy signal on XRP’s weekly chart, suggesting that selling may be slowing. With whales accumulating and XRP holding above the $2 support, traders are watching for a possible rebound.
Historically, similar conditions in late 2018–early 2019 preceded significant XRP rallies, with whales accumulating during periods of stagnation before a bull cycle.
XRP has been slowly trending down, and overall market sentiment remains neutral to negative. However, several important signs are starting to strengthen. Whale accumulation has reached a 7-year high, institutional inflows through ETFs are growing, and selling pressure is decreasing.
XRP whale holdings will be crucial. If holdings drop sharply, it could signal whales selling into strength. But if accumulation continues alongside price recovery, it suggests strong confidence in XRP’s long-term growth.
FAQs
How high could XRP go by the end of 2025?Analysts predict XRP could reach $5.05 by December 2025 if bullish momentum continues and key resistance levels are broken.
What factors influence XRP’s price movement?XRP price is influenced by ETF approvals, on-chain activity, investor sentiment, legal developments, and broader crypto market trends.
Is XRP a good investment in 2025?XRP shows bullish signs with strong on-chain activity and ETF interest, but investors should watch key support and resistance levels carefully.
What will XRP be worth in 2030?XRP could reach an average of $26.50 by 2030, driven by growing adoption, institutional interest, and market expansion.
What is the XRP prediction for 2040?XRP’s price could range from $97.50 to $179 by 2040, reflecting potential long-term adoption as a global payment solution.
What will XRP be worth in 2050?XRP might reach between $219 and $526 by 2050 if it becomes a dominant digital asset with widespread global usage.
After months of silent trading, Terra Classic jumped nearly 22% in the last 24 hours, now trading around $0.00003420. The sudden rise has brought new energy to the LUNC community, which has been waiting for a strong comeback ever since the project went through its historic crash in 2022.
But many in the community are wondering about the reasons behind the LUNC token price jump.
LUNC Trading Volume Spike by 370%
One of the biggest reasons behind the sudden price rise is the huge jump in trading activity. Market data shows LUNC’s trading volume shot up by more than 370%, touching nearly $46 million across top exchanges.
At the same time, staking activity has also gone up. More holders have started locking their LUNC to support the network, which reduces the number of tokens available in the market.
On top of that, overall market sentiment has turned positive, with confidence levels now above 50%.
Burn Rate Continues To Support Price
Another key factor behind the rally is LUNC’s aggressive burn mechanism. In the last 7 days, the community has burned over 849 million tokens, reducing the circulating supply.
According to the burn tracker, Terra Classic has destroyed 426.79 billion tokens since May 2022, nearly 8% of the total supply. A shrinking supply becomes powerful when demand starts to rise, helping price recover faster.
LUNC BURN UPDATE@LuncBurnDailyDec 04, 202504 December 2025:
Terra Classic BINANCE:LUNCUSDT Max Supply: 6,480,742,753,204 Tokens Burned Previous Day: 83,945,886 (🔴-0.0013%)
Terra Classic BINANCE:LUNCUSDT Price: $0.00002834 (🟢+0.11%) pic.twitter.com/Gwppn0zHZH
Binance Upgrade Adds More Momentum
Adding to the excitement is the progress shown by Terra Classic developers. Over the past week, the team has shared updates about new system improvements, better security patches, and long-awaited upgrades that aim to make the chain more stable.
Recently, Binance confirmed it will support the Terra network upgrade happening on December 8, 2025, at block height 18,660,000.
In the meantime, deposits and withdrawals will pause during the upgrade, but trading will continue as normal.
What’s Next for LUNC?
LUNC recently broke out of a falling wedge pattern and is holding above $0.000033, a key micro-support. The RSI sits around 59, suggesting the token still has space to move higher.
Analysts say the next major resistance levels are $0.000048 and $0.00009. If bulls push further, the high psychological level is $0.000125, a price many traders are watching closely.
Even after this rise, LUNC is still down nearly 80% this year, which shows how rough the broader market has been.
FAQs
Why is LUNC price up today?LUNC is up today due to a surge in trading volume, increased staking, aggressive token burns, and positive market sentiment driving demand.
Is LUNC recovering after its 2022 crash?LUNC shows signs of recovery with rising trading, staking, and burns, but it remains down 80% this year, reflecting broader market challenges.
How does LUNC’s burn mechanism affect its price?Burning LUNC reduces circulating supply, creating scarcity. Higher demand with lower supply can boost the token’s price over time.
Does the LUNC coin have a future?LUNC’s future depends on continued network upgrades, community support, token burns, and market adoption, showing cautious long-term potential.
CertiK’s latest U.S. Digital Asset Policy Report shows that 2025 marked a major turning point for crypto regulation in the United States. A series of federal actions finally provided the industry with its most straightforward rulebook yet, pushing the sector from years of uncertainty toward a more structured compliance environment. This shift is changing how banks, custodians, and crypto companies operate.
