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SYMBOL
LAST
BID
ASK
HIGH
LOW
NET CHG.
%CHG.
SPREAD
SPX
S&P 500 Index
6836.29
6836.29
6836.29
6878.28
6827.18
-34.11
-0.50%
--
DJI
Dow Jones Industrial Average
47689.07
47689.07
47689.07
47971.51
47611.93
-265.91
-0.55%
--
IXIC
NASDAQ Composite Index
23503.54
23503.54
23503.54
23698.93
23455.05
-74.58
-0.32%
--
USDX
US Dollar Index
99.010
99.090
99.010
99.160
98.730
+0.060
+ 0.06%
--
EURUSD
Euro / US Dollar
1.16398
1.16405
1.16398
1.16717
1.16162
-0.00028
-0.02%
--
GBPUSD
Pound Sterling / US Dollar
1.33266
1.33274
1.33266
1.33462
1.33053
-0.00046
-0.03%
--
XAUUSD
Gold / US Dollar
4190.56
4191.00
4190.56
4218.85
4175.92
-7.35
-0.18%
--
WTI
Light Sweet Crude Oil
58.599
58.629
58.599
60.084
58.495
-1.210
-2.02%
--

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Trump: Has Not Spoken To Kushner About Paramount Bid

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US President Trump: I Don’t Know Much About Paramount’s Hostile Takeover Bid For Warner Bros. Discovery

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Trump: I Want To Do What's Right

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Trump On Bids For Warner Bros: I'd Have To See Netflix, Paramount Percentages Of Market

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Trump On Vaccines: We Are Looking At A Lot Of Things

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US Treasury Secretary Bessenter: We Are Still Working Towards A Trade Agreement With India

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US Natural Gas Futures Drop 7% On Less Cold Forecasts, Near-Record Output

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[Trump: The US Will Not Experience Deflation] US President Trump Believes That US Inflation Will Decline Slightly Further, But There Will Be No Deflation

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Trump: We Will End Up Putting Severe Tariffs On Fertilizer From Canada If We Have To

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Bessent: We Are Still Working On India Trade Deal

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Brent Crude Futures Settle At $62.49/Bbl, Down $1.26, 1.98 Percent

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Trump: Farming Equipment Has Gotten Too Expensive

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Trump: We Will Take Off A Lot Of Environment Rules That Affect Tractor Companies

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Kremlin Says Still No Word On US-Ukraine Talks In Florida

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Trump: Taking Action To Protect Farmers

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Nymex January Gasoline Futures Closed At $1.7981 Per Gallon, And Nymex January Heating Oil Futures Closed At $2.2982 Per Gallon

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          Street Calls of the Week

          Investing.com
          Tesla
          -3.73%
          Alphabet-A
          -2.61%
          Meta Platforms
          -0.78%
          O'Reilly Automotive
          -0.60%
          Advanced Micro Devices
          +1.25%
          Summary:

          Investing.com -- Here is your Pro Recap of the top takeaways from Wall Street analysts for the past week. InvestingPro...

          Investing.com -- Here is your Pro Recap of the top takeaways from Wall Street analysts for the past week.

          InvestingPro subscribers always get first dibs on market-moving AI analyst comments. Upgrade today!

          Carvana

          What happened? On Monday, UBS initiated coverage on Carvana Co (NYSE:CVNA) at Buy with a $450 price target.

          *TLDR: Carvana targets massive growth from tiny base. UBS bullish despite uncertain consumer adoption.

          What’s the full story? Carvana runs a slick online used-car operation that captures just 1.5% of the market today—a rounding error in America’s vast automotive bazaar. Yet UBS reckons this digital dealer marches toward 4% share by decade’s end, perhaps 8% within ten years, chasing their audacious 3-million vehicle target. The team’s 2026/27 EBITDA projections sit 5% above Street consensus, projecting 25% annual growth through the 2020s—numbers that justify the premium valuation if you squint hard enough.

          The bull case writes itself: online penetration sits at a laughable 2% of used vehicle sales while Carvana’s platform apparently delivers both superior experience and pricing (UBS Evidence Lab confirms this, naturally). Their gross profit per unit runs double the industry average—a feat that impresses even skeptics.

          The team expects further GPU expansion as inspection centers mature and ADESA auction sites integrate, creating a virtuous cycle where better sourcing feeds retail volume, which improves sourcing, and so forth.

