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SYMBOL
LAST
BID
ASK
HIGH
LOW
NET CHG.
%CHG.
SPREAD
SPX
S&P 500 Index
6857.13
6857.13
6857.13
6865.94
6827.13
+7.41
+ 0.11%
--
DJI
Dow Jones Industrial Average
47850.93
47850.93
47850.93
48049.72
47692.96
-31.96
-0.07%
--
IXIC
NASDAQ Composite Index
23505.13
23505.13
23505.13
23528.53
23372.33
+51.04
+ 0.22%
--
USDX
US Dollar Index
98.940
99.020
98.940
98.980
98.740
-0.040
-0.04%
--
EURUSD
Euro / US Dollar
1.16481
1.16489
1.16481
1.16715
1.16408
+0.00036
+ 0.03%
--
GBPUSD
Pound Sterling / US Dollar
1.33355
1.33364
1.33355
1.33622
1.33165
+0.00084
+ 0.06%
--
XAUUSD
Gold / US Dollar
4224.51
4224.92
4224.51
4230.62
4194.54
+17.34
+ 0.41%
--
WTI
Light Sweet Crude Oil
59.350
59.380
59.350
59.543
59.187
-0.033
-0.06%
--

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Citigroup Expects European Central Bank To Hold Interest Rates At 2.0% At Least Until End-Of-2027 Versus Prior Forecast Of Cuts To 1.5% By March 2026

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Japan Economy Minister Kiuchi: Hope Bank Of Japan Guides Appropriate Monetary Policy To Stably Achieve 2% Inflation Target, Working Closely With Government In Line With Principles Stipulated In Government-Bank Of Japan Joint Agreement

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Japan Economy Minister Kiuchi: Specific Monetary Policy Means Up To Bank Of Japan To Decide, Government Won't Comment

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Japan Economy Minister Kiuchi: Government Will Watch Market Moves With High Sense Of Urgency

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Japan Economy Minister Kiuchi: Important For Stock, Forex, Bond Markets To Move Stably Reflecting Fundamentals

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Norway Government: Will Order 2 More German-Made Submarines, Taking Total To 6 Submarines, Increasing Planned Spending By Nok 46 Billion

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Norway Government: Plans To Buy Long-Range Artillery Weapons For Nok 19 Billion, With Strike Distance Of Up To 500 Km

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Japan Economy Minister Kiuchi: Inflationary Impact Of Stimulus Package Likely Limited

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BP : BofA Global Research Cuts To Underperform From Neutral, Cuts Price Objective To 375P From 440P

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Shell : BofA Global Research Cuts To Neutral From Buy, Cuts Price Objective To 3100P From 3200P

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Russia Plans To Supply 5-5.5 Million Tons Of Fertilizers To India In 2025

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Euro Zone Q3 Employment Revised To 0.6% Year-On-Year

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Rheinmetall Ag : BofA Global Research Cuts Price Objective To EUR 2215 From EUR 2540

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China's Commerce Minister: Will Eliminate Restrictive Measures

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Russia - India Statement Says Defence Partnership Is Responding To India's Aspirations For Self-Reliance

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Russia - India Statement Says Defence Ties Being Reoriented Towards Joint R&D And Production Of Advanced Defence Platforms

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Russia And India Express Interest In Deepening Cooperation In Exploration, Processing And Refining Technologies For Critical Minerals And Rare Earth Elements

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Eurostat - Euro Zone Q3 Employment +0.6% Year-On-Year (Reuters Poll +0.5%)

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Eurostat - Euro Zone Q3 Employment +0.2% Quarter-On-Quarter (Reuters Poll +0.1%)

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Indian Rupee At 89.98 Per USA Dollar As Of 3:30 P.M. Ist, Nearly Unchanged Form 89.9750 Previous Close

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          REG - HSBC Holdings PLC - Monthly update on privatisation of Hang Seng Bank

          London Stock Exchange
          00011
          +0.07%
          80011
          -0.07%
          00005
          -0.45%
          HSBC Holdings
          -0.42%
          RNS Number : 2561J HSBC Holdings PLC 27 November 2025  

          Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited and The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited take no responsibility for the contents of this announcement, make no representation as to its accuracy or completeness and expressly disclaim any liability whatsoever for any loss howsoever arising from or in reliance upon the whole or any part of the contents of this announcement.

