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Crypto analyst Ali Martinez (@ali_charts) has spotlighted a potential trend reversal for Dogecoin, revealing that the popular memecoin has flashed a bullish technical signal on its daily chart. According to Martinez, the TD Sequential indicator has presented a “buy signal,” suggesting a price rebound could be on the horizon.
Dogecoin Prints TD9 Buy Signal
The shared chart—spanning daily candlesticks of the DOGE/USDT pair—illustrates 10 days of downward price action. Dogecoin has retreated from previous highs near $0.4843 to trade at approximately $0.32, shedding around -35% over the past few days. The most recent candle on the chart is a long black (bearish) bar, reflecting notable selling pressure that pushed prices towards $0.3200.
“The TD Sequential presents a buy signal on the Dogecoin daily chart, anticipating a price rebound!” Martinez posted via X. At the core of Martinez’s observation is the TD Sequential, a widely respected technical tool among seasoned traders. Developed by market technician Tom DeMark, the TD Sequential aims to identify price exhaustion points and potential reversals in ongoing trends. It works by counting a series of consecutive candles in one direction.
The indicator typically monitors up to nine consecutive bearish or bullish candles. When a count of nine is reached during a persistent downtrend, it often flags a possible bullish turning point—referred to as a “TD9 Buy Signal.” Conversely, nine consecutive higher closes in an uptrend can signal a potential bearish reversal.
In more extended setups, the indicator can continue counting to 13, offering further confirmation, but the “9” signal itself often draws the most immediate attention from traders. On this Dogecoin chart, the TD9 number has just appeared, signifying that the daily downtrend might be reaching a point of buyer interest. Following a “9” candle, the sequence restarts at “1,” which can hint at the beginning of a new bullish setup, should the upcoming candles confirm the reversal.
Price Levels to Watch
The most crucial support zone lies at $0.313, the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level on the daily chart. Maintaining a daily close above this level could reinforce bullish momentum if buyers respond to the TD9 signal. Any attempt at a rebound will likely confront initial resistance around $0.3400, where the downtrend line is located. A decisive break above this (black) line may validate the anticipated trend reversal.
While further out of reach, regaining ground in the $0.4000 region (0.5 Fibonacci level at $0.395) would be a stronger sign that Dogecoin has recovered from its downward spiral. Overall, Dogecoin is at a crucial spot. The TD Sequential’s “buy” setup does not guarantee instant upside, but it does historically serve as a reliable early warning of trend fatigue.
If bullish traders capitalize on this signal, Dogecoin could stage a price recovery toward mid-range resistances. In contrast, failure to hold the $0.3100 area might prolong the current downward cycle.
Former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes has predicted that the price of Bitcoin of Bitcoin could collapse to the $70,000 level.
The entrepreneur believes that the possible crash will be caused by a "mini financial crisis" in the U.S.
With that being said, the BitMEX boss is convinced that the leading cryptocurrency could eventually surge to the $250,000 level by the end of the year.
The DeekSeek rout
Earlier today, the leading cryptocurrency crashed to an intraday low of $98,440, nosediving by nearly 7% over the past 24 hours.
This coincided with major chip stocks experiencing a severe rout in pre-market trading. E-mini Nasdaq-100 Futures are down 2.62%, according to the latest data.
The market turmoil came after the Chinese artificial intelligence (AI) startup DeepSeek released a new large language model called DeepSeek-R1, which was able to outperform some of the popular models, including OpenAI o1, on some key benchmarks. This is despite the fact that the startup was struggling to get advanced chips due to expert controls. Notably, the startup spent a puny $6 million to train the model compared to the billions of dollars required by OpenAI.
The model made waves shortly after OpenAI announced Startgaste, a $500 billion AI infrastructure project created in collaboration with SoftBank and some other participants.
The success of DeepSeek, which has emerged as the most popular app on the App Store, might put a dent in demand for chips and data centers considering that the startup spent mere peanuts on raw computing power while still outperforming the leading US tech giants.
Bullish bets on higher crypto prices lost $770 million in the past 24 hours as bitcoin fell under $100,000, leading to some majors rapidly losing momentum in a bloody start to the week.
Solana’s SOL and dogecoin dropped more than 10% to lead losses among majors, while ether , BNB Chain’s bnb, xrp and Cardano’s ADA fell as much as 9%. Overall market cap fell 8.5% as of Asian afternoon hours Monday.
Tokens outside of the top twenty and across different sectors showed similar woes, with memecoin pepe , layer 1 upstart Aptos (APT), Gate.io’s GATE and AI Agent creation platform Virtuals (VIRTUALS) losing as much as 18%.
Jupiter’s JUP was the only token in green with a 3.5% gain over the past 24 hours on the back of a decision to buy back tokens from the open market from the fees generated on its trading platform — which may equate to hundreds of millions in net buying volumes in a year.
Bitcoin slumped under $99,000 early Monday as traders took profits ahead of the first U.S. FOMC meeting this year. It tracked losses in U.S. stock futures, which fell as traders digested information about the cost and capabilities of China-based DeepSeek, threatening an otherwise costly narrative spearheaded by OpenAI.
