S.F. Holding Co.: Q3 2025 revenue rose 8.2% YoY, but net profit declined 8.5% amid strategic investments

Pacific Assets (PAC)

02/10/2025

Results analysis from Kepler Trust Intelligence

Pacific Assets (PAC) has released its half-year results for the period ending 31/07/2025. Over the period, NAV decreased by 3.7% on a total return basis, compared to an increase of 9.5% for the trust's benchmark, the MSCI AC Asia ex Japan Index. longer-term performance remains robust, with five-year returns of 44.6% versus the formal benchmark of 28% to 31/07/2025.

Performance was mostly attributable to India, with a large number of high-quality, well-managed Indian companies held. Whilst operational performance was robust, sentiment impacted share prices and detracted from returns. Positives centred around firms linked to the AI trade.

PAC's previous alternative performance objective of beating UK CPI +6% has been retired following the proposed introduction of a performance-related tender offer. This will allow investors to redeem up to 25% of share capital close to NAV should the company fail to beat a set target over a seven-year period.

The share buy-back programme will be unaffected. In the period, over 2.2m shares were repurchased, with a further 1.7m shares bought back since. The share price total return was 0.3%, contributing to the discount narrowing in the period.

A lower, tiered management fee was announced, based on the lower of market capitalisation or NAV, further incentivising the management team to narrow the discount. The new structure be 0.75% on the first £500m of assets, then dropping to 0.65%.

Doug and the team identified several new stocks most notably in China as government regulation evolved. Recent additions include Alibaba and S.F. Holding, a leading logistics firm which is still founder-led and growing an enduring franchise.

Chairman Andrew Impey commented on the governance changes: "A revised, competitive investment management fee [and] newly introduced Conditional Tender Offer further aligns the portfolio manager with shareholders," also acknowledging that the manager's "clearly differentiated investment process has delivered robust, long-term, risk-adjusted returns."

Kepler View

These results are, in our view, significant, due to the proposal of several shareholder-friendly initiatives which should improve the appeal of the trust over multiple time periods.

The conditional tender helps reduce discount risk in our view and is a pragmatic compromise between the manager's long-term focus, and the awareness of recent returns. It has set an ambitious target although outperformance of this magnitude has been delivered previously.

The team has made several changes, most notably adding to China. This has narrowed the long-standing underweight although new ideas remain high-quality and should reduce the portfolio's relative country risks. The trust is arguably better placed to capture the region's success stories, whilst also maintaining the quality focus that has supported in more volatile periods.

The reduction in the management fee is also positive and can accumulate over the years, whilst also sending a positive signal to investors and further aligning their interests with managers.

We think these changes could help narrow the discount. PAC currently has the widest discount in the peer group (as at 01/10/2025) which we believe could present an opportunity.

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Revenue grew 9.3% to RMB146.9 billion and profit attributable to owners rose 19.4% to RMB5.74 billion in H1 2025, with strong parcel volume growth and robust performance across express, freight, and intra-city delivery. Gross margin declined slightly, but cash flow and capital structure remained solid.

Original document: S.F. Holding Co., Ltd. Class A [002352] Interim report — Aug. 28 2025

Revenue grew 9.3% YoY to RMB 146.86 billion, with net profit up 19.4% to RMB 5.74 billion. All major segments posted double-digit growth, and the company generated strong free cash flow and maintained a robust balance sheet.

Original document: S.F. Holding Co., Ltd. Class A [002352] Interim report — Aug. 28 2025

Revenue and net profit saw robust double-digit growth in 1H2025, driven by strong domestic and international performance. Segment expansion, cost optimization, and strategic investments supported resilience, while a new employee shareholding scheme was launched to align long-term interests.

Original document: S.F. Holding Co., Ltd. Class A [002352] Slides Release — Aug. 28 2025

Revenue grew 6.9% and net profit rose 16.9% year-over-year, with margin improvements and strong parcel volume growth. Completed major share buyback and REIT listing to enhance capital structure and liquidity.

Original document: S.F. Holding Co., Ltd. Class A [002352] Interim report — Apr. 28 2025

Net profit hit a record RMB10.2bn, up 23.5% YoY, with revenue up 10.1% and strong growth across all segments. Free cash flow surged 70%, supporting higher dividends and share buybacks, while cost optimization and automation drove margin gains.

Original document: S.F. Holding Co., Ltd. Class A [002352] Slides Release — Mar. 28 2025