          This announcement is for information purposes only and does not constitute, or form part of, any invitation or offer to acquire, purchase or subscribe for any securities of HSBC Holdings, HSBC Asia Pacific or Hang Seng Bank, nor is it an invitation or offer to or a solicitation of any offer to acquire, purchase or subscribe for securities of HSBC Holdings, HSBC Asia Pacific or Hang Seng Bank, or the solicitation of any vote or approval in any jurisdiction, nor shall there be any sale, issuance or transfer of securities of HSBC Holdings, HSBC Asia Pacific or Hang Seng Bank in any jurisdiction in contravention of applicable law. This announcement is not for release, publication or distribution, in whole or in part, in or into or from any other jurisdiction where to do so would constitute a violation of the relevant laws or regulations of such jurisdiction.

          • HSBC Holdings plc

            (Hong Kong Stock Code: 5)

          • Hang Seng Bank Limited

            (Stock Codes: 11 (HKD counter) and 80011 (RMB counter))

          The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking

          Corporation Limited

          JOINT ANNOUNCEMENT

          MONTHLY UPDATE ON

          (1) PROPOSAL FOR THE PRIVATISATION OF HANG SENG BANK LIMITED

          BY THE HONGKONG AND SHANGHAI BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED

          BY WAY OF A SCHEME OF ARRANGEMENT

          UNDER SECTION 673 OF THE COMPANIES ORDINANCE

          AND

          (2) PROPOSED WITHDRAWAL OF LISTING OF HANG SENG BANK SHARES

          Joint Financial Advisers to HSBC Holdings and HSBC Asia Pacific

          (in alphabetical order)

          BofA Securities           Goldman Sachs

          Financial Adviser to Hang Seng Bank

          Morgan Stanley

          Financial Adviser to HSBC Asia Pacific

          The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited

          Reference is made to (i) the joint announcement dated 9 October 2025 jointly issued by HSBC Holdings plc ("HSBC Holdings"), The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited ("HSBC Asia Pacific") and Hang Seng Bank Limited ("Hang Seng Bank") pursuant to Rule 3.5 of the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers (the "Takeovers Code") regarding, among others, the proposal for the privatisation of Hang Seng Bank by HSBC Asia Pacific by way of a scheme of arrangement under section 673 of the Companies Ordinance (the "Rule 3.5 Announcement"); (ii) the announcement dated 22 October 2025 issued by Hang Seng Bank in relation to the appointment of the Hang Seng Bank IFA; and (iii) the announcement dated 30 October 2025 jointly issued by HSBC Holdings, HSBC Asia Pacific and Hang Seng Bank in relation to the update on the timeline for despatch of the Scheme Document (the "October Announcement"). Unless otherwise defined herein, capitalised terms used in this announcement shall have the same meanings as those defined in the Rule 3.5 Announcement.

          HSBC Holdings, HSBC Asia Pacific and Hang Seng Bank would like to update the shareholders of and potential investors in Hang Seng Bank that, further to the October Announcement, HSBC Holdings, HSBC Asia Pacific and Hang Seng Bank are in the course of preparing and finalising the information to be included in the Scheme Document and preparing for a hearing at the High Court to seek its directions for convening the Hang Seng Bank Court Meeting to consider, and if thought fit, approve the Scheme. The Scheme Document will be despatched on or before 17 December 2025. A detailed timetable for the Proposal will be set out in the Scheme Document and in the announcement to be jointly issued by HSBC Holdings, HSBC Asia Pacific and Hang Seng Bank upon despatch of the Scheme Document.

          Further announcement(s) will be made on the status and progress of the Proposal and the Scheme and the despatch of the Scheme Document as and when appropriate in accordance with the Takeovers Code, the Hong Kong Listing Rules and applicable laws and regulations.