Futures markets reflected these losses, with traders of BTC-tracked products losing $238 million in the past 24 hours, majorly in early European and Asian afternoon hours. SOL and DOGE bets lost a cumulative $50 million, altcoin-tracked products lost $138 million and ether-tracked futures lost $84 million.
The largest single liquidation order happened on HTX, a tether-margined BTC trade valued at $98.4 million.
Liquidation happens when a trader has insufficient funds to keep a leveraged trade open. The crypto market's high volatility means liquidations are a common occurrence, although major events such as Monday’s can provide actionable cues for further market sentiment or positioning.
The liquidation can signal an overstretched market, indicating that a price correction has occurred, while price-chart areas with high liquidation volumes can act as support or resistance levels where price might reverse due to the absence of further selling pressure from liquidated positions.
However, if the market continues declining, those with short positions might see this as validation, potentially increasing their bets. Conversely, contrarian traders might view heavy liquidation as a buying opportunity, expecting a price recovery once the sell-off momentum wanes.
TL:DR;
XRP Dumps 15%
It’s safe to say that Ripple’s native token became one of the best performers throughout the entire crypto market following the US elections. The recentspeculationsthat it will be included in the potential US digital asset reserve also benefited the asset, which went from under $0.6 in early November to $3.4 in January.
This cycle’s peakcoincidedwith the all-time high from 2018, but XRP failed to breach it. It started to lose traction in the next few weeks and retraced to $3.15 during the weekend. However, this is where the situation worsened for the entire crypto market.
Bitcoin’s price tumbled below $100,000 for the first time in a week, and XRP was not spared. The third-largest crypto asset plunged from $3.15 to a multi-week low of $2.66 (on Bitstamp) before it recovered some ground to $2.8 as of now.
Thus, its intraday low came after a 15% drop. While this sounds like a significant move, Ali Martinez warned that the Bollinger Bands are squeezing on XRP’s daily chart, which could lead to another “significant price move.”
The Bollinger Bands are squeezing on the $XRP daily chart, signaling that a significant price move could be on the horizon. pic.twitter.com/Sv7miRidTb
— Ali (@ali_charts) January 27, 2025
What’s Next?
Weighing in on XRP’s upcoming potential moves, macro trader Jason Pizzino noted that the next support lines are at $2.3-$2.5. The asset could avoid a price drop to those levels if its daily close is above “the previous swing top at $2.9,” which is not the case right now.
$XRP failing at the 50% extension. Lower volume into the $3.40 top and closes under $3.16 suggest buyers didn’t have enough conviction on the next move higher. The hope for the bulls is closing above the previous swing top at $2.90. Support under here is approx $2.30-$2.50. pic.twitter.com/I7L78vthNV
— Jason Pizzino (@jasonpizzino) January 27, 2025
Nevertheless, most analysts remain bullish on XRP’s long-term potential. Rob Art said XRP broke out of a 7-year-long triangle recently and will soon resume its rally, but only after it shakes out all the emotional buyers and sellers. After that, it will “turbo-send” XRP higher.
Crypto Bitlord shared a similar opinion, indicating that XRP will “experience a vertical style black swan.”
I’m convinced that $XRP will experience a vertical style black swan.
The price will go straight upwards with no warning.
It will go so high nobody could have ever predicted it.
All shorts will cease to exist from that day.
The world will change and bitcoin will be flipped.
— Crypto Bitlord (@crypto_bitlord7) January 26, 2025
TL:DR;
The second-largest meme coin rode the post-election bull cycle in an impressive manner, going from around $0.000016 to a multi-month high of well over $0,000033. Thus, it doubled its valuation within a month, as its peak came on December 8.
However, it failed to maintain its momentum, even though assets like BTC, XRP, ADA, XLM, and DOGE kept climbing and started to lose value gradually.
In fact, its 2025 peak, which came on January 18, was at $0.000025 – 25% lower than the high reached in late 2024. The following week was also turbulent and adverse for SHIB, perhaps due to the TRUMP token mania, as its price slumped further to $0.0002. At one point, it evenlostits spot as the second-biggest in its field to the meme coin launched by the US president.
Despite the recentbullish predictions, the past 24 hours brought even more pain for SHIB. Alongside the rest of the market, the self-proclaimed Dogecoin killer dumped by 11% to its lowest levels since early November of under $0.000018.
This decline could carry even more significance as it drove SHIB below a ‘critical’ support line. According to popular crypto analyst Ali Martinez, that crucial level for SHIB’s price momentum stands between $0.0000185 and $0.0000212.
The asset has slumped below both now, and it will be key to see whether it will close the day in such an unfavorable spot, which could trigger even more pain for the SHIB bulls.
The $0.0000185 to $0.0000212 range stands as the most critical support zone for #ShibaInu $SHIB! pic.twitter.com/mKXcYtvqS1
— Ali (@ali_charts) January 27, 2025
Crypto market participants have a lot to look forward to this week, with 5 US economic data due for release starting Tuesday. The market is already abuzz, anticipating the implication of these events on Bitcoin and crypto markets in general.