          Whether consumers actually want their cars delivered like Amazon packages remains the trillion-dollar question.

          Circle Internet Group

          What happened? On Tuesday, Wolfe Research initiated coverage on Circle Internet Group Inc (NYSE:CRCL) at Underperform with a $60 price target.

          *TLDR: Circle’s stablecoin empire prints billions from interest. Competition and rate cuts threaten everything.

          What’s the full story? Circle sits fat and happy as the world’s second-largest stablecoin dealer, riding Tether’s coattails while pushing its regulatory-friendly schtick to traditional finance dinosaurs. The company prints money—literally—with USDC’s $75 billion market cap doubling year-over-year and EURC adding pocket change at $315 million. The racket generates $2.75 billion in 2025 revenues, with 96% coming from the interest income gravy train and margins that would make a loan shark blush: over 50% adjusted EBITDA on revenue less distribution costs.

          But the party’s hitting speed bumps. Distribution partners are bleeding Circle’s margins dry, while looming rate cuts threaten to vaporize their interest income goldmine. Competition circles like vultures—Tether’s launching USAT, banks are tokenizing deposits, and players like Paxos and Ripple smell blood in the water. Meanwhile, emerging markets aren’t thrilled about dollar colonization through stablecoins, and central banks plot their own digital currency revenge.

          Circle’s betting its future on becoming the full-stack infrastructure overlord of the "new global internet economy"—whatever that means. The firm rolls out Arc blockchain and Circle Payments Network for cross-border transfers, but adoption remains embryonic. Wolfe notes Circle’s prioritizing user growth over monetization, gambling these platform extensions become tomorrow’s revenue lifeline when today’s interest income party inevitably ends.

          Aardvark Therapeutics

          What happened? On Wednesday, Raymond James initiated coverage on Aardvark Therapeutics Inc (NASDAQ:AARD) at Strong buy with a $47 price target.

          *TLDR: Soleno’s Prader-Willi drug disappoints despite revenue. Aardvark offers better efficacy, massive discount.

          What’s the full story? In the grand theater of biotech speculation, where desperate parents meet Wall Street’s finest vultures, Prader-Willi syndrome presents that rarest of creatures: actual unmet medical need. These poor souls can’t stop eating—literally—and Soleno’s Vykat XR, despite hauling in $66 million last quarter as the first approved therapy, apparently works about as well as telling a starving man to practice mindfulness. Raymond James’s KOL chorus sings unanimous disappointment.

          Enter Aardvark’s ARD-101, targeting gut receptors to trick the body into feeling full—a molecular sleight of hand that Phase 2 data suggests actually works. The firm notes the delicious valuation arbitrage: Aardvark trades at sub-$100 million enterprise value while Soleno commands $2 billion for inferior results. With Phase 3 data coming third quarter 2026, this setup offers what Twain might call "a sure thing wrapped in uncertainty’s clothing."

          The kicker? Aardvark’s pursuing obesity indications—because why cure rare diseases when you can chase the American dream of treating everyone who supersized their existence. Raymond James sees unmodeled upside, which in biotech parlance means "lottery tickets are still cheap."

          O-Reilly Auto

          What happened? On Thursday (Wednesday after-hours), Baird launched new coverage on O’Reilly Automotive Inc (NASDAQ:ORLY) at Outperform with a $115 price target.

          *TLDR: O’Reilly prints money despite retail apocalypse. Overvalued but keeps compounding regardless.

          What’s the full story? In the grand casino of American retail, where tariffs threaten to vaporize margins faster than a Tesla battery in flames, O’Reilly Automotive stands as that peculiar beast: a boring company printing money. The analysts at Baird genuflect before ORLY’s "value creation machine"—Wall Street speak for "they buy competitors and jack up prices on spark plugs." Management runs the same playbook year after year, which in this market passes for genius.

          The stock trades at 30 times forward earnings versus its three-year average of 26 times, because apparently nothing says "bargain" quite like paying a 15% premium for the privilege of owning an auto parts retailer. But here’s the beautiful absurdity: while Amazon incinerates traditional retail and Chinese tariffs loom like Twain’s comet, ORLY keeps compounding. Baird sees margin inflection ahead—translation: they’ll squeeze more juice from the same lemons. The analysts remain "highly confident," which in this business means they’re either prophets or the last fools at the poker table.