          WARNING: Shareholders of and/or potential investors in HSBC Holdings and Hang Seng Bank should be aware that the Proposal will only be implemented if all the Conditions are satisfied or (if applicable) waived on or before the Conditions Long Stop Date. Shareholders of and/or potential investors in HSBC Holdings and Hang Seng Bank should therefore exercise caution when dealing in the securities of HSBC Holdings and Hang Seng Bank respectively. Persons who are in doubt as to the action they should take should consult their licensed securities dealer, registered institution in securities, bank manager, solicitor and/or other professional adviser.

          For and on behalf of

          HSBC Holdings plc

          Brendan Nelson

          Group Chairman

          For and on behalf of

          Hang Seng Bank Limited

          Edward Cheng Wai Sun

          Chairman

          For and on behalf of

          The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited

          Dr. Peter Wong Tung Shun

          Non-executive Chairman

          The board of directors of HSBC Holdings plc as at the date of this announcement comprises: Brendan Robert Nelson*, Georges Bahjat Elhedery, Geraldine Joyce Buckingham†, Rachel Duan†, Dame Carolyn Julie Fairbairn†, James Anthony Forese†, Ann Frances Godbehere†, Steven Craig Guggenheimer†, Manveen (Pam) Kaur, Dr José Antonio Meade Kuribreña†, Kalpana Jaisingh Morparia†, Eileen K Murray† and Swee Lian Teo†.

          * Independent non-executive Chair

          † Independent non-executive Director

          The board of directors of HSBC Asia Pacific as at the date of this announcement comprises: Dr. Peter Wong Tung Shun#, David Gordon Eldon*, David Liao Yi Chien, Surendranath Ravi Rosha, Paul Jeremy Brough*, Judy Chau Lai Kun*, Edward Cheng Wai Sun*, Sonia Cheng Chi Man*, Choi Yiu Kwan*, Andrea Lisa Della Mattea*, Manveen (Pam) Kaur#, Rajnish Kumar*, Beau Kuok Khoon Chen*, Fred Lam Tin Fuk* and Annabelle Long Yu*.

          # Non-executive Directors

          * Independent Non-executive Directors

          The Hang Seng Bank Board as at the date of this announcement comprises: Edward Cheng Wai Sun* (Chairman), Luanne Lim Hui Hung (Chief Executive), Cordelia Chung*, Kathleen Gan Chieh Huey#, Clement Kwok King Man*, Patricia Lam Sze Wan*, David Liao Yi Chien#, Lin Huey Ru*, Saw Say Pin (Chief Financial Officer), Wang Xiao Bin* and Catherine Zhou Rong#.

          # Non-executive Directors

          * Independent Non-executive Directors

          Hong Kong, 27 November 2025

          HSBC Holdings plc

          Registered Office and Group Head Office:

          8 Canada Square, London E14 5HQ, United Kingdom

          Web: www.hsbc.com

          Incorporated in England and Wales with limited liability. Registration number 617987

          Hang Seng Bank Limited

          恒生銀行有限公司

          Registered Office and Head Office: 83 Des Voeux Road Central, Hong Kong

          Incorporated in Hong Kong with limited liability

          The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited

          香港上海滙豐銀行有限公司

          Registered Office and Group Head Office:

          1 Queen's Road Central, Hong Kong

          Incorporated in Hong Kong with limited liability

          This information is provided by RNS, the news service of the London Stock Exchange. RNS is approved by the Financial Conduct Authority to act as a Primary Information Provider in the United Kingdom. Terms and conditions relating to the use and distribution of this information may apply. For further information, please contact rns@lseg.com or visit www.rns.com.

          RNS may use your IP address to confirm compliance with the terms and conditions, to analyse how you engage with the information contained in this communication, and to share such analysis on an anonymised basis with others as part of our commercial services. For further information about how RNS and the London Stock Exchange use the personal data you provide us, please see our Privacy Policy.  END  UPDGLBDBUDDDGUR

          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          REG - HSBC Bank plc - Pre Stabilisation Notice

          London Stock Exchange
          00005
          -0.45%
          HSBC Holdings
          -0.42%
          RNS Number : 1399J HSBC Bank plc 26 November 2025  

          26th November 2025

          MAF Sukuk Ltd.

