Investing.com -- U.S. REITs are positioned for a rebound in 2026 after several years out of favor, as lower interest rates, improving earnings growth and discounted valuations set up a recovery.
BMO Capital Markets forecasts a 17% total return for the sector next year, driven by a roughly 4% dividend yield, mid-single-digit growth in funds from operations and modest multiple expansion.
REITs are trading at about a 15% discount to net asset value, a gap BMO expects to narrow as transaction activity picks up through mergers, asset sales and share repurchases.
BMO sees slowing job growth continuing into 2026, but expects consumer spending to remain resilient, supported by steady wage growth and larger income tax refunds.
That backdrop, combined with easing financial conditions, underpins its more constructive view on REIT earnings after four weak years.
BMO favors affordable residential exposure in Sunbelt markets, data centers, full-service lodging, senior housing and select office markets in New York City and the Sunbelt.
It is Neutral on industrial, net lease, retail, single-family rentals and storage, and less constructive on cell towers, coastal apartments, medical office buildings and West Coast office.
Data center REITs are expected to rebound after underperforming in 2025, with BMO highlighting Digital Realty and Equinix as beneficiaries.
Sunbelt-focused residential names are also preferred as affordability becomes a key policy focus ahead of U.S. midterm elections.
BMO’s top REIT picks for 2026 are Broadstone Net Lease Inc (NYSE:BNL), Brixmor Property (NYSE:BRX), CareTrust REIT, Equinix Inc (NASDAQ:EQIX), Independence Realty Trust, Vornado Realty Trust and Welltower.
The firm also sees select lodging and observatory owners benefiting from large global events scheduled for 2026, which could lift travel and tourism demand.

