          Parsons Corp

          What happened? On Friday, Raymond James double downgraded Parsons Corp (NYSE:PSN) to Market Perform and removed its price target.

          *TLDR: Parsons lost FAA contract to Peraton. Overvalued stock faces massive valuation correction.

          What’s the full story? In the grand tradition of Wall Street’s finest miscalculations, Parsons just discovered that counting chickens before they hatch remains hazardous to share prices. The FAA handed its $12.5 billion air traffic control modernization contract—charmingly acronymed BNATCS—to Peraton, not Parsons, sending Raymond James scrambling to downgrade PSN from Strong Buy to Market Perform, which translates to "oops, never mind."

          The firm notes PSN’s stock had climbed to nosebleed valuations, trading at a 35% premium to peers on the delusion this contract was theirs. That premium now faces what Twain might call "a great awakening to disappointment." Raymond James expects it to evaporate faster than confidence at a bank run, perhaps halving as investors realize their "sure thing" just became Peraton’s payday. The psyche of the stock is "dented," they observe—Wall Street’s euphemism for "shareholders are about to discover gravity." With catalysts now "ambiguous," the analysts essentially admit they’re as lost as everyone else who bet on this bureaucratic beauty contest.

          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          Saudi Arabia stocks higher at close of trade; Tadawul All Share up 0.05%

          Investing.com
          NVIDIA
          +1.33%
          Amazon
          -1.13%
          Meta Platforms
          -0.78%
          Saratoga Investment
          -0.13%
          Apple
          -0.67%

          Investing.com – Saudi Arabia stocks were higher after the close on Sunday, as gains in the Hotels & Tourism, Telecoms & IT and Financial Services sectors led shares higher.

          At the close in Saudi Arabia, the Tadawul All Share gained 0.05%.

          The best performers of the session on the Tadawul All Share were Abdullah Saad Mohammed Abo Moati Stationeries Co (TADAWUL:4191), which rose 10.00% or 4.30 points to trade at 47.30 at the close. Meanwhile, Jahez International Company for Information Systems Technology SCJSC (TADAWUL:6017) added 8.32% or 1.29 points to end at 16.80 and Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co (TADAWUL:6070) was up 4.76% or 2.00 points to 44.00 in late trade.

          The worst performers of the session were Saudi Industrial Development Co. (TADAWUL:2130), which fell 5.72% or 0.73 points to trade at 12.03 at the close. Sustained Infrastructure Holding Company SJSC (TADAWUL:2190) declined 3.69% or 1.20 points to end at 31.30 and National Company for Learning and Education SJSC (TADAWUL:4291) was down 3.02% or 4.50 points to 144.40.

          Falling stocks outnumbered advancing ones on the Saudi Arabia Stock Exchange by 201 to 125 and 21 ended unchanged.

          Shares in Saudi Industrial Development Co. (TADAWUL:2130) fell to 5-year lows; losing 5.72% or 0.73 to 12.03.

          Crude oil for January delivery was up 0.69% or 0.41 to $60.08 a barrel. Elsewhere in commodities trading, Brent oil for delivery in February rose 0.77% or 0.49 to hit $63.75 a barrel, while the February Gold Futures contract unchanged 0.00% or 0.00 to trade at $4,243.00 a troy ounce.

          EUR/SAR was unchanged 0.01% to 4.37, while USD/SAR unchanged 0.00% to 3.75.

          The US Dollar Index Futures was up 0.02% at 98.97.

          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          Is ’Amazon Now’ a real threat to InstaCart?

          Investing.com
          Amazon
          -1.13%
          Tesla
          -3.73%
          Netflix
          -3.38%
          Apple
          -0.67%
          NVIDIA
          +1.33%

          Investing.com -- Amazon’s (NASDAQ:AMZN) test of 30-minute grocery and essentials delivery in parts of Seattle and Philadelphia has added fresh pressure to Instacart, according to analysts at Bernstein in a recent note.

          Bernstein expects the overall delivery group to trade weakly as markets absorb another Amazon move in grocery.

          Amazon, the e-commerce giant, is positioning Amazon Now as a limited test. The service uses smaller fulfillment centers located near residential and workplace clusters to shorten travel distances, and incorporates warehouse staff and Amazon Flex gig drivers. 