          HSBC (contact: syndexecution@noexternalmail.hsbc.com) hereby gives notice that no stabilisation was undertaken by the Stabilisation Manager(s) named below in relation to the offer of the following securities.

          Issuer:

          MAF Sukuk Ltd.

          Obligor (if any):

          Majid Al Futtaim Properties LLC

          Guarantor (if any):

          Majid Al Futtaim Holding LLC

          Aggregate nominal amount:

          USD 500,000,000                      

          Description:

          4.875% due 22nd October 2035

          Offer price:

          99.375                          

          Stabilising Manager:

          HSBC Bank plc

          This announcement is for information purposes only and does not constitute an invitation or offer to underwrite, subscribe for or otherwise acquire or dispose of any securities of the Issuer in any jurisdiction

          This information is provided by RNS, the news service of the London Stock Exchange. RNS is approved by the Financial Conduct Authority to act as a Primary Information Provider in the United Kingdom. Terms and conditions relating to the use and distribution of this information may apply. For further information, please contact rns@lseg.com or visit www.rns.com.

          RNS may use your IP address to confirm compliance with the terms and conditions, to analyse how you engage with the information contained in this communication, and to share such analysis on an anonymised basis with others as part of our commercial services. For further information about how RNS and the London Stock Exchange use the personal data you provide us, please see our Privacy Policy.  END  STAZZMZMFVMGKZM

          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          REG - Harworth Group PLC - New £275 million Revolving Credit Facility

          London Stock Exchange
          Banco Santander
          +1.01%
          00005
          -0.45%
          HSBC Holdings
          -0.42%
          NatWest
          +0.06%
          RNS Number : 9861I Harworth Group PLC 26 November 2025  

          HARWORTH GROUP PLC

          ('Harworth' or the 'Group' or the 'Company')

          Harworth agrees new £275m RCF with existing lenders at improved terms

          Harworth Group plc , a leading regeneration and strategic land owner and developer, announces that it has signed a new £275 million Revolving Credit Facility ('RCF'). It includes an uncommitted accordion option, which if exercised would take the RCF to £325 million. The facility has an improved core margin of 200 basis points over SONIA, with an initial four-year term, which may be extended to a maximum of five years at Harworth's request, subject to bank consent. The syndicate comprises Harworth's existing relationship banks, NatWest, Santander and HSBC, with the option to add further lenders.

          The new facility replaces Harworth's existing £240 million facility and extends the Group's debt maturity by approximately 2.5 years.

          Kitty Patmore, Chief Financial Officer of Harworth, commented: "We have been able to take advantage of favourable market conditions, and the strong relationships we have with our core blue-chip banking partners, to refinance our RCF on improved terms. It extends the duration of our bank facilities to the end of 2029, reduces our costs and provides increased flexibility to invest in our pipeline of sites, as we look to optimise our balance sheet. Our target net loan-to-portfolio value of below 20% at year-end and 25% throughout the year remains unchanged."

          -ENDS-

          For further information

          Harworth Group plc

          Lynda Shillaw (Chief Executive)

          Kitty Patmore (Chief Financial Officer)

          Juliana Weiss Dalton (Investor Relations)

          T: +44 (0)114 349 3131

          E: investors@harworthgroup.com

          FTI Consulting

          Dido Laurimore

          Richard Gotla

          Eve Kirmatzis

          T: +44 (0)20 3727 1000

          E: Harworth@fticonsulting.com

          About Harworth

          Harworth Group plc , is a leading regeneration and strategic land owner and developer focused on the Industrial & Logistics (I&L) and Residential sectors. We own, develop, and manage a portfolio of over 15,000 acres of Strategic Land over 100 sites located throughout the North of England and Midlands. We specialise in delivering long-term value for all stakeholders by regenerating large, complex sites, into new I&L developments and serviced remediated land for sale into the I&L and Residential land markets. Our long-term through-the-cycle business model is to create sustainable places, support new homes, jobs and communities where people want to live and work. Visit www.harworthgroup.com for further information. LEI: 213800R8JSSGK2KPFG21

          This information is provided by RNS, the news service of the London Stock Exchange. RNS is approved by the Financial Conduct Authority to act as a Primary Information Provider in the United Kingdom. Terms and conditions relating to the use and distribution of this information may apply. For further information, please contact rns@lseg.com or visit www.rns.com.

