Investing.com -- S&P Global Ratings has revised its outlook on Sumitomo Corp. to negative from stable while affirming its ’A-’ ratings following the company’s ¥880 billion tender offer for SCSK Corp.
The rating agency believes the tender offer will significantly reduce Sumitomo’s financial capacity, representing about 20% of the company’s adjusted capital as of March 31, 2025, and approximately 1.5 times its expected net profit over the next one to two years.
S&P projects Sumitomo’s capital adequacy ratio will decline to 95%-105% under its ’A’ stress scenario over the next one to two years, raising concerns about the company’s ability to maintain financial soundness measures at a level consistent with current ratings.
The agency noted that Sumitomo’s conservative financial management has been slightly declining, pointing to the revision of its policy of maintaining positive free cash flow after shareholder returns. This change reflects the company’s intention to prioritize growth investments over maintaining a sound financial profile.
Despite these concerns, S&P expects Sumitomo to maintain record-level net profit over the next one to two years, driven by businesses in which the company has strengths. The agency also believes the company’s path to profit accumulation is predictable and the risk of failing to recover its investment is relatively low.
The negative outlook reflects S&P’s view that there is more than a one-in-three possibility of Sumitomo’s adjusted capital falling below risk-based capital required under its ’A’ stress scenario while financial capacity remains significantly reduced.
S&P would consider a downgrade if capital adequacy falls below 100% or if return on risk-weighted assets looks likely to drop to nearly 10% due to net income falling below ¥350 billion. The outlook could be revised to stable if the capital adequacy ratio consistently exceeds 100% under the ’A’ stress scenario with strong returns due to asset sales and curbed investments over the next one to two years.
This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.