          The Information also reported Amazon is pursuing approvals for similar centers in Fort Worth, Texas. Bernstein describes the effort as ambitious and notes that scaling it would require time and investment.

          The test marks a shift from Amazon’s existing speed tiers. The company currently offers Same-Day delivery within five hours, and two-hour delivery windows for Prime members in select markets. 

          Under Amazon Now, Prime members would pay $3.99, with an added $1.99 fee for orders below $15, to receive items in 30 minutes or less. Bernstein says the push toward minutes-level fulfillment reflects ongoing convergence between Amazon’s model and third-party delivery platforms.

          Instacart’s competitive position is more complex than the stock reaction suggests, Bernstein writes. Instacart, the third-party grocery marketplace operating across multiple retail partners, already delivers at speeds that overlap with Amazon Now. 

          75% of Instacart’s orders are on-demand, with a median delivery time under 90 minutes. Its Priority tier represents an estimated 40% of orders, with average delivery times under 60 minutes. 

          Within that segment, 25% of Priority orders arrive in under 30 minutes. Bernstein states that “much of CART’s business is already operating competitively with Amazon Now on speed.”

          Bernstein flags two constraints that will determine Amazon Now’s scalability: SKU depth and economics. Amazon Now’s selection includes “thousands” of items across staples and fresh categories, while Instacart, DoorDash and Uber, all multipartner platforms, offer the full grocery store. 

          Economically, Amazon’s Same-Day grocery network benefits from combining grocery with other deliveries, but the minutes-level model requires denser networks and sustained gig-worker capacity. Bernstein says Amazon’s advertising business “helps immensely” in making the economics more workable.

          For Instacart, Bernstein does not view Amazon Now as a “step-change” in the long-running competitive debate around its valuation multiple but calls the announcement a negative headline that adds to existing bearish sentiment. 

          The brokerage points to Instacart’s recent quarter, which showed resilience despite competition, and says the stock’s near-term catalyst remains its ability to beat buy-side expectations on GTV resilience.

          Bernstein frames the development within the broader U.S. grocery landscape, where online penetration remains in the low-to-mid teens, leaving room for category expansion. 

          Third-party platforms retain advantages in broad retailer coverage, logistics flexibility and SKU breadth.

          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          Dj Five Reasons Investors Are Feeling Good About Stocks Again

          Reuters
          Meta Platforms
          -0.78%
          Microsoft
          +1.39%
          NVIDIA
          +1.33%
          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          Why Nvidia and Other AI Stocks Have Lost Their 'Quality' Status — Streetwise — WSJ

          Dow Jones Newswires
          NVIDIA
          +1.33%

          By James Mackintosh

          Are the big AI companies giving up their status as the highest caliber stocks in the market? The question is at the heart of a debate about "quality" companies that has left two popular ETFs with wildly different performance after one ditched Nvidia and most of the rest of Big Tech.

          The $48 billion iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor (ticker: QUAL) and Invesco's $15 billion S&P 500 Quality (SPHQ) specialize in what the investment industry has dubbed quality companies. The exchange-traded funds invest only in companies that show they are safe and steady on financial measures including high profitability and low leverage.

          The benchmarks that these two ETFs use to measure quality have a crucial difference, which leads to one having much more exposure to the major artificial-intelligence stocks. QUAL, which bases its definition of quality on an MSCI index, has almost a third of its holdings in five of the leading eight Big Tech stocks. SPHQ, which is based on an S&P index, holds only one, Apple.

          The result has been wild swings in performance. Up to June, when Invesco dropped Nvidia, SPHQ beat QUAL by the most in any six-month period. In the past six months SPHQ has lagged behind by the most, aside from the period immediately after QUAL got going in 2013.

          This is much more than a semantic debate between ETFs about what quality means. It goes to the heart of a much bigger question in markets: Is the bet on AI being made by the country's biggest companies a vast potential profit pool or a money pit that should be sounding alarm bells?

          In addition to Nvidia, SPHQ dropped Meta and Netflix in June, and Microsoft last December. The culprit, according to Nick Kalivas, head of factor and equity ETF strategy at Invesco, was the accounting concept of accruals.

          Accruals are a way to gauge how much of reported earnings are based on sales that generate cash right away, rather than money owed by customers in the future or other noncash items. Cash today is obviously preferable to a promise that money will come through in the future. Things can go wrong. Customers go bust, economies change.