          RNS may use your IP address to confirm compliance with the terms and conditions, to analyse how you engage with the information contained in this communication, and to share such analysis on an anonymised basis with others as part of our commercial services. For further information about how RNS and the London Stock Exchange use the personal data you provide us, please see our Privacy Policy.  END  MSCUVUWRVAUAUAA

          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
          Add to Favorites
          Share

          REG - HSBC Bank plc HSBC Holdings PLC - Pre Stabilisation Notice

          London Stock Exchange
          00005
          -0.45%
          HSBC Holdings
          -0.42%
          RNS Number : 7253I HSBC Bank plc 24 November 2025  

          24th November 2025

          HSBC Holdings plc

          Pre Stabilisation Notice

          HSBC (contact: syndexecution@noexternalmail.hsbc.com) hereby gives notice, as Stabilisation Coordinator, that the Stabilisation Manager(s) named below may stabilise the offer of the following securities

          The securities:

          Issuer:

          HSBC Holdings plc

          Guarantor (if any):

          na

          Aggregate nominal amount:

          EUR Benchmark                          

          Description:

          Fixed rate due 1st December 2033 NC7  

          Offer price:

          TBC                                               

          Other offer terms:

          Stabilisation:

          Stabilising Manager(s):

          HSBC Bank plc, ABN AMRO, BBVA, Danske Bank, RBC Capital Markets, SEB, UniCredit

          Stabilisation period expected to start on:

          24th November 2025

          Stabilisation period expected to end no later than:

          30th December 2025

          Existence, maximum size & conditions of use of over-allotment facility[1]:

          5% of the aggregate nominal amount

          Stabilisation Venue(s)

          Over the counter (OTC)

          In connection with the offer of the above securities, the Stabilisation Manager(s) may over-allot the securities or effect transactions with a view to supporting the market price of the securities at a level higher than that which might otherwise prevail. However, there is no assurance that the Stabilisation Manager(s) will take any stabilisation action and any stabilisation action, if begun, may be ended at any time. Any stabilisation action or over-allotment shall be conducted in accordance with all applicable laws and rules.

          This announcement is for information purposes only and does not constitute an invitation or offer to underwrite, subscribe for or otherwise acquire or dispose of any securities of the Issuer in any jurisdiction.

          In addition, if and to the extent that this announcement is communicated in, or the offer of the securities to which it relates is made in, any EEA Member State before the publication of a prospectus in relation to the securities which has been approved by the competent authority in that Member State in accordance with the Regulation (EU) 2017/1129 (the "Prospectus Regulation") (or which has been approved by a competent authority in another Member State and notified to the competent authority in that Member State in accordance with the Prospectus Regulation), this announcement and the offer are only addressed to and directed at persons in that Member State who are qualified investors within the meaning of the Prospectus Regulation (or who are other persons to whom the offer may lawfully be addressed) and must not be acted on or relied on by other persons in that Member State.

          This announcement and the offer of the securities to which it relates are only addressed to and directed at persons outside the United Kingdom and persons in the United Kingdom who have professional experience in matters related to investments or who are high net worth persons within article 12(5) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005 and must not be acted on or relied on by other persons in the United Kingdom.

          This announcement is not an offer of securities for sale into the United States. The securities have not been, and will not be, registered under the United States Securities Act of 1933 and may not be offered or sold in the United States absent registration or an exemption from registration. There will be no public offer of securities in the United States.

          [1] Please note that the existence and the maximum size of any greenshoe option, the exercise period of the greenshoe option and any conditions for exercise of the greenshoe option must also be disclosed, if such option exists. In addition, the exercise of the greenshoe option must be disclosed to the public promptly, together with all appropriate details, including in particular the date of exercise and the number and nature of securities involved 

          This information is provided by RNS, the news service of the London Stock Exchange. RNS is approved by the Financial Conduct Authority to act as a Primary Information Provider in the United Kingdom. Terms and conditions relating to the use and distribution of this information may apply. For further information, please contact rns@lseg.com or visit www.rns.com.

