Investing.com -- European media stocks came into 2026 after a bruising year, with the sector emerging as the weakest performer in the Stoxx Europe 600 in 2025.
The damage was driven mainly by valuation derating rather than earnings downgrades, leaving fundamentals broadly intact while pushing the sector to one of its widest relative discounts in a decade, Kepler Cheuvreux analyst Conor O’Shea said in a Friday note.
O’Shea says perceived vulnerability to generative AI was the dominant driver behind the sell-off. He argues that investors have focused too narrowly on fears of disruption, even though earnings expectations have not been materially cut.
"As a result, the media sector has the second-largest discount between current forward P/E multiples and the ten-year median, exceeded only by the food sector," O’Shea wrote.
In this regard, O’Shea reshuffled ratings and preference lists across the sector. Notably, Pearson and ProSiebenSat1 were upgraded from Reduce to Hold after share price underperformance brought valuations back in line with target prices.
The analyst also raised target prices for Canal+, Havas, ITV, Publicis, and RTL Group, reflecting what they see as a better balance between risk and reward following last year’s derating.
Moreover, RELX was added to the Most Preferred list. O’Shea argues the stock is “more a beneficiary of GenAI than vulnerable, despite the recent de-rating.” MTG Group also entered the Most Preferred list, described as “cheap and low-risk,” replacing JCDecaux and Springer Nature.
On the downside, Pearson and UMG exited the Least Preferred list, while M6 and Ubisoft were added. M6 "is wholly exposed to a weakening French TV advertising market, has made a huge commitment to buy FIFA World Cup rights, and trades at a premium to peer TF1," O’Shea noted.
Looking ahead, Kepler expects 2026 phasing to be broadly supportive for the sector, helped by a mini-quadrennial year with ad-rich events such as the FIFA World Cup, U.S. mid-term elections, and the Winter Olympics in Cortina.
However, O’Shea warns that pricing pressure in linear TV advertising, particularly in France and the U.K., could offset some of that cyclical support, reinforcing their preference for companies with visible market share gains and more resilient business models, such as Publicis.






