          The S&P index behind the fund uses accruals as one of its three indicators, because high accruals are sometimes a sign of trouble ahead.

          "You start to see a deterioration in the cash component of earnings, and that might indicate that your strength and the durability of your earnings might be coming under pressure," Kalivas said.

          In Nvidia's case, there has been a jump in working capital as rapid sales growth has led to immediate costs, while payments from customers lag behind. In the latest quarter, money owed by customers, known as accounts receivable, leapt by $16 billion from the year before, to $33 billion, while money owed to suppliers, accounts payable, rose only $3 billion, to $8 billion. The gap between the two has to be funded by the company while it waits to be paid.

          QUAL's index doesn't exclude stocks based on accruals, instead looking for steady earnings growth, which these Big Tech names have in spades. MSCI, which runs the index behind the fund, consulted customers about adding accruals last year, but decided against the move after finding it would lead to more churn in the stocks that qualify.

          Rising accruals may be part of the problem that the market began worrying about a few weeks ago: Big Tech companies are pouring hundreds of billions of dollars into AI without a clear path to profit, eating into their cash on hand and increasingly needing borrowing to finance it.

          Investing real money now and hoping for payments some time in the future is the core of investment. But big companies rarely spend so much on a technology where uncertainties are so high.

          Wei Li, chief investment strategist at the BlackRock Investment Institute, thinks there is still more to go in the bull market. But she said the uncertainties are so big it isn't even worth trying to forecast how much productivity — and so adoption and profit — AI might lead to.

          "We spend first, and we're hoping that at some point revenue will come," she said. "But that hasn't happened yet."

          Quality stocks don't usually come with so much uncertainty about where they allocate their capital. But it's also undeniable that Nvidia and most other Big Tech stocks have been exceptionally profitable as the AI boom intensified.

          The accruals happening here aren't the sort of accruals that make investors the most nervous. Forensic accountants worry about rising accruals as a sign of earnings manipulation or fraud, but that isn't the concern here.

          Helen Jewell, chief investment officer for fundamental equities at BlackRock, uses an accruals-like measure — cash conversion — as part of stock selection and said the point is to identify companies able to get into a "virtuous cycle" of investment.

          "If you have got strong earnings and cash flow, it allows you to continuously reinvest," she said. That investment makes more money, allowing more investment, and so on.

          A separate academic finding used by neither ETF has long established that when companies splurge on capital spending, as the AI firms are now, their shares typically lag behind the rest of the market in the future. Investment strategists have been rediscovering the depressing historical link recently.

          Yet, all this effort might be beside the point, said Mamdouh Medhat, research director at Dimensional Fund Advisors. He argues that there's no need to overcomplicate quality gauges: A strategy of just buying the most profitable stocks trading at lower valuations, on average beat combined measures with accruals, stability of earnings or other tricks.

          Outside the smallest companies, such a strategy already captures any gains from avoiding high-capex stocks, he says. Put simply: Don't buy bad companies, and don't buy the most expensive companies.

          For me, the point of any quality approach is to spot strong companies where management resists the temptation to throw money at the latest fad. AI is definitely in fashion, and management is throwing money at it.

          Investing based on factors aims to deliver a small premium that adds up over time. The problem with today's market is that a handful of stocks are so big that including them, or not, can deliver, or miss out on, years of these gains in a few months. The result is that which ETF does better from here depends on investor appetite for AI at least as much as it does on quality.

          Write to James Mackintosh at james.mackintosh@wsj.com

          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          Which ESG topics may be most relevant for investors in 2026?

          Investing.com
          Amazon
          -1.13%
          Apple
          -0.67%
          Tesla
          -3.73%
          Meta Platforms
          -0.78%
          Netflix
          -3.38%

          Investing.com -- Macquarie’s head of research, Josep Pujal, said in a note this week that investors should expect continuity rather than disruption across environmental, social and governance themes next year, even as parts of the regulatory landscape shift.

          Pujal stated that “many reporting regulations have been rolled back, but decarbonisation efforts have continued,” and that 2025 delivered “pretty decent” performance for environmental stocks, a backdrop that could help sustain interest in sustainability-linked strategies.

          Looking ahead, Macquarie highlights eight themes likely to shape ESG priorities in 2026. 

          The analysts say “the general trend that started in 2024 [is] continuing,” with Europe adapting its Green Deal to “business and competitiveness realities.” 