          RNS may use your IP address to confirm compliance with the terms and conditions, to analyse how you engage with the information contained in this communication, and to share such analysis on an anonymised basis with others as part of our commercial services. For further information about how RNS and the London Stock Exchange use the personal data you provide us, please see our Privacy Policy.  END  STAZZMZMLDRGKZG

          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          HSBC Restructures Trading Division, Bloomberg Says, Citing Memo

          Dow Jones Newswires
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          • HSBC is restructuring its trading division, Bloomberg reports, citing a staff memo.
          • The London-based bank is combining some of its units in view of building "a financing powerhouse", the report says, citing HSBC's global head of markets and securities services Patrick George in the memo.
          • The changes are designed to "enhance client connectivity, operational efficiency" and "support our financing and transaction banking ambitions," HSBC said in a statement, according to the report.

          Full story: https://shorturl.at/oFGYs

          Write to Elena Vardon at elena.vardon@wsj.com

          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          The latest Fed minutes have changed something significant in the Indian markets too

          CNBC TV18
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          HSBC Holdings
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          Falling bond yields reflect the expectation of an interest rate cut, and vice versa.  

          India's 3-month bond yield is down 1.47% in the last one month.The bulk of the fall, about a percentage point, came in the lastone week after record low inflation fuelled the expectation of a cut in repo rate by the Reserve Bank of India, and took Nifty Bank to new record highs.

          However, nearly two-fifths of that rally has been reversed today after the minutes of the last meeting of the US Federal Reserve showed that ‘several’ officials were against an interest rate cut in December.

          The short-term bond market is a better gauge than the benchmark 10-year yield towards the end of a rate cutting cycle by a central bank 

          Why the likely Fed move matters for the RBI?

          Typically, emerging markets follow the American central bank’s suit in cutting rates,to maintain the competitive edge in terms of borrowing rates and currency value. 

          If the US Fed doesn’t have to cut rates — and it seems nearly certain that it won’t — the RBI has one less reason to especially since the monetary policy review in India would precede that of the US.

          Market participants are pricing in just a 30% chance of a Fed rate cut in December, compared to 95% a few weeks earlier. That’s why the dollar has jumped sharply in trade today.

          “An upward adjustment to US interest rate expectations fuelled by cautious comments by Fed officials is driving a broad recovery in USD,” Elias Haddad, a strategist at Brown Brothers Harriman, told Bloomberg on Nov 17.

          The rupee has lost about 5.1% of its value against the US dollar in the last one year.The weaker rupee also serves as a natural hedge against tariffs,and reduces the pressure of the dumping of cheap Chinese products that have contributed significantly to the record low inflation. 

          Low inflation and strong growth 

          “Inflation in the current quarter is tracking almost 100 basis points below RBI’s forecast of 1.8% (YoY), which builds a strong case for a rate cut in the December policy,” Puneet Pal, Head-Fixed Income, PGIM India Mutual Fund, said on Tuesday. 

          While a record low inflation backs the case for a cut in repo rate, the strong growth projections do the opposite.India’s second-quarter GDP growth is expected anywhere between 7% and 7.5% — it would be the third-straight quarter of 7%-plus economic growth — posing a dilemma for RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra.

          There’s more for the RBI to factor in

          “Concerns around adverse demand–supply dynamics and uncertainty over the future monetary policy path have significantly contributed to the current slump in bond markets,” Pal added. 

          Simply put, the government is expected to borrow more to make up for a shortfall in overall revenue, triggered largely by a slump in nominal growth (real GDP plus the impact of inflation). 

          A lower coupon would make the existing bonds in the secondary market more attractive than the fresh debt the government may look to raise. To avoid that, if the RBI decides not to cut the repo rate in December, the market would have reprice its bets lower. 

          The question now in front of the RBI is whether the economy needs fresh growth fuel from the central bank.