A Clear Three-Pillar Federal Framework
The regulatory progress centers on three developments: the GENIUS Act, the CLARITY Act, and the SEC’s decision to withdraw Staff Accounting Bulletin 121. Together, these measures form the core of a new national framework for digital assets.
The updated rules outline how stablecoins must be backed and redeemed, give clearer definitions for different types of digital tokens, and set standards for when institutions can legally offer crypto custody services.
For major banks and trust companies, this means less confusion and more predictable oversight. CertiK notes that firms entering the custody business now have clearer expectations, while stablecoin issuers must follow uniform requirements for reserves and operations.
States Add Their Own Rules
Even as federal regulation strengthens, states are continuing to build their own digital asset rules. CertiK highlights that more states are introducing licensing systems, cybersecurity standards, and anti–anti-money-laundering requirements. Although each state differs, the overall direction is toward a more consistent compliance baseline for companies operating nationwide.
The report also points to rapid advances in blockchain analytics and smarter code-auditing tools, which are becoming increasingly important as smart contracts handle more financial activity.
Permissioned Digital Assets Gain Traction
CertiK’s review finds that traditional financial institutions are showing growing interest in Permissioned Digital Assets, blockchain-based instruments designed to operate fully within regulatory standards.
With liquidity now splitting between major regulatory regions like the U.S. and Europe under MiCA, companies that can operate across different rulebooks and build compliant infrastructure in multiple jurisdictions are likely to gain a competitive advantage.
FAQs
What is the current state of U.S. crypto regulation in 2025?As of 2025, U.S. crypto regulation relies on the GENIUS and CLARITY Acts, federal stablecoin & custody rules, plus state-level licensing and compliance layers.
Do all crypto companies now need federal licenses in the U.S.?Not all, but many must follow new federal standards, while states require licenses and strong cybersecurity for operating legally.
How does U.S. regulation differ from Europe’s MiCA rules?The U.S. uses a mix of federal acts and state laws, while Europe’s MiCA offers one unified rulebook. Both aim for safer, more transparent markets.
The European authorities have taken down a cryptocurrency fraud and money laundering network that is believed to have laundered over 700 million euros. Multiple European agencies collaborated in the two-phase operation, which led to the arrest of nine individuals.
Taking Down a Vast Fraud Network
According to Europol’s announcement yesterday (Thursday), “the criminal network operated numerous fake cryptocurrency investment platforms, luring thousands of victims with advertisements promising high returns.”
The perpetrators contacted the victims repeatedly from call centres, according to the agency, and used social engineering tactics to pressure them into making investments on the fake trading platforms.
The network came to light after authorities began an investigation into a single fraudulent cryptocurrency platform.
The reach and set-up of the network are said to span across Europe and beyond.
Another earlier report revealed that the European agencies removed over 1,400 fraudulent online trading platforms that tricked retail investors. German investigators, working alongside BaFin, Europol and Bulgarian authorities, traced networks of fake brokers luring users into investing large sums with promises of high returns.
Raids and Arrests
The latest nine arrests were made in the first phase of the crackdown, which took place on 27 October, involving police raids across Cyprus, Germany and Spain at the request of French and Belgian authorities. It also resulted in the seizure of bank accounts, cash, cryptocurrencies, digital devices and high-value watches.
In the second phase of the operation, carried out on 25 and 26 November, the authorities focused on targeting the affiliate marketing set-up that supports these online scams, which use fake advertisements with photos and deep fake videos of celebrities and even politicians.
Interestingly, the Italian financial market regulator recently pointed out that deep fake ads of the country’s Prime Minister, Giorgia Meloni, are being used to promote fake investments.
Arsalan@AIwithArsalanAug 01, 2025These ads look like they’re from Nike, KFC, and Coca-Cola…
But none of them are real
They’re 100% AI-generated — and shockingly good!
Here are 14 wild examples: 👇
1. Physics? AI doesn’t care. pic.twitter.com/wSq4XtTlNK
Agencies from Belgium, Bulgaria, Germany and Israel conducted the latest searches against companies and suspects involved in fraudulent advertising campaigns on social media platforms.
It appears that the majority of the fraud operations were based in Cyprus, Germany and Spain, while companies in Belgium, Bulgaria, Germany and Israel ran the fake ads.
“Following these two coordinated actions and multiple arrests and seizures, investigative authorities will continue to track the criminal organisation’s assets in the countries where it operates and resides,” Europol stated.
Recently, the European authorities also closed a crypto-mixing service, “Cryptomixer,” allegedly used by cybercriminals to launder over €1.3 billion in Bitcoin. Authorities confiscated three servers, the platform’s domain, more than €25 million ($29 million) in BTC and over 12 terabytes of operational data.
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