          Energy competitiveness is expected to be a core political and industrial focus, inspired partly by the Draghi report, with “a number of laws” set to push in this direction. 

          This should continue to draw investor attention to electrification, energy efficiency and renewables.

          Automotive policy will also feature prominently. Macquarie points to expected changes to “the 2030 and 2035 CO2 limits for new cars,” as well as potential obligations for companies to adopt battery-electric vehicles.

          The analysts additionally see sovereignty and security as major drivers, noting that the Critical Raw Materials Act “will have to be put further into concrete measures.” 

          Cybersecurity is another expanding theme, with the European market experiencing “significant growth” and a “complex web of cybersecurity rules” emerging after the NIS2 directive.

          Despite some ESG regulation rollbacks, Macquarie stresses that “many of the basics remain unchallenged.” 

          Water policy is expected to tighten in 2026, including new PFAS limits and EU-wide monitoring, while food policy is shifting amid a pivot away from ultra-processed foods and rising demand for high-protein, low-calorie products.

          Finally, the firm said negotiations over changes to the Sustainable Finance Disclosure Regulation will be crucial, with potential new restrictions likely to influence sustainability-fund strategies.

          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          Private credit executive shares his 2026 outlook

          Investing.com
          Advanced Micro Devices
          +1.25%
          NVIDIA
          +1.33%
          Netflix
          -3.38%
          Tesla
          -3.73%
          Meta Platforms
          -0.78%

          Investing.com -- Demand for growth capital is set to remain strong in 2026, but the supply side of the equation is shifting in ways that are pushing more companies toward private credit, according to Andrew Kahn, Co-Founder and CEO of private credit firm Partners for Growth.

          While businesses still need capital to expand, “what is changing is the supply," Kahn says. With equity markets more selective and banks retrenching, he expects growth debt to play a bigger role in financing technology companies across stages.

          Kahn sees equity funding becoming harder to secure and increasingly concentrated next year. Venture capital and private equity investors are poised to stay cautious, channeling larger amounts of money into a narrower group of opportunities, particularly in artificial intelligence.

          This leaves many otherwise strong firms in areas such as SaaS, fintech, healthtech, and robotics facing slower fundraising cycles and pressure on valuations. As a result, more founders are likely to “rely on growth debt to preserve ownership and maintain their growth plans.”

          Bank lending is also becoming more constrained. In the United States, consolidation in the commercial banking sector has reshaped the innovation-lending landscape. Larger banks are doing fewer deals, writing bigger checks, and concentrating on less risky sectors or companies with only the strongest venture-capital backing.

          Smaller, founder-oriented banks have pulled back, merged, or changed their risk appetite since 2023, leaving a widening financing gap.

          Kahn notes that outside the United States, similar or even more pronounced dynamics persist, with traditional banks often too slow or too conservative for fast-growing firms. This is creating room for specialist private credit providers to step in.

          As access to equity and traditional credit tightens, founders are rethinking how they structure their capital raises. Kahn expects more companies to blend venture funding with structured credit, using growth debt as a “proactive and founder-friendly tool” that allows them to align capital with milestones, support expansion, and limit dilution.

          This approach is especially relevant for businesses with established revenue, asset-backed models, or strong unit economics.

          Limited partners are also reassessing portfolio construction. After years of heavy exposure to direct lending and private equity-backed credit strategies, many investors are looking for diversification and more resilient sources of return.

          Growth debt offers access to founder-led, high-growth companies with lower volatility than venture or growth equity and stronger downside protection. As private-market conditions evolve, Kahn expects growth debt to become a more meaningful component of institutional portfolios.

          Regarding regional trends, he sees continued strength in Saudi Arabia and the broader GCC, supported by national development agendas and government-backed innovation programs.

          Southeast Asia and Australia remain healthy as their startup ecosystems mature and require more sophisticated financing tools. Latin America offers opportunity but demands careful structuring due to currency swings and political cycles.

          In the United States, the equity market’s focus on artificial intelligence has left “overlooked pockets of opportunity” in other technology sectors, where growth debt can help bridge funding gaps.

          Meanwhile, despite macroeconomic headwinds in the United Kingdom and Europe, areas such as fintech, healthcare, and deep tech continue to show resilient growth trajectories, Kahn said. 

          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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