          Pranjul Bhandari, Chief India Economist at HSBC, believes the recent spike in GST collections may dissipate, car sales have already begun to taper after the festive season spurt, government spending will inevitably fall between January and March, and exporters need support. 

          “My sense is we could see 7% plus numbers for the first three quarters, but suddenly in the fourth quarter, the number could dip to as low as 6%,” she told CNBC-TV18 on Nov 20. 

          “I think low inflation is going to be a new trend out there. And on the back of that, I'm going to argue that the RBI can remain growth supportive for a pretty long time. We can look at very short-term data,” she added. 

          The Sensex is up over 1% in the last week compared to a 2.4% fall in the MSCI EM Index. The banking index has scaled new record highs this week.

          For now, India’s stock market had taken the rate cut by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) in December for granted. As things stand today, a real surprise would be the absence of one. 

          Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
          You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading. Following any strategies or investment methods may lead to potential losses. The content on the site is provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, securities, strategy, or any other product is suitable for investing based on your own investment objectives and financial situation.
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          HSBC Is Neutral on Developed Market Bond Duration — Market Talk

          Dow Jones Newswires
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          0814 ET - HSBC holds a neutral view on duration across most major developed bond markets, it says in a note. "While supply concerns have taken a backseat of late, we think the long-end remains the most exposed," it says. HSBC expects core eurozone and U.S. Treasury yield curves to steepen. In the eurozone, "a risk to this view is if Germany substantially decreases its weighted average maturity of issuance in 2026," rates strategist Daniela Russell says. In the U.S., while HSBC has a neutral view on duration, it awaits clarity on the health of the economy, she says. (emese.bartha@wsj.com)

          0800 ET - The decline in 10-year U.S. break-evens--a measure of the inflation rate that markets expect--should reverse, Amundi says in an investment outlook. "The decline in 10-year break-evens to 2.25% should reverse, with a return to the 2.5% peaks of the past two years looking possible," Amundi says. The weaker dollar and tariffs alone could boost prices, while demand will be stimulated by expansionary fiscal and monetary policy, as well as higher investment, the asset manager says. (emese.bartha@wsj.com)

          0754 ET - Sterling is likely to remain under pressure ahead of next Wednesday's U.K. budget but its reaction to the event depends on the measures announced, UBS Global Wealth Management analysts say in a note. Uncertainty ahead of the budget could be the main reason for sterling's recent weakness rather than expectations about specific fiscal measures, they say. In that case, sterling could fall further ahead of the budget followed by a reprieve thereafter. However, if a clearly contractionary, non-inflationary budget outcome gives the Bank of England more confidence to continue cutting rates, sterling faces further falls with the euro potentially rising above 0.8900 pounds from 0.8826 currently, they say. (renae.dyer@wsj.com)

          0739 ET - Amundi sees rising appeal in European bonds, driven in the near term by anticipated further interest-rate cuts by the European Central Bank and expanding EU bond markets, the asset manager says in a 2026 investment outlook. "Germany's sizeable projected debt issuance over the next five to 10 years will expand EU government bond markets and provide a large opportunity set for global investors," the French asset manager says. European bonds will also get support from the ECB, whose interest rates Amundi expects to be cut to 1.5% by mid-2026. Amundi favors European bonds versus U.S. Treasurys. Within Europe, it is optimistic about peripheral bonds. (emese.bartha@wsj.com)

          0738 ET - Stablecoins probably won't grow popular enough to absorb a meaningful amount of U.S. government debt or significantly compete against deposits from banks, Berenberg economist Atakan Bakiskan says in a note. Stablecoin issuers largely back coins with Treasurys, giving them a noticeable share of government debt. The Genius Act bans issuers from paying interest to coin holders, making stablecoins incomparable to interest-bearing deposits, he says. If stablecoin providers cannot pay interest, holders have little incentive to prefer stablecoins over bank deposits that do. Moreover, if stablecoins simply shift money from bank deposits to Treasury bills, this could reduce credit supply. "A flow of funds from banks to stablecoin issuers would also constrain banks' ability to buy Treasurys." (renae.dyer@wsj.com)