The influence of US macro data on Bitcoin continues to remain apparent after a period of dissipated or dried-up effect in 2023.
Consumer Confidence
The first US economic event with crypto implications this week is the consumer confidence survey on Tuesday, January 28. This survey reflects likely spending trends, showcasing consumer attitudes, buying intentions, and vacation plans, among other things.
There is a median forecast of 106.3 after the previous 104.7. Enhanced consumer confidence would suggest that people are open to spending more money, hence increasing economic activity. This would potentially drive more investments into cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin.
Conversely, a pullback in consumer confidence could lead to decreased spending and investment. It would support a more dovish path for the Federal Reserve (Fed), leading to increased liquidity in the financial system.
This may be favorable for Bitcoin as investors seek alternative stores of value and hedges against inflation. Therefore, the Tuesday data will be important for crypto markets, measuring how optimistic or pessimistic consumers are about the overall state of the economy.
FOMC and Fed Chair’s Speech
Beyond consumer confidence, crypto markets are also watching the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) interest rate decision on Wednesday, January 29. It marks the first FOMC decision after President Donald Trump took office, making it an interesting watch.
“Trump is demanding rate cuts, but Powell’s signaling no change. This showdown could rock the markets,” crypto trader Roger Smith quipped.
Policymakers recently expressed concerns about inflationary pressures, particularly tied to Trump’s proposed fiscal policies. During their last meeting, FOMC minutes provided little indication of a potential rate cut in the near term, further solidifying the Fed’s hawkish stance. As BeInCrypto reported, this stance exerted downward pressure on risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.
Against this backdrop, the CME FedWatch tool shows a 99.5% probability of a 25-basis-point (0.5% bps) rate cut. As this would signify a no rate change, the focus will be on the press conference with Fed Chair Jerome Powell. With these, traders and investors are expecting higher volatility amid market-moving insights from the Fed chair.
“I’ll decide that after Wednesday, January 29, 2024, FOMC interest-rate decision 2:00 pm ET – Fed Chair Powell press conference 2:30 pm ET. No position at the moment but I see a small chance for positive,” one trader said.
Noteworthy, the Fed has a dual mandate — to keep the Consumer Price Index (CPI), a measure of inflation, increasing by 2% per year and to maintain full employment in the economy.
GDP
The US GDP (Gross Domestic Data) report will be out on Thursday, January 30, adding to the list of US economic data to watch this week. The median forecast is 2.5% after the previous reading of 3.1%. This data measures the total value of goods and services produced in a country.
A positive GDP revision could signal a strong and growing economy. This would prompt investors to allocate more capital towards riskier assets such as Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. Conversely, a downward revision may lead to a shift in investor sentiment, resulting in a temporary decline in crypto prices.
Initial Jobless Claims
Crypto markets will also be keen on the initial jobless claims report on Thursday, which will provide insight into the health of the US labor market. Notably, the number of Americans filing new applications for unemployment benefits recently ticked up. However, it appeared to be steadying near a level consistent with a gradual cooling of the labor market. This is what set the stage for the Fed’s openness to rate cuts.
The previous data came in at 223,000, with a current middle projection of 225,000. A higher-than-expected number of jobless claims could indicate economic instability and uncertainty. In turn, this would lead investors to seek alternative assets like Bitcoin as a form of hedging against traditional markets.
On the other hand, a decrease in jobless claims could boost investor confidence in traditional markets, potentially diverting funds away from cryptocurrencies. Fed officials are also keen on the labor market, cognizant of the risks that come with waiting too long to cut rates.
Personal Income and PCE Index
The US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) will release the personal income, spending, PCE index, and core PCE on Friday. Weaker personal income and spending, coupled with softer inflation figures, could signal a slowdown in economic activity.
In response to this, the Federal Reserve may consider pausing interest rates to stimulate borrowing and spending and boost economic growth.
Meanwhile, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, excluding volatile food and energy prices, will be a key indicator of inflation. A higher-than-expected core PCE index could indicate rising inflationary pressures.
This would prompt investors to diversify their portfolios by investing in assets like Bitcoin, which is seen as a hedge against inflation. Conversely, a lower core PCE index could lead to a decrease in demand for cryptocurrencies as investors flock to more stable investment options.
Ahead of these US economic events, BeInCrypto data shows BTC was trading for $100,355, down almost 5% since Monday’s session opened.
Bitcoin may drop to $75,000 should it trigger a so-called 'double top' bearish reversal pattern.
A double top comprises two consecutive peaks at approximately the same price, with a trendline drawn through the low point between these peaks. The failure to break above the previous peak, followed by a subsequent decline, suggests that the uptrend is losing momentum.
So, an eventual breakdown of the horizontal trendline support, the double top neckline, is said to confirm a bullish-to-bearish trend change.
BTC has pulled back to $100,000 at the time of writing, having failed to maintain a foothold above the December high last week. In other words, BTC looks to have formed a double top, with neckline support positioned around $91,300.
A UTC close below the neckline level would confirm the bearish reversal pattern, potentially triggering a decline to $75,000. This target is calculated using the measured move method, subtracting the gap between the twin peaks and the neckline from the neckline level.
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