          0737 ET - U.K. inflation is expected to continue slowing through 2026, after the decline in October, Oxford Economics' Edward Allenby says in a note. Annual headline inflation eased to 3.6% in October from 3.8% in September while annual core inflation slowed to 3.4% in October from 3.5% in September. "Base effects should mean that the energy category starts to drag on inflation in first half of 2026," Allenby says. Declining U.K. wage growth is expected to contribute to lower services inflation, he says. (miriam.mukuru@wsj.com)

          0736 ET - Fiscal discipline in Italy and Spain could allow Italian and Spanish government bond yield spreads relative to Germany to continue narrowing, Amundi says in an investment outlook for 2026. "While a return to the parity seen before 2007 looks unlikely, it is possible the Italy-Germany 10-year spread could fall below 70 basis points, while the Germany-Spain spread may reach 40 basis points," Amundi says. The French-German yield spread is "a confirmation of the credibility of the European fiscal framework," Amundi says. The 10-year Italian-German yield spread is 73.8bps; the 10-year Spanish-German yield spread is 49.8bps; and the 10-year French-German yield spread is 74.4bps, according to Tradeweb. (emese.bartha@wsj.com)

          0730 ET - There's little reason for now for the Bank of England not to cut in December, after headline U.K. inflation likely peaked, Morgan Stanley's Bruna Skarica says in a note. Doves on the central bank's rate-setting committee can point to headline inflation in line with forecasts, with core probably a tad below BOE estimates, all in the context of a higher jobless rate and more labor-market slack than expected, she says. However, hawks can argue that underlying services inflation isn't falling consistently, with food inflation still elevated, Skarica notes. But barring an outright inflationary U.K. budget, a December rate cut looks likely. What happens thereafter depends more on the labor market than anything else, she adds. (edward.frankl@wsj.com)

          0650 ET - There is still some upside risk to U.S. inflation, but it is not likely to materialize or stand in the way of further Federal Reserve rate cuts ahead, Insight Investment's Jill Hirzel says in a note. Further cuts would take the Fed funds rate to 3.25%, driving shorter-dated bond yields lower, she says. "Our expectations for bond yields in the next 12 months is that there is scope for shorter-dated yields to decline slightly from current levels as the Fed continues to ease policy." Insight Investment expects 10-year Treasury yields to gravitate to around 4% and 30-year Treasury yields to be 4.70% in a year's time. The 10-year Treasury yield trades unchanged at 4.120%, according to Tradeweb. (emese.bartha@wsj.com)

          0625 ET - Amundi holds an out-of-consensus view on the European Central Bank's interest-rate path, envisaging further rate cuts next year, Group CIO Vincent Mortier says in a webinar. Amundi expects two more rate cuts, bringing the deposit rate to 1.50% by mid-2026 from 2.00%, he says. Money markets see low probability of further ECB rate cuts, pricing in approximately 10 basis points of reduction by mid-2026, according to LSEG data. (emese.bartha@wsj.com)

          0536 ET - The U.K. government budget is the last obstacle to a Bank of England interest-rate cut, Suren Thiru, ICAEW economics director, says in a note. Inflation dipped to 3.6% in October from 3.8% in September, ahead of a budget announcement due next week. "The budget is a double-edged sword for inflation as while tax rises can be deflationary by dampening demand in the economy, the upward pressure from any rise in business costs risks giving inflation a second wind," Thiru says. Though the conditions for December cut are falling into place, BOE rate-setters will want to gauge the effect of the policies announced before authorizing further easing, he says. (edward.frankl@wsj.com)

          0531 ET - The euro falls as the dollar recovers slightly and risk appetite weakens ahead of key releases, Monex Europe analysts say in a note. "From a eurozone perspective, risks skew toward purchasing managers' index surveys softening marginally on Friday, and the lack of domestic catalysts yesterday leaves that narrative intact." Elsewhere, the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes will be released at 1900 GMT and the delayed September U.S. nonfarm payroll report is due Thursday. Monex remains "cautiously optimistic" on the euro over the medium term as it expects improving eurozone fundamentals. The euro falls 0.1% to a one-week low of $1.1565, LSEG data show. (renae.dyer@wsj.com)

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